Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 17 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 January 2018, Man_Utd 3 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 23 62 +50 10.12 96.77 13.45 95.46 4.55 73.13 98.78 99.88 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 50 +32 4.47 75.19 10.90 78.63 4.98 44.26 0.71 39.36 66.45 85.82 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 47 +26 3.38 68.78 6.02 77.24 4.89 42.76 0.19 28.13 55.56 79.43 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +25 1.12 56.04 2.64 76.58 4.91 39.23 0.27 22.18 48.59 74.38 99.93 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 44 +25 -3.30 29.41 -0.34 73.63 4.98 39.68 0.05 9.99 27.16 52.16 99.67 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 39 +11 -1.44 41.27 -2.84 66.98 5.09 22.80 0.00 0.46 2.24 8.18 93.95 0.00 0.00 Burnley 23 34 -1 6.41 84.32 4.93 52.33 5.05 -3.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.03 0.00 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +2 0.12 51.24 4.02 53.55 5.17 4.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.71 0.01R 0.00 Everton 23 27 -13 -2.72 34.51 -9.15 49.15 5.33 -11.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.34R 0.04 Watford 23 26 -9 0.93 56.61 3.23 42.00 4.95 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.17R 0.67 West_Ham 23 25 -12 -2.05 38.69 -3.11 42.69 5.06 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 5.07R 0.62 Crystal_Palace 23 25 -12 -0.74 46.38 -1.84 41.38 5.02 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 8.33R 1.13 Bournemouth 23 24 -11 -1.72 40.41 0.06 41.77 5.08 -16.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.23R 1.04 Huddersfield 23 24 -20 6.19 85.22 3.44 35.10 4.39 -37.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.52R 15.08 Newcastle 23 23 -10 -4.22 26.99 -3.01 38.32 4.89 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.02R 3.61 Brighton 23 23 -12 -1.93 39.51 -1.97 37.91 4.83 -20.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.74R 4.71 Southampton 23 21 -11 -8.67 9.16 -7.25 38.78 5.09 -15.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.79R 3.80 Stoke 23 20 -27 -1.63 41.08 -9.14 35.04 4.87 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.41R 16.82 West_Brom 23 19 -12 -7.07 13.62 -3.74 34.91 4.81 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.95R 13.45 Swansea 23 17 -21 -5.74 18.11 -6.32 31.74 4.82 -30.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.41R 39.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 27 62 +30 15.78 98.43 16.52 94.58 6.02 39.77 83.73 96.44 99.96 97.36P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 52 +21 6.06 78.49 7.97 84.34 6.11 30.27 11.50 57.62 96.08 69.50P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 50 +15 7.94 84.58 7.61 79.10 6.13 19.60 2.48 19.55 81.73 34.96P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 47 +15 5.75 77.70 8.62 76.57 6.05 20.13 1.18 10.48 70.70 25.88P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 27 47 +8 9.14 88.02 6.92 74.41 6.22 9.98 0.46 5.58 53.98 14.99P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 43 +9 3.46 66.69 5.16 70.16 6.32 10.48 0.11 1.51 30.19 8.03P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 27 43 +8 2.12 61.10 2.28 70.55 6.11 10.37 0.09 1.70 31.44 9.03P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 42 +6 0.75 53.82 -0.25 72.19 6.29 12.32 0.23 3.09 41.83 12.90P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 41 +8 -1.97 40.03 -0.73 71.20 6.20 14.02 0.13 2.13 36.62 12.62P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 27 41 +4 3.16 66.60 2.50 68.05 6.13 5.65 0.03 0.56 18.32 4.45P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 27 40 +6 -0.59 47.16 0.66 68.66 6.38 9.77 0.05 1.05 23.41 6.55P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 27 39 +1 2.56 63.40 1.87 65.02 6.13 0.97 0.01 0.17 8.49 1.87P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 27 37 -4 -2.46 37.83 -7.60 63.64 6.18 -3.11 0.01 0.11 5.58 1.43P 0.11R 0.00 QPR 27 33 -6 -0.85 46.17 -1.55 56.36 5.98 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.07P 2.72R 0.18 Nott'm_Forest 27 32 -10 -0.50 48.24 -2.90 54.94 6.07 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 5.02R 0.46 Millwall 27 31 -1 -1.47 42.97 5.37 54.01 6.10 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 6.11R 0.60 Sheff_Wed 27 31 -4 -7.50 15.96 -6.42 57.70 6.07 -2.82 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.20P 1.70R 0.12 Reading 27 29 -5 -6.49 19.92 -2.80 53.59 6.09 -7.