Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 22 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 30 81 +65 12.50 97.74 15.71 99.06 3.12 78.22 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 30 65 +35 7.40 83.59 10.06 80.76 3.43 42.25 0.01 60.50 85.09 98.18 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 31 63 +39 2.36 61.42 8.24 77.41 3.17 47.33 0.00 20.42 58.00 91.78 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 30 61 +34 -0.45 46.47 1.19 77.27 3.41 42.47 0.00 18.19 50.92 88.94 100.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 30 56 +25 -1.65 40.41 -0.71 71.62 3.53 32.49 0.00 0.89 5.98 21.01 99.99 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 30 48 +14 -4.57 27.68 -3.89 63.34 3.52 21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 95.82 0.00 0.00
Burnley 30 43 +1 6.12 79.46 7.24 53.56 3.63 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.96 0.00 0.00
Leicester 30 40 +2 -1.41 43.06 3.29 51.39 3.69 2.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.00 0.00
Everton 31 40 -13 -1.51 42.97 -9.82 49.76 3.45 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 31 36 -12 -0.00 50.59 1.07 43.94 3.30 -15.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00
Watford 31 36 -16 3.55 68.62 2.68 44.26 3.25 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00
Brighton 30 34 -12 0.30 52.13 -0.37 41.46 3.24 -18.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.75R 0.00
Newcastle 30 32 -10 -4.00 30.66 -0.98 41.31 3.53 -12.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.40R 0.02
Swansea 30 31 -17 -1.10 45.28 -2.12 39.01 3.35 -22.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.78R 0.22
Huddersfield 31 31 -27 6.31 81.76 3.53 35.81 2.79 -36.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.01R 0.86
Crystal_Palace 31 30 -18 -3.32 33.62 -1.82 38.91 3.45 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.43R 0.31
West_Ham 30 30 -21 -4.09 30.32 -6.83 37.58 3.33 -27.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.25R 0.54
Southampton 30 28 -15 -9.95 9.20 -9.14 36.39 3.52 -19.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.60R 1.10
Stoke 31 27 -29 -4.08 29.90 -9.00 33.13 3.06 -35.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.42R 7.66
West_Brom 31 20 -25 -12.32 4.28 -8.34 26.70 3.10 -29.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.00R 89.29
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Barnsley 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 38 82 +36 16.66 96.56 16.43 95.69 3.69 40.01 83.59 99.08 100.00 99.31P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 37 76 +27 15.03 95.04 12.11 90.29 3.97 29.96 15.81 83.67 99.99 87.46P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 38 69 +25 4.39 67.81 5.88 83.33 3.78 30.19 0.46 11.27 98.91 35.39P 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 38 69 +24 7.61 79.29 10.46 81.35 3.77 26.06 0.14 5.27 96.48 27.20P 0.00 0.00
Derby 37 62 +21 0.94 53.67 5.99 76.88 3.92 24.79 0.00 0.63 74.90 20.75P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 38 62 +18 -1.56 43.07 1.58 75.21 3.72 21.22 0.00 0.07 58.65 16.78P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 38 61 +12 6.45 75.48 8.48 72.86 3.79 13.34 0.00 0.01 28.85 5.12P 0.00 0.00
Preston 38 60 +11 4.34 68.31 5.55 72.06 3.73 12.66 0.00 0.01 21.15 4.23P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 38 60 +8 5.83 72.93 4.93 71.00 3.78 8.07 0.00 0.00 14.66 2.66P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 38 58 +9 6.76 76.41 9.84 68.26 3.74 8.15 0.00 0.00 4.68 0.78P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 38 54 +8 -3.10 37.27 0.56 66.18 3.83 9.69 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.30P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 38 52 -1 1.88 58.58 1.59 62.78 3.73 -1.19 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Norwich 38 52 -3 -3.19 36.90 -7.50 62.96 3.81 -2.98 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 38 50 -3 -2.16 41.21 -3.20 61.26 3.69 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00
QPR 38 47 -10 0.17 51.30 -2.14 57.06 3.72 -11.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -11 -0.54 48.26 -2.59 55.73 3.68 -12.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 38 41 -11 -10.21 13.21 -10.16 51.47 3.73 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00
Hull 38 39 -6 -13.38 8.11 -6.04 49.55 3.78 -6.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08R 0.01
Bolton 38 39 -23 -0.54 48.60 -5.25 48.16 3.60 -25.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.35R 0.03
