Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 12 January 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 January 2018, Tottenham 1 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 22 62 +51 11.41 98.76 14.59 97.22 4.79 74.49 99.24 99.92 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 22 47 +29 4.20 74.25 10.16 78.04 5.13 42.89 0.35 36.18 64.64 83.66 99.91 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 22 46 +25 1.90 60.93 3.05 78.20 5.08 41.38 0.31 36.99 65.22 84.63 99.92 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 22 44 +25 2.16 62.51 5.98 75.05 5.19 40.45 0.08 17.58 40.72 67.04 99.75 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 22 41 +21 -3.48 28.24 -1.75 72.36 5.22 36.01 0.01 7.55 22.14 44.96 98.90 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 22 39 +12 -0.15 48.49 -2.06 69.19 5.30 25.14 0.01 1.78 7.28 19.66 95.90 0.00 0.00
Burnley 22 34 +0 7.58 88.67 5.66 53.73 5.31 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.60 0.00R 0.00
Leicester 22 30 +2 -0.00 50.24 3.20 52.92 5.40 2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.22 0.01R 0.00
Everton 22 27 -9 -2.78 34.00 -7.59 50.16 5.46 -7.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.16R 0.01
Watford 22 25 -9 1.30 59.11 3.15 42.35 5.20 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 5.82R 0.73
Huddersfield 22 24 -17 6.69 87.23 4.55 36.57 4.70 -34.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.85R 8.44
Brighton 22 23 -10 -1.31 43.12 -1.09 39.44 5.07 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.51R 2.48
Newcastle 22 22 -10 -3.77 28.99 -2.88 39.14 5.16 -18.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 16.04R 2.99
Crystal_Palace 22 22 -13 -2.12 37.52 -2.40 39.65 5.27 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.89R 2.61
West_Ham 22 22 -15 -2.75 34.19 -4.82 40.74 5.30 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 11.13R 1.94
Bournemouth 22 21 -12 -3.25 31.16 -0.81 39.37 5.27 -18.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.96R 3.30
Southampton 22 20 -11 -8.21 9.88 -7.20 39.11 5.37 -15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.43R 3.46
Stoke 22 20 -24 -1.53 41.38 -8.48 35.60 5.00 -35.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.44R 12.83
West_Brom 22 16 -14 -7.95 9.93 -4.69 33.15 5.04 -21.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.85R 22.73
Swansea 22 16 -21 -5.55 18.02 -6.58 31.59 5.03 -31.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.90R 38.47
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 January 2018, Sheff_Utd 0 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 26 61 +30 16.33 98.73 16.69 95.36 6.25 40.42 88.46 97.43 99.97 98.15P 0.00 0.00
Derby 26 49 +18 5.39 76.54 6.41 82.73 6.26 27.25 7.57 50.11 93.12 63.18P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 26 47 +11 7.83 85.10 5.77 77.15 6.31 15.11 1.38 14.80 71.87 27.91P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 26 47 +9 10.28 91.19 7.56 76.26 6.46 11.76 0.90 11.94 65.99 22.54P 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 26 44 +14 4.27 71.64 7.81 75.10 6.29 19.36 0.77 9.42 63.09 23.36P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 27 43 +9 3.69 68.04 5.51 70.03 6.33 10.25 0.08 2.09 30.33 8.60P 0.01R 0.00
