Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 27 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 January 2018, Swansea 1 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 24 65 +52 10.61 97.14 13.27 95.78 4.45 72.73 98.89 99.90 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +33 5.53 79.84 11.18 79.92 4.75 44.83 0.77 49.89 76.98 91.57 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 50 +29 1.28 56.86 4.13 78.02 4.65 43.24 0.30 31.19 64.26 85.68 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 47 +25 1.97 60.58 5.22 74.79 4.71 39.80 0.03 12.52 35.02 65.12 99.91 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 45 +25 -4.13 25.71 -0.89 72.63 4.77 38.76 0.02 6.00 20.70 46.19 99.45 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 42 +14 -1.09 43.16 -2.02 67.99 4.85 24.89 0.00 0.51 3.04 11.42 95.91 0.00 0.00 Leicester 24 34 +4 0.88 55.30 4.58 54.71 5.02 5.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.69 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 24 34 -2 5.70 81.12 4.77 51.31 4.91 -4.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.02R 0.00 Everton 24 28 -13 -3.21 32.27 -9.26 48.28 5.13 -11.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.46R 0.03 Watford 24 26 -11 0.45 53.87 2.72 40.94 4.74 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.91R 1.52 West_Ham 24 26 -12 -2.56 35.94 -3.35 41.98 4.81 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.10R 0.86 Bournemouth 24 25 -11 -2.03 38.81 0.10 41.65 4.82 -15.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.05R 1.17 Crystal_Palace 24 25 -15 -0.95 45.12 -2.70 40.59 4.86 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.09R 2.03 Huddersfield 24 24 -22 5.56 82.42 2.58 34.06 4.17 -39.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00R 25.75 Newcastle 24 23 -12 -4.87 23.94 -3.14 38.11 4.79 -18.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.83R 5.18 Brighton 24 23 -16 -1.71 40.95 -3.39 36.77 4.65 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.66R 9.54 Stoke 24 23 -25 -0.87 45.72 -8.56 36.52 4.68 -35.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.50R 11.45 Southampton 24 22 -11 -8.84 9.19 -6.92 39.02 4.89 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.53R 3.66 West_Brom 24 20 -12 -7.12 13.71 -3.35 35.07 4.62 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.69R 15.41 Swansea 24 20 -20 -3.82 28.15 -4.99 34.24 4.65 -28.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.18R 23.40Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Barnsley 1 3 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 29 65 +29 16.10 98.10 15.64 93.43 5.66 36.60 82.13 95.06 99.92 96.34P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 53 +21 5.53 75.94 7.77 83.32 5.90 29.31 10.53 48.24 93.79 61.79P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 51 +15 7.71 83.64 7.76 78.84 5.88 19.73 2.67 17.44 77.36 31.70P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 29 51 +10 9.82 88.93 7.91 76.00 5.82 12.50 0.69 6.98 59.12 17.01P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 50 +17 6.34 79.36 9.16 78.16 5.87 22.06 2.23 15.28 75.17 30.76P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 29 48 +14 0.90 54.05 2.78 75.71 5.91 20.69 1.03 8.35 60.72 22.29P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 46 +10 4.91 72.68 5.92 72.30 6.16 12.29 0.29 2.98 36.56 10.24P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 44 +11 -1.64 41.59 0.47 73.48 5.92 17.92 0.33 3.94 45.84 17.03P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 28 43 +7 0.70 54.00 1.21 68.47 5.91 8.30 0.04 0.62 16.17 4.13P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 29 43 +6 -0.66 46.89 0.13 68.68 5.88 9.39 0.03 0.69 17.27 4.55P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 28 42 +4 2.52 63.33 2.14 67.05 5.93 4.79 0.01 0.34 10.76 2.53P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 29 40 +0 1.23 56.66 1.48 63.08 5.74 -0.25 0.00 0.03 2.84 0.60P 0.07R 0.00 Norwich 29 40 -4 -2.17 39.64 -7.52 63.91 5.77 -3.01 0.00 0.06 3.48 0.84P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 35 -8 0.88 55.34 -1.35 57.83 5.92 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 1.31R 0.07 Millwall 28 34 +0 -0.07 50.29 6.22 56.37 5.94 -3.17 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 2.06R 0.15 QPR 29 33 -11 -1.60 42.75 -3.68 53.28 5.56 -15.66 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 6.16R 0.47 Sheff_Wed 28 32 -4 -7.98 15.05 -6.68 57.30 5.86 -2.83 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.08P 1.43R 0.08 Reading 28 29 -6 -7.46 17.06 -3.22 51.89 5.79 -8.60 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 8.95R 0.96 Barnsley 29 27 -14 -6.17 21.61 -4.01 47.03 5.60 -18.