Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2018, Burnley 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         33   87  +68      12.69    96.81    15.58    99.76     2.11    79.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   74  +39       8.40    85.30    10.40    82.29     2.42    43.27     0.00    82.43    95.35    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   70  +43       2.95    63.38     8.86    78.24     2.29    47.75     0.00    12.93    66.80    98.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +35      -0.30    47.68     0.16    77.29     2.22    41.23     0.00     4.64    37.68    97.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   63  +25      -1.17    43.51    -2.33    70.95     2.44    28.97     0.00     0.00     0.17     3.59   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   54  +17      -4.73    28.09    -4.15    62.97     2.77    20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   52   +3       9.13    86.90     8.58    57.62     2.49     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.59     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   +2      -3.32    35.16     2.62    49.04     2.50     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   42  -15      -2.39    39.26    -9.83    48.55     2.64   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   41   -7       0.00    50.49     0.56    46.53     2.72    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   38  -17      -1.41    44.09     0.01    41.78     2.19   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          34   37  -18       0.88    55.33     1.54    40.67     2.22   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         34   36  -15      -2.03    41.34    -1.53    38.36     1.95   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
West_Ham         33   35  -18      -4.15    30.85    -5.38    39.09     2.57   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   35  -27       7.28    83.54     4.51    37.02     1.85   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.45R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   34  -18      -3.21    35.14    -1.18    39.54     2.65   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.00  
Swansea          33   33  -19      -1.85    41.57    -1.97    38.14     2.62   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.82R    0.05  
Southampton      34   29  -20     -11.85     6.88    -9.99    33.53     2.45   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.69R    2.27  
Stoke            34   28  -33      -4.87    27.24    -9.10    32.08     2.36   -35.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R    9.64  
West_Brom        34   24  -25     -11.80     6.10    -7.35    27.39     2.31   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   88.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 April 2018, Millwall 0 3 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   43   95  +42      20.20    98.11    18.45   100.59     2.23    44.14    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   85  +34       8.11    78.77     8.65    89.11     1.74    36.14     0.00    49.76   100.00    65.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         42   83  +29      14.05    92.57    12.40    89.54     2.57    30.59     0.01    49.87   100.00    63.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     43   79  +27       9.39    82.80    11.50    83.42     2.24    27.50     0.00     0.37   100.00    25.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   69  +19      -2.37    40.51     1.07    73.54     2.21    19.65     0.00     0.00    68.34    18.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   69  +12       8.09    78.80    10.70    71.24     1.73    11.37     0.00     0.00    16.70     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   68  +18       0.29    51.03     3.21    74.11     2.57    19.01     0.00     0.00    72.91    17.47P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   66   +9       3.91    65.51     4.13    70.95     2.21    10.22     0.00     0.00    15.17     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   66   +8       4.99    69.19     4.94    70.27     2.25     8.24     0.00     0.00    10.12     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   65  +11      -0.25    49.20     1.68    70.13     2.30    12.51     0.00     0.00    10.04     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   65  +10       4.30    66.85     7.47    69.53     2.31    10.60     0.00     0.00     6.73     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   56   -3      -0.50    48.39     0.20    59.68     2.20    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         43   56   -8      -4.22    33.75    -9.71    59.92     2.23    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   54   -7      -3.12    38.03    -4.42    58.56     2.25    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   53  -11       0.16    51.29    -1.58    56.75     2.17   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   50   -8      -9.36    17.27    -8.88    54.11     2.21    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   49  -15      -0.95    46.82    -3.62    54.13     2.56   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   47   +2     -15.94     6.07    -3.67    50.65     2.26     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   43  -15     -10.13    15.27    -6.07    46.31     2.15   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Bolton          43   40  -30      -3.02    38.05    -7.01    43.52     2.17   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.99R    0.24  
Birmingham      43   40  -31      -3.36    36.74    -9.19    42.93     2.09   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.83R    0.12  
Barnsley        42   38  -19     -10.26    14.24    -4.62    42.05     2.48   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.14R    0.62  
Burton_Albion   43   35  -45      -2.01    42.17   -11.82    37.94     2.05   -46.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   49.84  
Sunderland      43   34  -29     -15.17     5.81   -13.80    37.44     2.08   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.31R   49.18  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            42   90  +55       3.93    65.50    12.69    98.09     2.47    58.82    81.77    99.79   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        43   90  +41       6.72    75.08     4.39    95.58     2.22    43.19    18.20    98.63   100.00    99.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   82  +20      21.42    98.58    15.34    88.56     2.60    21.56     0.03     1.58   100.00    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        43   73  +18       6.78    74.63     7.33    77.98     2.28    19.31     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   65   +6       1.96    57.83     0.01    68.71     2.24     5.45     0.00     0.00    37.54     8.75P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   64  +10      -1.43    44.59    -1.56    70.82     2.63    11.95     0.00     0.00    74.86    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   64   +5       8.56    80.83     5.95    70.44     2.93     4.45     0.00     0.00    59.94    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       43   63   +1       5.35    70.49     2.85    67.38     2.29     1.39     0.00     0.00    18.85     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   61  +10      -2.80    39.07     3.14    65.16     2.27    10.09     0.00     0.00     5.58     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   57  -10       0.68    53.11   -10.19    64.22     2.93    -9.46     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   56   +3      -0.91    46.78     5.92    59.61     2.21     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   56   -4       1.26    55.56     1.05    60.45     2.52    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   54   +3      -1.35    44.82     4.35    60.39     2.86     2.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   54   -5      -5.74    28.46    -6.10    57.61     2.18    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southend         42   53  -13      -0.92    46.92    -7.24    58.64     2.64   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   52   -5      -2.46    40.44     1.42    56.11     2.27    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       43   50   -6      -8.39    20.14    -4.85    53.44     2.15    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.52R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    42   49  -11      -0.23    49.98     0.34    53.77     2.43   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.15R    0.00  
