Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 January 2018, Southampton 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         24   65  +52      10.51    96.99    13.08    95.83     4.46    72.92    98.79    99.85    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   53  +33       5.57    79.93    11.27    79.93     4.77    44.82     0.74    44.38    72.31    90.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   50  +29       1.23    56.33     4.04    78.03     4.66    43.20     0.33    27.35    57.84    83.14    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   47  +26       3.55    69.83     6.32    77.22     4.90    42.74     0.14    23.48    50.96    78.09    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        24   45  +25      -3.97    26.68    -0.64    72.51     4.77    38.50     0.01     4.58    16.51    38.95    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          24   42  +14      -1.16    43.16    -2.13    68.08     4.85    25.04     0.00     0.37     2.39     9.59    96.05     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   34   +4       0.85    54.96     4.61    54.71     5.01     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.49     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   34   -2       5.62    80.92     4.62    51.42     4.90    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          24   28  -13      -3.23    31.94    -9.27    48.24     5.12   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.35R    0.02  
Watford          24   26  -11       0.28    52.83     2.43    40.96     4.75   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.97R    0.95  
West_Ham         24   26  -12      -2.65    35.52    -3.46    42.02     4.82   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.41R    0.64  
Bournemouth      24   25  -11      -1.97    39.50     0.24    41.68     4.86   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.83  
Crystal_Palace   24   25  -15      -0.99    44.77    -2.71    40.64     4.85   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    1.40  
Huddersfield     24   24  -22       5.63    82.39     2.79    33.99     4.17   -39.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.68R   20.95  
Newcastle        24   23  -12      -4.87    23.84    -3.09    38.04     4.81   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    3.83  
Brighton         24   23  -16      -1.55    41.86    -3.13    36.69     4.56   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.49R    7.28  
Stoke            24   23  -25      -0.89    45.43    -8.55    36.55     4.68   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.50R    8.85  
Southampton      24   22  -11      -8.70     9.50    -6.77    39.01     4.91   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.00R    2.85  
West_Brom        24   20  -12      -7.17    13.54    -3.45    35.06     4.63   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.15R   12.30  
Swansea          23   17  -21      -5.67    18.24    -6.17    31.67     4.80   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.28R   40.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2018, Aston_Villa 3 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   28   62  +28      14.75    97.24    15.08    91.85     5.89    35.67    75.93    92.01    99.78    94.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   53  +21       5.36    75.43     7.56    83.41     5.93    29.39    14.49    51.26    94.27    64.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   51  +15       7.78    83.67     7.86    78.79     5.89    19.63     3.76    18.72    78.16    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   50  +17       6.30    79.37     9.17    78.09     5.89    22.00     3.05    16.09    76.43    31.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    28   48   +8       9.00    87.47     7.16    74.54     6.02    10.75     0.69     5.37    50.54    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   46  +10       4.76    72.59     5.70    72.31     6.08    12.32     0.42     3.06    38.17    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   45  +12       0.09    50.26     2.03    74.00     6.11    18.58     0.85     6.00    50.99    17.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   44  +11      -1.40    43.04     0.82    73.34     5.97    17.71     0.57     4.54    46.32    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   43   +7       0.74    54.05     1.14    70.47     6.10    11.07     0.15     1.71    27.95     7.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   43   +7       0.90    54.86     1.50    68.38     5.91     8.18     0.06     0.73    17.11     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         28   42   +4       2.53    63.18     2.16    67.04     5.93     4.78     0.02     0.37    11.61     2.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         28   40   +1       2.23    61.22     1.94    64.45     5.95     0.74     0.00     0.12     5.26     1.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich         28   37   -5      -3.60    32.55    -8.22    61.78     5.97    -4.82     0.00     0.02     2.17     0.50P    0.26R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   35   -8       0.79    54.87    -1.53    57.83     5.92   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    1.44R    0.08  
Millwall        28   34   +0      -0.14    50.02     6.15    56.38     5.97    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    2.36R    0.14  
QPR             28   33   -9      -1.17    44.57    -3.04    54.58     5.77   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.86R    0.27  
Sheff_Wed       28   32   -4      -7.79    15.84    -6.39    57.25     5.87    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    1.63R    0.10  
Reading         28   29   -6      -7.41    17.30    -3.15    51.90     5.80    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.71R    0.98  