Leeds_United 26 43 +9 3.23 66.42 2.94 72.13 6.31 11.69 0.21 4.09 42.10 13.36P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 26 41 +9 -0.78 45.96 0.07 73.25 6.37 16.02 0.42 5.57 50.92 19.60P 0.00 0.00
Preston 26 40 +4 3.51 68.28 2.52 68.45 6.36 5.66 0.05 1.11 21.20 5.46P 0.01R 0.00
Fulham 26 39 +5 -0.78 46.19 -1.09 69.94 6.46 10.33 0.14 2.22 30.38 9.65P 0.01R 0.00
Brentford 26 37 +4 -1.20 43.93 0.25 67.51 6.53 8.48 0.02 1.03 19.63 5.59P 0.04R 0.00
Ipswich 26 36 +0 1.40 57.96 1.69 63.06 6.34 -0.53 0.00 0.11 5.70 1.28P 0.36R 0.01
Norwich 26 34 -5 -3.82 30.76 -8.19 61.55 6.39 -4.87 0.00 0.07 3.60 0.87P 0.63R 0.03
Nott'm_Forest 26 32 -9 0.39 52.88 -2.51 56.46 6.28 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.09P 4.60R 0.50
Sheff_Wed 27 31 -4 -7.55 16.01 -6.45 57.71 6.08 -2.80 0.00 0.01 0.71 0.16P 2.33R 0.19
Millwall 26 30 -1 -1.04 45.56 5.52 54.20 6.33 -5.32 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.08P 8.43R 1.18
QPR 26 30 -8 -1.80 41.02 -2.57 54.31 6.19 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 8.48R 1.16
Reading 26 28 -5 -6.32 20.00 -2.93 53.64 6.29 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 9.39R 1.36
Barnsley 26 26 -10 -4.86 26.13 -2.68 49.59 6.25 -15.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.29R 5.79
Bolton 26 25 -18 -2.13 39.68 -5.32 46.37 6.14 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 48.48R 15.48
Hull 26 24 -5 -12.18 5.63 -5.47 52.08 6.57 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04P 15.05R 2.98
Burton_Albion 26 24 -23 -0.80 47.04 -7.31 43.41 5.79 -34.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.81R 31.46
Birmingham 26 23 -20 -3.92 29.51 -8.24 43.88 5.89 -28.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.86R 26.70
Sunderland 26 22 -14 -11.05 6.89 -9.99 46.87 6.42 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.22R 13.18
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2018, Charlton 1 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wigan 25 56 +38 4.79 75.32 12.88 98.78 6.16 58.70 81.45 95.39 99.99 97.42P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 25 54 +18 18.07 99.30 15.28 84.92 6.50 21.22 3.43 23.97 96.42 38.18P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 25 49 +22 2.17 61.00 3.08 89.23 6.44 39.36 12.60 57.85 99.32 73.84P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 26 49 +15 5.48 76.68 3.26 82.59 6.33 24.15 1.71 14.48 93.78 38.15P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 26 48 +8 6.64 80.98 -0.40 80.05 6.30 14.83 0.79 7.54 87.52 27.33P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 26 41 +3 5.10 75.12 2.57 67.20 6.38 1.45 0.01 0.10 17.75 3.37P 0.20R 0.00
Rotherham 26 40 +9 1.49 57.85 4.86 70.10 6.53 12.88 0.01 0.33 35.22 7.66P 0.07R 0.00
Charlton 26 40 +1 2.61 63.92 -1.54 68.20 6.38 2.25 0.00 0.15 22.31 4.50P 0.10R 0.00
Peterborough 26 39 +6 0.83 54.44 2.41 68.72 6.39 9.18 0.00 0.17 26.41 5.42P 0.11R 0.00
Oxford_Utd 27 38 +3 -1.24 43.80 -0.19 65.32 6.14 4.75 0.00 0.02 11.48 2.43P 0.34R 0.00
Doncaster 26 34 +1 -0.48 48.09 2.73 59.77 6.40 -1.19 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.44P 3.90R 0.07
Plymouth 27 34 -5 1.14 56.73 1.00 55.79 6.01 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.06P 12.35R 0.33
