Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 22 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 2 6 +7 1.35 74.97 2.68 90.14 8.35 74.61 66.55 86.30 94.48 98.02 99.83 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 2 6 +6 1.52 76.61 2.79 78.37 9.52 46.61 12.74 38.61 60.92 78.03 95.47 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 2 6 +4 1.90 81.28 1.82 74.25 9.63 35.21 5.73 21.83 41.97 62.96 90.53 0.00 0.00 Watford 2 6 +4 3.21 93.59 3.90 46.81 9.44 -13.43 0.00 0.03 0.20 0.78 5.80 7.98R 1.19 Tottenham 2 6 +3 1.53 77.44 -0.14 77.95 9.31 40.99 11.21 35.46 58.64 76.71 95.41 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 2 6 +3 2.89 90.69 2.48 48.73 9.70 -11.27 0.01 0.10 0.48 1.39 8.57 5.90R 0.82 Everton 2 4 +1 0.78 68.33 0.31 52.35 9.83 -2.97 0.02 0.30 1.06 2.97 15.80 2.86R 0.32 Leicester 2 3 +1 0.38 55.59 1.27 52.32 9.98 -1.71 0.06 0.29 1.13 3.15 16.09 3.06R 0.40 Man_Utd 2 3 +0 -1.08 25.80 -2.03 70.59 9.41 28.52 2.69 11.55 26.69 46.24 83.79 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 2 3 +0 0.76 63.76 0.89 47.19 9.49 -10.50 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.85 6.15 7.44R 1.10 Brighton 2 3 -1 1.12 71.29 0.24 42.09 9.17 -19.35 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.16 1.99 17.72R 3.42 Newcastle 2 1 -1 -1.29 29.88 -0.33 45.76 9.41 -9.57 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.54 4.66 9.25R 1.44 Southampton 2 1 -1 -1.56 24.91 -0.72 44.31 9.36 -12.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.35 3.38 12.25R 2.24 Wolverhampton 2 1 -2 -1.09 35.92 -0.88 38.25 9.85 -25.30 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.10 1.16 32.26R 9.48 Burnley 2 1 -2 -1.75 21.53 -2.08 43.36 9.15 -13.38 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.27 2.45 13.67R 2.51 Cardiff 2 1 -2 -1.16 33.28 -1.14 35.19 9.43 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.52 44.45R 14.85 Arsenal 2 0 -3 -1.94 14.50 -1.53 65.49 10.07 24.00 0.98 5.42 13.83 27.17 66.11 0.13R 0.01 Fulham 2 0 -4 -1.67 15.88 -1.60 35.63 9.90 -32.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.74 43.57R 15.58 West_Ham 2 0 -5 -1.88 13.56 -2.94 40.20 9.57 -24.18 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.16 1.54 24.97R 6.26 Huddersfield 2 0 -8 -0.65 32.28 -2.97 28.38 8.26 -45.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 74.47R 40.38Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Aston_Villa 2 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 4 10 +7 4.15 94.49 6.35 72.32 11.71 13.92 5.18 11.54 40.89 17.56P 0.82R 0.08 Middlesbrough 4 10 +6 2.73 85.21 3.32 83.09 11.18 29.76 21.98 38.82 76.59 50.21P 0.06R 0.00 Bolton 4 10 +3 5.56 98.31 4.78 53.51 10.53 -19.35 0.06 0.23 2.65 0.58P 18.21R 3.80 Brentford 4 8 +6 1.63 