Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.35    74.97     2.68    90.14     8.35    74.61    66.55    86.30    94.48    98.02    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +6       1.52    76.61     2.79    78.37     9.52    46.61    12.74    38.61    60.92    78.03    95.47     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.90    81.28     1.82    74.25     9.63    35.21     5.73    21.83    41.97    62.96    90.53     0.00     0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.21    93.59     3.90    46.81     9.44   -13.43     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.78     5.80     7.98R    1.19  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.53    77.44    -0.14    77.95     9.31    40.99    11.21    35.46    58.64    76.71    95.41     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.89    90.69     2.48    48.73     9.70   -11.27     0.01     0.10     0.48     1.39     8.57     5.90R    0.82  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.78    68.33     0.31    52.35     9.83    -2.97     0.02     0.30     1.06     2.97    15.80     2.86R    0.32  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.38    55.59     1.27    52.32     9.98    -1.71     0.06     0.29     1.13     3.15    16.09     3.06R    0.40  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.08    25.80    -2.03    70.59     9.41    28.52     2.69    11.55    26.69    46.24    83.79     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.76    63.76     0.89    47.19     9.49   -10.50     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.85     6.15     7.44R    1.10  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.12    71.29     0.24    42.09     9.17   -19.35     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.99    17.72R    3.42  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.29    29.88    -0.33    45.76     9.41    -9.57     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.54     4.66     9.25R    1.44  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.56    24.91    -0.72    44.31     9.36   -12.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.35     3.38    12.25R    2.24  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.09    35.92    -0.88    38.25     9.85   -25.30     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.16    32.26R    9.48  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.75    21.53    -2.08    43.36     9.15   -13.38     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.27     2.45    13.67R    2.51  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.16    33.28    -1.14    35.19     9.43   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.52    44.45R   14.85  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.94    14.50    -1.53    65.49    10.07    24.00     0.98     5.42    13.83    27.17    66.11     0.13R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.67    15.88    -1.60    35.63     9.90   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.74    43.57R   15.58  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.88    13.56    -2.94    40.20     9.57   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.54    24.97R    6.26  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.65    32.28    -2.97    28.38     8.26   -45.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.47R   40.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Aston_Villa 2 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     4   10   +7       4.15    94.49     6.35    72.32    11.71    13.92     5.18    11.54    40.89    17.56P    0.82R    0.08  
Middlesbrough    4   10   +6       2.73    85.21     3.32    83.09    11.18    29.76    21.98    38.82    76.59    50.21P    0.06R    0.00  
Bolton           4   10   +3       5.56    98.31     4.78    53.51    10.53   -19.35     0.06     0.23     2.65     0.58P   18.21R    3.80  
Brentford        4    8   +6       1.63    72.40     4.45    74.70    11.63    20.16     7.29    15.83    49.70    23.87P    0.45R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      4    8   +3       1.55    70.74     1.56    78.59    11.27    23.30    11.77    23.84    62.68    34.35P    0.14R    0.01  
Swansea          4    8   +2       1.24    66.84     0.13    76.62    12.11    18.92    10.30    20.61    55.38    30.08P    0.42R    0.05  
