Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 March 2018, Stoke 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   81  +65      12.43    97.67    15.68    99.10     3.11    78.28    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   65  +35       7.35    83.62     9.99    80.75     3.41    42.23     0.01    62.55    86.59    98.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +34      -0.50    46.08     1.20    77.22     3.44    42.36     0.00    19.35    54.73    89.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   60  +34       2.62    62.93     6.91    76.78     3.38    44.12     0.00    17.02    51.65    88.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   56  +25      -1.50    41.39    -0.44    71.63     3.53    32.49     0.00     1.08     7.03    23.64    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   48  +14      -4.68    27.32    -4.04    63.33     3.50    21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    96.11     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +1       6.19    79.97     7.32    53.49     3.61     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   40   +2      -1.31    43.66     3.39    51.45     3.67     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton          30   37  -14      -2.68    36.77   -10.16    48.22     3.76   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          30   36  -11       3.15    66.61     4.01    44.79     3.39   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Brighton         30   34  -12       0.31    52.61    -0.36    41.49     3.22   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.01  
Bournemouth      30   33  -13      -1.23    44.19     0.59    42.69     3.58   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.01  
Newcastle        30   32  -10      -4.01    30.62    -1.02    41.28     3.51   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.06  
Swansea          30   31  -17      -1.14    44.81    -2.15    39.05     3.33   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.23R    0.47  
Huddersfield     30   31  -25       7.00    84.42     4.39    37.15     3.14   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.85R    1.13  
West_Ham         30   30  -21      -4.14    29.95    -6.96    37.58     3.34   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.24R    1.07  
Southampton      30   28  -15      -9.78     9.91    -8.88    36.34     3.52   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.01R    2.04  
Crystal_Palace   30   27  -20      -4.45    27.59    -3.07    37.23     3.71   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.80R    2.80  
Stoke            30   27  -28      -2.95    35.25    -8.47    34.43     3.34   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.70R    7.56  
West_Brom        30   20  -24     -11.28     5.43    -7.95    27.73     3.36   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.58R   84.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Aston_Villa 1 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   37   79  +34      16.23    96.43    16.33    94.91     3.90    39.33    78.41    96.73   100.00    97.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   76  +27      14.99    95.04    12.01    90.22     3.97    29.89    19.16    75.39    99.99    81.20P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   69  +25       8.56    82.78    10.87    83.21     4.03    27.75     0.92    10.80    98.59    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   68  +25       5.41    71.73     6.85    84.42     4.01    31.29     1.50    16.50    99.31    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   62  +21       0.75    53.16     5.74    76.90     3.90    24.79     0.01     0.45    76.65    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   61  +18      -1.30    44.27     1.43    75.68     3.99    21.36     0.00     0.12    63.36    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   59   +8       6.21    74.69     4.98    71.92     4.07     8.85     0.00     0.01    22.33     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   58  +11       5.07    71.00     7.85    71.49     4.02    12.71     0.00     0.01    20.62     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   57   +9       3.39    64.67     4.57    70.50     4.00    10.76     0.00     0.00    13.45     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   55   +7       6.07    74.75     9.21    66.43     3.94     5.85     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   53   +8      -2.67    38.84     0.75    66.41     4.08     9.49     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         37   52   +0       2.51    61.23     1.56    64.05     3.97    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    37   50   -2      -1.14    45.28    -2.66    62.95     3.95    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         37   49   -4      -3.99    33.44    -7.32    61.60     4.03    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   46  -10       0.47    52.76    -2.43    56.81     3.91   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   45  -11      -0.19    50.00    -2.44    55.68     3.91   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hull            37   39   -3     -13.15     8.12    -4.83    51.48     4.04    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       37   38  -12     -11.64     9.83   -10.82    49.50     3.99   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.01  
Reading         37   36  -12     -10.37    12.42    -5.35    46.51     3.90   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.26  
Bolton          37   36  -24      -1.92    42.22    -5.67    46.02     3.81   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.54R    0.58  
