Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 13 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Chelsea 0 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 22 62 +51 11.46 98.87 14.64 97.18 4.83 74.50 99.35 99.94 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 47 +29 4.13 73.76 10.04 78.03 5.09 42.91 0.37 39.46 65.05 83.45 99.96 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +25 1.23 56.65 2.80 76.61 4.90 39.26 0.16 26.27 53.21 75.82 99.93 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 44 +25 2.06 61.64 5.71 75.23 5.18 40.79 0.10 20.28 43.39 66.92 99.85 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 44 +25 -3.34 29.10 -0.39 73.64 4.95 39.68 0.02 12.08 31.03 54.94 99.61 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +12 -0.08 49.00 -1.98 69.17 5.26 25.11 0.01 1.97 7.34 18.85 96.67 0.00 0.00 Burnley 23 34 -1 6.54 84.79 5.03 52.23 5.06 -3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.28 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +2 0.06 50.99 3.83 53.49 5.25 4.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.32 0.01R 0.00 Everton 23 27 -13 -2.61 35.19 -9.03 49.07 5.32 -11.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.33R 0.02 Watford 23 26 -9 0.85 56.18 3.06 41.99 4.96 -17.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.12R 0.65 West_Ham 23 25 -12 -2.16 37.84 -3.40 42.72 5.07 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.78R 0.66 Crystal_Palace 23 25 -12 -0.82 45.57 -2.02 41.46 5.02 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 7.83R 0.98 Huddersfield 23 24 -20 6.23 85.30 3.53 35.08 4.41 -37.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.13R 15.11 Newcastle 23 23 -10 -4.32 26.39 -3.11 38.43 4.90 -18.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.97R 3.37 Brighton 23 23 -12 -2.00 38.84 -2.16 37.93 4.81 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.99R 4.56 Southampton 23 21 -11 -8.67 9.12 -7.32 38.78 5.10 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.34R 3.54 Bournemouth 22 21 -12 -3.27 30.93 -0.72 39.23 5.26 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.01R 3.76 Stoke 22 20 -24 -1.56 41.14 -8.55 35.62 4.98 -35.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.00R 13.94 West_Brom 23 19 -12 -7.05 13.58 -3.83 34.98 4.84 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.80R 13.27 Swansea 23 17 -21 -5.60 18.68 -6.14 31.63 4.83 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.67R 40.14Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 27 62 +30 15.76 98.25 16.49 94.55 6.10 39.73 83.78 96.26 99.96 97.26P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 52 +21 6.08 78.70 8.02 84.28 6.05 30.19 11.60 57.89 96.16 69.65P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 50 +15 8.01 84.78 7.69 79.01 6.04 19.47 2.41 18.74 81.53 33.99P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 47 +15 5.75 77.31 8.62 76.58 6.10 20.13 1.19 10.94 70.80 26.56P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 27 47 +8 9.28 88.60 7.10 74.26 6.18 9.80 0.37 5.37 52.83 14.48P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 43 +9 3.58 67.60 5.35 70.12 6.27 10.41 0.10 1.63 29.92 8.10P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 43 +8 2.04 60.33 2.17 70.64 6.10 10.51 0.12 1.81 32.19 9.22P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 42 +6 0.81 54.17 -0.22 72.24 6.25 12.34 0.21 3.17 42.39 13.19P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 41 +8 -2.08 39.31 -0.85 71.31 6.15 14.19 0.13 2.29 36.90 12.99P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 27 41 +4 3.13 66.23 2.46 68.09 6.14 5.69 0.03 0.62 18.42 4.62P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 27 40 +6 -0.61 47.22 0.59 68.75 6.28 9.89 0.05 1.01 23.44 6.47P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 27 39 +1 2.65 63.67 2.00 64.97 6.18 0.92 0.01 0.17 8.41 1.79P 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 27 37 -4 -2.42 37.83 -7.52 63.52 6.19 -3.27 0.00 0.09 5.44 1.31P 0.14R 0.00 QPR 27 33 -6 -0.80 46.71 -1.44 56.27 6.01 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 2.95R 0.22 Nott'm_Forest 27 32 -10 -0.57 47.79 -2.99 54.92 6.09 -15.04 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 5.14R 0.52 Millwall 27 31 -1 -1.47 43.00 5.41 54.02 6.12 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.05P 6.29R 0.70 Sheff_Wed 27 31 -4 -7.60 15.88 -6.59 57.75 6.08 -2.73 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.18P 1.70R 0.10 Reading 27 29 -5 -6.44 20.00 -2.68 53.54 6.06 -7.20 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 6.72R 0.68 Barnsley 27 27 -10 -5.07 25.33 -2.61 49.62 6.00 -15.