Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 March 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, Burnley 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         28   75  +62      10.85    96.35    15.03    97.50     3.60    78.27    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   60  +35       3.58    67.76     7.32    77.75     3.62    44.48     0.00    37.58    68.87    91.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   59  +33       5.18    76.17     9.75    78.23     3.97    41.16     0.03    41.05    69.54    91.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   58  +31      -1.00    43.63     0.24    76.12     3.67    40.10     0.00    17.96    48.62    82.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   53  +25      -1.51    41.40    -0.30    71.89     3.94    33.34     0.00     3.40    12.85    33.20    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   45  +12      -3.45    32.18    -3.70    64.57     3.96    21.53     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.00    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   40   -2       5.34    76.95     5.44    51.41     3.83    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   37   -1      -1.92    40.48     2.06    49.63     3.93    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          29   36   -8       3.08    66.48     4.49    45.52     3.57   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21R    0.00  
Everton          29   34  -16      -3.39    33.08   -10.70    46.92     4.00   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   33  -10      -1.05    45.20     1.44    43.55     3.78   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.04  
Brighton         28   31  -11      -0.77    46.81    -0.57    40.38     3.74   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.04R    0.37  
Swansea          29   30  -17      -0.80    46.59    -2.03    39.39     3.62   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.94R    1.25  
West_Ham         29   30  -18      -3.60    32.12    -5.51    39.39     3.65   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.47R    0.95  
Huddersfield     29   30  -25       7.46    86.32     4.87    37.47     3.44   -34.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.55R    2.99  
Newcastle        29   29  -13      -4.53    28.08    -2.26    39.50     3.75   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.35R    1.08  
Southampton      29   28  -12      -9.49     9.96    -7.54    37.76     3.79   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.73R    2.29  
Crystal_Palace   28   27  -18      -2.97    34.44    -3.31    38.35     4.01   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    3.54  
Stoke            29   27  -26      -2.58    37.05    -8.20    34.92     3.48   -34.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.73R   11.76  
West_Brom        29   20  -21     -10.78     6.06    -6.53    29.28     3.66   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R   75.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, Bolton 1 3 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   34   73  +31      15.75    96.49    15.47    93.38     4.59    36.85    81.40    95.56   100.00    96.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         34   67  +23      12.30    92.06    11.25    86.38     4.62    27.38    13.28    59.62    99.24    68.91P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   63  +21       8.75    84.44     9.84    81.93     4.68    24.61     3.01    20.73    93.86    38.49P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   62  +21       3.55    65.26     5.05    81.32     4.51    27.54     1.76    16.49    92.85    37.25P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   60  +21       1.75    57.56     6.07    78.35     4.36    25.84     0.51     6.23    81.48    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   57  +12       6.69    77.00     8.64    73.56     4.52    14.21     0.01     0.42    37.53     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   55  +15      -2.72    37.90     0.96    73.30     4.43    19.61     0.01     0.40    38.63    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   55   +9       6.17    75.53     5.67    72.33     4.76    10.22     0.02     0.42    27.31     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   54   +9       3.18    64.25     4.57    70.33     4.50    10.87     0.00     0.09    14.98     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   50   +9      -1.69    42.45     1.44    68.41     4.79    11.81     0.00     0.03     9.86     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        35   49   +5       3.39    65.25     8.10    62.72     4.43     3.20     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   49   +1      -0.31    48.84    -1.07    64.76     4.40     2.01     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         34   48   +2       1.94    59.29     2.59    64.39     4.70     2.01     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   47   -3      -2.15    40.56    -6.75    64.30     4.75    -1.69     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   43  -11       0.18    51.41    -2.79    55.67     4.38   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
QPR             34   39  -13      -1.76    42.66    -4.33    52.82     4.55   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       35   37  -11      -9.96    12.53   -10.02    52.02     4.44   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.04  
Reading         34   34   -9      -9.54    13.70    -4.41    48.78     4.57   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.37R    0.69  
Bolton          35   34  -24      -1.68    42.95    -6.25    45.86     4.23   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.99R    3.11  
