Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 8 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 December 2017, Bournemouth 1 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 15 43 +36 8.82 98.38 11.85 92.59 6.20 68.13 85.80 96.51 99.09 99.80 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 15 35 +26 5.32 85.43 11.98 80.16 6.53 46.65 8.05 46.64 73.25 88.24 99.63 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 32 +16 2.90 70.47 2.55 78.78 6.38 40.70 4.49 34.99 64.61 83.41 99.50 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 15 29 +14 2.07 64.80 3.63 72.98 6.68 34.64 0.87 10.45 28.15 53.18 96.19 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 15 28 +10 1.03 57.30 -0.29 71.74 6.76 29.48 0.55 7.54 21.59 43.70 94.77 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 15 25 +10 -4.18 20.64 -3.30 69.51 6.55 30.21 0.25 3.87 13.21 30.92 91.64 0.00 0.00 Burnley 15 25 +2 6.85 91.51 5.95 53.56 6.60 -1.88 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.36 6.43 0.10R 0.00 Watford 15 22 -1 5.86 86.95 6.80 49.76 6.66 -9.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 2.50 0.82R 0.06 Leicester 15 20 +0 0.35 53.18 1.97 52.10 6.81 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.20 4.98 0.32R 0.01 Everton 15 18 -9 -2.68 30.69 -8.45 49.87 6.98 -9.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 2.93 1.09R 0.13 Southampton 15 17 -3 -4.43 20.27 -3.83 45.55 6.64 -7.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.82 3.10R 0.35 Brighton 15 17 -5 -0.01 51.16 0.54 42.25 6.55 -14.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 8.43R 1.32 Stoke 15 16 -12 0.40 54.51 -3.43 41.47 6.43 -23.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 11.06R 1.95 Bournemouth 15 15 -4 -2.79 30.35 0.91 41.31 6.60 -13.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 10.98R 1.96 Newcastle 15 15 -8 -2.83 30.31 -3.54 39.67 6.66 -20.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 16.91R 3.32 Huddersfield 15 15 -17 4.88 86.31 1.12 31.94 5.82 -42.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.95R 26.19 West_Brom 15 13 -9 -4.32 20.12 -4.02 37.41 6.35 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 25.80R 5.91 Crystal_Palace 15 10 -17 -5.14 14.22 -7.46 33.15 6.42 -30.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.25R 19.71 West_Ham 15 10 -19 -5.49 13.78 -9.62 34.00 6.51 -33.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 48.11R 16.66 Swansea 15 9 -10 -7.39 6.37 -3.37 32.30 6.38 -23.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.11R 22.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 December 2017, Sheff_Utd 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 20 47 +24 13.30 98.22 14.66 90.66 7.61 36.24 61.55 82.98 98.59 86.91P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 20 43 +16 11.43 96.33 9.93 84.60 7.49 24.90 22.51 53.81 92.81 63.47P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 21 40 +12 9.47 91.90 9.57 77.64 7.45 17.12 5.26 18.12 71.10 29.66P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 21 37 +8 6.33 81.85 5.20 72.29 7.55 9.26 1.40 5.89 43.22 13.84P 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 36 +11 5.60 80.96 6.46 75.02 7.45 16.05 2.82 10.92 