Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 December 2017, Bournemouth 1 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         15   43  +36       8.82    98.38    11.85    92.59     6.20    68.13    85.80    96.51    99.09    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   35  +26       5.32    85.43    11.98    80.16     6.53    46.65     8.05    46.64    73.25    88.24    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          15   32  +16       2.90    70.47     2.55    78.78     6.38    40.70     4.49    34.99    64.61    83.41    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        15   29  +14       2.07    64.80     3.63    72.98     6.68    34.64     0.87    10.45    28.15    53.18    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          15   28  +10       1.03    57.30    -0.29    71.74     6.76    29.48     0.55     7.54    21.59    43.70    94.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   25  +10      -4.18    20.64    -3.30    69.51     6.55    30.21     0.25     3.87    13.21    30.92    91.64     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          15   25   +2       6.85    91.51     5.95    53.56     6.60    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36     6.43     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          15   22   -1       5.86    86.95     6.80    49.76     6.66    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.50     0.82R    0.06  
Leicester        15   20   +0       0.35    53.18     1.97    52.10     6.81    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     4.98     0.32R    0.01  
Everton          15   18   -9      -2.68    30.69    -8.45    49.87     6.98    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.93     1.09R    0.13  
Southampton      15   17   -3      -4.43    20.27    -3.83    45.55     6.64    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.82     3.10R    0.35  
Brighton         15   17   -5      -0.01    51.16     0.54    42.25     6.55   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     8.43R    1.32  
Stoke            15   16  -12       0.40    54.51    -3.43    41.47     6.43   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    11.06R    1.95  
Bournemouth      15   15   -4      -2.79    30.35     0.91    41.31     6.60   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    10.98R    1.96  
Newcastle        15   15   -8      -2.83    30.31    -3.54    39.67     6.66   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    16.91R    3.32  
Huddersfield     15   15  -17       4.88    86.31     1.12    31.94     5.82   -42.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.95R   26.19  
West_Brom        15   13   -9      -4.32    20.12    -4.02    37.41     6.35   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.80R    5.91  
Crystal_Palace   15   10  -17      -5.14    14.22    -7.46    33.15     6.42   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.25R   19.71  
West_Ham         15   10  -19      -5.49    13.78    -9.62    34.00     6.51   -33.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.11R   16.66  
Swansea          15    9  -10      -7.39     6.37    -3.37    32.30     6.38   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.11R   22.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 December 2017, Sheff_Utd 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   20   47  +24      13.30    98.22    14.66    90.66     7.61    36.24    61.55    82.98    98.59    86.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         20   43  +16      11.43    96.33     9.93    84.60     7.49    24.90    22.51    53.81    92.81    63.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   40  +12       9.47    91.90     9.57    77.64     7.45    17.12     5.26    18.12    71.10    29.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   37   +8       6.33    81.85     5.20    72.29     7.55     9.26     1.40     5.89    43.22    13.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   36  +11       5.60    80.96     6.46    75.02     7.45    16.05     2.82    10.92    58.85    23.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           20   35   +9       3.26    69.30     2.58    76.64     7.53    17.92     4.03    15.51    66.92    30.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         20   32   +5       3.50    70.49     3.48    67.67     7.60     4.90     0.40     1.87    22.23     6.21P    0.10R    0.01  
Leeds_United    20   30   +5       0.54    53.34     1.96    68.77     7.64     9.73     0.52     2.55    27.37     8.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   20   29   +5      -2.54    35.16    -1.03    70.01     7.61    12.92     0.67     3.43    33.59    12.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         20   29   +2       1.48    59.46     1.68    66.00     7.53     4.21     0.17     1.06    16.48     4.57P    0.25R    0.01  
Brentford       20   27   +4      -2.88    33.18     0.26    66.03     7.76     8.87     0.26     1.31    18.02     5.64P    0.27R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       20   27   +2      -3.72    28.51    -2.95    65.43     7.52     6.18     0.14     0.88    15.11     4.75P    0.30R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   20   27   -5       2.05    63.12    -0.85    60.13     7.59    -9.31     0.03     0.14     4.30     0.90P    2.06R    0.13  
Reading         20   26   +2      -1.84    39.39     1.35    62.77     7.58     3.52     0.07     0.44     8.94     2.50P    0.76R    0.05  
Fulham          20   26   -1      -2.97    32.90    -3.12    65.21     7.75     4.36     0.15     0.89    14.87     4.38P    0.46R    0.02  
Norwich         20   24   -8      -4.34    25.49    -9.33    59.98     7.65    -7.69     0.02     0.16     4.29     1.14P    2.09R    0.11  
Millwall        20   22   +1      -2.49    35.66     5.35    52.59     7.48    -5.89     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.15P   12.23R    1.27  