72.40 4.45 74.70 11.63 20.16 7.29 15.83 49.70 23.87P 0.45R 0.02 Aston_Villa 4 8 +3 1.55 70.74 1.56 78.59 11.27 23.30 11.77 23.84 62.68 34.35P 0.14R 0.01 Swansea 4 8 +2 1.24 66.84 0.13 76.62 12.11 18.92 10.30 20.61 55.38 30.08P 0.42R 0.05 West_Brom 4 7 +6 -0.97 35.71 1.88 81.71 12.19 33.33 20.92 35.90 71.55 47.13P 0.11R 0.01 Wigan 4 7 +3 0.85 62.93 1.98 75.53 12.46 20.26 9.51 18.97 51.91 27.78P 0.63R 0.08 Blackburn 4 6 +1 0.08 50.41 0.39 63.44 12.21 0.45 1.40 3.53 17.77 6.68P 5.21R 0.84 Nott'm_Forest 4 6 +1 1.37 69.03 2.47 58.65 11.24 -7.38 0.29 0.93 7.84 2.15P 9.56R 1.68 Derby 4 6 -1 -0.55 41.24 -2.63 71.48 11.51 11.21 4.14 9.65 38.22 16.88P 0.90R 0.09 Sheff_Utd 4 6 -2 0.78 60.57 -1.54 63.10 11.56 -3.52 0.81 2.44 15.35 4.97P 4.95R 0.75 Bristol_City 4 5 +1 -1.01 36.86 0.19 63.13 11.69 1.04 0.94 2.66 15.77 5.36P 4.97R 0.73 Millwall 4 5 +0 0.12 53.86 0.86 62.75 11.30 0.03 0.71 2.10 14.04 4.68P 4.79R 0.74 Norwich 4 4 +0 -1.33 34.03 0.36 60.80 11.58 -2.39 0.55 1.60 11.74 3.55P 7.00R 1.29 Hull 4 4 -2 -1.63 30.14 -2.17 60.97 11.72 -4.25 0.63 1.81 12.20 4.06P 7.27R 1.23 Sheff_Wed 4 4 -2 -1.18 35.55 -1.44 62.70 11.37 -0.55 0.75 2.08 14.14 4.67P 5.07R 0.81 Preston 4 4 -2 -1.63 28.96 -2.26 62.30 11.16 -0.86 0.67 1.93 12.96 4.32P 4.87R 0.66 Rotherham 4 3 -6 -0.56 42.81 -2.26 41.12 11.36 -41.86 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.08P 61.98R 30.85 Birmingham 4 2 -2 -1.94 24.08 0.31 44.69 10.33 -25.01 0.00 0.02 0.37 0.07P 47.85R 16.13 Ipswich 4 2 -3 -2.99 13.70 -2.23 54.28 11.20 -11.63 0.10 0.33 3.83 1.00P 17.49R 3.91 Stoke 4 2 -5 -3.45 11.21 -4.89 65.57 12.51 4.14 1.99 5.06 22.77 9.70P 4.29R 0.83 Reading 4 1 -3 -3.76 8.16 -1.77 47.33 10.96 -22.26 0.01 0.08 0.99 0.22P 37.82R 11.88 QPR 4 0 -11 -3.79 4.40 -7.86 42.96 10.95 -37.43 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.06P 55.15R 23.52League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Gillingham 1 4 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 4 12 +7 5.47 97.41 5.38 79.07 11.62 21.23 11.08 26.90 70.43 38.01P 0.43R 0.02 Portsmouth 4 12 +6 5.82 98.16 4.95 73.32 11.21 11.51 4.29 12.77 51.46 21.67P 1.29R 0.08 Barnsley 4 10 +10 2.14 79.22 6.35 88.30 11.98 41.62 36.39 60.28 90.09 70.72P 0.05R 0.01 Sunderland 4 10 +7 2.67 83.89 4.15 88.73 12.02 40.01 37.67 61.15 90.51 71.37P 0.07R 0.00 Walsall 4 10 +4 4.34 94.54 3.73 66.78 11.29 2.68 1.27 4.62 29.52 9.75P 5.25R 0.59 Fleetwood_Town 4 7 +6 0.71 60.58 4.81 68.72 11.33 12.05 2.16 6.88 36.53 14.19P 3.55R 0.35 Doncaster 4 7 +3 1.14 66.59 2.39 64.67 11.15 3.28 0.87 3.20 23.66 7.83P 7.04R 0.82 Accrington_Stanley 4 7 +0 2.02 77.11 0.77 56.07 11.74 -13.11 0.24 0.88 8.40 2.37P 26.20R 5.76 Gillingham 4 6 +0 1.02 64.18 0.82 60.90 11.21 -4.25 0.40 1.61 14.71 4.22P 13.03R 1.96 Bradford 4 