Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Chelsea 0 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         22   62  +51      11.46    98.87    14.64    97.18     4.83    74.50    99.35    99.94    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          22   47  +29       4.13    73.76    10.04    78.03     5.09    42.91     0.37    39.46    65.05    83.45    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +25       1.23    56.65     2.80    76.61     4.90    39.26     0.16    26.27    53.21    75.82    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        22   44  +25       2.06    61.64     5.71    75.23     5.18    40.79     0.10    20.28    43.39    66.92    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   44  +25      -3.34    29.10    -0.39    73.64     4.95    39.68     0.02    12.08    31.03    54.94    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          22   39  +12      -0.08    49.00    -1.98    69.17     5.26    25.11     0.01     1.97     7.34    18.85    96.67     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   34   -1       6.54    84.79     5.03    52.23     5.06    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +2       0.06    50.99     3.83    53.49     5.25     4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.32     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          23   27  -13      -2.61    35.19    -9.03    49.07     5.32   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.33R    0.02  
Watford          23   26   -9       0.85    56.18     3.06    41.99     4.96   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.12R    0.65  
West_Ham         23   25  -12      -2.16    37.84    -3.40    42.72     5.07   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.78R    0.66  
Crystal_Palace   23   25  -12      -0.82    45.57    -2.02    41.46     5.02   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.83R    0.98  
Huddersfield     23   24  -20       6.23    85.30     3.53    35.08     4.41   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.13R   15.11  
Newcastle        23   23  -10      -4.32    26.39    -3.11    38.43     4.90   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.97R    3.37  
Brighton         23   23  -12      -2.00    38.84    -2.16    37.93     4.81   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.99R    4.56  
Southampton      23   21  -11      -8.67     9.12    -7.32    38.78     5.10   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.34R    3.54  
Bournemouth      22   21  -12      -3.27    30.93    -0.72    39.23     5.26   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.01R    3.76  
Stoke            22   20  -24      -1.56    41.14    -8.55    35.62     4.98   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.00R   13.94  
West_Brom        23   19  -12      -7.05    13.58    -3.83    34.98     4.84   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.80R   13.27  
Swansea          23   17  -21      -5.60    18.68    -6.14    31.63     4.83   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.67R   40.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Barnsley 0 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   27   62  +30      15.76    98.25    16.49    94.55     6.10    39.73    83.78    96.26    99.96    97.26P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   52  +21       6.08    78.70     8.02    84.28     6.05    30.19    11.60    57.89    96.16    69.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         27   50  +15       8.01    84.78     7.69    79.01     6.04    19.47     2.41    18.74    81.53    33.99P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15       5.75    77.31     8.62    76.58     6.10    20.13     1.19    10.94    70.80    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    27   47   +8       9.28    88.60     7.10    74.26     6.18     9.80     0.37     5.37    52.83    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   43   +9       3.58    67.60     5.35    70.12     6.27    10.41     0.10     1.63    29.92     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    27   43   +8       2.04    60.33     2.17    70.64     6.10    10.51     0.12     1.81    32.19     9.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   42   +6       0.81    54.17    -0.22    72.24     6.25    12.34     0.21     3.17    42.39    13.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   41   +8      -2.08    39.31    -0.85    71.31     6.15    14.19     0.13     2.29    36.90    12.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         27   41   +4       3.13    66.23     2.46    68.09     6.14     5.69     0.03     0.62    18.42     4.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       27   40   +6      -0.61    47.22     0.59    68.75     6.28     9.89     0.05     1.01    23.44     6.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         27   39   +1       2.65    63.67     2.00    64.97     6.18     0.92     0.01     0.17     8.41     1.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Norwich         27   37   -4      -2.42    37.83    -7.52    63.52     6.19    -3.27     0.00     0.09     5.44     1.31P    0.14R    0.00  
QPR             27   33   -6      -0.80    46.71    -1.44    56.27     6.01   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    2.95R    0.22  
Nott'm_Forest   27   32  -10      -0.57    47.79    -2.99    54.92     6.09   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    5.14R    0.52  
Millwall        27   31   -1      -1.47    43.00     5.41    54.02     6.12    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    6.29R    0.70  
Sheff_Wed       27   31   -4      -7.60    15.88    -6.59    57.75     6.08    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.18P    1.70R    0.10  
Reading         27   29   -5      -6.44    20.00    -2.68    53.54     6.06    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    6.72R    0.68  
