Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 5 December 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 December 2017, Bournemouth 1 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 15 43 +36 8.69 98.25 11.55 92.83 6.18 68.60 86.52 96.64 99.12 99.79 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 15 35 +26 5.29 85.34 11.98 80.14 6.56 46.57 7.70 46.46 73.02 88.19 99.68 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 32 +16 2.89 70.24 2.49 78.81 6.43 40.78 4.32 35.23 64.85 83.57 99.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 15 29 +14 2.07 64.83 3.64 72.97 6.73 34.63 0.77 10.51 28.41 53.14 96.31 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 15 28 +10 1.05 57.63 -0.27 71.69 6.76 29.47 0.46 7.39 21.47 43.68 94.77 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 15 25 +10 -4.25 20.27 -3.36 69.45 6.55 30.14 0.23 3.75 13.03 30.89 91.47 0.00 0.00 Burnley 15 25 +2 6.90 91.39 6.03 53.48 6.61 -2.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.35 6.43 0.10R 0.01 Watford 15 22 -1 5.85 86.63 6.76 49.84 6.69 -8.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 2.62 0.74R 0.06 Leicester 15 20 +0 0.40 53.77 2.06 52.04 6.77 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.19 5.00 0.38R 0.04 Everton 15 18 -9 -2.60 31.39 -8.25 49.84 6.95 -9.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 2.86 1.01R 0.08 Southampton 15 17 -3 -4.39 20.41 -3.77 45.49 6.63 -7.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.73 2.98R 0.30 Brighton 15 17 -5 -0.05 50.78 0.51 42.25 6.51 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 8.27R 1.26 Stoke 15 16 -12 0.32 53.78 -3.59 41.53 6.49 -22.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 11.22R 1.93 Bournemouth 15 15 -4 -2.78 30.39 0.95 41.29 6.60 -13.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 11.13R 1.96 Newcastle 15 15 -8 -2.73 31.23 -3.36 39.49 6.66 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 17.57R 3.45 Huddersfield 15 15 -17 4.83 85.85 1.03 32.05 5.85 -42.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.31R 25.72 West_Brom 15 13 -9 -4.37 19.79 -4.09 37.56 6.43 -19.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 25.22R 5.94 Crystal_Palace 15 10 -17 -5.13 14.61 -7.43 33.15 6.46 -30.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.89R 19.64 West_Ham 15 10 -19 -5.55 13.24 -9.73 34.06 6.56 -33.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.75R 16.67 Swansea 15 9 -10 -7.26 6.75 -3.15 32.12 6.32 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.42R 22.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 December 2017, Birmingham 0 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 20 47 +24 13.35 98.13 14.75 90.65 7.64 36.22 61.02 82.58 98.48 86.59P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 20 43 +16 11.31 96.07 9.73 84.84 7.55 25.25 23.42 55.41 93.10 64.80P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 20 37 +11 8.02 89.08 8.84 75.42 7.69 15.21 3.33 12.37 59.99 22.61P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 20 37 +9 7.41 86.45 5.78 74.59 7.87 11.66 2.90 10.85 54.72 20.47P 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 36 +11 5.63 80.96 6.49 74.91 7.44 15.94 2.63 10.36 