Hull            34   33   -6     -13.59     6.25    -5.80    49.48     4.74    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.70R    0.61  
Barnsley        34   32  -14      -7.89    17.77    -3.91    45.38     4.53   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.81R    3.41  
Birmingham      35   30  -30      -4.23    30.62   -10.75    40.87     4.09   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.37R   24.21  
Burton_Albion   34   29  -34      -1.90    41.97   -10.69    39.58     4.19   -42.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.96R   41.42  
Sunderland      35   28  -24     -12.78     7.05   -12.89    40.40     4.34   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.42R   26.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2018, MK_Dons 0 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Blackburn        35   72  +32       4.99    70.90     3.29    92.61     4.43    40.36    31.43    85.08   100.00    91.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   68  +19      19.29    98.72    15.64    86.35     4.74    21.77     3.32    19.26    99.96    37.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            31   66  +39       3.85    67.78    10.47    95.31     5.16    51.64    64.85    92.12   100.00    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        34   62  +19       7.99    80.84     8.01    80.95     4.80    22.73     0.40     3.51    98.66    29.23P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   57  +10      -0.23    48.92    -1.54    72.35     4.26    12.39     0.00     0.01    71.00    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   53   +1       7.60    80.01     4.54    67.35     4.56     0.01     0.00     0.00    24.43     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   51   +2       3.36    65.32    -1.52    68.94     4.98     2.22     0.00     0.01    37.61     8.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     34   50   +9      -0.91    46.03     2.86    67.70     4.76    10.82     0.00     0.01    31.70     7.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         34   50   -3       0.39    51.76    -7.34    66.74     4.69    -2.61     0.00     0.00    19.79     4.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   49   -2       2.91    62.91     1.52    62.85     4.46    -4.17     0.00     0.00     5.28     0.85P    0.09R    0.00  
Portsmouth       35   49   -2       3.45    65.31     1.51    63.07     4.48    -3.36     0.00     0.00     5.92     1.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Gillingham       35   46   +0       0.29    51.65     3.37    60.57     4.50    -0.76     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.40P    0.50R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -2      -3.28    36.06    -0.84    59.35     4.44    -1.57     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.22P    1.44R    0.01  
Southend         34   44  -12       0.16    51.16    -7.56    59.23     4.72   -14.05     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.19P    2.21R    0.01  
Doncaster        35   42   -1      -3.47    35.72     2.92    56.36     4.47    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    5.52R    0.07  
Oxford_Utd       34   42   -2      -5.59    26.69    -3.13    57.86     4.67    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.17P    3.36R    0.03  
Blackpool        34   42   -2      -0.55    48.12     3.75    57.44     4.70    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.10P    4.12R    0.04  
Oldham           34   39  -10       0.15    51.52     1.41    53.83     4.63   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.12R    0.57  
AFC_Wimbledon    35   38  -12      -2.25    40.40    -1.24    50.73     4.29   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.35R    2.19  
Northampton      35   38  -22       1.01    55.72    -4.65    49.96     4.34   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.84R    3.89  
Fleetwood_Town   34   37  -11      -8.40    16.89    -8.90    52.51     4.71   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.59R    1.13  
MK_Dons          35   32  -16     -11.52     9.10    -9.73    44.70     4.30   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.77R   23.31  
Bury             34   29  -22      -6.48    21.97    -5.10    42.18     4.50   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R   53.19  
Rochdale         30   26  -12     -12.33     6.03    -7.76    46.74     5.55   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.93R   15.56  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2018, Wycombe 0 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                34   68  +40       2.35    60.08    10.31    90.19     4.56    49.10    78.61    97.72    99.99    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   65  +20       9.12    84.81     6.09    83.74     4.62    23.43    13.08    70.90    98.38    77.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   62  +16       6.58    76.83     4.79    80.02     4.57    20.35     2.86    40.57    93.06    53.84P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         35   61  +20       9.06    84.70    14.31    76.30     4.49    20.27     0.73    16.00    76.85    28.40P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            34   60  +18       6.49    77.12     7.66    78.97     4.71    21.63     2.48    32.72    89.39    47.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   58   +7       7.85    82.09    -0.18    78.53     4.95    11.08     1.89    26.13    84.03    40.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              35   57   +4       2.40    60.31    -5.83    75.04     4.53     8.56     0.17     7.85    62.71    22.