Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 10 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, Chelsea 2 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 29 78 +63 11.86 97.37 15.27 98.54 3.31 78.28 99.97 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 65 +35 7.11 82.92 9.66 80.78 3.42 42.24 0.03 67.01 89.18 98.47 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 60 +34 2.59 62.69 6.82 76.72 3.36 43.99 0.00 18.02 57.11 89.38 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 58 +31 -0.88 44.11 0.29 76.09 3.72 40.04 0.00 13.65 44.84 83.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 56 +25 -1.64 40.77 -0.70 71.67 3.55 32.56 0.00 1.32 8.86 29.02 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 45 +11 -4.78 26.88 -4.41 62.51 3.74 19.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 93.72 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 43 +1 6.12 79.39 7.13 53.48 3.63 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.18 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 40 +2 -1.51 42.90 3.13 51.50 3.69 2.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 37 -14 -2.67 36.86 -10.07 48.22 3.74 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02R 0.00 Watford 29 36 -8 3.12 66.66 4.50 45.45 3.55 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.11R 0.00 Brighton 30 34 -12 0.39 52.78 -0.30 41.47 3.23 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 33 -10 -0.99 45.45 1.48 43.60 3.79 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.01R 0.01 Newcastle 30 32 -10 -3.80 31.76 -0.71 41.25 3.50 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.96R 0.05 Swansea 30 31 -17 -1.12 44.72 -2.13 39.02 3.34 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.10R 0.51 Huddersfield 30 31 -25 7.17 84.81 4.71 37.10 3.13 -34.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.30R 1.14 West_Ham 30 30 -21 -4.16 30.15 -6.98 37.61 3.35 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.90R 1.14 Southampton 30 28 -15 -9.88 9.57 -9.05 36.34 3.51 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.59R 2.02 Crystal_Palace 30 27 -20 -4.31 28.33 -2.83 37.18 3.72 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.15R 2.89 Stoke 29 27 -26 -2.45 37.63 -7.98 34.89 3.49 -34.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.04R 6.81 West_Brom 30 20 -24 -11.23 5.46 -7.83 27.72 3.38 -28.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.56R 85.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, Aston_Villa 4 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 36 76 +31 15.92 96.35 15.25 93.78 4.14 37.07 75.74 93.17 100.00 94.82P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 36 73 +25 14.14 93.98 11.18 88.30 4.20 27.45 15.56 55.57 99.95 65.92P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 69 +27 9.80 86.25 12.62 85.36 4.27 30.84 5.56 29.52 99.45 47.35P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 68 +25 5.42 72.06 6.91 84.41 3.98 31.27 3.04 20.20 99.30 41.37P 0.00 0.00 Derby 36 61 +21 1.39 55.93 6.12 77.53 4.17 25.19 0.10 1.34 79.25 21.97P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 61 +18 -1.10 44.82 1.71 75.57 3.98 21.23 0.00 0.18 62.29 17.51P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 58 +11 5.31 71.93 8.17 71.42 4.03 12.60 0.00 0.01 19.49 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 57 +9 3.52 65.42 4.71 70.47 3.99 10.72 0.00 0.00 12.69 2.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 56 +6 5.73 73.37 4.70 70.84 4.28 7.66 0.00 0.00 16.11 2.79P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 55 +7 6.05 74.41 9.20 66.40 3.98 5.82 0.00 0.00 2.19 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 36 53 +10 -2.09 41.05 1.50 68.12 4.30 12.04 0.00 0.00 7.07 1.62P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +3 2.72 62.15 2.91 65.81 4.27 3.23 0.00 0.00 1.96 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 37 50 -2 -0.88 46.59 -2.34 62.92 3.95 -1.19 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 36 48 -4 -3.84 33.85 -7.64 62.15 4.31 -3.29 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 44 -11 -0.23 49.65 -2.92 55.82 4.14 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 QPR 36 43 -12 -0.76 47.16 -3.86 54.27 4.09 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 38 -12 -11.71 9.32 -10.95 49.60 3.98 -13.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71R 0.04 Hull 36 36 -6 -13.62 7.00 -6.02 49.38 4.27 -6.