Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2018, Arsenal 4 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         34   90  +73      12.26    96.51    16.25   100.15     1.90    82.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   74  +39       8.46    85.47    10.48    82.29     2.42    43.27     0.00    88.58    96.78    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   71  +43       2.16    59.51     8.22    77.15     1.90    46.66     0.00     5.51    55.80    97.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +35      -0.26    47.76     0.24    77.28     2.22    41.20     0.00     5.92    47.16    97.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   63  +25      -1.17    43.77    -2.39    70.97     2.44    29.01     0.00     0.00     0.26     4.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   57  +20      -4.41    29.61    -3.52    63.69     2.51    21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.33     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   53   +3       8.81    85.68     8.64    57.18     2.13     2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   +2      -3.35    34.81     2.71    49.05     2.49     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   42  -15      -2.43    38.87    -9.78    48.56     2.64   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   41   -7      -0.15    49.74     0.44    46.53     2.73    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   38  -17      -1.54    43.56    -0.04    41.82     2.18   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          35   38  -18       0.45    53.24     1.35    40.13     1.75   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         34   36  -15      -1.90    41.66    -1.34    38.35     1.95   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   35  -18      -3.46    34.34    -1.10    39.30     2.26   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
West_Ham         34   35  -21      -4.17    30.91    -5.65    38.48     2.34   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.47R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   35  -27       7.15    83.17     4.35    37.03     1.85   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.13R    0.00  
Swansea          34   33  -24      -1.43    43.81    -3.21    37.83     2.50   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.83R    0.02  
Southampton      34   29  -20     -11.78     6.80    -9.82    33.52     2.45   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.55R    2.33  
Stoke            35   29  -33      -5.22    25.89    -8.93    31.84     1.97   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R    9.02  
West_Brom        35   25  -25     -11.96     6.39    -6.89    27.70     2.01   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   88.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, Birmingham 2 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   44   98  +46      19.64    97.75    19.13   101.76     1.82    47.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   86  +30      15.09    93.77    12.54    90.61     2.23    30.76     0.00    64.19   100.00    73.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   85  +34       8.32    79.22     9.00    89.12     1.73    36.13     0.00    35.21   100.00    54.31P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   82  +31       9.21    82.34    12.87    85.02     1.82    31.42     0.00     0.59   100.00    26.45P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   72  +20      -1.05    45.68     1.57    75.33     1.81    20.82     0.00     0.00    94.01    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   69  +12       8.07    78.76    10.75    71.19     1.73    11.31     0.00     0.00    16.40     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   68  +17      -0.75    46.93     2.63    72.61     2.22    17.78     0.00     0.00    57.95    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   68  +12       0.80    53.22     1.89    71.27     1.88    12.79     0.00     0.00    19.95     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   67   +9       3.60    64.14     4.13    70.32     1.76     9.84     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   66  +10       3.53    63.42     7.07    68.98     1.87    10.36     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   66   +7       4.16    65.58     4.76    68.66     1.83     6.88     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   57   -6      -2.12    41.84    -4.22    59.81     1.84    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   57   -8      -4.33    33.95    -9.44    59.78     1.84    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   56   -7      -0.52    48.62    -1.76    58.41     1.80    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   53   -5      -8.96    19.02    -7.64    55.40     1.76    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   53  -12      -0.89    46.91    -2.02    55.84     1.80   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   49  -16      -1.56    44.41    -3.45    53.35     2.28   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   48   +2     -16.48     5.57    -3.84    50.43     1.84     1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   43  -18     -10.35    15.01    -7.29    45.27     1.74   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   43  -30      -2.11    42.00    -8.61    44.83     1.68   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.00  
Bolton          44   40  -34      -2.58    40.15    -8.09    42.60     1.82   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.72R    0.30  
Barnsley        43   38  -20     -11.27    12.12    -5.09    41.07     2.15   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.43R    0.74  
Burton_Albion   44   38  -44      -0.34    49.93   -10.74    40.10     1.68   -44.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.64R    3.24  
Sunderland      44   34  -30     -16.23     4.82   -14.15    35.51     1.59   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   93  +59       3.63    64.36    13.56    99.33     2.08    62.27    92.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        43   90  +41       6.53    74.59     4.09    95.60     2.22    43.22     7.86    99.72   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   83  +20      20.87    98.22    15.04    87.58     2.26    20.68     0.00     0.28   100.00    23.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        44   76  +20       7.07    75.08     7.30    79.16     1.86    20.62     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   68   +7       3.08    62.15     0.27    70.40     1.80     6.54     0.00     0.00    74.09    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   67  +11      -0.48    48.21    -1.47    72.07     2.27    12.39     0.00     0.00    88.54    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   64   +3       8.14    79.45     5.37    68.78     2.56     2.02     0.00     0.00    29.79     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   63   +0       4.31    66.65     2.37    65.93     1.87     0.28     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   61  +10      -3.01    38.55     2.88    65.23     2.28    10.19     0.00     0.00     4.08     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   59   +6      -0.92    46.62     6.51    61.43     1.80     5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   58  -10       0.62    52.84    -9.74    63.95     2.62    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   56   -6       0.85    54.04     0.55    59.44     2.16    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   56   -9      -0.73    47.57    -5.34    60.15     2.27    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   54   +2      -2.26    41.40     3.97    58.75     2.49     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   54   -9      -5.33    30.28    -7.34    56.70     1.83    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       44   53   -5      -6.81    25.36    -4.02    55.22     1.71    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   52   -8      -2.50    40.59     0.45    54.62     1.84    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    43   50  -11      -0.98    46.84    -0.07    53.25     2.03   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.69R    0.00  
