Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 August 2018 at 21:40:41 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.34    74.81     2.69    90.14     8.37    74.62    66.27    86.02    94.39    98.04    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +6       1.51    76.45     2.76    78.59     9.42    46.94    12.92    39.42    62.24    78.94    95.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.92    81.48     1.87    74.02     9.57    34.65     5.81    20.96    40.95    62.23    90.28     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.22    93.58     3.91    46.75     9.58   -13.58     0.00     0.06     0.25     0.85     5.97     8.66R    1.38  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.53    77.42    -0.17    77.96     9.47    41.02    11.49    35.91    58.70    76.69    95.08     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.88    90.59     2.46    48.95     9.68   -10.79     0.02     0.12     0.47     1.51     8.94     5.64R    0.81  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.79    68.45     0.32    52.20     9.78    -3.20     0.02     0.21     0.95     2.89    15.48     2.83R    0.32  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.36    55.39     1.25    52.53     9.95    -1.33     0.03     0.31     1.12     3.26    16.46     2.95R    0.40  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.08    25.88    -2.04    70.57     9.41    28.52     2.58    11.77    26.85    46.41    83.75     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.77    63.67     0.89    47.16     9.45   -10.48     0.00     0.03     0.22     0.83     6.14     7.45R    1.08  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.13    71.57     0.27    41.91     9.13   -19.75     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.84    18.11R    3.74  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.29    30.10    -0.34    45.96     9.41    -9.24     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.56     4.95     9.00R    1.47  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.57    24.57    -0.76    44.30     9.26   -11.99     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.34     3.22    11.86R    2.14  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.08    35.95    -0.87    38.26     9.79   -25.31     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.09     1.14    32.29R    9.47  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.74    21.70    -2.08    43.48     9.13   -13.17     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     2.66    13.47R    2.40  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.17    32.96    -1.15    35.36     9.35   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.51    43.52R   14.09  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.94    14.57    -1.54    65.29     9.99    23.54     0.84     5.12    13.45    26.77    65.77     0.11R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.65    16.00    -1.55    35.44     9.95   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.72    44.32R   16.00  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.86    13.85    -2.91    40.12     9.52   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     1.44    25.16R    6.16  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.65    32.10    -3.02    28.37     8.24   -44.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.62R   40.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 August 2018, Brentford 2 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough    4   10   +6       2.72    85.32     3.29    82.82    11.03    29.41    20.97    37.36    76.66    48.96P    0.04R    0.01  
Leeds_United     3    9   +7       4.26    95.93     5.94    72.00    11.82    12.90     4.98    11.19    40.40    17.25P    0.99R    0.10  
West_Brom        4    7   +6      -0.90    37.01     2.00    81.13    12.10    32.44    19.70    34.18    70.29    45.46P    0.15R    0.02  
Brentford        3    7   +6       1.78    80.35     4.11    74.54    12.00    19.41     7.70    16.41    49.54    24.27P    0.64R    0.06  
Aston_Villa      3    7   +3       2.19    82.81     1.97    79.28    11.48    23.78    13.65    26.68    65.22    37.27P    0.16R    0.02  
Bolton           3    7   +2       4.09    96.82     4.07    51.50    10.85   -21.37     0.05     0.19     2.23     0.47P   25.89R    6.82  