Fleetwood_Town 26 33 -4 -3.80 30.79 -5.56 60.47 6.33 -3.90 0.00 0.00 3.01 0.59P 3.21R 0.05
Blackpool 27 32 -4 -0.88 46.39 2.13 55.76 6.17 -7.51 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.08P 12.64R 0.40
Bristol_Rovers 26 32 -7 -0.57 47.49 -1.43 56.26 6.33 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.11P 12.21R 0.50
Gillingham 26 31 -2 -2.12 39.25 1.78 56.41 6.28 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.13P 10.61R 0.42
Southend 27 31 -14 -3.02 35.12 -9.14 54.43 6.10 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 19.20R 0.81
Walsall 25 30 -3 -3.96 29.90 -2.52 56.86 6.39 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.19P 9.78R 0.33
MK_Dons 26 29 -10 -4.60 27.25 -6.89 54.84 6.27 -12.34 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 17.16R 0.78
Oldham 27 28 -10 -2.41 37.92 -0.42 49.80 5.93 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 43.78R 4.06
AFC_Wimbledon 25 27 -9 -1.86 40.52 -1.64 51.19 6.21 -15.34 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 35.66R 3.24
Northampton 27 26 -24 -0.92 46.19 -7.72 45.22 5.80 -35.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.84R 17.05
Rochdale 25 22 -10 -10.63 6.97 -7.49 49.00 6.46 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 47.82R 6.11
Bury 26 17 -22 -8.96 9.80 -7.03 38.30 6.03 -31.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.02R 65.84
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2018, Accrington_Stanley 4 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Luton 26 54 +37 3.15 65.77 13.05 93.78 6.05 56.86 89.00 98.79 99.96 99.22P 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 26 50 +18 11.79 94.23 14.32 79.59 6.48 21.21 4.40 50.24 88.41 57.91P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 26 44 +10 1.23 56.32 -0.26 76.70 6.31 17.60 1.76 32.28 77.78 46.79P 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 25 43 +12 3.30 67.09 3.94 75.75 6.58 17.95 1.55 28.59 72.71 40.04P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 26 43 +11 2.30 61.97 3.33 73.71 6.44 15.76 0.73 18.58 62.30 29.89P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 26 43 +11 7.18 82.84 10.75 70.75 6.42 11.73 0.18 9.05 43.73 16.04P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 26 43 +9 4.09 70.43 3.92 72.91 6.31 12.57 0.50 14.23 56.41 24.39P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 25 42 +3 4.27 71.58 -2.06 73.67 6.60 7.27 0.75 17.04 59.13 27.07P 0.00R 0.00
Colchester 27 41 +5 -0.39 48.06 -1.46 68.78 6.21 7.59 0.09 4.68 30.75 11.37P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 25 41 +4 0.87 54.34 -4.67 74.89 6.70 11.88 1.00 23.27 66.58 35.81P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 26 39 +5 5.71 78.02 8.60 65.52 6.31 3.83 0.02 1.63 15.88 4.22P 0.01R 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 26 37 -6 1.76 59.74 -5.69 63.64 6.29 -6.86 0.01 0.78 9.12 2.66P 0.05R 0.00
Carlisle 26 34 +0 -1.84 40.90 0.05 62.59 6.44 1.46 0.00 0.53 8.05 2.28P 0.14R 0.04
Cheltenham 27 34 -2 0.22 51.95 3.01 57.94 6.07 -5.33 0.00 0.05 1.46 0.35P 0.81R 0.15
Grimsby 27 34 -10 1.33 57.69 -3.60 56.53 5.94 -15.06 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.13P 1.58R 0.30
Stevenage 26 33 -3 -2.39 37.94 -2.22 59.76 6.41 -4.17 0.00 0.17 3.52 0.88P 0.60R 0.11