58.10 22.51P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 20 35 +9 3.15 68.75 2.45 76.70 7.55 17.99 4.37 15.77 67.00 30.10P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 20 32 +5 3.52 70.71 3.48 67.68 7.57 4.92 0.38 1.78 22.17 6.13P 0.11R 0.00 Leeds_United 20 30 +5 0.38 52.61 1.74 68.97 7.66 10.00 0.46 2.58 28.33 9.25P 0.08R 0.00 Middlesbrough 20 29 +5 -2.61 34.76 -1.13 70.13 7.66 13.07 0.72 3.49 34.35 13.07P 0.04R 0.00 Preston 20 29 +2 1.60 60.27 1.87 65.79 7.60 3.86 0.14 1.02 15.77 4.43P 0.22R 0.01 Brentford 20 27 +4 -2.97 32.87 0.11 66.12 7.77 8.99 0.26 1.33 18.26 5.67P 0.26R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 20 27 +2 -3.62 29.01 -2.84 65.28 7.54 6.01 0.13 0.80 14.56 4.64P 0.32R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 20 27 -5 2.08 63.15 -0.78 60.10 7.62 -9.39 0.02 0.15 4.30 0.94P 2.10R 0.14 Reading 20 26 +2 -1.71 40.29 1.59 62.50 7.58 3.13 0.04 0.38 8.42 2.29P 0.88R 0.05 Fulham 20 26 -1 -3.04 32.54 -3.23 65.32 7.71 4.47 0.16 0.95 15.13 4.61P 0.45R 0.01 Norwich 20 24 -8 -4.22 26.27 -9.13 59.85 7.64 -7.90 0.01 0.12 3.97 1.05P 2.32R 0.13 Millwall 20 22 +1 -2.50 35.66 5.28 52.58 7.54 -5.94 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.13P 12.68R 1.36 QPR 20 22 -7 -2.39 36.22 -2.54 53.89 7.36 -12.68 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.14P 9.77R 0.94 Barnsley 20 20 -7 -4.34 25.27 -1.98 50.60 7.50 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 19.64R 2.58 Hull 20 19 -3 -9.77 6.96 -4.76 55.36 7.97 -2.41 0.00 0.03 1.69 0.49P 7.59R 0.90 Bolton 20 16 -18 -4.04 26.46 -6.58 43.06 7.30 -31.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 60.00R 18.31 Birmingham 20 16 -19 -4.16 24.79 -8.94 42.56 6.95 -31.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.46R 18.55 Sunderland 20 14 -12 -11.75 3.36 -9.20 47.41 7.82 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 34.23R 7.08 Burton_Albion 20 14 -26 -3.50 28.17 -11.01 37.54 6.72 -44.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.84R 49.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 19 42 +24 5.29 80.47 8.25 93.72 7.60 45.39 60.86 84.70 99.53 90.28P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 40 +13 13.62 98.41 12.26 78.09 7.74 14.74 2.82 11.52 75.07 22.77P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 20 38 +12 4.47 75.22 3.06 81.63 7.49 23.75 6.24 22.79 88.48 42.50P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 19 37 +17 1.54 58.84 2.75 88.26 7.79 38.39 26.20 61.91 97.43 74.94P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 20 36 +7 4.18 74.17 0.46 77.79 7.53 15.99 2.25 10.53 75.04 28.04P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 19 35 +6 5.84 82.05 1.37 74.99 7.80 10.34 1.39 6.37 60.41 18.06P 0.04R 0.00 Peterborough 20 29 +2 0.16 51.33 0.08 65.71 7.69 3.21 0.06 0.52 17.68 4.08P 1.41R 0.06 Portsmouth 20 29 +1 2.23 63.64 1.97 63.73 7.71 -0.17 0.04 0.21 12.39 2.65P 2.57R 0.12 Southend 20 28 -5 0.49 53.36 -5.08 62.86 7.60 -6.19 0.02 0.19 9.34 2.00P 3.39R 0.20 Oxford_Utd 20 27 +7 -3.59 29.54 2.36 65.91 7.64 11.84 0.05 0.48 19.30 5.00P 1.20R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 20 27 -1 -2.34 36.19 -3.80 64.04 7.57 1.06 0.03 0.24 12.40 2.76P 2.26R 0.09 Blackpool 