Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 February 2018, Chelsea 3 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         27   72  +59      10.16    95.44    13.95    95.85     3.91    75.08    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   56  +32       3.93    71.10     9.35    76.77     4.21    40.35     0.04    35.54    62.03    84.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   54  +30       2.61    63.37     6.45    76.53     3.99    43.18     0.01    34.49    62.86    84.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   53  +26      -0.69    45.27    -0.11    73.12     4.17    34.14     0.00    10.37    27.03    51.21    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   52  +28      -2.18    36.97     0.59    75.02     4.04    41.00     0.01    19.44    46.99    75.17    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   45  +15      -3.07    33.43    -2.44    66.06     4.23    24.72     0.00     0.16     1.08     4.72    98.22     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          27   36   -3       4.50    74.48     5.00    50.25     4.30    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        27   35   -1      -0.63    46.89     2.78    51.71     4.42     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          27   34  -14      -1.45    42.44    -9.97    49.86     4.47   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      27   31  -10      -0.28    49.31     1.46    44.01     4.23   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.12  
Watford          27   30  -10       0.59    54.28     3.90    42.45     4.10   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.23R    0.39  
West_Ham         27   30  -12      -3.01    34.46    -3.79    41.34     4.09   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.02R    0.69  
Newcastle        27   28  -11      -3.66    31.49    -1.95    39.93     4.15   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.25R    1.77  
Brighton         27   28  -14      -1.24    44.02    -2.04    38.63     3.94   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.97R    2.96  
Crystal_Palace   27   27  -17      -2.21    38.14    -3.16    39.09     4.18   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.05R    3.69  
Swansea          27   27  -17      -1.13    44.34    -2.47    39.03     4.13   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.81R    3.83  
Huddersfield     27   27  -24       5.98    82.33     3.71    35.38     3.72   -37.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.45R   17.38  
Southampton      27   26  -12      -8.58    11.38    -7.15    38.75     4.25   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90R    3.34  
Stoke            27   25  -26      -2.53    36.59    -8.93    34.28     3.87   -36.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.42R   25.23  
West_Brom        27   20  -19      -8.47    10.56    -5.20    32.49     4.14   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.98R   40.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Cardiff 2 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   31   71  +33      17.31    98.35    16.59    96.01     5.29    39.62    91.67    98.10   100.00    98.62P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   59  +21       9.24    87.28    10.34    81.87     5.33    24.40     2.71    30.41    92.89    46.18P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           32   58  +22       4.25    69.41     7.69    81.56     5.05    28.39     2.34    29.88    93.59    48.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         31   58  +20       8.40    84.31     9.57    81.82     5.28    24.89     2.90    30.20    92.77    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   52  +16       0.84    53.68     2.76    76.08     5.43    21.37     0.29     6.63    66.28    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    31   52   +9       8.11    83.51     6.93    73.37     5.40    10.19     0.04     1.94    42.14     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         31   49   +8       4.10    69.14     4.20    70.71     5.35     9.86     0.01     0.65    25.16     5.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   49   +7       5.15    73.15     4.88    70.80     5.43     8.68     0.01     0.65    25.81     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   48  +11      -2.01    40.44     0.16    72.37     5.31    16.49     0.03     1.38    38.42    12.43P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   44   +3      -1.24    44.37    -1.08    66.69     5.48     6.07     0.00     0.08     8.94     2.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    31   44   +3      -0.85    46.12    -0.61    64.86     5.27     3.61     0.00     0.03     4.60     0.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         31   44   +2       1.56    57.72     2.00    63.94     5.32     1.23     0.00     0.01     3.18     0.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         31   44   -3      -1.08    44.87    -6.84    65.98     5.37    -0.88     0.00     0.03     5.83     1.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        31   39   +2       0.47    53.03     7.41    58.60     5.34     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.43R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       32   37   -4      -8.28    16.07    -6.58    56.47     5.09    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.81R    0.02  
QPR             31   36  -11      -1.08    45.56    -3.26    54.06     5.18   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.56R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest   31   35  -15      -0.81    47.14    -4.59    53.19     5.22   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.17R    0.31  
Reading         31   32   -7      -8.31    15.64    -3.86    50.69     5.22    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.09R    0.71  
Bolton          31   30  -21      -2.00    41.23    -5.72    46.37     5.10   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.14R    6.44  
