Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 16 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 March 2018, Stoke 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 30 81 +65 12.43 97.67 15.68 99.10 3.11 78.28 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 65 +35 7.35 83.62 9.99 80.75 3.41 42.23 0.01 62.55 86.59 98.39 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 61 +34 -0.50 46.08 1.20 77.22 3.44 42.36 0.00 19.35 54.73 89.52 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 60 +34 2.62 62.93 6.91 76.78 3.38 44.12 0.00 17.02 51.65 88.36 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 56 +25 -1.50 41.39 -0.44 71.63 3.53 32.49 0.00 1.08 7.03 23.64 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 48 +14 -4.68 27.32 -4.04 63.33 3.50 21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 96.11 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 43 +1 6.19 79.97 7.32 53.49 3.61 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.74 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 40 +2 -1.31 43.66 3.39 51.45 3.67 2.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 37 -14 -2.68 36.77 -10.16 48.22 3.76 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01R 0.00 Watford 30 36 -11 3.15 66.61 4.01 44.79 3.39 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Brighton 30 34 -12 0.31 52.61 -0.36 41.49 3.22 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08R 0.01 Bournemouth 30 33 -13 -1.23 44.19 0.59 42.69 3.58 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56R 0.01 Newcastle 30 32 -10 -4.01 30.62 -1.02 41.28 3.51 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.77R 0.06 Swansea 30 31 -17 -1.14 44.81 -2.15 39.05 3.33 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.23R 0.47 Huddersfield 30 31 -25 7.00 84.42 4.39 37.15 3.14 -34.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.85R 1.13 West_Ham 30 30 -21 -4.14 29.95 -6.96 37.58 3.34 -27.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.24R 1.07 Southampton 30 28 -15 -9.78 9.91 -8.88 36.34 3.52 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.01R 2.04 Crystal_Palace 30 27 -20 -4.45 27.59 -3.07 37.23 3.71 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.80R 2.80 Stoke 30 27 -28 -2.95 35.25 -8.47 34.43 3.34 -34.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.70R 7.56 West_Brom 30 20 -24 -11.28 5.43 -7.95 27.73 3.36 -28.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.58R 84.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Aston_Villa 1 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 37 79 +34 16.23 96.43 16.33 94.91 3.90 39.33 78.41 96.73 100.00 97.57P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 76 +27 14.99 95.04 12.01 90.22 3.97 29.89 19.16 75.39 99.99 81.20P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 37 69 +25 8.56 82.78 10.87 83.21 4.03 27.75 0.92 10.80 98.59 32.13P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 68 +25 5.41 71.73 6.85 84.42 4.01 31.29 1.50 16.50 99.31 39.09P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 62 +21 0.75 53.16 5.74 76.90 3.90 24.79 0.01 0.45 76.65 20.44P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 61 +18 -1.30 44.27 1.43 75.68 3.99 21.36 0.00 0.12 63.36 18.20P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 37 59 +8 6.21 74.69 4.98 71.92 4.07 8.85 0.00 0.01 22.33 3.96P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 58 +11 5.07 71.00 7.85 71.49 4.02 12.71 0.00 0.01 20.62 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 57 +9 3.39 64.67 4.57 70.50 4.00 10.76 0.00 0.00 13.45 2.56P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 55 +7 6.07 74.75 9.21 66.43 3.94 5.85 0.00 0.00 2.27 0.36P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 53 +8 -2.67 38.84 0.75 66.41 4.08 9.49 0.00 0.00 2.76 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 37 52 +0 2.51 61.23 1.56 64.05 3.97 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 37 50 -2 -1.14 45.28 -2.66 62.95 3.95 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 37 49 -4 -3.99 33.44 -7.32 61.60 4.03 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 0.00 0.00 QPR 37 46 -10 0.47 52.76 -2.43 56.81 3.91 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 45 -11 -0.19 50.00 -2.44 55.68 3.91 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Hull 37 39 -3 -13.15 8.12 -4.83 51.48 4.04 -2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 37 38 -12 -11.64 9.83 -10.82 49.50 3.99 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.74R 0.01 Reading 37 36 -12 -10.37 12.42 -5.35 46.51 3.90 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.85R 0.26 Bolton 37 36 -24 -1.92 42.22 -5.67 46.02 3.81 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.54R 0.58 Barnsley 37 33 -17 -9.25 14.67 -4.14 43.58 3.91 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.22R 2.01 Birmingham 37 30 -32 -5.61 25.39 -10.67 39.15 3.72 -36.