Reading 38 36 -13 -11.50 10.49 -5.89 45.53 3.65 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.98R 0.38
Barnsley 38 33 -19 -9.92 13.49 -5.15 42.09 3.64 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.08R 3.08
Birmingham 38 33 -29 -4.88 29.07 -9.06 41.35 3.48 -32.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.54R 6.55
Burton_Albion 38 30 -40 -3.08 36.45 -11.71 37.20 3.35 -45.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.50R 44.82
Sunderland 38 28 -30 -14.11 5.43 -14.70 36.56 3.57 -33.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.17R 45.13
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2018, Walsall 0 3 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Blackburn 37 76 +35 4.53 68.56 3.56 93.40 4.00 42.63 24.73 80.70 100.00 89.22P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 37 75 +22 20.83 98.93 16.83 89.27 4.00 24.80 4.52 25.17 100.00 43.73P 0.00 0.00
Wigan 35 74 +43 4.16 67.81 10.96 96.64 4.23 54.08 70.75 93.97 100.00 96.87P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 37 65 +20 5.97 73.24 7.76 78.68 4.09 21.96 0.00 0.16 98.70 25.79P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 38 58 +9 -1.33 44.31 -1.60 70.96 3.84 11.91 0.00 0.00 68.20 17.36P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 37 57 +2 8.25 81.11 4.79 68.79 4.05 1.26 0.00 0.00 41.03 6.96P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 37 56 +12 -0.23 49.18 4.08 69.19 4.04 13.22 0.00 0.00 51.71 12.04P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 37 52 -2 3.54 64.99 1.33 63.30 4.01 -3.43 0.00 0.00 6.76 1.20P 0.00R 0.00
Charlton 36 52 -2 1.80 58.01 -3.19 65.32 4.27 -2.51 0.00 0.00 15.23 3.17P 0.01R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 37 50 -3 1.47 56.85 1.02 60.67 3.97 -5.87 0.00 0.00 1.91 0.33P 0.21R 0.00
Bradford 36 50 -6 -1.11 45.61 -8.59 64.12 4.25 -5.43 0.00 0.00 9.39 2.01P 0.04R 0.00
Gillingham 36 49 +2 1.19 55.62 4.38 62.54 4.27 1.70 0.00 0.00 5.64 1.06P 0.07R 0.00
Southend 37 47 -12 -0.81 46.73 -7.43 58.26 3.98 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 2.21R 0.00
Doncaster 37 46 +1 -2.88 38.51 3.74 57.90 3.99 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 1.95R 0.00
Blackpool 37 46 -4 0.25 51.75 3.12 57.75 4.00 -4.78 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 2.76R 0.00
Oxford_Utd 36 45 -2 -5.35 28.35 -3.15 57.83 4.16 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.10P 2.75R 0.00
Walsall 38 44 -10 -4.23 32.70 -4.14 55.25 3.76 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 8.98R 0.04
Fleetwood_Town 37 42 -9 -7.92 19.65 -7.69 53.85 3.98 -9.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.18R 0.11
AFC_Wimbledon 37 42 -11 -0.94 46.67 -0.22 52.45 3.84 -13.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 27.17R 0.42
Oldham 36 40 -12 -0.93 46.61 0.49 51.96 4.15 -14.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.25R 0.63
Northampton 38 40 -25 0.61 53.64 -5.01 48.85 3.66 -28.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.12R 3.85
MK_Dons 37 38 -14 -9.04 16.28 -8.69 47.93 3.83 -17.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.59R 3.94
Rochdale 35 34 -10 -11.75 8.91 -6.65 48.20 4.40 -11.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.34R 5.61
Bury 37 30 -24 -8.71 15.82 -5.70 39.60 3.79 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.37R 85.39
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2018, Crawley_Town 2 3 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Accrington_Stanley 37 74 +24 12.01 90.43 7.07 87.83 4.01 26.20 51.61 93.75 99.94 95.27P 0.00 0.00
Luton 38 71 +39 -0.40 47.85 9.14 86.36 3.63 46.05 38.13 93.07 99.97 95.60P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 38 69 +19 8.05 80.65 5.63 82.21 3.82 22.38 7.88 61.40 98.14 70.87P 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 38 66 +21 9.19 83.64 14.11 77.10 3.77 21.19 0.81 14.38 82.63 28.47P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 37 63 +18 5.19 71.48 7.53 77.15 4.00 20.59 0.80 13.82 82.19 31.39P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 37 63 +7 6.97 77.73 -0.80 76.85 4.00 9.24 0.43 9.80 73.96 24.93P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 37 61 +12 1.24 55.20 -1.09 76.56 3.92 16.59 0.23 9.33 75.60 30.21P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 37 60 +13 7.75 79.61 10.87 71.65 3.97 12.03 0.03 1.05 28.20 6.16P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 37 60 +3 2.68 61.09 -6.81 74.53 4.06 6.29 0.07 3.38 52.16 15.63P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 38 56 +7 0.37 51.65 1.92 67.35 3.81 7.47 0.00 0.02 4.97 1.05P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 37 53 +0 6.82 77.54 6.88 64.95 4.