Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 7 February 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 February 2018, Watford 4 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 26 69 +55 9.95 95.19 13.22 95.28 4.08 72.83 99.56 99.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 56 +33 5.35 77.95 10.31 78.86 4.46 42.39 0.41 56.95 79.78 92.62 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 51 +28 1.84 59.65 5.80 75.16 4.28 41.38 0.02 21.89 52.28 78.54 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 50 +23 -0.91 44.11 -0.73 72.37 4.35 32.44 0.01 7.77 24.61 48.97 99.91 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 49 +27 -3.31 30.84 0.32 73.91 4.27 40.87 0.01 12.92 40.26 69.68 99.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 45 +16 -2.44 36.45 -2.64 67.02 4.42 25.11 0.00 0.49 3.07 10.19 97.88 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 36 -2 5.39 78.95 5.42 51.60 4.55 -2.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 26 35 +3 -0.81 46.00 3.74 52.19 4.55 3.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 31 -7 0.45 53.30 2.97 46.00 4.52 -9.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.62R 0.04 Everton 26 31 -16 -2.14 38.57 -10.66 48.73 4.72 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.19R 0.01 Watford 26 30 -8 1.36 58.35 4.88 43.57 4.36 -14.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.09R 0.13 West_Ham 26 27 -14 -3.85 30.01 -4.52 39.75 4.35 -21.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.55R 1.65 Brighton 26 27 -14 -0.85 46.18 -2.02 38.81 4.19 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.00R 2.75 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -15 -1.64 41.44 -2.64 40.13 4.40 -20.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.38R 1.74 Southampton 26 26 -10 -8.06 12.55 -6.58 40.00 4.51 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.93R 1.49 Newcastle 26 25 -12 -5.29 23.21 -2.77 37.48 4.32 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.10R 5.30 Swansea 26 24 -18 -2.46 36.83 -2.94 37.36 4.32 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.53R 6.67 Stoke 26 24 -26 -1.98 39.66 -8.71 34.81 4.16 -36.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.17R 17.31 Huddersfield 26 24 -27 5.19 80.47 2.08 32.98 3.90 -41.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.71R 34.83 West_Brom 26 20 -16 -8.46 10.63 -4.54 33.12 4.28 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.73R 28.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2018, Aston_Villa 3 2 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 30 68 +32 16.25 97.92 16.44 95.08 5.43 39.65 85.48 96.42 99.99 97.38P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 57 +24 5.44 74.69 8.86 84.28 5.44 31.77 8.06 48.42 96.99 63.67P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 56 +19 8.43 85.07 9.48 80.69 5.53 23.02 2.47 19.93 88.56 37.19P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 54 +18 8.29 84.88 9.24 81.15 5.70 23.77 3.16 23.19 89.45 39.40P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 30 51 +16 1.55 57.10 3.21 76.83 5.65 21.92 0.64 7.51 70.07 24.30P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 30 51 +9 8.85 85.94 7.47 74.28 5.59 11.03 0.12 2.52 48.77 11.13P 0.00 0.00 Preston 30 48 +8 4.25 70.23 3.94 70.89 5.55 9.60 0.02 0.71 26.80 6.32P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 30 46 +6 3.92 68.14 4.56 69.16 5.69 7.70 0.01 0.31 18.70 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 45 +10 -2.96 35.98 0.04 71.03 5.49 15.89 0.03 0.70 29.45 9.40P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 44 +4 0.16 51.14 -0.11 66.18 5.45 4.51 0.00 0.06 7.56 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 30 43 +3 -0.56 47.31 -0.58 67.26 5.69 6.28 0.00 0.12 11.54 2.77P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 30 43 +2 2.25 61.28 2.50 65.16 5.54 2.44 0.00 0.04 5.34 1.04P 0.00R 0.00 Norwich 30 43 -3 -1.04 45.27 -7.33 65.89 5.53 -1.52 0.00 0.06 6.09 1.43P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 30 38 +2 0.64 53.87 7.19 58.84 5.60 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.10P 0.54R 0.01 QPR 30 36 -10 -0.51 48.13 -3.51 54.86 5.39 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 3.11R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 30 35 -13 0.03 50.79 -3.36 54.80 5.50 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 3.40R 0.16 Sheff_Wed 30 33 -6 -9.12 12.58 -7.91 54.89 5.51 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.72R 0.10 Reading 30 32 -6 -7.50 17.89 -3.70 51.63 5.42 -9.