Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 29 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 28 December 2017, Crystal_Palace 2 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 20 58 +49 11.90 99.48 15.29 98.72 5.07 78.21 99.37 99.94 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 43 +27 4.22 75.46 9.88 77.79 5.55 42.43 0.34 37.72 63.88 81.87 99.66 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 42 +20 2.67 66.18 1.64 77.43 5.50 37.09 0.22 32.70 59.53 78.95 99.62 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 38 +23 0.08 49.64 5.82 73.10 5.61 40.58 0.03 12.41 30.87 54.03 97.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 +19 -3.14 29.30 -1.34 73.20 5.54 37.69 0.03 12.27 30.70 53.48 98.23 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 37 +12 0.98 55.60 -1.57 70.55 5.69 26.05 0.01 4.94 14.98 31.36 94.93 0.00 0.00 Burnley 20 33 +1 8.81 92.96 6.06 55.54 5.73 -1.80 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.22 5.07 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 20 27 +0 0.36 52.91 2.04 52.41 5.73 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 2.02 0.07R 0.00 Everton 20 27 -6 -0.96 44.11 -6.00 53.11 5.90 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 2.49 0.07R 0.00 Watford 20 25 -6 3.04 69.65 3.60 44.52 5.54 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.85R 0.32 Huddersfield 20 23 -14 7.03 89.39 5.52 37.62 5.11 -32.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.99R 5.47 Brighton 20 21 -10 -0.67 46.60 -1.08 39.98 5.50 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 13.25R 2.18 Stoke 20 20 -18 -0.83 45.50 -6.14 38.21 5.40 -29.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.74R 4.73 Southampton 20 19 -10 -7.12 11.82 -7.13 40.58 5.69 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.97R 1.85 Newcastle 20 18 -11 -4.72 22.83 -3.14 37.82 5.60 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.24R 5.26 Crystal_Palace 20 18 -14 -4.01 25.42 -4.20 36.65 5.53 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.12R 7.45 West_Ham 20 18 -16 -4.06 26.06 -6.03 38.18 5.59 -25.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 22.48R 5.26 Bournemouth 20 17 -13 -4.39 23.23 -1.48 37.59 5.66 -20.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.85R 5.90 West_Brom 20 15 -13 -7.06 11.42 -4.90 34.24 5.44 -21.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.88R 14.99 Swansea 20 13 -20 -6.71 11.73 -6.83 30.06 5.36 -32.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.47R 46.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 December 2017, Cardiff 0 1 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 24 55 +26 14.58 98.18 14.93 91.90 6.74 36.17 72.25 88.47 99.46 91.30P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 24 47 +15 11.10 93.69 10.61 80.06 6.80 19.40 7.20 26.27 79.96 37.90P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 25 47 +12 9.06 88.88 6.58 78.79 6.48 16.55 4.48 18.92 75.30 31.78P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 45 +17 4.91 75.53 6.46 81.91 6.66 26.97 11.16 38.66 88.22 53.43P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 24 42 +10 5.02 75.64 3.98 75.14 6.76 14.52 1.86 8.93 55.52 20.33P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 24 41 +10 5.54 77.03 6.13 72.97 6.93 12.51 1.06 