Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 January 2018, Man_Utd 3 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         23   62  +50      10.09    96.75    13.35    95.48     4.57    73.21    98.80    99.86    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   50  +32       4.39    74.63    10.81    78.68     4.97    44.33     0.65    40.19    66.84    85.70    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   47  +26       3.49    69.44     6.23    77.18     4.89    42.68     0.24    27.25    55.13    78.95    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +25       1.14    55.91     2.64    76.61     4.92    39.26     0.25    22.25    48.36    74.62    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   44  +25      -3.38    28.89    -0.49    73.64     5.00    39.69     0.06    10.04    27.41    52.36    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   39  +11      -1.52    40.67    -3.01    67.06     5.08    22.95     0.00     0.41     2.28     8.36    94.09     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   34   -1       6.41    84.27     5.01    52.35     5.06    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +2       0.18    51.71     4.05    53.49     5.22     4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.61     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          23   27  -13      -2.66    35.03    -9.03    49.11     5.36   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.33R    0.02  
Watford          23   26   -9       0.86    56.03     3.13    42.01     4.97   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.05R    0.69  
West_Ham         23   25  -12      -2.09    38.45    -3.17    42.71     5.11   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.03R    0.59  
Crystal_Palace   23   25  -12      -0.85    45.68    -2.00    41.46     5.05   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.04R    0.99  
Bournemouth      23   24  -11      -1.78    40.11     0.00    41.77     5.11   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.45R    1.15  
Huddersfield     23   24  -20       6.22    85.35     3.49    35.04     4.40   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.87R   15.13  
Newcastle        23   23  -10      -4.27    26.65    -3.08    38.33     4.86   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.64R    3.28  
Brighton         23   23  -12      -1.89    39.73    -1.93    37.91     4.84   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.89R    4.70  
Southampton      23   21  -11      -8.60     9.15    -7.10    38.69     5.08   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.05R    3.66  
Stoke            23   20  -27      -1.64    41.05    -9.15    35.02     4.87   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.43R   16.81  
West_Brom        23   19  -12      -7.00    13.66    -3.65    34.93     4.82   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.56R   13.56  
Swansea          23   17  -21      -5.61    18.54    -6.13    31.70     4.83   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.65R   39.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   27   62  +30      15.90    98.31    16.70    94.50     6.07    39.65    83.36    96.24    99.97    97.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   52  +21       5.93    78.20     7.79    84.39     6.07    30.36    11.89    57.81    96.23    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         27   50  +15       8.06    85.15     7.74    79.02     6.09    19.50     2.51    18.78    81.57    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15       5.51    76.56     8.33    76.69     6.08    20.32     1.16    11.10    71.21    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    27   47   +8       8.99    87.72     6.65    74.55     6.24    10.20     0.44     5.72    54.91    15.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   43   +9       3.72    68.53     5.60    70.01     6.30    10.27     0.11     1.62    29.10     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    27   43   +8       2.17    61.31     2.36    70.56     6.13    10.38     0.09     1.66    31.30     8.99P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   42   +6       0.75    53.84    -0.26    72.19     6.27    12.28     0.24     3.10    41.86    12.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   41   +8      -2.09    39.33    -0.90    71.33     6.17    14.18     0.12     2.20    37.23    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         27   41   +4       3.08    66.05     2.44    68.03     6.12     5.65     0.02     0.58    18.02     4.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       27   40   +6      -0.54    47.34     0.75    68.66     6.31     9.73     0.04     0.97    23.02     6.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich         27   39   +1       2.65    63.85     2.01    64.98     6.17     0.93     0.00     0.16     8.40     1.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich         27   37   -4      -2.46    37.62    -7.60    63.63     6.17    -3.14     0.00     0.09     5.56     1.35P    0.15R    0.00  
QPR             27   33   -6      -0.84    46.34    -1.50    56.30     5.99   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    2.92R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest   27   32  -10      -0.56    47.94    -3.04    54.97     6.07   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    5.01R    0.46  
Millwall        27   31   -1      -1.55    42.51     5.29    54.06     6.08    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    6.11R    0.66  
Sheff_Wed       27   31   -4      -7.53    16.19    -6.48    57.71     6.08    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.20P    1.63R    0.10  
Reading         27   29   -5      -6.38    20.27    -2.60    53.53     6.07    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    6.96R    0.66  
