Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   81  +65      12.49    97.63    15.65    99.08     3.11    78.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   65  +35       7.30    83.54     9.85    80.80     3.42    42.31     0.00    60.93    85.20    98.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   63  +39       2.33    61.26     8.16    77.41     3.17    47.36     0.00    19.95    57.76    91.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +34      -0.49    46.29     1.15    77.26     3.42    42.45     0.00    18.09    50.81    88.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   56  +25      -1.63    40.63    -0.72    71.65     3.55    32.56     0.00     1.03     6.22    21.25   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   48  +14      -4.63    27.49    -4.04    63.37     3.50    21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    96.05     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +1       5.91    78.86     6.96    53.56     3.61     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   40   +2      -1.40    43.18     3.29    51.44     3.67     2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40  -13      -1.55    42.53    -9.86    49.84     3.48   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   36  -12      -0.11    50.36     0.82    43.96     3.29   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Watford          31   36  -16       3.53    68.80     2.63    44.24     3.22   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Brighton         30   34  -12       0.22    52.11    -0.52    41.45     3.24   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Newcastle        30   32  -10      -3.90    31.41    -0.84    41.29     3.50   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.24R    0.01  
Swansea          30   31  -17      -1.13    44.79    -2.09    39.04     3.35   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.54R    0.21  
Huddersfield     31   31  -27       6.47    82.56     3.92    35.77     2.79   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.80R    0.83  
Crystal_Palace   31   30  -18      -3.32    33.77    -1.93    38.90     3.45   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.34  
West_Ham         30   30  -21      -4.03    30.34    -6.70    37.56     3.34   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.27R    0.59  
Southampton      30   28  -15      -9.78     9.62    -8.81    36.31     3.51   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.86R    1.12  
Stoke            31   27  -29      -3.93    30.39    -8.65    33.10     3.03   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.84R    7.62  
West_Brom        31   20  -25     -12.29     4.39    -8.26    26.68     3.10   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   89.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Barnsley 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   38   82  +36      16.62    96.58    16.41    95.68     3.69    40.05    83.59    99.08   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   76  +27      14.91    94.99    11.95    90.29     3.96    29.98    15.89    84.05   100.00    87.75P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          38   69  +25       4.64    68.81     6.27    83.30     3.77    30.15     0.41    10.99    99.02    35.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   69  +24       7.74    80.12    10.65    81.30     3.76    26.01     0.11     5.19    96.55    26.82P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   62  +21       0.65    52.71     5.60    76.90     3.91    24.78     0.00     0.59    75.14    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   62  +18      -1.52    43.48     1.65    75.18     3.72    21.18     0.00     0.07    58.34    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    38   61  +12       6.55    75.85     8.60    72.85     3.79    13.34     0.00     0.01    28.82     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   60  +11       4.41    68.55     5.66    72.07     3.74    12.68     0.00     0.01    21.37     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   60   +8       5.97    73.44     5.09    70.99     3.80     8.06     0.00     0.00    14.63     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        38   58   +9       6.91    76.97    10.05    68.21     3.68     8.08     0.00     0.00     4.24     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   54   +8      -3.13    37.09     0.54    66.23     3.84     9.78     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   52   -1       1.38    56.41     0.87    62.89     3.75    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         38   52   -3      -3.32    36.38    -7.66    63.01     3.81    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   50   -3      -2.12    41.34    -3.16    61.26     3.69    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   47  -10       0.35    51.96    -1.90    57.03     3.72   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46  -11      -0.51    48.52    -2.51    55.71     3.69   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   41  -11     -10.27    13.12   -10.24    51.51     3.74   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Hull            38   39   -6     -13.34     7.88    -6.04    49.53     3.77    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.01  
Bolton          38   39  -23      -0.70    47.72    -5.55    48.25     3.59   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.03  
Reading         38   36  -13     -11.42    10.55    -5.71    45.52     3.67   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.82R    0.37  