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.27P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 38 53 -3 5.50 72.81 4.08 62.56 3.66 -4.97 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 38 52 +3 -4.23 32.67 -3.05 62.88 3.81 2.88 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.10P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 38 50 -12 1.13 55.40 -7.65 60.62 3.73 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 38 45 -1 -3.76 34.70 4.48 55.73 3.71 -1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Stevenage 37 44 -5 -5.71 27.06 -3.00 56.10 3.98 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00
Yeovil 37 42 -10 -3.26 36.69 -1.63 51.22 3.76 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01R 0.07
Morecambe 37 40 -10 -3.37 35.74 0.96 51.18 3.91 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.55R 0.20
Crewe 38 40 -15 -6.35 24.86 -5.65 49.45 3.64 -17.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.28R 0.50
Port_Vale 38 38 -13 -12.80 8.55 -11.15 48.81 3.77 -13.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.10R 0.90
Forest_Green 38 37 -22 -2.38 40.58 -0.87 45.77 3.63 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.68R 7.47
Grimsby 38 37 -25 -4.18 32.40 -8.92 45.88 3.55 -28.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.98R 7.33
Chesterfield 36 31 -28 -10.23 12.44 -14.68 42.55 4.20 -31.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.43R 30.97
Barnet 38 30 -22 -12.22 8.34 -7.38 40.04 3.64 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.92R 52.55
National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2018, Barrow 1 2 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Macclesfield 38 72 +12 13.61 92.70 2.61 84.24 3.79 13.90 54.42 97.81 63.34P 0.00 0.00
Sutton_United 38 69 +17 12.28 90.66 9.99 81.18 3.80 18.78 22.78 89.10 35.57P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 38 65 +18 7.67 79.81 10.10 77.43 3.68 20.22 5.38 63.84 18.31P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 38 64 +23 -4.96 29.21 -2.03 78.89 3.69 28.78 9.77 80.25 35.94P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 38 64 +15 7.70 79.94 8.42 75.41 3.73 15.80 1.46 40.39 9.61P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 38 64 +13 3.68 65.18 0.71 76.57 3.74 15.39 3.39 52.30 15.19P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 38 63 +19 -0.44 48.07 2.16 76.06 3.79 22.08 2.53 51.44 16.12P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Fylde 38 59 +22 0.14 51.03 11.77 71.56 3.86 24.35 0.13 14.39 3.59P 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 37 56 +6 6.43 75.22 7.48 67.89 4.03 5.44 0.01 2.24 0.47P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 36 55 +14 2.00 58.78 8.58 69.51 4.39 15.16 0.12 7.65 1.73P 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 37 51 +4 -7.35 21.51 -7.41 65.41 4.05 7.24 0.00 0.48 0.12P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 36 48 +12 -8.86 16.63 0.85 61.85 4.23 12.26 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.03R 0.00
Maidenhead 38 48 -6 2.38 60.38 4.32 56.75 3.69 -9.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.00
Eastleigh 37 46 -5 -3.71 34.67 -3.17 56.46 3.92 -7.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.28R 0.00
Halifax 38 46 -7 1.71 57.94 4.14 55.36 3.70 -9.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.62R 0.00
Maidstone_United 38 46 -11 2.16 60.25 1.83 55.80 3.72 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.50R 0.00
Leyton_Orient 38 44 -7 -10.55 13.60 -10.77 55.94 3.77 -5.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.44R 0.00
Woking 38 44 -13 -2.36 40.50 -3.55 53.57 3.75 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.40R 0.00
Hartlepool 38 42 -12 -10.01 14.78 -11.93 53.97 3.73 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.02R 0.00
Barrow 36 39 -7 -9.48 14.61 -5.67 52.45 4.23 -7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.21R 0.01
Solihull_Moors 38 39 -13 -4.44 31.78 -0.20 48.43 3.62 -15.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.04R 0.03
Torquay 38 31 -28 -8.39 16.99 -9.22 40.64 3.65 -30.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.75R 10.06
Chester 38 31 -29 -8.76 15.97 -10.16 39.07 3.51 -33.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.56R 15.83
Guiseley 37 26 -37 -6.68 21.25 -8.86 34.84 3.74 -42.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 74.07
