Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, Chelsea 2 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   78  +63      11.86    97.37    15.27    98.54     3.31    78.28    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   65  +35       7.11    82.92     9.66    80.78     3.42    42.24     0.03    67.01    89.18    98.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   60  +34       2.59    62.69     6.82    76.72     3.36    43.99     0.00    18.02    57.11    89.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   58  +31      -0.88    44.11     0.29    76.09     3.72    40.04     0.00    13.65    44.84    83.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   56  +25      -1.64    40.77    -0.70    71.67     3.55    32.56     0.00     1.32     8.86    29.02    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   45  +11      -4.78    26.88    -4.41    62.51     3.74    19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    93.72     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +1       6.12    79.39     7.13    53.48     3.63     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   40   +2      -1.51    42.90     3.13    51.50     3.69     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton          30   37  -14      -2.67    36.86   -10.07    48.22     3.74   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          29   36   -8       3.12    66.66     4.50    45.45     3.55   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         30   34  -12       0.39    52.78    -0.30    41.47     3.23   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   33  -10      -0.99    45.45     1.48    43.60     3.79   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.01R    0.01  
Newcastle        30   32  -10      -3.80    31.76    -0.71    41.25     3.50   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.05  
Swansea          30   31  -17      -1.12    44.72    -2.13    39.02     3.34   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.10R    0.51  
Huddersfield     30   31  -25       7.17    84.81     4.71    37.10     3.13   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.30R    1.14  
West_Ham         30   30  -21      -4.16    30.15    -6.98    37.61     3.35   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.90R    1.14  
Southampton      30   28  -15      -9.88     9.57    -9.05    36.34     3.51   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.59R    2.02  
Crystal_Palace   30   27  -20      -4.31    28.33    -2.83    37.18     3.72   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.15R    2.89  
Stoke            29   27  -26      -2.45    37.63    -7.98    34.89     3.49   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.04R    6.81  
West_Brom        30   20  -24     -11.23     5.46    -7.83    27.72     3.38   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   85.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, Aston_Villa 4 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   36   76  +31      15.92    96.35    15.25    93.78     4.14    37.07    75.74    93.17   100.00    94.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         36   73  +25      14.14    93.98    11.18    88.30     4.20    27.45    15.56    55.57    99.95    65.92P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   69  +27       9.80    86.25    12.62    85.36     4.27    30.84     5.56    29.52    99.45    47.35P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   68  +25       5.42    72.06     6.91    84.41     3.98    31.27     3.04    20.20    99.30    41.37P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   61  +21       1.39    55.93     6.12    77.53     4.17    25.19     0.10     1.34    79.25    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   61  +18      -1.10    44.82     1.71    75.57     3.98    21.23     0.00     0.18    62.29    17.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   58  +11       5.31    71.93     8.17    71.42     4.03    12.60     0.00     0.01    19.49     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   57   +9       3.52    65.42     4.71    70.47     3.99    10.72     0.00     0.00    12.69     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   56   +6       5.73    73.37     4.70    70.84     4.28     7.66     0.00     0.00    16.11     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   55   +7       6.05    74.41     9.20    66.40     3.98     5.82     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   53  +10      -2.09    41.05     1.50    68.12     4.30    12.04     0.00     0.00     7.07     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         36   52   +3       2.72    62.15     2.91    65.81     4.27     3.23     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    37   50   -2      -0.88    46.59    -2.34    62.92     3.95    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   48   -4      -3.84    33.85    -7.64    62.15     4.31    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   44  -11      -0.23    49.65    -2.92    55.82     4.14   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR             36   43  -12      -0.76    47.16    -3.86    54.27     4.09   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   38  -12     -11.71     9.32   -10.95    49.60     3.98   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.04  
Hull            36   36   -6     -13.62     7.00    -6.02    49.38     4.27    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.10  
Reading         36   36   -9     -10.45    12.17    -4.60    47.51     4.09   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.92R    0.20  
Bolton          37   36  -24      -2.12    41.42    -5.96    46.08     3.81   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55R    0.80  
