Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.35    75.01     2.73    90.15     8.37    74.57    67.07    86.41    94.60    98.06    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +6       1.52    76.71     2.79    78.28     9.40    46.18    12.25    38.06    60.86    77.93    95.85     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.92    81.58     1.86    74.06     9.66    34.83     5.79    21.53    41.56    62.29    90.14     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.21    93.40     3.90    46.79     9.48   -13.50     0.01     0.05     0.22     0.79     5.76     8.24R    1.34  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.52    77.28    -0.16    77.87     9.34    40.79    11.05    35.68    58.39    76.39    95.41     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.89    90.85     2.48    48.78     9.57   -11.08     0.01     0.10     0.41     1.26     8.34     5.74R    0.82  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.79    68.31     0.30    52.15     9.70    -3.28     0.03     0.25     1.01     2.86    14.88     2.85R    0.38  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.38    55.72     1.27    52.45     9.94    -1.43     0.04     0.29     1.08     3.14    16.16     2.96R    0.40  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.09    25.55    -2.05    70.75     9.42    28.75     2.86    12.32    27.49    47.44    84.11     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.75    63.44     0.88    47.26     9.51   -10.24     0.00     0.04     0.23     0.89     6.20     7.39R    1.15  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.13    71.36     0.27    41.98     9.13   -19.63     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.87    18.13R    3.63  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.28    30.26    -0.32    45.70     9.39    -9.63     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.51     4.50     9.53R    1.61  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.55    24.93    -0.71    44.22     9.36   -12.09     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.37     3.35    12.28R    2.37  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.08    35.85    -0.87    38.18     9.75   -25.33     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     1.18    32.80R    9.58  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.76    21.49    -2.10    43.47     9.13   -13.13     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     2.64    13.49R    2.36  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.18    33.02    -1.15    35.41     9.36   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.46    43.43R   14.35  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.96    14.27    -1.57    65.55     9.96    23.94     0.88     5.20    13.72    27.28    67.13     0.11R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.64    16.06    -1.57    35.51     9.89   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.76    44.00R   15.73  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.89    13.47    -2.95    40.08     9.44   -24.23     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.44    24.87R    6.29  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.64    32.17    -3.02    28.57     8.25   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.16R   39.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Derby 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     4   10   +7       4.20    94.73     6.40    72.65    11.62    14.54     5.05    11.57    41.35    17.62P    0.66R    0.07  
Middlesbrough    4   10   +6       2.78    85.75     3.41    82.88    11.10    29.39    21.15    37.35    75.57    48.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          4    8   +2       1.26    67.09     0.16    76.99    12.04    19.67    10.71    21.16    55.95    30.88P    0.30R    0.03  
West_Brom        4    7   +6      -1.00    35.32     1.83    81.32    12.03    32.62    19.79    34.39    70.38    45.60P    0.13R    0.01  
Brentford        3    7   +6       1.78    80.17     4.11    74.47    11.99    19.20     7.39    15.90    48.00    23.43P    0.55R    0.06  
Aston_Villa      3    7   +3       2.16    82.34     1.92    79.43    11.52    23.99    14.02    26.97    64.64    37.41P    0.13R    0.01  
