Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2018, Arsenal 3 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         32   84  +66      11.57    95.80    14.84    98.00     2.53    77.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   71  +38       9.41    88.94    11.14    83.68     2.96    44.81     0.00    76.21    94.64    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   67  +40       2.72    62.68     8.27    77.71     2.53    46.79     0.00     4.59    34.91    98.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   67  +37       1.41    56.54     1.81    79.98     2.86    44.65     0.00    19.20    70.42    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   57  +23      -3.31    33.21    -2.53    68.45     3.09    28.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.50    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   54  +18      -3.57    32.53    -3.68    64.74     3.07    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    95.49     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   49   +3       8.73    86.60     8.36    57.08     3.09     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.83     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   43   +3      -1.76    41.47     3.36    51.08     3.13     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41  -15      -2.05    40.78    -9.91    49.00     2.97   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   38   -8      -1.51    43.25    -0.21    44.50     3.00   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -12      -1.03    45.86     0.86    43.09     2.67   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          33   37  -17       1.91    60.41     1.98    42.17     2.59   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Brighton         32   35  -14      -0.92    46.25    -1.58    39.07     2.57   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.00  
West_Ham         32   34  -18      -3.50    33.41    -4.91    39.92     2.92   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.00  
Swansea          32   32  -19      -1.58    42.65    -2.18    38.43     2.96   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.31R    0.01  
Huddersfield     33   32  -28       5.67    78.70     3.90    35.26     2.26   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.35R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   33   31  -19      -4.42    29.16    -1.67    38.18     2.94   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.50R    0.04  
Southampton      32   28  -19     -10.86     7.88   -10.08    34.39     3.04   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.47R    0.52  
Stoke            33   27  -33      -4.73    27.27    -9.26    31.99     2.67   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.56R    3.04  
West_Brom        33   21  -26     -13.53     3.31    -8.52    24.71     2.45   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   96.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Wolverhampton 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   92  +40      19.59    97.93    17.96    99.82     2.52    43.39    99.88   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          42   81  +31       8.43    80.09     8.12    88.35     2.59    33.89     0.06    58.84   100.00    71.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   80  +27      12.96    90.90    11.17    87.90     2.91    28.54     0.07    39.59   100.00    55.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   76  +26       8.16    79.61    11.02    82.18     2.60    27.04     0.00     1.55    99.99    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   68  +20       1.35    55.13     4.74    76.14     2.89    21.91     0.00     0.01    85.66    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        42   68  +15       8.44    80.28    11.82    72.69     2.53    13.97     0.00     0.00    35.85     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   66  +18      -3.53    35.93     0.85    72.26     2.57    19.13     0.00     0.00    38.15    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   65  +11       4.86    69.09     7.38    70.51     2.62    11.06     0.00     0.00    13.14     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   65   +8       5.32    70.35     4.92    70.85     2.64     8.51     0.00     0.00    14.20     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   64  +11       0.16    50.89     1.74    70.05     2.63    11.78     0.00     0.00     8.49     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   63   +8       2.96    62.07     4.10    69.31     2.59     9.21     0.00     0.00     4.53     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   56   -2       0.51    52.54     0.66    61.01     2.59    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         42   56   -6      -3.47    36.45    -8.66    61.32     2.63    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   54   -6      -2.34    41.04    -4.14    59.48     2.56    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   53  -10       0.88    54.13    -1.53    58.13     2.54   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   47   +3     -14.76     7.20    -2.97    52.34     2.65     2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   47   -9     -10.69    13.40    -9.45    52.14     2.55    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   46  -16      -2.09    41.90    -3.89    52.51     2.88   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         42   42  -15      -9.68    15.91    -5.98    47.01     2.54   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   40  -29      -2.94    38.08    -8.58    43.54     2.35   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.99R    0.03  
Bolton          42   39  -30      -2.90    38.58    -7.59    43.61     2.52   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.14R    0.14  
Barnsley        41   37  -19      -9.79    15.02    -4.68    42.75     2.83   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.31R    0.31  
Sunderland      42   33  -29     -14.72     6.16   -13.73    37.53     2.46   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   26.50  
Burton_Albion   42   32  -47      -3.28    35.96   -13.28    35.70     2.35   -49.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   73.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Oldham 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   86  +54       3.56    64.50    12.58    98.54     3.00    60.46    79.28    98.09   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        41   86  +39       6.66    75.48     4.17    95.48     2.91    42.97    19.40    89.54   100.00    94.50P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   81  +22      22.38    99.01    16.29    90.51     3.23    23.88     1.31    12.37   100.00    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        41   69  +17       5.92    72.33     6.96    76.02     2.90    17.16     0.00     0.00    98.69    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   63   +5       9.06    82.42     6.31    70.96     3.24     4.64     0.00     0.00    60.84    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   62   +5       1.67    57.08    -0.93    68.30     2.92     4.25     0.00     0.00    29.88     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   62   +3       5.92    72.91     3.26    68.91     2.96     3.08     0.00     0.00    36.33     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   61  +13      -1.52    44.06     3.88    67.69     2.91    12.68     0.00     0.00    27.52     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   61   +9      -2.69    39.33    -1.93    69.09     2.97    10.80     0.00     0.00    44.20    12.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   55   -4       1.49    56.56     0.95    60.28     2.81    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   42   54   -4      -4.87    31.47    -5.75    58.88     2.56    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   53   +2      -2.21    41.84     5.34    58.04     2.59     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southend         41   53  -11      -0.38    48.84    -6.45    59.96     2.95   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford         39   53  -12       0.43    52.14   -10.55    62.99     3.53   -11.43     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       41   51   -4      -1.21    45.57     1.94    57.84     2.98    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   50   +2      -1.99    42.20     4.13    59.55     3.44     1.96     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Walsall          41   48  -10      -4.42    32.85    -4.31    54.67     2.87   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       41   47   -7      -8.32    19.99    -5.38    52.49     2.73    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.24R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    41   46  -12      -1.76    43.30    -0.62    51.84     2.71   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.01R    0.00  