20 27 -1 2.11 63.32 2.67 59.13 7.67 -6.18 0.00 0.04 4.32 0.72P 8.37R 0.75 Rotherham 20 26 +3 -1.68 40.59 2.90 63.29 7.99 5.20 0.03 0.32 12.30 2.89P 3.44R 0.25 Walsall 19 25 -1 -1.29 42.23 -1.27 61.04 7.72 -2.45 0.00 0.11 6.86 1.42P 5.47R 0.37 Bristol_Rovers 20 24 -7 -0.49 47.81 -1.70 56.35 7.60 -12.70 0.00 0.01 1.95 0.33P 16.46R 1.89 MK_Dons 20 24 -7 -2.82 33.78 -6.03 58.02 7.50 -9.45 0.00 0.02 2.83 0.58P 11.04R 0.99 Doncaster 20 23 -4 -1.50 41.77 0.38 55.27 7.66 -9.02 0.00 0.01 1.52 0.31P 19.57R 2.41 Oldham 20 23 -8 0.98 57.14 -0.26 53.59 7.26 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.09P 26.30R 3.66 Rochdale 19 20 -4 -6.55 15.20 -4.77 55.81 7.76 -6.05 0.00 0.02 1.93 0.49P 17.18R 2.05 AFC_Wimbledon 20 20 -7 -3.37 29.92 -1.62 49.39 7.03 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 46.08R 9.50 Gillingham 20 20 -7 -3.63 28.83 -1.44 51.76 7.41 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.08P 33.84R 5.98 Northampton 20 19 -17 -1.87 39.43 -6.71 45.66 7.14 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 69.06R 24.65 Bury 20 17 -9 -5.57 19.02 -1.53 46.90 7.31 -17.92 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 59.77R 17.51 Plymouth 20 17 -14 -3.63 28.50 -4.30 44.55 7.29 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 72.54R 29.47League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2017, Barnet 0 2 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 20 41 +30 2.30 63.31 12.50 92.23 7.24 54.71 76.45 95.00 99.68 96.69P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 20 41 +15 11.88 96.42 12.43 77.68 7.68 16.32 5.59 36.51 78.37 44.35P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 20 37 +10 5.49 79.76 3.95 77.96 7.49 18.03 5.18 38.21 80.41 48.49P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 20 36 +6 4.98 77.68 0.66 76.73 7.59 13.69 3.90 31.48 74.99 42.26P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 20 33 +9 1.69 60.11 3.08 73.17 7.69 15.73 1.69 18.49 59.81 29.06P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 20 32 +9 -1.26 42.12 0.56 75.53 7.56 20.27 2.98 28.00 71.41 42.45P 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 20 32 +7 2.81 66.84 4.17 71.33 7.51 12.43 0.85 12.20 49.57 21.26P 0.02R 0.00 Swindon 20 32 +5 -1.17 42.63 -3.53 74.84 7.78 15.98 2.69 24.93 66.88 37.43P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 20 30 +5 4.57 76.49 7.97 64.00 7.48 2.79 0.09 1.96 16.29 4.62P 0.29R 0.07 Lincoln_City 20 30 +5 4.43 75.44 7.59 63.73 7.57 2.48 0.07 1.96 15.71 4.64P 0.43R 0.11 Colchester 20 29 +3 -1.44 41.56 -1.58 67.46 7.64 7.12 0.27 5.32 30.48 11.88P 0.10R 0.02 Grimsby 20 29 -2 3.06 68.42 0.11 62.49 7.40 -5.33 0.07 1.13 10.92 3.01P 0.65R 0.16 Cambridge_Utd 20 29 -6 2.11 63.24 -5.54 64.02 7.44 -6.58 0.08 1.69 15.03 4.62P 0.39R 0.12 Carlisle 20 27 +1 -0.94 44.66 0.50 64.28 7.64 3.31 0.07 2.24 17.77 5.96P 0.46R 0.12 Stevenage 20 26 -5 -0.70 46.30 -3.58 60.19 7.60 -7.45 0.03 0.61 7.12 1.92P 1.66R 0.49 Cheltenham 20 24 -2 -0.72 46.59 2.14 56.49 7.37 -6.81 0.00 0.16 2.74 0.67P 4.29R 1.48 Crawley_Town 20 21 -6 -2.19 37.16 -0.02 50.87 7.24 -14.28 0.00 0.02 0.37 0.08P 16.23R 7.00 Yeovil 20 20 -11 -2.72 34.00 -3.52 49.19 7.32 -21.13 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 