Bolton           3    7   +2       4.14    96.79     4.15    51.30    10.77   -21.63     0.04     0.14     1.82     0.34P   24.62R    5.76  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.33    68.42     2.38    58.00    11.12    -8.33     0.20     0.75     6.69     1.80P    9.82R    1.80  
Derby            4    6   -1      -0.53    41.20    -2.58    71.31    11.59    11.02     4.25     9.59    37.03    16.37P    0.99R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.78    60.40    -1.56    62.69    11.43    -4.18     0.74     2.12    14.02     4.28P    4.78R    0.74  
Bristol_City     4    5   +1      -1.08    35.71     0.08    63.14    11.62     1.13     0.92     2.57    15.70     5.42P    4.66R    0.73  
Millwall         3    5   +1       1.27    71.28     1.52    64.57    11.52     1.87     1.07     3.05    18.08     6.22P    3.48R    0.50  
Blackburn        3    5   +1       0.85    64.27     0.98    65.37    12.53     3.13     1.97     4.89    21.99     8.68P    4.24R    0.77  
Wigan            3    4   +0      -0.65    41.29    -0.80    70.18    12.70    11.19     4.58    10.02    34.95    16.26P    1.91R    0.29  
Preston          3    4   +0      -0.37    46.31    -0.46    65.47    11.41     3.81     1.28     3.54    19.75     7.15P    2.84R    0.37  
Hull             4    4   -2      -1.63    30.03    -2.17    60.97    11.62    -4.30     0.56     1.68    11.70     3.71P    6.91R    1.25  
Rotherham        4    3   -6      -0.51    43.50    -2.18    40.94    11.16   -42.26     0.01     0.02     0.28     0.06P   62.28R   30.91  
Birmingham       3    2   -1      -0.84    38.43     0.95    46.25    10.68   -23.89     0.01     0.02     0.59     0.13P   40.96R   13.09  
Stoke            3    2   -2      -2.21    18.68    -2.15    71.09    12.73    13.94     5.27    11.24    37.85    18.55P    1.70R    0.24  
Ipswich          4    2   -3      -2.98    13.73    -2.21    54.49    11.17   -11.26     0.12     0.35     3.83     1.08P   16.26R    3.50  
Norwich          3    1   -2      -2.73    14.68    -1.30    57.80    11.89    -6.67     0.35     1.02     7.84     2.40P   11.65R    2.55  
Sheff_Wed        3    1   -3      -2.63    15.13    -2.19    60.46    11.59    -2.48     0.51     1.59    10.84     3.64P    7.35R    1.28  
Reading          3    0   -3      -3.80     3.54    -2.45    46.68    11.07   -23.67     0.01     0.05     0.79     0.17P   39.86R   13.40  
QPR              4    0  -11      -3.77     4.43    -7.84    43.24    10.93   -36.85     0.00     0.03     0.36     0.08P   53.87R   22.53  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          4   12   +7       5.46    97.51     5.36    78.95    11.51    21.03    12.75    28.76    70.71    39.47P    0.44R    0.03  
Portsmouth            4   12   +6       5.83    98.19     4.96    73.38    11.27    11.73     5.35    14.34    51.68    22.72P    1.46R    0.10  
Barnsley              4   10  +10       2.18    79.60     6.41    87.89    11.75    40.83    39.60    61.35    89.95    71.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               4   10   +4       4.45    95.19     3.91    67.08    11.20     3.25     1.80     5.66    30.40    10.81P    4.80R    0.49  
Sunderland            3    7   +4       1.81    78.05     2.39    84.45    12.47    32.43    27.97    49.01    82.56    60.21P    0.23R    0.01  
Doncaster             4    7   +3       1.18    67.33     2.45    64.43    10.97     3.08     0.97     3.35    22.71     7.74P    7.18R    0.76  
Accrington_Stanley    4    7   +0       2.07    77.83     0.83    56.29    11.68   -12.69     0.26     1.01     8.52     2.52P   25.69R    5.75  
Gillingham            3    6   +3       1.83    75.72     2.90    64.01    11.41     1.64     1.10     3.65    22.51     7.69P    8.45R    1.13  
Bradford              4    6   -2       1.04    65.26    -1.31    63.58    10.97    -1.71     0.74     2.60    20.13     6.39P    8.56R    1.07  
Blackpool             4    5   +1      -0.84    39.47     0.41    61.90    11.00     0.54     0.58     2.13    16.80     5.50P   10.67R    1.37  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    5   -1       0.37    57.88     0.19    55.59    10.61    -9.92     0.09     0.48     6.05     1.55P   25.14R    4.71  
Fleetwood_Town        3    4   +1      -0.64    41.54     0.23    62.11    11.38    -0.17     0.75     2.56    17.83     5.86P   11.25R    1.61  