Crawley_Town 26 33 -6 2.23 62.61 0.93 56.43 6.09 -11.85 0.00 0.04 0.84 0.17P 1.73R 0.33
Port_Vale 27 31 -6 -7.11 18.30 -7.76 59.10 6.21 -2.89 0.00 0.04 2.44 0.74P 0.60R 0.10
Crewe 26 29 -12 -3.05 34.82 -6.37 52.19 6.14 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 7.70R 2.14
Morecambe 26 28 -10 -1.83 41.13 -1.09 50.63 6.09 -17.63 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 11.65R 3.66
Yeovil 26 27 -11 -3.53 32.31 -2.78 49.54 6.08 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 15.24R 5.09
Forest_Green 26 23 -21 -2.34 38.91 -4.27 42.06 5.99 -35.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.16R 38.37
Chesterfield 27 21 -25 -9.48 10.06 -14.31 43.31 6.17 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.48R 28.67
Barnet 26 20 -13 -10.71 6.65 -5.36 44.26 6.21 -17.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.25R 21.04
National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Macclesfield 29 55 +12 9.46 88.31 3.44 81.19 5.69 16.38 37.76 88.51 49.12P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 29 51 +16 2.94 64.32 3.68 78.08 5.75 21.60 20.82 76.13 35.39P 0.00 0.00
Sutton_United 29 49 +8 8.67 86.18 7.02 74.31 5.80 11.00 6.60 50.75 14.30P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 28 48 +9 7.91 84.97 5.98 73.29 5.87 10.26 5.00 43.42 12.38P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 29 47 +11 4.95 73.72 7.27 71.57 5.60 13.18 2.66 32.93 8.96P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 29 45 +15 -3.28 33.95 2.27 73.23 5.74 22.32 5.50 47.07 17.42P 0.00R 0.00
Dag_&_Red 29 45 +11 -3.98 31.02 -2.87 73.97 5.71 19.75 6.89 51.55 19.95P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 28 44 +16 -6.91 18.47 -2.31 75.85 5.85 26.43 12.68 65.37 32.07P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 29 44 +9 2.76 63.67 6.77 68.73 5.80 11.08 1.03 18.79 4.40P 0.02R 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 29 42 +8 2.17 60.43 7.81 64.27 5.84 6.61 0.18 5.64 1.26P 0.20R 0.00
AFC_Fylde 27 39 +6 3.07 65.22 7.84 66.32 6.42 7.81 0.73 11.89 2.83P 0.21R 0.00
Maidenhead 29 38 -3 3.03 64.96 4.16 57.53 5.69 -8.81 0.00 0.32 0.07P 4.60R 0.04
Maidstone_United 28 38 -5 4.74 73.44 2.88 59.80 5.88 -9.34 0.02 1.05 0.17P 2.41R 0.01
Woking 27 35 -5 0.41 52.78 -0.79 59.03 6.19 -8.45 0.02 1.05 0.19P 3.71R 0.03
Eastleigh 28 34 -2 -4.03 30.62 -1.37 57.59 5.98 -3.65 0.00 0.46 0.09P 4.91R 0.05
Halifax 29 34 -7 1.08 56.58 2.82 53.73 5.75 -12.03 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.69R 0.31
Hartlepool 28 33 -7 -7.16 18.76 -9.84 60.03 6.04 -3.45 0.01 1.23 0.31P 2.52R 0.03
Gateshead 26 32 +4 -6.96 17.91 -0.98 61.89 6.37 7.81 0.08 3.50 1.00P 1.27R 0.01
Leyton_Orient 29 32 -7 -10.25 10.83 -10.78 56.62 5.92 -5.01 0.00 0.20 0.06P 6.60R 0.10
Barrow 29 31 -4 -9.05 12.86 -4.47 54.51 5.81 -3.69 0.00 0.08 0.02P 11.14R 0.23
Chester 28 26 -19 -5.30 24.59 -8.07 44.93 5.71 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.90R 9.96
Solihull_Moors 29 24 -19 -6.42 20.15 -4.95 41.93 5.44 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.63R 22.03
Guiseley 27 22 -25 -3.26 33.12 -6.95 40.37 5.72 -36.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.33R 35.78
Torquay 28 20 -22 -9.14 10.48 -8.57 40.58 5.81 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.86R 31.42
