Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 August 2018 at 21:49:06 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 August 2018, Brighton 3 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.35    74.97     2.65    90.20     8.42    75.18    68.36    87.13    94.71    98.06    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.90    81.29     1.81    74.34     9.58    35.64     6.30    23.27    43.78    64.19    90.72     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.23    93.54     3.92    46.70     9.45   -13.83     0.01     0.07     0.28     0.82     5.49     8.27R    1.32  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.52    77.34    -0.24    78.07     9.33    41.47    11.64    37.82    60.34    77.74    95.43     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.89    90.83     2.48    48.81     9.63   -11.28     0.01     0.10     0.47     1.50     8.54     5.77R    0.75  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.76    68.00     0.29    52.36     9.82    -3.02     0.04     0.34     1.16     3.16    15.56     2.84R    0.35  
Liverpool         1    3   +4       0.48    59.97     1.69    76.54     9.84    44.34     9.83    32.48    54.55    72.32    93.08     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    1    3   +2       1.59    80.58     1.93    48.95     9.73    -8.02     0.01     0.12     0.50     1.54     8.90     5.73R    0.85  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.39    55.77     1.29    52.25     9.92    -1.86     0.03     0.29     1.15     3.13    15.67     3.20R    0.38  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.09    25.77    -2.06    70.70     9.40    28.79     2.88    12.80    28.22    47.96    83.77     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.10    71.02     0.24    42.25     9.17   -19.27     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22     1.94    17.51R    3.40  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.30    30.00    -0.32    45.76     9.43    -9.72     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.61     4.75     9.56R    1.50  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.55    24.83    -0.72    44.30     9.33   -12.14     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.38     3.35    12.17R    2.22  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.09    35.88    -0.88    38.29     9.79   -25.48     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.14     1.22    32.60R    9.32  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.74    21.46    -2.08    43.17     9.10   -13.82     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     2.33    14.36R    2.61  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.16    33.28    -1.13    35.32     9.44   -28.98     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.49    44.19R   14.90  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.94    14.57    -1.52    65.51     9.93    24.14     0.88     5.47    14.39    27.72    66.69     0.12R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.64    16.17    -1.46    35.59     9.92   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.74    43.91R   15.93  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.91    13.39    -2.95    40.27     9.47   -24.27     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.17     1.45    24.79R    6.10  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.65    32.18    -2.94    28.42     8.24   -45.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.97R   40.36  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 August 2018, Brentford 2 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough    4   10   +6       2.74    85.69     3.32    82.70    11.05    29.20    20.83    37.32    76.13    48.85P    0.04R    0.01  
Leeds_United     3    9   +7       4.25    95.80     5.93    71.97    11.86    12.86     5.03    11.24    40.21    17.16P    0.98R    0.11  
West_Brom        4    7   +6      -0.92    36.42     1.96    81.29    12.04    32.66    19.93    34.60    70.92    45.82P    0.12R    0.02  
Brentford        3    7   +6       1.78    80.44     4.10    74.76    11.79    19.70     7.59    16.27    50.06    24.35P    0.54R    0.08  
Aston_Villa      3    7   +3       2.20    82.86     1.98    79.30    11.49    23.74    13.88    26.72    65.22    37.37P    0.13R    0.01  