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.65R 3.55 Hull 27 25 -5 -12.68 5.18 -5.73 51.38 6.35 -4.74 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 13.90R 2.25 Bolton 27 25 -20 -2.62 36.92 -6.02 45.51 5.89 -28.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.70R 13.37 Burton_Albion 27 24 -25 -1.56 42.48 -8.34 41.84 5.57 -37.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.13R 34.82 Birmingham 27 23 -23 -4.10 28.62 -9.51 42.39 5.63 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.24R 28.85 Sunderland 27 22 -18 -10.72 7.80 -11.40 45.08 6.14 -22.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.40R 14.92League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 26 57 +38 4.08 71.28 12.65 97.30 6.02 56.80 75.47 94.19 99.99 96.72P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 54 +16 17.54 99.12 14.47 83.80 6.33 19.57 2.82 18.30 95.68 33.53P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 26 52 +24 2.84 64.32 3.61 90.56 6.20 41.01 19.71 70.55 99.71 81.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 50 +15 5.01 74.06 3.22 82.06 6.14 23.85 1.65 12.54 93.97 37.46P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 27 48 +7 5.29 75.15 -1.44 77.41 6.16 11.95 0.34 3.63 78.79 22.33P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 27 43 +2 3.92 69.73 -1.00 69.78 6.23 3.22 0.01 0.26 31.18 6.88P 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 27 42 +3 4.79 73.20 2.64 67.10 6.22 1.80 0.00 0.08 18.50 3.52P 0.14R 0.00 Rotherham 27 41 +9 1.24 56.36 5.05 69.29 6.36 12.24 0.01 0.22 31.77 7.10P 0.05R 0.00 Peterborough 27 40 +6 0.75 54.01 2.93 69.19 6.27 10.59 0.00 0.20 30.54 6.51P 0.05R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 38 +2 -2.37 38.80 -0.80 63.90 5.95 3.70 0.00 0.02 8.17 1.79P 0.64R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 27 36 -3 -2.47 37.69 -5.03 62.34 6.12 -2.56 0.00 0.00 5.15 1.11P 1.47R 0.01 Doncaster 27 35 +1 -0.68 46.73 2.91 58.96 6.12 -1.81 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.31P 4.62R 0.06 Plymouth 28 35 -5 0.73 54.49 0.80 55.88 5.84 -10.25 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.08P 12.04R 0.22 Gillingham 27 34 -1 -1.02 45.38 1.99 58.19 6.08 -3.85 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.27P 6.14R 0.11 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.61 36.98 -1.96 58.58 6.19 -4.66 0.00 0.00 1.61 0.29P 5.71R 0.11 Blackpool 28 33 -4 -1.27 44.55 1.91 55.05 5.90 -7.88 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.06P 14.30R 0.39 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 -7 -0.80 46.59 -1.30 56.13 6.10 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 12.43R 0.39 Southend 28 31 -15 -4.19 30.25 -9.83 52.89 5.86 -19.51 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 26.59R 1.17 MK_Dons 27 30 -10 -5.09 25.67 -7.14 54.15 6.07 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 19.65R 0.86 Oldham 28 29 -10 -2.73 36.77 -0.40 49.65 5.71 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 45.18R 3.43 Northampton 28 29 -23 0.91 56.08 -6.53 47.89 5.71 -32.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 61.25R 6.98 AFC_Wimbledon 26 28 -9 -1.94 40.23 -1.38 51.16 6.00 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 35.66R 2.59 Rochdale 26 22 -11 -11.62 5.84 -7.86 47.67 6.29 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 56.99R 7.40 Bury 27 17 -23 -9.85 7.78 -7.51 37.01 5.83 -32.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.06R 76.26League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2018, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 26 54 +37 3.12 65.87 12.99 93.81 6.04 56.97 88.76 98.85 99.98 99.26P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 26 50 +18 11.57 93.52 14.04 79.66 6.46 21.37 4.66 50.88 88.61 58.62P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 26 44 +10 1.19 56.30 -0.33 76.76 6.35 17.66 1.84 32.28 77.97 46.87P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 43 +12 3.23 66.69 3.81 75.80 6.54 18.03 1.58 28.72 73.06 40.17P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 43 +11 2.20 61.44 3.18 73.77 6.42 15.82 0.71 18.75 62.73 30.06P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 43 +11 7.23 83.04 10.79 70.73 6.39 11.70 0.14 8.68 43.25 