Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 3 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, Burnley 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 28 75 +62 10.85 96.35 15.03 97.50 3.60 78.27 99.97 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 60 +35 3.58 67.76 7.32 77.75 3.62 44.48 0.00 37.58 68.87 91.54 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 59 +33 5.18 76.17 9.75 78.23 3.97 41.16 0.03 41.05 69.54 91.85 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 58 +31 -1.00 43.63 0.24 76.12 3.67 40.10 0.00 17.96 48.62 82.40 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 53 +25 -1.51 41.40 -0.30 71.89 3.94 33.34 0.00 3.40 12.85 33.20 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 45 +12 -3.45 32.18 -3.70 64.57 3.96 21.53 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.00 98.37 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 40 -2 5.34 76.95 5.44 51.41 3.83 -3.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 37 -1 -1.92 40.48 2.06 49.63 3.93 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.00R 0.00 Watford 29 36 -8 3.08 66.48 4.49 45.52 3.57 -13.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21R 0.00 Everton 29 34 -16 -3.39 33.08 -10.70 46.92 4.00 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.38R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 33 -10 -1.05 45.20 1.44 43.55 3.78 -13.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44R 0.04 Brighton 28 31 -11 -0.77 46.81 -0.57 40.38 3.74 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.04R 0.37 Swansea 29 30 -17 -0.80 46.59 -2.03 39.39 3.62 -22.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.94R 1.25 West_Ham 29 30 -18 -3.60 32.12 -5.51 39.39 3.65 -23.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.47R 0.95 Huddersfield 29 30 -25 7.46 86.32 4.87 37.47 3.44 -34.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.55R 2.99 Newcastle 29 29 -13 -4.53 28.08 -2.26 39.50 3.75 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.35R 1.08 Southampton 29 28 -12 -9.49 9.96 -7.54 37.76 3.79 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.73R 2.29 Crystal_Palace 28 27 -18 -2.97 34.44 -3.31 38.35 4.01 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.86R 3.54 Stoke 29 27 -26 -2.58 37.05 -8.20 34.92 3.48 -34.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.73R 11.76 West_Brom 29 20 -21 -10.78 6.06 -6.53 29.28 3.66 -25.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.29R 75.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, Bolton 1 3 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 34 73 +31 15.75 96.49 15.47 93.38 4.59 36.85 81.40 95.56 100.00 96.69P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 34 67 +23 12.30 92.06 11.25 86.38 4.62 27.38 13.28 59.62 99.24 68.91P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 63 +21 8.75 84.44 9.84 81.93 4.68 24.61 3.01 20.73 93.86 38.49P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 35 62 +21 3.55 65.26 5.05 81.32 4.51 27.54 1.76 16.49 92.85 37.25P 0.00 0.00 Derby 35 60 +21 1.75 57.56 6.07 78.35 4.36 25.84 0.51 6.23 81.48 27.76P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 35 57 +12 6.69 77.00 8.64 73.56 4.52 14.21 0.01 0.42 37.53 7.48P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 55 +15 -2.72 37.90 0.96 73.30 4.43 19.61 0.01 0.40 38.63 11.62P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 34 55 +9 6.17 75.53 5.67 72.33 4.76 10.22 0.02 0.42 27.31 5.46P 0.00 0.00 Preston 35 54 +9 3.18 64.25 4.57 70.33 4.50 10.87 0.00 0.09 14.98 3.23P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 34 50 +9 -1.69 42.45 1.44 68.41 4.79 11.81 0.00 0.03 9.86 2.32P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 35 49 +5 3.39 65.25 8.10 62.72 4.43 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 35 49 +1 -0.31 48.84 -1.07 64.76 4.40 2.01 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 34 48 +2 1.94 59.29 2.59 64.39 4.70 2.01 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 34 47 -3 -2.15 40.56 -6.75 64.30 4.75 -1.69 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 35 43 -11 0.18 51.41 -2.79 55.67 4.38 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 QPR 34 39 -13 -1.76 42.66 -4.33 52.82 4.55 -17.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.45R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 35 37 -11 -9.96 12.53 -10.02 52.02 4.44 -11.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.81R 0.04 Reading 34 34 -9 -9.54 13.70 -4.41 48.78 4.57 -11.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.37R 0.69 Bolton 35 34 -24 -1.68 42.95 -6.25 45.86 4.23 -28.