Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 11 April 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2018, Arsenal 3 2 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 32 84 +66 11.57 95.80 14.84 98.00 2.53 77.10 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 71 +38 9.41 88.94 11.14 83.68 2.96 44.81 0.00 76.21 94.64 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 67 +40 2.72 62.68 8.27 77.71 2.53 46.79 0.00 4.59 34.91 98.77 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 67 +37 1.41 56.54 1.81 79.98 2.86 44.65 0.00 19.20 70.42 99.72 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 32 57 +23 -3.31 33.21 -2.53 68.45 3.09 28.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.50 99.59 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 54 +18 -3.57 32.53 -3.68 64.74 3.07 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 95.49 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 49 +3 8.73 86.60 8.36 57.08 3.09 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.83 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 43 +3 -1.76 41.47 3.36 51.08 3.13 2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 41 -15 -2.05 40.78 -9.91 49.00 2.97 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 32 38 -8 -1.51 43.25 -0.21 44.50 3.00 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 38 -12 -1.03 45.86 0.86 43.09 2.67 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Watford 33 37 -17 1.91 60.41 1.98 42.17 2.59 -20.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Brighton 32 35 -14 -0.92 46.25 -1.58 39.07 2.57 -21.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.23R 0.00 West_Ham 32 34 -18 -3.50 33.41 -4.91 39.92 2.92 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.50R 0.00 Swansea 32 32 -19 -1.58 42.65 -2.18 38.43 2.96 -22.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.31R 0.01 Huddersfield 33 32 -28 5.67 78.70 3.90 35.26 2.26 -35.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.35R 0.05 Crystal_Palace 33 31 -19 -4.42 29.16 -1.67 38.18 2.94 -18.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.50R 0.04 Southampton 32 28 -19 -10.86 7.88 -10.08 34.39 3.04 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.47R 0.52 Stoke 33 27 -33 -4.73 27.27 -9.26 31.99 2.67 -36.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.56R 3.04 West_Brom 33 21 -26 -13.53 3.31 -8.52 24.71 2.45 -30.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 96.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Wolverhampton 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 42 92 +40 19.59 97.93 17.96 99.82 2.52 43.39 99.88 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 42 81 +31 8.43 80.09 8.12 88.35 2.59 33.89 0.06 58.84 100.00 71.34P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 80 +27 12.96 90.90 11.17 87.90 2.91 28.54 0.07 39.59 100.00 55.80P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 42 76 +26 8.16 79.61 11.02 82.18 2.60 27.04 0.00 1.55 99.99 26.62P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 68 +20 1.35 55.13 4.74 76.14 2.89 21.91 0.00 0.01 85.66 22.40P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 42 68 +15 8.44 80.28 11.82 72.69 2.53 13.97 0.00 0.00 35.85 5.91P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 66 +18 -3.53 35.93 0.85 72.26 2.57 19.13 0.00 0.00 38.15 10.51P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 42 65 +11 4.86 69.09 7.38 70.51 2.62 11.06 0.00 0.00 13.14 2.26P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 65 +8 5.32 70.35 4.92 70.85 2.64 8.51 0.00 0.00 14.20 2.44P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 64 +11 0.16 50.89 1.74 70.05 2.63 11.78 0.00 0.00 8.49 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 63 +8 2.96 62.07 4.10 69.31 2.59 9.21 0.00 0.00 4.53 0.92P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 42 56 -2 0.51 52.54 0.66 61.01 2.59 -2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 42 56 -6 -3.47 36.45 -8.66 61.32 2.63 -6.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 54 -6 -2.34 41.04 -4.14 59.48 2.56 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 53 -10 0.88 54.13 -1.53 58.13 2.54 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 47 +3 -14.76 7.20 -2.97 52.34 2.65 2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 47 -9 -10.69 13.40 -9.45 52.14 2.55 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 46 -16 -2.09 41.90 -3.89 52.51 2.88 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Reading 42 42 -15 -9.68 15.91 -5.98 47.01 2.54 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.66R 0.00 Birmingham 42 40 -29 -2.94 38.08 -8.58 43.54 2.35 -31.