Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 13 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 February 2018, Chelsea 3 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 27 72 +59 10.16 95.44 13.95 95.85 3.91 75.08 99.94 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 56 +32 3.93 71.10 9.35 76.77 4.21 40.35 0.04 35.54 62.03 84.23 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 54 +30 2.61 63.37 6.45 76.53 3.99 43.18 0.01 34.49 62.86 84.67 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 53 +26 -0.69 45.27 -0.11 73.12 4.17 34.14 0.00 10.37 27.03 51.21 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 52 +28 -2.18 36.97 0.59 75.02 4.04 41.00 0.01 19.44 46.99 75.17 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 45 +15 -3.07 33.43 -2.44 66.06 4.23 24.72 0.00 0.16 1.08 4.72 98.22 0.00 0.00 Burnley 27 36 -3 4.50 74.48 5.00 50.25 4.30 -3.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 27 35 -1 -0.63 46.89 2.78 51.71 4.42 1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.01R 0.00 Everton 27 34 -14 -1.45 42.44 -9.97 49.86 4.47 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06R 0.00 Bournemouth 27 31 -10 -0.28 49.31 1.46 44.01 4.23 -13.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83R 0.12 Watford 27 30 -10 0.59 54.28 3.90 42.45 4.10 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.23R 0.39 West_Ham 27 30 -12 -3.01 34.46 -3.79 41.34 4.09 -19.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.02R 0.69 Newcastle 27 28 -11 -3.66 31.49 -1.95 39.93 4.15 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.25R 1.77 Brighton 27 28 -14 -1.24 44.02 -2.04 38.63 3.94 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.97R 2.96 Crystal_Palace 27 27 -17 -2.21 38.14 -3.16 39.09 4.18 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.05R 3.69 Swansea 27 27 -17 -1.13 44.34 -2.47 39.03 4.13 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.81R 3.83 Huddersfield 27 27 -24 5.98 82.33 3.71 35.38 3.72 -37.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.45R 17.38 Southampton 27 26 -12 -8.58 11.38 -7.15 38.75 4.25 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.90R 3.34 Stoke 27 25 -26 -2.53 36.59 -8.93 34.28 3.87 -36.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.42R 25.23 West_Brom 27 20 -19 -8.47 10.56 -5.20 32.49 4.14 -22.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.98R 40.60Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Cardiff 2 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 31 71 +33 17.31 98.35 16.59 96.01 5.29 39.62 91.67 98.10 100.00 98.62P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 59 +21 9.24 87.28 10.34 81.87 5.33 24.40 2.71 30.41 92.89 46.18P 0.00 0.00 Derby 32 58 +22 4.25 69.41 7.69 81.56 5.05 28.39 2.34 29.88 93.59 48.81P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 58 +20 8.40 84.31 9.57 81.82 5.28 24.89 2.90 30.20 92.77 45.59P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 52 +16 0.84 53.68 2.76 76.08 5.43 21.37 0.29 6.63 66.28 22.33P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 52 +9 8.11 83.51 6.93 73.37 5.40 10.19 0.04 1.94 42.14 9.58P 0.00 0.00 Preston 31 49 +8 4.10 69.14 4.20 70.71 5.35 9.86 0.01 0.65 25.16 5.87P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 49 +7 5.15 73.15 4.88 70.80 5.43 8.68 0.01 0.65 25.81 5.54P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 31 48 +11 -2.01 40.44 0.16 72.37 5.31 16.49 0.03 1.38 38.42 12.43P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 44 +3 -1.24 44.37 -1.08 66.69 5.48 6.07 0.00 0.08 8.94 2.01P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 31 44 +3 -0.85 46.12 -0.61 64.86 5.27 3.61 0.00 0.03 4.60 0.96P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 31 44 +2 1.56 57.72 2.00 63.94 5.32 1.23 0.00 0.01 3.18 0.63P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 31 44 -3 -1.08 44.87 -6.84 65.98 5.37 -0.88 0.00 0.03 5.83 1.36P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 31 39 +2 0.47 53.03 7.41 58.60 5.34 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 0.43R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 32 37 -4 -8.28 16.07 -6.58 56.47 5.09 -3.40 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.81R 0.02 QPR 31 36 -11 -1.08 45.56 -3.26 54.06 5.18 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.56R 0.13 Nott'm_Forest 31 35 -15 -0.81 47.14 -4.59 53.19 5.22 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.17R 0.31 Reading 31 32 -7 -8.31 15.64 -3.86 50.69 5.22 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.09R 0.71 Bolton 31 30 -21 -2.00 41.23 -5.72 46.37 5.10 -26.