Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 May 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 10 May 2018, West_Ham 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   97  +78      12.01    95.19    15.83    99.21     1.17    79.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   78  +39       7.44    80.80     9.74    80.41     1.04    40.68     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   74  +37      -0.33    47.40    -0.15    76.32     1.11    38.56     0.00     0.00    78.80   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   72  +42       0.36    51.07     7.54    74.41     1.06    43.70     0.00     0.00    21.20    95.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   70  +27       0.13    49.78    -2.56    71.80     1.28    27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   60  +22      -6.47    22.81    -3.13    62.17     1.19    23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   54   -2       8.92    85.44     6.36    55.69     1.29    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   49  -12      -1.07    45.46    -9.28    50.36     1.32   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   47   -3      -2.84    37.79     0.42    47.50     0.95    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   41  -11      -3.52    34.80    -0.56    41.93     1.18   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   41  -12      -2.13    40.83     1.70    42.69     1.29   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   41  -17      -1.26    44.92    -0.34    42.04     1.22   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   41  -19       1.47    57.73     1.68    41.42     0.87   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   40  -16      -0.73    47.40    -0.31    40.44     0.90   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   39  -22      -2.91    37.10    -4.63    40.39     1.32   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   37  -29       6.72    80.85     5.15    37.64     1.05   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   36  -18      -9.37    13.53    -8.79    36.60     1.03   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          37   33  -27      -3.95    32.19    -4.41    34.61     1.29   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R    0.17  
West_Brom        37   31  -23      -8.80    14.29    -5.59    32.03     1.21   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.44  
Stoke            37   30  -34      -6.10    23.18    -8.68    31.10     1.24   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 May 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46   99  +43      18.68    96.73    17.37    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   90  +30      14.69    92.32    11.99    90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   88  +33       8.43    78.99     7.75    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   83  +30       7.70    77.61    12.20    83.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   76  +22      -1.15    45.42     1.68    76.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   75  +22      -0.05    50.00     4.36    75.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   73  +11       5.98    71.90     4.86    73.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   72  +11       9.33    81.52    10.96    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   69  +10      -0.20    49.35     0.95    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   69   +7       4.28    66.15     4.60    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   67   +9       2.17    58.58     6.58    67.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   60   -3      -0.66    47.90     0.22    60.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   60   -5      -2.34    41.16    -4.03    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   60  -11      -2.91    39.23   -10.61    60.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   57   -1      -9.13    19.30    -5.73    57.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   56  -12      -0.71    48.02    -2.05    56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   53  -14      -2.77    39.76    -2.99    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   49   +0     -17.12     5.23    -4.18    49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   46  -30      -1.41    45.16    -7.81    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   44  -22     -10.28    15.26    -8.55    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   43  -35      -1.99    42.71    -8.35    43.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   41  -24     -10.30    15.09    -5.68    41.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   41  -43      -0.43    49.34   -10.27    41.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      46   37  -28     -16.75     4.88   -13.27    37.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 May 2018, Bradford 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   95  +59       2.27    58.56    12.93    96.93     1.25    59.80    88.32   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        45   93  +41       6.63    74.01     4.23    95.10     1.21    42.10    11.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   87  +22      21.39    98.21    16.04    88.80     1.28    22.61     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        45   76  +19       6.52    73.14     7.56    77.70     1.31    19.49     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   73  +15       1.17    54.55     0.10    74.74     1.30    15.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   71   +8       4.77    68.20     1.25    72.37     1.30     8.00     0.00     0.00    99.53    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   68   +2       8.58    80.06     5.09    69.28     1.28     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64  +10      -2.56    40.45     3.11    65.37     1.31     9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   63   -1       3.48    63.57     2.06    64.38     1.31    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   62   -4       0.43    52.13    -3.56    63.65     1.32    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   62  -10       0.05    50.43   -10.39    63.01     1.22   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   60   +6      -1.23    45.85     6.52    61.05     1.24     5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   58   -6      -0.00    50.61     0.35    59.11     1.27    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   56   +1      -3.54    36.98     3.89    56.81     1.13     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   56   -4      -5.57    29.43    -3.61    56.69     1.08    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   54  -11      -5.71    29.08    -7.97    55.57     1.31   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   53   -8      -2.89    39.32     0.36    54.44     1.30    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   52  -11      -5.56    29.46    -4.93    53.16     1.27   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    45   52  -11      -1.01    46.50     0.76    53.67     1.29   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   49  -17      -1.46    44.59    -0.74    50.32     1.30   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.83R    0.00  
Rochdale         45   48   -9     -11.63    12.68    -5.90    49.36     1.29    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.17R    0.00  
Northampton      45   46  -34       0.96    54.94    -7.84    47.41     1.30   -33.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          45   42  -27     -10.24    15.15   -12.96    42.93     1.18   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury             45   35  -30     -11.16    12.16    -6.34    36.05     1.22   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2018, Barnet 3 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   46   93  +30      15.72    93.70     8.83    93.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   88  +48       0.39    50.89    10.06    88.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +19      11.18    85.79     4.53    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   80  +10       9.71    82.53    -0.65    80.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.53P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   77  +23       8.38    78.92    14.84    77.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.97P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   75  +17      -0.96    46.10    -1.79    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.65P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   75  +16       9.49    81.58    12.31    75.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   72  +15       2.01    57.71     4.73    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon              46   68   +2      -2.00    42.52    -8.18    68.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +8      -0.04    50.07     2.29    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   64   -2       6.58    74.39     6.24    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   64   -4       0.69    53.25    -4.50    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   62   +1      -4.25    34.50    -3.79    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   59   -8       2.93    61.78     2.94    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   56  -13      -1.46    44.97    -3.40    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   55   -5      -6.82    25.77    -2.71    55.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   51   -6      -6.85    25.36     2.78    51.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   51  -24      -0.89    47.14    -7.75    51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -5.68    28.96    -1.33    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   47  -18     -12.39    11.91   -12.60    47.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         46   47  -23      -2.33    41.60    -0.53    47.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -15      -6.88    24.84    -0.48    46.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   46  -19      -8.31    20.28    -6.04    46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         46   38  -36     -12.55    10.58   -15.80    38.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2018, Barrow 1 2 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       46   92  +21      18.18    96.07     5.15    92.00     0.00    21.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   82  +32      -3.12    37.67    -0.70    82.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   79  +14      12.29    87.99     8.44    79.00     0.00    14.00     0.00   100.00    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   75  +17       6.51    73.52     8.63    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   75  +12       3.68    63.93    -0.26    75.00     0.00    12.00     0.00   100.00    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   74  +14       8.25    77.74     9.77    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   73  +26       0.94    53.41    12.35    73.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   73  +18      -1.58    43.85     0.90    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   70  +17       1.99    57.67     9.65    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   70  +10       5.04    69.12     6.28    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   68   +7      -4.59    33.14    -7.33    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   64   -1       5.41    69.86     6.20    64.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      46   60   +2     -10.15    16.93    -8.60    60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   56   -7      -4.28    34.32    -2.43    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   56  -10      -7.93    22.72   -11.45    56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55  -10       1.35    55.78     2.94    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   54   +4     -13.34    10.06    -2.45    54.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   54  -11      -0.53    48.51     1.34    54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   54  -12       0.61    53.23     2.46    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   49  -12     -10.65    15.11    -7.10    49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   48  -21      -5.39    30.36    -5.16    48.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay            46   42  -28      -7.56    22.74    -7.96    42.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chester            46   37  -37      -9.50    16.61   -11.12    37.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Guiseley           46   33  -45      -7.71    21.04    -9.54    33.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00