Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 20 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 30 81 +65 12.49 97.63 15.65 99.08 3.11 78.28 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 65 +35 7.30 83.54 9.85 80.80 3.42 42.31 0.00 60.93 85.20 98.19 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 63 +39 2.33 61.26 8.16 77.41 3.17 47.36 0.00 19.95 57.76 91.51 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 61 +34 -0.49 46.29 1.15 77.26 3.42 42.45 0.00 18.09 50.81 88.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 56 +25 -1.63 40.63 -0.72 71.65 3.55 32.56 0.00 1.03 6.22 21.25 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 48 +14 -4.63 27.49 -4.04 63.37 3.50 21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 96.05 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 43 +1 5.91 78.86 6.96 53.56 3.61 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.74 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 40 +2 -1.40 43.18 3.29 51.44 3.67 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 40 -13 -1.55 42.53 -9.86 49.84 3.48 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 31 36 -12 -0.11 50.36 0.82 43.96 3.29 -15.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Watford 31 36 -16 3.53 68.80 2.63 44.24 3.22 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Brighton 30 34 -12 0.22 52.11 -0.52 41.45 3.24 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67R 0.00 Newcastle 30 32 -10 -3.90 31.41 -0.84 41.29 3.50 -12.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.24R 0.01 Swansea 30 31 -17 -1.13 44.79 -2.09 39.04 3.35 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.54R 0.21 Huddersfield 31 31 -27 6.47 82.56 3.92 35.77 2.79 -36.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.80R 0.83 Crystal_Palace 31 30 -18 -3.32 33.77 -1.93 38.90 3.45 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.45R 0.34 West_Ham 30 30 -21 -4.03 30.34 -6.70 37.56 3.34 -27.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.27R 0.59 Southampton 30 28 -15 -9.78 9.62 -8.81 36.31 3.51 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.86R 1.12 Stoke 31 27 -29 -3.93 30.39 -8.65 33.10 3.03 -35.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.84R 7.62 West_Brom 31 20 -25 -12.29 4.39 -8.26 26.68 3.10 -29.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.97R 89.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Barnsley 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 38 82 +36 16.62 96.58 16.41 95.68 3.69 40.05 83.59 99.08 100.00 99.29P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 76 +27 14.91 94.99 11.95 90.29 3.96 29.98 15.89 84.05 100.00 87.75P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 38 69 +25 4.64 68.81 6.27 83.30 3.77 30.15 0.41 10.99 99.02 35.07P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 69 +24 7.74 80.12 10.65 81.30 3.76 26.01 0.11 5.19 96.55 26.82P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 62 +21 0.65 52.71 5.60 76.90 3.91 24.78 0.00 0.59 75.14 21.38P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 62 +18 -1.52 43.48 1.65 75.18 3.72 21.18 0.00 0.07 58.34 16.53P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 61 +12 6.55 75.85 8.60 72.85 3.79 13.34 0.00 0.01 28.82 5.07P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 60 +11 4.41 68.55 5.66 72.07 3.74 12.68 0.00 0.01 21.37 4.27P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 60 +8 5.97 73.44 5.09 70.99 3.80 8.06 0.00 0.00 14.63 2.68P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 38 58 +9 6.91 76.97 10.05 68.21 3.68 8.08 0.00 0.00 4.24 0.70P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 38 54 +8 -3.13 37.09 0.54 66.23 3.84 9.78 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 52 -1 1.38 56.41 0.87 62.89 3.75 -1.04 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 52 -3 -3.32 36.38 -7.66 63.01 3.81 -2.89 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 50 -3 -2.12 41.34 -3.16 61.26 3.69 -2.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 QPR 38 47 -10 0.35 51.96 -1.90 57.03 3.72 -11.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -11 -0.51 48.52 -2.51 55.71 3.69 -12.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 41 -11 -10.27 13.12 -10.24 51.51 3.74 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Hull 38 39 -6 -13.34 7.88 -6.04 49.53 3.77 -6.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11R 0.01 Bolton 38 39 -23 -0.70 47.72 -5.55 48.25 3.59 -25.