5.75 43.19 13.98P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 25 40 +5 4.58 73.95 3.06 69.94 6.50 6.92 0.25 1.60 24.79 6.78P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 38 +9 -1.16 43.59 -0.08 73.41 6.79 16.62 1.03 6.14 46.83 19.33P 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 38 +8 2.96 66.28 4.59 70.17 6.64 11.14 0.29 2.08 27.50 8.11P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 36 +4 2.67 64.80 3.36 66.11 6.79 3.92 0.08 0.61 12.16 3.06P 0.05R 0.00 Fulham 24 35 +2 -0.89 45.30 -2.33 68.41 6.88 6.86 0.19 1.38 20.23 6.18P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 24 34 +5 -1.95 39.62 0.43 67.10 6.89 9.24 0.14 0.97 16.49 5.10P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 24 31 -8 1.54 59.21 -2.28 58.26 6.74 -12.91 0.00 0.02 1.11 0.22P 1.80R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 24 30 +1 -5.97 20.34 -3.65 62.50 6.65 4.54 0.01 0.14 4.90 1.39P 0.25R 0.01 Millwall 25 30 +0 -0.42 48.66 5.43 55.36 6.56 -4.68 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.07P 3.29R 0.20 Norwich 24 30 -6 -4.42 27.06 -8.20 60.81 6.81 -5.14 0.00 0.06 2.78 0.73P 0.67R 0.02 Reading 24 27 -3 -4.79 25.75 -1.33 56.38 6.73 -4.30 0.00 0.01 0.63 0.16P 2.73R 0.18 QPR 25 27 -9 -3.20 33.54 -3.17 52.37 6.41 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04P 8.55R 0.75 Hull 24 23 -4 -10.59 7.46 -4.79 54.49 7.08 -2.30 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.11P 5.70R 0.57 Barnsley 24 22 -11 -5.99 19.92 -3.31 47.87 6.57 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.33R 4.24 Burton_Albion 24 20 -26 -1.81 40.49 -9.48 40.34 6.02 -40.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.92R 29.42 Sunderland 24 19 -14 -11.26 5.73 -9.79 46.83 6.86 -17.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 31.07R 5.96 Bolton 24 19 -20 -5.15 23.05 -6.70 41.61 6.48 -31.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.65R 21.71 Birmingham 24 17 -23 -6.88 14.73 -10.47 38.96 6.16 -34.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.95R 36.85League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 December 2017, Doncaster 2 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 24 53 +37 3.69 69.72 12.60 98.21 6.39 59.41 76.08 95.42 99.99 97.53P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 48 +16 15.62 98.83 14.46 81.85 6.88 19.51 1.86 13.90 90.52 29.01P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 23 47 +22 3.28 67.67 3.59 90.87 6.86 40.63 19.91 71.77 99.48 82.71P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 24 45 +14 4.82 74.59 3.24 81.55 6.68 23.46 1.71 13.25 90.88 36.77P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 24 42 +6 4.29 72.47 -1.11 76.61 6.72 12.58 0.34 3.80 72.34 21.60P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 24 38 +7 2.33 62.47 3.02 71.25 6.89 11.41 0.06 0.87 42.87 9.91P 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 24 38 +2 5.40 77.46 2.38 67.30 6.84 1.00 0.02 0.20 20.56 3.96P 0.28R 0.01 Charlton 24 37 +1 2.72 64.97 -1.01 69.27 6.85 4.13 0.02 0.37 29.81 6.68P 0.13R 0.00 Rotherham 24 36 +8 0.58 53.08 4.48 68.04 7.03 10.54 0.01 0.34 26.70 6.10P 0.28R 0.00 Doncaster 25 33 +1 -0.08 50.19 2.77 59.53 6.59 -2.13 0.00 0.01 2.97 0.55P 4.70R 0.16 Oxford_Utd 24 32 +1 -2.40 37.34 -1.10 63.57 6.76 2.92 0.00 0.03 9.91 2.20P 1.36R 0.02 