Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2017, Watford 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   34  +33       6.86    96.38    13.99    92.28     6.51    74.65    87.48    96.38    98.91    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          12   26  +21       2.50    70.58    10.30    75.54     7.07    41.66     3.33    25.89    50.29    71.77    97.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   25  +13       1.98    65.68     2.67    78.12     6.96    41.74     5.39    39.88    64.39    82.13    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   23  +11      -0.82    41.56    -0.75    74.76     7.04    36.39     2.60    21.34    44.39    67.24    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   22   +7       1.36    61.14     0.31    69.05     7.43    25.38     0.41     6.54    17.22    33.48    88.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   22   +6       1.03    58.19    -0.96    71.01     7.32    27.56     0.79     9.92    24.48    44.13    92.48     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          12   22   +3       7.12    94.72     5.99    53.77     7.19    -2.09     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.89    10.40     0.22R    0.00  
Watford          12   18   -2       5.18    86.85     4.54    47.28     7.20   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.07     3.71R    0.45  
Brighton         11   15   +0       1.75    65.87     2.81    46.82     7.45    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     2.25     4.32R    0.59  
Huddersfield     12   15   -9       5.52    90.22     2.19    33.78     6.38   -39.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.60R   19.48  
Newcastle        12   14   -3      -1.29    40.00    -1.33    43.34     7.40   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.82    10.15R    1.67  
Leicester        12   13   -2      -2.08    33.44     0.69    48.50     7.42    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     3.31     2.71R    0.33  
Bournemouth      12   13   -3      -0.72    44.94     2.03    44.07     7.27   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.97     8.62R    1.43  
Southampton      12   13   -5      -4.48    17.06    -6.52    43.49     7.08   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.66     8.72R    1.25  
Stoke            11   12   -9       0.82    58.97    -2.29    42.88     7.32   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66    12.32R    2.44  
Everton          12   12  -12      -2.96    26.51    -8.79    48.96     7.51   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     3.52     2.85R    0.43  
West_Brom        12   10   -9      -3.48    22.45    -4.52    37.94     6.92   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    29.19R    7.23  
West_Ham         12    9  -14      -4.54    16.24    -9.11    36.03     7.15   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    41.55R   12.73  
Swansea          12    8   -8      -5.33    11.41    -2.98    34.03     6.88   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.82R   17.74  
Crystal_Palace   12    5  -18      -6.30     5.61    -8.28    31.11     7.04   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.22R   34.20  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2017, Leeds_United 2 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   17   38  +16      11.42    97.30    11.22    85.03     8.14    26.97    41.42    62.55    92.55    69.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   36  +12      10.20    95.25     8.18    80.75     8.54    19.40    21.22    40.47    80.82    49.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         17   34  +11       8.26    91.77     7.34    78.65     8.24    18.32    14.03    30.39    75.06    41.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    17   31  +10       6.44    85.94     8.22    72.87     8.23    13.17     4.53    11.90    48.79    19.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   29   +8       3.85    74.52     5.10    71.76     8.06    12.61     3.30     9.19    43.82    17.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   26   +7      -1.46    40.32     0.94    73.35     8.17    17.97     4.82    13.18    52.46    25.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    17   26   +6       0.16    51.16     2.24    69.06     8.23    11.03     1.79     5.49    31.91    12.29P    0.20R    0.01  
Derby           16   26   +4       1.92    63.20     0.85    73.40     8.41    13.41     5.09    13.29    51.37    23.62P    0.05R    0.00  
Ipswich         16   25   +4       2.16    64.79     2.82    65.31     8.39     2.83     0.71     2.45    18.04     5.89P    0.91R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       17   24   +2      -2.39    34.43    -2.62    66.71     8.11     6.56     0.97     2.91    22.01     8.09P    0.41R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   17   24   -2       2.24    65.40     0.64    61.94     8.23    -5.19     0.23     0.89     9.22     2.51P    2.26R    0.15  
Norwich         17   23   -5      -2.11    36.55    -7.71    63.89     8.30    -3.52     0.37     1.42    13.27     4.19P    1.34R    0.08  
Brentford       17   22   +2      -2.72    32.95    -0.09    65.88     8.41     7.94     0.76     2.64    20.57     7.14P    0.80R    0.04  