6 -2 1.06 65.22 -1.27 63.38 11.16 -2.03 0.64 2.48 19.85 6.38P 8.92R 1.15 Blackpool 4 5 +1 -0.85 39.08 0.40 61.98 11.06 0.48 0.47 1.92 16.86 5.26P 10.55R 1.27 AFC_Wimbledon 4 5 -1 0.45 59.30 0.30 55.66 10.57 -10.01 0.08 0.39 5.85 1.45P 24.41R 4.31 Southend 4 4 -1 -1.53 30.65 -1.08 60.94 11.35 -2.31 0.43 1.78 15.20 4.82P 13.10R 2.04 Charlton 4 4 -1 -1.32 33.10 -0.75 65.96 11.14 5.61 0.98 3.71 26.95 9.53P 5.62R 0.69 Luton 4 4 -1 -0.73 42.27 0.23 62.07 12.14 -0.30 0.72 2.60 19.09 6.60P 13.06R 2.20 Coventry 4 4 -2 -0.66 42.69 -0.96 50.84 11.25 -16.85 0.05 0.23 3.30 0.82P 41.94R 11.61 Rochdale 4 4 -6 -0.30 48.84 -4.08 57.61 11.28 -12.42 0.18 0.84 9.17 2.46P 21.34R 4.09 Scunthorpe 4 4 -7 -1.47 31.29 -6.90 65.63 11.47 -1.08 1.11 3.82 26.12 9.42P 6.90R 0.87 Bristol_Rovers 4 3 -2 -2.32 19.79 -1.65 55.62 11.44 -10.33 0.13 0.64 7.34 2.05P 26.43R 5.49 Burton_Albion 4 3 -3 -2.46 18.81 -3.02 58.38 11.79 -5.95 0.35 1.25 11.62 3.93P 19.63R 3.85 Plymouth 4 2 -2 -3.65 9.16 -2.27 54.06 10.93 -10.04 0.06 0.30 4.89 1.27P 29.62R 6.29 Shrewsbury 4 2 -2 -3.51 9.60 -2.15 61.31 10.85 1.07 0.40 1.55 14.87 4.96P 11.14R 1.47 Wycombe 4 2 -4 -2.24 21.48 -2.16 43.68 11.20 -28.93 0.01 0.04 0.81 0.21P 66.88R 31.61 Oxford_Utd 4 0 -10 -4.30 2.88 -7.98 50.41 11.32 -21.94 0.03 0.16 2.77 0.72P 43.56R 13.47League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Carlisle 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 4 10 +6 3.13 88.11 3.92 78.58 11.24 22.99 17.18 42.72 73.17 50.86P 0.06R 0.01 Lincoln_City 4 10 +5 3.93 92.83 4.12 75.26 11.13 16.68 10.54 30.72 62.89 38.73P 0.20R 0.06 Colchester 4 8 +8 1.68 73.47 6.68 75.50 11.08 23.08 11.19 32.56 64.43 41.17P 0.15R 0.03 Stevenage 4 8 +3 1.64 72.60 1.70 66.31 11.17 3.89 2.37 10.08 31.57 14.76P 1.47R 0.42 MK_Dons 4 8 +2 1.32 68.68 0.22 80.16 11.69 24.19 22.04 48.72 76.75 57.50P 0.10R 0.03 Carlisle 4 7 +0 1.27 68.76 -0.31 69.37 11.35 7.17 4.29 15.56 41.88 21.63P 0.92R 0.28 Swindon 4 7 -1 0.45 58.09 -2.76 68.92 11.46 5.26 4.25 15.31 40.21 21.18P 0.99R 0.25 Newport_County 4 7 -1 2.15 80.45 -0.01 60.86 10.90 -6.65 0.75 3.80 16.01 6.15P 4.35R 1.41 Forest_Green 4 6 +3 1.41 69.78 4.40 56.75 11.01 -8.61 0.30 1.93 9.50 3.25P 9.06R 3.35 Mansfield 4 6 +3 -0.32 44.51 1.76 72.13 11.01 16.03 6.46 22.03 52.41 30.48P 0.35R 0.07 Port_Vale 4 6 +1 0.69 59.89 1.29 62.90 11.03 0.04 1.19 5.68 21.55 9.06P 2.88R 0.84 Yeovil 4 5 +3 0.42 58.63 4.39 60.18 11.08 -1.04 0.65 3.63 15.69 6.04P 5.14R 1.77 Oldham 4 5 +1 -1.82 25.66 -1.12 73.41 11.95 17.46 9.39 27.54 56.29 36.38P 0.43R 0.11 Tranmere 4 5 +0 0.30 56.69 1.28 56.31 11.62 -9.58 0.39 2.22 9.95 3.72P 10.85R 4.28 Grimsby 4 5 -1 0.15 54.39 -0.03 53.41 10.64 -15.02 0.10 0.78 5.03 1.54P 14.20R 5.39 Crewe 4 4 -1 -0.94 38.94 -0.06 57.99 11.37 -7.83 0.50 2.75 12.07 