Barnsley        27   27  -10      -5.07    25.33    -2.61    49.62     6.00   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.65R    3.55  
Hull            27   25   -5     -12.68     5.18    -5.73    51.38     6.35    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   13.90R    2.25  
Bolton          27   25  -20      -2.62    36.92    -6.02    45.51     5.89   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.70R   13.37  
Burton_Albion   27   24  -25      -1.56    42.48    -8.34    41.84     5.57   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.13R   34.82  
Birmingham      27   23  -23      -4.10    28.62    -9.51    42.39     5.63   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.24R   28.85  
Sunderland      27   22  -18     -10.72     7.80   -11.40    45.08     6.14   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.40R   14.92  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2018, Blackburn 3 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            26   57  +38       4.08    71.28    12.65    97.30     6.02    56.80    75.47    94.19    99.99    96.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       26   54  +16      17.54    99.12    14.47    83.80     6.33    19.57     2.82    18.30    95.68    33.53P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        26   52  +24       2.84    64.32     3.61    90.56     6.20    41.01    19.71    70.55    99.71    81.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   50  +15       5.01    74.06     3.22    82.06     6.14    23.85     1.65    12.54    93.97    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         27   48   +7       5.29    75.15    -1.44    77.41     6.16    11.95     0.34     3.63    78.79    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +2       3.92    69.73    -1.00    69.78     6.23     3.22     0.01     0.26    31.18     6.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth       27   42   +3       4.79    73.20     2.64    67.10     6.22     1.80     0.00     0.08    18.50     3.52P    0.14R    0.00  
Rotherham        27   41   +9       1.24    56.36     5.05    69.29     6.36    12.24     0.01     0.22    31.77     7.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   40   +6       0.75    54.01     2.93    69.19     6.27    10.59     0.00     0.20    30.54     6.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       28   38   +2      -2.37    38.80    -0.80    63.90     5.95     3.70     0.00     0.02     8.17     1.79P    0.64R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   27   36   -3      -2.47    37.69    -5.03    62.34     6.12    -2.56     0.00     0.00     5.15     1.11P    1.47R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   35   +1      -0.68    46.73     2.91    58.96     6.12    -1.81     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.31P    4.62R    0.06  
Plymouth         28   35   -5       0.73    54.49     0.80    55.88     5.84   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   12.04R    0.22  
Gillingham       27   34   -1      -1.02    45.38     1.99    58.19     6.08    -3.85     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.27P    6.14R    0.11  
Walsall          26   33   -2      -2.61    36.98    -1.96    58.58     6.19    -4.66     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.29P    5.71R    0.11  
Blackpool        28   33   -4      -1.27    44.55     1.91    55.05     5.90    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   14.30R    0.39  
Bristol_Rovers   27   33   -7      -0.80    46.59    -1.30    56.13     6.10   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P   12.43R    0.39  
Southend         28   31  -15      -4.19    30.25    -9.83    52.89     5.86   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.59R    1.17  
MK_Dons          27   30  -10      -5.09    25.67    -7.14    54.15     6.07   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   19.65R    0.86  
Oldham           28   29  -10      -2.73    36.77    -0.40    49.65     5.71   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.18R    3.43  
Northampton      28   29  -23       0.91    56.08    -6.53    47.89     5.71   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.25R    6.98  
AFC_Wimbledon    26   28   -9      -1.94    40.23    -1.38    51.16     6.00   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   35.66R    2.59  
Rochdale         26   22  -11     -11.62     5.84    -7.86    47.67     6.29   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.99R    7.40  
Bury             27   17  -23      -9.85     7.78    -7.51    37.01     5.83   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.06R   76.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2018, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                26   54  +37       3.12    65.87    12.99    93.81     6.04    56.97    88.76    98.85    99.98    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   50  +18      11.57    93.52    14.04    79.66     6.46    21.37     4.66    50.88    88.61    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             26   44  +10       1.19    56.30    -0.33    76.76     6.35    17.66     1.84    32.28    77.97    46.87P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   43  +12       3.23    66.69     3.81    75.80     6.54    18.03     1.58    28.72    73.06    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43  +11       2.20    61.44     3.18    73.77     6.42    15.82     0.71    18.75    62.73    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         26   43  +11       7.23    83.04    10.79    70.73     6.39    11.70     0.14     8.68    43.25    15.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            26   43   +9       4.20    71.21     4.14    72.80     6.30    12.41     0.47    13.79    55.94    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               25   42   +3       4.31    71.98    -2.01    73.65     6.62     7.24     0.74    17.06    58.69    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           27   41   +5      -0.20    49.02    -1.17    68.66     6.25     7.38     0.07     4.62    30.27    11.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              25   41   +4       0.74    53.88    -4.86    74.98     6.67    12.05     0.98    23.23    66.91    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       26   39   +5       5.71    78.33     8.62    65.52     6.29     3.84     0.04     1.51    15.92     4.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        26   37   -6       1.69    59.40    -5.82    63.75     6.26    -6.73     0.01     0.71     9.15     2.52P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle             26   34   +0      -1.94    40.29    -0.13    62.76     6.41     1.71     0.00     0.59     8.25     2.35P    0.16R    0.02  