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.96R 0.03 Reading 38 36 -13 -11.42 10.55 -5.71 45.52 3.67 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.82R 0.37 Barnsley 38 33 -19 -9.82 13.76 -4.98 42.03 3.63 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.46R 3.18 Birmingham 38 33 -29 -4.87 29.19 -9.03 41.34 3.47 -32.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.05R 6.37 Burton_Albion 38 30 -40 -3.10 36.42 -11.78 37.17 3.35 -45.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.61R 44.76 Sunderland 38 28 -30 -14.11 5.77 -14.78 36.55 3.57 -33.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.73R 45.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2018, Northampton 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Blackburn 37 76 +35 4.48 68.58 3.46 93.40 3.97 42.66 32.41 82.10 100.00 90.03P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 37 75 +22 20.94 98.96 16.95 89.25 4.02 24.77 6.26 28.06 100.00 45.61P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 34 71 +40 3.88 66.84 10.03 95.29 4.48 51.42 61.32 89.54 100.00 94.49P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 37 65 +20 6.05 73.69 7.88 78.74 4.04 22.05 0.01 0.29 98.85 26.15P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 38 58 +9 -1.44 43.93 -1.77 70.96 3.83 11.91 0.00 0.00 68.65 17.57P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 57 +2 8.55 82.03 5.26 68.73 4.03 1.15 0.00 0.00 40.43 6.60P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 37 56 +12 -0.21 49.05 4.06 69.20 4.04 13.19 0.00 0.00 52.18 11.62P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 37 52 -2 3.46 64.64 1.19 63.38 3.98 -3.29 0.00 0.00 6.99 1.30P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 36 52 -2 1.88 58.62 -3.07 65.23 4.26 -2.62 0.00 0.00 14.81 2.97P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 37 50 -3 1.51 56.88 1.12 60.70 3.94 -5.80 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.28P 0.20R 0.00 Bradford 36 50 -6 -1.01 45.94 -8.44 64.10 4.25 -5.49 0.00 0.00 9.11 1.98P 0.05R 0.00 Gillingham 36 49 +2 1.24 55.91 4.36 62.49 4.26 1.64 0.00 0.00 5.64 1.08P 0.12R 0.00 Southend 37 47 -12 -0.94 46.67 -7.71 58.27 4.00 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 2.27R 0.00 Doncaster 37 46 +1 -3.09 37.35 3.43 57.95 3.99 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 2.03R 0.00 Blackpool 37 46 -4 0.44 52.56 3.37 57.75 4.03 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 2.87R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 36 45 -2 -5.34 28.15 -3.16 57.83 4.18 -3.52 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.10P 2.97R 0.00 Walsall 37 44 -7 -4.07 33.35 -2.95 56.21 3.94 -7.19 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 6.34R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 37 42 -9 -7.87 19.90 -7.59 53.82 3.99 -9.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.01R 0.11 AFC_Wimbledon 37 42 -11 -1.16 45.63 -0.49 52.53 3.83 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.78R 0.35 Oldham 36 40 -12 -0.97 46.53 0.41 51.92 4.14 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 34.29R 0.64 Northampton 38 40 -25 0.41 52.85 -5.43 48.92 3.68 -28.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.12R 3.65 MK_Dons 37 38 -14 -9.11 15.77 -8.76 47.97 3.84 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.90R 3.81 Rochdale 35 34 -10 -11.63 9.11 -6.52 48.22 4.45 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.61R 5.56 Bury 37 30 -24 -8.63 16.08 -5.63 39.55 3.80 -28.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.43R 85.87League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Accrington_Stanley 37 74 +24 12.01 90.53 7.06 87.88 4.02 26.25 53.16 94.82 99.95 96.17P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 71 +39 -0.39 47.88 9.16 86.36 3.63 46.03 39.81 94.60 99.96 96.53P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 66 +21 9.18 83.68 14.10 77.10 3.75 21.19 0.87 17.72 84.88 31.26P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 66 +18 6.74 76.63 5.13 80.66 4.05 21.47 4.64 49.83 95.95 61.76P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 37 63 +18 5.03 70.74 7.25 77.19 4.00 20.65 0.94 17.58 84.36 35.19P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 37 61 +12 1.17 54.91 -1.12 76.61 3.94 16.63 0.29 12.41 78.43 33.45P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 37 60 +13 7.73 79.65 10.86 71.66 3.98 12.04 0.02 1.48 31.20 7.33P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 60 +6 5.68 73.64 -1.30 75.02 4.26 7.96 0.22 6.78 59.93 18.94P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 60 +3 2.67 61.00 -6.84 