West_Brom        4    7   +6      -0.97    35.71     1.88    81.71    12.19    33.33    20.92    35.90    71.55    47.13P    0.11R    0.01  
Wigan            4    7   +3       0.85    62.93     1.98    75.53    12.46    20.26     9.51    18.97    51.91    27.78P    0.63R    0.08  
Blackburn        4    6   +1       0.08    50.41     0.39    63.44    12.21     0.45     1.40     3.53    17.77     6.68P    5.21R    0.84  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.37    69.03     2.47    58.65    11.24    -7.38     0.29     0.93     7.84     2.15P    9.56R    1.68  
Derby            4    6   -1      -0.55    41.24    -2.63    71.48    11.51    11.21     4.14     9.65    38.22    16.88P    0.90R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.78    60.57    -1.54    63.10    11.56    -3.52     0.81     2.44    15.35     4.97P    4.95R    0.75  
Bristol_City     4    5   +1      -1.01    36.86     0.19    63.13    11.69     1.04     0.94     2.66    15.77     5.36P    4.97R    0.73  
Millwall         4    5   +0       0.12    53.86     0.86    62.75    11.30     0.03     0.71     2.10    14.04     4.68P    4.79R    0.74  
Norwich          4    4   +0      -1.33    34.03     0.36    60.80    11.58    -2.39     0.55     1.60    11.74     3.55P    7.00R    1.29  
Hull             4    4   -2      -1.63    30.14    -2.17    60.97    11.72    -4.25     0.63     1.81    12.20     4.06P    7.27R    1.23  
Sheff_Wed        4    4   -2      -1.18    35.55    -1.44    62.70    11.37    -0.55     0.75     2.08    14.14     4.67P    5.07R    0.81  
Preston          4    4   -2      -1.63    28.96    -2.26    62.30    11.16    -0.86     0.67     1.93    12.96     4.32P    4.87R    0.66  
Rotherham        4    3   -6      -0.56    42.81    -2.26    41.12    11.36   -41.86     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   61.98R   30.85  
Birmingham       4    2   -2      -1.94    24.08     0.31    44.69    10.33   -25.01     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.07P   47.85R   16.13  
Ipswich          4    2   -3      -2.99    13.70    -2.23    54.28    11.20   -11.63     0.10     0.33     3.83     1.00P   17.49R    3.91  
Stoke            4    2   -5      -3.45    11.21    -4.89    65.57    12.51     4.14     1.99     5.06    22.77     9.70P    4.29R    0.83  
Reading          4    1   -3      -3.76     8.16    -1.77    47.33    10.96   -22.26     0.01     0.08     0.99     0.22P   37.82R   11.88  
QPR              4    0  -11      -3.79     4.40    -7.86    42.96    10.95   -37.43     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.06P   55.15R   23.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Gillingham 1 4 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          4   12   +7       5.47    97.41     5.38    79.07    11.62    21.23    11.08    26.90    70.43    38.01P    0.43R    0.02  
Portsmouth            4   12   +6       5.82    98.16     4.95    73.32    11.21    11.51     4.29    12.77    51.46    21.67P    1.29R    0.08  
Barnsley              4   10  +10       2.14    79.22     6.35    88.30    11.98    41.62    36.39    60.28    90.09    70.72P    0.05R    0.01  
Sunderland            4   10   +7       2.67    83.89     4.15    88.73    12.02    40.01    37.67    61.15    90.51    71.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall               4   10   +4       4.34    94.54     3.73    66.78    11.29     2.68     1.27     4.62    29.52     9.75P    5.25R    0.59  
Fleetwood_Town        4    7   +6       0.71    60.58     4.81    68.72    11.33    12.05     2.16     6.88    36.53    14.19P    3.55R    0.35  
Doncaster             4    7   +3       1.14    66.59     2.39    64.67    11.15     3.28     0.87     3.20    23.66     7.83P    7.04R    0.82  
Accrington_Stanley    4    7   +0       2.02    77.11     0.77    56.07    11.74   -13.11     0.24     0.88     8.40     2.37P   26.20R    5.76  
Gillingham            4    6   +0       1.02    64.18     0.82    60.90    11.21    -4.25     0.40     1.61    14.71     4.22P   13.03R    1.96  
Bradford              4    6   -2       1.06    65.22    -1.27    63.38    11.16    -2.03     0.64     2.48    19.85     6.38P    8.92R    1.15  
Blackpool             4    5   +1      -0.85    39.08     0.40    61.98    11.06     0.48     0.47     1.92    16.86     5.26P   10.55R    1.27  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    5   -1       0.45    59.30     0.30    55.66    10.57   -10.01     0.08     0.39     5.85     1.45P   24.41R    4.31  