Southend 24 31 -9 -0.36 48.59 -6.47 59.85 6.75 -11.19 0.00 0.01 2.97 0.59P 5.52R 0.24 Walsall 23 30 -1 -1.86 39.82 -1.47 60.29 6.83 -2.81 0.00 0.01 4.04 0.88P 4.36R 0.18 Fleetwood_Town 24 30 -5 -3.59 31.15 -5.88 60.15 6.78 -4.99 0.00 0.01 3.71 0.92P 4.63R 0.22 Blackpool 24 28 -4 -0.79 46.40 2.07 55.03 6.79 -8.77 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.14P 17.09R 1.56 Bristol_Rovers 24 28 -8 -1.67 41.47 -2.13 54.85 6.76 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.09P 18.97R 1.94 Gillingham 24 27 -3 -3.32 32.60 0.81 54.96 6.65 -6.33 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.12P 16.45R 1.43 Oldham 24 27 -8 -0.33 49.15 0.31 52.26 6.50 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 29.72R 3.50 Plymouth 24 27 -9 -0.42 48.66 -1.12 51.93 6.60 -16.31 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 31.93R 4.19 MK_Dons 24 26 -9 -5.27 23.25 -6.48 54.36 6.72 -11.69 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.11P 19.94R 1.95 AFC_Wimbledon 23 23 -11 -2.73 34.80 -3.07 49.02 6.59 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 49.06R 9.93 Northampton 24 23 -23 -0.78 46.50 -8.38 44.69 6.31 -36.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.55R 27.58 Rochdale 24 22 -9 -9.41 9.08 -6.73 50.93 6.73 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 36.01R 5.59 Bury 23 17 -16 -7.34 13.29 -4.77 42.31 6.62 -25.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.97R 41.51League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2017, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 24 51 +39 2.89 65.45 15.22 95.42 6.35 61.51 92.27 99.30 99.98 99.61P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 24 47 +18 11.39 94.25 14.12 79.04 6.84 20.73 3.52 51.25 86.95 58.19P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 24 40 +12 6.78 82.23 11.33 70.48 6.76 12.70 0.21 11.16 46.12 18.71P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 24 40 +11 2.33 62.57 3.75 74.37 6.83 17.15 0.92 26.06 68.60 37.44P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 24 39 +8 1.27 56.77 0.78 73.07 6.85 13.78 0.57 19.82 60.94 30.74P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 23 39 +3 4.38 73.08 -1.59 74.07 7.01 8.28 0.93 23.07 64.08 33.01P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 24 38 +8 -1.06 44.00 -0.88 73.87 6.76 16.23 0.65 23.41 66.24 37.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 24 37 +6 1.87 60.60 2.45 69.03 6.71 8.74 0.13 7.47 37.19 14.62P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 23 37 +5 2.65 64.64 0.94 71.53 6.97 9.46 0.33 14.56 51.24 23.44P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 24 35 +4 4.65 74.79 7.88 63.79 6.72 2.13 0.01 1.61 14.04 4.03P 0.17R 0.03 Swindon 23 35 +2 -1.42 42.50 -5.20 72.08 7.17 10.54 0.42 17.03 54.69 27.94P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 24 34 +3 -0.41 48.28 1.03 65.63 6.80 4.99 0.03 3.02 21.15 7.38P 0.09R 0.02 Grimsby 24 34 -3 3.26 68.20 0.11 62.42 6.65 -5.42 0.01 0.93 9.17 2.44P 0.26R 0.04 Cambridge_Utd 24 33 -8 1.08 56.80 -6.83 61.84 6.63 -9.63 0.00 0.62 7.70 2.12P 0.34R 0.08 Cheltenham 24 30 -2 -0.11 50.18 2.19 57.34 6.55 -6.34 0.00 0.10 2.19 0.50P 1.77R 0.43 Stevenage 24 30 -5 -2.05 39.23 -3.31 59.44 6.81 -6.34 0.00 0.32 4.53 1.26P 1.03R 0.20 Port_Vale 24 28 -8 -5.32 23.45 -8.72 59.07 6.84 -6.60 