Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 30 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Huddersfield 0 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 24 65 +52 10.64 97.23 13.36 95.76 4.47 72.75 98.80 99.90 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +33 5.55 79.86 11.20 79.92 4.73 44.81 0.81 48.84 76.60 91.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 50 +29 1.19 56.07 4.06 77.99 4.67 43.17 0.35 30.49 62.77 85.76 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 50 +28 2.25 62.07 5.92 75.54 4.50 41.37 0.04 14.93 40.13 72.98 99.94 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 45 +25 -3.94 26.75 -0.55 72.59 4.74 38.69 0.01 5.74 19.72 45.13 99.57 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 42 +12 -2.37 36.53 -3.73 65.66 4.67 21.38 0.00 0.09 0.80 4.17 92.34 0.00 0.00 Leicester 24 34 +4 0.86 55.20 4.57 54.75 5.00 5.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.12 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 24 34 -2 5.50 80.27 4.48 51.36 4.87 -4.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.01R 0.00 Everton 24 28 -13 -3.33 31.57 -9.40 48.28 5.13 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.51R 0.04 West_Ham 25 27 -12 -3.13 33.39 -3.70 41.24 4.58 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.72R 0.97 Watford 24 26 -11 0.26 52.72 2.38 41.13 4.73 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.14R 1.56 Crystal_Palace 25 26 -15 -1.14 44.12 -2.45 40.58 4.66 -20.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.21R 2.05 Bournemouth 24 25 -11 -1.85 39.99 0.40 41.53 4.84 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 8.21R 1.46 Huddersfield 25 24 -25 5.54 82.10 2.04 33.35 3.99 -41.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.91R 34.04 Newcastle 24 23 -12 -4.77 24.61 -3.07 38.17 4.75 -18.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.60R 5.67 Brighton 24 23 -16 -1.59 41.46 -3.23 36.73 4.61 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.14R 10.48 Swansea 25 23 -18 -2.47 36.34 -3.40 36.94 4.49 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.69R 9.62 Stoke 24 23 -25 -0.79 45.93 -8.43 36.44 4.66 -35.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.27R 12.61 Southampton 24 22 -11 -8.86 9.01 -7.00 39.00 4.91 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.68R 4.24 West_Brom 24 20 -12 -7.18 13.78 -3.47 35.07 4.64 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.92R 17.26Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 29 65 +29 16.01 97.87 15.46 93.38 5.66 36.55 82.97 94.87 99.93 96.15P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 54 +21 5.02 73.64 7.65 82.64 5.68 28.86 8.68 43.09 93.00 58.00P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 53 +18 7.65 83.34 9.68 79.91 5.70 23.25 3.64 22.89 84.36 38.53P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 51 +15 7.76 83.98 7.82 78.88 5.91 19.83 2.75 18.06 77.78 32.10P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 29 51 +10 9.85 88.89 7.93 76.07 5.81 12.66 0.64 7.20 60.23 17.44P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 29 48 +14 0.81 53.63 2.59 75.71 5.86 20.76 0.95 8.29 61.49 22.43P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 46 +9 4.06 69.07 5.69 70.50 5.84 10.66 0.09 1.19 25.64 6.54P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 45 +11 -2.09 39.70 0.36 72.75 5.70 17.41 0.21 2.70 40.61 14.46P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 45 +7 3.22 66.06 3.73 69.30 5.74 8.64 0.04 0.66 18.57 4.53P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 29 44 +7 0.49 52.41 1.37 68.14 5.66 8.40 0.01 0.42 14.40 3.68P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 29 43 +6 -0.35 48.48 0.62 68.60 5.87 9.27 0.03 0.58 17.24 4.61P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 29 40 +0 1.21 56.45 1.36 63.11 5.73 -0.16 0.00 0.02 2.85 0.60P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 29 40 -4 -2.12 39.95 -7.51 63.88 5.75 -3.03 0.00 0.03 3.41 0.82P 0.05R 0.00 Millwall 29 35 +0 -0.34 49.04 6.15 56.39 5.73 -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 1.86R 0.09 Nott'm_Forest 29 35 -11 0.42 53.09 -2.97 55.91 5.71 -14.93 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 2.60R 0.16 Sheff_Wed 29 33 -4 -8.08 14.93 -6.41 57.24 5.69 -2.41 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 1.26R 0.05 QPR 29 33 -11 -1.68 42.23 -3.77 53.28 5.61 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 6.11R 0.37 Reading 29 32 -4 -6.66 20.40 -2.49 53.63 5.63 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 4.45R 0.29 Barnsley 29 27 -14 -6.16 21.57 -4.02 47.10 5.58 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.18R 5.56 Birmingham 29 27 -21 -3.08 34.90 -7.92 44.80 5.36 -28.