Bolton           3    7   +2       4.08    96.81     4.05    51.62    10.90   -21.17     0.06     0.17     2.21     0.43P   25.53R    6.70  
Swansea          3    7   +2       2.01    80.73     0.72    78.36    12.24    21.09    13.30    25.25    61.30    35.51P    0.37R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.25    67.54     2.27    58.05    11.08    -8.34     0.23     0.78     7.08     1.87P   10.54R    2.06  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.84    61.33    -1.46    62.98    11.33    -3.66     0.73     2.23    14.65     4.65P    4.84R    0.85  
Millwall         3    5   +1       1.21    70.41     1.42    64.62    11.34     1.99     1.14     3.04    18.45     6.12P    3.67R    0.60  
Blackburn        3    5   +1       0.90    65.16     1.05    65.24    12.36     2.91     1.91     4.68    21.79     8.56P    4.46R    0.80  
Wigan            3    4   +0      -0.66    41.29    -0.82    69.49    12.55    10.10     4.03     9.07    33.78    15.18P    2.28R    0.35  
Preston          3    4   +0      -0.34    46.61    -0.40    65.41    11.40     3.76     1.30     3.58    20.48     7.46P    3.09R    0.43  
Derby            3    3   -3      -1.60    24.91    -3.72    69.21    11.73     8.16     2.87     7.37    31.54    13.19P    1.75R    0.23  
Rotherham        3    3   -5       0.56    60.73    -1.77    42.87    11.58   -39.76     0.02     0.07     0.60     0.16P   57.33R   28.15  
Ipswich          3    2   -1      -2.15    19.04    -1.08    56.21    11.38    -8.90     0.22     0.65     5.81     1.72P   14.37R    3.26  
Birmingham       3    2   -1      -0.85    38.01     0.92    46.35    10.65   -23.80     0.01     0.03     0.63     0.11P   42.50R   15.40  
Stoke            3    2   -2      -2.23    18.48    -2.18    71.21    12.67    14.19     5.27    11.62    39.12    19.15P    1.90R    0.34  
Bristol_City     3    2   -2      -2.34    16.96    -2.35    58.86    11.69    -6.39     0.40     1.24     9.01     2.83P   10.46R    2.20  
Norwich          3    1   -2      -2.69    14.82    -1.24    57.96    12.02    -6.48     0.33     1.14     8.61     2.70P   12.47R    2.95  
Sheff_Wed        3    1   -3      -2.63    14.84    -2.17    60.38    11.53    -2.60     0.42     1.45    11.05     3.48P    8.06R    1.72  
Hull             3    1   -3      -2.91    12.68    -2.63    58.93    11.86    -5.92     0.47     1.31     9.36     2.95P   10.85R    2.52  
Reading          3    0   -3      -3.82     3.33    -2.50    46.49    11.21   -24.04     0.03     0.08     0.95     0.19P   42.70R   15.84  
QPR              3    0   -8      -2.71     8.51    -5.41    47.17    11.31   -29.32     0.01     0.06     1.05     0.19P   41.04R   15.35  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 August 2018, Sunderland 3 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          3    9   +6       3.87    93.94     4.41    76.46    11.66    18.82    11.92    25.53    63.13    34.84P    0.94R    0.07  
Portsmouth            3    9   +5       4.23    95.69     3.99    70.81    11.46     9.36     5.08    12.15    43.61    19.42P    2.81R    0.24  
Barnsley              3    7   +6       1.30    72.06     3.60    82.91    12.30    31.65    28.69    47.58    80.09    58.35P    0.31R    0.03  
Sunderland            3    7   +4       1.72    77.13     2.24    84.21    12.27    32.16    32.61    52.20    82.91    62.50P    0.27R    0.01  
Walsall               3    7   +2       2.94    90.36     2.09    63.52    11.26    -1.53     1.29     3.68    20.76     7.06P    9.89R    1.44  
Doncaster             3    6   +3       1.66    74.07     2.62    65.22    11.39     3.63     1.90     5.28    26.25    10.16P    7.34R    0.88  
Gillingham            3    6   +3       1.83    75.85     2.90    64.23    11.41     1.83     1.63     4.60    23.63     8.70P    8.84R    1.11  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    5   +1       1.60    77.77     1.99    58.59    10.80    -5.45     0.32     1.21    10.26     2.89P   18.18R    2.81  
Southend              3    4   +1      -0.44    44.83     0.51    63.87    11.57     2.20     1.56     4.47    22.88     8.73P    9.93R    1.42  
Fleetwood_Town        3    4   +1      -0.60    41.93     0.29    62.70    11.31     0.66     1.11     3.33    19.45     6.95P   11.12R    1.53  
Charlton              3    4   +0      -0.01    52.48     0.17    68.07    11.40     7.80     2.85     8.17    34.87    15.10P    4.81R    0.48  