Barnsley        38   33  -19      -9.82    13.76    -4.98    42.03     3.63   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.46R    3.18  
Birmingham      38   33  -29      -4.87    29.19    -9.03    41.34     3.47   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.05R    6.37  
Burton_Albion   38   30  -40      -3.10    36.42   -11.78    37.17     3.35   -45.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.61R   44.76  
Sunderland      38   28  -30     -14.11     5.77   -14.78    36.55     3.57   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.73R   45.28  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2018, Northampton 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Blackburn        37   76  +35       4.48    68.58     3.46    93.40     3.97    42.66    32.41    82.10   100.00    90.03P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   75  +22      20.94    98.96    16.95    89.25     4.02    24.77     6.26    28.06   100.00    45.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            34   71  +40       3.88    66.84    10.03    95.29     4.48    51.42    61.32    89.54   100.00    94.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        37   65  +20       6.05    73.69     7.88    78.74     4.04    22.05     0.01     0.29    98.85    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   58   +9      -1.44    43.93    -1.77    70.96     3.83    11.91     0.00     0.00    68.65    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   57   +2       8.55    82.03     5.26    68.73     4.03     1.15     0.00     0.00    40.43     6.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   56  +12      -0.21    49.05     4.06    69.20     4.04    13.19     0.00     0.00    52.18    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   52   -2       3.46    64.64     1.19    63.38     3.98    -3.29     0.00     0.00     6.99     1.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         36   52   -2       1.88    58.62    -3.07    65.23     4.26    -2.62     0.00     0.00    14.81     2.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   50   -3       1.51    56.88     1.12    60.70     3.94    -5.80     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.28P    0.20R    0.00  
Bradford         36   50   -6      -1.01    45.94    -8.44    64.10     4.25    -5.49     0.00     0.00     9.11     1.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham       36   49   +2       1.24    55.91     4.36    62.49     4.26     1.64     0.00     0.00     5.64     1.08P    0.12R    0.00  
Southend         37   47  -12      -0.94    46.67    -7.71    58.27     4.00   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    2.27R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   46   +1      -3.09    37.35     3.43    57.95     3.99     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    2.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   46   -4       0.44    52.56     3.37    57.75     4.03    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    2.87R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       36   45   -2      -5.34    28.15    -3.16    57.83     4.18    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    2.97R    0.00  
Walsall          37   44   -7      -4.07    33.35    -2.95    56.21     3.94    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    6.34R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town   37   42   -9      -7.87    19.90    -7.59    53.82     3.99    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.01R    0.11  
AFC_Wimbledon    37   42  -11      -1.16    45.63    -0.49    52.53     3.83   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.78R    0.35  
Oldham           36   40  -12      -0.97    46.53     0.41    51.92     4.14   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.29R    0.64  
Northampton      38   40  -25       0.41    52.85    -5.43    48.92     3.68   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.12R    3.65  
MK_Dons          37   38  -14      -9.11    15.77    -8.76    47.97     3.84   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.90R    3.81  
Rochdale         35   34  -10     -11.63     9.11    -6.52    48.22     4.45   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.61R    5.56  
Bury             37   30  -24      -8.63    16.08    -5.63    39.55     3.80   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   85.87  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   37   74  +24      12.01    90.53     7.06    87.88     4.02    26.25    53.16    94.82    99.95    96.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   71  +39      -0.39    47.88     9.16    86.36     3.63    46.03    39.81    94.60    99.96    96.53P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         38   66  +21       9.18    83.68    14.10    77.10     3.75    21.19     0.87    17.72    84.88    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   66  +18       6.74    76.63     5.13    80.66     4.05    21.47     4.64    49.83    95.95    61.76P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   63  +18       5.03    70.74     7.25    77.19     4.00    20.65     0.94    17.58    84.36    35.19P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             37   61  +12       1.17    54.91    -1.12    76.61     3.94    16.63     0.29    12.41    78.43    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   60  +13       7.73    79.65    10.86    71.66     3.98    12.04     0.02     1.48    31.20     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   60   +6       5.68    73.64    -1.30    75.02     4.26     7.96     0.22     6.78    59.93    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              37   60   +3       2.67    61.00    -6.84    