Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 February 2018, Chelsea 3 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         27   72  +59      10.03    95.30    13.73    95.85     3.93    75.11    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   56  +32       4.06    71.53     9.53    76.72     4.23    40.32     0.06    34.86    61.65    83.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   54  +30       2.66    63.80     6.51    76.54     4.00    43.18     0.02    34.81    62.60    84.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   53  +26      -0.72    44.98    -0.17    73.17     4.16    34.21     0.01    10.68    27.56    51.82    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   52  +28      -2.37    35.90     0.30    75.03     4.02    41.07     0.00    19.50    47.09    75.27    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   45  +15      -3.17    32.72    -2.60    66.08     4.21    24.80     0.00     0.16     1.10     4.54    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          27   36   -3       4.47    74.44     4.93    50.25     4.30    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        27   35   -1      -0.69    46.70     2.73    51.73     4.39     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          27   34  -14      -1.38    42.87    -9.79    49.80     4.48   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      27   31  -10      -0.28    49.14     1.47    44.03     4.26   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.13  
Watford          27   30  -10       0.61    54.39     4.04    42.44     4.08   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.06R    0.41  
West_Ham         27   30  -12      -3.03    34.41    -3.81    41.30     4.07   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.82R    0.66  
Newcastle        27   28  -11      -3.75    30.72    -2.07    39.91     4.14   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.31R    1.81  
Brighton         27   28  -14      -1.10    44.88    -1.90    38.53     3.95   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.91R    3.05  
Crystal_Palace   27   27  -17      -2.21    38.27    -3.16    39.13     4.19   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.97R    3.68  
Swansea          27   27  -17      -0.93    45.72    -2.13    38.99     4.09   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.87R    3.89  
Huddersfield     27   27  -24       6.02    82.73     3.81    35.40     3.70   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.33R   17.16  
Southampton      27   26  -12      -8.63    11.18    -7.24    38.83     4.26   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.55R    3.29  
Stoke            27   25  -26      -2.53    36.77    -8.93    34.30     3.94   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.45R   25.73  
West_Brom        27   20  -19      -8.53    10.43    -5.25    32.51     4.18   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.62R   40.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Cardiff 2 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   31   71  +33      17.32    98.52    16.59    95.92     5.25    39.52    91.54    98.18   100.00    98.64P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   59  +21       9.12    86.72    10.18    81.91     5.32    24.47     2.71    30.75    93.11    46.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           32   58  +22       4.11    68.62     7.48    81.65     5.07    28.49     2.60    30.41    93.74    49.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         31   58  +20       8.57    84.74     9.84    81.75     5.28    24.77     2.71    29.56    92.47    44.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   52  +16       1.12    55.27     3.18    75.92     5.39    21.14     0.32     6.01    65.70    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    31   52   +9       7.97    83.03     6.79    73.41     5.40    10.23     0.05     2.05    42.83     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         31   49   +8       3.91    68.23     3.98    70.75     5.33     9.95     0.01     0.69    25.59     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   49   +7       5.22    73.05     5.02    70.72     5.46     8.60     0.01     0.78    25.47     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   48  +11      -2.01    40.63     0.14    72.30     5.32    16.41     0.04     1.40    38.04    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   44   +3      -1.04    45.22    -0.81    66.70     5.45     6.04     0.00     0.09     9.23     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    31   44   +3      -0.86    46.22    -0.57    64.86     5.27     3.59     0.00     0.03     4.55     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   44   +2       1.48    57.50     1.87    63.94     5.35     1.23     0.00     0.02     3.28     0.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         31   44   -3      -1.00    45.53    -6.80    65.94     5.38    -0.93     0.00     0.04     5.61     1.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        31   39   +2       0.45    52.95     7.40    58.57     5.38     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.38R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       32   37   -4      -8.37    15.68    -6.70    56.51     5.08    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.84R    0.02  
QPR             31   36  -11      -1.03    45.70    -3.24    54.10     5.19   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.40R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest   31   35  -15      -0.81    46.85    -4.54    53.22     5.28   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.32R    0.32  
Reading         31   32   -7      -8.26    15.98    -3.83    50.68     5.25    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.45R    0.84  
Bolton          31   30  -21      -1.96    41.44    -5.65    46.35     5.11   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.43R    6.61  