Coventry              3    4   +0       0.31    57.62     0.47    53.98    11.42   -12.06     0.24     0.64     5.96     1.75P   33.21R    8.09  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   -1       0.41    60.01    -0.25    53.37    11.77   -15.35     0.21     0.69     5.88     1.72P   36.33R    9.68  
Rochdale              3    4   -2       0.35    59.14    -1.28    61.46    11.46    -4.48     0.95     2.87    16.43     5.71P   13.80R    2.17  
Scunthorpe            3    4   -2      -0.31    47.38    -2.25    71.20    11.56    10.37     5.04    12.80    45.23    21.93P    2.81R    0.26  
Bristol_Rovers        3    3   -1      -1.13    31.21    -0.90    57.95    11.42    -7.57     0.40     1.43    10.70     3.33P   21.63R    3.97  
Burton_Albion         3    3   -2      -1.24    29.95    -2.22    60.85    12.07    -3.42     1.11     3.14    17.02     6.61P   16.30R    2.87  
Bradford              3    3   -3      -0.42    43.48    -2.06    61.37    11.27    -3.55     0.72     2.50    16.23     5.51P   13.56R    2.03  
Blackpool             3    2   -1      -2.11    19.33    -1.07    59.61    11.22    -2.46     0.53     1.82    13.10     4.51P   16.84R    2.52  
Plymouth              3    1   -2      -2.86    12.17    -1.68    55.49    11.14    -8.44     0.25     0.79     6.91     2.09P   27.41R    5.75  
Shrewsbury            3    1   -2      -3.29     8.35    -2.31    61.84    11.08     1.37     0.83     2.69    17.17     6.36P   11.89R    1.68  
Luton                 3    1   -3      -2.09    21.67    -1.37    58.00    12.24    -5.96     0.62     1.91    12.34     4.33P   23.16R    5.24  
Wycombe               3    1   -4      -2.24    19.21    -2.69    43.14    11.22   -30.36     0.02     0.06     0.76     0.17P   70.52R   35.58  
Oxford_Utd            3    0   -9      -3.03     6.34    -7.20    52.64    11.35   -19.21     0.12     0.47     4.42     1.28P   38.09R   10.15  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, Bury 1 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            3    7   +4       1.66    76.58     2.17    75.50    11.62    18.71    11.11    31.75    62.09    39.87P    0.21R    0.05  
Lincoln_City      3    7   +4       2.59    87.06     3.58    72.84    11.44    14.45     7.01    23.59    53.01    30.86P    0.34R    0.08  
Stevenage         3    7   +3       1.94    80.67     1.57    66.44    11.66     3.31     2.71    10.85    31.68    15.46P    1.51R    0.43  
MK_Dons           3    7   +2       2.41    85.23     1.28    83.13    12.08    28.16    29.70    57.76    81.89    65.37P    0.05R    0.02  
Port_Vale         3    6   +2       1.70    74.35     1.70    64.00    11.27     0.56     1.47     6.72    24.04    10.38P    2.26R    0.73  
Swindon           3    6   -1       0.81    60.52    -2.78    69.45    12.02     5.38     4.72    16.41    41.34    22.45P    1.11R    0.35  
Forest_Green      3    5   +3       1.79    78.70     4.47    57.10    11.52    -8.95     0.42     2.31    10.44     3.73P    8.53R    3.20  
Mansfield         3    5   +3       0.05    50.65     1.77    73.23    11.51    17.13     7.84    25.01    54.78    33.27P    0.37R    0.08  
Colchester        3    5   +2       0.93    66.23     2.04    70.13    11.46    11.39     4.67    17.13    43.45    23.94P    0.67R    0.17  
Crewe             3    4   +5      -0.39    46.26     4.57    63.45    11.79     5.08     1.71     7.25    24.23    11.13P    2.91R    0.96  
Yeovil            3    4   +3       0.71    65.42     4.29    60.50    11.45    -1.34     0.85     4.15    16.50     6.53P    4.69R    1.60  
Oldham            3    4   +1      -1.37    29.46    -1.03    74.77    12.53    19.07    11.12    31.18    59.35    39.76P    0.46R    0.14  
Tranmere          3    4   +0       0.56    63.19     1.15    55.88    12.13   -11.31     0.49     2.46    10.00     3.94P   11.38R    4.44  
Bury              3    4   +0      -0.75    39.37    -1.00    70.40    12.26    11.30     5.66    19.23    44.68    26.29P    0.88R    0.26  
Carlisle          3    4   -1       0.00    53.32    -0.79    67.36    11.65     5.51     2.91    12.24    34.59    17.42P    1.39R    0.40  
Grimsby           3    4   -1      -0.09    51.20    -0.99    51.83    10.93   -18.16     0.08     0.66     3.93     1.28P   16.85R    6.47  
Cambridge_Utd     3    4   -2       0.24    57.21    -1.47    63.46    11.49    -1.41     1.36     6.61    22.97    10.19P    2.92R    0.98  
Newport_County    3    4   -2       0.78    66.91    -0.65    58.91    11.29    -7.95     0.51     2.75    12.44     4.74P    6.12R    2.15  
