Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 12 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2018, Arsenal 3 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 32 84 +66 11.62 95.66 14.79 98.00 2.53 77.16 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 71 +38 9.31 88.57 10.88 83.67 2.97 44.80 0.01 75.82 94.50 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 67 +40 2.68 62.60 8.17 77.73 2.51 46.79 0.00 4.66 34.63 98.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 67 +37 1.28 55.67 1.62 79.99 2.86 44.71 0.00 19.52 70.84 99.77 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 32 57 +23 -3.50 32.42 -2.92 68.52 3.08 28.12 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.36 99.64 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 54 +18 -3.59 32.45 -3.78 64.76 3.08 22.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 95.55 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 49 +3 8.81 86.90 8.51 57.05 3.09 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 43 +3 -1.71 41.94 3.47 51.11 3.14 2.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 41 -15 -2.03 40.53 -9.82 49.05 2.96 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 32 38 -8 -1.42 43.68 -0.08 44.43 3.00 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 38 -12 -0.89 46.34 1.06 43.06 2.65 -15.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Watford 33 37 -17 1.92 60.42 1.98 42.19 2.59 -20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Brighton 32 35 -14 -1.05 45.83 -1.76 39.08 2.56 -21.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.11R 0.00 West_Ham 32 34 -18 -3.43 33.94 -4.77 39.90 2.90 -22.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.46R 0.00 Swansea 32 32 -19 -1.51 43.01 -2.02 38.44 2.95 -22.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.92R 0.01 Huddersfield 33 32 -28 5.77 79.30 4.05 35.25 2.26 -35.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.71R 0.04 Crystal_Palace 33 31 -19 -4.41 29.04 -1.64 38.14 2.94 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.51R 0.04 Southampton 32 28 -19 -10.77 8.33 -9.85 34.34 3.03 -21.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.16R 0.51 Stoke 33 27 -33 -4.74 27.27 -9.24 32.02 2.68 -36.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.09R 3.04 West_Brom 33 21 -26 -13.66 3.43 -8.66 24.71 2.44 -30.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 96.37Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Wolverhampton 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 42 92 +40 19.58 97.92 17.90 99.80 2.53 43.38 99.92 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 42 81 +31 8.51 80.62 8.25 88.35 2.59 33.88 0.05 58.97 100.00 71.16P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 80 +27 13.20 91.50 11.46 87.86 2.90 28.51 0.04 39.51 100.00 55.37P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 42 76 +26 8.17 79.78 11.06 82.16 2.60 27.03 0.00 1.52 99.99 26.69P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 68 +20 1.32 55.38 4.74 76.18 2.86 21.95 0.00 0.00 86.36 22.55P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 42 68 +15 8.60 80.92 12.05 72.69 2.55 13.96 0.00 0.00 35.97 6.04P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 66 +18 -3.45 36.37 0.93 72.23 2.59 19.11 0.00 0.00 38.15 10.71P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 42 65 +11 5.04 69.60 7.63 70.49 2.61 11.05 0.00 0.00 12.82 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 65 +8 5.32 70.45 4.88 70.85 2.64 8.53 0.00 0.00 13.96 2.53P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 64 +11 -0.02 50.27 1.40 70.06 2.62 11.79 0.00 0.00 8.40 1.79P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 63 +8 2.73 61.20 3.79 69.30 2.58 9.21 0.00 0.00 4.35 0.85P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 42 56 -2 0.41 51.95 0.59 61.04 2.58 -2.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 42 56 -6 -3.46 36.68 -8.71 61.30 2.61 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 54 -6 -2.36 41.05 -4.19 59.51 2.57 -5.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 53 -10 0.83 53.87 -1.63 58.11 2.56 -10.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 47 +3 -15.04 6.73 -3.40 52.36 2.64 2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 47 -9 -10.50 14.10 -9.17 52.15 2.56 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 46 -16 -2.06 42.11 -3.78 52.51 2.88 -16.