Barnsley        36   32  -17      -9.09    14.59    -4.44    43.79     4.18   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.19R    2.80  
Birmingham      37   30  -32      -5.74    24.93   -10.87    39.28     3.73   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.00R   24.26  
Burton_Albion   36   30  -36      -2.51    38.79   -11.27    38.65     3.72   -43.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.95R   35.45  
Sunderland      37   28  -28     -13.67     6.15   -14.11    37.85     3.82   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.77R   36.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Blackburn        37   76  +35       4.58    68.85     3.57    93.42     3.96    42.69    40.29    86.64   100.00    92.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   71  +21      19.93    98.86    16.28    87.98     4.47    23.78     6.28    25.28   100.00    42.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            33   68  +39       2.89    62.94     9.84    94.02     4.75    50.97    53.35    87.10   100.00    93.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        35   62  +18       6.76    76.57     7.42    78.98     4.60    20.82     0.09     0.97    97.26    25.51P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   58  +10      -0.43    48.14    -1.34    72.60     4.08    13.29     0.00     0.01    74.59    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   54   +1       7.30    78.99     4.68    67.13     4.29     0.21     0.00     0.00    23.36     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   53  +12      -0.26    49.11     4.29    69.38     4.55    13.84     0.00     0.00    46.88    10.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         34   51   -1       3.02    63.54    -2.87    67.43     4.78    -1.00     0.00     0.00    25.81     5.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -2       2.60    61.70     1.67    61.93     4.20    -5.01     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.60P    0.14R    0.00  
Bradford         34   50   -3       0.33    51.67    -7.46    66.74     4.69    -2.61     0.00     0.00    20.47     4.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       36   49   +2       1.16    55.54     4.36    62.56     4.26     1.74     0.00     0.00     4.38     0.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Portsmouth       36   49   -4       2.78    62.49     0.64    61.35     4.20    -5.88     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.40P    0.38R    0.00  
Southend         35   45  -12      -0.31    49.21    -7.68    58.71     4.44   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.09P    3.06R    0.00  
Walsall          37   44   -7      -3.98    33.61    -2.84    56.17     3.95    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.69R    0.05  
Doncaster        36   43   -1      -3.77    34.66     2.93    56.13     4.22    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    6.58R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd       35   42   -3      -6.61    23.47    -3.62    56.19     4.43    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    7.75R    0.06  
Blackpool        35   42   -5      -0.66    47.91     2.77    56.49     4.51    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    7.55R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon    36   41  -11      -0.79    47.04    -0.46    52.51     4.07   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.61R    0.80  
Oldham           35   40  -10      -0.38    49.04     1.25    53.55     4.40   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.89R    0.49  
Northampton      36   39  -22       0.78    54.48    -4.39    50.10     4.14   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.11R    3.90  
Fleetwood_Town   35   38  -11      -8.78    16.53    -8.96    52.02     4.47   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.94R    1.28  
Rochdale         32   32   -8     -10.31    10.95    -5.55    51.34     5.17    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   38.46R    3.14  
MK_Dons          35   32  -16     -11.53     9.10    -9.67    44.63     4.27   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.96R   26.96  
Bury             35   30  -22      -6.81    21.56    -4.87    41.77     4.29   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.76R   63.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                35   69  +40       1.87    57.69    10.26    89.47     4.35    48.60    73.85    97.36    99.98    98.32P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   68  +21       9.97    86.72     5.93    84.70     4.41    23.43    18.39    78.33    99.18    83.66P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   62  +20       8.40    82.49    13.82    76.05     4.28    20.50     0.54    14.35    76.43    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   62  +16       6.63    77.12     4.80    79.97     4.55    20.29     3.22    41.05    93.00    54.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   61  +18       5.95    74.93     7.47    78.02     4.44    20.79     1.44    25.12    86.99    40.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   58   +7       7.70    81.55    -0.45    78.61     4.91    11.17     2.15    27.23    84.40    40.