Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 16 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 January 2018, Man_Utd 3 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 23 62 +50 10.09 96.75 13.35 95.48 4.57 73.21 98.80 99.86 99.98 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 50 +32 4.39 74.63 10.81 78.68 4.97 44.33 0.65 40.19 66.84 85.70 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 47 +26 3.49 69.44 6.23 77.18 4.89 42.68 0.24 27.25 55.13 78.95 99.96 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +25 1.14 55.91 2.64 76.61 4.92 39.26 0.25 22.25 48.36 74.62 99.93 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 44 +25 -3.38 28.89 -0.49 73.64 5.00 39.69 0.06 10.04 27.41 52.36 99.61 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 39 +11 -1.52 40.67 -3.01 67.06 5.08 22.95 0.00 0.41 2.28 8.36 94.09 0.00 0.00 Burnley 23 34 -1 6.41 84.27 5.01 52.35 5.06 -3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.03 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +2 0.18 51.71 4.05 53.49 5.22 4.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.61 0.01R 0.00 Everton 23 27 -13 -2.66 35.03 -9.03 49.11 5.36 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.33R 0.02 Watford 23 26 -9 0.86 56.03 3.13 42.01 4.97 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 6.05R 0.69 West_Ham 23 25 -12 -2.09 38.45 -3.17 42.71 5.11 -17.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.03R 0.59 Crystal_Palace 23 25 -12 -0.85 45.68 -2.00 41.46 5.05 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 8.04R 0.99 Bournemouth 23 24 -11 -1.78 40.11 0.00 41.77 5.11 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.45R 1.15 Huddersfield 23 24 -20 6.22 85.35 3.49 35.04 4.40 -37.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.87R 15.13 Newcastle 23 23 -10 -4.27 26.65 -3.08 38.33 4.86 -18.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.64R 3.28 Brighton 23 23 -12 -1.89 39.73 -1.93 37.91 4.84 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.89R 4.70 Southampton 23 21 -11 -8.60 9.15 -7.10 38.69 5.08 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.05R 3.66 Stoke 23 20 -27 -1.64 41.05 -9.15 35.02 4.87 -37.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.43R 16.81 West_Brom 23 19 -12 -7.00 13.66 -3.65 34.93 4.82 -19.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.56R 13.56 Swansea 23 17 -21 -5.61 18.54 -6.13 31.70 4.83 -30.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.65R 39.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 27 62 +30 15.90 98.31 16.70 94.50 6.07 39.65 83.36 96.24 99.97 97.30P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 52 +21 5.93 78.20 7.79 84.39 6.07 30.36 11.89 57.81 96.23 69.81P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 50 +15 8.06 85.15 7.74 79.02 6.09 19.50 2.51 18.78 81.57 34.30P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 47 +15 5.51 76.56 8.33 76.69 6.08 20.32 1.16 11.10 71.21 26.81P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 27 47 +8 8.99 87.72 6.65 74.55 6.24 10.20 0.44 5.72 54.91 15.16P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 43 +9 3.72 68.53 5.60 70.01 6.30 10.27 0.11 1.62 29.10 7.54P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 43 +8 2.17 61.31 2.36 70.56 6.13 10.38 0.09 1.66 31.30 8.99P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 42 +6 0.75 53.84 -0.26 72.19 6.27 12.28 0.24 3.10 41.86 12.71P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 41 +8 -2.09 39.33 -0.90 71.33 6.17 14.18 0.12 2.20 37.23 12.93P 0.00 0.00 Preston 27 41 +4 3.08 66.05 2.44 68.03 6.12 5.65 0.02 0.58 18.02 4.38P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 27 40 +6 -0.54 47.34 0.75 68.66 6.31 9.73 0.04 0.97 23.02 6.41P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 27 39 +1 2.65 63.85 2.01 64.98 6.17 0.93 0.00 0.16 8.40 1.90P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 27 37 -4 -2.46 37.62 -7.60 63.63 6.17 -3.14 0.00 0.09 5.56 1.35P 0.15R 0.00 QPR 27 33 -6 -0.84 46.34 -1.50 56.30 5.99 -10.22 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 2.92R 0.18 Nott'm_Forest 27 32 -10 -0.56 47.94 -3.04 54.97 6.07 -14.96 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 5.01R 0.46 Millwall 27 31 -1 -1.55 42.51 5.29 54.06 6.08 -4.99 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 6.11R 0.66 Sheff_Wed 27 31 -4 -7.53 16.19 -6.48 57.71 6.08 -2.78 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.20P 1.63R 0.10 Reading 27 29 -5 -6.38 20.27 -2.60 53.53 6.07 -7.23 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04P 6.96R 0.66 Barnsley 27 27 -10 -4.89 26.24 -2.35 49.48 5.94 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 20.86R 3.40 Hull 27 25 -5 -12.54 5.29 -5.54 51.24 6.35 -4.93 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.32R 2.48 Bolton 27 25 -20 -2.75 36.47 -6.20 45.41 5.91 -28.