Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 24 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2018, Everton 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 34 90 +73 12.39 96.48 16.45 100.14 1.91 82.11 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 34 74 +39 8.48 85.53 10.55 82.30 2.42 43.27 0.00 88.47 96.83 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 35 71 +43 2.14 59.63 8.15 77.16 1.92 46.69 0.00 5.77 56.41 97.76 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 34 68 +35 -0.21 48.23 0.39 77.26 2.22 41.16 0.00 5.76 46.54 97.88 100.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 34 63 +25 -1.13 43.94 -2.24 70.97 2.44 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 4.37 100.00 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 34 57 +20 -4.55 28.78 -3.80 63.70 2.51 21.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.41 0.00 0.00
Burnley 35 53 +3 8.73 85.24 8.54 57.20 2.12 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.59 0.00 0.00
Everton 35 45 -14 -1.38 44.08 -9.77 49.87 2.27 -12.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 34 44 +2 -3.14 35.57 3.00 49.04 2.48 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 34 41 -8 -0.96 46.00 0.25 45.49 2.40 -9.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 35 38 -17 -1.27 44.31 0.29 41.78 2.18 -17.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00
Watford 35 38 -18 0.35 52.52 1.18 40.16 1.76 -21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00
Brighton 34 36 -15 -1.85 41.94 -1.21 38.32 1.95 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.21R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 35 35 -18 -3.38 34.51 -1.00 39.30 2.26 -17.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00
West_Ham 34 35 -21 -4.10 31.44 -5.55 38.47 2.33 -24.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.56R 0.00
Huddersfield 34 35 -27 7.13 83.24 4.22 37.01 1.84 -34.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.22R 0.00
Swansea 34 33 -24 -1.59 42.64 -3.41 37.86 2.51 -24.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.41R 0.01
Southampton 34 29 -20 -11.92 6.72 -10.04 33.52 2.45 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.65R 2.45
Stoke 35 29 -33 -5.28 25.49 -9.06 31.85 1.97 -35.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.68R 8.91
West_Brom 35 25 -25 -12.00 6.07 -6.96 27.70 2.01 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 88.63
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2018, Derby 3 1 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 44 98 +46 19.95 97.86 19.57 101.73 1.82 47.45 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 44 86 +28 14.54 92.59 11.65 89.36 1.83 28.90 0.00 48.64 100.00 61.07P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 44 85 +34 8.10 78.67 8.63 89.12 1.73 36.15 0.00 50.30 100.00 64.40P 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 44 82 +31 9.17 81.85 12.82 85.01 1.83 31.40 0.00 1.06 100.00 26.30P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 44 72 +20 -1.47 44.37 1.05 75.37 1.81 20.87 0.00 0.00 91.84 24.79P 0.00 0.00
Derby 44 71 +19 -0.11 49.54 3.22 74.19 1.76 19.71 0.00 0.00 83.92 19.27P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 44 69 +12 8.17 78.83 10.93 71.18 1.72 11.30 0.00 0.00 10.04 1.52P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 44 68 +12 0.94 53.63 2.03 71.30 1.88 12.82 0.00 0.00 9.96 1.91P 0.00 0.00
Preston 44 67 +9 3.64 64.20 4.26 70.31 1.76 9.83 0.00 0.00 3.35 0.58P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 44 66 +10 3.66 64.05 7.25 68.96 1.87 10.31 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.11P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 44 66 +7 3.95 65.02 4.49 68.66 1.85 6.88 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.04P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 44 57 -6 -2.36 41.07 -4.61 59.83 1.83 -5.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Norwich 44 57 -8 -4.48 33.08 -9.66 59.77 1.84 -7.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 44 56 -7 -0.32 49.31 -1.47 58.39 1.78 -7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 44 53 -5 -9.07 18.09 -7.82 55.41 1.76 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