Crawley_Town      3    3   -2      -0.61    40.07    -1.24    55.44    11.31   -12.51     0.27     1.63     7.85     2.80P   10.68R    4.20  
Northampton       3    2   -1      -2.52    15.21    -1.60    67.53    12.72     9.05     4.29    14.67    36.98    20.71P    2.22R    0.78  
Notts_County      3    1   -5      -3.34     9.11    -5.33    61.08    11.69    -3.67     0.94     4.73    17.87     7.94P    4.74R    1.62  
Cheltenham        3    0   -3      -4.10     2.76    -2.96    51.96    11.33   -14.48     0.13     0.80     4.62     1.59P   17.34R    7.03  
Macclesfield      3    0   -5      -2.45     9.50    -1.99    38.50    11.08   -38.79     0.00     0.04     0.32     0.10P   63.35R   44.15  
Morecambe         3    0   -9      -2.70     8.07    -6.77    44.92    10.71   -30.56     0.00     0.10     0.96     0.25P   39.02R   19.71  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.65    97.07     7.22    76.84    10.45    19.61    12.55    57.09    24.04P    0.43R    0.03  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.57    92.50     6.14    63.47    10.57     0.46     1.31    14.12     3.59P    8.20R    0.61  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.44    78.54     4.28    78.23    11.25    24.30    17.74    61.57    29.67P    0.49R    0.02  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.37    86.86     1.76    71.21    10.87     9.17     5.73    35.88    12.41P    2.03R    0.14  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.58    80.00     2.08    71.29    10.94    10.77     5.92    36.38    12.97P    2.15R    0.12  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.79    89.44     2.05    60.10    10.56    -8.08     0.55     8.29     1.83P   15.22R    1.66  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.27    84.70     5.72    61.63    12.54    -1.89     1.88    14.63     4.50P   16.17R    2.62  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.21    45.62    -0.79    82.95    11.59    31.10    33.25    75.84    47.59P    0.27R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.96    61.26     0.25    70.49    10.98    10.19     5.31    33.89    12.34P    2.63R    0.16  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.69    60.00     2.72    68.21    10.90     9.75     3.16    26.74     8.80P    3.93R    0.31  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.45    57.10     1.40    61.54    10.84    -1.64     0.79    11.01     2.96P   12.46R    1.28  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.75    73.20     2.65    53.86    12.30   -15.29     0.48     5.09     1.32P   35.98R    8.70  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.12    65.58    -0.52    53.67    10.54   -16.73     0.12     2.67     0.59P   33.74R    6.22  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.78    28.28    -1.41    60.48    10.79    -2.41     0.72     9.52     2.56P   14.08R    1.49  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.24    47.32    -1.03    58.89    11.10    -7.66     0.53     7.59     1.93P   19.05R    2.78  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.09    25.79    -1.27    64.06    11.04     3.34     1.61    16.35     5.02P    8.68R    0.92  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.02    53.27     0.24    47.30    12.16   -27.17     0.11     1.78     0.37P   57.27R   20.24  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.71    29.75    -2.98    62.84    10.43     0.21     0.93    12.28     3.54P    8.98R    0.85  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.95    16.82    -5.20    66.14    11.14     4.09     2.39    21.53     7.23P    6.42R    0.56  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.88    17.47    -5.05    62.56    10.68    -0.98     0.88    12.44     3.70P   10.04R    0.96  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.14    13.98    -0.98    42.01    11.68   -29.91     0.02     0.55     0.15P   72.92R   36.11  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.47     1.44    -8.48    66.40    11.51     6.55     3.11    23.10     9.54P    6.53R    0.62  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.45     1.23    -5.00    60.26    11.27     0.39     0.86    10.34     3.05P   15.46R    2.11  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.49     5.57    -3.82    49.96    10.65   -18.14     0.04     1.32     0.30P   46.89R   11.46