Birmingham      31   30  -21      -2.15    40.14    -7.02    46.35     5.02   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.83R    5.99  
Hull            31   29   -5     -13.80     5.07    -5.37    49.80     5.44    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.02R    1.76  
Barnsley        31   28  -15      -7.45    17.71    -4.53    45.60     5.16   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.51R    7.62  
Sunderland      31   26  -21     -10.91     9.33   -12.33    43.34     5.26   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.99R   16.74  
Burton_Albion   31   25  -34      -2.07    40.21   -10.76    38.64     4.79   -44.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.45R   60.28  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2018, Bristol_Rovers 3 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       31   64  +18      19.81    99.17    15.26    86.62     5.38    21.04     8.77    37.05    99.71    50.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            30   63  +38       3.15    64.80    10.59    94.42     5.34    51.85    70.68    91.45   100.00    95.19P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        32   63  +26       3.17    64.18     1.91    89.13     5.12    36.50    20.04    66.47    99.97    79.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham        32   56  +17       5.53    73.43     7.25    77.84     5.29    20.98     0.42     3.51    91.07    24.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       33   55  +12       1.82    58.05     0.29    76.36     4.91    17.28     0.09     1.39    86.98    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   50   -2       1.45    56.80    -6.78    68.25     4.92    -1.39     0.00     0.02    25.13     5.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         31   48   +3       2.71    62.72    -1.06    68.99     5.43     3.67     0.00     0.07    33.58     7.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   47   -1       4.66    70.67     3.23    63.44     4.98    -3.01     0.00     0.00     6.98     1.13P    0.27R    0.00  
Portsmouth       32   46   +1       3.00    64.22     2.19    64.54     5.18     0.23     0.00     0.00    10.50     1.88P    0.15R    0.00  
Peterborough     31   45   +8      -0.81    46.36     3.28    67.61     5.43    10.95     0.00     0.04    27.84     6.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -2       2.90    63.75     1.51    62.66     5.15    -4.71     0.00     0.00     5.35     0.82P    0.56R    0.00  
Gillingham       32   44   +1       1.97    59.66     3.90    62.91     5.19     0.59     0.00     0.00     6.19     1.08P    0.49R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       32   41   -1      -4.08    32.09    -2.45    60.26     5.17    -1.11     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.48P    2.06R    0.02  
Southend         32   41  -11      -0.44    48.58    -7.02    59.47     5.17   -12.29     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.24P    3.33R    0.05  
Walsall          31   40   -3      -1.95    41.31    -1.98    59.61     5.30    -4.45     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.39P    3.06R    0.06  
Doncaster        33   39   -3      -3.25    35.87     1.65    55.51     4.92    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   10.91R    0.25  
Blackpool        32   38   -4      -1.34    44.52     2.63    55.63     5.14    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   11.64R    0.28  
Fleetwood_Town   31   36   -7      -6.53    22.23    -6.84    56.64     5.39    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.13P    9.71R    0.30  
Oldham           33   36  -12      -1.09    45.49     0.09    51.28     4.78   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.65R    2.57  
Northampton      33   36  -22       1.35    57.53    -5.11    49.82     4.76   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   53.48R    5.09  
AFC_Wimbledon    32   34  -10      -3.15    35.81    -0.57    49.93     4.92   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.19R    4.42  
MK_Dons          31   30  -14      -9.11    13.38    -9.02    48.02     5.24   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   63.10R   10.25  
Bury             32   26  -21      -7.48    17.56    -5.24    40.95     4.89   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   64.59  
Rochdale         28   25  -11     -11.28     7.37    -7.71    47.96     5.93   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.07R   12.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2018, Barnet 1 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                32   64  +37       2.96    63.51    10.56    90.82     4.90    49.11    80.23    97.88    99.99    98.64P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   58  +18       7.55    81.43     5.96    82.37     5.26    23.80     9.43    62.45    95.55    71.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   56  +16       6.51    78.20     5.39    80.81     5.42    22.32     5.49    51.01    92.24    61.83P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         31   54  +18       8.24    83.96    13.37    75.28     5.44    18.99     0.94    16.19    67.33    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              32   54   +5       3.29    64.69    -5.31    76.69     5.22    10.25     0.95    19.23    73.95    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            31   53  +12       5.89    76.24     5.09    75.62     5.31    14.94     0.94    15.77    68.33    28.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   52   +6       6.45    78.47    -0.55    77.12     5.59    10.75     1.55    22.41    75.12    35.30P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         31   50  +13       6.42    77.96    11.39    70.90     5.33    13.62     0.09     3.91    35.35    10.65P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             31   50  +10      -0.51    47.46    -1.54    74.10     5.26    15.14     0.35     9.89    58.56    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         32   48   +1       7.01    80.10     5.17    65.25     4.99    -1.85     0.00     0.16     6.03     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           32   47   +5      -1.43    43.27    -1.63    67.45     5.17     6.88     0.01     0.74    14.88     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       31   46   +3       6.73    79.94     7.96    65.75     5.29     1.90     0.01     0.27     8.18     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             31   42   +1      -1.46    43.22    -0.21    63.15     5.33     1.62     0.00     0.07     3.75     0.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           32   39   -1      -1.94    41.62     3.80    56.62     5.01    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.47R    0.08  