Barnsley        28   27  -12      -5.59    23.61    -3.25    48.47     5.80   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.49R    4.39  
Bolton          28   26  -20      -2.92    35.84    -5.97    45.23     5.67   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.56R   12.73  
Hull            28   25   -6     -13.38     4.46    -5.73    49.69     6.04    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.43R    3.17  
Sunderland      28   25  -17      -9.39    11.31   -11.00    46.89     5.92   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.03R    7.96  
Birmingham      28   24  -23      -4.18    28.99    -9.19    42.64     5.52   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.28R   24.52  
Burton_Albion   28   24  -31      -0.91    46.55   -10.79    40.36     5.36   -43.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.89R   45.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            27   60  +40       4.74    73.73    13.05    98.63     5.79    58.56    77.62    97.19   100.00    98.48P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        27   55  +25       3.85    68.68     3.65    92.05     6.02    41.91    20.43    81.67    99.89    88.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       27   55  +16      17.08    98.81    14.42    83.10     6.17    19.08     1.48    13.50    94.80    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       28   50  +13       4.04    69.59     1.77    79.60     5.93    20.31     0.36     5.07    88.44    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         28   48   +5       4.24    70.42    -2.96    75.61     5.92     9.27     0.07     1.55    69.10    18.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   46   +4       4.86    73.33     0.00    71.51     6.00     5.30     0.01     0.36    41.28     9.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham        28   44  +10       2.36    61.34     5.39    70.67     6.16    12.83     0.01     0.29    39.23     9.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   43   +9       1.01    55.24     3.78    70.86     6.09    13.71     0.01     0.34    40.80     9.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth       28   42   +2       3.93    69.19     2.44    65.87     5.97     1.07     0.00     0.03    12.55     2.51P    0.20R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       29   38   +1      -3.71    32.78    -1.67    61.46     5.69     0.96     0.00     0.00     3.36     0.74P    1.35R    0.01  
Gillingham       28   37   +1       0.30    51.93     3.67    60.78     5.93    -0.47     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.54P    2.28R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   36   +1      -1.28    43.94     2.67    59.19     6.01    -1.05     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.41P    4.15R    0.10  
Fleetwood_Town   28   36   -4      -3.46    33.32    -5.42    61.22     5.97    -3.17     0.00     0.00     3.25     0.78P    2.19R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   28   36   -5       0.12    51.07    -0.38    58.31     5.95    -9.07     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.21P    6.33R    0.18  
Plymouth         29   35   -7       0.40    52.82     0.46    54.81     5.65   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   15.88R    0.52  
Walsall          27   33   -4      -3.27    33.70    -2.96    57.22     6.01    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.17P    8.60R    0.33  
Blackpool        29   33   -6      -1.74    42.17     1.22    53.31     5.65   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   21.70R    1.30  
Northampton      29   32  -22       2.27    62.66    -5.91    49.79     5.48   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.26R    5.44  
AFC_Wimbledon    27   31   -7      -0.83    46.31    -0.12    53.02     5.85   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   24.85R    1.90  
Southend         28   31  -15      -4.20    29.95    -9.86    52.98     5.91   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   27.13R    2.00  
MK_Dons          28   30  -11      -6.16    21.72    -7.60    52.36     5.87   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   29.10R    2.33  
Oldham           29   29  -13      -2.89    36.29    -1.44    48.53     5.50   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.64R    7.47  
Rochdale         26   22  -11     -11.58     5.91    -7.77    47.60     6.33   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.86R   11.47  
Bury             28   20  -22      -8.27    12.71    -6.43    39.53     5.63   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.44R   66.88  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                27   54  +35       1.97    59.67    11.57    91.25     5.89    52.87    81.84    97.18    99.89    98.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         27   51  +18      11.33    92.96    14.14    79.44     6.22    21.53     6.13    47.96    87.92    56.17P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   46  +14       4.32    71.45     5.01    77.76     6.29    20.60     4.08    38.04    81.36    49.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   46  +13       3.23    66.45     4.26    75.29     6.24    17.70     1.70    23.71    70.05    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   45   +4       5.89    78.05    -1.17    75.33     6.39     8.27     1.95    22.21    66.75    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   44  +11       6.72    80.57    10.64    70.27     6.26    11.53     0.30     6.81    38.46    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            27   44   +9       3.90    69.76     4.17    72.61     6.11    12.65     0.63    12.00    52.57    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   44   +9       0.21    51.10    -0.75    75.23     6.11    16.45     1.56    22.19    69.51    37.