QPR             20   22   -7      -2.37    36.17    -2.51    53.83     7.38   -12.80     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P    9.97R    1.01  
Barnsley        20   20   -7      -4.44    24.93    -2.16    50.81     7.47   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   19.18R    2.51  
Hull            20   19   -3      -9.79     7.17    -4.79    55.48     8.02    -2.27     0.00     0.04     1.80     0.51P    7.75R    0.82  
Bolton          20   16  -18      -4.02    26.53    -6.59    43.02     7.26   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.59R   18.28  
Birmingham      20   16  -19      -4.20    24.80    -8.93    42.65     6.95   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.31R   18.17  
Sunderland      20   14  -12     -11.75     3.38    -9.22    47.33     7.77   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   34.36R    7.08  
Burton_Albion   20   14  -26      -3.51    28.14   -11.00    37.49     6.73   -44.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.19R   50.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            19   42  +24       5.45    81.08     8.50    93.52     7.68    45.12    60.07    84.00    99.49    89.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       19   40  +13      13.61    98.49    12.25    78.08     7.69    14.71     2.81    11.48    75.18    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       20   38  +12       4.53    75.55     3.09    81.55     7.47    23.69     6.03    22.35    88.15    41.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        19   37  +17       1.42    58.30     2.60    88.34     7.74    38.52    27.04    62.78    97.55    75.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         20   36   +7       4.12    73.58     0.45    77.86     7.52    16.08     2.37    10.74    75.27    28.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         19   35   +6       5.91    82.36     1.42    74.95     7.85    10.27     1.37     6.33    60.24    18.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   29   +2       0.22    51.66     0.16    65.71     7.70     3.24     0.08     0.57    17.69     4.01P    1.45R    0.06  
Portsmouth       20   29   +1       2.28    64.22     2.02    63.72     7.71    -0.11     0.03     0.27    12.14     2.59P    2.56R    0.09  
Southend         20   28   -5       0.59    54.12    -4.88    62.77     7.55    -6.40     0.02     0.13     9.06     1.93P    3.32R    0.16  
Oxford_Utd       20   27   +7      -3.65    29.22     2.27    65.95     7.61    11.86     0.07     0.56    19.41     5.12P    1.20R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town   20   27   -1      -2.33    36.24    -3.78    64.11     7.55     1.15     0.05     0.29    12.66     2.83P    2.20R    0.09  
Blackpool        20   27   -1       2.06    63.06     2.61    59.14     7.66    -6.16     0.01     0.06     4.36     0.80P    8.43R    0.71  
Rotherham        20   26   +3      -1.75    40.33     2.84    63.32     7.94     5.23     0.03     0.23    12.39     2.86P    3.20R    0.23  
Walsall          19   25   -1      -1.34    42.03    -1.38    61.04     7.75    -2.40     0.01     0.13     6.83     1.49P    5.41R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers   20   24   -7      -0.44    47.87    -1.57    56.23     7.66   -12.89     0.00     0.02     1.89     0.29P   17.09R    1.98  
MK_Dons          20   24   -7      -2.63    34.95    -5.80    57.87     7.50    -9.65     0.01     0.02     2.74     0.59P   11.23R    0.98  
Doncaster        20   23   -4      -1.57    41.30     0.27    55.31     7.69    -8.99     0.00     0.02     1.59     0.35P   19.42R    2.31  
Oldham           20   23   -8       0.99    57.38    -0.26    53.67     7.31   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.11P   25.97R    3.63  
Rochdale         19   20   -4      -6.69    14.94    -5.00    55.94     7.79    -5.84     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.46P   16.90R    2.11  
AFC_Wimbledon    20   20   -7      -3.54    28.99    -1.86    49.58     7.08   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   45.25R    9.03  
Gillingham       20   20   -7      -3.69    28.69    -1.53    51.83     7.45   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P   33.68R    5.80  
Northampton      20   19  -17      -1.79    39.57    -6.64    45.56     7.11   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   69.73R   24.89  
Bury             20   17   -9      -5.62    18.79    -1.63    46.90     7.35   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   59.80R   17.65  
Plymouth         20   17  -14      -3.52    29.20    -4.14    44.43     7.26   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.12R   29.86  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2017, Barnet 0 2 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                20   41  +30       2.37    63.61    12.60    92.09     7.30    54.57    75.74    94.86    99.66    96.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         20   41  +15      11.79    96.41    12.33    77.79     7.67    16.44     5.97    37.01    78.76    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   37  +10       5.57    80.29     4.07    77.86     7.49    17.85     5.22    37.59    79.85    48.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               20   36   +6       4.93    77.31     0.56    76.86     7.65    13.87     4.16    32.15    75.07    42.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   33   +9       1.78    60.90     3.22    73.07     7.59    15.51     1.65    18.10    59.25    28.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             20   32   +9      -1.36    41.41     0.43    75.62     7.57    20.41     2.98    27.79    71.96    42.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            20   32   +7       2.69    66.17     3.98    71.50     7.51    12.66     0.97    12.51    50.49    21.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              20   32   +5      -1.12    43.28    -3.43    74.82     7.78    15.99     2.59    24.81    66.98    37.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       20   30   +5       4.63    76.81     8.11    63.94     7.51     2.67     0.08     2.03    16.33     4.65P    0.33R    0.07  