Preston         17   22   +0      -1.02    43.62     0.25    61.82     8.14     0.32     0.16     0.70     8.94     2.56P    2.13R    0.15  
QPR             17   21   -4      -0.45    47.64    -1.29    56.76     8.04   -10.04     0.02     0.17     2.65     0.68P    7.71R    0.79  
Barnsley        16   20   +1      -1.08    43.39     2.48    58.59     8.46    -3.25     0.09     0.37     5.14     1.37P    5.60R    0.51  
Fulham          17   20   -1      -4.84    21.17    -3.22    63.09     8.33     3.91     0.31     1.23    12.13     4.22P    1.80R    0.15  
Millwall        17   18   +0      -2.31    35.44     4.52    51.03     8.18    -9.72     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.19P   23.05R    3.92  
Reading         16   18   -3      -2.77    32.15    -1.28    58.83     8.40    -3.55     0.09     0.37     5.06     1.48P    5.52R    0.60  
Hull            17   17   -2      -7.91     9.71    -4.27    57.90     8.74    -0.74     0.09     0.36     5.09     1.62P    7.04R    0.87  
Birmingham      17   15  -16      -2.82    31.21    -8.34    44.07     7.44   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.14R   16.62  
Burton_Albion   17   13  -23      -2.16    35.66   -10.74    39.16     7.28   -43.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   44.12  
Bolton          17   12  -16      -4.96    19.45    -6.71    42.49     7.88   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.53R   24.63  
Sunderland      17   11  -11     -10.85     3.09    -8.53    49.03     8.44   -13.94     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.09P   32.20R    7.30  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2017, Bristol_Rovers 1 3 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       17   40  +15      15.82    99.72    13.53    81.80     8.14    18.22    12.45    31.10    83.76    40.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            17   36  +19       4.09    75.80     6.36    89.88     8.09    39.45    51.66    73.74    97.51    82.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         18   33   +7       4.00    74.28     0.60    77.74     7.94    16.39     5.15    16.05    69.87    30.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       18   32   +9       2.17    63.59     1.38    77.70     7.97    19.85     5.37    16.40    70.41    31.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         16   31   +7       5.96    84.80     2.34    75.86     8.54    12.58     4.36    12.74    60.26    23.14P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn        16   28  +12      -1.00    42.22     1.59    83.17     8.49    32.71    18.89    41.18    87.63    57.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       18   26   +9      -2.56    34.30     3.26    68.42     8.03    15.11     0.65     2.30    27.45     8.63P    0.73R    0.02  
Rotherham        18   26   +6      -0.11    49.76     4.01    67.04     8.51     9.79     0.49     2.03    22.94     6.68P    1.65R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town   18   26   +1      -0.88    44.61    -2.30    67.08     8.05     5.04     0.37     1.49    20.70     5.80P    1.14R    0.04  
Portsmouth       18   26   +1       2.17    63.81     2.11    63.74     8.22     0.20     0.13     0.61    11.93     2.82P    3.43R    0.24  
Peterborough     17   25   +3       0.05    50.40     0.64    66.05     8.34     4.73     0.30     1.32    18.91     4.95P    1.89R    0.08  
Blackpool        17   25   +1       3.23    70.96     3.18    60.96     8.30    -4.42     0.07     0.40     7.00     1.60P    7.02R    0.49  
MK_Dons          18   23   -6      -1.23    42.55    -5.36    60.09     7.96    -7.91     0.03     0.17     4.90     1.15P    7.78R    0.56  
Southend         17   23   -7       0.28    52.50    -6.04    61.31     8.24    -9.24     0.05     0.27     6.92     1.53P    6.66R    0.50  
Oldham           17   21   -6       2.31    66.65     0.77    55.93     8.02   -13.19     0.01     0.03     1.70     0.27P   19.21R    2.40  
Bristol_Rovers   18   21   -7      -1.15    43.29    -2.53    54.94     8.01   -14.72     0.00     0.01     1.42     0.23P   22.75R    2.92  
Doncaster        18   20   -2      -2.64    34.24     0.94    54.60     8.07    -7.54     0.01     0.03     1.44     0.29P   22.76R    2.97  
Walsall          17   19   -4      -3.73    26.97    -3.15    56.74     8.11    -6.77     0.01     0.07     2.47     0.59P   15.74R    1.81  
AFC_Wimbledon    18   19   -6      -2.09    37.01    -1.25    51.40     7.56   -13.72     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P   36.11R    5.87  
Gillingham       18   18   -7      -2.99    31.44    -1.54    52.54     7.87   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.09P   31.23R    5.11  
Northampton      18   18  -15      -0.61    47.41    -5.38    48.19     7.65   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   55.23R   14.68  
Rochdale         17   17   -5      -6.78    12.79    -5.73    55.09     8.19    -7.68     0.00     0.04     1.66     0.36P   21.07R    2.66  
Plymouth         18   14  -15      -3.77    26.55    -5.04    43.15     7.73   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.07R   35.21  
