Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 19 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 December 2017, Everton 3 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 18 52 +44 11.08 99.37 14.91 97.58 5.39 77.30 97.87 99.80 99.98 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 41 +27 5.85 85.04 11.23 79.98 5.92 44.33 1.44 51.79 78.09 91.11 99.77 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 38 +18 2.72 67.47 1.51 77.60 5.85 37.26 0.57 30.58 63.65 83.05 99.37 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 34 +18 0.51 52.52 4.00 71.95 6.05 35.30 0.08 8.67 25.61 51.06 95.51 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 33 +11 0.44 52.52 -1.28 70.05 6.15 25.92 0.02 4.30 15.44 35.42 91.84 0.00 0.00 Burnley 18 32 +4 9.12 94.80 6.79 56.18 5.97 -0.12 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.61 9.57 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 18 31 +13 -4.07 23.35 -3.31 70.24 5.98 31.50 0.02 4.85 17.04 38.17 92.82 0.00 0.00 Leicester 18 26 +1 1.67 61.52 2.27 53.84 6.16 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.28 5.59 0.05R 0.00 Everton 18 25 -6 -0.42 47.69 -6.23 53.58 6.36 -4.83 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.31 5.23 0.12R 0.00 Watford 18 22 -6 2.69 68.73 3.55 43.83 5.98 -17.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 5.27R 0.74 Huddersfield 18 21 -14 7.20 91.11 4.75 37.47 5.57 -33.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 29.93R 7.84 Southampton 18 18 -7 -5.95 15.23 -5.39 42.76 6.06 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 6.61R 1.16 Brighton 18 18 -9 -1.64 39.83 -1.33 38.91 5.90 -19.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 19.99R 4.71 Crystal_Palace 18 17 -13 -2.82 31.31 -4.37 37.72 5.90 -23.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 27.01R 7.29 West_Ham 18 17 -15 -2.48 33.98 -5.76 39.96 6.05 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 17.02R 3.98 Bournemouth 18 16 -9 -3.90 25.02 -0.70 38.77 6.03 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.78R 5.12 Stoke 18 16 -20 -1.42 41.25 -7.27 36.68 5.82 -32.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.88R 10.81 Newcastle 18 15 -11 -5.62 16.68 -4.48 36.03 5.96 -22.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.26R 12.03 West_Brom 18 14 -11 -5.95 14.22 -3.93 36.02 5.91 -19.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.55R 11.36 Swansea 18 12 -15 -6.47 11.48 -4.95 31.59 5.73 -27.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.51R 34.96Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2017, Birmingham 1 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 22 51 +25 14.06 98.28 14.99 91.41 7.09 36.32 61.32 83.29 99.26 87.40P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 22 47 +17 12.19 96.39 10.16 85.63 7.10 25.57 21.72 54.08 95.23 64.64P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 22 43 +13 10.61 93.69 9.80 79.00 7.29 17.64 5.44 18.62 76.84 30.96P 0.00 0.00 Derby 22 41 +14 4.78 75.92 5.04 80.87 7.09 24.30 8.34 27.26 85.09 44.82P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 37 +9 4.36 74.06 5.12 72.33 7.07 12.76 0.71 3.79 43.19 13.45P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 37 +7 5.34 77.50 4.80 