Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, Watford 0 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         33   87  +68      12.62    96.75    15.55    99.76     2.09    79.47   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   74  +39       8.39    85.42    10.45    82.28     2.44    43.25     0.00    88.47    96.71    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   71  +43       2.09    59.23     8.09    77.15     1.92    46.68     0.00     5.91    56.19    97.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +35      -0.24    47.93     0.33    77.27     2.22    41.16     0.00     5.61    46.87    97.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   63  +25      -1.19    43.91    -2.29    70.98     2.43    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     4.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   54  +17      -4.70    28.03    -4.15    62.98     2.75    20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.56     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   52   +3       9.27    87.17     8.77    57.63     2.50     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.44     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   +2      -3.30    35.04     2.68    49.06     2.50     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   42  -15      -2.39    39.15    -9.78    48.56     2.63   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   41   -7      -0.01    50.71     0.50    46.53     2.74    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   38  -17      -1.48    43.63    -0.09    41.79     2.19   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Watford          35   38  -18       0.47    53.10     1.28    40.14     1.77   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         34   36  -15      -1.89    41.92    -1.37    38.36     1.96   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
West_Ham         33   35  -18      -3.96    31.91    -4.98    39.05     2.58   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   35  -18      -3.60    33.72    -1.42    39.30     2.27   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   35  -27       7.20    83.31     4.34    37.01     1.84   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.57R    0.00  
Swansea          33   33  -19      -1.93    41.11    -2.14    38.16     2.60   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.58R    0.02  
Southampton      34   29  -20     -11.88     6.77   -10.03    33.53     2.46   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.09R    2.32  
Stoke            34   28  -33      -4.83    27.18    -8.93    32.06     2.36   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.28R   10.31  
West_Brom        35   25  -25     -11.89     6.35    -6.82    27.69     2.01   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   87.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, Birmingham 2 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   44   98  +46      19.67    97.85    19.25   101.78     1.81    47.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   86  +30      15.01    93.54    12.41    90.62     2.23    30.79     0.00    64.68   100.00    74.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   85  +34       8.11    78.55     8.69    89.10     1.75    36.12     0.00    34.72   100.00    54.47P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   82  +31       9.36    82.39    13.16    85.01     1.83    31.41     0.00     0.60   100.00    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   72  +20      -1.13    45.31     1.55    75.34     1.81    20.84     0.00     0.00    93.98    25.16P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   69  +12       8.17    78.77    10.85    71.20     1.74    11.31     0.00     0.00    16.38     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   68  +17      -0.56    47.89     2.97    72.61     2.21    17.76     0.00     0.00    58.04    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   68  +12       0.83    53.32     1.87    71.25     1.88    12.78     0.00     0.00    20.12     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   67   +9       3.62    63.92     4.13    70.32     1.76     9.83     0.00     0.00     7.70     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   66  +10       3.68    64.44     7.29    68.99     1.87    10.35     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   66   +7       3.88    65.09     4.36    68.67     1.84     6.89     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   57   -6      -2.11    42.00    -4.25    59.81     1.83    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   57   -8      -4.38    33.47    -9.48    59.78     1.83    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   56   -7      -0.39    49.18    -1.59    58.41     1.79    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   53   -5      -8.77    19.22    -7.41    55.39     1.75    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   53  -12      -1.06    46.33    -2.30    55.84     1.81   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   49  -16      -1.59    44.39    -3.40    53.34     2.30   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   48   +2     -16.62     5.73    -4.07    50.44     1.84     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   43  -18     -10.36    14.82    -7.26    45.26     1.74   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   43  -30      -2.17    41.90    -8.77    44.83     1.67   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Bolton          44   40  -34      -2.38    40.81    -7.77    42.58     1.81   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.06R    0.33  
Barnsley        43   38  -20     -11.17    12.04    -4.89    41.08     2.14   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.42R    0.71  
Burton_Albion   44   38  -44      -0.67    48.17   -11.33    40.12     1.68   -44.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.54R    3.12  
Sunderland      44   34  -30     -16.12     4.86   -14.00    35.51     1.60   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.85  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   93  +59       3.55    63.87    13.45    99.32     2.09    62.27    92.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        43   90  +41       6.59    74.72     4.18    95.58     2.22    43.17     7.72    99.65   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   83  +20      20.94    98.32    15.16    87.60     2.26    20.71     0.00     0.35   100.00    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        44   76  +20       7.04    75.05     7.31    79.18     1.86    20.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   68   +7       3.16    62.23     0.41    70.41     1.79     6.55     0.00     0.00    74.02    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   67  +11      -0.32    48.60    -1.35    72.06     2.27    12.37     0.00     0.00    88.58    24.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   64   +3       7.99    78.90     5.11    68.77     2.58     2.03     0.00     0.00    29.88     5.66P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   63   +0       4.42    66.80     2.53    65.94     1.87     0.28     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   61  +10      -2.74    39.67     3.25    65.22     2.28    10.17     0.00     0.00     3.92     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   59   +6      -0.77    47.43     6.72    61.43     1.80     5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   58  -10       0.50    52.42    -9.88    63.97     2.62    -9.31     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   56   -6       0.92    54.03     0.69    59.43     2.16    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   56   -9      -0.98    46.51    -5.74    60.18     2.27    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   54   +2      -2.31    41.15     3.93    58.77     2.50     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   54   -9      -5.50    29.74    -7.61    56.70     1.83    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       44   53   -5      -6.87    25.22    -4.08    55.22     1.71    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   52   -8      -2.45    40.95     0.58    54.60     1.83    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    43   50  -11      -0.91    46.83    -0.06    53.23     2.02   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.97R    0.00  