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.46R 0.51 Birmingham 30 30 -19 -1.64 42.22 -6.16 47.20 5.22 -25.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.34R 4.53 Bolton 29 29 -19 -1.52 43.25 -5.59 47.21 5.51 -26.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.60R 5.43 Barnsley 30 27 -15 -6.99 18.99 -4.38 45.79 5.36 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.35R 7.38 Hull 30 26 -7 -14.70 3.60 -6.18 47.94 5.63 -7.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.36R 3.81 Sunderland 30 25 -21 -10.70 9.13 -12.76 43.21 5.44 -26.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.27R 17.10 Burton_Albion 30 24 -34 -2.26 39.18 -11.37 38.37 4.97 -45.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.84R 60.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2018, Bury 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 28 63 +42 5.25 75.73 13.49 99.72 5.61 59.64 88.37 97.90 100.00 98.90P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 29 61 +18 19.57 99.34 15.28 86.80 5.77 21.65 3.65 35.13 99.49 49.01P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 59 +25 2.68 62.00 2.14 89.14 5.49 37.45 7.81 62.13 99.89 77.14P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 31 54 +13 3.31 65.12 0.84 78.54 5.32 18.89 0.14 3.50 91.32 29.07P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 30 50 +14 3.71 66.88 6.47 73.98 5.69 17.03 0.02 0.89 71.20 16.70P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 48 -2 2.41 61.58 -6.53 69.48 5.30 -0.63 0.00 0.08 34.17 7.45P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 29 46 +3 3.50 67.12 -0.94 69.84 5.86 3.86 0.01 0.23 39.12 8.31P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 29 43 +8 -0.23 49.08 3.08 68.48 5.87 11.15 0.00 0.14 33.49 7.45P 0.08R 0.00 Portsmouth 30 43 +1 2.63 62.87 2.08 63.73 5.59 -0.55 0.00 0.01 9.10 1.69P 0.58R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 30 41 +2 -2.36 38.92 -1.08 63.48 5.55 2.58 0.00 0.00 8.87 1.86P 0.69R 0.01 Plymouth 31 41 -4 3.12 65.28 2.55 59.26 5.31 -7.21 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.32P 3.50R 0.03 Gillingham 30 40 +0 1.16 56.30 3.58 61.89 5.59 -0.11 0.00 0.00 5.32 0.97P 1.49R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 30 39 -4 0.25 51.71 0.43 58.83 5.57 -7.69 0.00 0.00 1.76 0.25P 5.57R 0.17 Doncaster 31 38 -1 -2.18 40.18 2.49 57.22 5.34 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.16P 7.48R 0.17 Southend 30 37 -13 -1.28 43.97 -8.32 57.48 5.51 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.14P 9.13R 0.33 Walsall 29 36 -5 -2.38 38.81 -2.93 57.99 5.66 -6.88 0.00 0.00 1.28 0.23P 7.50R 0.23 Fleetwood_Town 30 36 -6 -5.61 24.84 -6.53 58.30 5.54 -5.49 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.29P 6.28R 0.12 Blackpool 30 34 -6 -2.07 40.87 1.30 53.06 5.41 -10.31 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 26.47R 1.51 AFC_Wimbledon 30 34 -6 -1.90 41.11 1.01 53.38 5.34 -9.48 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 24.13R 1.49 Northampton 31 33 -23 1.12 56.80 -6.08 49.14 5.15 -29.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 59.65R 8.50 Oldham 31 32 -13 -2.40 39.02 -1.13 48.84 5.08 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.62R 8.38 MK_Dons 29 30 -12 -6.96 18.83 -7.85 51.11 5.64 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 41.35R 4.60 Rochdale 27 25 -10 -10.30 8.65 -7.35 49.20 6.09 -13.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 52.79R 9.40 Bury 30 24 -21 -7.32 17.35 -5.98 40.97 5.23 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.66R 65.02League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2018, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 31 63 +37 3.57 66.45 10.76 91.70 5.18 49.98 84.05 97.89 99.97 98.62P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 55 +16 6.90 79.83 5.37 80.84 5.63 21.83 5.35 49.52 90.45 59.98P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 30 54 +19 9.11 86.68 13.62 77.03 5.68 20.55 1.80 24.87 75.23 35.46P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 53 +13 6.73 79.37 5.32 76.75 5.52 15.59 1.46 21.59 71.94 33.55P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 29 52 +15 5.26 73.90 4.58 78.53 5.72 19.92 3.13 33.90 81.45 46.13P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 29 51 +6 7.00 81.03 -0.30 77.70 5.80 11.09 1.89 26.04 75.25 37.81P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 30 51 +5 2.98 63.48 -5.40 76.59 5.67 10.47 1.07 20.38 69.30 33.33P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 