Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 January 2018, Man_Utd 3 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         23   62  +50      10.12    96.77    13.45    95.46     4.55    73.13    98.78    99.88   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   50  +32       4.47    75.19    10.90    78.63     4.98    44.26     0.71    39.36    66.45    85.82    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   47  +26       3.38    68.78     6.02    77.24     4.89    42.76     0.19    28.13    55.56    79.43    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +25       1.12    56.04     2.64    76.58     4.91    39.23     0.27    22.18    48.59    74.38    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   44  +25      -3.30    29.41    -0.34    73.63     4.98    39.68     0.05     9.99    27.16    52.16    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   39  +11      -1.44    41.27    -2.84    66.98     5.09    22.80     0.00     0.46     2.24     8.18    93.95     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   34   -1       6.41    84.32     4.93    52.33     5.05    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.03     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +2       0.12    51.24     4.02    53.55     5.17     4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.71     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          23   27  -13      -2.72    34.51    -9.15    49.15     5.33   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.34R    0.04  
Watford          23   26   -9       0.93    56.61     3.23    42.00     4.95   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.17R    0.67  
West_Ham         23   25  -12      -2.05    38.69    -3.11    42.69     5.06   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.07R    0.62  
Crystal_Palace   23   25  -12      -0.74    46.38    -1.84    41.38     5.02   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.33R    1.13  
Bournemouth      23   24  -11      -1.72    40.41     0.06    41.77     5.08   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.23R    1.04  
Huddersfield     23   24  -20       6.19    85.22     3.44    35.10     4.39   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.52R   15.08  
Newcastle        23   23  -10      -4.22    26.99    -3.01    38.32     4.89   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.02R    3.61  
Brighton         23   23  -12      -1.93    39.51    -1.97    37.91     4.83   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.74R    4.71  
Southampton      23   21  -11      -8.67     9.16    -7.25    38.78     5.09   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.79R    3.80  
Stoke            23   20  -27      -1.63    41.08    -9.14    35.04     4.87   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.41R   16.82  
West_Brom        23   19  -12      -7.07    13.62    -3.74    34.91     4.81   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.95R   13.45  
Swansea          23   17  -21      -5.74    18.11    -6.32    31.74     4.82   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.41R   39.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   27   62  +30      15.78    98.43    16.52    94.58     6.02    39.77    83.73    96.44    99.96    97.36P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   52  +21       6.06    78.49     7.97    84.34     6.11    30.27    11.50    57.62    96.08    69.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         27   50  +15       7.94    84.58     7.61    79.10     6.13    19.60     2.48    19.55    81.73    34.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15       5.75    77.70     8.62    76.57     6.05    20.13     1.18    10.48    70.70    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    27   47   +8       9.14    88.02     6.92    74.41     6.22     9.98     0.46     5.58    53.98    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   43   +9       3.46    66.69     5.16    70.16     6.32    10.48     0.11     1.51    30.19     8.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    27   43   +8       2.12    61.10     2.28    70.55     6.11    10.37     0.09     1.70    31.44     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   42   +6       0.75    53.82    -0.25    72.19     6.29    12.32     0.23     3.09    41.83    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   41   +8      -1.97    40.03    -0.73    71.20     6.20    14.02     0.13     2.13    36.62    12.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         27   41   +4       3.16    66.60     2.50    68.05     6.13     5.65     0.03     0.56    18.32     4.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       27   40   +6      -0.59    47.16     0.66    68.66     6.38     9.77     0.05     1.05    23.41     6.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich         27   39   +1       2.56    63.40     1.87    65.02     6.13     0.97     0.01     0.17     8.49     1.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich         27   37   -4      -2.46    37.83    -7.60    63.64     6.18    -3.11     0.01     0.11     5.58     1.43P    0.11R    0.00  
QPR             27   33   -6      -0.85    46.17    -1.55    56.36     5.98   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    2.72R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest   27   32  -10      -0.50    48.24    -2.90    54.94     6.07   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    5.02R    0.46  
Millwall        27   31   -1      -1.47    42.97     5.37    54.01     6.10    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    6.11R    0.60  
Sheff_Wed       27   31   -4      -7.50    15.96    -6.42    57.70     6.07    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.20P    1.70R    0.12  
Reading         27   29   -5      -6.49    19.92    -2.80    53.59     6.09    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    6.78R    0.70  