58.85 23.20P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 20 35 +9 3.26 69.30 2.58 76.64 7.53 17.92 4.03 15.51 66.92 30.03P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 20 32 +5 3.50 70.49 3.48 67.67 7.60 4.90 0.40 1.87 22.23 6.21P 0.10R 0.01 Leeds_United 20 30 +5 0.54 53.34 1.96 68.77 7.64 9.73 0.52 2.55 27.37 8.96P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 20 29 +5 -2.54 35.16 -1.03 70.01 7.61 12.92 0.67 3.43 33.59 12.96P 0.04R 0.00 Preston 20 29 +2 1.48 59.46 1.68 66.00 7.53 4.21 0.17 1.06 16.48 4.57P 0.25R 0.01 Brentford 20 27 +4 -2.88 33.18 0.26 66.03 7.76 8.87 0.26 1.31 18.02 5.64P 0.27R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 20 27 +2 -3.72 28.51 -2.95 65.43 7.52 6.18 0.14 0.88 15.11 4.75P 0.30R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 20 27 -5 2.05 63.12 -0.85 60.13 7.59 -9.31 0.03 0.14 4.30 0.90P 2.06R 0.13 Reading 20 26 +2 -1.84 39.39 1.35 62.77 7.58 3.52 0.07 0.44 8.94 2.50P 0.76R 0.05 Fulham 20 26 -1 -2.97 32.90 -3.12 65.21 7.75 4.36 0.15 0.89 14.87 4.38P 0.46R 0.02 Norwich 20 24 -8 -4.34 25.49 -9.33 59.98 7.65 -7.69 0.02 0.16 4.29 1.14P 2.09R 0.11 Millwall 20 22 +1 -2.49 35.66 5.35 52.59 7.48 -5.89 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.15P 12.23R 1.27 QPR 20 22 -7 -2.37 36.17 -2.51 53.83 7.38 -12.80 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.12P 9.97R 1.01 Barnsley 20 20 -7 -4.44 24.93 -2.16 50.81 7.47 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 19.18R 2.51 Hull 20 19 -3 -9.79 7.17 -4.79 55.48 8.02 -2.27 0.00 0.04 1.80 0.51P 7.75R 0.82 Bolton 20 16 -18 -4.02 26.53 -6.59 43.02 7.26 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 60.59R 18.28 Birmingham 20 16 -19 -4.20 24.80 -8.93 42.65 6.95 -31.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.31R 18.17 Sunderland 20 14 -12 -11.75 3.38 -9.22 47.33 7.77 -15.96 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 34.36R 7.08 Burton_Albion 20 14 -26 -3.51 28.14 -11.00 37.49 6.73 -44.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.19R 50.54League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 19 42 +24 5.45 81.08 8.50 93.52 7.68 45.12 60.07 84.00 99.49 89.72P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 40 +13 13.61 98.49 12.25 78.08 7.69 14.71 2.81 11.48 75.18 22.72P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 20 38 +12 4.53 75.55 3.09 81.55 7.47 23.69 6.03 22.35 88.15 41.75P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 19 37 +17 1.42 58.30 2.60 88.34 7.74 38.52 27.04 62.78 97.55 75.89P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 20 36 +7 4.12 73.58 0.45 77.86 7.52 16.08 2.37 10.74 75.27 28.08P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 19 35 +6 5.91 82.36 1.42 74.95 7.85 10.27 1.37 6.33 60.24 18.28P 0.04R 0.00 Peterborough 20 29 +2 0.22 51.66 0.16 65.71 7.70 3.24 0.08 0.57 17.69 4.01P 1.45R 0.06 Portsmouth 20 29 +1 2.28 64.22 2.02 63.72 7.71 -0.11 0.03 0.27 12.14 2.59P 2.56R 0.09 Southend 20 28 -5 0.59 54.12 -4.88 62.77 7.55 -6.40 0.02 0.13 9.06 1.93P 3.32R 0.16 Oxford_Utd 20 27 +7 -3.65 29.22 2.27 65.95 7.61 11.86 0.07 0.56 19.41 5.12P 1.20R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 20 27 -1 -2.33 36.24 -3.78 64.11 7.55 1.15 