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.73R 11.67 Hull 29 26 -6 -13.92 4.15 -6.09 49.26 5.84 -6.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.19R 2.70 Bolton 28 26 -20 -2.78 36.52 -5.87 45.07 5.66 -28.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.36R 11.80 Sunderland 29 25 -19 -9.96 10.52 -11.74 44.91 5.66 -24.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.92R 11.42 Burton_Albion 29 24 -33 -1.57 43.09 -11.61 38.96 5.13 -45.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.24R 55.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 27 60 +40 4.58 72.93 12.81 98.83 5.80 58.83 80.24 97.01 100.00 98.37P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 29 59 +27 3.66 67.23 3.41 91.49 5.67 40.95 17.05 78.79 99.94 87.17P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 58 +17 18.22 99.06 14.70 85.03 6.02 20.49 2.61 21.03 98.13 37.35P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 51 +12 2.08 59.93 0.49 76.79 5.55 17.74 0.07 1.73 81.91 25.66P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 30 48 -1 3.52 66.42 -5.89 71.34 5.55 1.06 0.00 0.21 43.47 10.08P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 29 47 +12 2.89 63.63 5.65 72.65 5.89 15.41 0.02 0.45 57.62 14.05P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 28 46 +4 4.68 72.47 -0.24 71.57 6.05 5.39 0.01 0.45 47.00 10.95P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 28 43 +9 1.06 55.19 3.89 70.58 6.12 13.27 0.00 0.31 43.49 10.66P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 29 42 +1 3.04 65.00 2.06 64.36 5.81 -0.13 0.00 0.01 9.91 1.95P 0.49R 0.00 Gillingham 29 40 +2 1.62 58.33 4.12 62.56 5.72 0.78 0.00 0.01 5.86 1.19P 1.15R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 29 39 -3 1.14 56.25 0.68 60.44 5.75 -6.27 0.00 0.00 2.86 0.48P 2.98R 0.04 Oxford_Utd 29 38 +1 -3.82 32.37 -1.87 61.51 5.77 1.06 0.00 0.00 4.58 1.09P 1.88R 0.01 Plymouth 30 38 -6 1.84 59.41 1.19 56.66 5.50 -10.69 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.09P 9.81R 0.19 Doncaster 30 37 -1 -1.86 41.48 2.40 57.24 5.55 -3.35 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.14P 7.57R 0.16 Fleetwood_Town 29 36 -5 -4.45 29.10 -5.85 59.60 5.80 -4.58 0.00 0.00 2.08 0.47P 4.16R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 28 34 -3 -0.41 48.65 2.22 56.14 5.78 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.11P 11.94R 0.50 Southend 29 34 -14 -2.65 37.66 -8.88 55.13 5.74 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 18.09R 0.76 Walsall 28 33 -6 -3.61 32.55 -3.28 56.40 5.85 -7.85 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.11P 12.04R 0.38 Blackpool 29 33 -6 -1.65 42.72 1.36 53.38 5.70 -10.41 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 24.64R 1.16 Northampton 30 33 -22 2.12 61.84 -5.48 50.59 5.42 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 46.77R 3.94 MK_Dons 28 30 -11 -6.16 21.75 -7.67 52.51 5.90 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 31.20R 2.26 Oldham 30 29 -14 -3.81 32.00 -1.77 46.88 5.30 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.83R 11.27 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.52 5.86 -7.70 47.52 6.32 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 61.60R 11.33 Bury 28 20 -22 -8.20 12.98 -6.33 39.32 5.63 -30.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.81R 67.92League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Carlisle 1 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 29 60 +37 3.86 68.48 11.64 92.93 5.57 52.18 89.00 98.68 99.96 99.14P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 51 +16 8.83 86.63 12.64 75.44 5.86 17.65 1.06 22.18 69.66 31.88P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 50 +11 6.10 77.68 4.72 75.48 5.71 14.11 0.90 20.77 68.76 32.26P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 49 +14 4.21 70.17 4.31 77.13 5.99 19.03 1.92 32.40 78.17 44.42P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 49 +14 4.25 69.95 4.58 77.43 5.96 19.71 2.22 34.34 79.19 45.96P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 27 48 +5 7.16 82.08 -0.70 77.54 6.20 10.19 2.30 32.16 76.90 43.03P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 28 47 +11 0.97 54.49 -0.03 76.92 5.90 18.49 1.64 30.25 77.52 