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.99R 0.03 Bolton 42 39 -30 -2.90 38.58 -7.59 43.61 2.52 -31.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.14R 0.14 Barnsley 41 37 -19 -9.79 15.02 -4.68 42.75 2.83 -20.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.31R 0.31 Sunderland 42 33 -29 -14.72 6.16 -13.73 37.53 2.46 -30.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.40R 26.50 Burton_Albion 42 32 -47 -3.28 35.96 -13.28 35.70 2.35 -49.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.48R 73.02League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2018, Oldham 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 40 86 +54 3.56 64.50 12.58 98.54 3.00 60.46 79.28 98.09 100.00 99.09P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 41 86 +39 6.66 75.48 4.17 95.48 2.91 42.97 19.40 89.54 100.00 94.50P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 81 +22 22.38 99.01 16.29 90.51 3.23 23.88 1.31 12.37 100.00 35.37P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 41 69 +17 5.92 72.33 6.96 76.02 2.90 17.16 0.00 0.00 98.69 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 63 +5 9.06 82.42 6.31 70.96 3.24 4.64 0.00 0.00 60.84 11.52P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 41 62 +5 1.67 57.08 -0.93 68.30 2.92 4.25 0.00 0.00 29.88 7.09P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 62 +3 5.92 72.91 3.26 68.91 2.96 3.08 0.00 0.00 36.33 7.37P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 61 +13 -1.52 44.06 3.88 67.69 2.91 12.68 0.00 0.00 27.52 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 61 +9 -2.69 39.33 -1.93 69.09 2.97 10.80 0.00 0.00 44.20 12.25P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 55 -4 1.49 56.56 0.95 60.28 2.81 -6.60 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 54 -4 -4.87 31.47 -5.75 58.88 2.56 -4.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 42 53 +2 -2.21 41.84 5.34 58.04 2.59 1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Southend 41 53 -11 -0.38 48.84 -6.45 59.96 2.95 -10.86 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 39 53 -12 0.43 52.14 -10.55 62.99 3.53 -11.43 0.00 0.00 2.27 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 51 -4 -1.21 45.57 1.94 57.84 2.98 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Doncaster 39 50 +2 -1.99 42.20 4.13 59.55 3.44 1.96 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.26R 0.00 Walsall 41 48 -10 -4.42 32.85 -4.31 54.67 2.87 -10.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.76R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 47 -7 -8.32 19.99 -5.38 52.49 2.73 -9.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.24R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 46 -12 -1.76 43.30 -0.62 51.84 2.71 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.01R 0.00 Oldham 40 45 -14 0.09 51.09 0.69 52.64 3.20 -14.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.50R 0.00 Rochdale 40 42 -9 -10.62 13.34 -5.43 50.35 3.25 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.53R 0.00 MK_Dons 41 42 -18 -8.58 18.52 -9.61 47.80 2.87 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.98R 0.05 Northampton 42 40 -36 -0.37 49.37 -8.62 44.59 2.56 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.45R 1.69 Bury 41 30 -30 -11.07 10.90 -6.93 35.50 2.80 -31.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.26League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2018, Barnet 1 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Accrington_Stanley 40 83 +27 15.80 95.15 8.51 92.68 3.23 29.13 84.89 99.94 100.00 99.95P 0.00 0.00 Luton 42 80 +44 0.29 50.59 9.92 87.88 2.47 47.99 14.66 99.51 100.00 99.71P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 74 +20 7.87 78.98 5.19 81.85 2.99 21.48 0.42 67.43 99.93 76.42P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 72 +10 8.74 81.09 -0.42 79.90 2.90 11.57 0.03 26.05 99.33 45.10P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 42 70 +19 8.73 80.93 13.62 75.66 2.62 19.26 0.00 3.01 92.00 22.20P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 67 +15 10.01 84.47 11.86 74.83 3.18 14.47 0.00 3.41 78.54 18.76P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 65 +11 -0.20 49.49 -2.15 73.49 2.92 13.32 0.00 0.59 66.02 21.