74.57     4.07     6.38     0.05     4.74    55.65    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   56   +7       0.42    52.13     2.03    67.37     3.79     7.47     0.00     0.03     5.85     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       37   53   +0       7.04    78.48     7.13    64.93     4.04    -0.55     0.00     0.01     1.78     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   53   -2       6.64    77.17     4.62    63.85     3.92    -4.08     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           37   51   +3      -3.99    33.50    -3.27    63.27     4.06     2.93     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        38   50  -12       1.05    55.03    -7.75    60.69     3.74   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   45   -1      -3.56    35.38     4.74    55.70     3.75    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            37   44   -5      -5.75    26.77    -2.98    56.09     3.97    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   42  -10      -2.90    37.72    -1.06    51.10     3.75   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.08  
Morecambe            36   39  -10      -3.06    36.93     1.01    51.54     4.17   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.30  
Port_Vale            37   38  -12     -11.78    10.20   -10.60    50.33     4.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.43  
Crewe                37   37  -17      -6.96    22.35    -6.06    48.09     3.87   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.11R    2.15  
Forest_Green         37   37  -20      -2.06    42.00    -0.76    46.89     3.88   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.27R    5.06  
Grimsby              38   37  -25      -4.24    32.30    -9.02    45.86     3.56   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.92R    7.70  
Chesterfield         36   31  -28     -10.34    12.02   -14.81    42.56     4.23   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.36R   31.22  
Barnet               38   30  -22     -12.29     8.07    -7.52    40.04     3.66   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.32R   53.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 3 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       37   71  +12      14.02    93.92     2.67    84.86     4.03    14.27    59.29    98.00    67.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      38   69  +17      12.50    90.95    10.29    81.14     3.81    18.72    20.25    88.31    33.24P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       38   65  +18       7.93    80.43    10.46    77.33     3.69    20.08     4.58    61.51    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           38   64  +23      -5.07    28.89    -2.17    78.95     3.66    28.86     8.97    80.22    35.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   64  +15       7.64    79.88     8.36    75.39     3.73    15.75     1.29    39.07     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          38   64  +13       3.63    65.10     0.67    76.56     3.75    15.40     2.92    51.18    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   63  +19      -0.25    48.91     2.41    76.00     3.82    21.99     2.10    49.56    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          38   59  +22       0.31    51.36    12.01    71.54     3.86    24.36     0.15    13.77     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   56   +6       6.15    74.60     7.04    67.95     4.02     5.53     0.01     2.14     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   55  +16       2.73    61.88     9.58    71.33     4.62    17.80     0.43    15.75     3.68P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   51   +4      -7.33    21.77    -7.33    65.37     4.04     7.17     0.00     0.41     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   48  +12      -9.08    16.01     0.54    61.86     4.24    12.27     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Maidenhead         38   48   -6       2.36    60.59     4.22    56.73     3.68    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46   -5      -3.60    35.18    -3.00    56.44     3.91    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Halifax            38   46   -7       1.43    56.85     3.72    55.42     3.69    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.07R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   37   45  -11       2.62    62.25     1.94    55.93     3.96   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      38   44   -7     -10.80    12.97   -11.12    56.00     3.76    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Woking             38   44  -13      -2.05    41.80    -2.96    53.49     3.73   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.05R    0.00  
Barrow             35   39   -6      -8.42    17.25    -5.19    54.04     4.48    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.00  
Hartlepool         37   39  -13     -11.22    11.49   -12.31    52.05     3.96   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.30R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     37   36  -15      -5.56    27.12    -1.35    46.51     3.88   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.69R    0.24  
Torquay            38   31  -28      -8.40    17.06    -9.25    40.65     3.65   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.04R    9.64  
Chester            38   31  -29      -8.88    15.67   -10.42    39.08     3.50   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   15.44  
Guiseley           37   26  -37      -6.65    21.09    -8.83    34.83     3.75   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   74.67