0.05 0.29 12.66 2.83P 2.20R 0.09 Blackpool 20 27 -1 2.06 63.06 2.61 59.14 7.66 -6.16 0.01 0.06 4.36 0.80P 8.43R 0.71 Rotherham 20 26 +3 -1.75 40.33 2.84 63.32 7.94 5.23 0.03 0.23 12.39 2.86P 3.20R 0.23 Walsall 19 25 -1 -1.34 42.03 -1.38 61.04 7.75 -2.40 0.01 0.13 6.83 1.49P 5.41R 0.38 Bristol_Rovers 20 24 -7 -0.44 47.87 -1.57 56.23 7.66 -12.89 0.00 0.02 1.89 0.29P 17.09R 1.98 MK_Dons 20 24 -7 -2.63 34.95 -5.80 57.87 7.50 -9.65 0.01 0.02 2.74 0.59P 11.23R 0.98 Doncaster 20 23 -4 -1.57 41.30 0.27 55.31 7.69 -8.99 0.00 0.02 1.59 0.35P 19.42R 2.31 Oldham 20 23 -8 0.99 57.38 -0.26 53.67 7.31 -15.27 0.00 0.01 0.69 0.11P 25.97R 3.63 Rochdale 19 20 -4 -6.69 14.94 -5.00 55.94 7.79 -5.84 0.00 0.01 2.01 0.46P 16.90R 2.11 AFC_Wimbledon 20 20 -7 -3.54 28.99 -1.86 49.58 7.08 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 45.25R 9.03 Gillingham 20 20 -7 -3.69 28.69 -1.53 51.83 7.45 -12.55 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.10P 33.68R 5.80 Northampton 20 19 -17 -1.79 39.57 -6.64 45.56 7.11 -31.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 69.73R 24.89 Bury 20 17 -9 -5.62 18.79 -1.63 46.90 7.35 -17.90 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 59.80R 17.65 Plymouth 20 17 -14 -3.52 29.20 -4.14 44.43 7.26 -25.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 73.12R 29.86League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2017, Barnet 0 2 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 20 41 +30 2.37 63.61 12.60 92.09 7.30 54.57 75.74 94.86 99.66 96.64P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 20 41 +15 11.79 96.41 12.33 77.79 7.67 16.44 5.97 37.01 78.76 44.84P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 20 37 +10 5.57 80.29 4.07 77.86 7.49 17.85 5.22 37.59 79.85 48.11P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 20 36 +6 4.93 77.31 0.56 76.86 7.65 13.87 4.16 32.15 75.07 42.96P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 20 33 +9 1.78 60.90 3.22 73.07 7.59 15.51 1.65 18.10 59.25 28.33P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 20 32 +9 -1.36 41.41 0.43 75.62 7.57 20.41 2.98 27.79 71.96 42.87P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 20 32 +7 2.69 66.17 3.98 71.50 7.51 12.66 0.97 12.51 50.49 21.65P 0.02R 0.00 Swindon 20 32 +5 -1.12 43.28 -3.43 74.82 7.78 15.99 2.59 24.81 66.98 37.42P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 20 30 +5 4.63 76.81 8.11 63.94 7.51 2.67 0.08 2.03 16.33 4.65P 0.33R 0.07 Lincoln_City 20 30 +5 4.50 75.79 7.69 63.62 7.57 2.30 0.07 1.84 15.21 4.42P 0.40R 0.11 Colchester 20 29 +3 -1.48 41.26 -1.61 67.48 7.65 7.19 0.31 5.34 30.05 11.66P 0.11R 0.02 Grimsby 20 29 -2 3.09 68.80 0.14 62.47 7.45 -5.36 0.06 1.08 11.04 2.97P 0.72R 0.21 Cambridge_Utd 20 29 -6 2.09 63.38 -5.55 64.04 7.42 -6.51 0.06 1.66 14.91 4.47P 0.38R 0.08 Carlisle 20 27 +1 -0.91 44.90 0.49 64.37 7.69 3.43 0.11 2.35 18.17 5.83P 0.45R 0.11 Stevenage 20 26 -5 -0.72 46.03 -3.64 60.21 7.56 -7.38 0.02 0.63 6.98 1.89P 1.68R 0.51 Cheltenham 20 24 -2 -0.73 46.29 2.11 56.43 7.37 -6.84 0.00 0.18 2.58 0.63P 4.31R 1.44 Crawley_Town 20 21 -6 -2.13 37.47 0.05 50.81 7.21 -14.37 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.06P 16.26R 7.03 Yeovil 20 20 -11 -2.75 34.08 -3.55 49.22 7.28 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 23.34R 10.92 Crewe 20 20 -13 -3.76 28.31 -7.27 50.18 7.29 -21.75 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.06P 19.87R 9.09 Forest_Green 20 20 -16 0.11 52.21 -3.28 44.72 7.28 -34.