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.14R 6.44 Birmingham 31 30 -21 -2.15 40.14 -7.02 46.35 5.02 -26.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.83R 5.99 Hull 31 29 -5 -13.80 5.07 -5.37 49.80 5.44 -4.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.02R 1.76 Barnsley 31 28 -15 -7.45 17.71 -4.53 45.60 5.16 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.51R 7.62 Sunderland 31 26 -21 -10.91 9.33 -12.33 43.34 5.26 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.99R 16.74 Burton_Albion 31 25 -34 -2.07 40.21 -10.76 38.64 4.79 -44.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.45R 60.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Bristol_Rovers 3 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 31 64 +18 19.81 99.17 15.26 86.62 5.38 21.04 8.77 37.05 99.71 50.19P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 63 +38 3.15 64.80 10.59 94.42 5.34 51.85 70.68 91.45 100.00 95.19P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 63 +26 3.17 64.18 1.91 89.13 5.12 36.50 20.04 66.47 99.97 79.41P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 56 +17 5.53 73.43 7.25 77.84 5.29 20.98 0.42 3.51 91.07 24.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 55 +12 1.82 58.05 0.29 76.36 4.91 17.28 0.09 1.39 86.98 25.45P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 33 50 -2 1.45 56.80 -6.78 68.25 4.92 -1.39 0.00 0.02 25.13 5.38P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 31 48 +3 2.71 62.72 -1.06 68.99 5.43 3.67 0.00 0.07 33.58 7.12P 0.01R 0.00 Plymouth 33 47 -1 4.66 70.67 3.23 63.44 4.98 -3.01 0.00 0.00 6.98 1.13P 0.27R 0.00 Portsmouth 32 46 +1 3.00 64.22 2.19 64.54 5.18 0.23 0.00 0.00 10.50 1.88P 0.15R 0.00 Peterborough 31 45 +8 -0.81 46.36 3.28 67.61 5.43 10.95 0.00 0.04 27.84 6.13P 0.04R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 45 -2 2.90 63.75 1.51 62.66 5.15 -4.71 0.00 0.00 5.35 0.82P 0.56R 0.00 Gillingham 32 44 +1 1.97 59.66 3.90 62.91 5.19 0.59 0.00 0.00 6.19 1.08P 0.49R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 41 -1 -4.08 32.09 -2.45 60.26 5.17 -1.11 0.00 0.00 2.24 0.48P 2.06R 0.02 Southend 32 41 -11 -0.44 48.58 -7.02 59.47 5.17 -12.29 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.24P 3.33R 0.05 Walsall 31 40 -3 -1.95 41.31 -1.98 59.61 5.30 -4.45 0.00 0.00 2.04 0.39P 3.06R 0.06 Doncaster 33 39 -3 -3.25 35.87 1.65 55.51 4.92 -4.94 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 10.91R 0.25 Blackpool 32 38 -4 -1.34 44.52 2.63 55.63 5.14 -6.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 11.64R 0.28 Fleetwood_Town 31 36 -7 -6.53 22.23 -6.84 56.64 5.39 -6.95 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.13P 9.71R 0.30 Oldham 33 36 -12 -1.09 45.49 0.09 51.28 4.78 -15.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 37.65R 2.57 Northampton 33 36 -22 1.35 57.53 -5.11 49.82 4.76 -28.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 53.48R 5.09 AFC_Wimbledon 32 34 -10 -3.15 35.81 -0.57 49.93 4.92 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.19R 4.42 MK_Dons 31 30 -14 -9.11 13.38 -9.02 48.02 5.24 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 63.10R 10.25 Bury 32 26 -21 -7.48 17.56 -5.24 40.95 4.89 -27.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.27R 64.59 Rochdale 28 25 -11 -11.28 7.37 -7.71 47.96 5.93 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 60.07R 12.12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2018, Barnet 1 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 32 64 +37 2.96 63.51 10.56 90.82 4.90 49.11 80.23 97.88 99.99 98.64P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 31 58 +18 7.55 81.43 5.96 82.37 5.26 23.80 9.43 62.45 95.55 71.04P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 31 56 +16 6.51 78.20 5.39 80.81 5.42 22.32 5.49 51.01 92.24 61.83P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 31 54 +18 8.24 83.96 13.37 75.28 5.44 18.99 0.94 16.19 67.33 26.62P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 32 54 +5 3.29 64.69 -5.31 76.69 5.22 10.25 0.95 19.23 73.95 33.87P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 53 +12 5.89 76.24 5.09 75.62 5.31 14.94 0.94 15.77 68.33 28.56P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 52 +6 6.45 78.47 -0.55 77.12 5.59 10.75 1.55 22.41 75.12 35.30P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 50 +13 6.42 77.96 11.39 70.90 5.33 13.62 0.09 3.91 35.35 10.65P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 50 +10 -0.51 47.46 -1.54 74.10 5.26 15.14 0.35 9.89 58.56 25.25P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 