Barnsley        37   33  -17      -9.25    14.67    -4.14    43.58     3.91   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.22R    2.01  
Birmingham      37   30  -32      -5.61    25.39   -10.67    39.15     3.72   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.80R   22.45  
Burton_Albion   37   30  -38      -2.77    38.02   -11.59    37.76     3.50   -44.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.67R   42.26  
Sunderland      37   28  -28     -13.79     5.93   -14.23    37.89     3.83   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.66R   32.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2018, Bradford 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Blackburn        37   76  +35       4.85    69.94     4.06    93.30     3.97    42.49    32.22    85.52   100.00    91.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            34   71  +40       4.08    67.74    10.32    95.27     4.48    51.38    62.84    91.80   100.00    95.41P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   71  +21      19.97    98.78    16.34    87.94     4.48    23.73     4.92    22.46   100.00    41.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        36   62  +17       5.69    72.65     6.84    77.23     4.34    19.24     0.02     0.21    95.40    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   58  +10      -0.20    49.38    -0.93    72.57     4.05    13.24     0.00     0.00    76.47    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   56  +13       0.60    52.57     4.24    70.76     4.31    14.49     0.00     0.00    62.07    14.64P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   54   +1       7.42    79.35     4.82    67.11     4.31     0.21     0.00     0.00    23.31     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   51   -2       2.15    59.73    -3.19    65.91     4.51    -2.21     0.00     0.00    16.15     3.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -2       2.48    60.79     1.47    61.97     4.22    -4.92     0.00     0.00     3.62     0.59P    0.15R    0.00  
Bradford         35   50   -4      -0.30    48.99    -7.39    65.63     4.50    -3.25     0.00     0.00    14.32     3.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham       36   49   +2       1.21    55.98     4.39    62.59     4.31     1.77     0.00     0.00     4.91     0.91P    0.13R    0.00  
Portsmouth       36   49   -4       2.90    63.14     0.81    61.41     4.23    -5.81     0.00     0.00     2.51     0.36P    0.41R    0.00  
Southend         36   46  -12      -0.75    47.15    -7.91    58.60     4.23   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    2.68R    0.00  
Blackpool        36   45   -4       0.61    53.27     3.12    58.25     4.27    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    3.08R    0.01  
Walsall          37   44   -7      -4.08    33.37    -2.92    56.22     3.97    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.05R    0.04  
Doncaster        36   43   -1      -4.01    33.52     2.52    56.15     4.23    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.16R    0.08  
Oxford_Utd       35   42   -3      -6.55    23.63    -3.60    56.16     4.42    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    8.45R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon    36   41  -11      -0.93    46.79    -0.66    52.57     4.05   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R    0.76  
Oldham           35   40  -10      -0.29    49.80     1.39    53.48     4.39   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.32R    0.44  
Northampton      36   39  -22       0.68    53.96    -4.59    50.18     4.14   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.49R    3.64  
Fleetwood_Town   35   38  -11      -8.90    15.78    -9.11    52.05     4.45   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.79R    1.19  
MK_Dons          36   35  -15     -10.14    12.60    -8.99    46.61     4.08   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.16R   12.84  
Rochdale         33   33   -8     -10.52    11.04    -5.41    50.69     4.93    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.15R    3.42  
Bury             36   30  -23      -7.88    18.14    -5.62    40.67     4.07   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   77.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Barnet 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Accrington_Stanley   36   71  +22      11.37    89.37     6.69    87.06     4.20    25.60    42.51    92.42    99.88    94.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   70  +39       0.07    49.72     9.23    87.14     3.87    46.66    51.00    95.88    99.98    97.44P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         37   65  +21       9.70    85.62    14.33    77.61     4.00    21.38     1.41    24.85    88.30    37.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   63  +16       5.97    74.52     4.43    79.05     4.33    19.47     2.68    35.83    91.75    50.28P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            36   62  +18       5.40    72.50     7.25    77.39     4.25    20.41     1.42    22.88    86.16    39.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   60   +7       6.92    78.17    -0.49    76.58     4.50     9.28     0.78    15.09    75.53    29.47P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             36   58  +11       0.08    50.34    -1.39    75.14     4.18    15.89     0.14     9.07    69.82    27.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   57  +11       7.16    78.16    10.35    70.40     4.21    10.59     0.02     1.18    25.84     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              36   57   +1       1.82    57.74    -7.54    72.67     4.29     3.96     0.04     2.59    41.64    12.