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.99R 3.11 Hull 34 33 -6 -13.59 6.25 -5.80 49.48 4.74 -6.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.70R 0.61 Barnsley 34 32 -14 -7.89 17.77 -3.91 45.38 4.53 -18.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.81R 3.41 Birmingham 35 30 -30 -4.23 30.62 -10.75 40.87 4.09 -35.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.37R 24.21 Burton_Albion 34 29 -34 -1.90 41.97 -10.69 39.58 4.19 -42.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.96R 41.42 Sunderland 35 28 -24 -12.78 7.05 -12.89 40.40 4.34 -28.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.42R 26.47League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, MK_Dons 0 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Blackburn 35 72 +32 4.99 70.90 3.29 92.61 4.43 40.36 31.43 85.08 100.00 91.33P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 68 +19 19.29 98.72 15.64 86.35 4.74 21.77 3.32 19.26 99.96 37.54P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 66 +39 3.85 67.78 10.47 95.31 5.16 51.64 64.85 92.12 100.00 95.62P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 34 62 +19 7.99 80.84 8.01 80.95 4.80 22.73 0.40 3.51 98.66 29.23P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 36 57 +10 -0.23 48.92 -1.54 72.35 4.26 12.39 0.00 0.01 71.00 19.12P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 35 53 +1 7.60 80.01 4.54 67.35 4.56 0.01 0.00 0.00 24.43 4.25P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 33 51 +2 3.36 65.32 -1.52 68.94 4.98 2.22 0.00 0.01 37.61 8.10P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 34 50 +9 -0.91 46.03 2.86 67.70 4.76 10.82 0.00 0.01 31.70 7.42P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 34 50 -3 0.39 51.76 -7.34 66.74 4.69 -2.61 0.00 0.00 19.79 4.38P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 49 -2 2.91 62.91 1.52 62.85 4.46 -4.17 0.00 0.00 5.28 0.85P 0.09R 0.00 Portsmouth 35 49 -2 3.45 65.31 1.51 63.07 4.48 -3.36 0.00 0.00 5.92 1.01P 0.07R 0.00 Gillingham 35 46 +0 0.29 51.65 3.37 60.57 4.50 -0.76 0.00 0.00 2.11 0.40P 0.50R 0.00 Walsall 35 44 -2 -3.28 36.06 -0.84 59.35 4.44 -1.57 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.22P 1.44R 0.01 Southend 34 44 -12 0.16 51.16 -7.56 59.23 4.72 -14.05 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.19P 2.21R 0.01 Doncaster 35 42 -1 -3.47 35.72 2.92 56.36 4.47 -2.03 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 5.52R 0.07 Oxford_Utd 34 42 -2 -5.59 26.69 -3.13 57.86 4.67 -3.02 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.17P 3.36R 0.03 Blackpool 34 42 -2 -0.55 48.12 3.75 57.44 4.70 -3.46 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.10P 4.12R 0.04 Oldham 34 39 -10 0.15 51.52 1.41 53.83 4.63 -12.39 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 18.12R 0.57 AFC_Wimbledon 35 38 -12 -2.25 40.40 -1.24 50.73 4.29 -15.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.35R 2.19 Northampton 35 38 -22 1.01 55.72 -4.65 49.96 4.34 -26.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.84R 3.89 Fleetwood_Town 34 37 -11 -8.40 16.89 -8.90 52.51 4.71 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.59R 1.13 MK_Dons 35 32 -16 -11.52 9.10 -9.73 44.70 4.30 -19.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.77R 23.31 Bury 34 29 -22 -6.48 21.97 -5.10 42.18 4.50 -26.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.07R 53.19 Rochdale 30 26 -12 -12.33 6.03 -7.76 46.74 5.55 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.93R 15.56League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2018, Wycombe 0 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 34 68 +40 2.35 60.08 10.31 90.19 4.56 49.10 78.61 97.72 99.99 98.54P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 34 65 +20 9.12 84.81 6.09 83.74 4.62 23.43 13.08 70.90 98.38 77.81P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 35 62 +16 6.58 76.83 4.79 80.02 4.57 20.35 2.86 40.57 93.06 53.84P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 35 61 +20 9.06 84.70 14.31 76.30 4.49 20.27 0.73 16.00 76.85 28.40P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 60 +18 6.49 77.12 7.66 78.97 4.71 21.63 2.48 32.72 89.39 47.44P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 33 58 +7 7.85 82.09 -0.18 78.53 4.95 11.08 1.89 26.13 84.03 40.05P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 35 57 +4 2.40 60.31 -5.83 75.04 4.53 8.56 0.17 7.85 62.71 22.03P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 34 54 +10 -0.44 47.96 -1.39 74.59 4.63 15.88 0.18 7.36 62.31 