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.84R 0.10 Reading 36 36 -9 -10.45 12.17 -4.60 47.51 4.09 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.92R 0.20 Bolton 37 36 -24 -2.12 41.42 -5.96 46.08 3.81 -27.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.55R 0.80 Barnsley 36 32 -17 -9.09 14.59 -4.44 43.79 4.18 -19.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.19R 2.80 Birmingham 37 30 -32 -5.74 24.93 -10.87 39.28 3.73 -36.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.00R 24.26 Burton_Albion 36 30 -36 -2.51 38.79 -11.27 38.65 3.72 -43.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.95R 35.45 Sunderland 37 28 -28 -13.67 6.15 -14.11 37.85 3.82 -31.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.77R 36.36League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Blackburn 37 76 +35 4.58 68.85 3.57 93.42 3.96 42.69 40.29 86.64 100.00 92.31P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 35 71 +21 19.93 98.86 16.28 87.98 4.47 23.78 6.28 25.28 100.00 42.84P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 33 68 +39 2.89 62.94 9.84 94.02 4.75 50.97 53.35 87.10 100.00 93.12P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +18 6.76 76.57 7.42 78.98 4.60 20.82 0.09 0.97 97.26 25.51P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 37 58 +10 -0.43 48.14 -1.34 72.60 4.08 13.29 0.00 0.01 74.59 19.87P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 36 54 +1 7.30 78.99 4.68 67.13 4.29 0.21 0.00 0.00 23.36 4.04P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 53 +12 -0.26 49.11 4.29 69.38 4.55 13.84 0.00 0.00 46.88 10.65P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 34 51 -1 3.02 63.54 -2.87 67.43 4.78 -1.00 0.00 0.00 25.81 5.24P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 50 -2 2.60 61.70 1.67 61.93 4.20 -5.01 0.00 0.00 3.47 0.60P 0.14R 0.00 Bradford 34 50 -3 0.33 51.67 -7.46 66.74 4.69 -2.61 0.00 0.00 20.47 4.46P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 36 49 +2 1.16 55.54 4.36 62.56 4.26 1.74 0.00 0.00 4.38 0.75P 0.10R 0.00 Portsmouth 36 49 -4 2.78 62.49 0.64 61.35 4.20 -5.88 0.00 0.00 2.49 0.40P 0.38R 0.00 Southend 35 45 -12 -0.31 49.21 -7.68 58.71 4.44 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.09P 3.06R 0.00 Walsall 37 44 -7 -3.98 33.61 -2.84 56.17 3.95 -7.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 6.69R 0.05 Doncaster 36 43 -1 -3.77 34.66 2.93 56.13 4.22 -1.83 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 6.58R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 35 42 -3 -6.61 23.47 -3.62 56.19 4.43 -4.61 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 7.75R 0.06 Blackpool 35 42 -5 -0.66 47.91 2.77 56.49 4.51 -5.74 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 7.55R 0.09 AFC_Wimbledon 36 41 -11 -0.79 47.04 -0.46 52.51 4.07 -14.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.61R 0.80 Oldham 35 40 -10 -0.38 49.04 1.25 53.55 4.40 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 22.89R 0.49 Northampton 36 39 -22 0.78 54.48 -4.39 50.10 4.14 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.11R 3.90 Fleetwood_Town 35 38 -11 -8.78 16.53 -8.96 52.02 4.47 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.94R 1.28 Rochdale 32 32 -8 -10.31 10.95 -5.55 51.34 5.17 -7.83 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 38.46R 3.14 MK_Dons 35 32 -16 -11.53 9.10 -9.67 44.63 4.27 -19.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.96R 26.96 Bury 35 30 -22 -6.81 21.56 -4.87 41.77 4.29 -26.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.76R 63.18League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 35 69 +40 1.87 57.69 10.26 89.47 4.35 48.60 73.85 97.36 99.98 98.32P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 68 +21 9.97 86.72 5.93 84.70 4.41 23.43 18.39 78.33 99.18 83.66P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 36 62 +20 8.40 82.49 13.82 76.05 4.28 20.50 0.54 14.35 76.43 26.81P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 35 62 +16 6.63 77.12 4.80 79.97 4.55 20.29 3.22 41.05 93.00 54.19P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 61 +18 5.95 74.93 7.47 78.02 4.44 20.79 1.44 25.12 86.99 40.76P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 33 58 +7 7.70 81.55 -0.45 78.61 4.91 11.17 2.15 27.23 84.40 40.89P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 35 57 +4 2.10 58.87 -6.32 75.14 4.51 8.69 0.19 8.30 63.90 23.03P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 34 54 +10 -0.21 49.01 -1.08 74.52 4.62 15.80 0.21 7.54 61.73 24.55P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 54 +9 6.48 76.41 9.78 68.43 4.43 8.11 0.00 0.40 13.74 