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 42 42 -15 -9.65 16.07 -5.89 47.00 2.54 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67R 0.00 Birmingham 42 40 -29 -3.21 37.02 -8.95 43.56 2.34 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.62R 0.01 Bolton 42 39 -30 -2.66 39.67 -7.28 43.59 2.51 -31.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.60R 0.12 Barnsley 41 37 -19 -9.75 14.91 -4.54 42.74 2.82 -20.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.22R 0.33 Sunderland 42 33 -29 -14.70 6.04 -13.67 37.55 2.46 -30.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.41R 26.50 Burton_Albion 42 32 -47 -3.35 35.79 -13.47 35.70 2.35 -49.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.48R 73.04League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 12 April 2018, Bradford 0 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 40 86 +54 3.53 64.13 12.57 98.49 3.04 60.42 79.57 98.50 100.00 99.27P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 41 86 +39 6.75 75.71 4.36 95.48 2.89 42.95 19.83 92.40 100.00 95.88P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 82 +22 22.42 99.02 16.86 90.11 2.93 23.82 0.60 9.10 100.00 32.53P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 41 69 +17 5.54 70.65 6.37 76.07 2.89 17.23 0.00 0.00 98.83 26.24P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 63 +5 9.01 82.15 6.24 70.96 3.25 4.63 0.00 0.00 60.93 11.56P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 41 62 +5 1.72 57.17 -0.85 68.26 2.92 4.21 0.00 0.00 29.74 7.11P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 62 +3 5.95 72.84 3.33 68.89 2.95 3.06 0.00 0.00 36.67 7.34P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 61 +13 -1.28 45.13 4.20 67.69 2.90 12.68 0.00 0.00 27.62 7.10P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 61 +9 -2.69 39.33 -1.93 69.11 2.98 10.83 0.00 0.00 44.70 12.64P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 55 -4 1.45 56.19 0.86 60.30 2.81 -6.57 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 54 -4 -4.86 31.35 -5.75 58.87 2.54 -4.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 40 54 -12 0.16 50.92 -10.46 62.59 3.23 -11.48 0.00 0.00 1.23 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 42 53 +2 -2.41 40.77 5.14 58.04 2.58 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Southend 41 53 -11 -0.32 49.33 -6.36 59.93 2.97 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.05R 0.00 Gillingham 41 51 -4 -1.06 46.11 2.09 57.81 2.96 -4.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Doncaster 39 50 +2 -1.98 42.43 4.16 59.58 3.43 1.97 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.06P 0.20R 0.00 Walsall 41 48 -10 -4.25 33.48 -4.11 54.68 2.89 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.81R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 47 -7 -8.19 20.29 -5.26 52.48 2.74 -9.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.44R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 46 -12 -1.72 43.40 -0.55 51.81 2.74 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.79R 0.00 Oldham 40 45 -14 -0.24 49.92 0.24 52.70 3.20 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.61R 0.00 Rochdale 40 42 -9 -10.80 13.21 -5.71 50.38 3.26 -8.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.22R 0.00 MK_Dons 41 42 -18 -8.48 18.89 -9.44 47.79 2.86 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.12R 0.03 Northampton 42 40 -36 -0.29 49.91 -8.51 44.58 2.55 -37.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.45R 1.68 Bury 41 30 -30 -11.37 10.48 -7.49 35.54 2.77 -31.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.29League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2018, Morecambe 2 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Accrington_Stanley 40 83 +27 15.73 95.04 8.47 92.71 3.25 29.16 85.43 99.94 100.00 99.95P 0.00 0.00 Luton 42 80 +44 0.37 50.98 10.02 87.85 2.46 47.94 14.16 99.61 100.00 99.77P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 74 +20 7.98 79.30 5.22 81.84 3.01 21.47 0.37 66.88 99.97 76.09P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 72 +10 8.84 81.57 -0.30 79.92 2.91 11.59 0.04 26.29 99.55 45.28P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 42 70 +19 8.51 80.44 13.39 75.69 2.60 19.32 0.00 3.11 94.16 22.57P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 67 +15 9.82 84.25 11.58 74.83 3.19 14.49 0.00 3.57 81.68 19.81P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 65 +11 -0.44 48.00 -2.49 73.54 2.91 13.39 0.00 0.59 71.23 22.95P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 64 +13 0.81 53.47 4.66 70.57 2.62 14.57 0.00 0.01 31.85 8.11P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 42 64 +1 0.01 49.79 -8.40 70.07 2.61 1.87 0.00 0.00 16.71 4.33P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 42 61 +7 -0.08 49.61 2.03 66.61 2.62 7.18 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 42 61 +5 -1.42 44.80 -2.12 66.49 2.62 5.03 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 57 -6 5.44 71.68 3.48 61.51 2.49 -7.46 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 40 54 -2 4.53 68.97 5.98 61.43 3.20 -3.15 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 54 -11 0.37 51.80 -7.39 60.74 2.91 -11.