Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 28 December 2017, Crystal_Palace 2 3 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         20   58  +49      11.90    99.48    15.29    98.72     5.07    78.21    99.37    99.94    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   43  +27       4.22    75.46     9.88    77.79     5.55    42.43     0.34    37.72    63.88    81.87    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   42  +20       2.67    66.18     1.64    77.43     5.50    37.09     0.22    32.70    59.53    78.95    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        20   38  +23       0.08    49.64     5.82    73.10     5.61    40.58     0.03    12.41    30.87    54.03    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   37  +19      -3.14    29.30    -1.34    73.20     5.54    37.69     0.03    12.27    30.70    53.48    98.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   37  +12       0.98    55.60    -1.57    70.55     5.69    26.05     0.01     4.94    14.98    31.36    94.93     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   33   +1       8.81    92.96     6.06    55.54     5.73    -1.80     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22     5.07     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        20   27   +0       0.36    52.91     2.04    52.41     5.73    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     2.02     0.07R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   -6      -0.96    44.11    -6.00    53.11     5.90    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.49     0.07R    0.00  
Watford          20   25   -6       3.04    69.65     3.60    44.52     5.54   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.85R    0.32  
Huddersfield     20   23  -14       7.03    89.39     5.52    37.62     5.11   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.99R    5.47  
Brighton         20   21  -10      -0.67    46.60    -1.08    39.98     5.50   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.25R    2.18  
Stoke            20   20  -18      -0.83    45.50    -6.14    38.21     5.40   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.74R    4.73  
Southampton      20   19  -10      -7.12    11.82    -7.13    40.58     5.69   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.97R    1.85  
Newcastle        20   18  -11      -4.72    22.83    -3.14    37.82     5.60   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.24R    5.26  
Crystal_Palace   20   18  -14      -4.01    25.42    -4.20    36.65     5.53   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.12R    7.45  
West_Ham         20   18  -16      -4.06    26.06    -6.03    38.18     5.59   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    22.48R    5.26  
Bournemouth      20   17  -13      -4.39    23.23    -1.48    37.59     5.66   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.85R    5.90  
West_Brom        20   15  -13      -7.06    11.42    -4.90    34.24     5.44   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.88R   14.99  
Swansea          20   13  -20      -6.71    11.73    -6.83    30.06     5.36   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.47R   46.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 December 2017, Cardiff 0 1 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   24   55  +26      14.58    98.18    14.93    91.90     6.74    36.17    72.25    88.47    99.46    91.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    24   47  +15      11.10    93.69    10.61    80.06     6.80    19.40     7.20    26.27    79.96    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         25   47  +12       9.06    88.88     6.58    78.79     6.48    16.55     4.48    18.92    75.30    31.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   45  +17       4.91    75.53     6.46    81.91     6.66    26.97    11.16    38.66    88.22    53.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    24   42  +10       5.02    75.64     3.98    75.14     6.76    14.52     1.86     8.93    55.52    20.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   41  +10       5.54    77.03     6.13    72.97     6.93    12.51     1.06     5.75    43.19    13.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         25   40   +5       4.58    73.95     3.06    69.94     6.50     6.92     0.25     1.60    24.79     6.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   38   +9      -1.16    43.59    -0.08    73.41     6.79    16.62     1.03     6.14    46.83    19.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   38   +8       2.96    66.28     4.59    70.17     6.64    11.14     0.29     2.08    27.50     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         24   36   +4       2.67    64.80     3.36    66.11     6.79     3.92     0.08     0.61    12.16     3.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Fulham          24   35   +2      -0.89    45.30    -2.33    68.41     6.88     6.86     0.19     1.38    20.23     6.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       24   34   +5      -1.95    39.62     0.43    67.10     6.89     9.24     0.14     0.97    16.49     5.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   31   -8       1.54    59.21    -2.28    58.26     6.74   -12.91     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.22P    1.80R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed       24   30   +1      -5.97    20.34    -3.65    62.50     6.65     4.54     0.01     0.14     4.90     1.39P    0.25R    0.01  
Millwall        25   30   +0      -0.42    48.66     5.43    55.36     6.56    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    3.29R    0.20  
Norwich         24   30   -6      -4.42    27.06    -8.20    60.81     6.81    -5.14     0.00     0.06     2.78     0.73P    0.67R    0.02  
Reading         24   27   -3      -4.79    25.75    -1.33    56.38     6.73    -4.30     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.16P    2.73R    0.18  