3.04P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 36 54 +7 1.30 55.87 2.20 68.24 4.23 7.64 0.00 0.21 11.96 2.78P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 51 -2 7.35 80.29 4.59 64.43 4.35 -4.38 0.00 0.03 2.55 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 50 +4 -2.61 38.46 -2.71 65.33 4.53 4.41 0.00 0.07 4.57 1.24P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 35 49 -2 6.04 75.98 5.72 62.90 4.46 -3.70 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 36 49 -10 1.73 58.40 -7.27 62.08 4.19 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 42 -5 -4.93 29.28 -2.93 57.02 4.45 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.17R 0.01 Cheltenham 36 41 -4 -4.02 33.26 3.01 54.03 4.17 -5.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79R 0.12 Yeovil 34 38 -9 -3.89 33.06 -1.48 50.36 4.39 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 6.74R 1.62 Forest_Green 35 37 -17 -0.83 47.04 -0.18 48.83 4.31 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.28R 5.45 Crewe 35 36 -16 -6.05 25.03 -6.32 49.25 4.33 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.10R 3.63 Grimsby 36 36 -23 -3.39 35.37 -8.37 47.19 4.01 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.53R 9.79 Morecambe 34 35 -11 -4.19 31.72 0.44 49.80 4.61 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.22R 3.36 Port_Vale 34 35 -12 -10.65 11.22 -10.51 51.74 4.72 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.31R 1.50 Chesterfield 34 30 -26 -9.30 13.91 -13.86 44.02 4.68 -29.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.74R 33.31 Barnet 35 29 -19 -10.73 10.24 -6.53 42.57 4.30 -21.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.11R 41.22National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2018, Aldershot 2 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 35 68 +12 13.77 93.91 2.68 84.64 4.49 14.37 49.68 96.56 59.72P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 36 66 +17 12.27 91.05 10.37 81.76 4.30 20.03 23.96 89.78 36.59P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 36 63 +19 3.34 64.28 3.76 79.29 4.24 22.79 11.19 78.35 29.44P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 36 61 +20 -3.96 32.56 -3.05 78.51 4.18 25.59 8.03 75.02 31.60P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 60 +17 7.45 80.12 10.07 76.63 4.38 19.44 4.54 55.16 15.63P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 60 +17 -1.07 45.23 1.60 74.50 4.05 20.19 1.08 36.92 11.06P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 60 +13 7.49 80.30 7.77 74.70 4.19 14.55 1.11 35.07 8.08P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 36 55 +16 2.01 58.74 10.60 69.98 4.36 17.85 0.11 10.06 2.27P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 55 +6 6.63 76.19 7.16 67.91 4.28 4.99 0.02 2.99 0.62P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 34 52 +15 1.82 58.55 9.67 70.32 4.79 17.74 0.23 13.25 3.06P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 35 51 +9 -6.19 24.63 -4.85 68.96 4.51 13.44 0.05 6.66 1.88P 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 35 47 +1 1.92 58.82 5.59 59.50 4.44 -2.97 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 45 -5 -3.47 35.70 -3.32 56.89 4.19 -7.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.21R 0.00 Gateshead 34 44 +6 -7.38 20.00 -1.21 60.98 4.66 6.88 0.00 0.15 0.05P 0.17R 0.00 Woking 36 43 -11 -1.08 46.11 -2.49 55.43 4.25 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.18R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 35 42 -6 -8.78 16.94 -10.27 59.15 4.51 -2.91 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Halifax 35 39 -10 -0.10 50.46 2.59 51.83 4.44 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.14R 0.02 Maidstone_United 35 39 -13 0.02 51.05 1.10 52.64 4.46 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.68R 0.01 Hartlepool 35 37 -13 -10.74 11.87 -12.77 52.56 4.50 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.84R 0.02 Barrow 33 36 -5 -9.28 14.13 -5.10 53.49 4.93 -5.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.70R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 34 34 -14 -4.19 31.81 -1.38 47.94 4.55 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.01R 0.50 Chester 36 30 -27 -8.21 17.36 -9.71 39.91 3.94 -32.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.45R 15.37 Torquay 35 27 -28 -8.60 15.21 -9.49 39.70 4.35 -31.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.45R 19.67 Guiseley 35 25 -36 -5.80 23.84 -9.32 35.73 4.19 -42.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.51R 64.39