71.05 7.32 8.48 0.64 3.03 36.28 10.05P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 22 36 +8 2.63 65.02 3.25 72.46 7.13 13.42 0.81 4.21 44.59 14.29P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 22 35 +5 3.86 71.43 3.52 68.13 7.23 5.23 0.28 1.23 22.23 5.62P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 22 35 +4 3.90 71.88 2.50 69.14 7.08 6.03 0.24 1.46 25.61 6.80P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 22 32 +6 -2.82 34.25 -0.81 69.86 7.19 13.28 0.38 2.05 31.39 11.29P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 22 30 -5 2.40 64.55 -0.63 60.14 7.13 -9.66 0.01 0.07 3.40 0.70P 1.31R 0.05 Fulham 22 29 -1 -2.95 33.65 -3.49 64.47 7.21 2.79 0.06 0.37 10.89 3.12P 0.28R 0.00 Brentford 22 28 +3 -4.62 25.39 -0.69 63.33 7.35 6.44 0.03 0.28 9.49 2.61P 0.43R 0.01 Reading 22 27 +0 -2.83 34.53 0.47 60.52 7.12 0.82 0.01 0.06 4.01 0.99P 1.13R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 22 27 -1 -5.56 20.88 -4.71 61.71 7.08 1.84 0.01 0.11 5.26 1.45P 0.67R 0.01 Norwich 22 27 -7 -4.32 26.83 -8.69 61.02 7.22 -5.48 0.01 0.08 4.23 1.13P 0.97R 0.04 Millwall 22 26 +2 -1.08 44.65 6.31 55.02 7.17 -3.31 0.00 0.01 0.92 0.19P 5.41R 0.34 QPR 22 25 -8 -1.83 40.13 -3.04 53.86 6.94 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.08P 7.73R 0.52 Hull 22 22 -3 -9.43 9.16 -4.71 56.01 7.56 -1.75 0.00 0.02 1.50 0.37P 5.03R 0.42 Barnsley 22 21 -10 -4.91 23.66 -3.27 49.15 6.97 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 21.73R 2.85 Sunderland 22 18 -11 -10.48 6.29 -8.34 49.67 7.29 -13.04 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04P 20.43R 2.95 Burton_Albion 22 17 -26 -2.80 33.56 -10.62 38.75 6.38 -42.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.93R 36.89 Bolton 22 16 -20 -5.94 18.40 -7.21 39.61 6.77 -34.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.18R 29.96 Birmingham 22 16 -21 -6.07 16.63 -9.74 40.25 6.58 -33.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.70R 25.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 December 2017, Fleetwood_Town 2 3 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 21 48 +30 6.04 82.53 10.39 97.45 7.11 52.38 69.10 92.76 99.95 95.72P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 21 44 +14 14.63 98.65 12.84 79.27 7.26 15.57 1.51 9.40 81.89 22.52P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 21 43 +20 3.31 68.58 3.41 91.40 7.32 41.44 25.92 74.28 99.37 83.85P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 22 42 +9 6.51 82.89 1.14 81.03 7.13 18.02 2.19 13.23 88.04 34.43P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 22 39 +11 2.78 65.76 2.09 78.63 7.10 20.91 1.08 7.89 81.46 29.78P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 21 35 +3 4.23 73.67 0.04 71.44 7.44 6.22 0.13 1.31 43.07 10.51P 0.10R 0.00 Portsmouth 22 35 +3 4.86 76.07 2.97 67.62 7.25 2.81 0.03 0.37 24.03 4.98P 0.36R 0.01 Peterborough 22 32 +2 0.66 54.03 0.55 66.83 7.23 4.59 0.01 0.27 21.41 4.51P 0.70R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 22 31 +8 -2.88 34.15 2.52 66.74 7.17 12.26 0.02 0.28 22.06 5.48P 0.49R 0.02 Rotherham 22 30 +4 -1.10 44.24 2.93 64.11 7.43 5.50 0.00 0.13 13.75 3.09P 1.80R 0.09 Walsall 21 28 -1 -1.09 44.01 -1.39 61.29 7.32 -2.50 0.00 0.04 6.70 1.42P 