Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 25 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 January 2018, Swansea 1 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 24 65 +52 10.61 97.16 13.24 95.77 4.43 72.75 98.86 99.92 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +33 5.67 80.18 11.40 79.81 4.73 44.66 0.78 49.26 76.72 91.53 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 50 +29 1.25 56.45 4.12 78.05 4.65 43.29 0.31 31.62 64.60 85.73 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 47 +25 1.97 60.67 5.29 74.76 4.71 39.79 0.04 12.51 34.76 64.94 99.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 45 +25 -4.09 25.99 -0.86 72.66 4.75 38.81 0.01 6.11 20.68 46.22 99.50 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 42 +14 -1.20 42.51 -2.24 68.03 4.88 24.98 0.00 0.59 3.26 11.57 95.93 0.00 0.00 Leicester 24 34 +4 0.81 54.92 4.45 54.76 4.98 5.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.62 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 34 -2 5.58 80.59 4.64 51.33 4.91 -4.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.01R 0.00 Everton 24 28 -13 -3.28 31.66 -9.34 48.33 5.12 -11.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.40R 0.02 Watford 24 26 -11 0.38 53.52 2.57 40.96 4.72 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.93R 1.32 West_Ham 24 26 -12 -2.59 35.83 -3.42 42.00 4.81 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.00R 0.88 Bournemouth 24 25 -11 -2.00 39.09 0.16 41.66 4.86 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.02R 1.25 Crystal_Palace 24 25 -15 -0.94 45.18 -2.65 40.65 4.88 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.92R 2.05 Huddersfield 24 24 -22 5.67 82.66 2.80 34.02 4.19 -39.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.39R 25.82 Newcastle 24 23 -12 -4.75 24.67 -2.97 38.07 4.78 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.80R 5.12 Brighton 24 23 -16 -1.68 40.93 -3.32 36.72 4.60 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.73R 9.37 Stoke 24 23 -25 -0.86 45.81 -8.56 36.50 4.65 -35.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.63R 11.41 Southampton 24 22 -11 -8.70 9.48 -6.72 38.95 4.89 -14.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.82R 4.01 West_Brom 24 20 -12 -7.26 13.29 -3.57 35.16 4.62 -18.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.79R 14.91 Swansea 24 20 -20 -3.81 28.15 -5.03 34.20 4.65 -28.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.56R 23.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2018, Aston_Villa 3 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 28 62 +28 14.86 97.41 15.15 91.82 5.88 35.63 76.34 92.14 99.79 94.10P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 53 +21 5.45 75.72 7.67 83.32 5.88 29.29 14.22 50.57 94.16 63.71P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 51 +15 7.77 83.80 7.82 78.78 5.88 19.65 3.58 18.67 78.46 32.95P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 50 +17 6.24 79.10 9.04 78.19 5.91 22.13 3.07 16.85 76.46 32.23P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 48 +8 9.09 87.61 7.28 74.49 6.00 10.67 0.67 5.07 50.26 13.73P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 46 +10 5.06 73.45 6.18 72.16 6.10 12.07 0.34 2.99 36.98 10.37P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 28 45 +12 -0.02 49.59 1.88 74.10 6.10 18.72 0.92 6.17 51.85 18.32P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 44 +11 -1.53 42.24 0.65 73.41 5.93 17.80 0.61 4.46 46.79 17.15P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 28 43 +7 0.72 53.85 1.19 70.52 6.05 11.08 0.13 1.74 27.76 7.92P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 28 43 +7 0.74 53.99 1.28 68.46 5.90 8.30 0.07 0.78 17.33 4.67P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 28 42 +4 2.57 63.30 2.22 66.98 5.97 4.70 0.04 0.40 11.49 2.90P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 40 +1 2.16 61.28 1.88 64.51 5.93 0.82 0.01 0.10 5.43 1.21P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 28 37 -5 -3.56 32.87 -8.21 61.73 6.01 -4.88 0.00 0.05 2.10 0.55P 0.25R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 35 -8 0.84 55.03 -1.41 57.82 5.92 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.06P 1.54R 0.08 Millwall 28 34 +0 -0.09 50.44 6.26 56.34 6.00 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 2.35R 0.14 QPR 28 33 -9 -1.08 45.36 -2.92 54.56 5.81 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 4.69R 0.32 Sheff_Wed 28 32 -4 -8.03 14.83 -6.71 57.33 5.89 -2.79 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 1.59R 0.08 Reading 28 29 -6 -7.55 16.51 -3.37 51.97 5.83 -8.