Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 16 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 February 2018, Chelsea 3 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 27 72 +59 10.03 95.30 13.73 95.85 3.93 75.11 99.92 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 56 +32 4.06 71.53 9.53 76.72 4.23 40.32 0.06 34.86 61.65 83.65 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 54 +30 2.66 63.80 6.51 76.54 4.00 43.18 0.02 34.81 62.60 84.73 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 53 +26 -0.72 44.98 -0.17 73.17 4.16 34.21 0.01 10.68 27.56 51.82 99.97 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 52 +28 -2.37 35.90 0.30 75.03 4.02 41.07 0.00 19.50 47.09 75.27 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 45 +15 -3.17 32.72 -2.60 66.08 4.21 24.80 0.00 0.16 1.10 4.54 98.16 0.00 0.00 Burnley 27 36 -3 4.47 74.44 4.93 50.25 4.30 -3.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 27 35 -1 -0.69 46.70 2.73 51.73 4.39 1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.02R 0.00 Everton 27 34 -14 -1.38 42.87 -9.79 49.80 4.48 -13.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 27 31 -10 -0.28 49.14 1.47 44.03 4.26 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.01R 0.13 Watford 27 30 -10 0.61 54.39 4.04 42.44 4.08 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.06R 0.41 West_Ham 27 30 -12 -3.03 34.41 -3.81 41.30 4.07 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82R 0.66 Newcastle 27 28 -11 -3.75 30.72 -2.07 39.91 4.14 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.31R 1.81 Brighton 27 28 -14 -1.10 44.88 -1.90 38.53 3.95 -21.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.91R 3.05 Crystal_Palace 27 27 -17 -2.21 38.27 -3.16 39.13 4.19 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.97R 3.68 Swansea 27 27 -17 -0.93 45.72 -2.13 38.99 4.09 -22.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.87R 3.89 Huddersfield 27 27 -24 6.02 82.73 3.81 35.40 3.70 -37.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.33R 17.16 Southampton 27 26 -12 -8.63 11.18 -7.24 38.83 4.26 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.55R 3.29 Stoke 27 25 -26 -2.53 36.77 -8.93 34.30 3.94 -36.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.45R 25.73 West_Brom 27 20 -19 -8.53 10.43 -5.25 32.51 4.18 -22.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.62R 40.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Cardiff 2 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 31 71 +33 17.32 98.52 16.59 95.92 5.25 39.52 91.54 98.18 100.00 98.64P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 59 +21 9.12 86.72 10.18 81.91 5.32 24.47 2.71 30.75 93.11 46.55P 0.00 0.00 Derby 32 58 +22 4.11 68.62 7.48 81.65 5.07 28.49 2.60 30.41 93.74 49.68P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 58 +20 8.57 84.74 9.84 81.75 5.28 24.77 2.71 29.56 92.47 44.93P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 52 +16 1.12 55.27 3.18 75.92 5.39 21.14 0.32 6.01 65.70 21.41P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 52 +9 7.97 83.03 6.79 73.41 5.40 10.23 0.05 2.05 42.83 9.69P 0.00 0.00 Preston 31 49 +8 3.91 68.23 3.98 70.75 5.33 9.95 0.01 0.69 25.59 6.04P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 49 +7 5.22 73.05 5.02 70.72 5.46 8.60 0.01 0.78 25.47 5.67P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 31 48 +11 -2.01 40.63 0.14 72.30 5.32 16.41 0.04 1.40 38.04 12.33P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 44 +3 -1.04 45.22 -0.81 66.70 5.45 6.04 0.00 0.09 9.23 2.06P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 31 44 +3 -0.86 46.22 -0.57 64.86 5.27 3.59 0.00 0.03 4.55 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 44 +2 1.48 57.50 1.87 63.94 5.35 1.23 0.00 0.02 3.28 0.58P 0.00R 0.00 Norwich 31 44 -3 -1.00 45.53 -6.80 65.94 5.38 -0.93 0.00 0.04 5.61 1.33P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 31 39 +2 0.45 52.95 7.40 58.57 5.38 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 0.38R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 32 37 -4 -8.37 15.68 -6.70 56.51 5.08 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.84R 0.02 QPR 31 36 -11 -1.03 45.70 -3.24 54.10 5.19 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.40R 0.13 Nott'm_Forest 31 35 -15 -0.81 46.85 -4.54 53.22 5.28 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.32R 0.32 Reading 31 32 -7 -8.26 15.98 -3.83 50.68 5.25 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 10.45R 0.84 Bolton 31 30 -21 -1.96 41.44 -5.65 46.35 5.11 -26.