Stevenage            32   39   -4      -3.91    32.41    -2.20    58.35     5.08    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P    0.20R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        31   39  -13      -0.59    47.88    -9.15    57.85     5.25   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.29R    0.04  
Grimsby              33   36  -18      -1.72    42.48    -6.90    50.65     4.69   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    2.10  
Yeovil               31   35   -7      -3.45    34.46    -0.58    51.54     5.07   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.97R    1.43  
Port_Vale            32   34  -11      -9.33    13.40   -10.16    53.43     5.14   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.67R    0.68  
Morecambe            31   31  -12      -4.13    30.84    -0.80    48.59     5.11   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.04R    6.03  
Crewe                31   30  -18      -6.34    22.24    -7.90    46.97     5.12   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.38R   11.41  
Forest_Green         31   29  -21      -2.12    40.71    -2.40    44.65     5.12   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.48R   24.44  
Chesterfield         31   27  -24      -9.25    12.82   -13.66    44.80     5.34   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.94R   23.44  
Barnet               31   25  -16     -10.73     8.76    -5.69    43.24     5.18   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.79R   30.32  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2018, Bromley 2 2 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       32   59   +7      10.57    89.47     0.13    78.86     5.11     8.14    16.01    72.90    27.47P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   58  +19       4.21    68.99     4.45    80.95     5.14    24.53    33.44    85.55    47.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   57  +13       8.45    84.22     7.71    75.80     4.90    14.62     5.87    51.83    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           33   55  +21      -5.67    24.59    -1.70    78.44     4.83    29.21    17.15    76.52    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      31   55  +10      11.48    91.58     8.36    78.39     5.40    14.22    15.96    69.89    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   53  +15       5.36    73.67     9.26    74.42     5.08    18.42     4.46    43.01    13.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          33   52  +16       3.10    63.21    10.54    71.91     5.11    19.07     1.77    26.96     7.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            32   51  +16       2.75    62.54     9.44    71.28     5.20    17.57     1.51    23.18     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   51  +16      -2.10    40.04     2.23    73.84     5.22    21.31     3.66    40.20    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   46   +3       3.31    65.21     6.53    62.66     5.00     1.45     0.00     0.72     0.13P    0.09R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          32   45   +6      -6.79    21.60    -5.85    67.82     5.18    11.59     0.16     7.93     2.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          33   44   -1      -1.29    44.64    -0.80    61.13     4.90    -2.17     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.23R    0.00  
Woking             32   42   -7       1.35    56.88    -1.66    59.36     5.13    -9.98     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.97R    0.00  
Maidenhead         32   41   -2       1.37    56.90     4.57    57.01     5.14    -6.90     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.21R    0.00  
Gateshead          31   40   +6      -7.30    19.09    -1.14    61.52     5.31     7.56     0.01     0.72     0.17P    0.36R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   32   39  -10       2.52    62.67     1.67    56.04     5.08   -13.31     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.69R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient      32   36   -7     -10.42    11.51   -10.83    56.83     5.24    -4.60     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.05R    0.01  
Halifax            32   35  -11       0.12    51.44     2.03    50.98     5.08   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    0.37  
Hartlepool         31   34  -10      -9.17    14.19   -11.15    55.74     5.40    -8.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.88R    0.06  
Barrow             30   31   -6      -9.76    11.51    -5.40    52.57     5.62    -6.52     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.51R    0.28  
Solihull_Moors     32   30  -15      -5.41    25.82    -2.25    45.61     4.92   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.81R    3.96  
Torquay            33   27  -24      -7.71    17.41    -8.53    42.14     4.78   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.76R   14.48  
Chester            32   27  -25      -7.22    18.73   -10.11    40.86     4.83   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.64R   21.39  
Guiseley           31   22  -30      -6.00    21.92    -7.52    36.93     5.05   -38.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   59.43