Walsall          43   48  -12      -6.08    27.20    -4.69    52.03     2.24   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.15R    0.00  
Oldham           43   48  -14      -0.91    46.91     0.64    52.02     2.27   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.70R    0.00  
Rochdale         43   47   -8     -10.16    15.47    -5.24    51.12     2.27    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.39R    0.00  
Northampton      44   46  -33       2.07    59.48    -6.96    48.36     1.80   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R    0.00  
MK_Dons          43   42  -23      -9.27    17.24   -11.54    45.13     2.15   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R    0.00  
Bury             44   32  -31     -12.60     8.81    -6.81    34.27     1.78   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   42   87  +29      15.95    94.87     8.98    92.97     2.65    29.69    87.52   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   83  +46       0.83    52.67    10.03    88.56     2.17    48.40    12.42    99.89   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   78  +21       8.69    80.45     5.55    83.00     2.28    22.31     0.06    74.65   100.00    81.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   76  +11       9.56    82.92    -0.00    80.95     2.25    12.23     0.00    21.44    99.99    41.55P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   73  +21       9.76    83.25    14.69    77.61     2.26    21.71     0.00     3.69    99.41    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   68  +14       8.88    81.14    11.65    73.17     2.54    13.59     0.00     0.06    61.75    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   68  +12       0.64    52.43    -2.26    75.05     2.59    14.20     0.00     0.27    83.58    26.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   67  +14       2.18    58.85     5.26    72.07     2.25    15.38     0.00     0.00    51.30    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              43   64   +0      -0.65    47.61    -8.26    68.60     2.25     0.72     0.00     0.00     3.28     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   62   +7      -0.37    48.90     2.03    66.17     2.26     7.07     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           43   61   +3      -2.16    41.83    -3.21    64.85     2.24     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       41   57   -1       5.95    73.60     6.62    63.15     2.90    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   57   -7       4.39    67.70     2.95    60.31     2.15    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   57   -9       1.30    55.67    -6.46    62.72     2.62    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   52   -4      -6.56    25.71    -3.06    55.18     2.14    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   51   +1      -5.83    28.00     4.65    54.64     2.24     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   47  -16      -5.10    30.69    -4.43    51.32     2.29   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               42   46  -12      -4.39    33.03    -0.78    50.87     2.54   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            43   46  -12     -11.85    12.03   -10.46    49.65     2.21   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            42   44  -13      -4.90    31.15    -0.16    48.90     2.51   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Forest_Green         42   43  -21      -1.74    43.88    -0.29    47.61     2.47   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.89R    0.33  
Grimsby              43   42  -29      -4.23    33.54   -10.27    45.10     2.14   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.88R    1.33  
Barnet               43   37  -25     -10.75    12.89    -8.15    41.13     2.26   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.76R   35.58  
Chesterfield         42   35  -30     -13.07     8.90   -14.62    40.06     2.63   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.79R   62.75  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2018, Guiseley 3 5 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       44   86  +17      16.84    95.29     3.87    89.02     1.87    17.40    90.12   100.00    92.95P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           43   79  +32      -1.17    44.69     0.31    85.05     2.14    34.84     9.88   100.00    48.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   74  +13       5.05    68.94     0.16    77.13     1.83    13.55     0.00    82.95    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   73  +12       9.78    83.33     7.63    75.61     1.83    11.83     0.00    59.51     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   72  +16       7.21    76.51     8.94    75.29     1.75    16.80     0.00    63.54    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   71  +26       1.87    56.76    12.63    74.24     1.82    26.77     0.00    44.91     9.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   70  +12       9.21    81.52     9.03    74.11     2.25    12.04     0.00    36.17     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   69  +11       6.12    73.08     6.44    71.57     1.81    10.82     0.00     5.72     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   67  +16      -3.78    35.32     0.49    70.28     1.86    16.78     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   66  +19       1.41    55.65    10.58    70.75     2.29    19.93     0.00     6.83     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   65   +8      -5.02    31.33    -6.67    68.14     1.82     8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   58   -4       4.77    68.28     5.09    61.03     2.16    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   54  +10     -11.45    12.57     0.19    58.28     2.24    10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      43   54   +0     -10.84    14.69    -8.83    58.60     2.25     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   54   -8       2.06    58.95     3.79    56.10     1.73    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   53   -8      -4.13    34.56    -2.75    55.57     1.84    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   52  -11      -8.88    19.60   -12.01    54.58     1.70   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   50   -9      -1.64    44.05     1.34    52.90     2.05   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   44   50  -14      -0.18    50.27     1.35    52.83     1.85   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -11      -9.43    17.23    -7.34    50.81     2.16   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.09R    0.00  
Woking             44   45  -21      -5.92    27.94    -5.51    47.61     1.83   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.08R    0.00  
Torquay            43   40  -27      -6.04    26.79    -8.06    43.88     2.19   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R    0.00  
Chester            44   34  -36     -10.41    13.48   -11.09    36.32     1.78   -36.64     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.13  
Guiseley           43   30  -43      -7.71    19.82    -9.59    32.92     2.09   -44.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.87