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.43R 6.61 Birmingham 31 30 -21 -2.17 39.82 -7.02 46.32 5.00 -26.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.15R 5.97 Hull 31 29 -5 -13.92 5.00 -5.53 49.96 5.41 -4.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.45R 1.47 Barnsley 31 28 -15 -7.33 18.27 -4.33 45.58 5.14 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.64R 7.76 Sunderland 31 26 -21 -11.08 8.79 -12.56 43.45 5.23 -25.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.26R 16.09 Burton_Albion 31 25 -34 -2.11 40.09 -10.89 38.64 4.79 -44.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.67R 60.78League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Bristol_Rovers 3 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 31 64 +18 19.63 99.13 15.02 86.69 5.36 21.17 8.79 37.15 99.75 50.37P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 63 +38 2.95 64.15 10.33 94.48 5.38 51.96 70.73 91.55 99.99 95.23P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 63 +26 2.95 63.08 1.60 89.20 5.12 36.59 20.03 66.56 99.94 79.67P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 56 +17 5.79 74.29 7.63 77.78 5.27 20.90 0.36 3.31 90.78 24.41P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 55 +12 1.78 58.05 0.22 76.40 4.91 17.32 0.09 1.27 87.19 25.62P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 33 50 -2 1.45 56.85 -6.81 68.28 4.91 -1.39 0.00 0.03 25.40 5.49P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 31 48 +3 2.83 63.50 -0.85 68.88 5.42 3.52 0.00 0.09 33.08 6.88P 0.02R 0.00 Plymouth 33 47 -1 4.97 72.14 3.67 63.33 4.95 -3.15 0.00 0.00 6.77 1.10P 0.24R 0.00 Portsmouth 32 46 +1 2.95 63.88 2.15 64.58 5.18 0.26 0.00 0.00 10.74 1.91P 0.14R 0.00 Peterborough 31 45 +8 -0.87 46.53 3.18 67.65 5.45 10.98 0.00 0.04 28.18 6.25P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 45 -2 2.96 63.88 1.58 62.64 5.13 -4.73 0.00 0.00 5.30 0.83P 0.61R 0.00 Gillingham 32 44 +1 1.99 59.73 3.97 62.92 5.19 0.59 0.00 0.00 6.26 1.07P 0.50R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 41 -1 -4.15 31.88 -2.57 60.25 5.13 -1.17 0.00 0.00 2.31 0.43P 2.10R 0.02 Southend 32 41 -11 -0.43 48.62 -7.02 59.49 5.20 -12.25 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.22P 3.64R 0.03 Walsall 31 40 -3 -1.86 41.59 -1.88 59.52 5.27 -4.56 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.29P 3.09R 0.04 Doncaster 33 39 -3 -3.05 36.87 1.89 55.43 4.91 -5.09 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 11.37R 0.26 Blackpool 32 38 -4 -1.11 45.41 2.92 55.52 5.08 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 11.89R 0.26 Fleetwood_Town 31 36 -7 -6.51 22.17 -6.77 56.64 5.41 -6.96 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.13P 9.65R 0.31 Oldham 33 36 -12 -1.16 45.44 -0.01 51.31 4.76 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.79R 2.54 Northampton 33 36 -22 1.18 56.65 -5.31 49.87 4.75 -28.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.12R 5.05 AFC_Wimbledon 32 34 -10 -3.44 34.37 -1.01 50.04 4.92 -14.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 47.06R 4.32 MK_Dons 31 30 -14 -9.14 13.41 -9.07 48.08 5.23 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.02R 10.14 Bury 32 26 -21 -7.45 17.90 -5.20 40.88 4.87 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.52R 65.12 Rochdale 28 25 -11 -11.24 7.41 -7.64 47.98 5.93 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 60.18R 11.92League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 33 67 +40 3.44 65.25 11.48 91.68 4.75 50.97 82.06 98.33 99.98 98.89P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 32 61 +19 8.61 84.36 6.10 83.09 5.07 23.32 8.78 63.46 96.52 71.80P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 59 +17 7.73 81.99 5.70 82.20 5.17 23.01 5.75 57.84 95.11 67.44P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 32 57 +19 9.26 86.26 13.43 76.58 5.19 19.48 0.85 18.35 74.72 29.83P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 56 +17 5.54 74.59 7.16 77.43 5.08 20.20 1.09 22.14 79.76 36.86P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 33 54 +4 2.18 59.70 -5.89 75.67 4.99 9.85 0.28 10.81 66.45 25.96P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 53 +14 7.52 81.12 11.63 72.14 5.10 14.07 0.07 4.31 40.98 12.13P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 52 +6 6.34 78.36 -0.63 77.10 5.57 10.75 1.02 19.36 73.08 32.75P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 32 50 +9 -1.32 43.81 -1.86 