Barnsley        27   27  -10      -4.89    26.24    -2.35    49.48     5.94   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.86R    3.40  
Hull            27   25   -5     -12.54     5.29    -5.54    51.24     6.35    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.32R    2.48  
Bolton          27   25  -20      -2.75    36.47    -6.20    45.41     5.91   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.17R   14.03  
Burton_Albion   27   24  -25      -1.58    42.63    -8.33    41.85     5.59   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.07R   34.21  
Birmingham      27   23  -23      -4.08    28.82    -9.51    42.44     5.65   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.57R   28.74  
Sunderland      27   22  -18     -10.69     7.75   -11.34    45.05     6.15   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.16R   15.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            26   57  +38       3.96    70.42    12.46    97.42     6.02    56.97    75.84    94.38    99.99    96.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       26   54  +16      17.48    99.10    14.43    83.83     6.35    19.61     2.79    18.39    95.61    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        26   52  +24       2.80    63.84     3.52    90.61     6.24    41.11    19.46    70.65    99.72    82.17P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   50  +15       4.97    74.06     3.15    82.06     6.07    23.91     1.57    12.37    94.14    37.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         27   48   +7       5.21    75.18    -1.56    77.47     6.09    12.01     0.32     3.47    79.23    22.45P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +2       3.82    69.28    -1.19    69.83     6.23     3.26     0.01     0.26    31.45     6.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth       27   42   +3       4.91    73.66     2.85    67.00     6.22     1.64     0.00     0.07    17.95     3.43P    0.18R    0.00  
Rotherham        27   41   +9       1.23    56.35     5.09    69.28     6.34    12.19     0.00     0.20    31.69     6.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   40   +6       0.92    54.87     3.17    69.19     6.24    10.60     0.00     0.20    30.39     6.63P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       28   38   +2      -2.36    38.78    -0.77    63.89     5.96     3.63     0.00     0.01     8.07     1.68P    0.58R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   27   36   -3      -2.63    36.90    -5.27    62.39     6.18    -2.47     0.00     0.01     5.30     1.13P    1.45R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   35   +1      -0.74    46.82     2.84    58.92     6.14    -1.87     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.32P    4.55R    0.07  
Plymouth         28   35   -5       0.86    55.24     1.00    55.79     5.84   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   12.02R    0.22  
Gillingham       27   34   -1      -0.94    45.59     2.11    58.07     6.09    -4.04     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.23P    6.31R    0.12  
Walsall          26   33   -2      -2.59    37.22    -1.98    58.59     6.21    -4.63     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.32P    5.80R    0.11  
Blackpool        28   33   -4      -1.23    44.53     1.99    55.03     5.88    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   14.19R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers   27   33   -7      -0.82    46.47    -1.38    56.10     6.11   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P   12.25R    0.38  
Southend         28   31  -15      -4.16    30.16    -9.84    52.91     5.88   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   26.34R    1.20  
MK_Dons          27   30  -10      -5.14    25.26    -7.23    54.13     6.04   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   19.49R    0.91  
Oldham           28   29  -10      -2.58    37.72    -0.16    49.62     5.73   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.52R    3.42  
Northampton      28   29  -23       0.84    55.68    -6.66    47.95     5.70   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.94R    6.87  
AFC_Wimbledon    26   28   -9      -1.81    40.88    -1.19    51.12     6.06   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   36.04R    2.70  
Rochdale         26   22  -11     -11.63     5.61    -7.87    47.60     6.24   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.14R    7.47  
Bury             27   17  -23      -9.89     8.01    -7.49    37.08     5.80   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.06R   76.15  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                27   54  +35       1.99    59.93    11.64    91.27     5.91    52.90    81.66    97.15    99.89    98.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         27   51  +18      11.33    93.03    14.16    79.40     6.28    21.50     6.33    47.70    87.56    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   46  +14       4.25    70.85     4.91    77.86     6.34    20.72     4.20    38.69    81.71    50.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   46  +13       3.04    65.60     3.98    75.43     6.20    17.91     1.85    24.42    71.24    36.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   45   +4       5.73    77.28    -1.42    75.34     6.42     8.36     1.90    21.99    67.00    32.60P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   44  +11       6.92    81.55    10.95    70.10     6.20    11.31     0.20     6.31    37.03    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            27   44   +9       3.82    69.31     4.11    72.62     6.08    12.66     0.64    11.88    52.93    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   44   +9       0.14    50.58    -0.88    75.29     6.02    16.53     1.42    22.28    70.42    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              26   44   +5       1.67    58.44    -4.96    75.40     6.47    11.03     1.66    23.35    67.60    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       27   42   +6       7.31    83.22     9.47    67.46     6.11     5.25     0.06     2.58    21.61     6.