Southend              4    4   -1      -1.49    30.95    -1.04    60.88    11.23    -2.16     0.49     1.82    15.10     4.77P   13.57R    2.04  
Charlton              4    4   -1      -1.34    32.79    -0.80    65.49    11.17     5.07     1.23     3.99    26.20     9.59P    6.37R    0.70  
Luton                 4    4   -1      -0.78    41.44     0.11    61.86    11.99    -0.50     0.80     2.68    18.73     6.50P   13.09R    2.19  
Scunthorpe            3    4   -2      -0.34    46.65    -2.30    71.14    11.70    10.30     4.15    11.12    44.74    20.51P    2.82R    0.26  
Coventry              4    4   -2      -0.63    42.99    -0.95    51.42    11.08   -15.78     0.06     0.29     3.50     0.92P   39.98R   10.81  
Rochdale              4    4   -6      -0.38    47.49    -4.26    57.32    11.13   -12.71     0.19     0.75     8.73     2.35P   21.98R    4.17  
Bristol_Rovers        4    3   -2      -2.34    19.43    -1.66    55.74    11.15    -9.95     0.16     0.66     7.03     1.94P   26.03R    5.28  
Burton_Albion         4    3   -3      -2.41    18.69    -2.97    58.62    11.61    -5.46     0.38     1.40    11.89     3.96P   19.32R    3.79  
Plymouth              4    2   -2      -3.66     8.92    -2.30    54.29    10.92    -9.49     0.11     0.42     5.34     1.55P   29.04R    6.19  
Shrewsbury            4    2   -2      -3.52     9.45    -2.17    61.48    10.85     1.45     0.42     1.71    15.51     5.14P   11.07R    1.47  
Wycombe               4    2   -4      -2.22    21.55    -2.17    43.67    11.08   -28.65     0.01     0.05     0.84     0.20P   67.52R   32.35  
Oxford_Utd            4    0  -10      -4.44     2.50    -8.20    50.10    11.08   -22.15     0.04     0.20     2.56     0.71P   45.32R   13.72  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Carlisle 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            4   10   +6       3.16    88.40     3.97    78.57    11.21    23.01    17.23    42.70    73.44    51.08P    0.10R    0.03  
Lincoln_City      4   10   +5       3.95    93.05     4.14    75.20    11.10    16.64    10.30    30.67    62.55    38.64P    0.18R    0.04  
Colchester        4    8   +8       1.64    73.02     6.64    75.66    11.06    23.27    11.35    32.56    64.91    41.42P    0.10R    0.03  
Stevenage         4    8   +3       1.63    72.58     1.71    66.44    11.09     4.08     2.49    10.33    31.82    15.01P    1.43R    0.40  
MK_Dons           4    8   +2       1.33    68.89     0.21    80.27    11.71    24.30    22.40    48.90    77.02    57.38P    0.07R    0.01  
Carlisle          4    7   +0       1.29    68.96    -0.30    69.33    11.20     7.16     4.03    15.48    41.58    21.70P    0.86R    0.25  
Swindon           4    7   -1       0.43    57.74    -2.77    68.92    11.50     5.19     4.30    15.33    40.49    21.24P    1.03R    0.27  
Newport_County    4    7   -1       2.15    80.10    -0.01    61.06    10.89    -6.36     0.65     3.95    16.64     6.36P    3.94R    1.26  
Forest_Green      4    6   +3       1.42    69.85     4.41    56.65    10.88    -8.68     0.29     1.79     8.96     3.00P    8.89R    3.27  
Mansfield         4    6   +3      -0.29    45.00     1.80    72.10    11.11    15.93     6.55    22.10    52.13    30.38P    0.36R    0.08  
Port_Vale         4    6   +1       0.73    60.15     1.33    62.66    10.93    -0.33     1.03     5.42    20.93     8.72P    3.06R    0.87  
Yeovil            4    5   +3       0.44    58.75     4.41    60.23    11.12    -0.94     0.72     3.82    15.82     6.21P    5.02R    1.80  
Oldham            4    5   +1      -1.84    25.31    -1.14    73.63    11.73    17.77     9.44    27.87    57.35    36.83P    0.43R    0.11  
Tranmere          4    5   +0       0.32    57.16     1.32    55.99    11.56   -10.19     0.38     2.02     9.47     3.54P   11.38R    4.55  
Grimsby           4    5   -1       0.17    54.47    -0.01    52.97    10.59   -15.61     0.09     0.64     4.59     1.37P   15.07R    5.78  
Crewe             4    4   -1      -0.96    38.41    -0.10    58.09    11.30    -7.62     0.43     2.54    12.04     4.38P    7.88R    2.88  
Bury              4    4   -1      -1.89    24.84    -1.66    68.52    11.92     9.61     4.37    15.63    39.69    22.17P    1.33R    0.41  
Crawley_Town      4    4   -2      -0.96    38.81    -1.19    55.28    10.80   -12.24     0.21     1.24     7.20     2.36P   10.89R    4.20  