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              35   57   +4       2.10    58.87    -6.32    75.14     4.51     8.69     0.19     8.30    63.90    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             34   54  +10      -0.21    49.01    -1.08    74.52     4.62    15.80     0.21     7.54    61.73    24.55P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   54   +9       6.48    76.41     9.78    68.43     4.43     8.11     0.00     0.40    13.74     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   54   +7       1.30    55.87     2.20    68.24     4.23     7.64     0.00     0.21    11.96     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   51   -2       7.35    80.29     4.59    64.43     4.35    -4.38     0.00     0.03     2.55     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           35   50   +4      -2.61    38.46    -2.71    65.33     4.53     4.41     0.00     0.07     4.57     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       35   49   -2       6.04    75.98     5.72    62.90     4.46    -3.70     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        36   49  -10       1.73    58.40    -7.27    62.08     4.19   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   42   -5      -4.93    29.28    -2.93    57.02     4.45    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.17R    0.01  
Cheltenham           36   41   -4      -4.02    33.26     3.01    54.03     4.17    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.12  
Yeovil               34   38   -9      -3.89    33.06    -1.48    50.36     4.39   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.74R    1.62  
Forest_Green         35   37  -17      -0.83    47.04    -0.18    48.83     4.31   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.28R    5.45  
Crewe                35   36  -16      -6.05    25.03    -6.32    49.25     4.33   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.10R    3.63  
Grimsby              36   36  -23      -3.39    35.37    -8.37    47.19     4.01   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.53R    9.79  
Morecambe            34   35  -11      -4.19    31.72     0.44    49.80     4.61   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.22R    3.36  
Port_Vale            34   35  -12     -10.65    11.22   -10.51    51.74     4.72   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    1.50  
Chesterfield         34   30  -26      -9.30    13.91   -13.86    44.02     4.68   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.74R   33.31  
Barnet               35   29  -19     -10.73    10.24    -6.53    42.57     4.30   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.11R   41.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2018, Aldershot 2 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       35   68  +12      13.77    93.91     2.68    84.64     4.49    14.37    49.68    96.56    59.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      36   66  +17      12.27    91.05    10.37    81.76     4.30    20.03    23.96    89.78    36.59P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   63  +19       3.34    64.28     3.76    79.29     4.24    22.79    11.19    78.35    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           36   61  +20      -3.96    32.56    -3.05    78.51     4.18    25.59     8.03    75.02    31.60P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   60  +17       7.45    80.12    10.07    76.63     4.38    19.44     4.54    55.16    15.63P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     37   60  +17      -1.07    45.23     1.60    74.50     4.05    20.19     1.08    36.92    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   60  +13       7.49    80.30     7.77    74.70     4.19    14.55     1.11    35.07     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          36   55  +16       2.01    58.74    10.60    69.98     4.36    17.85     0.11    10.06     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   55   +6       6.63    76.19     7.16    67.91     4.28     4.99     0.02     2.99     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   52  +15       1.82    58.55     9.67    70.32     4.79    17.74     0.23    13.25     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   51   +9      -6.19    24.63    -4.85    68.96     4.51    13.44     0.05     6.66     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         35   47   +1       1.92    58.82     5.59    59.50     4.44    -2.97     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   45   -5      -3.47    35.70    -3.32    56.89     4.19    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Gateshead          34   44   +6      -7.38    20.00    -1.21    60.98     4.66     6.88     0.00     0.15     0.05P    0.17R    0.00  
Woking             36   43  -11      -1.08    46.11    -2.49    55.43     4.25   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      35   42   -6      -8.78    16.94   -10.27    59.15     4.51    -2.91     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Halifax            35   39  -10      -0.10    50.46     2.59    51.83     4.44   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.14R    0.02  
Maidstone_United   35   39  -13       0.02    51.05     1.10    52.64     4.46   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.68R    0.01  
Hartlepool         35   37  -13     -10.74    11.87   -12.77    52.56     4.50   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.84R    0.02  
Barrow             33   36   -5      -9.28    14.13    -5.10    53.49     4.93    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.70R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     34   34  -14      -4.19    31.81    -1.38    47.94     4.55   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.01R    0.50  
Chester            36   30  -27      -8.21    17.36    -9.71    39.91     3.94   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.45R   15.37  
Torquay            35   27  -28      -8.60    15.21    -9.49    39.70     4.35   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.45R   19.67  
Guiseley           35   25  -36      -5.80    23.84    -9.32    35.73     4.19   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   64.39