Swansea          3    7   +2       1.99    80.36     0.70    78.20    12.33    20.88    13.17    24.96    60.68    35.08P    0.34R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.23    67.12     2.23    58.18    11.13    -8.08     0.25     0.79     7.28     1.92P   10.49R    2.09  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.88    61.91    -1.40    62.63    11.44    -4.26     0.73     2.13    14.40     4.57P    5.64R    0.99  
Millwall         3    5   +1       1.21    70.75     1.44    64.60    11.37     1.89     1.12     3.04    18.32     6.08P    3.84R    0.59  
Blackburn        3    5   +1       0.89    65.10     1.04    65.37    12.36     3.10     1.93     4.80    22.44     8.64P    4.37R    0.82  
Wigan            3    4   +0      -0.63    41.55    -0.80    69.58    12.79    10.25     4.25     9.57    34.15    15.83P    2.47R    0.42  
Preston          3    4   +0      -0.35    46.51    -0.42    65.64    11.40     4.06     1.29     3.68    20.95     7.48P    2.96R    0.49  
Derby            3    3   -3      -1.59    25.01    -3.73    69.19    11.77     8.20     3.01     7.47    31.67    13.44P    1.89R    0.25  
Rotherham        3    3   -5       0.56    60.75    -1.77    42.78    11.64   -39.92     0.02     0.06     0.60     0.14P   57.41R   28.91  
Ipswich          3    2   -1      -2.16    19.05    -1.08    56.22    11.25    -8.84     0.17     0.58     5.54     1.53P   14.26R    3.05  
Birmingham       3    2   -1      -0.86    38.03     0.91    46.47    10.66   -23.60     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.10P   42.46R   14.99  
Stoke            3    2   -2      -2.22    18.80    -2.15    71.02    12.66    13.80     5.18    11.36    38.27    18.73P    1.85R    0.33  
Bristol_City     3    2   -2      -2.32    17.30    -2.33    59.02    11.77    -6.19     0.42     1.30     9.55     3.02P   10.40R    2.34  
Norwich          3    1   -2      -2.71    14.85    -1.25    57.92    11.85    -6.52     0.38     1.13     8.48     2.58P   12.11R    2.81  
Sheff_Wed        3    1   -3      -2.63    14.85    -2.18    60.36    11.45    -2.68     0.47     1.48    10.75     3.47P    7.83R    1.60  
Hull             3    1   -3      -2.92    12.92    -2.64    59.13    11.91    -5.61     0.54     1.46     9.91     3.26P   10.79R    2.51  
Reading          3    0   -3      -3.84     3.36    -2.52    46.66    11.13   -23.78     0.01     0.06     0.94     0.21P   42.06R   15.54  
QPR              3    0   -8      -2.74     8.28    -5.44    47.22    11.34   -29.25     0.02     0.08     1.02     0.23P   40.97R   15.21  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 August 2018, Sunderland 3 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          3    9   +6       3.86    93.84     4.39    76.49    11.82    18.88    12.37    25.81    63.39    35.56P    1.15R    0.08  
Portsmouth            3    9   +5       4.24    95.71     4.01    70.95    11.44     9.57     4.94    12.48    44.00    19.68P    2.68R    0.23  
Barnsley              3    7   +6       1.30    71.98     3.59    82.69    12.36    31.35    28.50    47.10    79.79    58.09P    0.37R    0.01  
Sunderland            3    7   +4       1.75    77.40     2.29    83.93    12.37    31.75    32.13    51.39    82.10    61.37P    0.36R    0.02  
Walsall               3    7   +2       2.93    90.15     2.06    63.66    11.28    -1.27     1.35     3.83    21.38     7.45P    9.80R    1.27  
Doncaster             3    6   +3       1.64    74.04     2.61    65.63    11.36     4.14     2.08     5.68    27.08    10.50P    7.00R    0.78  
Gillingham            3    6   +3       1.86    76.19     2.93    64.21    11.46     1.80     1.59     4.60    23.35     8.72P    9.01R    1.32  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    5   +1       1.60    77.70     2.00    58.54    10.77    -5.58     0.36     1.21    10.09     2.98P   18.58R    2.91  
Southend              3    4   +1      -0.45    44.69     0.48    64.08    11.46     2.56     1.61     4.55    23.40     8.67P    9.34R    1.17  
Fleetwood_Town        3    4   +1      -0.55    42.91     0.37    62.24    11.32    -0.04     1.01     3.13    18.48     6.55P   12.05R    1.68  
Charlton              3    4   +0      -0.02    52.22     0.15    68.20    11.38     7.94     2.96     8.28    35.10    15.20P    4.45R    0.49  