4.10R 0.24 Southend 22 28 -9 -0.98 44.97 -7.00 59.05 7.19 -11.93 0.00 0.01 3.28 0.63P 8.01R 0.65 Blackpool 22 27 -3 0.13 51.76 1.81 56.26 7.13 -8.41 0.00 0.01 1.65 0.33P 14.11R 1.38 Oldham 22 27 -4 1.09 57.46 2.18 56.08 6.95 -9.79 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.18P 14.28R 1.38 Fleetwood_Town 22 27 -4 -4.07 27.68 -5.25 60.94 7.21 -2.41 0.00 0.02 5.79 1.34P 4.35R 0.28 Bristol_Rovers 22 27 -7 -0.34 48.90 -1.63 56.85 7.20 -12.41 0.00 0.01 1.83 0.29P 13.34R 1.41 MK_Dons 22 26 -7 -3.32 31.79 -5.69 57.89 7.16 -8.59 0.00 0.01 2.41 0.51P 10.04R 0.82 Doncaster 22 24 -5 -2.81 34.92 0.10 53.30 7.18 -10.27 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.13P 25.50R 3.73 Gillingham 22 23 -5 -4.08 27.86 -0.35 52.58 7.05 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 28.04R 4.27 Northampton 22 22 -20 -0.57 47.96 -7.87 45.70 6.69 -34.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 70.01R 24.97 Rochdale 21 21 -5 -7.85 11.95 -5.11 54.34 7.31 -6.80 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.22P 20.65R 2.83 Plymouth 22 21 -13 -2.45 36.70 -3.28 46.82 6.85 -22.88 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 61.98R 18.81 AFC_Wimbledon 21 20 -11 -3.42 30.16 -3.67 47.64 6.89 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 56.65R 15.68 Bury 21 17 -10 -6.38 16.13 -1.73 45.72 7.13 -18.67 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 65.48R 23.39League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2017, Barnet 2 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 22 45 +32 2.24 62.34 12.49 91.54 6.86 53.37 79.14 96.20 99.79 97.44P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 22 43 +15 11.30 95.12 12.78 77.47 7.20 17.30 5.38 39.23 79.82 47.26P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 22 39 +5 5.34 78.01 -0.22 76.35 7.20 11.69 3.98 32.41 74.45 42.79P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 22 37 +10 2.50 64.25 3.43 74.01 7.14 16.05 2.08 23.32 65.40 34.15P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 21 37 +8 4.85 76.07 2.96 75.72 7.36 14.64 3.48 30.79 72.08 41.01P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 22 36 +9 6.42 82.28 9.68 68.55 7.22 8.75 0.43 7.23 35.52 12.84P 0.04R 0.01 Coventry 22 35 +8 -1.09 43.74 -0.56 73.99 7.18 16.77 2.11 23.11 65.59 36.93P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 22 35 +6 0.93 55.52 0.09 72.02 7.22 12.12 1.20 15.52 54.26 25.85P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 22 34 +6 5.74 80.54 8.93 65.60 7.10 4.12 0.11 3.21 21.28 6.59P 0.11R 0.01 Mansfield 22 33 +5 1.22 57.36 2.34 68.07 7.04 8.23 0.23 6.00 32.57 12.37P 0.05R 0.01 Grimsby 22 33 -1 3.98 72.55 0.50 63.73 7.00 -4.24 0.06 1.61 13.48 3.81P 0.27R 0.05 Swindon 21 32 +4 -2.51 35.65 -4.50 72.60 7.60 13.73 1.72 19.08 57.47 30.69P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 22 29 -9 0.21 51.90 -7.36 60.17 6.97 -11.11 0.01 0.46 5.64 1.53P 1.29R 0.36 Carlisle 22 28 +0 -2.57 35.86 -0.31 62.17 7.26 1.70 0.05 1.14 11.19 3.57P 0.80R 0.21 Cheltenham 22 27 -2 -0.14 50.02 2.52 57.08 7.00 -6.32 0.00 0.15 2.60 0.65P 3.34R 0.99 Stevenage 22 27 -6 -1.91 39.43 -3.75 58.80 7.15 -7.75 0.00 0.30 4.34 1.20P 2.26R 0.72 Crawley_Town 22 24 -7 -1.38 42.61 -0.25 51.34 6.84 -15.06 