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 9.67R 1.01 Barnsley 28 27 -12 -5.57 23.70 -3.23 48.41 5.83 -16.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.76R 4.50 Bolton 28 26 -20 -2.89 36.00 -5.91 45.21 5.72 -27.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.72R 12.93 Hull 28 25 -6 -13.41 4.55 -5.79 49.68 6.07 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.55R 3.06 Sunderland 28 25 -17 -9.45 11.25 -11.07 46.91 5.94 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.97R 7.83 Birmingham 28 24 -23 -4.17 28.76 -9.14 42.68 5.48 -31.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.48R 23.96 Burton_Albion 28 24 -31 -0.88 46.68 -10.73 40.33 5.32 -43.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.38R 46.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2018, Rotherham 2 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 27 60 +40 4.55 73.04 12.82 98.76 5.75 58.68 78.39 97.51 100.00 98.67P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 27 55 +25 3.93 69.08 3.79 92.01 6.00 41.80 19.93 82.92 99.88 89.55P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 55 +16 17.11 98.81 14.45 83.05 6.15 19.04 1.39 13.79 94.83 30.17P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 51 +13 3.36 65.92 1.41 78.59 5.75 19.36 0.23 3.75 85.68 28.58P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 48 +3 3.85 68.22 -3.54 73.83 5.67 6.73 0.03 0.71 57.78 14.76P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 47 +12 3.04 64.38 5.85 72.69 5.94 15.47 0.01 0.47 52.80 13.21P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 28 46 +4 4.50 72.01 -0.54 71.72 6.01 5.60 0.01 0.46 42.91 10.05P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 28 43 +9 1.34 56.93 4.32 70.63 6.06 13.34 0.01 0.35 39.03 9.46P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 28 42 +2 4.03 69.70 2.53 65.86 6.01 1.08 0.00 0.02 12.89 2.63P 0.27R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 29 38 +1 -3.78 32.46 -1.83 61.53 5.74 1.09 0.00 0.00 3.60 0.83P 1.42R 0.01 Doncaster 29 37 +1 -1.22 44.56 3.25 59.30 5.77 -0.31 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.34P 3.39R 0.07 Gillingham 28 37 +1 0.19 51.67 3.45 60.93 5.91 -0.21 0.00 0.00 3.07 0.57P 2.16R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 28 36 -4 -3.31 34.18 -5.20 61.05 5.95 -3.43 0.00 0.00 3.30 0.74P 2.25R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 28 36 -5 0.14 51.40 -0.30 58.28 5.96 -9.08 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.22P 6.41R 0.19 Plymouth 29 35 -7 0.47 53.18 0.53 54.76 5.66 -12.02 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 15.98R 0.64 Walsall 27 33 -4 -3.19 34.15 -2.78 57.24 5.99 -6.74 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.12P 8.62R 0.31 Blackpool 29 33 -6 -1.73 42.27 1.28 53.24 5.66 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 22.49R 1.25 Northampton 29 32 -22 1.95 61.09 -6.34 49.90 5.50 -30.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 48.53R 5.31 AFC_Wimbledon 27 31 -7 -0.91 45.86 -0.20 53.04 5.86 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 24.80R 1.96 Southend 28 31 -15 -4.17 30.32 -9.76 52.97 5.94 -19.39 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 27.60R 2.05 MK_Dons 28 30 -11 -6.18 21.77 -7.65 52.32 5.85 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 29.29R 2.25 Oldham 29 29 -13 -2.86 36.47 -1.42 48.55 5.53 -18.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.38R 7.61 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.59 5.80 -7.83 47.66 6.32 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 57.71R 11.43 Bury 28 20 -22 -8.20 13.17 -6.29 39.52 5.64 -29.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.65R 66.87League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2018, Newport_County 1 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 28 57 +36 2.72 63.23 11.27 91.82 5.74 52.05 84.61 97.85 99.93 98.58P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 51 +16 8.95 86.63 12.84 75.41 5.87 17.60 1.26 21.97 71.02 32.05P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 27 49 +15 5.45 75.47 5.25 79.17 6.11 21.27 4.78 45.73 86.67 56.43P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 49 +14 4.25 70.38 4.30 77.15 6.03 19.06 2.63 32.09 79.41 44.87P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 27 48 +5 7.02 81.64 -0.91 77.57 6.18 10.27 2.87 32.06 78.29 42.95P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 28 47 +11 1.24 56.09 0.35 76.83 5.89 18.38 2.11 29.61 78.36 45.12P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 