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.80R 22.45 Burton_Albion 37 30 -38 -2.77 38.02 -11.59 37.76 3.50 -44.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.67R 42.26 Sunderland 37 28 -28 -13.79 5.93 -14.23 37.89 3.83 -31.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.66R 32.41League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 March 2018, Bradford 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Blackburn 37 76 +35 4.85 69.94 4.06 93.30 3.97 42.49 32.22 85.52 100.00 91.90P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 34 71 +40 4.08 67.74 10.32 95.27 4.48 51.38 62.84 91.80 100.00 95.41P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 35 71 +21 19.97 98.78 16.34 87.94 4.48 23.73 4.92 22.46 100.00 41.18P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 36 62 +17 5.69 72.65 6.84 77.23 4.34 19.24 0.02 0.21 95.40 23.58P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 37 58 +10 -0.20 49.38 -0.93 72.57 4.05 13.24 0.00 0.00 76.47 20.63P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 36 56 +13 0.60 52.57 4.24 70.76 4.31 14.49 0.00 0.00 62.07 14.64P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 36 54 +1 7.42 79.35 4.82 67.11 4.31 0.21 0.00 0.00 23.31 3.94P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 35 51 -2 2.15 59.73 -3.19 65.91 4.51 -2.21 0.00 0.00 16.15 3.28P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 50 -2 2.48 60.79 1.47 61.97 4.22 -4.92 0.00 0.00 3.62 0.59P 0.15R 0.00 Bradford 35 50 -4 -0.30 48.99 -7.39 65.63 4.50 -3.25 0.00 0.00 14.32 3.35P 0.02R 0.00 Gillingham 36 49 +2 1.21 55.98 4.39 62.59 4.31 1.77 0.00 0.00 4.91 0.91P 0.13R 0.00 Portsmouth 36 49 -4 2.90 63.14 0.81 61.41 4.23 -5.81 0.00 0.00 2.51 0.36P 0.41R 0.00 Southend 36 46 -12 -0.75 47.15 -7.91 58.60 4.23 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07P 2.68R 0.00 Blackpool 36 45 -4 0.61 53.27 3.12 58.25 4.27 -4.56 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.07P 3.08R 0.01 Walsall 37 44 -7 -4.08 33.37 -2.92 56.22 3.97 -7.20 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 7.05R 0.04 Doncaster 36 43 -1 -4.01 33.52 2.52 56.15 4.23 -1.78 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 7.16R 0.08 Oxford_Utd 35 42 -3 -6.55 23.63 -3.60 56.16 4.42 -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 8.45R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 36 41 -11 -0.93 46.79 -0.66 52.57 4.05 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.43R 0.76 Oldham 35 40 -10 -0.29 49.80 1.39 53.48 4.39 -12.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.32R 0.44 Northampton 36 39 -22 0.68 53.96 -4.59 50.18 4.14 -25.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.49R 3.64 Fleetwood_Town 35 38 -11 -8.90 15.78 -9.11 52.05 4.45 -12.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 34.79R 1.19 MK_Dons 36 35 -15 -10.14 12.60 -8.99 46.61 4.08 -18.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.16R 12.84 Rochdale 33 33 -8 -10.52 11.04 -5.41 50.69 4.93 -8.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.15R 3.42 Bury 36 30 -23 -7.88 18.14 -5.62 40.67 4.07 -27.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.50R 77.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Barnet 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Accrington_Stanley 36 71 +22 11.37 89.37 6.69 87.06 4.20 25.60 42.51 92.42 99.88 94.26P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 70 +39 0.07 49.72 9.23 87.14 3.87 46.66 51.00 95.88 99.98 97.44P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 37 65 +21 9.70 85.62 14.33 77.61 4.00 21.38 1.41 24.85 88.30 37.95P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 36 63 +16 5.97 74.52 4.43 79.05 4.33 19.47 2.68 35.83 91.75 50.28P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 62 +18 5.40 72.50 7.25 77.39 4.25 20.41 1.42 22.88 86.16 39.50P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 60 +7 6.92 78.17 -0.49 76.58 4.50 9.28 0.78 15.09 75.53 29.47P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 36 58 +11 0.08 50.34 -1.39 75.14 4.18 15.89 0.14 9.07 69.82 27.95P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 36 57 +11 7.16 78.16 10.35 70.40 4.21 10.59 0.02 1.18 25.84 5.98P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 57 +1 1.82 57.74 -7.54 72.67 4.29 3.96 0.04 2.59 