50 +12 0.34 51.47 -0.30 76.24 5.54 18.22 1.14 19.69 70.76 36.45P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 30 49 +13 6.74 79.20 11.43 71.11 5.57 13.37 0.09 4.58 34.56 10.64P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 31 46 +5 -1.15 44.69 -1.79 67.66 5.41 6.62 0.01 1.00 15.22 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 31 46 +3 6.71 79.58 8.03 65.65 5.30 1.77 0.00 0.29 7.36 1.43P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 31 45 -2 6.61 79.19 3.93 63.40 5.15 -5.17 0.00 0.08 2.83 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 30 41 +1 -0.95 45.83 0.09 63.72 5.63 1.89 0.00 0.18 4.72 1.18P 0.02R 0.00 Stevenage 31 38 -4 -3.83 32.67 -2.59 58.24 5.32 -4.56 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.08P 0.26R 0.05 Cambridge_Utd 30 38 -13 -0.36 48.84 -9.24 58.46 5.46 -15.14 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.09P 0.28R 0.04 Cheltenham 31 36 -5 -2.06 40.62 1.89 54.43 5.20 -8.47 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.63R 0.31 Grimsby 32 36 -15 -1.49 43.62 -5.63 51.93 4.92 -19.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 4.76R 1.13 Yeovil 30 34 -7 -3.26 35.02 -0.73 51.69 5.34 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.50R 1.50 Port_Vale 31 34 -7 -9.40 13.22 -8.42 55.37 5.40 -5.82 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.04P 1.24R 0.30 Morecambe 31 31 -12 -4.06 31.47 -0.72 48.72 5.15 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.71R 5.03 Crewe 30 29 -18 -5.94 23.01 -7.82 47.76 5.38 -23.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.27R 8.05 Forest_Green 31 29 -21 -1.90 41.61 -1.96 44.68 5.16 -29.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.56R 20.78 Chesterfield 31 27 -24 -9.31 12.70 -13.79 44.86 5.38 -28.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.98R 20.16 Barnet 30 22 -17 -12.18 5.50 -6.32 41.26 5.41 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.78R 42.66National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 32 56 +13 9.13 86.41 8.14 76.71 5.07 15.35 10.39 61.32 20.86P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 56 +6 9.68 87.76 0.17 77.78 5.31 7.99 14.47 66.84 25.08P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 55 +17 3.36 65.48 3.49 78.87 5.31 21.88 22.67 75.83 36.88P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 54 +21 -5.08 26.77 -1.41 78.95 5.05 29.40 23.82 79.77 44.74P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +9 10.03 88.95 7.67 76.20 5.61 12.37 10.46 56.37 18.87P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 51 +17 -1.22 43.89 2.39 75.84 5.42 23.27 10.06 57.74 23.80P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 31 50 +16 3.22 64.91 9.67 72.31 5.39 18.61 3.08 31.94 9.26P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 50 +13 4.60 71.20 8.44 72.42 5.28 15.93 2.88 30.76 9.06P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 32 49 +15 1.77 57.97 10.03 69.89 5.30 17.48 1.02 18.08 4.78P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 45 +8 -6.16 23.41 -5.01 69.62 5.37 14.24 1.06 16.73 5.55P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 32 44 +1 -0.79 46.59 -0.14 62.81 5.18 0.32 0.03 1.22 0.25P 0.17R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 32 43 +2 2.25 60.87 6.42 61.18 5.23 0.62 0.00 0.57 0.15P 0.41R 0.00 Maidenhead 31 41 -1 2.25 60.75 4.86 59.00 5.36 -4.98 0.00 0.25 0.03P 1.28R 0.00 Gateshead 30 40 +7 -6.27 22.20 -0.67 63.30 5.53 9.14 0.04 2.28 0.63P 0.22R 0.00 Woking 31 39 -8 0.26 51.94 -1.68 58.07 5.37 -10.56 0.00 0.16 0.03P 2.59R 0.00 Maidstone_United 31 38 -10 2.70 63.78 1.38 55.89 5.26 -14.17 0.00 0.04 0.01P 6.30R 0.05 Leyton_Orient 31 35 -7 -10.19 11.83 -11.01 56.79 5.47 -5.21 0.00 0.07 0.02P 4.00R 0.02 Hartlepool 31 34 -10 -9.22 14.13 -11.12 55.85 5.41 -8.12 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.17R 0.04 Halifax 31 34 -11 0.44 53.16 2.11 50.76 5.27 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.78R 0.57 Barrow 30 31 -6 -9.80 11.30 -5.45 52.61 5.57 -6.48 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.06R 0.24 Solihull_Moors 31 30 -14 -4.61 29.02 -1.92 46.82 5.12 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.03R 2.91 Chester 31 27 -24 -6.44 21.12 -9.86 41.96 5.03 -32.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.07R 16.61 Torquay 32 24 -25 -9.14 12.45 -9.14 40.08 4.97 -29.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.19R 27.31 Guiseley 30 22 -29 -5.22 24.71 -7.37 37.70 5.19 -38.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.74R 52.25