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 6.78R 0.70 Barnsley 27 27 -10 -5.05 25.24 -2.60 49.62 5.96 -15.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.48R 3.34 Hull 27 25 -5 -12.64 5.27 -5.72 51.35 6.35 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 13.71R 2.31 Bolton 27 25 -20 -2.58 37.52 -5.97 45.39 5.93 -28.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.36R 13.84 Burton_Albion 27 24 -25 -1.46 43.12 -8.11 41.77 5.57 -37.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.46R 34.92 Birmingham 27 23 -23 -4.12 28.57 -9.56 42.37 5.64 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.98R 28.70 Sunderland 27 22 -18 -10.64 7.86 -11.26 45.04 6.12 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.52R 14.82League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 26 57 +38 4.04 70.91 12.59 97.34 6.02 56.84 74.95 94.10 99.99 96.76P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 54 +16 17.53 99.02 14.45 83.86 6.38 19.68 2.97 18.47 95.60 33.70P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 26 52 +24 2.70 63.80 3.42 90.70 6.19 41.20 20.04 70.93 99.75 82.37P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 50 +15 5.06 74.32 3.26 82.08 6.13 23.90 1.65 12.27 94.11 37.37P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 27 48 +7 5.26 74.96 -1.47 77.42 6.16 11.92 0.36 3.48 78.84 22.08P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 27 43 +2 3.69 68.79 -1.39 69.90 6.25 3.40 0.01 0.26 31.93 6.61P 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 27 42 +3 5.09 74.47 3.08 66.91 6.20 1.53 0.01 0.07 17.44 3.29P 0.15R 0.00 Rotherham 27 41 +9 1.21 56.24 5.07 69.29 6.36 12.23 0.01 0.22 32.01 7.06P 0.07R 0.00 Peterborough 27 40 +6 0.86 54.73 3.03 69.20 6.26 10.61 0.01 0.20 30.58 6.71P 0.07R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 38 +2 -2.27 39.09 -0.58 63.79 5.95 3.52 0.00 0.01 7.97 1.67P 0.63R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 36 -3 -2.43 37.80 -4.95 62.32 6.18 -2.58 0.00 0.01 5.24 1.14P 1.52R 0.01 Doncaster 27 35 +1 -0.86 46.12 2.66 59.02 6.14 -1.73 0.00 0.00 1.82 0.40P 4.48R 0.07 Plymouth 28 35 -5 0.84 55.10 0.98 55.78 5.81 -10.41 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.06P 12.06R 0.19 Gillingham 27 34 -1 -0.90 45.93 2.17 58.10 6.06 -4.00 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.22P 5.98R 0.10 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.67 36.66 -2.12 58.66 6.21 -4.50 0.00 0.00 1.65 0.32P 5.75R 0.12 Blackpool 28 33 -4 -1.23 44.32 1.97 54.98 5.90 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 14.57R 0.44 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 -7 -0.72 46.95 -1.23 56.03 6.13 -12.02 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.10P 12.67R 0.36 Southend 28 31 -15 -4.13 30.07 -9.81 52.91 5.87 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 26.68R 1.24 MK_Dons 27 30 -10 -5.17 25.19 -7.22 54.14 6.07 -12.76 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 19.75R 0.87 Oldham 28 29 -10 -2.71 37.03 -0.37 49.67 5.71 -16.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 44.91R 3.26 Northampton 28 29 -23 0.78 55.34 -6.73 47.95 5.69 -32.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 60.92R 7.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 28 -9 -1.94 40.16 -1.37 51.17 6.01 -14.78 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 35.69R 2.62 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.61 5.62 -7.85 47.64 6.30 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 56.81R 7.61 Bury 27 17 -23 -9.91 7.67 -7.60 37.06 5.78 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.23R 76.10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 27 54 +35 1.99 59.68 11.55 91.26 5.91 52.94 81.77 97.14 99.89 98.17P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 27 51 +18 11.45 93.14 14.32 79.31 6.25 21.37 6.12 46.92 87.53 55.10P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 46 +14 4.24 71.06 4.90 77.76 6.30 20.58 4.03 38.19 81.20 49.64P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 46 +13 3.04 65.23 3.99 75.45 6.15 17.93 1.82 24.44 71.33 36.84P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 45 +4 5.77 77.69 -1.34 75.36 6.34 8.34 1.84 21.99 67.06 32.27P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 44 +11 6.80 80.94 10.77 70.29 6.20 11.58 0.24 6.67 38.28 13.