QPR             25   27   -9      -3.20    33.54    -3.17    52.37     6.41   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    8.55R    0.75  
Hull            24   23   -4     -10.59     7.46    -4.79    54.49     7.08    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    5.70R    0.57  
Barnsley        24   22  -11      -5.99    19.92    -3.31    47.87     6.57   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.33R    4.24  
Burton_Albion   24   20  -26      -1.81    40.49    -9.48    40.34     6.02   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.92R   29.42  
Sunderland      24   19  -14     -11.26     5.73    -9.79    46.83     6.86   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.07R    5.96  
Bolton          24   19  -20      -5.15    23.05    -6.70    41.61     6.48   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.65R   21.71  
Birmingham      24   17  -23      -6.88    14.73   -10.47    38.96     6.16   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.95R   36.85  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 December 2017, Doncaster 2 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            24   53  +37       3.69    69.72    12.60    98.21     6.39    59.41    76.08    95.42    99.99    97.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       23   48  +16      15.62    98.83    14.46    81.85     6.88    19.51     1.86    13.90    90.52    29.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        23   47  +22       3.28    67.67     3.59    90.87     6.86    40.63    19.91    71.77    99.48    82.71P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       24   45  +14       4.82    74.59     3.24    81.55     6.68    23.46     1.71    13.25    90.88    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         24   42   +6       4.29    72.47    -1.11    76.61     6.72    12.58     0.34     3.80    72.34    21.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     24   38   +7       2.33    62.47     3.02    71.25     6.89    11.41     0.06     0.87    42.87     9.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth       24   38   +2       5.40    77.46     2.38    67.30     6.84     1.00     0.02     0.20    20.56     3.96P    0.28R    0.01  
Charlton         24   37   +1       2.72    64.97    -1.01    69.27     6.85     4.13     0.02     0.37    29.81     6.68P    0.13R    0.00  
Rotherham        24   36   +8       0.58    53.08     4.48    68.04     7.03    10.54     0.01     0.34    26.70     6.10P    0.28R    0.00  
Doncaster        25   33   +1      -0.08    50.19     2.77    59.53     6.59    -2.13     0.00     0.01     2.97     0.55P    4.70R    0.16  
Oxford_Utd       24   32   +1      -2.40    37.34    -1.10    63.57     6.76     2.92     0.00     0.03     9.91     2.20P    1.36R    0.02  
Southend         24   31   -9      -0.36    48.59    -6.47    59.85     6.75   -11.19     0.00     0.01     2.97     0.59P    5.52R    0.24  
Walsall          23   30   -1      -1.86    39.82    -1.47    60.29     6.83    -2.81     0.00     0.01     4.04     0.88P    4.36R    0.18  
Fleetwood_Town   24   30   -5      -3.59    31.15    -5.88    60.15     6.78    -4.99     0.00     0.01     3.71     0.92P    4.63R    0.22  
Blackpool        24   28   -4      -0.79    46.40     2.07    55.03     6.79    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.14P   17.09R    1.56  
Bristol_Rovers   24   28   -8      -1.67    41.47    -2.13    54.85     6.76   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.09P   18.97R    1.94  
Gillingham       24   27   -3      -3.32    32.60     0.81    54.96     6.65    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P   16.45R    1.43  
Oldham           24   27   -8      -0.33    49.15     0.31    52.26     6.50   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   29.72R    3.50  
Plymouth         24   27   -9      -0.42    48.66    -1.12    51.93     6.60   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   31.93R    4.19  
MK_Dons          24   26   -9      -5.27    23.25    -6.48    54.36     6.72   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.11P   19.94R    1.95  
AFC_Wimbledon    23   23  -11      -2.73    34.80    -3.07    49.02     6.59   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.06R    9.93  
Northampton      24   23  -23      -0.78    46.50    -8.38    44.69     6.31   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.55R   27.58  
Rochdale         24   22   -9      -9.41     9.08    -6.73    50.93     6.73   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   36.01R    5.59  
Bury             23   17  -16      -7.34    13.29    -4.77    42.31     6.62   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.97R   41.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2017, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                24   51  +39       2.89    65.45    15.22    95.42     6.35    61.51    92.27    99.30    99.98    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         24   47  +18      11.39    94.25    14.12    79.04     6.84    20.73     3.52    51.25    86.95    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         24   40  +12       6.78    82.23    11.33    70.48     6.76    12.70     0.21    11.16    46.12    18.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              24   40  +11       2.33    62.57     3.75    74.37     6.83    17.15     0.92    26.06    68.60    37.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           24   39   +8       1.27    56.77     0.78    73.07     6.85    13.78     0.57    19.82    60.94    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               23   39   +3       4.38    73.08    -1.59    74.07     7.01     8.28     0.93    23.07    64.08    33.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             24   38   +8      -1.06    44.00    -0.88    73.87     6.76    16.23     0.65    23.41    66.24    37.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            24   37   +6       1.87    60.60     2.45    69.03     6.71     8.74     0.13     7.47    37.19    14.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   37   +5       2.65    64.64     0.94    71.53     6.97     9.46     0.33    14.56    51.24    23.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       24   35   +4       4.65    74.79     7.88    63.79     6.72     2.13     0.01     1.61    14.04     4.03P    0.17R    0.03  
