Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 27 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 27 72 +59 10.06 95.40 13.72 95.87 3.92 75.18 99.86 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 28 59 +33 5.26 76.25 9.88 78.21 3.98 41.14 0.11 42.85 70.86 91.52 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 28 57 +33 2.99 65.34 6.97 77.15 3.83 44.30 0.02 33.99 64.39 88.27 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 28 55 +29 -1.46 41.12 0.31 75.93 3.78 40.88 0.01 19.26 49.86 81.21 100.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 28 53 +25 -1.63 40.39 -0.51 71.98 3.95 33.45 0.00 3.82 14.19 35.56 99.99 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 27 45 +15 -3.17 32.92 -2.62 65.97 4.21 24.62 0.00 0.09 0.69 3.43 99.01 0.00 0.00
Burnley 28 37 -3 4.00 71.95 4.88 49.71 4.07 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00R 0.00
Leicester 28 36 -1 -1.39 43.02 2.30 50.54 4.20 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.01R 0.00
Everton 28 34 -15 -2.35 38.13 -10.18 48.26 4.23 -14.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.18R 0.00
Watford 28 33 -9 2.04 61.62 4.44 44.11 3.78 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.20R 0.04
Bournemouth 28 32 -10 -0.71 47.08 1.44 43.39 4.02 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30R 0.12
Brighton 28 31 -11 -0.84 46.25 -0.72 40.38 3.73 -18.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.13R 0.52
West_Ham 28 30 -15 -3.16 33.87 -4.24 40.83 3.92 -20.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.26R 0.72
Huddersfield 28 30 -23 7.69 87.27 4.71 37.68 3.51 -35.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.47R 3.65
Newcastle 28 29 -11 -3.97 30.32 -1.81 39.93 3.90 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.84R 1.21
Southampton 28 27 -12 -8.82 11.20 -7.07 38.70 4.03 -15.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.26R 2.44
Crystal_Palace 28 27 -18 -3.07 34.03 -3.40 38.37 4.02 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.97R 4.15
Swansea 28 27 -20 -1.46 42.62 -3.55 37.64 3.87 -25.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.40R 5.84
Stoke 28 26 -26 -2.62 36.08 -8.56 34.76 3.72 -35.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.64R 17.58
West_Brom 28 20 -20 -9.82 7.55 -5.98 30.42 3.89 -24.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.33R 63.75
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2018, Hull 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 34 73 +31 15.83 96.59 15.58 93.27 4.57 36.69 80.74 95.52 100.00 96.67P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 34 67 +23 12.19 91.98 11.06 86.43 4.60 27.40 13.73 60.82 99.48 70.39P 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 34 63 +21 8.83 84.52 9.96 81.82 4.71 24.48 2.98 20.32 95.18 38.80P 0.00 0.00
Derby 34 60 +22 2.85 62.55 6.72 80.12 4.63 27.43 1.68 13.44 91.47 35.97P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 34 59 +20 2.41 60.61 4.82 79.17 4.75 25.71 0.84 9.02 86.87 29.78P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 34 55 +9 5.95 74.60 5.35 72.54 4.72 10.54 0.01 0.43 33.93 6.88P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 34 54 +8 6.54 77.15 6.81 71.76 4.72 9.94 0.00 0.21 28.30 5.43P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 34 52 +12 -2.95 37.01 -0.10 71.71 4.68 16.67 0.00 0.18 31.19 8.95P 0.00 0.00
Preston 34 51 +7 2.53 61.83 3.91 68.61 4.70 8.80 0.00 0.02 11.38 2.40P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 34 50 +9 -1.75 42.31 1.34 68.51 4.78 11.98 0.00 0.03 12.67 2.93P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 34 49 +4 -0.16 49.31 0.15 66.04 4.64 4.95 0.00 0.00 3.92 0.81P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 34 48 +5 4.19 68.70 8.69 63.43 4.70 3.68 0.00 0.00 1.64 0.28P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 34 48 +2 2.02 59.57 2.73 64.39 4.73 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.21 0.40P 0.00 0.00
Norwich 34 47 -3 -2.27 39.72 -6.89 64.31 4.79 -1.67 0.00 0.00 1.76 0.33P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 34 40 -12 -1.01 46.00 -3.17 54.44 4.60 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75R 0.02
QPR 34 39 -13 -1.63 43.27 -4.17 52.74 4.55 -17.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.95R 0.06
Sheff_Wed 34 37 -7 -10.00 12.30 -8.03 53.56 4.68 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.03
Reading 34 34 -9 -9.54 13.68 -4.43 48.76 4.58 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.86R 0.74