Walsall          43   48  -12      -6.03    27.39    -4.63    52.03     2.22   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.15R    0.00  
Oldham           43   48  -14      -0.94    46.82     0.63    52.04     2.27   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.34R    0.00  
Rochdale         43   47   -8     -10.07    15.57    -5.16    51.12     2.28    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.73R    0.00  
Northampton      44   46  -33       2.02    59.41    -7.11    48.35     1.80   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons          43   42  -23      -9.20    17.44   -11.42    45.14     2.15   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R    0.00  
Bury             44   32  -31     -12.54     8.81    -6.69    34.26     1.77   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   42   87  +29      15.89    94.97     8.87    92.96     2.62    29.68    87.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   83  +46       0.75    52.32     9.99    88.55     2.18    48.39    12.41    99.86   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   78  +21       8.92    81.17     5.86    82.99     2.29    22.32     0.06    74.21   100.00    81.24P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   76  +11       9.64    83.10     0.05    80.96     2.25    12.23     0.00    21.80    99.99    41.95P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   73  +21       9.25    82.00    13.98    77.63     2.26    21.74     0.00     3.84    99.47    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   68  +14       8.56    80.26    11.15    73.17     2.51    13.60     0.00     0.05    61.69    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   68  +12       0.60    52.42    -2.33    75.05     2.58    14.24     0.00     0.25    83.78    26.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   67  +14       2.14    58.34     5.22    72.08     2.26    15.39     0.00     0.00    51.15    12.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              43   64   +0      -0.69    47.19    -8.41    68.63     2.24     0.75     0.00     0.00     3.25     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   62   +7      -0.37    48.58     2.10    66.16     2.26     7.07     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           43   61   +3      -2.25    41.27    -3.35    64.86     2.23     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       41   57   -1       5.83    73.45     6.43    63.14     2.89    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   57   -7       4.44    67.85     3.00    60.31     2.14    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   57   -9       1.34    56.04    -6.40    62.72     2.61    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   52   -4      -6.57    25.67    -3.04    55.18     2.15    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   51   +1      -5.59    29.22     4.98    54.61     2.23     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   47  -16      -5.23    30.33    -4.63    51.35     2.30   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               42   46  -12      -4.25    33.53    -0.53    50.85     2.53   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            43   46  -12     -11.93    11.68   -10.58    49.65     2.21   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            42   44  -13      -4.79    31.53    -0.03    48.89     2.51   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Forest_Green         42   43  -21      -1.73    44.14    -0.29    47.59     2.46   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    0.24  
Grimsby              43   42  -29      -3.93    34.58    -9.85    45.06     2.13   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.00R    1.44  
Barnet               43   37  -25     -10.44    13.62    -7.66    41.11     2.25   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.81R   35.91  
Chesterfield         42   35  -30     -13.05     8.73   -14.55    40.08     2.63   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.78R   62.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2018, Guiseley 3 5 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       44   86  +17      16.82    95.21     3.82    89.04     1.87    17.43    90.24   100.00    92.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           43   79  +32      -1.24    44.49     0.17    85.05     2.14    34.85     9.76   100.00    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   74  +13       5.19    69.74     0.41    77.12     1.83    13.55     0.00    83.09    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   73  +12       9.84    83.70     7.72    75.61     1.83    11.82     0.00    59.32     9.42P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   72  +16       7.34    76.80     9.13    75.27     1.75    16.78     0.00    62.93    12.32P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   71  +26       1.52    55.70    12.11    74.26     1.82    26.80     0.00    45.44     9.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   70  +12       9.35    81.96     9.21    74.11     2.25    12.02     0.00    36.20     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   69  +11       5.95    72.63     6.24    71.57     1.81    10.81     0.00     5.75     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   67  +16      -3.65    35.82     0.70    70.26     1.86    16.76     0.00     0.31     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   66  +19       1.41    55.63    10.61    70.76     2.30    19.95     0.00     6.95     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   65   +8      -5.02    31.36    -6.67    68.12     1.82     8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   58   -4       4.77    68.30     5.08    61.04     2.16    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   54  +10     -11.52    12.50     0.17    58.31     2.25    10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      43   54   +0     -10.80    14.45    -8.73    58.60     2.24     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   54   -8       2.20    59.22     3.93    56.08     1.73    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   53   -8      -4.26    33.92    -2.97    55.56     1.84    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   52  -11      -9.03    19.23   -12.20    54.59     1.71   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   50   -9      -1.67    43.93     1.35    52.88     2.04   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   44   50  -14      -0.11    50.46     1.38    52.85     1.85   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -11      -9.28    17.66    -7.11    50.82     2.17   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.14R    0.00  
Woking             44   45  -21      -5.82    28.05    -5.29    47.59     1.84   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.05R    0.00  
Torquay            43   40  -27      -6.14    26.38    -8.18    43.88     2.18   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R    0.00  
Chester            44   34  -36     -10.48    13.22   -11.24    36.31     1.79   -36.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.36  
Guiseley           43   30  -43      -7.72    19.61    -9.65    32.93     2.09   -44.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.64