Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Huddersfield 0 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         24   65  +52      10.64    97.23    13.36    95.76     4.47    72.75    98.80    99.90    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   53  +33       5.55    79.86    11.20    79.92     4.73    44.81     0.81    48.84    76.60    91.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   50  +29       1.19    56.07     4.06    77.99     4.67    43.17     0.35    30.49    62.77    85.76    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   50  +28       2.25    62.07     5.92    75.54     4.50    41.37     0.04    14.93    40.13    72.98    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        24   45  +25      -3.94    26.75    -0.55    72.59     4.74    38.69     0.01     5.74    19.72    45.13    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   42  +12      -2.37    36.53    -3.73    65.66     4.67    21.38     0.00     0.09     0.80     4.17    92.34     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   34   +4       0.86    55.20     4.57    54.75     5.00     5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.12     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          24   34   -2       5.50    80.27     4.48    51.36     4.87    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          24   28  -13      -3.33    31.57    -9.40    48.28     5.13   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.51R    0.04  
West_Ham         25   27  -12      -3.13    33.39    -3.70    41.24     4.58   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.72R    0.97  
Watford          24   26  -11       0.26    52.72     2.38    41.13     4.73   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.14R    1.56  
Crystal_Palace   25   26  -15      -1.14    44.12    -2.45    40.58     4.66   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    2.05  
Bournemouth      24   25  -11      -1.85    39.99     0.40    41.53     4.84   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.21R    1.46  
Huddersfield     25   24  -25       5.54    82.10     2.04    33.35     3.99   -41.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.91R   34.04  
Newcastle        24   23  -12      -4.77    24.61    -3.07    38.17     4.75   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.60R    5.67  
Brighton         24   23  -16      -1.59    41.46    -3.23    36.73     4.61   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.14R   10.48  
Swansea          25   23  -18      -2.47    36.34    -3.40    36.94     4.49   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.69R    9.62  
Stoke            24   23  -25      -0.79    45.93    -8.43    36.44     4.66   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.27R   12.61  
Southampton      24   22  -11      -8.86     9.01    -7.00    39.00     4.91   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.68R    4.24  
West_Brom        24   20  -12      -7.18    13.78    -3.47    35.07     4.64   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.92R   17.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   29   65  +29      16.01    97.87    15.46    93.38     5.66    36.55    82.97    94.87    99.93    96.15P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           29   54  +21       5.02    73.64     7.65    82.64     5.68    28.86     8.68    43.09    93.00    58.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   53  +18       7.65    83.34     9.68    79.91     5.70    23.25     3.64    22.89    84.36    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   51  +15       7.76    83.98     7.82    78.88     5.91    19.83     2.75    18.06    77.78    32.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    29   51  +10       9.85    88.89     7.93    76.07     5.81    12.66     0.64     7.20    60.23    17.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   48  +14       0.81    53.63     2.59    75.71     5.86    20.76     0.95     8.29    61.49    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   46   +9       4.06    69.07     5.69    70.50     5.84    10.66     0.09     1.19    25.64     6.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   45  +11      -2.09    39.70     0.36    72.75     5.70    17.41     0.21     2.70    40.61    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   45   +7       3.22    66.06     3.73    69.30     5.74     8.64     0.04     0.66    18.57     4.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    29   44   +7       0.49    52.41     1.37    68.14     5.66     8.40     0.01     0.42    14.40     3.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       29   43   +6      -0.35    48.48     0.62    68.60     5.87     9.27     0.03     0.58    17.24     4.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         29   40   +0       1.21    56.45     1.36    63.11     5.73    -0.16     0.00     0.02     2.85     0.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich         29   40   -4      -2.12    39.95    -7.51    63.88     5.75    -3.03     0.00     0.03     3.41     0.82P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall        29   35   +0      -0.34    49.04     6.15    56.39     5.73    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.86R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest   29   35  -11       0.42    53.09    -2.97    55.91     5.71   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.60R    0.16  
Sheff_Wed       29   33   -4      -8.08    14.93    -6.41    57.24     5.69    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    1.26R    0.05  
QPR             29   33  -11      -1.68    42.23    -3.77    53.28     5.61   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.11R    0.37  
Reading         29   32   -4      -6.66    20.40    -2.49    53.63     5.63    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.45R    0.29  
Barnsley        29   27  -14      -6.16    21.57    -4.02    47.10     5.58   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.18R    5.56  