23.48R 11.24 Crewe 20 20 -13 -3.86 27.72 -7.40 50.31 7.32 -21.56 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.08P 19.25R 8.68 Forest_Green 20 20 -16 0.15 52.37 -3.22 44.68 7.26 -34.95 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 49.11R 30.71 Morecambe 20 19 -10 -3.31 30.79 -2.30 47.76 7.16 -20.27 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 29.46R 14.63 Port_Vale 20 18 -12 -8.80 8.72 -11.14 52.45 7.68 -13.73 0.00 0.03 0.92 0.24P 12.53R 5.36 Barnet 20 17 -8 -7.13 12.64 -3.00 49.73 7.40 -12.47 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.07P 20.43R 9.55 Chesterfield 20 17 -14 -8.58 9.30 -10.82 50.12 7.83 -18.28 0.00 0.03 0.52 0.16P 21.22R 10.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2017, Bromley 2 2 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 23 42 +8 9.37 90.89 6.25 73.91 6.93 8.85 7.54 44.79 14.17P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 23 42 +8 9.23 90.95 5.62 74.09 6.75 9.51 6.97 46.10 14.68P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 41 +4 7.35 85.18 0.59 75.86 6.87 9.11 11.21 55.90 20.93P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 23 40 +13 2.20 62.25 3.63 77.93 6.93 22.45 19.86 69.93 33.66P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 23 38 +12 0.07 50.20 2.39 76.59 7.00 22.44 15.56 63.46 29.22P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 22 37 +12 -1.18 42.70 -0.15 78.78 7.13 25.62 24.93 74.12 39.90P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 23 36 +8 3.60 69.64 6.52 68.77 7.03 9.92 1.85 21.42 5.72P 0.12R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 22 35 +11 2.91 66.87 7.79 69.87 6.99 14.27 2.73 26.38 8.11P 0.09R 0.00 Woking 22 33 -1 3.82 71.29 0.57 64.14 7.15 -3.86 0.49 7.53 1.64P 1.21R 0.02 Maidstone_United 21 33 -2 7.47 87.28 2.66 62.57 7.18 -9.00 0.32 5.19 1.01P 2.05R 0.02 Tranmere 22 31 +7 -7.15 14.20 -4.45 72.66 6.97 19.61 5.81 41.82 18.33P 0.01R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 22 31 +5 2.23 62.78 6.75 62.32 7.45 2.97 0.35 6.01 1.45P 2.16R 0.03 Hartlepool 23 31 +0 -4.91 24.99 -6.61 66.59 7.02 6.14 0.86 13.52 4.37P 0.38R 0.00 Maidenhead 23 30 -2 2.78 65.85 4.60 58.69 7.17 -6.59 0.04 1.79 0.35P 6.42R 0.19 Gateshead 22 29 +6 -4.94 23.46 0.38 65.70 7.10 11.86 0.82 12.07 3.87P 0.55R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 20 28 +5 1.89 61.44 7.06 63.07 7.89 4.11 0.61 8.37 2.16P 2.36R 0.05 Halifax 23 26 -8 0.84 55.87 1.27 50.60 6.88 -17.88 0.00 0.09 0.02P 34.26R 2.90 Barrow 23 25 -3 -7.15 15.32 -3.98 56.71 7.01 -2.53 0.02 0.91 0.27P 9.02R 0.36 Eastleigh 23 25 -5 -4.76 25.06 -2.70 55.48 6.91 -6.40 0.01 0.45 0.11P 12.50R 0.52 Leyton_Orient 23 21 -13 -11.15 5.86 -13.99 51.93 7.21 -14.05 0.00 0.13 0.03P 27.00R 2.13 Torquay 23 18 -13 -8.26 10.69 -5.57 44.62 6.76 -19.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.74R 13.09 Chester 22 18 -15 -6.49 16.23 -6.27 45.44 6.94 -23.29 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.65R 12.22 Guiseley 21 17 -17 -3.71 28.10 -5.13 42.01 6.82 -30.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.76R 26.37 Solihull_Moors 23 16 -20 -7.30 13.44 -7.25 39.36 6.58 -32.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.69R 42.09