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 48.95R 30.60 Morecambe 20 19 -10 -3.40 30.22 -2.46 47.77 7.14 -20.14 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 29.18R 14.77 Port_Vale 20 18 -12 -8.85 8.49 -11.19 52.40 7.71 -13.79 0.00 0.04 0.88 0.26P 12.73R 5.44 Barnet 20 17 -8 -7.20 12.93 -3.06 49.80 7.47 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 20.18R 9.41 Chesterfield 20 17 -14 -8.53 9.45 -10.73 50.09 7.79 -18.33 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.12P 21.08R 10.17National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bromley 2 2 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 23 42 +8 9.40 91.03 6.31 73.88 6.92 8.80 7.17 44.71 13.75P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 23 42 +8 9.24 91.37 5.57 74.13 6.79 9.59 7.44 46.07 14.81P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 41 +4 7.33 85.19 0.57 75.90 6.85 9.19 11.28 56.20 21.07P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 23 40 +13 2.25 62.41 3.74 77.81 6.92 22.27 19.18 69.32 32.97P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 23 38 +12 0.03 49.79 2.33 76.64 6.95 22.47 15.12 63.48 29.06P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +12 -1.34 41.88 -0.40 78.94 7.10 25.84 25.64 74.67 40.79P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 23 36 +8 3.54 69.29 6.44 68.73 7.05 9.88 1.92 21.23 5.74P 0.17R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 22 35 +11 2.86 66.52 7.75 69.99 7.02 14.42 2.87 27.14 8.20P 0.05R 0.00 Woking 22 33 -1 3.76 70.81 0.49 64.19 7.21 -3.77 0.50 7.87 1.82P 1.23R 0.01 Maidstone_United 21 33 -2 7.50 87.28 2.73 62.49 7.21 -9.05 0.26 5.12 1.01P 2.18R 0.02 Tranmere 22 31 +7 -7.12 14.52 -4.46 72.68 6.98 19.62 5.96 41.76 18.64P 0.02R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 22 31 +5 2.17 62.52 6.67 62.41 7.36 3.12 0.32 5.95 1.43P 1.98R 0.02 Hartlepool 23 31 +0 -4.89 24.76 -6.53 66.53 6.99 6.04 0.85 12.97 4.17P 0.39R 0.00 Maidenhead 23 30 -2 2.67 65.02 4.39 58.73 7.16 -6.48 0.05 1.75 0.33P 6.27R 0.20 Gateshead 22 29 +6 -4.79 24.27 0.57 65.52 7.07 11.57 0.66 11.39 3.41P 0.54R 0.01 AFC_Fylde 20 28 +5 1.85 61.14 7.01 63.17 8.05 4.28 0.75 8.94 2.44P 2.45R 0.07 Halifax 23 26 -8 0.93 56.45 1.45 50.42 6.87 -18.16 0.00 0.06 0.01P 35.11R 2.91 Barrow 23 25 -3 -7.06 15.63 -3.84 56.52 6.98 -2.79 0.01 0.74 0.18P 9.11R 0.33 Eastleigh 23 25 -5 -4.80 24.61 -2.77 55.57 6.92 -6.28 0.01 0.47 0.13P 11.85R 0.54 Leyton_Orient 23 21 -13 -11.14 5.88 -13.93 51.90 7.20 -14.15 0.00 0.15 0.05P 27.13R 2.16 Torquay 23 18 -13 -8.22 10.90 -5.46 44.51 6.72 -19.95 0.00 0.00 0.00P 67.88R 13.59 Chester 22 18 -15 -6.40 16.47 -6.21 45.39 6.94 -23.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.97R 12.80 Guiseley 21 17 -17 -3.66 28.45 -5.08 42.13 6.89 -30.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.06R 26.07 Solihull_Moors 23 16 -20 -7.35 13.21 -7.35 39.45 6.52 -32.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.58R 41.26