Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 21 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 January 2018, Southampton 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 24 65 +52 10.51 96.99 13.08 95.83 4.46 72.92 98.79 99.85 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +33 5.57 79.93 11.27 79.93 4.77 44.82 0.74 44.38 72.31 90.22 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 50 +29 1.23 56.33 4.04 78.03 4.66 43.20 0.33 27.35 57.84 83.14 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 47 +26 3.55 69.83 6.32 77.22 4.90 42.74 0.14 23.48 50.96 78.09 99.96 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 45 +25 -3.97 26.68 -0.64 72.51 4.77 38.50 0.01 4.58 16.51 38.95 99.45 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 42 +14 -1.16 43.16 -2.13 68.08 4.85 25.04 0.00 0.37 2.39 9.59 96.05 0.00 0.00 Leicester 24 34 +4 0.85 54.96 4.61 54.71 5.01 5.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.49 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 34 -2 5.62 80.92 4.62 51.42 4.90 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.01R 0.00 Everton 24 28 -13 -3.23 31.94 -9.27 48.24 5.12 -11.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.35R 0.02 Watford 24 26 -11 0.28 52.83 2.43 40.96 4.75 -19.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.97R 0.95 West_Ham 24 26 -12 -2.65 35.52 -3.46 42.02 4.82 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.41R 0.64 Bournemouth 24 25 -11 -1.97 39.50 0.24 41.68 4.86 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.29R 0.83 Crystal_Palace 24 25 -15 -0.99 44.77 -2.71 40.64 4.85 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57R 1.40 Huddersfield 24 24 -22 5.63 82.39 2.79 33.99 4.17 -39.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.68R 20.95 Newcastle 24 23 -12 -4.87 23.84 -3.09 38.04 4.81 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.29R 3.83 Brighton 24 23 -16 -1.55 41.86 -3.13 36.69 4.56 -24.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.49R 7.28 Stoke 24 23 -25 -0.89 45.43 -8.55 36.55 4.68 -35.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.50R 8.85 Southampton 24 22 -11 -8.70 9.50 -6.77 39.01 4.91 -14.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00R 2.85 West_Brom 24 20 -12 -7.17 13.54 -3.45 35.06 4.63 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.15R 12.30 Swansea 23 17 -21 -5.67 18.24 -6.17 31.67 4.80 -30.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.28R 40.11Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2018, Aston_Villa 3 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 28 62 +28 14.75 97.24 15.08 91.85 5.89 35.67 75.93 92.01 99.78 94.04P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 53 +21 5.36 75.43 7.56 83.41 5.93 29.39 14.49 51.26 94.27 64.27P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 51 +15 7.78 83.67 7.86 78.79 5.89 19.63 3.76 18.72 78.16 32.75P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 50 +17 6.30 79.37 9.17 78.09 5.89 22.00 3.05 16.09 76.43 31.69P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 48 +8 9.00 87.47 7.16 74.54 6.02 10.75 0.69 5.37 50.54 13.95P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 46 +10 4.76 72.59 5.70 72.31 6.08 12.32 0.42 3.06 38.17 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 28 45 +12 0.09 50.26 2.03 74.00 6.11 18.58 0.85 6.00 50.99 17.91P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 44 +11 -1.40 43.04 0.82 73.34 5.97 17.71 0.57 4.54 46.32 17.30P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 28 43 +7 0.74 54.05 1.14 70.47 6.10 11.07 0.15 1.71 27.95 7.89P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 28 43 +7 0.90 54.86 1.50 68.38 5.91 8.18 0.06 0.73 17.11 4.59P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 42 +4 2.53 63.18 2.16 67.04 5.93 4.78 0.02 0.37 11.61 2.79P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 28 40 +1 2.23 61.22 1.94 64.45 5.95 0.74 0.00 0.12 5.26 1.20P 0.07R 0.00 Norwich 28 37 -5 -3.60 32.55 -8.22 61.78 5.97 -4.82 0.00 0.02 2.17 0.50P 0.26R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 35 -8 0.79 54.87 -1.53 57.83 5.92 -11.02 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.10P 1.44R 0.08 Millwall 28 34 +0 -0.14 50.02 6.15 56.38 5.97 -3.15 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.05P 2.36R 0.14 QPR 28 33 -9 -1.17 44.57 -3.04 54.58 5.77 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 4.86R 0.27 Sheff_Wed 28 32 -4 -7.79 15.84 -6.39 57.25 5.87 -2.92 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.07P 1.63R 0.10 Reading 28 29 -6 -7.41 17.30 -3.15 51.90 5.80 -8.