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.05P 14.63R 5.55 Port_Vale 22 24 -9 -6.56 17.23 -9.60 56.96 7.29 -8.81 0.00 0.19 2.98 0.93P 4.02R 1.28 Crewe 22 23 -11 -4.15 27.33 -6.32 51.21 6.96 -18.48 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.09P 16.22R 6.26 Morecambe 22 22 -9 -2.98 33.47 -1.34 49.40 6.83 -17.22 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.04P 22.24R 9.29 Yeovil 22 21 -13 -3.65 29.84 -4.42 47.64 6.79 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 32.09R 14.91 Barnet 22 20 -8 -6.97 14.80 -2.99 49.86 7.02 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.07P 20.16R 8.49 Chesterfield 22 20 -14 -8.06 12.17 -10.41 50.62 7.33 -17.74 0.00 0.02 0.42 0.12P 19.30R 8.33 Forest_Green 22 20 -19 -0.98 45.53 -3.71 42.73 6.79 -36.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.16R 43.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 December 2017, Torquay 1 1 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 24 44 +7 7.87 86.46 2.09 77.99 6.66 12.80 16.17 68.96 27.86P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 24 42 +5 8.96 89.30 4.77 71.94 6.67 4.95 3.59 33.50 8.58P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 24 42 +5 8.73 89.51 3.79 72.35 6.59 5.89 3.48 35.48 9.46P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 24 41 +16 0.44 52.04 4.46 78.82 6.73 27.37 22.40 75.53 38.12P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 23 40 +13 -0.03 49.51 0.16 80.43 6.91 26.66 30.78 81.27 46.02P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 24 40 +12 0.94 55.17 2.80 75.14 6.74 19.36 9.21 54.99 21.29P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 38 +12 4.04 72.23 8.10 71.49 6.77 15.22 3.56 33.67 10.04P 0.03R 0.00 Bromley 24 37 +8 3.30 67.75 6.75 68.37 6.82 9.76 1.27 19.15 4.69P 0.14R 0.00 Tranmere 23 34 +10 -6.73 16.06 -3.17 74.12 6.73 22.42 7.31 50.24 22.51P 0.01R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 23 34 +9 1.94 60.84 8.07 64.82 7.20 8.15 0.58 10.16 2.38P 0.78R 0.01 Maidstone_United 22 34 -2 7.17 85.80 2.78 62.36 6.95 -8.68 0.18 4.50 0.80P 1.96R 0.02 Woking 22 33 -1 3.84 71.31 0.65 64.16 7.15 -3.90 0.41 7.72 1.57P 1.23R 0.01 Maidenhead 24 31 -2 2.36 63.45 4.43 57.98 6.86 -7.02 0.03 1.15 0.23P 7.42R 0.14 Hartlepool 24 31 -4 -4.75 26.04 -8.39 64.39 6.83 0.90 0.25 6.96 1.98P 1.03R 0.01 Gateshead 23 30 +6 -5.26 22.71 0.42 65.01 6.88 11.37 0.46 9.64 2.80P 0.60R 0.00 Halifax 24 29 -7 2.27 63.25 1.92 53.48 6.77 -15.06 0.00 0.21 0.03P 21.18R 0.75 AFC_Fylde 21 28 +4 1.09 56.87 6.90 61.89 7.72 3.37 0.32 5.94 1.41P 3.40R 0.06 Eastleigh 24 26 -5 -5.39 22.88 -2.85 55.25 6.68 -6.32 0.00 0.32 0.08P 13.16R 0.40 Barrow 24 25 -4 -8.05 13.02 -4.29 55.32 6.76 -3.54 0.00 0.33 0.08P 12.42R 0.39 Leyton_Orient 24 24 -10 -10.65 7.54 -12.63 54.25 6.93 -10.07 0.01 0.27 0.08P 17.72R 0.69 Chester 23 21 -14 -5.39 21.70 -6.06 47.04 6.71 -22.31 0.00 0.02 0.01P 58.48R 6.29 Torquay 25 19 -16 -8.60 10.67 -6.51 43.41 6.32 -22.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.43R 13.66 Guiseley 22 17 -21 -3.76 28.26 -6.90 40.25 6.55 -35.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.09R 32.60 Solihull_Moors 24 16 -21 -8.08 11.43 -7.29 38.17 6.34 -33.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.87R 44.96