Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 May 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 May 2018, Chelsea 1 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   97  +78      12.06    95.50    15.75    99.21     1.17    79.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   77  +39       8.00    83.16     9.75    81.41     1.62    41.64     0.00    98.89   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   74  +37      -0.39    47.27    -0.33    76.32     1.11    38.55     0.00     1.11    78.71   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   72  +42       0.14    49.76     7.32    74.41     1.05    43.72     0.00     0.00    21.29    95.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   70  +27       0.06    49.55    -2.63    71.80     1.28    27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   60  +22      -6.59    22.19    -3.37    62.16     1.19    23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   54   -2       9.00    85.56     6.47    55.68     1.29    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   49  -12      -0.93    46.19    -9.11    50.36     1.32   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   47   -3      -2.97    37.16     0.26    47.51     0.96    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   41  -11      -3.70    33.89    -0.78    41.94     1.19   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   41  -12      -2.16    40.96     1.71    42.70     1.29   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   41  -17      -1.29    44.72    -0.39    42.04     1.22   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   41  -19       1.62    58.46     1.96    41.41     0.86   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   40  -16      -0.69    47.68    -0.15    40.43     0.89   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   38  -22      -2.96    36.89    -5.01    40.17     1.75   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   37  -29       6.69    80.68     5.21    37.64     1.05   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   36  -18      -9.26    14.06    -8.63    36.60     1.03   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Swansea          37   33  -27      -3.82    32.99    -4.20    34.62     1.29   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R    0.18  
West_Brom        37   31  -23      -8.56    14.94    -5.20    32.02     1.21   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.51  
Stoke            37   30  -34      -6.10    22.98    -8.63    31.10     1.23   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.31  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 May 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46   99  +43      19.15    97.03    17.92    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   90  +30      14.57    92.36    11.89    90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   88  +33       8.36    78.83     7.59    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.26P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   83  +30       7.61    77.06    12.03    83.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   76  +22      -1.17    45.69     1.60    76.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.69P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   75  +22      -0.02    49.86     4.34    75.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   73  +11       5.93    71.97     4.84    73.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   72  +11       9.37    81.56    11.05    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   69  +10      -0.26    49.17     0.82    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   69   +7       4.11    65.22     4.34    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   67   +9       1.94    57.60     6.29    67.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   60   -3      -0.54    48.17     0.42    60.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   60   -5      -2.38    41.47    -4.03    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   60  -11      -2.78    39.82   -10.47    60.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   57   -1      -9.45    18.22    -6.14    57.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   56  -12      -0.78    47.60    -2.15    56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   53  -14      -2.60    40.70    -2.77    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   49   +0     -17.09     5.35    -4.08    49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   46  -30      -1.51    44.87    -7.96    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   44  -22     -10.20    15.87    -8.42    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   43  -35      -1.95    43.13    -8.37    43.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   41  -24     -10.22    15.27    -5.52    41.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   41  -43      -0.30    50.01   -10.09    41.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      46   37  -28     -16.65     4.78   -13.14    37.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 May 2018, Bradford 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   95  +59       2.35    58.61    13.13    96.93     1.25    59.79    88.10   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        45   93  +41       6.61    74.12     4.18    95.09     1.21    42.10    11.90   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   87  +22      21.20    98.00    15.77    88.81     1.27    22.62     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        45   76  +19       6.41    72.67     7.43    77.71     1.31    19.