Coventry              3    4   +0       0.29    57.46     0.45    54.19    11.63   -11.93     0.29     0.90     6.45     1.91P   33.15R    8.26  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   -1       0.37    59.21    -0.29    53.71    11.76   -14.81     0.19     0.80     6.16     1.88P   35.27R    9.27  
Rochdale              3    4   -2       0.35    59.17    -1.29    61.32    11.41    -4.63     0.87     2.73    16.20     5.49P   13.94R    2.27  
Scunthorpe            3    4   -2      -0.31    47.20    -2.25    71.32    11.40    10.59     5.01    12.85    45.69    21.78P    2.74R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers        3    3   -1      -1.10    31.63    -0.85    57.77    11.47    -7.98     0.43     1.45    10.49     3.39P   22.18R    4.08  
Burton_Albion         3    3   -2      -1.27    29.59    -2.25    61.02    12.13    -3.21     1.17     3.25    17.44     6.85P   16.02R    2.93  
Bradford              3    3   -3      -0.41    43.91    -2.04    61.10    11.30    -3.96     0.76     2.35    15.68     5.29P   13.99R    2.25  
Blackpool             3    2   -1      -2.09    19.60    -1.05    59.31    11.05    -2.91     0.45     1.57    12.31     4.19P   17.23R    2.70  
Plymouth              3    1   -2      -2.84    12.33    -1.66    55.39    11.28    -8.56     0.27     0.88     7.07     2.20P   28.31R    6.11  
Shrewsbury            3    1   -2      -3.29     8.22    -2.30    61.46    10.98     0.79     0.75     2.40    15.88     5.86P   12.37R    1.81  
Luton                 3    1   -3      -2.11    21.42    -1.40    58.55    12.23    -5.13     0.77     2.21    13.08     4.85P   21.90R    4.69  
Wycombe               3    1   -4      -2.23    19.18    -2.70    43.25    11.23   -30.29     0.01     0.05     0.83     0.18P   70.09R   35.37  
Oxford_Utd            3    0   -9      -3.07     6.06    -7.25    52.73    11.36   -19.06     0.13     0.48     4.56     1.33P   38.04R   10.14  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, Bury 1 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            3    7   +4       1.65    76.41     2.16    75.45    11.66    18.59    11.01    31.96    61.89    40.21P    0.24R    0.05  
Lincoln_City      3    7   +4       2.60    86.83     3.57    73.06    11.59    14.85     7.54    24.72    53.87    32.17P    0.36R    0.09  
Stevenage         3    7   +3       1.95    80.90     1.58    66.61    11.62     3.58     2.77    10.84    32.02    15.51P    1.60R    0.48  
MK_Dons           3    7   +2       2.42    85.11     1.30    82.94    12.30    27.87    29.53    56.33    81.12    64.08P    0.06R    0.01  
Port_Vale         3    6   +2       1.73    74.79     1.74    63.99    11.37     0.54     1.55     7.03    24.06    10.55P    2.37R    0.71  
Swindon           3    6   -1       0.82    60.90    -2.76    69.13    12.03     4.92     4.42    16.23    40.36    21.99P    1.12R    0.33  
Forest_Green      3    5   +3       1.78    78.58     4.45    56.86    11.37    -9.33     0.33     2.12     9.89     3.45P    8.77R    3.15  
Mansfield         3    5   +3       0.09    51.48     1.83    72.69    11.53    16.24     7.15    23.61    52.82    31.48P    0.35R    0.09  
Colchester        3    5   +2       0.89    65.54     1.98    70.22    11.49    11.58     4.71    17.18    44.14    24.02P    0.67R    0.19  
Crewe             3    4   +5      -0.43    45.45     4.50    63.73    11.83     5.59     1.73     7.79    25.16    11.74P    2.98R    0.94  
Yeovil            3    4   +3       0.72    65.45     4.29    60.39    11.62    -1.49     0.86     4.36    16.48     6.90P    4.99R    1.68  
Oldham            3    4   +1      -1.35    29.93    -0.99    74.30    12.69    18.32    10.80    30.10    58.09    38.62P    0.55R    0.14  
Tranmere          3    4   +0       0.56    63.07     1.16    55.93    12.02   -11.23     0.43     2.37     9.91     3.80P   11.25R    4.44  
Bury              3    4   +0      -0.75    39.18    -0.99    70.70    12.30    11.73     6.06    19.86    45.67    26.89P    0.90R    0.26  
Carlisle          3    4   -1       0.03    53.59    -0.76    67.51    11.66     5.78     3.02    12.27    35.03    17.72P    1.27R    0.39  
Grimsby           3    4   -1      -0.12    50.55    -1.02    52.03    10.96   -17.96     0.11     0.64     4.05     1.27P   16.63R    6.36  
Cambridge_Utd     3    4   -2       0.21    56.81    -1.47    63.35    11.54    -1.64     1.35     6.59    22.97    10.05P    3.08R    0.97  
Newport_County    3    4   -2       0.77    66.79    -0.62    58.76    11.33    -8.24     0.52     2.88    12.63     4.83P    6.33R    2.17  
