Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2018, Arsenal 3 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         32   84  +66      11.62    95.66    14.79    98.00     2.53    77.16    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   71  +38       9.31    88.57    10.88    83.67     2.97    44.80     0.01    75.82    94.50    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   67  +40       2.68    62.60     8.17    77.73     2.51    46.79     0.00     4.66    34.63    98.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   67  +37       1.28    55.67     1.62    79.99     2.86    44.71     0.00    19.52    70.84    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   57  +23      -3.50    32.42    -2.92    68.52     3.08    28.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.36    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   54  +18      -3.59    32.45    -3.78    64.76     3.08    22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    95.55     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   49   +3       8.81    86.90     8.51    57.05     3.09     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   43   +3      -1.71    41.94     3.47    51.11     3.14     2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41  -15      -2.03    40.53    -9.82    49.05     2.96   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   38   -8      -1.42    43.68    -0.08    44.43     3.00   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -12      -0.89    46.34     1.06    43.06     2.65   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          33   37  -17       1.92    60.42     1.98    42.19     2.59   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         32   35  -14      -1.05    45.83    -1.76    39.08     2.56   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
West_Ham         32   34  -18      -3.43    33.94    -4.77    39.90     2.90   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.00  
Swansea          32   32  -19      -1.51    43.01    -2.02    38.44     2.95   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.92R    0.01  
Huddersfield     33   32  -28       5.77    79.30     4.05    35.25     2.26   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.71R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   33   31  -19      -4.41    29.04    -1.64    38.14     2.94   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.51R    0.04  
Southampton      32   28  -19     -10.77     8.33    -9.85    34.34     3.03   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.16R    0.51  
Stoke            33   27  -33      -4.74    27.27    -9.24    32.02     2.68   -36.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.09R    3.04  
West_Brom        33   21  -26     -13.66     3.43    -8.66    24.71     2.44   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   96.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Wolverhampton 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   92  +40      19.58    97.92    17.90    99.80     2.53    43.38    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          42   81  +31       8.51    80.62     8.25    88.35     2.59    33.88     0.05    58.97   100.00    71.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   80  +27      13.20    91.50    11.46    87.86     2.90    28.51     0.04    39.51   100.00    55.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   76  +26       8.17    79.78    11.06    82.16     2.60    27.03     0.00     1.52    99.99    26.69P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   68  +20       1.32    55.38     4.74    76.18     2.86    21.95     0.00     0.00    86.36    22.55P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        42   68  +15       8.60    80.92    12.05    72.69     2.55    13.96     0.00     0.00    35.97     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   66  +18      -3.45    36.37     0.93    72.23     2.59    19.11     0.00     0.00    38.15    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   65  +11       5.04    69.60     7.63    70.49     2.61    11.05     0.00     0.00    12.82     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   65   +8       5.32    70.45     4.88    70.85     2.64     8.53     0.00     0.00    13.96     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   64  +11      -0.02    50.27     1.40    70.06     2.62    11.79     0.00     0.00     8.40     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   63   +8       2.73    61.20     3.79    69.30     2.58     9.21     0.00     0.00     4.35     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   56   -2       0.41    51.95     0.59    61.04     2.58    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         42   56   -6      -3.46    36.68    -8.71    61.30     2.61    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   54   -6      -2.36    41.05    -4.19    59.51     2.57    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   53  -10       0.83    53.87    -1.63    58.11     2.56   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   47   +3     -15.04     6.73    -3.40    52.36     2.64     2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   47   -9     -10.50    14.10    -9.17    52.15     2.56    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   46  -16      -2.06    42.11    -3.78    52.51     2.88   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   42  -15      -9.65    16.07    -5.89    47.00     2.54   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   40  -29      -3.21    37.02    -8.95    43.56     2.34   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.62R    0.01  
Bolton          42   39  -30      -2.66    39.67    -7.28    43.59     2.51   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.60R    0.12  
Barnsley        41   37  -19      -9.75    14.91    -4.54    42.74     2.82   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.22R    0.33  
Sunderland      42   33  -29     -14.70     6.04   -13.67    37.55     2.46   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.41R   26.50  
Burton_Albion   42   32  -47      -3.35    35.79   -13.47    35.70     2.35   -49.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   73.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 12 April 2018, Bradford 0 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   86  +54       3.53    64.13    12.57    98.49     3.04    60.42    79.57    98.50   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        41   86  +39       6.75    75.71     4.36    95.48     2.89    42.95    19.83    92.40   100.00    95.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   82  +22      22.42    99.02    16.86    90.11     2.93    23.82     0.60     9.10   100.00    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        41   69  +17       5.54    70.65     6.37    76.07     2.89    17.23     0.00     0.00    98.83    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   63   +5       9.01    82.15     6.24    70.96     3.25     4.63     0.00     0.00    60.93    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   62   +5       1.72    57.17    -0.85    68.26     2.92     4.21     0.00     0.00    29.74     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   62   +3       5.95    72.84     3.33    68.89     2.95     3.06     0.00     0.00    36.67     7.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   61  +13      -1.28    45.13     4.20    67.69     2.90    12.68     0.00     0.00    27.62     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   61   +9      -2.69    39.33    -1.93    69.11     2.98    10.83     0.00     0.00    44.70    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   55   -4       1.45    56.19     0.86    60.30     2.81    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   42   54   -4      -4.86    31.35    -5.75    58.87     2.54    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         40   54  -12       0.16    50.92   -10.46    62.59     3.23   -11.48     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   53   +2      -2.41    40.77     5.14    58.04     2.58     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southend         41   53  -11      -0.32    49.33    -6.36    59.93     2.97   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   51   -4      -1.06    46.11     2.09    57.81     2.96    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   50   +2      -1.98    42.43     4.16    59.58     3.43     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P    0.20R    0.00  