Cambridge_Utd     4    4   -4      -1.03    37.38    -3.30    60.58    11.03    -5.72     0.67     3.66    15.95     6.31P    4.81R    1.61  
Morecambe         4    3   -8      -1.00    36.13    -5.75    48.27    10.28   -26.52     0.01     0.20     1.60     0.43P   28.56R   12.58  
Northampton       4    2   -2      -3.96     7.52    -2.70    64.21    12.15     4.98     2.36     9.22    27.73    14.24P    3.39R    1.15  
Cheltenham        4    1   -3      -4.57     4.46    -3.13    51.29    10.83   -14.76     0.07     0.54     3.67     1.15P   19.43R    7.98  
Macclesfield      4    1   -5      -2.73    14.84    -1.86    38.66    10.64   -37.60     0.00     0.03     0.29     0.08P   65.46R   48.12  
Notts_County      4    1   -6      -4.49     4.77    -6.00    59.27    11.33    -5.38     0.63     3.37    14.17     5.99P    6.33R    2.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.64    96.90     7.21    76.70    10.52    19.46    12.80    56.40    23.77P    0.48R    0.01  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.58    92.52     6.15    63.51    10.51     0.55     1.22    13.91     3.61P    8.24R    0.66  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.42    78.38     4.28    78.36    11.24    24.53    18.18    62.50    30.40P    0.54R    0.03  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.36    86.67     1.74    71.30    10.94     9.31     5.98    36.75    12.86P    2.16R    0.14  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.51    79.36     1.99    71.61    10.91    11.25     6.18    37.90    13.88P    1.96R    0.12  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.75    89.15     1.98    60.37    10.63    -7.60     0.64     8.80     1.94P   14.58R    1.64  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.32    85.08     5.78    61.57    12.53    -1.93     2.02    14.67     4.64P   16.00R    2.56  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.14    46.53    -0.68    82.38    11.76    30.17    31.49    74.01    45.54P    0.33R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.94    61.04     0.22    70.56    10.90    10.32     5.40    34.07    12.44P    2.43R    0.16  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.68    60.10     2.70    68.29    10.85     9.87     3.40    27.01     9.09P    3.79R    0.24  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.43    56.90     1.38    61.35    10.76    -1.88     0.85    10.72     2.75P   12.38R    1.39  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.80    73.71     2.72    53.70    11.94   -15.49     0.32     4.28     1.08P   35.67R    8.34  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.09    65.17    -0.57    53.85    10.52   -16.44     0.13     2.74     0.56P   33.24R    5.98  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.77    28.44    -1.40    60.41    10.74    -2.58     0.71     9.28     2.56P   13.95R    1.61  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.19    48.12    -0.97    58.84    10.91    -7.68     0.53     7.39     1.76P   18.97R    2.55  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.14    25.46    -1.35    64.21    11.01     3.65     1.66    16.65     5.20P    8.32R    0.81  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.08    54.38     0.33    46.92    11.94   -27.63     0.11     1.50     0.32P   58.91R   21.17  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.72    29.71    -2.98    62.87    10.46     0.24     0.95    12.43     3.67P    9.08R    0.83  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.92    17.18    -5.16    66.02    11.05     3.95     2.30    20.96     6.92P    6.34R    0.55  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.92    17.16    -5.09    62.50    10.65    -1.00     0.98    12.20     3.71P   10.34R    1.07  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.17    14.01    -1.05    42.31    11.61   -29.39     0.02     0.52     0.11P   72.13R   35.03  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.53     1.40    -8.55    66.81    11.60     7.08     3.31    24.45     9.98P    6.13R    0.61  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.38     1.37    -4.90    59.71    11.20    -0.34     0.76     9.45     2.89P   16.45R    2.24  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.45     5.89    -3.78    49.77    10.88   -18.41     0.07     1.40     0.32P   47.58R   12.22