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester           28   41   +3      -0.90    45.67    -2.17    67.40     6.02     5.57     0.05     2.31    21.22     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        27   38   -6       1.53    58.45    -5.61    63.04     6.06    -7.18     0.01     0.39     6.29     1.64P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle             27   37   +1      -0.87    45.86    -0.06    63.94     6.21     2.06     0.01     0.71     9.70     2.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         27   36   -4       3.25    67.53     2.03    58.13     5.91    -9.67     0.00     0.05     1.29     0.24P    0.65R    0.10  
Stevenage            27   34   -3      -2.80    36.44    -2.30    59.41     6.17    -4.14     0.00     0.12     2.42     0.55P    0.54R    0.09  
Cheltenham           28   34   -4      -0.46    48.35     1.99    56.31     5.77    -7.69     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.08P    1.37R    0.25  
Grimsby              28   34  -11       0.20    51.49    -4.28    54.89     5.72   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    2.56R    0.51  
Port_Vale            28   32   -6      -7.63    16.81    -7.98    57.98     6.02    -3.99     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.36P    0.86R    0.14  
Morecambe            27   29  -10      -2.33    38.62    -1.31    50.29     5.89   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.18R    3.82  
Crewe                27   29  -13      -3.85    31.31    -6.59    51.18     5.93   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.74R    2.86  
Yeovil               27   28  -11      -3.67    31.83    -2.54    49.85     5.89   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.34R    4.40  
Chesterfield         28   24  -23      -8.44    13.66   -13.26    46.14     6.04   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.41R   14.47  
Forest_Green         27   23  -22      -2.85    35.89    -3.88    41.34     5.75   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.77R   43.51  
Barnet               27   20  -15     -11.11     6.29    -6.00    42.64     5.97   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.47R   29.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       29   55  +12       9.38    88.13     3.33    81.23     5.70    16.43    36.54    87.97    48.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   51  +16       2.75    63.06     3.40    78.16     5.77    21.66    20.34    75.25    34.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +8       8.70    86.08     7.01    74.36     5.78    11.05     6.19    49.21    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   48   +9       7.80    84.54     5.87    73.41     5.86    10.39     4.78    42.79    12.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           29   47  +17      -5.81    22.57    -2.01    77.07     5.63    26.82    15.85    71.96    36.41P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   47  +11       5.00    73.94     7.30    71.58     5.67    13.20     2.54    32.10     8.64P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     29   45  +15      -3.28    33.90     2.25    73.33     5.79    22.42     5.42    46.70    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   45  +11      -3.82    32.05    -2.59    73.89     5.72    19.60     6.20    49.75    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            29   44   +9       2.84    63.93     6.86    68.76     5.82    11.13     1.02    17.97     4.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   42   +8       2.20    60.58     7.81    64.26     5.85     6.59     0.18     5.39     1.23P    0.21R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          28   42   +7       4.21    70.05     8.09    67.26     6.21     7.77     0.80    13.72     3.07P    0.09R    0.00  
Maidenhead         29   38   -3       2.95    64.74     4.02    57.52     5.72    -8.78     0.00     0.37     0.07P    4.26R    0.02  
Maidstone_United   28   38   -5       4.71    73.10     2.84    59.87     5.89    -9.28     0.01     0.88     0.14P    2.14R    0.01  
Eastleigh          29   37   -1      -2.92    36.09    -1.20    59.35     5.78    -2.46     0.01     0.77     0.15P    2.17R    0.01  
Woking             28   35   -6      -0.35    48.99    -0.85    57.95     6.02    -9.01     0.01     0.47     0.09P    4.52R    0.03  
Halifax            29   34   -7       1.25    57.02     3.07    53.62     5.73   -12.16     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.16R    0.23  
Hartlepool         28   33   -7      -7.05    19.32    -9.67    59.96     6.07    -3.58     0.01     1.14     0.29P    2.28R    0.03  
Gateshead          26   32   +4      -7.02    17.79    -1.06    61.84     6.33     7.75     0.08     3.26     0.89P    1.32R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      29   32   -7     -10.60     9.85   -11.26    56.75     5.87    -4.82     0.00     0.17     0.04P    5.73R    0.08  
Barrow             29   31   -4      -8.80    13.46    -4.13    54.34     5.78    -3.90     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.91R    0.16  
Chester            28   26  -19      -5.13    25.21    -7.87    44.86     5.67   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.72R    8.41  
Solihull_Moors     29   24  -19      -6.48    20.04    -5.05    41.94     5.47   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.38R   18.65  
Guiseley           28   22  -26      -4.02    29.77    -6.94    39.61     5.56   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.03R   36.51  
Torquay            29   20  -23     -10.23     8.02    -9.22    39.19     5.57   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.09R   35.86