74.57 4.07 6.38 0.05 4.74 55.65 17.43P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 38 56 +7 0.42 52.13 2.03 67.37 3.79 7.47 0.00 0.03 5.85 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 53 +0 7.04 78.48 7.13 64.93 4.04 -0.55 0.00 0.01 1.78 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 53 -2 6.64 77.17 4.62 63.85 3.92 -4.08 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 51 +3 -3.99 33.50 -3.27 63.27 4.06 2.93 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 38 50 -12 1.05 55.03 -7.75 60.69 3.74 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 38 45 -1 -3.56 35.38 4.74 55.70 3.75 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 37 44 -5 -5.75 26.77 -2.98 56.09 3.97 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Yeovil 37 42 -10 -2.90 37.72 -1.06 51.10 3.75 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14R 0.08 Morecambe 36 39 -10 -3.06 36.93 1.01 51.54 4.17 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89R 0.30 Port_Vale 37 38 -12 -11.78 10.20 -10.60 50.33 4.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.94R 0.43 Crewe 37 37 -17 -6.96 22.35 -6.06 48.09 3.87 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.11R 2.15 Forest_Green 37 37 -20 -2.06 42.00 -0.76 46.89 3.88 -24.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.27R 5.06 Grimsby 38 37 -25 -4.24 32.30 -9.02 45.86 3.56 -28.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.92R 7.70 Chesterfield 36 31 -28 -10.34 12.02 -14.81 42.56 4.23 -31.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.36R 31.22 Barnet 38 30 -22 -12.29 8.07 -7.52 40.04 3.66 -23.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.32R 53.07National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 March 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 3 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 37 71 +12 14.02 93.92 2.67 84.86 4.03 14.27 59.29 98.00 67.56P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 38 69 +17 12.50 90.95 10.29 81.14 3.81 18.72 20.25 88.31 33.24P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 38 65 +18 7.93 80.43 10.46 77.33 3.69 20.08 4.58 61.51 17.09P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 64 +23 -5.07 28.89 -2.17 78.95 3.66 28.86 8.97 80.22 35.77P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 64 +15 7.64 79.88 8.36 75.39 3.73 15.75 1.29 39.07 9.25P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 38 64 +13 3.63 65.10 0.67 76.56 3.75 15.40 2.92 51.18 14.48P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 63 +19 -0.25 48.91 2.41 76.00 3.82 21.99 2.10 49.56 15.16P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 38 59 +22 0.31 51.36 12.01 71.54 3.86 24.36 0.15 13.77 3.20P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 37 56 +6 6.15 74.60 7.04 67.95 4.02 5.53 0.01 2.14 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 35 55 +16 2.73 61.88 9.58 71.33 4.62 17.80 0.43 15.75 3.68P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 51 +4 -7.33 21.77 -7.33 65.37 4.04 7.17 0.00 0.41 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 48 +12 -9.08 16.01 0.54 61.86 4.24 12.27 0.00 0.08 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Maidenhead 38 48 -6 2.36 60.59 4.22 56.73 3.68 -9.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -5 -3.60 35.18 -3.00 56.44 3.91 -7.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.31R 0.00 Halifax 38 46 -7 1.43 56.85 3.72 55.42 3.69 -9.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.07R 0.00 Maidstone_United 37 45 -11 2.62 62.25 1.94 55.93 3.96 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.51R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 38 44 -7 -10.80 12.97 -11.12 56.00 3.76 -5.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.29R 0.00 Woking 38 44 -13 -2.05 41.80 -2.96 53.49 3.73 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.05R 0.00 Barrow 35 39 -6 -8.42 17.25 -5.19 54.04 4.48 -6.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.83R 0.00 Hartlepool 37 39 -13 -11.22 11.49 -12.31 52.05 3.96 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 37 36 -15 -5.56 27.12 -1.35 46.51 3.88 -17.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.69R 0.24 Torquay 38 31 -28 -8.40 17.06 -9.25 40.65 3.65 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.04R 9.64 Chester 38 31 -29 -8.88 15.67 -10.42 39.08 3.50 -33.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.41R 15.44 Guiseley 37 26 -37 -6.65 21.09 -8.83 34.83 3.75 -42.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.90R 74.67