QPR 44 53 -12 -0.78 47.68 -1.77 55.84 1.81 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 44 52 -13 -1.33 45.03 -2.49 54.80 1.84 -12.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hull 44 48 +2 -16.46 5.62 -3.81 50.44 1.84 1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reading 44 43 -18 -10.16 15.10 -6.89 45.27 1.73 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00
Birmingham 44 43 -30 -1.91 42.86 -8.33 44.82 1.67 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14R 0.00
Bolton 44 40 -34 -2.55 40.47 -8.05 42.56 1.82 -34.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.93R 0.22
Barnsley 44 38 -23 -11.06 12.57 -5.59 39.87 1.69 -24.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.28R 1.57
Burton_Albion 44 38 -44 -0.64 48.52 -11.19 40.12 1.68 -44.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.35R 2.94
Sunderland 44 34 -30 -16.24 4.71 -14.21 35.54 1.60 -32.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 95.27
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2018, Bradford 2 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wigan 44 94 +59 2.98 61.44 13.28 98.26 1.67 61.22 77.05 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 44 93 +42 7.88 78.42 4.79 96.75 1.79 43.51 22.95 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 44 86 +22 21.68 98.51 15.92 89.11 1.82 22.55 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.23P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 44 76 +20 7.34 76.00 7.75 79.18 1.86 20.65 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.82P 0.00 0.00
Charlton 44 68 +7 3.01 61.90 0.17 70.44 1.80 6.58 0.00 0.00 79.26 18.20P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 43 67 +11 -0.42 48.31 -1.43 72.06 2.27 12.38 0.00 0.00 89.69 24.93P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 43 65 +3 7.89 78.84 5.45 68.55 2.22 2.22 0.00 0.00 26.13 4.84P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 44 63 +0 4.42 66.98 2.50 65.96 1.87 0.32 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.48P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 44 61 +8 -3.37 37.44 2.40 63.97 1.87 8.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bradford 43 61 -8 1.25 55.16 -9.20 65.27 2.24 -7.79 0.00 0.00 2.23 0.51P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 44 59 +6 -0.85 46.99 6.57 61.41 1.79 5.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southend 44 59 -6 -0.35 49.05 -4.33 61.78 1.84 -5.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 44 57 -6 0.67 53.00 0.84 59.70 1.84 -6.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 43 54 +1 -3.06 38.59 3.78 57.85 2.17 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 44 54 -9 -5.32 30.34 -7.37 56.71 1.84 -9.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 44 53 -5 -6.91 25.34 -4.21 55.25 1.72 -5.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00
Gillingham 44 52 -8 -2.54 40.47 0.35 54.61 1.83 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 43 50 -11 -0.85 47.10 0.07 53.24 2.03 -12.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.15R 0.00
Rochdale 44 48 -8 -10.55 14.63 -5.31 50.56 1.83 -8.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.64R 0.00
Walsall 43 48 -12 -6.32 26.36 -5.08 52.03 2.21 -12.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.90R 0.00
Oldham 44 48 -17 -1.10 46.27 -0.53 50.63 1.84 -17.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.82R 0.00
Northampton 44 46 -33 2.00 59.43 -7.12 48.37 1.79 -33.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.17R 0.00
MK_Dons 44 42 -25 -9.78 15.94 -12.31 44.08 1.74 -25.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Bury 44 32 -31 -12.74 8.83 -6.98 34.26 1.79 -31.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, Barnet 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Accrington_Stanley 43 90 +33 15.84 94.83 10.23 94.87 2.28 34.10 99.25 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Luton 44 84 +46 0.56 51.40 10.31 87.91 1.73 47.97 0.75 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 44 78 +17 8.67 80.42 3.64 81.48 1.85 18.09 0.00 64.21 100.00 73.64P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 44 77 +11 9.10 81.32 -0.18 80.03 1.86 11.42 0.00 21.04 100.00 40.78P 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 44 76 +24 9.61 82.68 15.03 78.78 1.84 24.04 0.00 13.14 100.00 32.83P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 43 71 +15 9.70 82.95 11.49 74.67 2.12 14.39 0.00 0.28 83.82 16.78P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 43 71 +14 1.25 54.90 -1.76 76.24 2.23 15.60 0.00 1.33 94.17 30.73P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 44 68 +14 1.71 56.93 5.11 71.35 1.84 14.88 0.00 0.00 22.00 5.25P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 44 64 -1 -2.02 42.26 -9.25 66.53 1.84 -1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 44 63 +7 -0.69 47.58 2.16 66.04 1.83 7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Colchester 44 61 +2 -2.92 38.83 -3.31 63.65 1.82 1.