Barnsley        27   27  -10      -5.05    25.24    -2.60    49.62     5.96   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.48R    3.34  
Hull            27   25   -5     -12.64     5.27    -5.72    51.35     6.35    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   13.71R    2.31  
Bolton          27   25  -20      -2.58    37.52    -5.97    45.39     5.93   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.36R   13.84  
Burton_Albion   27   24  -25      -1.46    43.12    -8.11    41.77     5.57   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.46R   34.92  
Birmingham      27   23  -23      -4.12    28.57    -9.56    42.37     5.64   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.98R   28.70  
Sunderland      27   22  -18     -10.64     7.86   -11.26    45.04     6.12   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.52R   14.82  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            26   57  +38       4.04    70.91    12.59    97.34     6.02    56.84    74.95    94.10    99.99    96.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       26   54  +16      17.53    99.02    14.45    83.86     6.38    19.68     2.97    18.47    95.60    33.70P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        26   52  +24       2.70    63.80     3.42    90.70     6.19    41.20    20.04    70.93    99.75    82.37P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   50  +15       5.06    74.32     3.26    82.08     6.13    23.90     1.65    12.27    94.11    37.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         27   48   +7       5.26    74.96    -1.47    77.42     6.16    11.92     0.36     3.48    78.84    22.08P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +2       3.69    68.79    -1.39    69.90     6.25     3.40     0.01     0.26    31.93     6.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth       27   42   +3       5.09    74.47     3.08    66.91     6.20     1.53     0.01     0.07    17.44     3.29P    0.15R    0.00  
Rotherham        27   41   +9       1.21    56.24     5.07    69.29     6.36    12.23     0.01     0.22    32.01     7.06P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   40   +6       0.86    54.73     3.03    69.20     6.26    10.61     0.01     0.20    30.58     6.71P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       28   38   +2      -2.27    39.09    -0.58    63.79     5.95     3.52     0.00     0.01     7.97     1.67P    0.63R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   27   36   -3      -2.43    37.80    -4.95    62.32     6.18    -2.58     0.00     0.01     5.24     1.14P    1.52R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   35   +1      -0.86    46.12     2.66    59.02     6.14    -1.73     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.40P    4.48R    0.07  
Plymouth         28   35   -5       0.84    55.10     0.98    55.78     5.81   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P   12.06R    0.19  
Gillingham       27   34   -1      -0.90    45.93     2.17    58.10     6.06    -4.00     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.22P    5.98R    0.10  
Walsall          26   33   -2      -2.67    36.66    -2.12    58.66     6.21    -4.50     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.32P    5.75R    0.12  
Blackpool        28   33   -4      -1.23    44.32     1.97    54.98     5.90    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   14.57R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers   27   33   -7      -0.72    46.95    -1.23    56.03     6.13   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P   12.67R    0.36  
Southend         28   31  -15      -4.13    30.07    -9.81    52.91     5.87   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   26.68R    1.24  
MK_Dons          27   30  -10      -5.17    25.19    -7.22    54.14     6.07   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   19.75R    0.87  
Oldham           28   29  -10      -2.71    37.03    -0.37    49.67     5.71   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.91R    3.26  
Northampton      28   29  -23       0.78    55.34    -6.73    47.95     5.69   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.92R    7.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    26   28   -9      -1.94    40.16    -1.37    51.17     6.01   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   35.69R    2.62  
Rochdale         26   22  -11     -11.61     5.62    -7.85    47.64     6.30   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.81R    7.61  
Bury             27   17  -23      -9.91     7.67    -7.60    37.06     5.78   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.23R   76.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                27   54  +35       1.99    59.68    11.55    91.26     5.91    52.94    81.77    97.14    99.89    98.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         27   51  +18      11.45    93.14    14.32    79.31     6.25    21.37     6.12    46.92    87.53    55.10P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   46  +14       4.24    71.06     4.90    77.76     6.30    20.58     4.03    38.19    81.20    49.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   46  +13       3.04    65.23     3.99    75.45     6.15    17.93     1.82    24.44    71.33    36.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   45   +4       5.77    77.69    -1.34    75.36     6.34     8.34     1.84    21.99    67.06    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   44  +11       6.80    80.94    10.77    70.29     6.20    11.58     0.24     6.67    38.28    13.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            27   44   +9       3.99    70.11     4.31    72.46     6.12    12.47     0.60    11.56    51.64    21.47P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   44   +9       0.25    51.19    -0.72    75.23     6.10    16.42     1.54    22.41    69.62    37.