72.63 5.07 14.00 0.09 4.40 44.93 16.89P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 33 50 +6 -0.19 49.33 -1.24 69.01 4.95 7.77 0.01 0.86 19.16 5.56P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 33 48 -2 7.04 80.02 4.52 64.34 4.83 -4.09 0.00 0.05 3.39 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 32 46 -2 7.37 81.50 6.25 64.34 5.11 -3.28 0.00 0.08 3.65 0.68P 0.01R 0.00 Carlisle 32 42 +0 -2.37 39.43 -0.36 62.07 5.12 1.13 0.00 0.02 1.72 0.43P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 32 42 -12 0.60 53.62 -8.61 59.98 5.04 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.08P 0.04R 0.00 Cheltenham 33 39 -2 -2.86 37.35 3.45 55.62 4.78 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 0.51R 0.09 Stevenage 33 39 -6 -4.88 28.78 -3.43 56.65 4.88 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.31R 0.03 Yeovil 32 38 -5 -2.81 37.17 0.00 53.15 4.87 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.67R 0.27 Grimsby 33 36 -18 -1.70 42.71 -6.75 50.59 4.68 -22.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.33R 2.05 Port_Vale 32 34 -11 -9.39 13.64 -10.23 53.58 5.17 -10.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.45R 0.59 Forest_Green 32 32 -19 -1.13 45.48 -1.22 46.70 4.91 -26.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.77R 11.35 Morecambe 31 31 -12 -4.17 30.44 -0.82 48.70 5.10 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.78R 5.12 Crewe 32 30 -19 -7.15 19.53 -8.03 46.34 4.95 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.34R 11.26 Chesterfield 32 27 -25 -10.44 10.25 -14.11 43.10 5.12 -29.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.20R 32.33 Barnet 32 25 -18 -11.35 7.73 -6.55 42.02 4.95 -21.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.58R 36.90National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Barrow 1 1 Sutton_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 32 59 +7 10.56 89.54 0.17 78.88 5.10 8.17 16.78 73.11 28.10P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 58 +19 4.38 69.45 4.66 80.92 5.11 24.48 33.63 85.58 47.85P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 57 +13 8.49 84.28 7.78 75.81 4.89 14.64 6.05 52.04 15.41P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 32 56 +10 11.01 90.22 8.17 78.12 5.21 14.33 14.39 68.79 24.71P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 55 +21 -5.54 25.20 -1.45 78.36 4.84 29.04 17.27 75.88 39.58P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 53 +15 5.60 74.83 9.54 74.34 5.08 18.33 4.53 42.34 13.02P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 33 52 +16 3.11 63.70 10.61 71.85 5.08 18.99 1.60 26.68 7.10P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 32 51 +16 2.63 62.08 9.29 71.39 5.18 17.75 1.64 23.87 6.46P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 51 +16 -2.33 38.93 1.85 73.94 5.20 21.48 3.97 41.08 14.82P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 33 46 +3 3.31 65.19 6.55 62.65 4.99 1.44 0.01 0.78 0.13P 0.09R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 32 45 +6 -6.70 21.82 -5.74 67.79 5.17 11.53 0.14 8.22 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 44 -1 -1.24 44.97 -0.75 61.08 4.91 -2.21 0.00 0.28 0.05P 0.26R 0.00 Gateshead 32 43 +7 -6.31 23.15 -1.07 62.84 5.08 8.11 0.01 1.08 0.27P 0.09R 0.00 Woking 32 42 -7 1.44 57.27 -1.50 59.34 5.17 -10.04 0.00 0.16 0.01P 0.97R 0.00 Maidenhead 32 41 -2 1.27 56.52 4.43 57.03 5.09 -6.84 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.07R 0.00 Maidstone_United 32 39 -10 2.56 63.07 1.77 56.03 5.06 -13.31 0.00 0.02 0.00 4.89R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 32 36 -7 -10.61 11.07 -11.10 56.84 5.25 -4.58 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.10R 0.02 Halifax 32 35 -11 0.15 51.89 2.04 50.98 5.05 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.00P 22.72R 0.25 Hartlepool 31 34 -10 -9.29 14.04 -11.31 55.77 5.40 -8.23 0.00 0.02 0.00 5.61R 0.03 Barrow 31 32 -6 -10.07 11.21 -5.34 52.08 5.40 -6.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.33R 0.21 Solihull_Moors 32 30 -15 -5.46 25.41 -2.33 45.69 4.94 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.94R 3.04 Torquay 33 27 -24 -7.67 17.49 -8.44 42.16 4.81 -28.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.33R 12.11 Chester 32 27 -25 -7.07 19.34 -9.87 40.77 4.78 -33.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.88R 18.28 Guiseley 32 22 -31 -6.87 18.71 -7.95 35.86 4.84 -39.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.72R 66.06