Birmingham      29   27  -21      -3.08    34.90    -7.92    44.80     5.36   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.73R   11.67  
Hull            29   26   -6     -13.92     4.15    -6.09    49.26     5.84    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.19R    2.70  
Bolton          28   26  -20      -2.78    36.52    -5.87    45.07     5.66   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.36R   11.80  
Sunderland      29   25  -19      -9.96    10.52   -11.74    44.91     5.66   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.92R   11.42  
Burton_Albion   29   24  -33      -1.57    43.09   -11.61    38.96     5.13   -45.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.24R   55.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            27   60  +40       4.58    72.93    12.81    98.83     5.80    58.83    80.24    97.01   100.00    98.37P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        29   59  +27       3.66    67.23     3.41    91.49     5.67    40.95    17.05    78.79    99.94    87.17P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       28   58  +17      18.22    99.06    14.70    85.03     6.02    20.49     2.61    21.03    98.13    37.35P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       30   51  +12       2.08    59.93     0.49    76.79     5.55    17.74     0.07     1.73    81.91    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         30   48   -1       3.52    66.42    -5.89    71.34     5.55     1.06     0.00     0.21    43.47    10.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham        29   47  +12       2.89    63.63     5.65    72.65     5.89    15.41     0.02     0.45    57.62    14.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         28   46   +4       4.68    72.47    -0.24    71.57     6.05     5.39     0.01     0.45    47.00    10.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   43   +9       1.06    55.19     3.89    70.58     6.12    13.27     0.00     0.31    43.49    10.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth       29   42   +1       3.04    65.00     2.06    64.36     5.81    -0.13     0.00     0.01     9.91     1.95P    0.49R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   40   +2       1.62    58.33     4.12    62.56     5.72     0.78     0.00     0.01     5.86     1.19P    1.15R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   29   39   -3       1.14    56.25     0.68    60.44     5.75    -6.27     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.48P    2.98R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd       29   38   +1      -3.82    32.37    -1.87    61.51     5.77     1.06     0.00     0.00     4.58     1.09P    1.88R    0.01  
Plymouth         30   38   -6       1.84    59.41     1.19    56.66     5.50   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    9.81R    0.19  
Doncaster        30   37   -1      -1.86    41.48     2.40    57.24     5.55    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    7.57R    0.16  
Fleetwood_Town   29   36   -5      -4.45    29.10    -5.85    59.60     5.80    -4.58     0.00     0.00     2.08     0.47P    4.16R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon    28   34   -3      -0.41    48.65     2.22    56.14     5.78    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P   11.94R    0.50  
Southend         29   34  -14      -2.65    37.66    -8.88    55.13     5.74   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   18.09R    0.76  
Walsall          28   33   -6      -3.61    32.55    -3.28    56.40     5.85    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P   12.04R    0.38  
Blackpool        29   33   -6      -1.65    42.72     1.36    53.38     5.70   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   24.64R    1.16  
Northampton      30   33  -22       2.12    61.84    -5.48    50.59     5.42   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.77R    3.94  
MK_Dons          28   30  -11      -6.16    21.75    -7.67    52.51     5.90   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   31.20R    2.26  
Oldham           30   29  -14      -3.81    32.00    -1.77    46.88     5.30   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.83R   11.27  
Rochdale         26   22  -11     -11.52     5.86    -7.70    47.52     6.32   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.60R   11.33  
Bury             28   20  -22      -8.20    12.98    -6.33    39.32     5.63   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.81R   67.92  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Carlisle 1 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                29   60  +37       3.86    68.48    11.64    92.93     5.57    52.18    89.00    98.68    99.96    99.14P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         29   51  +16       8.83    86.63    12.64    75.44     5.86    17.65     1.06    22.18    69.66    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            29   50  +11       6.10    77.68     4.72    75.48     5.71    14.11     0.90    20.77    68.76    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   49  +14       4.21    70.17     4.31    77.13     5.99    19.03     1.92    32.40    78.17    44.42P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   49  +14       4.25    69.95     4.58    77.43     5.96    19.71     2.22    34.34    79.19    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               27   48   +5       7.16    82.08    -0.70    77.54     6.20    10.19     2.30    32.16    76.90    43.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             28   47  +11       0.97    54.49    -0.03    76.92     5.90    18.49     1.64    30.25    77.52    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              28   47   +4       2.11    60.08    -5.82    75.05     6.10     9.02     0.77    19.41    63.73    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       29   46   +7       7.59    82.93     9.18    68.24     5.74     5.55     0.05     2.46    22.02     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         28   45  +11       6.45    79.17    10.78    69.88     6.00    11.53     0.11     5.31    33.19    11.