Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.35    75.14     2.73    90.09     8.37    74.40    66.80    86.21    94.43    98.01    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +6       1.52    76.72     2.78    78.34     9.48    46.48    12.57    38.40    61.13    77.88    95.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.91    81.36     1.84    74.19     9.54    35.06     5.82    21.30    41.54    62.84    90.44     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.22    93.51     3.91    46.63     9.51   -13.76     0.00     0.03     0.24     0.81     5.68     8.67R    1.41  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.53    77.29    -0.19    78.06     9.41    41.20    11.27    36.43    59.30    77.05    95.39     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.88    90.83     2.46    48.98     9.66   -10.76     0.01     0.10     0.44     1.39     8.81     5.54R    0.73  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.79    68.49     0.31    52.15     9.71    -3.23     0.04     0.29     0.93     2.71    14.95     2.79R    0.35  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.39    56.06     1.29    52.36     9.87    -1.58     0.02     0.23     1.06     2.98    15.52     2.93R    0.40  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.09    25.55    -2.05    70.62     9.40    28.52     2.56    11.73    26.60    46.58    84.07     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.75    63.56     0.86    47.20     9.51   -10.43     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.81     6.31     7.38R    1.08  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.12    71.52     0.26    41.92     9.10   -19.65     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.74    18.23R    3.53  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.29    30.10    -0.32    45.83     9.40    -9.41     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.57     4.68     9.25R    1.43  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.57    24.63    -0.75    44.29     9.31   -12.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.30     3.36    11.97R    2.18  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.08    35.97    -0.89    38.37     9.78   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.29    31.89R    9.23  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.75    21.65    -2.08    43.22     9.17   -13.66     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.26     2.51    13.86R    2.62  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.16    33.26    -1.13    35.42     9.44   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.54    43.46R   14.42  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.96    14.30    -1.57    65.59     9.90    24.18     0.90     5.14    13.71    27.26    67.03     0.11R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.64    16.08    -1.53    35.35     9.98   -32.71     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.80    44.66R   16.32  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.88    13.50    -2.93    40.20     9.48   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.45    24.90R    6.03  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.64    32.35    -3.00    28.43     8.26   -44.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.35R   40.25  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Aston_Villa 2 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     4   10   +7       4.14    94.59     6.29    72.61    11.60    14.37     5.10    11.51    41.56    17.64P    0.62R    0.06  
Middlesbrough    4   10   +6       2.75    85.57     3.35    83.01    11.11    29.59    21.48    37.98    76.25    49.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           4   10   +3       5.55    98.36     4.78    53.40    10.58   -19.57     0.05     0.20     2.70     0.52P   18.56R    3.66  
Brentford        4    8   +6       1.56    71.80     4.37    75.06    11.61    20.80     7.64    16.18    50.54    24.39P    0.38R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      4    8   +3       1.55    70.83     1.55    78.66    11.24    23.36    11.83    24.05    63.18    34.96P    0.16R    0.01  
Swansea          4    8   +2       1.21    66.41     0.11    77.16    12.01    19.79    10.98    21.67    57.08    31.37P    0.31R    0.03  