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              26   44   +5       1.65    58.14    -4.98    75.51     6.45    11.20     1.67    23.77    68.26    36.42P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       27   42   +6       7.14    82.65     9.27    67.50     6.09     5.34     0.05     2.51    21.57     6.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester           28   41   +3      -1.08    44.71    -2.42    67.46     5.99     5.64     0.05     2.32    21.57     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        27   38   -6       1.42    57.93    -5.69    63.12     6.04    -7.07     0.01     0.37     6.51     1.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Carlisle             27   37   +1      -1.09    44.57    -0.36    64.03     6.20     2.22     0.02     0.74    10.03     2.85P    0.08R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         27   36   -4       3.23    67.39     1.97    58.16     5.93    -9.62     0.00     0.04     1.23     0.24P    0.68R    0.11  
Stevenage            27   34   -3      -2.75    36.63    -2.18    59.37     6.17    -4.18     0.00     0.11     2.29     0.59P    0.52R    0.08  
Cheltenham           28   34   -4      -0.48    48.36     1.98    56.30     5.77    -7.71     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.13P    1.41R    0.28  
Grimsby              28   34  -11       0.20    51.81    -4.25    54.85     5.76   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    2.69R    0.60  
Port_Vale            28   32   -6      -7.56    17.01    -7.86    57.95     6.03    -4.04     0.00     0.03     1.19     0.38P    0.75R    0.12  
Morecambe            27   29  -10      -2.15    39.51    -1.07    50.14     5.85   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.52R    3.97  
Crewe                27   29  -13      -3.79    31.25    -6.47    51.11     5.95   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.07R    2.99  
Yeovil               27   28  -11      -3.53    32.81    -2.34    49.73     5.92   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    13.96R    4.51  
Chesterfield         28   24  -23      -8.45    13.87   -13.37    46.20     6.03   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.85R   14.50  
Forest_Green         27   23  -22      -2.87    35.55    -3.92    41.40     5.82   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.23R   43.18  
Barnet               27   20  -15     -11.24     6.16    -6.17    42.71     6.05   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.16R   29.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       29   55  +12       9.60    88.58     3.63    81.15     5.68    16.31    36.07    87.69    47.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   51  +16       2.89    64.34     3.61    78.09     5.76    21.56    19.95    75.20    34.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +8       8.61    85.91     6.95    74.35     5.85    11.04     6.36    49.03    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   48   +9       7.78    84.32     5.81    73.38     5.86    10.39     4.82    42.77    12.17P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           29   47  +17      -5.84    22.48    -2.05    77.15     5.64    26.93    16.21    72.58    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   47  +11       4.92    73.38     7.21    71.61     5.66    13.24     2.71    32.06     8.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     29   45  +15      -3.29    33.96     2.31    73.25     5.80    22.32     5.23    46.44    16.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   45  +11      -3.80    31.78    -2.60    73.91     5.74    19.60     6.55    50.14    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            29   44   +9       2.94    64.15     7.05    68.65     5.81    10.95     0.95    17.67     4.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   42   +8       2.14    60.48     7.76    64.30     5.83     6.67     0.16     5.26     1.17P    0.20R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          28   42   +7       4.10    69.19     7.85    67.34     6.25     7.87     0.84    13.90     3.24P    0.08R    0.00  
Maidenhead         29   38   -3       2.95    64.77     4.02    57.57     5.73    -8.72     0.00     0.38     0.05P    4.14R    0.03  
Maidstone_United   28   38   -5       4.83    73.96     2.98    59.80     5.88    -9.37     0.02     0.97     0.16P    2.29R    0.02  
Eastleigh          29   37   -1      -2.83    36.28    -1.04    59.28     5.77    -2.54     0.01     0.64     0.14P    2.12R    0.01  
Woking             28   35   -6      -0.35    48.68    -0.90    57.97     6.02    -8.99     0.00     0.56     0.09P    4.62R    0.04  
Halifax            29   34   -7       1.15    56.52     2.90    53.67     5.74   -12.13     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.19R    0.22  
Hartlepool         28   33   -7      -7.09    19.32    -9.69    59.98     6.08    -3.54     0.02     1.13     0.31P    2.27R    0.02  
Gateshead          26   32   +4      -6.94    17.89    -0.98    61.85     6.31     7.75     0.10     3.29     0.90P    1.13R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      29   32   -7     -10.46    10.06   -11.07    56.67     5.87    -4.93     0.00     0.20     0.05P    5.91R    0.05  
Barrow             29   31   -4      -8.99    13.03    -4.39    54.48     5.81    -3.70     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.74R    0.19  
Chester            28   26  -19      -5.27    24.90    -8.05    44.91     5.65   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.64R    8.27  
Solihull_Moors     29   24  -19      -6.61    19.70    -5.20    42.00     5.44   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.30R   18.22  
Guiseley           28   22  -26      -4.09    29.31    -7.07    39.64     5.57   -36.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.00R   36.56  
Torquay            29   20  -23     -10.14     8.18    -9.03    39.15     5.57   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.37R   36.37