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 63 +13 1.16 55.06 4.66 70.89 2.95 14.50 0.00 0.04 33.88 8.96P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 41 63 +1 0.77 52.96 -7.83 71.01 2.92 2.75 0.00 0.02 26.13 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 42 61 +7 -0.13 49.61 1.96 66.66 2.63 7.23 0.00 0.00 1.96 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 42 61 +5 -1.46 44.42 -2.18 66.48 2.60 5.03 0.00 0.00 2.13 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 57 -6 5.34 71.10 3.31 61.52 2.51 -7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 40 54 -2 4.51 68.82 5.95 61.45 3.20 -3.10 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 54 -11 0.25 51.48 -7.60 60.76 2.92 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 42 51 +2 -4.55 32.62 5.57 56.56 2.60 2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 51 -2 -5.69 28.02 -2.32 57.34 2.88 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 42 47 -14 -5.01 30.85 -4.67 51.92 2.52 -15.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 39 45 -9 -2.88 38.57 -0.16 52.71 3.36 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Port_Vale 42 43 -13 -13.18 9.00 -10.94 48.15 2.58 -13.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.68R 0.09 Morecambe 40 42 -13 -3.85 34.49 0.30 49.81 3.17 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.77R 0.23 Grimsby 42 41 -29 -3.43 36.22 -9.73 45.58 2.51 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.98R 6.36 Forest_Green 41 40 -22 -3.26 37.52 -0.87 45.46 2.76 -24.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.34R 6.44 Barnet 42 36 -25 -10.32 13.47 -8.04 41.32 2.61 -25.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.69R 45.41 Chesterfield 39 34 -28 -10.84 11.94 -13.95 42.23 3.46 -30.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.48R 41.47National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 42 82 +15 16.33 95.28 3.01 87.76 2.63 15.46 92.48 100.00 94.28P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 41 72 +14 12.55 89.89 9.14 79.27 2.97 14.65 1.55 86.94 16.52P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 42 71 +14 4.30 66.64 0.49 76.64 2.59 14.26 0.10 61.98 14.45P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 70 +27 -3.82 33.83 -1.20 81.01 3.14 31.03 5.87 96.11 41.63P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 42 69 +16 7.22 77.08 9.34 75.70 2.54 17.74 0.00 53.94 11.31P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 69 +15 7.04 76.74 8.04 74.39 2.58 14.99 0.00 31.99 6.24P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 42 68 +25 2.02 57.67 12.23 74.55 2.64 26.61 0.00 41.76 8.93P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 67 +18 -1.82 42.62 1.37 73.27 2.64 19.16 0.00 21.34 5.56P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 40 61 +7 6.90 76.25 7.87 68.75 3.23 6.37 0.00 1.87 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 40 60 +16 0.95 54.02 9.71 69.38 3.30 17.69 0.00 3.96 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 59 +7 -6.39 25.72 -6.75 66.66 2.93 8.24 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 53 +1 -10.02 15.93 -9.13 60.15 2.93 1.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 41 53 -4 -1.96 42.39 -1.79 59.42 2.96 -4.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 39 50 +11 -10.26 14.02 0.90 59.69 3.44 11.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 41 50 -8 2.35 60.21 3.95 55.79 2.86 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00 Maidenhead 40 49 -7 1.51 56.81 4.44 55.86 3.17 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80R 0.00 Hartlepool 42 48 -12 -10.04 16.00 -12.79 53.08 2.54 -12.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.49R 0.00 Maidstone_United 42 47 -14 -0.63 48.32 1.19 52.17 2.62 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.16R 0.00 Woking 42 45 -18 -4.44 33.02 -4.63 50.05 2.64 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.06R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 41 44 -12 -3.64 35.78 0.17 50.20 2.79 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.72R 0.00 Barrow 40 41 -12 -10.66 13.28 -7.37 49.46 3.21 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.78R 0.00 Torquay 41 37 -26 -6.76 23.45 -7.87 43.44 2.89 -26.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.66R 0.31 Chester 42 31 -35 -11.24 10.84 -11.50 35.15 2.45 -36.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 52.28 Guiseley 40 30 -38 -5.85 25.47 -8.82 35.90 3.02 -41.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 47.41