Crawley_Town      3    3   -2      -0.63    39.62    -1.27    55.60    11.26   -12.19     0.26     1.66     7.90     2.85P   10.23R    3.73  
Northampton       3    2   -1      -2.53    15.29    -1.61    67.93    12.81     9.66     4.66    15.67    38.23    21.89P    1.94R    0.62  
Notts_County      3    1   -5      -3.32     8.99    -5.31    61.18    11.64    -3.53     1.05     4.84    17.86     8.06P    4.71R    1.57  
Cheltenham        3    0   -3      -4.10     2.69    -2.96    52.02    11.35   -14.26     0.10     0.77     4.61     1.54P   17.50R    7.27  
Macclesfield      3    0   -5      -2.45     9.51    -2.03    38.27    11.24   -39.17     0.00     0.04     0.31     0.09P   64.00R   45.63  
Morecambe         3    0   -9      -2.69     8.15    -6.77    45.16    10.69   -30.21     0.02     0.14     0.94     0.29P   38.11R   18.73  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.64    96.97     7.20    76.97    10.53    19.79    13.06    57.36    24.40P    0.40R    0.01  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.55    92.55     6.13    63.54    10.59     0.72     1.37    14.31     3.79P    8.42R    0.63  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.42    78.25     4.25    78.27    11.18    24.35    17.77    62.30    29.86P    0.49R    0.02  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.35    86.45     1.74    71.30    11.09     9.30     6.21    36.56    13.15P    2.30R    0.17  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.55    79.57     2.05    71.34    10.98    10.88     6.30    36.83    13.28P    2.07R    0.17  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.78    89.49     2.04    60.01    10.55    -8.13     0.55     8.17     1.71P   15.18R    1.72  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.34    85.50     5.78    61.30    12.38    -2.28     1.83    13.79     4.30P   16.26R    2.48  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.13    46.52    -0.66    82.51    11.67    30.43    31.61    74.40    45.93P    0.23R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.96    61.19     0.24    70.50    10.96    10.24     5.19    34.16    12.26P    2.50R    0.15  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.68    60.18     2.70    68.24    10.79     9.85     3.32    26.74     8.69P    3.72R    0.28  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.42    56.77     1.37    61.35    10.86    -1.83     0.93    10.93     2.93P   12.65R    1.34  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.73    72.92     2.61    54.07    12.32   -14.99     0.44     5.20     1.34P   35.19R    8.36  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.10    65.29    -0.56    53.86    10.55   -16.43     0.13     2.77     0.55P   33.13R    5.92  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.72    29.05    -1.32    60.09    10.75    -2.98     0.64     8.90     2.37P   14.80R    1.60  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.20    47.62    -0.97    58.84    10.95    -7.63     0.50     7.55     1.85P   18.74R    2.68  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.15    25.33    -1.34    64.01    11.00     3.24     1.60    16.03     4.95P    8.79R    0.98  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.04    53.86     0.24    47.27    12.03   -27.09     0.09     1.68     0.39P   57.57R   20.59  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.70    29.92    -2.96    62.98    10.50     0.36     1.00    12.78     3.76P    8.91R    0.78  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.94    17.02    -5.17    66.12    11.11     4.00     2.34    21.25     7.10P    6.45R    0.60  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.90    17.13    -5.06    62.43    10.68    -1.16     0.89    12.03     3.67P   10.52R    1.12  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.15    14.06    -1.01    42.13    11.48   -29.67     0.02     0.53     0.13P   73.28R   35.92  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.52     1.40    -8.57    66.87    11.61     7.16     3.43    24.71    10.30P    6.28R    0.60  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.41     1.29    -4.93    59.91    11.17    -0.18     0.74     9.69     3.01P   15.93R    2.17  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.47     5.81    -3.82    50.07    10.75   -17.95     0.04     1.33     0.26P   46.18R   11.71