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 44 +9 3.99 70.11 4.31 72.46 6.12 12.47 0.60 11.56 51.64 21.47P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 44 +9 0.25 51.19 -0.72 75.23 6.10 16.42 1.54 22.41 69.62 37.32P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 44 +5 1.49 57.56 -5.23 75.59 6.47 11.30 1.86 24.45 68.41 37.08P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 42 +6 7.16 83.03 9.30 67.52 6.15 5.34 0.12 2.62 21.96 6.15P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 28 41 +3 -0.88 45.57 -2.13 67.35 6.02 5.48 0.06 2.32 21.07 7.08P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 38 -6 1.48 58.11 -5.68 63.08 6.07 -7.14 0.00 0.40 6.51 1.78P 0.04R 0.00 Carlisle 27 37 +1 -0.80 46.12 0.09 63.85 6.23 1.92 0.01 0.69 9.55 2.66P 0.07R 0.01 Crawley_Town 27 36 -4 3.20 67.10 1.91 58.17 5.92 -9.63 0.00 0.06 1.19 0.24P 0.60R 0.07 Stevenage 27 34 -3 -3.01 35.05 -2.61 59.58 6.19 -3.84 0.00 0.10 2.61 0.62P 0.53R 0.10 Cheltenham 28 34 -4 -0.49 48.41 1.99 56.26 5.78 -7.74 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.10P 1.35R 0.27 Grimsby 28 34 -11 0.23 52.10 -4.21 54.80 5.73 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 2.74R 0.64 Port_Vale 28 32 -6 -7.62 17.14 -7.93 57.99 6.03 -3.99 0.00 0.03 1.23 0.36P 0.80R 0.13 Morecambe 27 29 -10 -2.16 39.40 -1.09 50.21 5.84 -17.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 12.26R 3.76 Crewe 27 29 -13 -3.82 31.28 -6.50 51.13 5.95 -19.31 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 10.04R 3.01 Yeovil 27 28 -11 -3.58 32.34 -2.38 49.78 5.95 -17.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 14.01R 4.59 Chesterfield 28 24 -23 -8.48 13.52 -13.31 46.16 6.04 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.31R 14.47 Forest_Green 27 23 -22 -2.88 35.90 -3.95 41.46 5.81 -34.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.92R 43.08 Barnet 27 20 -15 -11.13 6.38 -6.04 42.65 6.01 -20.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.34R 29.87National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 29 55 +12 9.47 87.96 3.44 81.17 5.73 16.38 36.58 87.65 48.03P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 51 +16 2.76 63.49 3.45 78.17 5.75 21.66 20.29 75.81 35.23P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +8 8.68 85.92 7.03 74.32 5.80 11.02 6.10 49.27 13.83P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 28 48 +9 7.88 84.64 5.95 73.36 5.89 10.35 4.83 42.56 12.23P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 47 +17 -5.73 23.17 -1.92 77.07 5.63 26.81 15.98 72.13 35.86P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 47 +11 4.97 73.54 7.31 71.55 5.65 13.15 2.62 31.90 8.61P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 45 +15 -3.14 34.48 2.49 73.21 5.77 22.28 5.16 46.06 16.71P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 45 +11 -3.83 31.49 -2.59 73.89 5.73 19.59 6.38 49.98 18.98P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 29 44 +9 2.91 64.06 7.01 68.68 5.83 11.01 0.94 18.10 4.28P 0.03R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 29 42 +8 2.15 60.44 7.73 64.23 5.81 6.63 0.15 5.30 1.22P 0.17R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 28 42 +7 4.08 68.95 7.86 67.37 6.24 7.91 0.86 14.13 3.33P 0.06R 0.00 Maidenhead 29 38 -3 2.89 64.42 3.90 57.62 5.73 -8.63 0.00 0.33 0.05P 4.11R 0.01 Maidstone_United 28 38 -5 4.82 73.75 3.05 59.76 5.90 -9.47 0.02 0.95 0.15P 2.26R 0.01 Eastleigh 29 37 -1 -2.79 36.96 -0.99 59.33 5.77 -2.51 0.01 0.65 0.14P 2.14R 0.00 Woking 28 35 -6 -0.34 48.99 -0.88 57.91 5.97 -9.03 0.01 0.46 0.08P 4.34R 0.04 Halifax 29 34 -7 0.96 55.59 2.59 53.75 5.79 -11.98 0.00 0.07 0.01P 13.97R 0.23 Hartlepool 28 33 -7 -7.18 18.55 -9.82 60.09 6.03 -3.41 0.00 1.03 0.24P 2.12R 0.01 Gateshead 26 32 +4 -7.00 17.96 -1.04 61.89 6.34 7.80 0.08 3.37 0.96P 1.16R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.58 9.83 -11.27 56.73 5.88 -4.82 0.00 0.21 0.06P 5.93R 0.06 Barrow 29 31 -4 -9.07 12.65 -4.46 54.46 5.80 -3.73 0.00 0.05 0.00P 10.77R 0.17 Chester 28 26 -19 -5.23 24.87 -8.01 44.91 5.69 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.76R 8.19 Solihull_Moors 29 24 -19 -6.43 20.31 -5.01 41.95 5.43 -27.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.53R 18.13 Guiseley 28 22 -26 -3.98 29.69 -6.89 39.56 5.53 -36.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.26R 36.35 Torquay 29 20 -23 -10.07 8.48 -8.94 39.13 5.57 -29.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.40R 36.79