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.87R 6.16 Bolton 28 26 -20 -2.82 36.29 -5.83 45.08 5.70 -28.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.68R 12.91 Hull 28 25 -6 -13.42 4.50 -5.76 49.67 6.11 -6.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.72R 3.02 Sunderland 28 25 -17 -9.40 11.39 -10.97 46.87 5.91 -21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.66R 7.33 Birmingham 28 24 -23 -4.03 29.65 -8.98 42.65 5.47 -31.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.06R 23.62 Burton_Albion 28 24 -31 -0.82 46.78 -10.59 40.29 5.34 -43.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.96R 45.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2018, Blackburn 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 27 60 +40 4.70 73.79 13.05 98.76 5.83 58.66 82.77 97.35 100.00 98.60P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 58 +17 18.20 99.08 14.67 84.98 5.95 20.41 2.74 24.89 98.29 40.49P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 28 56 +25 3.15 65.07 3.19 90.25 5.87 39.46 14.36 73.60 99.86 84.07P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 51 +12 2.24 60.78 0.72 76.75 5.51 17.67 0.08 2.27 81.70 25.58P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 30 48 -1 3.61 67.02 -5.73 71.27 5.53 0.98 0.00 0.27 43.37 10.01P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 29 47 +12 2.94 63.82 5.75 72.62 5.93 15.35 0.01 0.62 57.16 13.94P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 28 46 +4 4.68 72.68 -0.29 71.63 6.04 5.48 0.02 0.56 47.12 10.93P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 28 43 +9 1.14 55.67 4.00 70.61 6.12 13.31 0.01 0.42 43.66 10.61P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 29 42 +1 3.30 65.96 2.46 64.26 5.80 -0.29 0.00 0.01 9.50 1.88P 0.55R 0.00 Gillingham 29 40 +2 1.39 57.13 3.79 62.71 5.76 1.03 0.00 0.00 6.35 1.23P 1.11R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 39 -3 1.25 56.74 0.84 60.38 5.78 -6.39 0.00 0.00 2.88 0.54P 3.41R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 29 38 +1 -3.87 31.89 -1.94 61.47 5.76 1.06 0.00 0.00 4.48 0.98P 1.90R 0.02 Plymouth 30 38 -6 1.64 58.88 0.88 56.78 5.46 -10.49 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.13P 9.58R 0.16 Doncaster 30 37 -1 -1.84 41.74 2.42 57.24 5.52 -3.37 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.16P 7.69R 0.19 Fleetwood_Town 29 36 -5 -4.46 29.26 -5.87 59.57 5.75 -4.57 0.00 0.00 2.08 0.43P 4.17R 0.06 AFC_Wimbledon 28 34 -3 -0.50 48.10 2.06 56.15 5.78 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.10P 12.31R 0.49 Southend 29 34 -14 -2.72 37.22 -9.09 55.19 5.75 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 17.96R 0.80 Walsall 27 33 -4 -3.25 34.28 -2.91 57.33 6.05 -6.55 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.21P 10.00R 0.32 Blackpool 29 33 -6 -1.62 43.16 1.35 53.35 5.67 -10.39 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 24.97R 1.22 Northampton 30 33 -22 2.10 61.82 -5.56 50.57 5.41 -28.91 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 47.40R 4.12 MK_Dons 28 30 -11 -6.10 21.88 -7.56 52.51 5.82 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 31.29R 2.18 Oldham 30 29 -14 -3.85 31.92 -1.82 46.87 5.29 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.27R 11.41 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.59 5.89 -7.84 47.57 6.30 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 61.73R 11.38 Bury 28 20 -22 -8.31 12.75 -6.56 39.40 5.66 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.63R 67.62League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2018, Newport_County 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 28 57 +36 2.79 63.45 11.37 91.80 5.72 52.05 84.40 97.81 99.94 98.57P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 51 +16 8.95 86.63 12.76 75.37 5.85 17.54 1.27 21.38 70.78 31.41P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 27 49 +15 5.41 75.34 5.21 79.18 6.10 21.31 4.90 45.25 86.51 56.19P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 49 +14 4.40 71.06 4.53 77.09 6.00 18.95 2.58 31.97 79.09 44.31P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 27 48 +5 6.96 81.56 -0.94 77.60 6.16 10.28 2.98 32.29 78.52 43.35P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 28 47 +11 0.90 54.32 -0.07 77.03 5.90 18.64 2.05 30.72 79.29 