4.60P 7.88R 2.87 Bury 4 4 -1 -1.84 25.55 -1.61 68.41 12.02 9.40 4.41 15.24 39.68 21.93P 1.46R 0.47 Crawley_Town 4 4 -2 -0.96 38.73 -1.19 55.32 10.88 -12.20 0.21 1.35 7.27 2.47P 11.26R 4.31 Cambridge_Utd 4 4 -4 -0.98 38.12 -3.24 60.43 11.05 -5.95 0.70 3.56 15.66 6.16P 5.10R 1.80 Morecambe 4 3 -8 -1.02 35.81 -5.76 48.15 10.32 -26.74 0.02 0.19 1.52 0.41P 28.92R 13.13 Northampton 4 2 -2 -3.98 7.53 -2.71 64.43 12.21 5.34 2.38 9.73 28.26 14.82P 3.31R 1.10 Cheltenham 4 1 -3 -4.57 4.52 -3.14 51.46 10.87 -14.49 0.11 0.66 3.94 1.34P 18.85R 7.70 Macclesfield 4 1 -5 -2.72 14.88 -1.85 38.50 10.58 -37.75 0.00 0.02 0.25 0.07P 65.81R 48.08 Notts_County 4 1 -6 -4.49 4.73 -5.99 59.13 11.26 -5.68 0.57 3.21 14.02 5.75P 6.26R 2.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 5 13 +8 5.63 96.94 7.17 76.90 10.36 19.68 12.63 57.40 24.12P 0.38R 0.01 Halifax 5 12 +7 4.57 92.43 6.13 63.50 10.56 0.52 1.34 14.14 3.74P 8.30R 0.65 AFC_Fylde 5 11 +7 2.42 78.28 4.27 78.38 11.16 24.48 17.73 62.29 29.61P 0.44R 0.03 Sutton_United 5 11 +3 3.34 86.29 1.70 71.44 10.95 9.51 6.16 36.57 13.13P 2.09R 0.11 Gateshead 5 10 +3 2.50 79.34 1.97 71.66 10.88 11.39 6.23 38.00 13.52P 1.94R 0.10 Solihull_Moors 5 10 +1 3.74 89.11 1.98 60.19 10.59 -7.88 0.58 8.42 1.87P 14.88R 1.64 Harrogate_Town 5 9 +4 3.34 85.51 5.80 61.43 12.35 -2.08 1.73 13.95 4.19P 15.92R 2.47 Chesterfield 5 9 +3 -0.19 45.86 -0.77 82.76 11.78 30.81 32.96 74.92 46.85P 0.26R 0.03 Leyton_Orient 5 9 +2 0.94 60.83 0.22 70.42 10.86 10.09 5.01 33.40 12.01P 2.51R 0.16 Ebbsfleet_United 5 7 +2 0.67 59.89 2.68 68.23 10.76 9.79 3.23 26.51 8.93P 3.66R 0.23 Barrow 5 7 +1 0.45 56.99 1.41 61.38 10.89 -1.82 0.85 10.92 2.91P 12.60R 1.36 Salford_City 5 7 +0 1.82 73.90 2.75 53.52 12.01 -15.79 0.35 4.25 1.10P 36.82R 8.51 Maidstone_United 5 7 -2 1.11 65.47 -0.54 53.92 10.59 -16.38 0.14 2.87 0.60P 32.84R 5.86 Hartlepool 5 6 +0 -1.79 28.24 -1.41 60.46 10.77 -2.42 0.76 9.54 2.67P 14.01R 1.50 Eastleigh 5 6 -2 -0.18 48.31 -0.92 58.73 10.99 -7.84 0.50 7.32 1.79P 18.93R 2.62 Bromley 5 5 -1 -2.11 25.63 -1.29 64.14 11.06 3.51 1.63 16.72 5.16P 8.52R 0.87 Havant_&_Wville 5 5 -3 0.09 54.55 0.35 46.76 12.13 -28.00 0.09 1.50 0.31P 58.77R 21.85 Boreham_Wood 5 5 -3 -1.71 29.77 -2.97 62.96 10.50 0.32 0.88 12.75 3.70P 9.18R 0.80 Dover_Athletic 5 4 -5 -2.95 17.05 -5.17 66.08 11.17 4.01 2.40 21.19 7.14P 6.49R 0.61 Aldershot 5 4 -5 -2.92 17.08 -5.09 62.64 10.71 -0.82 0.96 12.51 3.70P 10.01R 1.06 Braintree_Town 5 2 -4 -3.15 13.98 -1.00 41.97 11.28 -29.93 0.01 0.38 0.07P 73.47R 35.46 Barnet 5 2 -6 -6.48 1.43 -8.49 66.32 11.55 6.32 2.96 22.93 9.41P 6.60R 0.66 Dag_&_Red 5 1 -4 -6.44 1.24 -4.99 60.29 11.15 0.48 0.82 10.03 3.12P 14.99R 2.04 Maidenhead 5 1 -6 -4.45 5.97 -3.78 50.09 10.80 -17.96 0.05 1.48 0.35P 46.40R 11.36