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 9.71R 0.98 Barnsley 28 27 -12 -5.59 23.61 -3.25 48.47 5.80 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.49R 4.39 Bolton 28 26 -20 -2.92 35.84 -5.97 45.23 5.67 -27.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.56R 12.73 Hull 28 25 -6 -13.38 4.46 -5.73 49.69 6.04 -6.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.43R 3.17 Sunderland 28 25 -17 -9.39 11.31 -11.00 46.89 5.92 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.03R 7.96 Birmingham 28 24 -23 -4.18 28.99 -9.19 42.64 5.52 -31.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.28R 24.52 Burton_Albion 28 24 -31 -0.91 46.55 -10.79 40.36 5.36 -43.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.89R 45.66League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 27 60 +40 4.74 73.73 13.05 98.63 5.79 58.56 77.62 97.19 100.00 98.48P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 27 55 +25 3.85 68.68 3.65 92.05 6.02 41.91 20.43 81.67 99.89 88.73P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 55 +16 17.08 98.81 14.42 83.10 6.17 19.08 1.48 13.50 94.80 29.73P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 50 +13 4.04 69.59 1.77 79.60 5.93 20.31 0.36 5.07 88.44 30.34P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 28 48 +5 4.24 70.42 -2.96 75.61 5.92 9.27 0.07 1.55 69.10 18.70P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 28 46 +4 4.86 73.33 0.00 71.51 6.00 5.30 0.01 0.36 41.28 9.38P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 28 44 +10 2.36 61.34 5.39 70.67 6.16 12.83 0.01 0.29 39.23 9.24P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 28 43 +9 1.01 55.24 3.78 70.86 6.09 13.71 0.01 0.34 40.80 9.90P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 28 42 +2 3.93 69.19 2.44 65.87 5.97 1.07 0.00 0.03 12.55 2.51P 0.20R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 29 38 +1 -3.71 32.78 -1.67 61.46 5.69 0.96 0.00 0.00 3.36 0.74P 1.35R 0.01 Gillingham 28 37 +1 0.30 51.93 3.67 60.78 5.93 -0.47 0.00 0.00 2.88 0.54P 2.28R 0.03 Doncaster 28 36 +1 -1.28 43.94 2.67 59.19 6.01 -1.05 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.41P 4.15R 0.10 Fleetwood_Town 28 36 -4 -3.46 33.32 -5.42 61.22 5.97 -3.17 0.00 0.00 3.25 0.78P 2.19R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 28 36 -5 0.12 51.07 -0.38 58.31 5.95 -9.07 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.21P 6.33R 0.18 Plymouth 29 35 -7 0.40 52.82 0.46 54.81 5.65 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 15.88R 0.52 Walsall 27 33 -4 -3.27 33.70 -2.96 57.22 6.01 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.17P 8.60R 0.33 Blackpool 29 33 -6 -1.74 42.17 1.22 53.31 5.65 -10.52 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 21.70R 1.30 Northampton 29 32 -22 2.27 62.66 -5.91 49.79 5.48 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 49.26R 5.44 AFC_Wimbledon 27 31 -7 -0.83 46.31 -0.12 53.02 5.85 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 24.85R 1.90 Southend 28 31 -15 -4.20 29.95 -9.86 52.98 5.91 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 27.13R 2.00 MK_Dons 28 30 -11 -6.16 21.72 -7.60 52.36 5.87 -14.39 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 29.10R 2.33 Oldham 29 29 -13 -2.89 36.29 -1.44 48.53 5.50 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.64R 7.47 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.58 5.91 -7.77 47.60 6.33 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 57.86R 11.47 Bury 28 20 -22 -8.27 12.71 -6.43 39.53 5.63 -29.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.44R 66.88League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 27 54 +35 1.97 59.67 11.57 91.25 5.89 52.87 81.84 97.18 99.89 98.19P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 27 51 +18 11.33 92.96 14.14 79.44 6.22 21.53 6.13 47.96 87.92 56.17P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 46 +14 4.32 71.45 5.01 77.76 6.29 20.60 4.08 38.04 81.36 49.26P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 46 +13 3.23 66.45 4.26 75.29 6.24 17.70 1.70 23.71 70.05 35.68P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 45 +4 5.89 78.05 -1.17 75.33 6.39 8.27 1.95 22.21 66.75 32.70P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 44 +11 6.72 80.57 10.64 70.27 6.26 11.53 0.30 6.81 38.46 