Southend              4    4   -1      -1.53    30.65    -1.08    60.94    11.35    -2.31     0.43     1.78    15.20     4.82P   13.10R    2.04  
Charlton              4    4   -1      -1.32    33.10    -0.75    65.96    11.14     5.61     0.98     3.71    26.95     9.53P    5.62R    0.69  
Luton                 4    4   -1      -0.73    42.27     0.23    62.07    12.14    -0.30     0.72     2.60    19.09     6.60P   13.06R    2.20  
Coventry              4    4   -2      -0.66    42.69    -0.96    50.84    11.25   -16.85     0.05     0.23     3.30     0.82P   41.94R   11.61  
Rochdale              4    4   -6      -0.30    48.84    -4.08    57.61    11.28   -12.42     0.18     0.84     9.17     2.46P   21.34R    4.09  
Scunthorpe            4    4   -7      -1.47    31.29    -6.90    65.63    11.47    -1.08     1.11     3.82    26.12     9.42P    6.90R    0.87  
Bristol_Rovers        4    3   -2      -2.32    19.79    -1.65    55.62    11.44   -10.33     0.13     0.64     7.34     2.05P   26.43R    5.49  
Burton_Albion         4    3   -3      -2.46    18.81    -3.02    58.38    11.79    -5.95     0.35     1.25    11.62     3.93P   19.63R    3.85  
Plymouth              4    2   -2      -3.65     9.16    -2.27    54.06    10.93   -10.04     0.06     0.30     4.89     1.27P   29.62R    6.29  
Shrewsbury            4    2   -2      -3.51     9.60    -2.15    61.31    10.85     1.07     0.40     1.55    14.87     4.96P   11.14R    1.47  
Wycombe               4    2   -4      -2.24    21.48    -2.16    43.68    11.20   -28.93     0.01     0.04     0.81     0.21P   66.88R   31.61  
Oxford_Utd            4    0  -10      -4.30     2.88    -7.98    50.41    11.32   -21.94     0.03     0.16     2.77     0.72P   43.56R   13.47  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Carlisle 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            4   10   +6       3.13    88.11     3.92    78.58    11.24    22.99    17.18    42.72    73.17    50.86P    0.06R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      4   10   +5       3.93    92.83     4.12    75.26    11.13    16.68    10.54    30.72    62.89    38.73P    0.20R    0.06  
Colchester        4    8   +8       1.68    73.47     6.68    75.50    11.08    23.08    11.19    32.56    64.43    41.17P    0.15R    0.03  
Stevenage         4    8   +3       1.64    72.60     1.70    66.31    11.17     3.89     2.37    10.08    31.57    14.76P    1.47R    0.42  
MK_Dons           4    8   +2       1.32    68.68     0.22    80.16    11.69    24.19    22.04    48.72    76.75    57.50P    0.10R    0.03  
Carlisle          4    7   +0       1.27    68.76    -0.31    69.37    11.35     7.17     4.29    15.56    41.88    21.63P    0.92R    0.28  
Swindon           4    7   -1       0.45    58.09    -2.76    68.92    11.46     5.26     4.25    15.31    40.21    21.18P    0.99R    0.25  
Newport_County    4    7   -1       2.15    80.45    -0.01    60.86    10.90    -6.65     0.75     3.80    16.01     6.15P    4.35R    1.41  
Forest_Green      4    6   +3       1.41    69.78     4.40    56.75    11.01    -8.61     0.30     1.93     9.50     3.25P    9.06R    3.35  
Mansfield         4    6   +3      -0.32    44.51     1.76    72.13    11.01    16.03     6.46    22.03    52.41    30.48P    0.35R    0.07  
Port_Vale         4    6   +1       0.69    59.89     1.29    62.90    11.03     0.04     1.19     5.68    21.55     9.06P    2.88R    0.84  
Yeovil            4    5   +3       0.42    58.63     4.39    60.18    11.08    -1.04     0.65     3.63    15.69     6.04P    5.14R    1.77  
Oldham            4    5   +1      -1.82    25.66    -1.12    73.41    11.95    17.46     9.39    27.54    56.29    36.38P    0.43R    0.11  
Tranmere          4    5   +0       0.30    56.69     1.28    56.31    11.62    -9.58     0.39     2.22     9.95     3.72P   10.85R    4.28  
Grimsby           4    5   -1       0.15    54.39    -0.03    53.41    10.64   -15.02     0.10     0.78     5.03     1.54P   14.20R    5.39  
Crewe             4    4   -1      -0.94    38.94    -0.06    57.99    11.37    -7.83     0.50     2.75    12.07     4.60P    7.88R    2.87  
Bury              4    4   -1      -1.84    25.55    -1.61    68.41    12.02     9.40     4.41    15.24    39.68    21.93P    1.46R    0.47  
Crawley_Town      4    4   -2      -0.96    38.73    -1.19    55.32    10.88   -12.20     0.21     1.35     7.27     2.47P   11.26R    4.31  