46.67P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 47 +10 4.87 73.40 4.25 73.88 5.94 13.13 0.71 14.77 59.97 25.70P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 29 46 +7 7.74 83.59 9.38 68.14 5.69 5.41 0.05 2.28 22.27 5.87P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 45 +11 6.45 79.36 10.76 69.84 6.02 11.42 0.15 5.25 34.23 11.18P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 44 +3 1.11 55.12 -5.82 74.02 6.38 8.96 0.89 16.30 58.94 28.08P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 29 42 +3 -1.59 42.39 -2.58 66.41 5.82 4.68 0.01 1.34 15.87 4.96P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 39 -4 3.78 69.11 2.46 59.37 5.56 -8.28 0.00 0.04 1.29 0.23P 0.30R 0.03 Carlisle 28 38 +1 -1.18 44.47 0.05 63.78 5.99 2.47 0.00 0.45 8.14 2.27P 0.04R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 28 38 -9 0.99 55.73 -7.28 60.90 5.84 -11.35 0.00 0.08 2.60 0.57P 0.17R 0.02 Stevenage 28 35 -3 -3.15 34.86 -2.35 58.76 5.92 -4.52 0.00 0.05 1.58 0.39P 0.64R 0.15 Grimsby 29 35 -11 0.04 50.97 -3.95 55.18 5.58 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 2.50R 0.55 Cheltenham 29 34 -5 -1.43 43.56 1.78 55.30 5.65 -8.20 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 2.18R 0.51 Port_Vale 29 32 -7 -8.63 14.23 -8.42 56.97 5.81 -4.51 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.17P 1.24R 0.27 Morecambe 29 30 -11 -2.98 35.63 -0.59 49.86 5.54 -16.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 13.81R 4.68 Crewe 28 29 -14 -4.85 27.05 -6.85 49.80 5.76 -20.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 15.62R 5.65 Yeovil 28 28 -12 -4.57 28.24 -2.76 47.89 5.69 -19.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.49R 9.41 Chesterfield 29 27 -22 -7.11 18.58 -12.83 48.25 5.82 -25.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.79R 9.56 Forest_Green 28 26 -19 -2.19 39.92 -2.18 43.86 5.71 -30.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.76R 30.35 Barnet 28 21 -15 -11.42 5.95 -5.92 42.19 5.79 -20.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.47R 38.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 30 55 +6 9.99 88.84 0.16 78.96 5.50 9.12 21.87 75.25 32.53P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 30 52 +16 2.23 60.68 3.26 77.11 5.54 20.68 15.67 65.75 29.54P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +9 10.04 88.98 7.66 76.20 5.59 12.37 11.06 57.61 19.58P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 51 +11 8.84 86.99 7.05 75.47 5.66 12.98 9.42 52.25 17.95P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 50 +18 -4.99 26.28 -2.34 78.17 5.43 27.05 21.48 74.91 41.32P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 30 48 +16 3.44 65.84 10.81 72.26 5.79 19.44 4.22 34.49 10.64P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 48 +16 -2.05 39.76 2.66 75.02 5.61 23.54 9.12 53.64 22.09P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 47 +13 3.05 64.44 8.81 70.86 5.60 15.84 2.09 24.82 6.75P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 47 +10 3.97 69.01 6.88 70.24 5.47 12.21 1.42 19.89 5.33P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 45 +10 -5.00 27.03 -3.30 72.23 5.55 18.15 3.45 33.63 12.40P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 43 +8 2.21 60.52 8.29 64.46 5.62 7.45 0.11 3.73 0.88P 0.12R 0.00 Eastleigh 30 40 +0 -1.57 42.69 -0.52 61.03 5.57 -1.44 0.02 0.89 0.18P 0.71R 0.00 Maidenhead 30 38 -4 2.16 60.96 4.14 57.10 5.56 -8.42 0.00 0.15 0.02P 3.88R 0.02 Maidstone_United 30 38 -9 3.64 68.27 1.61 56.69 5.42 -14.01 0.00 0.11 0.02P 4.89R 0.03 Gateshead 28 36 +6 -6.72 19.92 -0.47 62.50 5.93 8.88 0.07 2.52 0.69P 0.44R 0.00 Woking 30 36 -9 -1.11 45.37 -2.24 56.12 5.54 -12.10 0.00 0.09 0.02P 5.79R 0.05 Halifax 29 34 -7 1.14 56.80 2.92 53.55 5.69 -12.32 0.00 0.02 0.00P 13.43R 0.17 Hartlepool 30 34 -9 -8.10 16.57 -10.64 57.19 5.60 -7.08 0.00 0.09 0.03P 4.10R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.39 10.66 -10.95 56.65 5.86 -4.98 0.00 0.12 0.04P 5.29R 0.04 Barrow 29 31 -4 -8.88 13.35 -4.15 54.37 5.79 -3.90 0.00 0.04 0.01P 9.80R 0.10 Solihull_Moors 30 27 -16 -5.83 23.43 -3.51 44.01 5.22 -23.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.93R 7.93 Chester 30 27 -21 -5.98 22.53 -8.38 43.52 5.24 -29.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.29R 9.77 Guiseley 28 22 -26 -4.11 29.35 -7.03 39.69 5.57 -36.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.38R 32.39 Torquay 30 20 -27 -10.13 8.61 -10.69 37.35 5.31 -33.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.95R 49.47