41.64 12.42P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 55 +7 0.97 54.53 2.27 68.25 4.04 8.23 0.00 0.13 11.96 2.78P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 52 +0 7.19 79.28 6.87 64.90 4.23 -1.19 0.00 0.02 2.87 0.54P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 52 -2 6.83 78.02 4.20 63.74 4.12 -4.78 0.00 0.01 1.59 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 36 51 +4 -2.84 37.75 -2.56 65.42 4.29 5.05 0.00 0.03 4.35 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 50 -10 1.59 57.73 -6.95 62.25 3.99 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 37 44 -1 -3.04 37.63 4.96 56.50 3.98 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Stevenage 36 43 -5 -5.38 27.97 -3.06 56.11 4.20 -5.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.08R 0.00 Yeovil 36 39 -11 -4.55 30.82 -1.99 48.89 3.93 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.80R 1.32 Port_Vale 36 37 -12 -11.20 11.05 -10.38 51.00 4.28 -11.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.40R 0.67 Crewe 36 37 -16 -6.15 25.04 -5.94 49.27 4.13 -18.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.83R 1.97 Forest_Green 36 37 -18 -1.78 43.14 -0.62 47.55 4.06 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.96R 5.38 Grimsby 37 37 -23 -3.70 34.12 -8.42 46.90 3.80 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.26R 6.91 Morecambe 35 36 -11 -4.46 30.94 0.40 49.66 4.39 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.16R 1.97 Barnet 37 30 -20 -11.75 8.82 -6.67 41.37 3.91 -21.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.57R 43.14 Chesterfield 35 30 -28 -10.12 12.27 -14.97 42.45 4.42 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.91R 38.62National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2018, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Maidenhead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 36 71 +14 14.50 94.50 3.42 86.26 4.28 16.32 58.97 98.67 67.62P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 37 69 +18 13.68 93.08 11.02 82.82 4.09 20.15 23.83 93.57 37.11P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 37 64 +24 -3.92 32.77 -1.50 80.52 3.91 30.20 10.90 87.81 40.50P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 63 +15 8.20 81.94 8.61 75.90 4.00 15.96 1.16 44.74 10.22P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 37 63 +13 4.23 67.62 0.98 77.40 4.01 16.06 2.88 59.77 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 62 +17 6.56 76.46 9.87 75.46 3.88 18.80 1.23 42.58 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 60 +17 -1.16 44.60 1.43 74.47 4.07 20.14 0.67 34.38 9.64P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 37 58 +22 0.76 53.02 12.09 72.34 4.14 25.00 0.17 20.21 4.75P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 37 56 +6 6.49 75.40 7.58 67.83 4.04 5.38 0.00 2.20 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 35 55 +16 2.71 62.08 9.60 71.31 4.59 17.76 0.19 15.53 3.44P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 51 +4 -7.29 21.77 -7.32 65.34 4.03 7.11 0.00 0.44 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 48 +12 -9.04 16.13 0.54 61.89 4.26 12.31 0.00 0.09 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Maidenhead 37 48 -5 3.12 63.30 4.37 58.22 3.99 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 45 -5 -3.02 37.64 -2.63 56.78 4.18 -8.04 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.42R 0.00 Halifax 37 45 -7 1.93 59.10 3.90 55.89 3.95 -9.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.95R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 37 43 -7 -10.40 13.60 -11.02 56.31 4.07 -5.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.58R 0.00 Woking 37 43 -13 -1.86 42.50 -3.41 53.73 3.97 -15.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.12R 0.00 Maidstone_United 36 42 -12 1.00 55.60 1.08 54.02 4.20 -14.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.28R 0.00 Hartlepool 36 38 -13 -11.17 11.32 -12.90 52.09 4.24 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.50R 0.02 Barrow 34 36 -7 -9.77 13.22 -5.76 52.35 4.74 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.60R 0.03 Solihull_Moors 36 35 -15 -5.18 28.45 -1.34 47.14 4.14 -17.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.13R 0.37 Torquay 37 30 -28 -8.14 17.45 -9.34 40.76 3.90 -30.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.46R 10.83 Chester 37 30 -29 -8.60 15.97 -10.17 38.98 3.73 -34.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.83R 18.60 Guiseley 36 25 -37 -6.47 21.62 -9.09 35.12 4.02 -42.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.77R 70.15