Cambridge_Utd     4    4   -4      -0.98    38.12    -3.24    60.43    11.05    -5.95     0.70     3.56    15.66     6.16P    5.10R    1.80  
Morecambe         4    3   -8      -1.02    35.81    -5.76    48.15    10.32   -26.74     0.02     0.19     1.52     0.41P   28.92R   13.13  
Northampton       4    2   -2      -3.98     7.53    -2.71    64.43    12.21     5.34     2.38     9.73    28.26    14.82P    3.31R    1.10  
Cheltenham        4    1   -3      -4.57     4.52    -3.14    51.46    10.87   -14.49     0.11     0.66     3.94     1.34P   18.85R    7.70  
Macclesfield      4    1   -5      -2.72    14.88    -1.85    38.50    10.58   -37.75     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.07P   65.81R   48.08  
Notts_County      4    1   -6      -4.49     4.73    -5.99    59.13    11.26    -5.68     0.57     3.21    14.02     5.75P    6.26R    2.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.63    96.94     7.17    76.90    10.36    19.68    12.63    57.40    24.12P    0.38R    0.01  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.57    92.43     6.13    63.50    10.56     0.52     1.34    14.14     3.74P    8.30R    0.65  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.42    78.28     4.27    78.38    11.16    24.48    17.73    62.29    29.61P    0.44R    0.03  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.34    86.29     1.70    71.44    10.95     9.51     6.16    36.57    13.13P    2.09R    0.11  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.50    79.34     1.97    71.66    10.88    11.39     6.23    38.00    13.52P    1.94R    0.10  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.74    89.11     1.98    60.19    10.59    -7.88     0.58     8.42     1.87P   14.88R    1.64  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.34    85.51     5.80    61.43    12.35    -2.08     1.73    13.95     4.19P   15.92R    2.47  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.19    45.86    -0.77    82.76    11.78    30.81    32.96    74.92    46.85P    0.26R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.94    60.83     0.22    70.42    10.86    10.09     5.01    33.40    12.01P    2.51R    0.16  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.67    59.89     2.68    68.23    10.76     9.79     3.23    26.51     8.93P    3.66R    0.23  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.45    56.99     1.41    61.38    10.89    -1.82     0.85    10.92     2.91P   12.60R    1.36  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.82    73.90     2.75    53.52    12.01   -15.79     0.35     4.25     1.10P   36.82R    8.51  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.11    65.47    -0.54    53.92    10.59   -16.38     0.14     2.87     0.60P   32.84R    5.86  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.79    28.24    -1.41    60.46    10.77    -2.42     0.76     9.54     2.67P   14.01R    1.50  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.18    48.31    -0.92    58.73    10.99    -7.84     0.50     7.32     1.79P   18.93R    2.62  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.11    25.63    -1.29    64.14    11.06     3.51     1.63    16.72     5.16P    8.52R    0.87  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.09    54.55     0.35    46.76    12.13   -28.00     0.09     1.50     0.31P   58.77R   21.85  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.71    29.77    -2.97    62.96    10.50     0.32     0.88    12.75     3.70P    9.18R    0.80  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.95    17.05    -5.17    66.08    11.17     4.01     2.40    21.19     7.14P    6.49R    0.61  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.92    17.08    -5.09    62.64    10.71    -0.82     0.96    12.51     3.70P   10.01R    1.06  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.15    13.98    -1.00    41.97    11.28   -29.93     0.01     0.38     0.07P   73.47R   35.46  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.48     1.43    -8.49    66.32    11.55     6.32     2.96    22.93     9.41P    6.60R    0.66  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.44     1.24    -4.99    60.29    11.15     0.48     0.82    10.03     3.12P   14.99R    2.04  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.45     5.97    -3.78    50.09    10.80   -17.96     0.05     1.48     0.35P   46.40R   11.36