Walsall          42   48  -11      -5.32    29.57    -4.61    52.96     2.53   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.98R    0.00  
Oldham           42   47  -14      -0.53    48.39     0.56    52.25     2.61   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.28R    0.00  
Rochdale         42   46   -8      -9.82    15.82    -5.37    51.57     2.64    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.54R    0.00  
Northampton      43   43  -35       0.85    54.87    -8.16    46.49     2.22   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.62R    0.00  
MK_Dons          42   42  -19      -9.36    16.76    -9.80    46.36     2.53   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.35R    0.00  
Bury             43   31  -31     -12.68     8.33    -7.46    34.08     2.12   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   42   87  +29      15.79    94.71     8.73    92.96     2.66    29.67    86.90   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   83  +46       0.78    52.64     9.98    88.59     2.17    48.43    13.02    99.87   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   78  +21       8.85    81.19     5.76    83.01     2.28    22.34     0.08    74.60   100.00    81.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   76  +11       9.54    82.91    -0.10    80.94     2.27    12.23     0.00    21.49    99.99    41.48P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   73  +21       9.61    82.99    14.49    77.61     2.26    21.71     0.00     3.74    99.35    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   68  +14       8.72    80.86    11.34    73.18     2.52    13.61     0.00     0.05    62.33    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   68  +12       0.75    52.80    -2.15    75.04     2.59    14.21     0.00     0.25    83.33    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   67  +14       2.20    58.83     5.34    72.08     2.25    15.40     0.00     0.00    51.14    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              43   64   +0      -0.57    48.00    -8.23    68.60     2.24     0.73     0.00     0.00     3.25     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   62   +7      -0.46    48.30     1.99    66.16     2.25     7.05     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           43   61   +3      -2.02    42.20    -2.99    64.85     2.24     2.64     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       41   57   -1       5.70    72.98     6.28    63.14     2.90    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   57   -7       4.39    67.39     2.92    60.33     2.15    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   57   -9       1.46    56.26    -6.31    62.70     2.60    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   52   -4      -6.58    25.85    -3.12    55.17     2.14    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   51   +1      -5.61    28.77     4.96    54.61     2.23     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   47  -16      -5.28    30.18    -4.69    51.37     2.29   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               42   46  -12      -4.48    32.61    -0.88    50.85     2.54   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            43   46  -12     -12.25    11.28   -11.06    49.68     2.21   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            42   44  -13      -4.67    31.79     0.14    48.86     2.53   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Forest_Green         42   43  -21      -1.76    43.60    -0.32    47.60     2.45   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.27  
Grimsby              43   42  -29      -3.93    34.46    -9.87    45.09     2.14   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.97R    1.31  
Barnet               43   37  -25     -10.80    12.63    -8.16    41.15     2.26   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.39R   34.80  
Chesterfield         42   35  -30     -12.73     9.15   -14.05    40.02     2.61   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.21R   63.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 April 2018, Guiseley 3 5 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       44   86  +17      16.84    95.33     3.84    89.03     1.87    17.43    90.17   100.00    92.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           43   79  +32      -1.13    44.94     0.40    85.05     2.14    34.85     9.83   100.00    48.27P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   74  +13       5.18    69.50     0.37    77.11     1.83    13.54     0.00    82.89    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   73  +12       9.66    82.91     7.49    75.61     1.83    11.83     0.00    59.41     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   72  +16       7.17    76.08     8.93    75.27     1.75    16.78     0.00    63.34    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   71  +26       1.84    56.77    12.64    74.24     1.82    26.78     0.00    44.41     9.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   70  +12       9.14    81.13     8.90    74.15     2.26    12.08     0.00    36.97     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   69  +11       6.04    72.94     6.40    71.58     1.81    10.82     0.00     5.79     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   67  +16      -3.92    34.74     0.21    70.29     1.86    16.80     0.00     0.35     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   66  +19       1.24    55.04    10.31    70.77     2.29    19.95     0.00     6.84     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   65   +8      -5.07    31.12    -6.67    68.13     1.81     8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   58   -4       4.67    68.12     4.92    61.03     2.15    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   54  +10     -11.65    12.29     0.04    58.28     2.25    10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      43   54   +0     -10.88    14.33    -8.85    58.59     2.25     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   54   -8       2.17    59.48     4.02    56.10     1.75    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   53   -8      -4.15    34.59    -2.76    55.57     1.84    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   52  -11      -8.67    20.08   -11.73    54.58     1.70   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   50   -9      -1.54    44.38     1.51    52.89     2.06   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   44   50  -14      -0.20    50.00     1.34    52.85     1.85   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -11      -9.36    17.43    -7.29    50.80     2.17   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.40R    0.00  
Woking             44   45  -21      -5.74    28.40    -5.22    47.59     1.83   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.82R    0.00  
Torquay            43   40  -27      -5.88    27.32    -7.76    43.87     2.19   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R    0.00  
Chester            44   34  -36     -10.47    13.28   -11.34    36.32     1.78   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    7.94  
Guiseley           43   30  -43      -7.73    19.63    -9.70    32.93     2.08   -44.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.06