32 48 +1 7.01 80.10 5.17 65.25 4.99 -1.85 0.00 0.16 6.03 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 32 47 +5 -1.43 43.27 -1.63 67.45 5.17 6.88 0.01 0.74 14.88 4.38P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 31 46 +3 6.73 79.94 7.96 65.75 5.29 1.90 0.01 0.27 8.18 1.67P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 31 42 +1 -1.46 43.22 -0.21 63.15 5.33 1.62 0.00 0.07 3.75 0.97P 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 32 39 -1 -1.94 41.62 3.80 56.62 5.01 -3.63 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.47R 0.08 Stevenage 32 39 -4 -3.91 32.41 -2.20 58.35 5.08 -3.83 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.09P 0.20R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 31 39 -13 -0.59 47.88 -9.15 57.85 5.25 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 0.29R 0.04 Grimsby 33 36 -18 -1.72 42.48 -6.90 50.65 4.69 -22.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.77R 2.10 Yeovil 31 35 -7 -3.45 34.46 -0.58 51.54 5.07 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 4.97R 1.43 Port_Vale 32 34 -11 -9.33 13.40 -10.16 53.43 5.14 -10.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.67R 0.68 Morecambe 31 31 -12 -4.13 30.84 -0.80 48.59 5.11 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.04R 6.03 Crewe 31 30 -18 -6.34 22.24 -7.90 46.97 5.12 -23.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.38R 11.41 Forest_Green 31 29 -21 -2.12 40.71 -2.40 44.65 5.12 -29.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.48R 24.44 Chesterfield 31 27 -24 -9.25 12.82 -13.66 44.80 5.34 -28.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.94R 23.44 Barnet 31 25 -16 -10.73 8.76 -5.69 43.24 5.18 -19.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.79R 30.32National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2018, Bromley 2 2 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 32 59 +7 10.57 89.47 0.13 78.86 5.11 8.14 16.01 72.90 27.47P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 58 +19 4.21 68.99 4.45 80.95 5.14 24.53 33.44 85.55 47.98P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 57 +13 8.45 84.22 7.71 75.80 4.90 14.62 5.87 51.83 15.34P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 55 +21 -5.67 24.59 -1.70 78.44 4.83 29.21 17.15 76.52 40.07P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 31 55 +10 11.48 91.58 8.36 78.39 5.40 14.22 15.96 69.89 26.03P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 53 +15 5.36 73.67 9.26 74.42 5.08 18.42 4.46 43.01 13.08P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 33 52 +16 3.10 63.21 10.54 71.91 5.11 19.07 1.77 26.96 7.19P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 32 51 +16 2.75 62.54 9.44 71.28 5.20 17.57 1.51 23.18 6.01P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 51 +16 -2.10 40.04 2.23 73.84 5.22 21.31 3.66 40.20 14.01P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 33 46 +3 3.31 65.21 6.53 62.66 5.00 1.45 0.00 0.72 0.13P 0.09R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 32 45 +6 -6.79 21.60 -5.85 67.82 5.18 11.59 0.16 7.93 2.39P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 33 44 -1 -1.29 44.64 -0.80 61.13 4.90 -2.17 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.23R 0.00 Woking 32 42 -7 1.35 56.88 -1.66 59.36 5.13 -9.98 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.97R 0.00 Maidenhead 32 41 -2 1.37 56.90 4.57 57.01 5.14 -6.90 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.21R 0.00 Gateshead 31 40 +6 -7.30 19.09 -1.14 61.52 5.31 7.56 0.01 0.72 0.17P 0.36R 0.00 Maidstone_United 32 39 -10 2.52 62.67 1.67 56.04 5.08 -13.31 0.00 0.02 0.01P 4.69R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 32 36 -7 -10.42 11.51 -10.83 56.83 5.24 -4.60 0.00 0.02 0.01P 3.05R 0.01 Halifax 32 35 -11 0.12 51.44 2.03 50.98 5.08 -15.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.07R 0.37 Hartlepool 31 34 -10 -9.17 14.19 -11.15 55.74 5.40 -8.27 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.88R 0.06 Barrow 30 31 -6 -9.76 11.51 -5.40 52.57 5.62 -6.52 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.51R 0.28 Solihull_Moors 32 30 -15 -5.41 25.82 -2.25 45.61 4.92 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.81R 3.96 Torquay 33 27 -24 -7.71 17.41 -8.53 42.14 4.78 -28.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.76R 14.48 Chester 32 27 -25 -7.22 18.73 -10.11 40.86 4.83 -33.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.64R 21.39 Guiseley 31 22 -30 -6.00 21.92 -7.52 36.93 5.05 -38.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.73R 59.43