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.17R 14.03 Burton_Albion 27 24 -25 -1.58 42.63 -8.33 41.85 5.59 -37.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.07R 34.21 Birmingham 27 23 -23 -4.08 28.82 -9.51 42.44 5.65 -32.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.57R 28.74 Sunderland 27 22 -18 -10.69 7.75 -11.34 45.05 6.15 -22.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.16R 15.07League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 26 57 +38 3.96 70.42 12.46 97.42 6.02 56.97 75.84 94.38 99.99 96.88P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 54 +16 17.48 99.10 14.43 83.83 6.35 19.61 2.79 18.39 95.61 33.78P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 26 52 +24 2.80 63.84 3.52 90.61 6.24 41.11 19.46 70.65 99.72 82.17P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 50 +15 4.97 74.06 3.15 82.06 6.07 23.91 1.57 12.37 94.14 37.21P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 27 48 +7 5.21 75.18 -1.56 77.47 6.09 12.01 0.32 3.47 79.23 22.45P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 27 43 +2 3.82 69.28 -1.19 69.83 6.23 3.26 0.01 0.26 31.45 6.57P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 27 42 +3 4.91 73.66 2.85 67.00 6.22 1.64 0.00 0.07 17.95 3.43P 0.18R 0.00 Rotherham 27 41 +9 1.23 56.35 5.09 69.28 6.34 12.19 0.00 0.20 31.69 6.92P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 27 40 +6 0.92 54.87 3.17 69.19 6.24 10.60 0.00 0.20 30.39 6.63P 0.06R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 38 +2 -2.36 38.78 -0.77 63.89 5.96 3.63 0.00 0.01 8.07 1.68P 0.58R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 36 -3 -2.63 36.90 -5.27 62.39 6.18 -2.47 0.00 0.01 5.30 1.13P 1.45R 0.01 Doncaster 27 35 +1 -0.74 46.82 2.84 58.92 6.14 -1.87 0.00 0.00 1.93 0.32P 4.55R 0.07 Plymouth 28 35 -5 0.86 55.24 1.00 55.79 5.84 -10.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.07P 12.02R 0.22 Gillingham 27 34 -1 -0.94 45.59 2.11 58.07 6.09 -4.04 0.00 0.00 1.24 0.23P 6.31R 0.12 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.59 37.22 -1.98 58.59 6.21 -4.63 0.00 0.00 1.61 0.32P 5.80R 0.11 Blackpool 28 33 -4 -1.23 44.53 1.99 55.03 5.88 -7.91 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 14.19R 0.38 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 -7 -0.82 46.47 -1.38 56.10 6.11 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.10P 12.25R 0.38 Southend 28 31 -15 -4.16 30.16 -9.84 52.91 5.88 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 26.34R 1.20 MK_Dons 27 30 -10 -5.14 25.26 -7.23 54.13 6.04 -12.78 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 19.49R 0.91 Oldham 28 29 -10 -2.58 37.72 -0.16 49.62 5.73 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 45.52R 3.42 Northampton 28 29 -23 0.84 55.68 -6.66 47.95 5.70 -32.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 60.94R 6.87 AFC_Wimbledon 26 28 -9 -1.81 40.88 -1.19 51.12 6.06 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 36.04R 2.70 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.63 5.61 -7.87 47.60 6.24 -14.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 57.14R 7.47 Bury 27 17 -23 -9.89 8.01 -7.49 37.08 5.80 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.06R 76.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 27 54 +35 1.99 59.93 11.64 91.27 5.91 52.90 81.66 97.15 99.89 98.17P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 27 51 +18 11.33 93.03 14.16 79.40 6.28 21.50 6.33 47.70 87.56 55.86P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 46 +14 4.25 70.85 4.91 77.86 6.34 20.72 4.20 38.69 81.71 50.08P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 46 +13 3.04 65.60 3.98 75.43 6.20 17.91 1.85 24.42 71.24 36.60P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 45 +4 5.73 77.28 -1.42 75.34 6.42 8.36 1.90 21.99 67.00 32.60P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 44 +11 6.92 81.55 10.95 70.10 6.20 11.31 0.20 6.31 37.03 12.54P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 44 +9 