0.00 0.23 4.11 1.30P 1.30R 0.30 Crawley_Town 24 27 -8 -0.34 49.25 -0.01 52.38 6.51 -15.03 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.05P 8.76R 2.68 Yeovil 24 27 -9 -1.24 43.93 -1.72 52.66 6.52 -16.04 0.00 0.02 0.42 0.10P 8.29R 2.65 Crewe 24 26 -12 -3.31 32.90 -6.37 51.81 6.59 -18.97 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 10.58R 3.45 Morecambe 24 22 -13 -4.34 27.02 -3.10 46.52 6.42 -21.70 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 32.36R 14.06 Barnet 24 20 -11 -8.74 10.49 -4.68 46.48 6.60 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 31.58R 14.20 Chesterfield 24 20 -20 -8.89 10.66 -13.08 45.92 6.82 -26.90 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 37.98R 18.22 Forest_Green 23 20 -20 -2.05 39.13 -4.33 41.67 6.59 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 65.48R 43.63National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2017, Aldershot 3 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 26 48 +8 8.44 86.92 2.09 78.86 6.27 13.19 22.81 76.81 34.63P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 26 45 +7 8.92 88.03 6.27 73.53 6.35 8.77 6.24 45.74 12.94P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 26 44 +14 1.05 55.39 3.16 75.83 6.32 20.47 12.55 62.46 25.40P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 44 +5 8.24 87.22 4.01 71.96 6.23 6.31 3.44 35.30 9.37P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 26 43 +16 -0.73 45.95 3.91 77.03 6.31 25.74 17.50 70.51 32.51P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 25 40 +15 -5.39 22.54 -0.99 77.64 6.32 27.77 20.21 73.98 39.93P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 25 40 +10 -2.36 37.35 -2.07 75.85 6.52 20.79 13.43 62.95 27.57P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 25 39 +8 3.08 66.42 5.17 67.95 6.37 8.76 1.20 17.63 4.56P 0.09R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 25 38 +10 2.89 64.95 8.59 66.31 6.73 9.48 0.96 13.71 3.52P 0.30R 0.00 Bromley 26 38 +7 1.87 60.15 6.28 66.57 6.45 8.60 0.71 13.40 3.12P 0.23R 0.00 Maidenhead 26 37 +0 4.94 74.19 5.30 61.85 6.46 -4.01 0.09 3.60 0.66P 1.96R 0.00 Maidstone_United 24 35 -4 6.62 83.29 2.70 61.09 6.62 -9.97 0.12 2.85 0.49P 2.94R 0.02 Woking 24 33 -4 2.05 61.70 -0.80 61.29 6.78 -7.10 0.13 3.31 0.62P 3.00R 0.03 Halifax 26 32 -4 1.40 58.19 3.30 55.27 6.38 -9.88 0.00 0.35 0.08P 13.10R 0.24 Hartlepool 26 32 -5 -6.12 21.39 -8.96 61.94 6.46 -1.18 0.07 3.35 0.91P 1.81R 0.01 Gateshead 24 31 +6 -5.77 21.18 0.21 64.39 6.73 10.99 0.43 8.74 2.50P 0.77R 0.01 Eastleigh 26 30 -4 -4.14 29.35 -1.87 56.93 6.35 -4.68 0.01 0.51 0.10P 8.33R 0.12 Leyton_Orient 26 30 -6 -8.85 12.81 -10.85 58.85 6.56 -3.93 0.02 1.38 0.35P 5.45R 0.05 AFC_Fylde 23 29 +1 0.86 55.45 6.37 59.35 7.30 -0.90 0.08 2.87 0.62P 6.14R 0.12 Barrow 26 29 -3 -7.02 17.70 -3.60 56.74 6.33 -2.30 0.00 0.55 0.11P 8.29R 0.13 Guiseley 24 21 -19 -2.56 36.30 -5.14 43.32 6.34 -30.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.54R 15.49 Chester 25 21 -20 -6.31 18.68 -9.16 42.49 6.21 -31.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.40R 17.62 Torquay 26 20 -16 -8.67 10.65 -6.08 43.41 6.14 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.43R 12.77 Solihull_Moors 26 17 -22 -9.26 9.08 -7.85 37.02 5.91 -33.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.20R 53.39