Birmingham      31   30  -21      -2.17    39.82    -7.02    46.32     5.00   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.15R    5.97  
Hull            31   29   -5     -13.92     5.00    -5.53    49.96     5.41    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.45R    1.47  
Barnsley        31   28  -15      -7.33    18.27    -4.33    45.58     5.14   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.64R    7.76  
Sunderland      31   26  -21     -11.08     8.79   -12.56    43.45     5.23   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.26R   16.09  
Burton_Albion   31   25  -34      -2.11    40.09   -10.89    38.64     4.79   -44.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.67R   60.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Bristol_Rovers 3 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       31   64  +18      19.63    99.13    15.02    86.69     5.36    21.17     8.79    37.15    99.75    50.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            30   63  +38       2.95    64.15    10.33    94.48     5.38    51.96    70.73    91.55    99.99    95.23P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        32   63  +26       2.95    63.08     1.60    89.20     5.12    36.59    20.03    66.56    99.94    79.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        32   56  +17       5.79    74.29     7.63    77.78     5.27    20.90     0.36     3.31    90.78    24.41P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       33   55  +12       1.78    58.05     0.22    76.40     4.91    17.32     0.09     1.27    87.19    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   50   -2       1.45    56.85    -6.81    68.28     4.91    -1.39     0.00     0.03    25.40     5.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         31   48   +3       2.83    63.50    -0.85    68.88     5.42     3.52     0.00     0.09    33.08     6.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   47   -1       4.97    72.14     3.67    63.33     4.95    -3.15     0.00     0.00     6.77     1.10P    0.24R    0.00  
Portsmouth       32   46   +1       2.95    63.88     2.15    64.58     5.18     0.26     0.00     0.00    10.74     1.91P    0.14R    0.00  
Peterborough     31   45   +8      -0.87    46.53     3.18    67.65     5.45    10.98     0.00     0.04    28.18     6.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -2       2.96    63.88     1.58    62.64     5.13    -4.73     0.00     0.00     5.30     0.83P    0.61R    0.00  
Gillingham       32   44   +1       1.99    59.73     3.97    62.92     5.19     0.59     0.00     0.00     6.26     1.07P    0.50R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       32   41   -1      -4.15    31.88    -2.57    60.25     5.13    -1.17     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.43P    2.10R    0.02  
Southend         32   41  -11      -0.43    48.62    -7.02    59.49     5.20   -12.25     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.22P    3.64R    0.03  
Walsall          31   40   -3      -1.86    41.59    -1.88    59.52     5.27    -4.56     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.29P    3.09R    0.04  
Doncaster        33   39   -3      -3.05    36.87     1.89    55.43     4.91    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   11.37R    0.26  
Blackpool        32   38   -4      -1.11    45.41     2.92    55.52     5.08    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   11.89R    0.26  
Fleetwood_Town   31   36   -7      -6.51    22.17    -6.77    56.64     5.41    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.13P    9.65R    0.31  
Oldham           33   36  -12      -1.16    45.44    -0.01    51.31     4.76   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.79R    2.54  
Northampton      33   36  -22       1.18    56.65    -5.31    49.87     4.75   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.12R    5.05  
AFC_Wimbledon    32   34  -10      -3.44    34.37    -1.01    50.04     4.92   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.06R    4.32  
MK_Dons          31   30  -14      -9.14    13.41    -9.07    48.08     5.23   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.02R   10.14  
Bury             32   26  -21      -7.45    17.90    -5.20    40.88     4.87   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.52R   65.12  
Rochdale         28   25  -11     -11.24     7.41    -7.64    47.98     5.93   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.18R   11.92  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                33   67  +40       3.44    65.25    11.48    91.68     4.75    50.97    82.06    98.33    99.98    98.89P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   61  +19       8.61    84.36     6.10    83.09     5.07    23.32     8.78    63.46    96.52    71.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   59  +17       7.73    81.99     5.70    82.20     5.17    23.01     5.75    57.84    95.11    67.44P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   57  +19       9.26    86.26    13.43    76.58     5.19    19.48     0.85    18.35    74.72    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   56  +17       5.54    74.59     7.16    77.43     5.08    20.20     1.09    22.14    79.76    36.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              33   54   +4       2.18    59.70    -5.89    75.67     4.99     9.85     0.28    10.81    66.45    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   53  +14       7.52    81.12    11.63    72.14     5.10    14.07     0.07     4.31    40.98    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   52   +6       6.34    78.36    -0.63    77.10     5.57    10.75     1.02    19.36    73.08    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             32   50   +9      -1.32    43.81    -1.86    72.63     5.07    14.00     0.09     4.40    44.93    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           33   50   +6      -0.19    49.33    -1.24    69.01     4.95     7.77     0.01     0.86    19.16     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         33   48   -2       7.04    80.02     4.52    64.34     4.83    -4.09     0.00     0.05     3.39     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       32   46   -2       7.37    81.50     6.25    64.34     5.11    -3.28     0.00     0.08     3.65     0.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle             32   42   +0      -2.37    39.43    -0.36    62.07     5.12     1.13     0.00     0.02     1.72     0.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        32   42  -12       0.60    53.62    -8.61    59.98     5.04   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           33   39   -2      -2.86    37.35     3.45    55.62     4.78    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.51R    0.09  