West_Brom        4    7   +6      -0.96    35.75     1.91    81.51    12.26    33.04    20.55    35.43    70.83    46.97P    0.15R    0.03  
Wigan            4    7   +3       0.85    62.83     1.98    75.51    12.52    20.15     9.64    19.17    52.03    27.91P    0.70R    0.10  
Blackburn        4    6   +1       0.10    50.62     0.40    63.09    12.15    -0.00     1.22     3.14    16.63     6.02P    5.57R    0.93  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.41    69.78     2.52    58.10    11.17    -8.15     0.23     0.74     6.96     1.76P   10.02R    1.83  
Derby            4    6   -1      -0.56    40.84    -2.63    71.64    11.64    11.46     4.39    10.25    38.34    17.37P    0.97R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.78    60.63    -1.53    62.99    11.42    -3.76     0.79     2.22    14.66     4.63P    4.74R    0.71  
Bristol_City     4    5   +1      -1.01    36.99     0.19    62.91    11.61     0.61     0.91     2.59    15.26     5.14P    4.98R    0.73  
Millwall         4    5   +0       0.10    53.66     0.82    62.77    11.34     0.13     0.70     2.13    14.28     4.66P    4.77R    0.76  
Norwich          4    4   +0      -1.34    33.78     0.33    60.78    11.67    -2.25     0.58     1.62    11.90     3.68P    7.32R    1.30  
Hull             4    4   -2      -1.62    29.97    -2.15    60.86    11.64    -4.46     0.54     1.73    11.50     3.71P    7.34R    1.32  
Sheff_Wed        4    4   -2      -1.20    35.18    -1.45    63.07    11.47    -0.00     0.84     2.39    15.01     5.18P    4.60R    0.74  
Preston          4    4   -2      -1.61    29.36    -2.24    62.52    11.21    -0.60     0.65     1.99    13.62     4.60P    4.78R    0.69  
Rotherham        4    3   -6      -0.51    43.31    -2.18    41.04    11.28   -42.04     0.01     0.02     0.31     0.07P   62.15R   30.59  
Birmingham       4    2   -2      -1.89    24.80     0.37    44.60    10.41   -25.25     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.08P   47.87R   16.61  
Ipswich          4    2   -3      -2.99    13.80    -2.22    54.10    11.12   -11.88     0.06     0.28     3.49     0.90P   17.32R    3.73  
Stoke            4    2   -5      -3.42    11.39    -4.87    65.48    12.26     4.04     1.82     4.60    22.14     9.03P    3.93R    0.62  
Reading          4    1   -3      -3.76     7.94    -1.80    47.24    10.93   -22.27     0.02     0.07     0.92     0.21P   37.86R   12.04  
QPR              4    0  -11      -3.80     4.37    -7.88    43.07    11.03   -37.11     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.07P   54.87R   23.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Gillingham 1 4 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          4   12   +7       5.47    97.43     5.38    79.10    11.58    21.28    11.14    26.71    70.92    38.13P    0.43R    0.03  
Portsmouth            4   12   +6       5.81    98.08     4.94    73.53    11.26    11.82     4.56    13.14    52.35    22.10P    1.29R    0.09  
Barnsley              4   10  +10       2.15    78.85     6.36    88.18    11.93    41.43    36.36    60.21    89.71    70.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland            4   10   +7       2.69    83.92     4.15    88.54    12.09    39.72    37.16    60.67    90.06    70.70P    0.08R    0.00  
Walsall               4   10   +4       4.36    94.55     3.75    66.68    11.27     2.52     1.34     4.68    28.99     9.59P    5.36R    0.56  
Fleetwood_Town        4    7   +6       0.73    60.73     4.85    68.55    11.43    11.80     2.21     6.75    36.23    13.92P    3.74R    0.33  
Doncaster             4    7   +3       1.14    66.66     2.39    64.71    11.18     3.32     0.91     3.37    23.68     8.00P    7.04R    0.87  
Accrington_Stanley    4    7   +0       1.98    76.88     0.70    56.46    11.76   -12.64     0.23     0.97     8.75     2.45P   25.14R    5.47  
Gillingham            4    6   +0       1.00    63.93     0.82    60.87    11.35    -4.33     0.47     1.77    14.90     4.49P   13.42R    2.04  
Bradford              4    6   -2       1.08    65.57    -1.21    63.10    11.10    -2.48     0.57     2.25    19.21     5.92P    9.33R    1.25  
Blackpool             4    5   +1      -0.87    38.78     0.37    62.01    11.05     0.53     0.46     1.85    16.84     5.39P   10.46R    1.31  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    5   -1       0.42    58.73     0.26    55.93    10.58    -9.62     0.09     0.42     5.92     1.58P   23.94R    4.18  