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   73  +15       1.11    54.33    -0.03    74.75     1.30    15.55     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   71   +8       4.40    67.12     0.75    72.36     1.30     8.01     0.00     0.00    99.51    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   68   +2       8.61    79.79     5.12    69.28     1.28     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64  +10      -2.52    40.42     3.17    65.36     1.31     9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   63   -1       3.43    63.43     1.99    64.39     1.31    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   62   -4       0.46    52.20    -3.55    63.65     1.32    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   62  -10       0.12    51.10   -10.37    63.00     1.22   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   60   +6      -1.50    44.69     6.14    61.04     1.24     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   58   -6       0.28    51.80     0.86    59.12     1.27    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   56   +1      -3.70    36.26     3.68    56.82     1.13     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   56   -4      -5.82    29.03    -3.99    56.69     1.08    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   54  -11      -5.61    29.43    -7.80    55.59     1.31   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   53   -8      -2.67    40.20     0.64    54.44     1.30    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   52  -11      -5.24    30.42    -4.42    53.15     1.27   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    45   52  -11      -1.23    45.51     0.39    53.66     1.29   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   49  -17      -1.28    45.54    -0.51    50.32     1.29   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.00  
Rochdale         45   48   -9     -11.39    13.24    -5.56    49.36     1.30    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.95R    0.00  
Northampton      45   46  -34       1.12    55.56    -7.58    47.41     1.30   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          45   42  -27     -10.13    15.38   -12.81    42.93     1.18   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury             45   35  -30     -11.33    11.95    -6.63    36.07     1.23   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2018, Barnet 3 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   46   93  +30      15.52    93.49     8.57    93.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   88  +48       0.47    51.13    10.22    88.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +19      10.92    85.26     4.14    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   80  +10       9.69    82.32    -0.68    80.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   77  +23       8.41    79.00    14.98    77.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   75  +17      -0.63    47.29    -1.34    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   75  +16       9.52    81.39    12.31    75.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   72  +15       2.29    58.84     5.16    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon              46   68   +2      -1.93    42.92    -8.07    68.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +8      -0.05    50.23     2.21    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   64   -2       6.64    74.50     6.38    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   64   -4       0.61    52.72    -4.60    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   62   +1      -4.27    34.41    -3.77    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   59   -8       2.94    61.77     2.97    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   56  -13      -1.37    45.39    -3.36    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   55   -5      -6.74    25.98    -2.61    55.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   51   -6      -6.88    25.57     2.72    51.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   51  -24      -0.56    48.63    -7.26    51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -5.91    28.29    -1.73    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   47  -18     -12.74    11.17   -13.09    47.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         46   47  -23      -2.06    43.02    -0.12    47.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -15      -7.04    24.29    -0.66    46.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   46  -19      -8.35    20.66    -6.06    46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         46   38  -36     -12.87    10.01   -16.32    38.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2018, Barrow 1 2 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       46   92  +21      18.28    96.23     5.29    92.00     0.00    21.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   82  +32      -3.18    37.27    -0.82    82.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    40.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   79  +14      12.36    88.25     8.59    79.00     0.00    14.00     0.00   100.00    18.72P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   75  +17       6.79    74.30     8.97    75.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    21.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   75  +12       3.66    63.86    -0.30    75.00     0.00    12.00     0.00   100.00    18.80P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   74  +14       8.30    78.18     9.87    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   73  +26       0.76    52.91    12.14    73.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   73  +18      -1.51    44.36     0.99    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   70  +17       2.02    57.72     9.71    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   70  +10       4.75    68.12     5.88    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   68   +7      -4.49    33.60    -7.20    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   64   -1       5.40    69.65     6.13    64.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      46   60   +2     -10.42    16.38    -8.96    60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   56   -7      -4.16    34.73    -2.23    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   56  -10      -8.06    22.31   -11.63    56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55  -10       1.91    58.10     3.76    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   54   +4     -13.32    10.10    -2.36    54.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   54  -11      -0.72    47.77     1.10    54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   54  -12       0.32    52.15     1.95    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   49  -12     -10.74    14.79    -7.31    49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   48  -21      -5.34    30.70    -5.07    48.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay            46   42  -28      -7.76    21.94    -8.27    42.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chester            46   37  -37      -9.34    16.91   -10.84    37.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Guiseley           46   33  -45      -7.68    21.04    -9.38    33.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00