Walsall          41   48  -10      -4.25    33.48    -4.11    54.68     2.89   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.81R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       41   47   -7      -8.19    20.29    -5.26    52.48     2.74    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.44R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    41   46  -12      -1.72    43.40    -0.55    51.81     2.74   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.79R    0.00  
Oldham           40   45  -14      -0.24    49.92     0.24    52.70     3.20   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.61R    0.00  
Rochdale         40   42   -9     -10.80    13.21    -5.71    50.38     3.26    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.22R    0.00  
MK_Dons          41   42  -18      -8.48    18.89    -9.44    47.79     2.86   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.12R    0.03  
Northampton      42   40  -36      -0.29    49.91    -8.51    44.58     2.55   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R    1.68  
Bury             41   30  -30     -11.37    10.48    -7.49    35.54     2.77   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.29  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2018, Morecambe 2 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   40   83  +27      15.73    95.04     8.47    92.71     3.25    29.16    85.43    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                42   80  +44       0.37    50.98    10.02    87.85     2.46    47.94    14.16    99.61   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   74  +20       7.98    79.30     5.22    81.84     3.01    21.47     0.37    66.88    99.97    76.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   72  +10       8.84    81.57    -0.30    79.92     2.91    11.59     0.04    26.29    99.55    45.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   70  +19       8.51    80.44    13.39    75.69     2.60    19.32     0.00     3.11    94.16    22.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   67  +15       9.82    84.25    11.58    74.83     3.19    14.49     0.00     3.57    81.68    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   65  +11      -0.44    48.00    -2.49    73.54     2.91    13.39     0.00     0.59    71.23    22.95P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   64  +13       0.81    53.47     4.66    70.57     2.62    14.57     0.00     0.01    31.85     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              42   64   +1       0.01    49.79    -8.40    70.07     2.61     1.87     0.00     0.00    16.71     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             42   61   +7      -0.08    49.61     2.03    66.61     2.62     7.18     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           42   61   +5      -1.42    44.80    -2.12    66.49     2.62     5.03     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   57   -6       5.44    71.68     3.48    61.51     2.49    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       40   54   -2       4.53    68.97     5.98    61.43     3.20    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   54  -11       0.37    51.80    -7.39    60.74     2.91   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   52   -2      -5.69    28.75    -1.80    56.87     2.54    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   51   +2      -4.31    33.62     5.94    56.54     2.61     2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   47  -14      -4.96    31.13    -4.66    51.93     2.52   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   46   -9      -3.10    37.86     0.13    52.92     3.10   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            42   43  -13     -13.36     9.01   -11.20    48.16     2.58   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.05  
Morecambe            41   43  -13      -4.43    32.43     0.09    49.20     2.85   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.08  
Grimsby              42   41  -29      -3.54    35.90    -9.84    45.61     2.51   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.29R    6.25  
Forest_Green         41   40  -22      -3.08    38.21    -0.63    45.41     2.76   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.98R    6.64  
Barnet               42   36  -25     -10.49    13.20    -8.31    41.35     2.60   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.11R   44.97  
Chesterfield         40   35  -28     -11.16    11.84   -13.85    42.13     3.19   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.88R   42.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2018, Barrow 3 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       43   85  +17      17.34    95.96     4.09    89.59     2.29    17.68    97.39   100.00    98.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           41   73  +29      -3.03    37.31    -0.59    82.19     2.86    32.43     2.61    99.30    41.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   72  +13      11.22    86.99     8.15    77.73     2.66    13.39     0.00    79.11    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   71  +27       2.74    60.13    12.86    75.93     2.26    28.25     0.00    69.86    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   71  +14       4.29    66.63     0.51    76.63     2.57    14.25     0.00    68.09    15.66P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   69  +14       6.65    75.22     8.46    74.20     2.18    15.53     0.00    33.96     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   69  +12       6.97    76.43     6.82    72.99     2.24    11.89     0.00    16.75     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   67  +18      -1.88    42.49     1.27    73.28     2.65    19.18     0.00    25.68     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   64  +10       6.86    75.42     8.45    70.60     2.96     9.63     0.00     6.19     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            41   60  +15       0.03    50.37     9.45    67.61     3.01    16.12     0.00     0.90     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          41   59   +7      -6.47    25.64    -6.74    66.64     2.92     8.23     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      41   53   +1      -9.89    16.09    -8.92    60.14     2.92     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   53   -5      -2.94    38.90    -2.03    58.12     2.60    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   53   -7       3.31    63.62     4.12    57.64     2.54    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Maidenhead         41   52   -6       2.60    61.05     4.62    57.41     2.84    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   50   +9     -11.10    12.19    -0.29    58.68     3.21     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool         42   48  -12      -9.74    16.77   -12.37    53.09     2.52   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   47  -11      -2.28    41.33     0.70    51.63     2.44   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   43   47  -15      -1.53    44.61     0.85    50.92     2.26   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.54R    0.00  
Woking             43   45  -19      -5.24    30.13    -4.63    48.83     2.27   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.86R    0.00  
Barrow             41   44  -11      -9.43    16.64    -6.81    50.92     2.90   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.63R    0.00  
Torquay            42   37  -28      -7.38    21.83    -8.50    42.31     2.57   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R    1.28  
Chester            43   34  -34      -9.82    14.69   -10.62    37.14     2.12   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   31.37  
Guiseley           40   30  -38      -5.85    25.44    -8.84    35.94     3.02   -41.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   67.35