47 +10 5.05 74.10 4.56 73.71 5.95 12.94 0.67 14.52 58.77 25.30P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 29 46 +7 7.71 83.51 9.28 68.21 5.70 5.55 0.07 2.31 23.07 6.18P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 45 +11 6.34 78.77 10.60 69.92 5.98 11.52 0.10 5.34 34.58 11.38P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 44 +3 0.89 54.34 -6.09 74.08 6.31 9.07 0.89 16.56 59.13 28.38P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 29 42 +3 -1.54 42.64 -2.52 66.42 5.81 4.66 0.01 1.26 15.70 4.86P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 39 -4 3.75 69.07 2.43 59.38 5.55 -8.32 0.00 0.04 1.26 0.25P 0.26R 0.03 Carlisle 28 38 +1 -1.14 44.78 0.09 63.82 6.02 2.48 0.00 0.52 8.57 2.33P 0.05R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 28 38 -9 0.88 55.02 -7.40 60.96 5.84 -11.30 0.00 0.10 2.62 0.64P 0.16R 0.02 Stevenage 28 35 -3 -3.41 33.57 -2.68 58.88 5.93 -4.33 0.00 0.04 1.58 0.38P 0.58R 0.14 Grimsby 29 35 -11 0.04 50.83 -3.99 55.16 5.59 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 2.46R 0.59 Cheltenham 29 34 -5 -1.37 43.81 1.79 55.37 5.64 -8.14 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.07P 2.06R 0.46 Port_Vale 29 32 -7 -8.54 14.55 -8.24 56.90 5.84 -4.61 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.18P 1.30R 0.27 Morecambe 29 30 -11 -3.15 34.98 -0.83 49.93 5.53 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.42R 4.58 Crewe 28 29 -14 -4.69 27.77 -6.61 49.69 5.76 -20.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.14R 5.79 Yeovil 28 28 -12 -4.55 28.36 -2.74 47.90 5.73 -19.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 23.87R 9.59 Chesterfield 29 27 -22 -7.01 19.11 -12.64 48.18 5.82 -25.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.20R 9.88 Forest_Green 28 26 -19 -2.09 40.23 -2.11 43.84 5.69 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.55R 30.19 Barnet 28 21 -15 -11.44 6.08 -5.97 42.21 5.82 -20.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.95R 38.45National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 30 55 +6 10.19 89.42 0.44 78.78 5.47 8.89 21.36 74.07 32.35P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 30 52 +16 2.37 61.02 3.44 77.06 5.55 20.62 15.94 65.70 29.26P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +9 10.15 89.26 7.79 76.07 5.60 12.16 10.62 57.02 19.15P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 51 +11 8.83 86.90 7.03 75.44 5.67 12.96 9.35 52.54 18.31P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 50 +18 -4.79 27.02 -2.08 78.08 5.45 26.90 21.60 74.27 40.79P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 30 48 +16 3.30 64.91 10.63 72.33 5.80 19.54 4.17 35.16 10.86P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 48 +16 -2.09 39.35 2.58 75.14 5.56 23.72 9.68 54.69 22.83P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 47 +13 3.15 64.90 8.99 70.80 5.61 15.77 2.15 24.77 6.72P 0.00R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 47 +10 3.98 69.05 6.88 70.21 5.47 12.13 1.40 19.89 5.40P 0.01R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 45 +10 -4.89 27.57 -3.12 72.23 5.50 18.14 3.50 33.50 12.32P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 43 +8 1.79 58.46 7.68 64.69 5.62 7.77 0.13 4.35 1.01P 0.09R 0.00 Eastleigh 30 40 +0 -1.59 42.78 -0.58 61.03 5.53 -1.47 0.02 0.82 0.15P 0.74R 0.00 Maidenhead 30 38 -4 2.14 61.15 4.09 57.11 5.55 -8.37 0.00 0.16 0.03P 3.84R 0.01 Maidstone_United 30 38 -9 3.38 67.15 1.26 56.85 5.41 -13.79 0.00 0.12 0.03P 4.53R 0.02 Gateshead 28 36 +6 -6.72 19.83 -0.44 62.54 5.93 8.85 0.09 2.58 0.69P 0.47R 0.00 Woking 30 36 -9 -1.03 45.57 -2.14 56.12 5.58 -12.10 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.03R 0.04 Halifax 29 34 -7 1.20 57.02 2.98 53.52 5.72 -12.36 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.64R 0.20 Hartlepool 30 34 -9 -8.31 16.19 -10.90 57.33 5.59 -6.90 0.00 0.09 0.03P 3.74R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.45 10.39 -11.02 56.60 5.87 -5.05 0.00 0.10 0.03P 5.50R 0.05 Barrow 29 31 -4 -9.03 12.91 -4.40 54.49 5.80 -3.70 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.50R 0.11 Solihull_Moors 30 27 -16 -5.66 24.04 -3.25 43.93 5.24 -23.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.27R 7.93 Chester 30 27 -21 -5.98 22.69 -8.39 43.54 5.28 -29.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.20R 9.95 Guiseley 28 22 -26 -3.94 30.00 -6.78 39.57 5.59 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.59R 32.82 Torquay 30 20 -27 -10.12 8.65 -10.70 37.34 5.37 -33.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.85R 48.86