Cheltenham           27   34   -2       0.19    51.84     2.95    57.95     6.06    -5.31     0.00     0.03     1.50     0.31P    0.90R    0.15  
Grimsby              27   34  -10       1.35    58.09    -3.59    56.51     5.95   -15.10     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.12P    1.56R    0.31  
Stevenage            26   33   -3      -2.59    36.78    -2.52    59.86     6.43    -4.03     0.00     0.18     3.63     0.95P    0.59R    0.12  
Crawley_Town         26   33   -6       2.38    63.36     1.13    56.32     6.11   -11.99     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.14P    1.78R    0.33  
Port_Vale            27   31   -6      -7.05    18.41    -7.67    59.10     6.23    -2.90     0.00     0.08     2.45     0.73P    0.59R    0.10  
Crewe                26   29  -12      -3.08    34.57    -6.41    52.23     6.15   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    7.39R    2.03  
Morecambe            26   28  -10      -1.94    40.36    -1.23    50.63     6.03   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.19R    3.47  
Yeovil               26   27  -11      -3.35    33.20    -2.56    49.45     6.09   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   15.17R    5.09  
Forest_Green         26   23  -21      -2.04    40.20    -3.75    41.82     5.97   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.35R   38.99  
Chesterfield         27   21  -25      -9.58     9.90   -14.39    43.26     6.17   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.24R   28.41  
Barnet               26   20  -13     -10.57     6.82    -5.18    44.23     6.25   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.99R   20.98  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       29   55  +12       9.50    88.43     3.50    81.13     5.69    16.31    37.24    88.07    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   51  +16       2.75    63.18     3.45    78.17     5.75    21.65    21.08    76.27    35.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +8       8.65    86.11     7.01    74.38     5.81    11.12     6.74    50.56    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   48   +9       7.81    84.53     5.85    73.32     5.88    10.31     5.07    43.27    12.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   47  +11       4.87    73.11     7.21    71.61     5.64    13.25     2.71    32.99     8.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     29   45  +15      -3.19    34.23     2.43    73.26     5.77    22.32     5.43    47.47    17.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   45  +11      -3.95    30.94    -2.79    73.97     5.75    19.74     7.05    51.59    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           28   44  +16      -7.07    17.81    -2.50    75.94     5.82    26.56    12.65    65.74    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            29   44   +9       2.79    63.41     6.84    68.67     5.83    10.97     1.03    18.58     4.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   42   +8       2.19    60.53     7.79    64.29     5.81     6.60     0.17     5.58     1.24P    0.21R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          27   39   +6       3.05    65.21     7.81    66.28     6.44     7.76     0.66    11.94     2.79P    0.22R    0.00  
Maidenhead         29   38   -3       3.04    65.31     4.13    57.47     5.71    -8.86     0.00     0.38     0.05P    4.56R    0.04  
Maidstone_United   28   38   -5       4.84    73.98     3.02    59.76     5.85    -9.43     0.01     0.99     0.15P    2.42R    0.02  
Woking             27   35   -5       0.37    52.40    -0.79    59.09     6.13    -8.40     0.02     0.99     0.14P    3.50R    0.04  
Eastleigh          28   34   -2      -3.99    30.96    -1.37    57.55     5.98    -3.69     0.00     0.46     0.06P    4.76R    0.05  
Halifax            29   34   -7       1.06    56.14     2.80    53.69     5.72   -12.10     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.79R    0.30  
Hartlepool         28   33   -7      -7.14    18.72    -9.78    60.03     6.10    -3.45     0.02     1.19     0.28P    2.59R    0.02  
Gateshead          26   32   +4      -6.91    18.21    -0.93    61.94     6.34     7.85     0.12     3.61     1.05P    1.16R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      29   32   -7     -10.48    10.30   -11.10    56.66     5.86    -4.95     0.00     0.21     0.05P    6.34R    0.09  
Barrow             29   31   -4      -8.80    13.69    -4.12    54.36     5.82    -3.85     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.80R    0.24  
Chester            28   26  -19      -5.27    24.59    -8.06    44.96     5.68   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.52R    9.91  
Solihull_Moors     29   24  -19      -6.45    19.96    -5.00    41.94     5.43   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.63R   21.84  
Guiseley           27   22  -25      -3.18    33.95    -6.84    40.40     5.72   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.39R   35.89  
Torquay            28   20  -22      -9.11    10.25    -8.56    40.53     5.75   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.10R   31.56