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 43 60 -8 2.33 59.69 -6.25 64.18 2.26 -7.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 44 58 -7 4.11 66.34 3.15 60.48 1.78 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 42 57 -3 5.26 70.82 5.62 61.77 2.57 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 44 52 -6 -6.93 25.19 -3.47 54.29 1.79 -6.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 44 51 +0 -6.46 26.01 4.90 53.45 1.83 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crewe 44 50 -15 -4.02 35.13 -4.44 52.71 1.86 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 44 47 -12 -12.35 11.18 -10.66 49.64 1.82 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 43 46 -15 -4.26 33.61 -1.24 49.87 2.22 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00
Forest_Green 43 46 -18 -1.33 45.51 0.94 49.18 2.08 -19.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74R 0.00
Grimsby 44 45 -28 -2.47 40.79 -9.17 47.28 1.80 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81R 0.00
Morecambe 43 44 -14 -5.61 28.43 -0.31 47.74 2.16 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.78R 0.00
Barnet 44 40 -23 -9.82 15.56 -7.19 42.75 1.83 -22.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.55R 12.70
Chesterfield 43 35 -33 -13.14 9.17 -15.36 38.78 2.25 -33.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 87.30
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Macclesfield 45 89 +19 17.47 95.96 4.43 90.54 1.32 19.25 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 44 82 +34 -0.59 47.15 0.87 86.19 1.71 36.14 0.00 100.00 43.78P 0.00 0.00
Sutton_United 45 76 +13 11.15 86.02 8.20 77.40 1.30 13.06 0.00 100.00 16.29P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 45 75 +13 4.77 67.95 0.35 76.32 1.29 12.94 0.00 85.78 19.46P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Fylde 45 72 +26 0.96 53.51 11.83 73.29 1.29 25.90 0.00 37.91 7.16P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 45 72 +15 6.37 73.60 8.78 74.08 1.20 16.01 0.00 39.77 7.06P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 45 70 +17 -2.93 38.66 0.31 71.68 1.32 17.45 0.00 2.82 0.61P 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 44 70 +11 8.53 79.20 8.91 72.59 1.81 10.81 0.00 15.46 2.51P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 44 69 +20 2.44 59.48 10.74 72.26 1.87 20.76 0.00 18.26 3.13P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 45 69 +10 5.21 69.92 6.08 70.43 1.30 10.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 45 68 +9 -4.09 34.51 -6.68 69.20 1.28 8.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maidenhead 44 58 -5 4.10 65.77 5.09 60.16 1.78 -5.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 44 57 +1 -9.60 17.66 -8.35 60.05 1.83 1.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 44 54 +9 -12.37 11.01 -0.03 57.17 1.85 9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Halifax 45 54 -10 1.80 57.77 3.35 55.19 1.27 -10.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 45 53 -10 -4.72 32.62 -3.65 54.29 1.30 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hartlepool 45 53 -11 -9.41 18.53 -12.22 53.74 1.10 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maidstone_United 45 53 -12 0.87 54.21 2.49 54.54 1.31 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Solihull_Moors 44 51 -9 -1.85 43.10 1.64 53.07 1.68 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00
Barrow 44 48 -11 -9.64 16.91 -7.19 50.87 1.79 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.35R 0.00
Woking 45 48 -20 -4.52 33.27 -4.87 49.08 1.26 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.62R 0.00
Torquay 44 41 -27 -6.15 26.50 -7.79 43.96 1.83 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Chester 45 34 -38 -11.24 11.88 -12.13 34.90 1.19 -38.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 3.25
Guiseley 44 30 -44 -8.77 16.55 -10.15 31.69 1.62 -45.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.75