13.21P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 44 +9 3.90 69.76 4.17 72.61 6.11 12.65 0.63 12.00 52.57 21.97P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 44 +9 0.21 51.10 -0.75 75.23 6.11 16.45 1.56 22.19 69.51 37.26P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 44 +5 1.65 58.14 -4.98 75.51 6.45 11.20 1.67 23.77 68.26 36.42P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 42 +6 7.14 82.65 9.27 67.50 6.09 5.34 0.05 2.51 21.57 6.04P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 28 41 +3 -1.08 44.71 -2.42 67.46 5.99 5.64 0.05 2.32 21.57 7.23P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 38 -6 1.42 57.93 -5.69 63.12 6.04 -7.07 0.01 0.37 6.51 1.63P 0.06R 0.01 Carlisle 27 37 +1 -1.09 44.57 -0.36 64.03 6.20 2.22 0.02 0.74 10.03 2.85P 0.08R 0.02 Crawley_Town 27 36 -4 3.23 67.39 1.97 58.16 5.93 -9.62 0.00 0.04 1.23 0.24P 0.68R 0.11 Stevenage 27 34 -3 -2.75 36.63 -2.18 59.37 6.17 -4.18 0.00 0.11 2.29 0.59P 0.52R 0.08 Cheltenham 28 34 -4 -0.48 48.36 1.98 56.30 5.77 -7.71 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.13P 1.41R 0.28 Grimsby 28 34 -11 0.20 51.81 -4.25 54.85 5.76 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 2.69R 0.60 Port_Vale 28 32 -6 -7.56 17.01 -7.86 57.95 6.03 -4.04 0.00 0.03 1.19 0.38P 0.75R 0.12 Morecambe 27 29 -10 -2.15 39.51 -1.07 50.14 5.85 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 12.52R 3.97 Crewe 27 29 -13 -3.79 31.25 -6.47 51.11 5.95 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 10.07R 2.99 Yeovil 27 28 -11 -3.53 32.81 -2.34 49.73 5.92 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 13.96R 4.51 Chesterfield 28 24 -23 -8.45 13.87 -13.37 46.20 6.03 -26.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.85R 14.50 Forest_Green 27 23 -22 -2.87 35.55 -3.92 41.40 5.82 -34.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.23R 43.18 Barnet 27 20 -15 -11.24 6.16 -6.17 42.71 6.05 -20.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.16R 29.63National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 29 55 +12 9.60 88.58 3.63 81.15 5.68 16.31 36.07 87.69 47.85P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 51 +16 2.89 64.34 3.61 78.09 5.76 21.56 19.95 75.20 34.46P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +8 8.61 85.91 6.95 74.35 5.85 11.04 6.36 49.03 13.97P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 28 48 +9 7.78 84.32 5.81 73.38 5.86 10.39 4.82 42.77 12.17P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 47 +17 -5.84 22.48 -2.05 77.15 5.64 26.93 16.21 72.58 36.53P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 47 +11 4.92 73.38 7.21 71.61 5.66 13.24 2.71 32.06 8.72P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 45 +15 -3.29 33.96 2.31 73.25 5.80 22.32 5.23 46.44 16.81P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 45 +11 -3.80 31.78 -2.60 73.91 5.74 19.60 6.55 50.14 19.25P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 29 44 +9 2.94 64.15 7.05 68.65 5.81 10.95 0.95 17.67 4.12P 0.01R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 29 42 +8 2.14 60.48 7.76 64.30 5.83 6.67 0.16 5.26 1.17P 0.20R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 28 42 +7 4.10 69.19 7.85 67.34 6.25 7.87 0.84 13.90 3.24P 0.08R 0.00 Maidenhead 29 38 -3 2.95 64.77 4.02 57.57 5.73 -8.72 0.00 0.38 0.05P 4.14R 0.03 Maidstone_United 28 38 -5 4.83 73.96 2.98 59.80 5.88 -9.37 0.02 0.97 0.16P 2.29R 0.02 Eastleigh 29 37 -1 -2.83 36.28 -1.04 59.28 5.77 -2.54 0.01 0.64 0.14P 2.12R 0.01 Woking 28 35 -6 -0.35 48.68 -0.90 57.97 6.02 -8.99 0.00 0.56 0.09P 4.62R 0.04 Halifax 29 34 -7 1.15 56.52 2.90 53.67 5.74 -12.13 0.00 0.05 0.01P 14.19R 0.22 Hartlepool 28 33 -7 -7.09 19.32 -9.69 59.98 6.08 -3.54 0.02 1.13 0.31P 2.27R 0.02 Gateshead 26 32 +4 -6.94 17.89 -0.98 61.85 6.31 7.75 0.10 3.29 0.90P 1.13R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.46 10.06 -11.07 56.67 5.87 -4.93 0.00 0.20 0.05P 5.91R 0.05 Barrow 29 31 -4 -8.99 13.03 -4.39 54.48 5.81 -3.70 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.74R 0.19 Chester 28 26 -19 -5.27 24.90 -8.05 44.91 5.65 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.64R 8.27 Solihull_Moors 29 24 -19 -6.61 19.70 -5.20 42.00 5.44 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.30R 18.22 Guiseley 28 22 -26 -4.09 29.31 -7.07 39.64 5.57 -36.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.00R 36.56 Torquay 29 20 -23 -10.14 8.18 -9.03 39.15 5.57 -29.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.37R 36.37