Southend              4    4   -1      -1.55    30.36    -1.11    61.11    11.39    -2.01     0.47     1.87    15.69     5.04P   13.25R    2.04  
Charlton              4    4   -1      -1.32    33.29    -0.73    65.85    11.21     5.43     1.00     3.79    27.07     9.84P    5.93R    0.69  
Luton                 4    4   -1      -0.70    42.76     0.26    62.01    12.12    -0.37     0.72     2.54    19.20     6.51P   13.10R    2.30  
Coventry              4    4   -2      -0.67    42.47    -0.99    50.97    11.13   -16.60     0.04     0.22     3.11     0.84P   41.47R   11.42  
Rochdale              4    4   -6      -0.30    48.81    -4.06    57.36    11.26   -12.75     0.19     0.73     8.86     2.37P   21.70R    4.22  
Scunthorpe            4    4   -7      -1.46    31.32    -6.89    65.50    11.45    -1.28     1.09     3.83    25.97     9.47P    6.94R    0.90  
Bristol_Rovers        4    3   -2      -2.33    19.58    -1.67    55.73    11.29   -10.18     0.12     0.58     7.35     1.89P   25.78R    5.22  
Burton_Albion         4    3   -3      -2.44    18.88    -3.00    58.17    11.80    -6.23     0.34     1.35    11.23     3.73P   20.27R    4.14  
Plymouth              4    2   -2      -3.66     9.02    -2.29    54.11    11.02    -9.93     0.08     0.41     5.19     1.47P   29.86R    6.45  
Shrewsbury            4    2   -2      -3.50     9.71    -2.14    61.29    10.96     1.08     0.44     1.73    15.12     5.10P   11.46R    1.59  
Wycombe               4    2   -4      -2.24    21.52    -2.16    43.80    11.23   -28.73     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.15P   66.45R   31.84  
Oxford_Utd            4    0  -10      -4.31     2.82    -7.99    50.50    11.25   -21.75     0.02     0.14     2.84     0.62P   43.49R   13.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            4   10   +6       3.16    88.32     3.96    78.43    11.22    22.77    17.31    42.63    73.21    50.89P    0.07R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      4   10   +5       3.95    92.99     4.14    74.93    11.06    16.23     9.98    29.99    61.66    37.91P    0.21R    0.05  
Colchester        4    8   +8       1.65    73.22     6.66    75.64    10.99    23.25    11.41    33.03    65.17    41.81P    0.14R    0.03  
Stevenage         4    8   +3       1.63    72.72     1.70    66.28    11.15     3.80     2.52    10.21    31.71    14.72P    1.59R    0.45  
MK_Dons           4    8   +2       1.36    69.26     0.25    79.99    11.69    23.88    21.84    48.06    76.26    56.72P    0.08R    0.03  
Carlisle          4    7   +0       1.28    68.84    -0.31    69.19    11.20     6.96     4.05    15.30    41.22    21.37P    0.85R    0.24  
Swindon           4    7   -1       0.40    57.41    -2.81    69.32    11.70     5.86     4.90    16.55    41.91    22.59P    1.08R    0.30  
Newport_County    4    7   -1       2.16    80.27     0.00    60.97    10.87    -6.45     0.75     3.87    16.42     6.33P    4.36R    1.43  
Forest_Green      4    6   +3       1.42    69.77     4.39    56.64    10.97    -8.83     0.26     1.84     9.26     3.17P    9.23R    3.40  
Mansfield         4    6   +3      -0.32    44.68     1.75    72.00    11.06    15.83     6.69    22.02    51.66    30.09P    0.39R    0.09  
Port_Vale         4    6   +1       0.72    60.23     1.32    62.67    10.88    -0.30     1.00     5.45    20.58     8.55P    2.96R    0.87  
Yeovil            4    5   +3       0.43    58.66     4.38    60.45    11.04    -0.58     0.74     3.94    16.21     6.44P    4.78R    1.58  
Oldham            4    5   +1      -1.81    25.73    -1.08    73.35    11.81    17.38     9.15    27.13    56.49    36.03P    0.46R    0.14  
Tranmere          4    5   +0       0.35    57.59     1.34    56.05    11.57   -10.00     0.44     2.20     9.55     3.67P   11.20R    4.48  
Grimsby           4    5   -1       0.15    54.16    -0.02    53.30    10.60   -15.10     0.11     0.76     4.87     1.47P   14.49R    5.43  
Crewe             4    4   -1      -0.98    38.16    -0.10    58.20    11.32    -7.47     0.49     2.80    12.41     4.58P    7.80R    2.97  
Bury              4    4   -1      -1.88    24.80    -1.65    68.60    11.92     9.69     4.37    15.80    40.61    22.76P    1.41R    0.45  
Crawley_Town      4    4   -2      -0.98    38.53    -1.21    55.32    10.87   -12.08     0.21     1.38     7.23     2.53P   11.12R    4.30  