Bolton 34 34 -22 -1.29 44.74 -5.87 47.13 4.46 -26.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.88R 2.31
Hull 34 33 -6 -13.75 6.18 -6.06 49.55 4.76 -5.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00R 0.70
Barnsley 34 32 -14 -7.82 17.85 -3.83 45.40 4.52 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.78R 3.80
Birmingham 34 30 -29 -3.47 34.08 -10.72 41.94 4.31 -35.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.57R 19.05
Burton_Albion 34 29 -34 -1.80 42.37 -10.64 39.55 4.19 -42.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.31R 43.93
Sunderland 34 27 -24 -12.66 7.03 -13.22 40.38 4.56 -28.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.65R 29.35
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 3 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Blackburn 35 72 +32 4.86 70.60 3.02 92.62 4.46 40.39 31.56 84.84 100.00 90.99P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 34 68 +19 19.18 98.62 15.53 86.45 4.70 21.93 3.49 19.69 99.93 37.89P 0.00 0.00
Wigan 31 66 +39 3.97 68.29 10.59 95.32 5.14 51.65 64.60 91.83 100.00 95.51P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 34 62 +19 7.91 80.93 7.89 80.93 4.80 22.72 0.35 3.53 98.33 28.04P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 35 57 +12 0.76 53.24 -0.16 74.59 4.45 15.69 0.00 0.10 83.70 23.43P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 35 53 +1 7.69 80.64 4.71 67.27 4.54 -0.12 0.00 0.00 21.98 3.72P 0.00 0.00
Charlton 33 51 +2 3.38 65.74 -1.44 68.91 4.96 2.16 0.00 0.01 35.39 7.46P 0.00R 0.00
Peterborough 34 50 +9 -0.81 46.38 2.97 67.67 4.77 10.71 0.00 0.01 29.23 6.64P 0.00R 0.00
Bradford 34 50 -3 0.48 52.41 -7.24 66.64 4.61 -2.73 0.00 0.00 17.02 3.82P 0.00R 0.00
Portsmouth 35 49 -2 3.12 64.02 1.04 63.19 4.52 -3.16 0.00 0.00 5.73 1.02P 0.06R 0.00
Gillingham 35 46 +0 0.23 51.57 3.30 60.56 4.50 -0.79 0.00 0.00 1.80 0.30P 0.48R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 34 46 -3 1.58 57.45 1.04 60.95 4.65 -5.61 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.45P 0.56R 0.00
Southend 33 44 -9 0.39 52.08 -6.24 61.18 4.97 -10.15 0.00 0.00 2.73 0.47P 0.91R 0.00
Doncaster 35 42 -1 -3.57 35.25 2.72 56.39 4.50 -2.01 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 5.05R 0.07
Oxford_Utd 34 42 -2 -5.50 27.05 -3.04 57.83 4.66 -3.16 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.10P 3.17R 0.03
Blackpool 34 42 -2 -0.74 47.43 3.46 57.48 4.66 -3.37 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08P 3.58R 0.04
Walsall 34 41 -5 -3.90 33.34 -2.31 57.28 4.66 -5.24 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 4.47R 0.07
AFC_Wimbledon 35 38 -12 -2.03 41.43 -0.89 50.71 4.31 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.43R 2.57
Northampton 35 38 -22 1.16 56.35 -4.39 50.00 4.34 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.78R 4.30
Fleetwood_Town 34 37 -11 -8.35 17.04 -8.87 52.60 4.68 -12.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.09R 1.19
Oldham 33 36 -12 -1.15 45.63 -0.04 51.31 4.78 -15.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.00R 2.82
MK_Dons 34 32 -15 -10.45 11.09 -9.00 46.21 4.56 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.71R 16.65
Bury 34 29 -22 -6.53 21.97 -5.07 42.24 4.53 -26.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.29R 55.28
Rochdale 30 26 -12 -12.27 6.22 -7.57 46.75 5.56 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.42R 16.98
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Luton 34 68 +40 2.31 60.13 10.29 90.25 4.58 49.20 77.14 97.43 99.99 98.38P 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 34 65 +20 9.12 85.08 6.14 83.71 4.61 23.37 12.27 68.49 98.59 76.45P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 34 62 +17 7.67 80.83 5.22 81.68 4.78 21.79 5.72 52.83 96.26 63.86P 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 35 61 +20 8.77 83.67 13.86 76.36 4.53 20.37 0.68 15.10 79.47 28.26P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 34 60 +18 6.59 77.61 7.85 78.97 4.66 21.61 2.32 30.31 90.67 46.02P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 33 58 +7 7.77 81.96 -0.36 78.63 4.91 11.21 1.63 24.80 86.10 39.56P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 35 57 +4 2.25 59.54 -6.17 75.11 4.48 8.66 0.17 6.92 66.10 22.64P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 34 53 +9 6.61 77.37 9.46 68.28 4.64 7.36 0.00 0.49 15.10 3.19P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 33 51 +9 -1.55 42.83 -1.62 72.55 4.85 14.32 