3.82 69.31 4.11 72.62 6.08 12.66 0.64 11.88 52.93 22.02P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 44 +9 0.14 50.58 -0.88 75.29 6.02 16.53 1.42 22.28 70.42 37.79P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 44 +5 1.67 58.44 -4.96 75.40 6.47 11.03 1.66 23.35 67.60 35.68P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 42 +6 7.31 83.22 9.47 67.46 6.11 5.25 0.06 2.58 21.61 6.03P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 28 41 +3 -0.90 45.67 -2.17 67.40 6.02 5.57 0.05 2.31 21.22 6.97P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 38 -6 1.53 58.45 -5.61 63.04 6.06 -7.18 0.01 0.39 6.29 1.64P 0.07R 0.00 Carlisle 27 37 +1 -0.87 45.86 -0.06 63.94 6.21 2.06 0.01 0.71 9.70 2.70P 0.05R 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 36 -4 3.25 67.53 2.03 58.13 5.91 -9.67 0.00 0.05 1.29 0.24P 0.65R 0.10 Stevenage 27 34 -3 -2.80 36.44 -2.30 59.41 6.17 -4.14 0.00 0.12 2.42 0.55P 0.54R 0.09 Cheltenham 28 34 -4 -0.46 48.35 1.99 56.31 5.77 -7.69 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.08P 1.37R 0.25 Grimsby 28 34 -11 0.20 51.49 -4.28 54.89 5.72 -16.49 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 2.56R 0.51 Port_Vale 28 32 -6 -7.63 16.81 -7.98 57.98 6.02 -3.99 0.00 0.03 1.29 0.36P 0.86R 0.14 Morecambe 27 29 -10 -2.33 38.62 -1.31 50.29 5.89 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 12.18R 3.82 Crewe 27 29 -13 -3.85 31.31 -6.59 51.18 5.93 -19.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 9.74R 2.86 Yeovil 27 28 -11 -3.67 31.83 -2.54 49.85 5.89 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.34R 4.40 Chesterfield 28 24 -23 -8.44 13.66 -13.26 46.14 6.04 -27.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.41R 14.47 Forest_Green 27 23 -22 -2.85 35.89 -3.88 41.34 5.75 -34.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.77R 43.51 Barnet 27 20 -15 -11.11 6.29 -6.00 42.64 5.97 -20.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.47R 29.85National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 29 55 +12 9.38 88.13 3.33 81.23 5.70 16.43 36.54 87.97 48.04P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 51 +16 2.75 63.06 3.40 78.16 5.77 21.66 20.34 75.25 34.81P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +8 8.70 86.08 7.01 74.36 5.78 11.05 6.19 49.21 13.75P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 28 48 +9 7.80 84.54 5.87 73.41 5.86 10.39 4.78 42.79 12.15P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 47 +17 -5.81 22.57 -2.01 77.07 5.63 26.82 15.85 71.96 36.41P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 47 +11 5.00 73.94 7.30 71.58 5.67 13.20 2.54 32.10 8.64P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 45 +15 -3.28 33.90 2.25 73.33 5.79 22.42 5.42 46.70 17.18P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 45 +11 -3.82 32.05 -2.59 73.89 5.72 19.60 6.20 49.75 18.66P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 29 44 +9 2.84 63.93 6.86 68.76 5.82 11.13 1.02 17.97 4.38P 0.01R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 29 42 +8 2.20 60.58 7.81 64.26 5.85 6.59 0.18 5.39 1.23P 0.21R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 28 42 +7 4.21 70.05 8.09 67.26 6.21 7.77 0.80 13.72 3.07P 0.09R 0.00 Maidenhead 29 38 -3 2.95 64.74 4.02 57.52 5.72 -8.78 0.00 0.37 0.07P 4.26R 0.02 Maidstone_United 28 38 -5 4.71 73.10 2.84 59.87 5.89 -9.28 0.01 0.88 0.14P 2.14R 0.01 Eastleigh 29 37 -1 -2.92 36.09 -1.20 59.35 5.78 -2.46 0.01 0.77 0.15P 2.17R 0.01 Woking 28 35 -6 -0.35 48.99 -0.85 57.95 6.02 -9.01 0.01 0.47 0.09P 4.52R 0.03 Halifax 29 34 -7 1.25 57.02 3.07 53.62 5.73 -12.16 0.00 0.05 0.01P 14.16R 0.23 Hartlepool 28 33 -7 -7.05 19.32 -9.67 59.96 6.07 -3.58 0.01 1.14 0.29P 2.28R 0.03 Gateshead 26 32 +4 -7.02 17.79 -1.06 61.84 6.33 7.75 0.08 3.26 0.89P 1.32R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.60 9.85 -11.26 56.75 5.87 -4.82 0.00 0.17 0.04P 5.73R 0.08 Barrow 29 31 -4 -8.80 13.46 -4.13 54.34 5.78 -3.90 0.00 0.07 0.01P 10.91R 0.16 Chester 28 26 -19 -5.13 25.21 -7.87 44.86 5.67 -27.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.72R 8.41 Solihull_Moors 29 24 -19 -6.48 20.04 -5.05 41.94 5.47 -27.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.38R 18.65 Guiseley 28 22 -26 -4.02 29.77 -6.94 39.61 5.56 -36.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.03R 36.51 Torquay 29 20 -23 -10.23 8.02 -9.22 39.19 5.57 -29.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.09R 35.86