Stevenage            33   39   -6      -4.88    28.78    -3.43    56.65     4.88    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.31R    0.03  
Yeovil               32   38   -5      -2.81    37.17     0.00    53.15     4.87   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.67R    0.27  
Grimsby              33   36  -18      -1.70    42.71    -6.75    50.59     4.68   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.33R    2.05  
Port_Vale            32   34  -11      -9.39    13.64   -10.23    53.58     5.17   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.45R    0.59  
Forest_Green         32   32  -19      -1.13    45.48    -1.22    46.70     4.91   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R   11.35  
Morecambe            31   31  -12      -4.17    30.44    -0.82    48.70     5.10   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.78R    5.12  
Crewe                32   30  -19      -7.15    19.53    -8.03    46.34     4.95   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.34R   11.26  
Chesterfield         32   27  -25     -10.44    10.25   -14.11    43.10     5.12   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R   32.33  
Barnet               32   25  -18     -11.35     7.73    -6.55    42.02     4.95   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.58R   36.90  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Barrow 1 1 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       32   59   +7      10.56    89.54     0.17    78.88     5.10     8.17    16.78    73.11    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   58  +19       4.38    69.45     4.66    80.92     5.11    24.48    33.63    85.58    47.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   57  +13       8.49    84.28     7.78    75.81     4.89    14.64     6.05    52.04    15.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      32   56  +10      11.01    90.22     8.17    78.12     5.21    14.33    14.39    68.79    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           33   55  +21      -5.54    25.20    -1.45    78.36     4.84    29.04    17.27    75.88    39.58P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   53  +15       5.60    74.83     9.54    74.34     5.08    18.33     4.53    42.34    13.02P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          33   52  +16       3.11    63.70    10.61    71.85     5.08    18.99     1.60    26.68     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            32   51  +16       2.63    62.08     9.29    71.39     5.18    17.75     1.64    23.87     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   51  +16      -2.33    38.93     1.85    73.94     5.20    21.48     3.97    41.08    14.82P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   46   +3       3.31    65.19     6.55    62.65     4.99     1.44     0.01     0.78     0.13P    0.09R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          32   45   +6      -6.70    21.82    -5.74    67.79     5.17    11.53     0.14     8.22     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          33   44   -1      -1.24    44.97    -0.75    61.08     4.91    -2.21     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.26R    0.00  
Gateshead          32   43   +7      -6.31    23.15    -1.07    62.84     5.08     8.11     0.01     1.08     0.27P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking             32   42   -7       1.44    57.27    -1.50    59.34     5.17   -10.04     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.97R    0.00  
Maidenhead         32   41   -2       1.27    56.52     4.43    57.03     5.09    -6.84     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.07R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   32   39  -10       2.56    63.07     1.77    56.03     5.06   -13.31     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.89R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      32   36   -7     -10.61    11.07   -11.10    56.84     5.25    -4.58     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.10R    0.02  
Halifax            32   35  -11       0.15    51.89     2.04    50.98     5.05   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00P   22.72R    0.25  
Hartlepool         31   34  -10      -9.29    14.04   -11.31    55.77     5.40    -8.23     0.00     0.02     0.00     5.61R    0.03  
Barrow             31   32   -6     -10.07    11.21    -5.34    52.08     5.40    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.33R    0.21  
Solihull_Moors     32   30  -15      -5.46    25.41    -2.33    45.69     4.94   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.94R    3.04  
Torquay            33   27  -24      -7.67    17.49    -8.44    42.16     4.81   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.33R   12.11  
Chester            32   27  -25      -7.07    19.34    -9.87    40.77     4.78   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.88R   18.28  
Guiseley           32   22  -31      -6.87    18.71    -7.95    35.86     4.84   -39.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.72R   66.06