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 42 52 -2 -5.69 28.75 -1.80 56.87 2.54 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 42 51 +2 -4.31 33.62 5.94 56.54 2.61 2.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 42 47 -14 -4.96 31.13 -4.66 51.93 2.52 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 40 46 -9 -3.10 37.86 0.13 52.92 3.10 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 42 43 -13 -13.36 9.01 -11.20 48.16 2.58 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46R 0.05 Morecambe 41 43 -13 -4.43 32.43 0.09 49.20 2.85 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.26R 0.08 Grimsby 42 41 -29 -3.54 35.90 -9.84 45.61 2.51 -30.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.29R 6.25 Forest_Green 41 40 -22 -3.08 38.21 -0.63 45.41 2.76 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.98R 6.64 Barnet 42 36 -25 -10.49 13.20 -8.31 41.35 2.60 -25.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.11R 44.97 Chesterfield 40 35 -28 -11.16 11.84 -13.85 42.13 3.19 -29.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.88R 42.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2018, Barrow 3 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 43 85 +17 17.34 95.96 4.09 89.59 2.29 17.68 97.39 100.00 98.04P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 73 +29 -3.03 37.31 -0.59 82.19 2.86 32.43 2.61 99.30 41.45P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 42 72 +13 11.22 86.99 8.15 77.73 2.66 13.39 0.00 79.11 13.12P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 43 71 +27 2.74 60.13 12.86 75.93 2.26 28.25 0.00 69.86 14.87P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 42 71 +14 4.29 66.63 0.51 76.63 2.57 14.25 0.00 68.09 15.66P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 43 69 +14 6.65 75.22 8.46 74.20 2.18 15.53 0.00 33.96 6.37P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 69 +12 6.97 76.43 6.82 72.99 2.24 11.89 0.00 16.75 2.95P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 67 +18 -1.88 42.49 1.27 73.28 2.65 19.18 0.00 25.68 6.38P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 41 64 +10 6.86 75.42 8.45 70.60 2.96 9.63 0.00 6.19 0.96P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 41 60 +15 0.03 50.37 9.45 67.61 3.01 16.12 0.00 0.90 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 59 +7 -6.47 25.64 -6.74 66.64 2.92 8.23 0.00 0.15 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 53 +1 -9.89 16.09 -8.92 60.14 2.92 1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 42 53 -5 -2.94 38.90 -2.03 58.12 2.60 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 42 53 -7 3.31 63.62 4.12 57.64 2.54 -8.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Maidenhead 41 52 -6 2.60 61.05 4.62 57.41 2.84 -8.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 40 50 +9 -11.10 12.19 -0.29 58.68 3.21 9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Hartlepool 42 48 -12 -9.74 16.77 -12.37 53.09 2.52 -12.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.53R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 42 47 -11 -2.28 41.33 0.70 51.63 2.44 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.94R 0.00 Maidstone_United 43 47 -15 -1.53 44.61 0.85 50.92 2.26 -15.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.54R 0.00 Woking 43 45 -19 -5.24 30.13 -4.63 48.83 2.27 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.86R 0.00 Barrow 41 44 -11 -9.43 16.64 -6.81 50.92 2.90 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.63R 0.00 Torquay 42 37 -28 -7.38 21.83 -8.50 42.31 2.57 -28.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.48R 1.28 Chester 43 34 -34 -9.82 14.69 -10.62 37.14 2.12 -35.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 31.37 Guiseley 40 30 -38 -5.85 25.44 -8.84 35.94 3.02 -41.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 67.35