15.61P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 26 43 +9 4.20 71.21 4.14 72.80 6.30 12.41 0.47 13.79 55.94 23.96P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 25 42 +3 4.31 71.98 -2.01 73.65 6.62 7.24 0.74 17.06 58.69 26.94P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 41 +5 -0.20 49.02 -1.17 68.66 6.25 7.38 0.07 4.62 30.27 11.38P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 25 41 +4 0.74 53.88 -4.86 74.98 6.67 12.05 0.98 23.23 66.91 35.75P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 26 39 +5 5.71 78.33 8.62 65.52 6.29 3.84 0.04 1.51 15.92 4.21P 0.02R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 37 -6 1.69 59.40 -5.82 63.75 6.26 -6.73 0.01 0.71 9.15 2.52P 0.07R 0.00 Carlisle 26 34 +0 -1.94 40.29 -0.13 62.76 6.41 1.71 0.00 0.59 8.25 2.35P 0.16R 0.02 Cheltenham 27 34 -2 0.19 51.84 2.95 57.95 6.06 -5.31 0.00 0.03 1.50 0.31P 0.90R 0.15 Grimsby 27 34 -10 1.35 58.09 -3.59 56.51 5.95 -15.10 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.12P 1.56R 0.31 Stevenage 26 33 -3 -2.59 36.78 -2.52 59.86 6.43 -4.03 0.00 0.18 3.63 0.95P 0.59R 0.12 Crawley_Town 26 33 -6 2.38 63.36 1.13 56.32 6.11 -11.99 0.00 0.02 0.78 0.14P 1.78R 0.33 Port_Vale 27 31 -6 -7.05 18.41 -7.67 59.10 6.23 -2.90 0.00 0.08 2.45 0.73P 0.59R 0.10 Crewe 26 29 -12 -3.08 34.57 -6.41 52.23 6.15 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 7.39R 2.03 Morecambe 26 28 -10 -1.94 40.36 -1.23 50.63 6.03 -17.61 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 11.19R 3.47 Yeovil 26 27 -11 -3.35 33.20 -2.56 49.45 6.09 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 15.17R 5.09 Forest_Green 26 23 -21 -2.04 40.20 -3.75 41.82 5.97 -35.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.35R 38.99 Chesterfield 27 21 -25 -9.58 9.90 -14.39 43.26 6.17 -31.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.24R 28.41 Barnet 26 20 -13 -10.57 6.82 -5.18 44.23 6.25 -17.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.99R 20.98National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 29 55 +12 9.50 88.43 3.50 81.13 5.69 16.31 37.24 88.07 48.55P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 51 +16 2.75 63.18 3.45 78.17 5.75 21.65 21.08 76.27 35.65P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +8 8.65 86.11 7.01 74.38 5.81 11.12 6.74 50.56 14.53P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 28 48 +9 7.81 84.53 5.85 73.32 5.88 10.31 5.07 43.27 12.38P 0.00R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 47 +11 4.87 73.11 7.21 71.61 5.64 13.25 2.71 32.99 8.95P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 45 +15 -3.19 34.23 2.43 73.26 5.77 22.32 5.43 47.47 17.56P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 45 +11 -3.95 30.94 -2.79 73.97 5.75 19.74 7.05 51.59 20.02P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 28 44 +16 -7.07 17.81 -2.50 75.94 5.82 26.56 12.65 65.74 32.16P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 29 44 +9 2.79 63.41 6.84 68.67 5.83 10.97 1.03 18.58 4.37P 0.02R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 29 42 +8 2.19 60.53 7.79 64.29 5.81 6.60 0.17 5.58 1.24P 0.21R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 27 39 +6 3.05 65.21 7.81 66.28 6.44 7.76 0.66 11.94 2.79P 0.22R 0.00 Maidenhead 29 38 -3 3.04 65.31 4.13 57.47 5.71 -8.86 0.00 0.38 0.05P 4.56R 0.04 Maidstone_United 28 38 -5 4.84 73.98 3.02 59.76 5.85 -9.43 0.01 0.99 0.15P 2.42R 0.02 Woking 27 35 -5 0.37 52.40 -0.79 59.09 6.13 -8.40 0.02 0.99 0.14P 3.50R 0.04 Eastleigh 28 34 -2 -3.99 30.96 -1.37 57.55 5.98 -3.69 0.00 0.46 0.06P 4.76R 0.05 Halifax 29 34 -7 1.06 56.14 2.80 53.69 5.72 -12.10 0.00 0.05 0.01P 14.79R 0.30 Hartlepool 28 33 -7 -7.14 18.72 -9.78 60.03 6.10 -3.45 0.02 1.19 0.28P 2.59R 0.02 Gateshead 26 32 +4 -6.91 18.21 -0.93 61.94 6.34 7.85 0.12 3.61 1.05P 1.16R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.48 10.30 -11.10 56.66 5.86 -4.95 0.00 0.21 0.05P 6.34R 0.09 Barrow 29 31 -4 -8.80 13.69 -4.12 54.36 5.82 -3.85 0.00 0.06 0.01P 11.80R 0.24 Chester 28 26 -19 -5.27 24.59 -8.06 44.96 5.68 -27.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.52R 9.91 Solihull_Moors 29 24 -19 -6.45 19.96 -5.00 41.94 5.43 -27.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.63R 21.84 Guiseley 27 22 -25 -3.18 33.95 -6.84 40.40 5.72 -36.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.39R 35.89 Torquay 28 20 -22 -9.11 10.25 -8.56 40.53 5.75 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.10R 31.56