0.07 3.46 46.72 16.91P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 35 51 +5 0.46 52.13 1.42 67.11 4.49 6.38 0.00 0.10 9.72 2.36P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 35 51 -2 7.25 79.72 4.47 64.47 4.38 -4.31 0.00 0.02 2.91 0.51P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 35 50 +4 -2.57 38.69 -2.67 65.31 4.51 4.37 0.00 0.04 5.18 1.34P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 34 48 -2 6.68 78.95 5.93 63.82 4.65 -2.89 0.00 0.01 2.45 0.39P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 35 48 -10 2.04 59.83 -7.31 62.05 4.40 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.13P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 35 42 -5 -4.95 28.98 -2.91 56.95 4.44 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.23R 0.03
Cheltenham 35 40 -4 -3.56 34.86 3.19 54.50 4.42 -4.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.95R 0.18
Yeovil 34 38 -9 -3.94 32.88 -1.52 50.36 4.41 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.21R 1.73
Crewe 35 36 -16 -5.76 25.64 -5.83 49.18 4.29 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.11R 3.98
Forest_Green 34 36 -17 -0.54 48.47 -0.48 48.63 4.47 -23.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.22R 6.83
Grimsby 35 36 -21 -3.15 36.25 -8.04 48.14 4.20 -25.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.27R 7.67
Morecambe 33 35 -10 -3.42 34.63 0.59 50.52 4.76 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09R 2.93
Port_Vale 34 35 -12 -10.75 11.02 -10.62 51.76 4.71 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.57R 1.66
Chesterfield 34 30 -26 -9.39 13.89 -13.97 44.05 4.69 -29.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.96R 33.60
Barnet 35 29 -19 -11.02 9.65 -6.90 42.63 4.32 -21.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.41R 41.40
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Macclesfield 35 68 +12 13.75 93.99 2.64 84.70 4.51 14.44 55.78 97.57 64.82P 0.00 0.00
Sutton_United 35 63 +15 11.69 90.46 9.95 80.35 4.55 18.38 17.94 85.15 30.62P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 36 61 +20 -4.09 32.09 -3.27 78.60 4.21 25.75 9.73 79.59 35.04P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 35 60 +18 2.30 60.18 3.64 77.97 4.49 22.24 8.81 72.81 26.29P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 35 60 +17 7.47 80.06 10.10 76.64 4.39 19.43 5.22 60.66 17.45P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 36 60 +13 7.60 80.46 7.96 74.57 4.20 14.38 1.38 39.75 9.45P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Fylde 36 55 +16 1.94 58.48 10.49 70.05 4.34 17.95 0.15 13.01 2.92P 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 36 55 +6 6.65 76.23 7.20 67.94 4.29 5.00 0.01 4.08 0.73P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 35 54 +14 -3.13 36.09 0.30 71.85 4.53 18.05 0.53 22.24 6.32P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 34 52 +15 1.72 57.87 9.51 70.38 4.80 17.87 0.37 16.52 3.86P 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 35 51 +9 -6.26 24.23 -4.96 68.90 4.51 13.35 0.07 8.28 2.43P 0.00 0.00
Maidenhead 35 47 +1 1.99 59.20 5.63 59.51 4.47 -2.92 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.20R 0.00
Eastleigh 36 45 -5 -3.31 35.89 -3.02 56.89 4.20 -7.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44R 0.00
Gateshead 34 44 +6 -7.60 19.54 -1.48 61.02 4.66 6.92 0.00 0.19 0.05P 0.20R 0.00
Woking 35 43 -9 -0.58 48.36 -1.85 56.59 4.47 -11.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.37R 0.00
Leyton_Orient 34 42 -5 -8.04 18.62 -10.16 60.30 4.79 -2.25 0.00 0.08 0.03P 0.42R 0.00
Halifax 35 39 -10 -0.07 50.55 2.66 51.80 4.41 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.12R 0.02
Maidstone_United 35 39 -13 -0.06 50.86 0.90 52.72 4.44 -15.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.89R 0.02
Hartlepool 34 37 -12 -9.71 13.90 -12.29 53.50 4.68 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.87R 0.02
Barrow 33 36 -5 -9.22 14.29 -5.00 53.44 4.91 -5.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.76R 0.03
Solihull_Moors 34 34 -14 -3.98 32.49 -1.15 47.90 4.55 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.95R 0.56
Chester 35 30 -25 -7.72 18.31 -9.06 41.02 4.17 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.44R 11.29
Torquay 35 27 -28 -8.80 14.67 -9.72 39.70 4.35 -31.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.72R 20.37
Guiseley 35 25 -36 -5.63 24.63 -9.03 35.67 4.19 -42.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 67.69