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester           30   43   +3      -1.97    40.56    -2.62    66.35     5.64     5.09     0.01     1.16    14.27     4.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         30   42   -3       5.23    74.44     3.19    61.39     5.36    -6.73     0.00     0.07     2.14     0.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle             29   41   +2       0.01    50.36     0.25    64.70     5.81     2.31     0.01     0.59     9.16     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            29   38   -2      -1.80    41.72    -1.80    60.66     5.77    -3.03     0.00     0.10     2.41     0.63P    0.13R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        28   38   -9       0.93    55.07    -7.33    60.94     5.85   -11.33     0.00     0.10     2.44     0.60P    0.12R    0.02  
Cheltenham           30   35   -5      -1.88    41.53     1.58    54.63     5.43    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.71R    0.36  
Grimsby              30   35  -12      -0.76    47.14    -4.21    54.17     5.37   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.50R    0.58  
Port_Vale            30   33   -7      -9.04    13.59    -8.38    56.37     5.64    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    0.97R    0.20  
Morecambe            30   30  -12      -3.90    31.87    -0.89    48.43     5.36   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.78R    5.96  
Crewe                29   29  -15      -5.61    24.32    -6.66    48.97     5.58   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.50R    5.77  
Yeovil               28   28  -12      -4.68    27.73    -2.94    47.88     5.69   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.50R    8.21  
Chesterfield         30   27  -23      -8.05    16.04   -13.16    46.49     5.62   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R   13.54  
Forest_Green         29   26  -20      -3.09    35.50    -2.53    43.24     5.50   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.02R   30.84  
Barnet               29   22  -15     -11.73     5.91    -5.81    42.21     5.57   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.30R   34.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Bromley 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       31   56   +6       9.58    87.55     0.14    77.73     5.32     7.92    15.80    67.63    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   55  +17       3.36    65.53     3.54    78.89     5.34    21.91    24.61    76.89    38.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   52  +11       8.47    85.35     7.08    75.33     5.54    13.24     8.41    51.76    17.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      30   52   +9      10.01    88.87     7.65    76.17     5.59    12.33    11.11    57.28    19.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           31   51  +18      -5.50    24.85    -2.64    77.73     5.27    26.98    19.29    72.86    39.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     31   51  +17      -1.04    44.74     2.66    75.85     5.42    23.28    10.94    59.15    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            31   50  +16       3.43    65.62     9.93    72.24     5.39    18.51     3.39    32.80     9.56P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   50  +13       4.36    70.12     8.15    72.51     5.28    16.04     3.16    32.71     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          31   48  +15       2.24    60.47    10.14    70.71     5.57    18.17     2.03    24.26     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   45   +8      -6.03    23.80    -4.79    69.60     5.33    14.23     1.07    17.46     5.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   43   +5       1.98    59.47     7.00    62.44     5.43     3.46     0.04     1.56     0.34P    0.30R    0.00  
Eastleigh          31   43   +1      -0.60    47.57    -0.45    62.85     5.38    -0.22     0.02     1.63     0.31P    0.25R    0.00  
Maidenhead         31   41   -1       2.80    63.42     5.63    58.71     5.36    -5.38     0.00     0.23     0.05P    1.74R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   39   +7      -5.81    23.61    -0.54    63.79     5.77     9.28     0.10     3.54     0.96P    0.23R    0.00  
Woking             31   39   -8       0.38    52.55    -1.50    58.03     5.32   -10.62     0.00     0.13     0.02P    2.82R    0.01  
Maidstone_United   31   38  -10       2.63    63.23     1.25    55.89     5.30   -14.18     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.91R    0.02  
Hartlepool         31   34  -10      -9.36    13.67   -11.35    55.91     5.39    -8.03     0.00     0.02     0.01P    6.48R    0.04  
Halifax            30   34  -10       1.34    57.45     2.33    52.05     5.52   -15.49     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.65R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient      30   32   -8     -11.39     8.73   -11.32    55.23     5.67    -6.11     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.28R    0.09  
Barrow             29   31   -4      -8.83    13.46    -4.09    54.37     5.83    -3.89     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.45R    0.17  
Solihull_Moors     31   30  -14      -4.82    28.21    -2.32    46.93     5.13   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.40R    2.62  
Chester            31   27  -24      -6.29    21.79    -9.68    41.99     5.01   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.90R   15.59  
Guiseley           29   22  -27      -4.73    26.64    -6.67    39.02     5.41   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   36.68  
Torquay            31   21  -27     -10.11     9.35   -10.15    37.81     5.21   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.84R   44.47