Oldham           40   45  -14       0.09    51.09     0.69    52.64     3.20   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.50R    0.00  
Rochdale         40   42   -9     -10.62    13.34    -5.43    50.35     3.25    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.53R    0.00  
MK_Dons          41   42  -18      -8.58    18.52    -9.61    47.80     2.87   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.98R    0.05  
Northampton      42   40  -36      -0.37    49.37    -8.62    44.59     2.56   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R    1.69  
Bury             41   30  -30     -11.07    10.90    -6.93    35.50     2.80   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2018, Barnet 1 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   40   83  +27      15.80    95.15     8.51    92.68     3.23    29.13    84.89    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                42   80  +44       0.29    50.59     9.92    87.88     2.47    47.99    14.66    99.51   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   74  +20       7.87    78.98     5.19    81.85     2.99    21.48     0.42    67.43    99.93    76.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   72  +10       8.74    81.09    -0.42    79.90     2.90    11.57     0.03    26.05    99.33    45.10P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   70  +19       8.73    80.93    13.62    75.66     2.62    19.26     0.00     3.01    92.00    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   67  +15      10.01    84.47    11.86    74.83     3.18    14.47     0.00     3.41    78.54    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   65  +11      -0.20    49.49    -2.15    73.49     2.92    13.32     0.00     0.59    66.02    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   63  +13       1.16    55.06     4.66    70.89     2.95    14.50     0.00     0.04    33.88     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              41   63   +1       0.77    52.96    -7.83    71.01     2.92     2.75     0.00     0.02    26.13     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             42   61   +7      -0.13    49.61     1.96    66.66     2.63     7.23     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           42   61   +5      -1.46    44.42    -2.18    66.48     2.60     5.03     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   57   -6       5.34    71.10     3.31    61.52     2.51    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       40   54   -2       4.51    68.82     5.95    61.45     3.20    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   54  -11       0.25    51.48    -7.60    60.76     2.92   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   51   +2      -4.55    32.62     5.57    56.56     2.60     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   51   -2      -5.69    28.02    -2.32    57.34     2.88    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   47  -14      -5.01    30.85    -4.67    51.92     2.52   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               39   45   -9      -2.88    38.57    -0.16    52.71     3.36   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale            42   43  -13     -13.18     9.00   -10.94    48.15     2.58   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.09  
Morecambe            40   42  -13      -3.85    34.49     0.30    49.81     3.17   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.23  
Grimsby              42   41  -29      -3.43    36.22    -9.73    45.58     2.51   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.98R    6.36  
Forest_Green         41   40  -22      -3.26    37.52    -0.87    45.46     2.76   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    6.44  
Barnet               42   36  -25     -10.32    13.47    -8.04    41.32     2.61   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.69R   45.41  
Chesterfield         39   34  -28     -10.84    11.94   -13.95    42.23     3.46   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.48R   41.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       42   82  +15      16.33    95.28     3.01    87.76     2.63    15.46    92.48   100.00    94.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      41   72  +14      12.55    89.89     9.14    79.27     2.97    14.65     1.55    86.94    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   71  +14       4.30    66.64     0.49    76.64     2.59    14.26     0.10    61.98    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           40   70  +27      -3.82    33.83    -1.20    81.01     3.14    31.03     5.87    96.11    41.63P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   69  +16       7.22    77.08     9.34    75.70     2.54    17.74     0.00    53.94    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   69  +15       7.04    76.74     8.04    74.39     2.58    14.99     0.00    31.99     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          42   68  +25       2.02    57.67    12.23    74.55     2.64    26.61     0.00    41.76     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   67  +18      -1.82    42.62     1.37    73.27     2.64    19.16     0.00    21.34     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   61   +7       6.90    76.25     7.87    68.75     3.23     6.37     0.00     1.87     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            40   60  +16       0.95    54.02     9.71    69.38     3.30    17.69     0.00     3.96     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          41   59   +7      -6.39    25.72    -6.75    66.66     2.93     8.24     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      41   53   +1     -10.02    15.93    -9.13    60.15     2.93     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          41   53   -4      -1.96    42.39    -1.79    59.42     2.96    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          39   50  +11     -10.26    14.02     0.90    59.69     3.44    11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            41   50   -8       2.35    60.21     3.95    55.79     2.86    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Maidenhead         40   49   -7       1.51    56.81     4.44    55.86     3.17    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Hartlepool         42   48  -12     -10.04    16.00   -12.79    53.08     2.54   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.49R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   42   47  -14      -0.63    48.32     1.19    52.17     2.62   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.16R    0.00  
Woking             42   45  -18      -4.44    33.02    -4.63    50.05     2.64   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.06R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   44  -12      -3.64    35.78     0.17    50.20     2.79   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    0.00  
Barrow             40   41  -12     -10.66    13.28    -7.37    49.46     3.21   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.78R    0.00  
Torquay            41   37  -26      -6.76    23.45    -7.87    43.44     2.89   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.66R    0.31  
Chester            42   31  -35     -11.24    10.84   -11.50    35.15     2.45   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   52.28  
Guiseley           40   30  -38      -5.85    25.47    -8.82    35.90     3.02   -41.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   47.41