Cambridge_Utd     4    4   -4      -1.02    37.77    -3.28    60.57    11.03    -5.76     0.73     3.71    15.99     6.47P    4.95R    1.77  
Morecambe         4    3   -8      -0.98    36.50    -5.72    47.99    10.31   -27.04     0.02     0.15     1.52     0.35P   29.96R   13.91  
Northampton       4    2   -2      -3.97     7.67    -2.71    64.17    12.09     4.93     2.23     9.16    27.68    14.16P    3.36R    1.19  
Cheltenham        4    1   -3      -4.58     4.39    -3.12    51.42    10.90   -14.63     0.10     0.60     3.99     1.29P   19.10R    7.85  
Macclesfield      4    1   -5      -2.75    14.53    -1.92    39.01    10.76   -36.96     0.01     0.03     0.34     0.08P   64.21R   46.76  
Notts_County      4    1   -6      -4.48     4.91    -5.98    59.31    11.21    -5.39     0.69     3.35    14.06     6.04P    6.17R    2.25  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.63    96.97     7.19    76.85    10.50    19.60    12.97    57.26    24.39P    0.40R    0.02  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.60    92.60     6.19    63.52    10.53     0.60     1.31    14.18     3.64P    8.20R    0.71  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.41    78.15     4.27    78.18    11.14    24.19    17.78    62.15    29.62P    0.52R    0.04  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.34    86.34     1.73    71.23    10.99     9.18     5.87    36.52    12.76P    2.39R    0.18  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.56    79.82     2.06    70.99    10.99    10.32     5.89    35.80    12.83P    2.34R    0.15  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.77    89.24     2.02    60.09    10.55    -7.94     0.57     8.16     1.78P   15.33R    1.64  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.31    85.27     5.74    61.42    12.27    -2.05     1.78    14.01     4.19P   15.85R    2.48  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.16    46.31    -0.72    82.64    11.64    30.63    32.66    74.73    46.76P    0.24R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.95    61.10     0.23    70.74    10.88    10.59     5.38    35.07    12.86P    2.41R    0.15  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.68    59.85     2.69    68.34    10.72     9.96     3.31    27.32     9.14P    3.58R    0.24  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.44    56.83     1.39    61.47    10.78    -1.68     0.81    11.02     2.87P   12.33R    1.29  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.76    73.22     2.67    54.02    12.23   -15.03     0.40     5.01     1.20P   35.34R    8.49  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.05    64.82    -0.64    54.32    10.59   -15.72     0.16     3.05     0.62P   31.76R    5.83  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.76    28.63    -1.38    60.22    10.75    -2.75     0.72     9.15     2.60P   14.71R    1.58  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.20    48.03    -0.97    58.77    10.97    -7.72     0.49     7.52     1.85P   19.27R    2.81  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.08    26.35    -1.24    63.73    10.94     2.85     1.46    15.82     4.73P    8.99R    0.89  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.04    53.72     0.26    47.18    11.97   -27.11     0.10     1.70     0.39P   57.92R   20.48  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.69    29.92    -2.97    63.05    10.45     0.44     1.03    12.99     3.83P    8.95R    0.75  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.94    16.83    -5.18    65.90    11.01     3.71     2.30    20.64     7.04P    6.48R    0.52  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.87    17.53    -5.02    62.33    10.66    -1.30     0.86    12.02     3.52P   10.65R    1.17  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.16    13.73    -1.01    42.13    11.45   -29.73     0.01     0.50     0.10P   72.91R   35.79  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.51     1.32    -8.54    66.64    11.52     6.79     3.26    23.73     9.68P    6.38R    0.64  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.41     1.27    -4.96    60.06    11.26     0.14     0.81    10.13     3.21P   16.06R    2.31  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.49     5.66    -3.83    50.03    10.87   -17.95     0.06     1.53     0.38P   46.99R   11.83