Swindon              23   35   +2      -1.42    42.50    -5.20    72.08     7.17    10.54     0.42    17.03    54.69    27.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             24   34   +3      -0.41    48.28     1.03    65.63     6.80     4.99     0.03     3.02    21.15     7.38P    0.09R    0.02  
Grimsby              24   34   -3       3.26    68.20     0.11    62.42     6.65    -5.42     0.01     0.93     9.17     2.44P    0.26R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        24   33   -8       1.08    56.80    -6.83    61.84     6.63    -9.63     0.00     0.62     7.70     2.12P    0.34R    0.08  
Cheltenham           24   30   -2      -0.11    50.18     2.19    57.34     6.55    -6.34     0.00     0.10     2.19     0.50P    1.77R    0.43  
Stevenage            24   30   -5      -2.05    39.23    -3.31    59.44     6.81    -6.34     0.00     0.32     4.53     1.26P    1.03R    0.20  
Port_Vale            24   28   -8      -5.32    23.45    -8.72    59.07     6.84    -6.60     0.00     0.23     4.11     1.30P    1.30R    0.30  
Crawley_Town         24   27   -8      -0.34    49.25    -0.01    52.38     6.51   -15.03     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.05P    8.76R    2.68  
Yeovil               24   27   -9      -1.24    43.93    -1.72    52.66     6.52   -16.04     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.10P    8.29R    2.65  
Crewe                24   26  -12      -3.31    32.90    -6.37    51.81     6.59   -18.97     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   10.58R    3.45  
Morecambe            24   22  -13      -4.34    27.02    -3.10    46.52     6.42   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   32.36R   14.06  
Barnet               24   20  -11      -8.74    10.49    -4.68    46.48     6.60   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   31.58R   14.20  
Chesterfield         24   20  -20      -8.89    10.66   -13.08    45.92     6.82   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.98R   18.22  
Forest_Green         23   20  -20      -2.05    39.13    -4.33    41.67     6.59   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   65.48R   43.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2017, Aldershot 3 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       26   48   +8       8.44    86.92     2.09    78.86     6.27    13.19    22.81    76.81    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      26   45   +7       8.92    88.03     6.27    73.53     6.35     8.77     6.24    45.74    12.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   44  +14       1.05    55.39     3.16    75.83     6.32    20.47    12.55    62.46    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   44   +5       8.24    87.22     4.01    71.96     6.23     6.31     3.44    35.30     9.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     26   43  +16      -0.73    45.95     3.91    77.03     6.31    25.74    17.50    70.51    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           25   40  +15      -5.39    22.54    -0.99    77.64     6.32    27.77    20.21    73.98    39.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          25   40  +10      -2.36    37.35    -2.07    75.85     6.52    20.79    13.43    62.95    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       25   39   +8       3.08    66.42     5.17    67.95     6.37     8.76     1.20    17.63     4.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   38  +10       2.89    64.95     8.59    66.31     6.73     9.48     0.96    13.71     3.52P    0.30R    0.00  
Bromley            26   38   +7       1.87    60.15     6.28    66.57     6.45     8.60     0.71    13.40     3.12P    0.23R    0.00  
Maidenhead         26   37   +0       4.94    74.19     5.30    61.85     6.46    -4.01     0.09     3.60     0.66P    1.96R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   24   35   -4       6.62    83.29     2.70    61.09     6.62    -9.97     0.12     2.85     0.49P    2.94R    0.02  
Woking             24   33   -4       2.05    61.70    -0.80    61.29     6.78    -7.10     0.13     3.31     0.62P    3.00R    0.03  
Halifax            26   32   -4       1.40    58.19     3.30    55.27     6.38    -9.88     0.00     0.35     0.08P   13.10R    0.24  
Hartlepool         26   32   -5      -6.12    21.39    -8.96    61.94     6.46    -1.18     0.07     3.35     0.91P    1.81R    0.01  
Gateshead          24   31   +6      -5.77    21.18     0.21    64.39     6.73    10.99     0.43     8.74     2.50P    0.77R    0.01  
Eastleigh          26   30   -4      -4.14    29.35    -1.87    56.93     6.35    -4.68     0.01     0.51     0.10P    8.33R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient      26   30   -6      -8.85    12.81   -10.85    58.85     6.56    -3.93     0.02     1.38     0.35P    5.45R    0.05  
AFC_Fylde          23   29   +1       0.86    55.45     6.37    59.35     7.30    -0.90     0.08     2.87     0.62P    6.14R    0.12  
Barrow             26   29   -3      -7.02    17.70    -3.60    56.74     6.33    -2.30     0.00     0.55     0.11P    8.29R    0.13  
Guiseley           24   21  -19      -2.56    36.30    -5.14    43.32     6.34   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.54R   15.49  
Chester            25   21  -20      -6.31    18.68    -9.16    42.49     6.21   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.40R   17.62  
Torquay            26   20  -16      -8.67    10.65    -6.08    43.41     6.14   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.43R   12.77  
Solihull_Moors     26   17  -22      -9.26     9.08    -7.85    37.02     5.91   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.20R   53.39