45.59P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 28 47 +4 2.11 60.08 -5.82 75.05 6.10 9.02 0.77 19.41 63.73 31.46P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 29 46 +7 7.59 82.93 9.18 68.24 5.74 5.55 0.05 2.46 22.02 6.08P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 45 +11 6.45 79.17 10.78 69.88 6.00 11.53 0.11 5.31 33.19 11.34P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 30 43 +3 -1.97 40.56 -2.62 66.35 5.64 5.09 0.01 1.16 14.27 4.52P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 42 -3 5.23 74.44 3.19 61.39 5.36 -6.73 0.00 0.07 2.14 0.44P 0.04R 0.00 Carlisle 29 41 +2 0.01 50.36 0.25 64.70 5.81 2.31 0.01 0.59 9.16 2.55P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 29 38 -2 -1.80 41.72 -1.80 60.66 5.77 -3.03 0.00 0.10 2.41 0.63P 0.13R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 28 38 -9 0.93 55.07 -7.33 60.94 5.85 -11.33 0.00 0.10 2.44 0.60P 0.12R 0.02 Cheltenham 30 35 -5 -1.88 41.53 1.58 54.63 5.43 -8.68 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 1.71R 0.36 Grimsby 30 35 -12 -0.76 47.14 -4.21 54.17 5.37 -15.88 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 2.50R 0.58 Port_Vale 30 33 -7 -9.04 13.59 -8.38 56.37 5.64 -4.88 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.07P 0.97R 0.20 Morecambe 30 30 -12 -3.90 31.87 -0.89 48.43 5.36 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.78R 5.96 Crewe 29 29 -15 -5.61 24.32 -6.66 48.97 5.58 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.50R 5.77 Yeovil 28 28 -12 -4.68 27.73 -2.94 47.88 5.69 -19.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.50R 8.21 Chesterfield 30 27 -23 -8.05 16.04 -13.16 46.49 5.62 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.43R 13.54 Forest_Green 29 26 -20 -3.09 35.50 -2.53 43.24 5.50 -30.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.02R 30.84 Barnet 29 22 -15 -11.73 5.91 -5.81 42.21 5.57 -19.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.30R 34.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Bromley 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 31 56 +6 9.58 87.55 0.14 77.73 5.32 7.92 15.80 67.63 26.30P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 55 +17 3.36 65.53 3.54 78.89 5.34 21.91 24.61 76.89 38.70P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 52 +11 8.47 85.35 7.08 75.33 5.54 13.24 8.41 51.76 17.40P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +9 10.01 88.87 7.65 76.17 5.59 12.33 11.11 57.28 19.56P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 51 +18 -5.50 24.85 -2.64 77.73 5.27 26.98 19.29 72.86 39.31P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 51 +17 -1.04 44.74 2.66 75.85 5.42 23.28 10.94 59.15 24.98P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 31 50 +16 3.43 65.62 9.93 72.24 5.39 18.51 3.39 32.80 9.56P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 50 +13 4.36 70.12 8.15 72.51 5.28 16.04 3.16 32.71 9.81P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 31 48 +15 2.24 60.47 10.14 70.71 5.57 18.17 2.03 24.26 7.05P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 45 +8 -6.03 23.80 -4.79 69.60 5.33 14.23 1.07 17.46 5.62P 0.00R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 43 +5 1.98 59.47 7.00 62.44 5.43 3.46 0.04 1.56 0.34P 0.30R 0.00 Eastleigh 31 43 +1 -0.60 47.57 -0.45 62.85 5.38 -0.22 0.02 1.63 0.31P 0.25R 0.00 Maidenhead 31 41 -1 2.80 63.42 5.63 58.71 5.36 -5.38 0.00 0.23 0.05P 1.74R 0.00 Gateshead 29 39 +7 -5.81 23.61 -0.54 63.79 5.77 9.28 0.10 3.54 0.96P 0.23R 0.00 Woking 31 39 -8 0.38 52.55 -1.50 58.03 5.32 -10.62 0.00 0.13 0.02P 2.82R 0.01 Maidstone_United 31 38 -10 2.63 63.23 1.25 55.89 5.30 -14.18 0.00 0.04 0.01P 6.91R 0.02 Hartlepool 31 34 -10 -9.36 13.67 -11.35 55.91 5.39 -8.03 0.00 0.02 0.01P 6.48R 0.04 Halifax 30 34 -10 1.34 57.45 2.33 52.05 5.52 -15.49 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.65R 0.29 Leyton_Orient 30 32 -8 -11.39 8.73 -11.32 55.23 5.67 -6.11 0.00 0.03 0.00P 8.28R 0.09 Barrow 29 31 -4 -8.83 13.46 -4.09 54.37 5.83 -3.89 0.00 0.03 0.01P 10.45R 0.17 Solihull_Moors 31 30 -14 -4.82 28.21 -2.32 46.93 5.13 -19.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.40R 2.62 Chester 31 27 -24 -6.29 21.79 -9.68 41.99 5.01 -32.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.90R 15.59 Guiseley 29 22 -27 -4.73 26.64 -6.67 39.02 5.41 -36.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.75R 36.68 Torquay 31 21 -27 -10.11 9.35 -10.15 37.81 5.21 -32.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.84R 44.47