Lincoln_City         20   30   +5       4.50    75.79     7.69    63.62     7.57     2.30     0.07     1.84    15.21     4.42P    0.40R    0.11  
Colchester           20   29   +3      -1.48    41.26    -1.61    67.48     7.65     7.19     0.31     5.34    30.05    11.66P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby              20   29   -2       3.09    68.80     0.14    62.47     7.45    -5.36     0.06     1.08    11.04     2.97P    0.72R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd        20   29   -6       2.09    63.38    -5.55    64.04     7.42    -6.51     0.06     1.66    14.91     4.47P    0.38R    0.08  
Carlisle             20   27   +1      -0.91    44.90     0.49    64.37     7.69     3.43     0.11     2.35    18.17     5.83P    0.45R    0.11  
Stevenage            20   26   -5      -0.72    46.03    -3.64    60.21     7.56    -7.38     0.02     0.63     6.98     1.89P    1.68R    0.51  
Cheltenham           20   24   -2      -0.73    46.29     2.11    56.43     7.37    -6.84     0.00     0.18     2.58     0.63P    4.31R    1.44  
Crawley_Town         20   21   -6      -2.13    37.47     0.05    50.81     7.21   -14.37     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   16.26R    7.03  
Yeovil               20   20  -11      -2.75    34.08    -3.55    49.22     7.28   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   23.34R   10.92  
Crewe                20   20  -13      -3.76    28.31    -7.27    50.18     7.29   -21.75     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   19.87R    9.09  
Forest_Green         20   20  -16       0.11    52.21    -3.28    44.72     7.28   -34.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.95R   30.60  
Morecambe            20   19  -10      -3.40    30.22    -2.46    47.77     7.14   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   29.18R   14.77  
Port_Vale            20   18  -12      -8.85     8.49   -11.19    52.40     7.71   -13.79     0.00     0.04     0.88     0.26P   12.73R    5.44  
Barnet               20   17   -8      -7.20    12.93    -3.06    49.80     7.47   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   20.18R    9.41  
Chesterfield         20   17  -14      -8.53     9.45   -10.73    50.09     7.79   -18.33     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.12P   21.08R   10.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bromley 2 2 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United      23   42   +8       9.40    91.03     6.31    73.88     6.92     8.80     7.17    44.71    13.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            23   42   +8       9.24    91.37     5.57    74.13     6.79     9.59     7.44    46.07    14.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       23   41   +4       7.33    85.19     0.57    75.90     6.85     9.19    11.28    56.20    21.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          23   40  +13       2.25    62.41     3.74    77.81     6.92    22.27    19.18    69.32    32.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     23   38  +12       0.03    49.79     2.33    76.64     6.95    22.47    15.12    63.48    29.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   37  +12      -1.34    41.88    -0.40    78.94     7.10    25.84    25.64    74.67    40.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            23   36   +8       3.54    69.29     6.44    68.73     7.05     9.88     1.92    21.23     5.74P    0.17R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       22   35  +11       2.86    66.52     7.75    69.99     7.02    14.42     2.87    27.14     8.20P    0.05R    0.00  
Woking             22   33   -1       3.76    70.81     0.49    64.19     7.21    -3.77     0.50     7.87     1.82P    1.23R    0.01  
Maidstone_United   21   33   -2       7.50    87.28     2.73    62.49     7.21    -9.05     0.26     5.12     1.01P    2.18R    0.02  
Tranmere           22   31   +7      -7.12    14.52    -4.46    72.68     6.98    19.62     5.96    41.76    18.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   31   +5       2.17    62.52     6.67    62.41     7.36     3.12     0.32     5.95     1.43P    1.98R    0.02  
Hartlepool         23   31   +0      -4.89    24.76    -6.53    66.53     6.99     6.04     0.85    12.97     4.17P    0.39R    0.00  
Maidenhead         23   30   -2       2.67    65.02     4.39    58.73     7.16    -6.48     0.05     1.75     0.33P    6.27R    0.20  
Gateshead          22   29   +6      -4.79    24.27     0.57    65.52     7.07    11.57     0.66    11.39     3.41P    0.54R    0.01  
AFC_Fylde          20   28   +5       1.85    61.14     7.01    63.17     8.05     4.28     0.75     8.94     2.44P    2.45R    0.07  
Halifax            23   26   -8       0.93    56.45     1.45    50.42     6.87   -18.16     0.00     0.06     0.01P   35.11R    2.91  
Barrow             23   25   -3      -7.06    15.63    -3.84    56.52     6.98    -2.79     0.01     0.74     0.18P    9.11R    0.33  
Eastleigh          23   25   -5      -4.80    24.61    -2.77    55.57     6.92    -6.28     0.01     0.47     0.13P   11.85R    0.54  
Leyton_Orient      23   21  -13     -11.14     5.88   -13.93    51.90     7.20   -14.15     0.00     0.15     0.05P   27.13R    2.16  
Torquay            23   18  -13      -8.22    10.90    -5.46    44.51     6.72   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.88R   13.59  
Chester            22   18  -15      -6.40    16.47    -6.21    45.39     6.94   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.97R   12.80  
Guiseley           21   17  -17      -3.66    28.45    -5.08    42.13     6.89   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.06R   26.07  
Solihull_Moors     23   16  -20      -7.35    13.21    -7.35    39.45     6.52   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.58R   41.26