24.63P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 53 +9 6.46 76.68 9.24 68.34 4.64 7.43 0.00 0.55 14.24 3.06P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 51 +5 0.51 52.50 1.45 67.13 4.46 6.37 0.00 0.11 8.91 2.11P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 51 -2 7.26 79.78 4.45 64.48 4.37 -4.30 0.00 0.02 2.54 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 50 +4 -2.61 38.67 -2.74 65.38 4.50 4.46 0.00 0.06 4.67 1.22P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 48 -2 6.59 78.31 5.85 63.79 4.69 -2.92 0.00 0.02 2.19 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 35 48 -10 1.84 58.83 -7.65 62.11 4.41 -11.38 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 42 -5 -4.99 29.00 -2.96 56.96 4.47 -5.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.19R 0.02 Cheltenham 35 40 -4 -3.52 34.73 3.26 54.48 4.42 -4.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.89R 0.14 Yeovil 34 38 -9 -3.86 33.10 -1.42 50.36 4.42 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.39R 1.67 Crewe 35 36 -16 -5.97 24.95 -6.25 49.24 4.33 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.86R 3.79 Forest_Green 34 36 -17 -0.45 48.84 -0.39 48.63 4.48 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.87R 6.84 Grimsby 35 36 -21 -3.26 35.83 -8.20 48.21 4.24 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.83R 7.26 Morecambe 33 35 -10 -3.46 34.40 0.49 50.57 4.75 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.66R 2.72 Port_Vale 34 35 -12 -10.71 11.14 -10.56 51.69 4.70 -11.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.65R 1.61 Chesterfield 34 30 -26 -9.25 13.90 -13.83 44.00 4.66 -29.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.29R 33.73 Barnet 35 29 -19 -10.75 10.23 -6.48 42.52 4.32 -21.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.37R 42.22National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 35 68 +12 13.80 94.00 2.69 84.68 4.52 14.41 55.24 97.53 64.08P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 35 63 +15 11.63 90.19 9.84 80.41 4.55 18.46 18.42 85.28 31.20P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 36 61 +20 -4.09 32.03 -3.19 78.61 4.20 25.71 9.89 79.63 35.27P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 35 60 +18 2.36 60.36 3.66 77.95 4.50 22.24 8.63 72.46 25.98P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 60 +17 7.46 79.78 10.06 76.63 4.40 19.41 5.33 61.00 17.83P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 60 +13 7.46 80.02 7.79 74.63 4.21 14.49 1.37 40.55 9.41P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 36 55 +16 2.02 58.74 10.61 69.98 4.36 17.87 0.13 12.73 2.79P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 55 +6 6.69 76.49 7.27 67.93 4.28 4.98 0.04 4.08 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 54 +14 -3.05 36.49 0.43 71.82 4.53 18.05 0.60 22.29 6.56P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 34 52 +15 1.70 57.75 9.47 70.31 4.78 17.77 0.29 15.97 3.65P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 35 51 +9 -6.33 23.98 -5.06 68.92 4.48 13.38 0.07 8.14 2.39P 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 35 47 +1 1.92 58.60 5.57 59.52 4.45 -2.92 0.00 0.06 0.02P 0.21R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 45 -5 -3.23 36.66 -2.95 56.92 4.20 -7.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37R 0.00 Gateshead 34 44 +6 -7.31 20.28 -1.09 60.96 4.69 6.88 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.19R 0.00 Woking 35 43 -9 -0.56 48.06 -1.84 56.58 4.46 -11.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.42R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 42 -5 -7.95 19.13 -9.96 60.26 4.76 -2.29 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.35R 0.00 Halifax 35 39 -10 -0.10 50.74 2.61 51.81 4.42 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.64R 0.02 Maidstone_United 35 39 -13 -0.15 50.15 0.80 52.76 4.45 -15.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.14R 0.02 Hartlepool 34 37 -12 -10.01 13.17 -12.70 53.61 4.71 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.55R 0.02 Barrow 33 36 -5 -9.09 14.61 -4.84 53.44 4.91 -5.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 34 34 -14 -4.07 32.25 -1.25 47.94 4.55 -17.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.69R 0.57 Chester 35 30 -25 -7.80 18.09 -9.18 40.98 4.18 -31.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.44R 11.26 Torquay 35 27 -28 -8.66 14.87 -9.61 39.66 4.36 -31.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.83R 20.57 Guiseley 35 25 -36 -5.68 24.22 -9.13 35.66 4.19 -42.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 67.53