Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 May 2018 at 21:21:08 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 May 2018, Burnley 1 2 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38  100  +79      13.01    96.57    16.14   100.00     0.00    79.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   81  +40       8.47    83.58     9.77    81.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   77  +38       0.36    50.71    -1.24    77.00     0.00    38.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   75  +46       0.35    50.70     8.71    75.00     0.00    46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   70  +24      -0.36    47.73    -3.99    70.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   63  +23      -5.71    25.57    -3.40    63.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   54   -3       7.67    81.46     5.62    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   49  -14      -1.79    42.51   -10.22    49.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   47   -4      -3.71    34.30     0.72    47.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   44   -8      -3.07    37.14     0.66    44.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   44  -10      -1.50    43.63     2.15    44.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   44  -16       0.27    51.74     0.43    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   42  -20      -2.09    41.24    -3.84    42.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   41  -20       1.04    55.66     2.21    41.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   40  -20      -0.43    49.12    -1.24    40.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   37  -30       6.05    78.44     5.13    37.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   36  -19     -10.11    12.04    -8.79    36.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   33  -28      -5.13    27.37    -4.92    33.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stoke            38   33  -33      -4.53    29.69    -7.79    33.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        38   31  -25      -9.12    13.47    -6.08    31.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 May 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46   99  +43      18.91    97.00    17.75    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   90  +30      14.32    91.71    11.54    90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   88  +33       8.41    78.58     7.62    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   83  +30       7.78    77.76    12.34    83.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   76  +22      -1.19    45.26     1.54    76.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   75  +22      -0.26    48.77     3.98    75.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   73  +11       5.98    72.04     4.90    73.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   72  +11       9.09    80.93    10.71    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   69  +10      -0.27    49.21     0.88    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   69   +7       4.41    66.28     4.81    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   67   +9       2.12    58.35     6.56    67.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   60   -3      -0.54    48.34     0.36    60.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   60   -5      -2.43    41.17    -4.16    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   60  -11      -2.74    39.80   -10.40    60.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   57   -1      -9.29    18.41    -5.98    57.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   56  -12      -0.61    48.41    -1.89    56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   53  -14      -2.63    40.18    -2.82    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   49   +0     -17.12     5.22    -4.18    49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   46  -30      -1.57    44.48    -8.00    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   44  -22     -10.27    15.42    -8.55    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   43  -35      -1.85    43.61    -8.07    43.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   41  -24     -10.20    15.25    -5.60    41.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   41  -43      -0.37    49.66   -10.22    41.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      46   37  -28     -16.64     4.95   -13.12    37.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   98  +60       3.20    62.02    13.02    98.00     0.00    60.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   96  +42       7.60    77.29     4.19    96.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   87  +21      20.20    97.44    15.23    87.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        46   79  +20       7.36    75.08     7.38    79.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +15       0.45    51.68    -0.37    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   71   +7       3.60    63.87     0.56    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   68   -1       8.64    80.03     4.29    68.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   66   +1       4.00    64.89     2.35    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   64   +8      -3.25    38.00     2.11    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   63   -4       0.01    50.35    -3.77    63.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   63  -10       0.17    50.68    -9.80    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   60   +5      -1.95    43.12     6.40    60.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   59   -6       0.01    50.63     0.79    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   57   -9      -4.97    31.48    -7.27    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   56   +0      -4.56    33.53     3.31    56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   56   -5      -6.37    27.30    -3.66    56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   56   -5      -2.66    40.27     1.50    56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   53  -11      -1.48    44.69     0.69    53.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   52  -13      -5.71    29.26    -5.26    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   51   -8     -10.21    16.04    -5.31    51.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   50  -17      -1.72    43.89    -0.44    50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Northampton      46   47  -34       0.71    53.86    -7.51    47.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          46   45  -26      -8.59    19.90   -12.11    45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury             46   36  -30     -11.54    11.72    -6.34    36.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2018, Barnet 3 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   46   93  +30      15.79    93.88     8.97    93.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   88  +48       0.38    50.98    10.03    88.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +19      11.10    85.53     4.35    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   80  +10       9.66    82.21    -0.72    80.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   77  +23       8.53    79.41    15.12    77.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.91P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   75  +17      -0.82    46.54    -1.63    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   75  +16       9.47    81.26    12.34    75.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   72  +15       2.16    58.24     4.99    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon              46   68   +2      -1.94    42.59    -8.11    68.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +8      -0.04    50.13     2.20    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   64   -2       6.48    73.84     6.09    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   64   -4       0.65    52.90    -4.57    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   62   +1      -4.37    33.92    -3.97    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   59   -8       3.09    62.52     3.12    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   56  -13      -1.44    45.13    -3.41    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   55   -5      -7.10    24.87    -3.14    55.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   51   -6      -6.87    25.67     2.76    51.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   51  -24      -0.67    48.13    -7.41    51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -5.82    28.70    -1.54    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   47  -18     -12.46    11.58   -12.70    47.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         46   47  -23      -2.21    42.27    -0.33    47.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -15      -7.11    24.08    -0.77    46.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   46  -19      -8.03    21.48    -5.59    46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         46   38  -36     -12.70    10.11   -16.07    38.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2018, Barrow 1 2 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       46   92  +21      18.53    96.36     5.63    92.00     0.00    21.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   82  +32      -3.02    38.09    -0.70    82.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    40.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   79  +14      12.53    88.55     8.83    79.00     0.00    14.00     0.00   100.00    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   75  +17       6.58    73.79     8.75    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    22.23P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   75  +12       3.53    63.26    -0.54    75.00     0.00    12.00     0.00   100.00    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   74  +14       8.13    77.55     9.60    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   73  +26       0.69    52.75    11.96    73.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   73  +18      -1.77    43.24     0.60    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   70  +17       1.85    57.27     9.52    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   70  +10       4.95    68.82     6.13    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   68   +7      -4.71    32.72    -7.49    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   64   -1       5.53    70.06     6.32    64.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      46   60   +2     -10.15    16.82    -8.60    60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   56   -7      -4.36    34.30    -2.47    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   56  -10      -8.10    22.40   -11.72    56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55  -10       1.69    57.26     3.47    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   54   +4     -13.37    10.03    -2.42    54.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   54  -11      -0.60    48.35     1.30    54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   54  -12       0.49    52.60     2.20    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   49  -12     -10.89    14.31    -7.54    49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   48  -21      -5.47    29.95    -5.25    48.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay            46   42  -28      -7.53    22.73    -7.98    42.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chester            46   37  -37      -9.30    16.88   -10.77    37.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Guiseley           46   33  -45      -7.34    22.16    -8.84    33.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00