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             34   54  +10      -0.44    47.96    -1.39    74.59     4.63    15.88     0.18     7.36    62.31    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   53   +9       6.46    76.68     9.24    68.34     4.64     7.43     0.00     0.55    14.24     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   51   +5       0.51    52.50     1.45    67.13     4.46     6.37     0.00     0.11     8.91     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   51   -2       7.26    79.78     4.45    64.48     4.37    -4.30     0.00     0.02     2.54     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           35   50   +4      -2.61    38.67    -2.74    65.38     4.50     4.46     0.00     0.06     4.67     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       34   48   -2       6.59    78.31     5.85    63.79     4.69    -2.92     0.00     0.02     2.19     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   48  -10       1.84    58.83    -7.65    62.11     4.41   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   42   -5      -4.99    29.00    -2.96    56.96     4.47    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.19R    0.02  
Cheltenham           35   40   -4      -3.52    34.73     3.26    54.48     4.42    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.89R    0.14  
Yeovil               34   38   -9      -3.86    33.10    -1.42    50.36     4.42   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.39R    1.67  
Crewe                35   36  -16      -5.97    24.95    -6.25    49.24     4.33   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    3.79  
Forest_Green         34   36  -17      -0.45    48.84    -0.39    48.63     4.48   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.87R    6.84  
Grimsby              35   36  -21      -3.26    35.83    -8.20    48.21     4.24   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    7.26  
Morecambe            33   35  -10      -3.46    34.40     0.49    50.57     4.75   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.66R    2.72  
Port_Vale            34   35  -12     -10.71    11.14   -10.56    51.69     4.70   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.65R    1.61  
Chesterfield         34   30  -26      -9.25    13.90   -13.83    44.00     4.66   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.29R   33.73  
Barnet               35   29  -19     -10.75    10.23    -6.48    42.52     4.32   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.37R   42.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       35   68  +12      13.80    94.00     2.69    84.68     4.52    14.41    55.24    97.53    64.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      35   63  +15      11.63    90.19     9.84    80.41     4.55    18.46    18.42    85.28    31.20P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           36   61  +20      -4.09    32.03    -3.19    78.61     4.20    25.71     9.89    79.63    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          35   60  +18       2.36    60.36     3.66    77.95     4.50    22.24     8.63    72.46    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   60  +17       7.46    79.78    10.06    76.63     4.40    19.41     5.33    61.00    17.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   60  +13       7.46    80.02     7.79    74.63     4.21    14.49     1.37    40.55     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          36   55  +16       2.02    58.74    10.61    69.98     4.36    17.87     0.13    12.73     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   55   +6       6.69    76.49     7.27    67.93     4.28     4.98     0.04     4.08     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   54  +14      -3.05    36.49     0.43    71.82     4.53    18.05     0.60    22.29     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   52  +15       1.70    57.75     9.47    70.31     4.78    17.77     0.29    15.97     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   51   +9      -6.33    23.98    -5.06    68.92     4.48    13.38     0.07     8.14     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         35   47   +1       1.92    58.60     5.57    59.52     4.45    -2.92     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   45   -5      -3.23    36.66    -2.95    56.92     4.20    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.00  
Gateshead          34   44   +6      -7.31    20.28    -1.09    60.96     4.69     6.88     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.19R    0.00  
Woking             35   43   -9      -0.56    48.06    -1.84    56.58     4.46   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.42R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      34   42   -5      -7.95    19.13    -9.96    60.26     4.76    -2.29     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.35R    0.00  
Halifax            35   39  -10      -0.10    50.74     2.61    51.81     4.42   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.64R    0.02  
Maidstone_United   35   39  -13      -0.15    50.15     0.80    52.76     4.45   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.14R    0.02  
Hartlepool         34   37  -12     -10.01    13.17   -12.70    53.61     4.71   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.55R    0.02  
Barrow             33   36   -5      -9.09    14.61    -4.84    53.44     4.91    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     34   34  -14      -4.07    32.25    -1.25    47.94     4.55   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.69R    0.57  
Chester            35   30  -25      -7.80    18.09    -9.18    40.98     4.18   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   11.26  
Torquay            35   27  -28      -8.66    14.87    -9.61    39.66     4.36   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.83R   20.57  
Guiseley           35   25  -36      -5.68    24.22    -9.13    35.66     4.19   -42.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   67.53