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              26   44   +5       1.49    57.56    -5.23    75.59     6.47    11.30     1.86    24.45    68.41    37.08P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       27   42   +6       7.16    83.03     9.30    67.52     6.15     5.34     0.12     2.62    21.96     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           28   41   +3      -0.88    45.57    -2.13    67.35     6.02     5.48     0.06     2.32    21.07     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        27   38   -6       1.48    58.11    -5.68    63.08     6.07    -7.14     0.00     0.40     6.51     1.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle             27   37   +1      -0.80    46.12     0.09    63.85     6.23     1.92     0.01     0.69     9.55     2.66P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         27   36   -4       3.20    67.10     1.91    58.17     5.92    -9.63     0.00     0.06     1.19     0.24P    0.60R    0.07  
Stevenage            27   34   -3      -3.01    35.05    -2.61    59.58     6.19    -3.84     0.00     0.10     2.61     0.62P    0.53R    0.10  
Cheltenham           28   34   -4      -0.49    48.41     1.99    56.26     5.78    -7.74     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.10P    1.35R    0.27  
Grimsby              28   34  -11       0.23    52.10    -4.21    54.80     5.73   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    2.74R    0.64  
Port_Vale            28   32   -6      -7.62    17.14    -7.93    57.99     6.03    -3.99     0.00     0.03     1.23     0.36P    0.80R    0.13  
Morecambe            27   29  -10      -2.16    39.40    -1.09    50.21     5.84   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.26R    3.76  
Crewe                27   29  -13      -3.82    31.28    -6.50    51.13     5.95   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.04R    3.01  
Yeovil               27   28  -11      -3.58    32.34    -2.38    49.78     5.95   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.01R    4.59  
Chesterfield         28   24  -23      -8.48    13.52   -13.31    46.16     6.04   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.31R   14.47  
Forest_Green         27   23  -22      -2.88    35.90    -3.95    41.46     5.81   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.92R   43.08  
Barnet               27   20  -15     -11.13     6.38    -6.04    42.65     6.01   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.34R   29.87  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       29   55  +12       9.47    87.96     3.44    81.17     5.73    16.38    36.58    87.65    48.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   51  +16       2.76    63.49     3.45    78.17     5.75    21.66    20.29    75.81    35.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +8       8.68    85.92     7.03    74.32     5.80    11.02     6.10    49.27    13.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   48   +9       7.88    84.64     5.95    73.36     5.89    10.35     4.83    42.56    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           29   47  +17      -5.73    23.17    -1.92    77.07     5.63    26.81    15.98    72.13    35.86P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   47  +11       4.97    73.54     7.31    71.55     5.65    13.15     2.62    31.90     8.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     29   45  +15      -3.14    34.48     2.49    73.21     5.77    22.28     5.16    46.06    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   45  +11      -3.83    31.49    -2.59    73.89     5.73    19.59     6.38    49.98    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            29   44   +9       2.91    64.06     7.01    68.68     5.83    11.01     0.94    18.10     4.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   42   +8       2.15    60.44     7.73    64.23     5.81     6.63     0.15     5.30     1.22P    0.17R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          28   42   +7       4.08    68.95     7.86    67.37     6.24     7.91     0.86    14.13     3.33P    0.06R    0.00  
Maidenhead         29   38   -3       2.89    64.42     3.90    57.62     5.73    -8.63     0.00     0.33     0.05P    4.11R    0.01  
Maidstone_United   28   38   -5       4.82    73.75     3.05    59.76     5.90    -9.47     0.02     0.95     0.15P    2.26R    0.01  
Eastleigh          29   37   -1      -2.79    36.96    -0.99    59.33     5.77    -2.51     0.01     0.65     0.14P    2.14R    0.00  
Woking             28   35   -6      -0.34    48.99    -0.88    57.91     5.97    -9.03     0.01     0.46     0.08P    4.34R    0.04  
Halifax            29   34   -7       0.96    55.59     2.59    53.75     5.79   -11.98     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.97R    0.23  
Hartlepool         28   33   -7      -7.18    18.55    -9.82    60.09     6.03    -3.41     0.00     1.03     0.24P    2.12R    0.01  
Gateshead          26   32   +4      -7.00    17.96    -1.04    61.89     6.34     7.80     0.08     3.37     0.96P    1.16R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      29   32   -7     -10.58     9.83   -11.27    56.73     5.88    -4.82     0.00     0.21     0.06P    5.93R    0.06  
Barrow             29   31   -4      -9.07    12.65    -4.46    54.46     5.80    -3.73     0.00     0.05     0.00P   10.77R    0.17  
Chester            28   26  -19      -5.23    24.87    -8.01    44.91     5.69   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.76R    8.19  
Solihull_Moors     29   24  -19      -6.43    20.31    -5.01    41.95     5.43   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.53R   18.13  
Guiseley           28   22  -26      -3.98    29.69    -6.89    39.56     5.53   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.26R   36.35  
Torquay            29   20  -23     -10.07     8.48    -8.94    39.13     5.57   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.40R   36.79