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             37   55   +7       0.97    54.53     2.27    68.25     4.04     8.23     0.00     0.13    11.96     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       36   52   +0       7.19    79.28     6.87    64.90     4.23    -1.19     0.00     0.02     2.87     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   52   -2       6.83    78.02     4.20    63.74     4.12    -4.78     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           36   51   +4      -2.84    37.75    -2.56    65.42     4.29     5.05     0.00     0.03     4.35     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   50  -10       1.59    57.73    -6.95    62.25     3.99   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           37   44   -1      -3.04    37.63     4.96    56.50     3.98    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage            36   43   -5      -5.38    27.97    -3.06    56.11     4.20    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil               36   39  -11      -4.55    30.82    -1.99    48.89     3.93   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.80R    1.32  
Port_Vale            36   37  -12     -11.20    11.05   -10.38    51.00     4.28   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.67  
Crewe                36   37  -16      -6.15    25.04    -5.94    49.27     4.13   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    1.97  
Forest_Green         36   37  -18      -1.78    43.14    -0.62    47.55     4.06   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    5.38  
Grimsby              37   37  -23      -3.70    34.12    -8.42    46.90     3.80   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.26R    6.91  
Morecambe            35   36  -11      -4.46    30.94     0.40    49.66     4.39   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.16R    1.97  
Barnet               37   30  -20     -11.75     8.82    -6.67    41.37     3.91   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.57R   43.14  
Chesterfield         35   30  -28     -10.12    12.27   -14.97    42.45     4.42   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.91R   38.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Maidenhead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       36   71  +14      14.50    94.50     3.42    86.26     4.28    16.32    58.97    98.67    67.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      37   69  +18      13.68    93.08    11.02    82.82     4.09    20.15    23.83    93.57    37.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           37   64  +24      -3.92    32.77    -1.50    80.52     3.91    30.20    10.90    87.81    40.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   63  +15       8.20    81.94     8.61    75.90     4.00    15.96     1.16    44.74    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          37   63  +13       4.23    67.62     0.98    77.40     4.01    16.06     2.88    59.77    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   62  +17       6.56    76.46     9.87    75.46     3.88    18.80     1.23    42.58    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     37   60  +17      -1.16    44.60     1.43    74.47     4.07    20.14     0.67    34.38     9.64P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   58  +22       0.76    53.02    12.09    72.34     4.14    25.00     0.17    20.21     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   56   +6       6.49    75.40     7.58    67.83     4.04     5.38     0.00     2.20     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   55  +16       2.71    62.08     9.60    71.31     4.59    17.76     0.19    15.53     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   51   +4      -7.29    21.77    -7.32    65.34     4.03     7.11     0.00     0.44     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   48  +12      -9.04    16.13     0.54    61.89     4.26    12.31     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Maidenhead         37   48   -5       3.12    63.30     4.37    58.22     3.99    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   45   -5      -3.02    37.64    -2.63    56.78     4.18    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.42R    0.00  
Halifax            37   45   -7       1.93    59.10     3.90    55.89     3.95    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      37   43   -7     -10.40    13.60   -11.02    56.31     4.07    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Woking             37   43  -13      -1.86    42.50    -3.41    53.73     3.97   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.12R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   36   42  -12       1.00    55.60     1.08    54.02     4.20   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   38  -13     -11.17    11.32   -12.90    52.09     4.24   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.50R    0.02  
Barrow             34   36   -7      -9.77    13.22    -5.76    52.35     4.74    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors     36   35  -15      -5.18    28.45    -1.34    47.14     4.14   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.13R    0.37  
Torquay            37   30  -28      -8.14    17.45    -9.34    40.76     3.90   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.46R   10.83  
Chester            37   30  -29      -8.60    15.97   -10.17    38.98     3.73   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   18.60  
Guiseley           36   25  -37      -6.47    21.62    -9.09    35.12     4.02   -42.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.77R   70.15