Bury             18   13  -10      -6.86    11.94    -2.41    44.98     7.79   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.41R   24.35  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2017, Barnet 0 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         17   34  +12      10.05    95.50    11.02    74.66     8.30    13.19     5.29    23.49    63.61    30.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   33  +11       5.72    82.81     5.03    79.06     8.28    20.55    13.10    43.31    81.14    52.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               17   33   +7       6.16    84.93     1.63    79.02     8.34    16.45    12.73    42.18    80.42    51.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                17   32  +19       1.34    58.23     7.80    86.18     8.00    41.28    44.80    78.29    96.37    84.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              17   29   +6       0.26    51.41    -2.11    78.22     8.45    20.41    11.43    39.86    78.54    51.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             17   27   +8      -1.18    41.92     0.94    75.66     8.21    20.67     6.43    28.28    69.98    42.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              17   27   +5       1.42    59.52     1.51    71.23     8.27    11.64     2.35    13.55    48.42    21.79P    0.05R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         17   27   +5       5.18    80.51     7.11    63.88     8.32     1.20     0.31     2.87    17.98     5.72P    0.56R    0.14  
Newport_County       17   26   +5       4.05    75.71     7.03    62.70     8.04     0.56     0.20     1.92    13.90     3.99P    0.78R    0.21  
Colchester           17   25   +3      -1.05    43.17    -1.19    68.98     8.39     9.25     1.45     9.17    38.01    16.47P    0.14R    0.03  
Mansfield            17   25   +2       1.55    60.92     1.55    67.59     8.17     6.27     0.72     5.79    30.77    11.50P    0.18R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        17   25   +0       0.53    53.76    -1.99    65.57     8.10     1.52     0.40     3.54    22.27     7.87P    0.27R    0.06  
Stevenage            17   25   -3       1.39    59.79    -3.07    63.05     8.25    -5.78     0.19     2.04    14.78     4.69P    1.00R    0.26  
Carlisle             17   23   +3      -1.44    41.09     1.31    65.19     8.32     6.42     0.48     4.01    22.67     8.36P    0.55R    0.15  
Grimsby              17   23   -4       1.75    62.51    -1.02    59.24     8.09    -9.32     0.05     0.61     6.73     1.75P    2.66R    0.78  
Cheltenham           17   22   +0       0.79    56.11     3.27    58.92     8.13    -4.29     0.04     0.62     6.62     1.69P    2.87R    0.88  
Yeovil               17   19   -9      -0.68    46.47    -3.34    51.57     7.94   -20.36     0.00     0.05     0.93     0.19P   15.20R    6.27  
Crawley_Town         17   17   -4      -3.47    27.89    -0.09    49.75     7.80   -13.68     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.12P   19.84R    8.42  
Morecambe            17   17   -9      -2.08    36.98    -2.50    48.69     7.81   -21.34     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   25.36R   11.55  
Crewe                17   17  -12      -3.19    29.69    -7.13    50.73     8.03   -21.58     0.01     0.03     0.70     0.18P   18.67R    8.19  
Forest_Green         17   16  -16       0.09    52.47    -3.76    43.77     7.94   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    51.77R   32.83  
Port_Vale            17   15   -7      -9.13     6.33    -8.35    56.15     8.50    -4.81     0.01     0.33     4.17     1.45P    6.10R    2.19  
Barnet               17   14   -6      -6.75    12.38    -2.02    50.93     8.16   -10.33     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.21P   17.07R    7.43  
Chesterfield         17   10  -16     -10.62     3.04   -11.62    46.28     8.48   -21.70     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   36.91R   20.56  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2017, Aldershot 2 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dover_Athletic     19   36  +14       3.43    70.57     4.16    81.48     7.78    26.57    40.28    83.49    52.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       19   35   +3       6.99    86.73    -0.10    74.89     7.64     7.60    10.80    52.93    20.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   33   +5       6.93    86.86     4.36    70.92     7.58     7.10     4.34    33.36    10.25P    0.20R    0.00  
Sutton_United      19   33   +4       7.78    89.18     4.99    70.98     7.72     5.66     4.51    33.87     9.83P    0.21R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   18   32   +6       8.48    91.76     7.54    68.03     7.87     2.82     2.58    22.02     5.82P    0.64R    0.01  
Bromley            19   31   +7       4.52    76.28     6.22    69.06     7.86     8.59     3.20    27.03     7.92P    0.44R    0.00  
Aldershot          19   30   +7      -0.40    47.62     0.41    72.11     7.80    14.57     6.66    41.73    15.95P    0.13R    0.00  
Woking             19   29   -1       4.07    74.13     0.81    64.62     7.87    -3.34     0.90    11.85     2.80P    2.05R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          19   28   +6      -3.70    28.06    -2.52    73.87     7.78    19.52    10.15    51.47    22.62P    0.09R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       19   28   +6       1.29    58.65     4.61    65.69     7.63     7.60     1.21    14.99     4.22P    1.03R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   28   +5       3.06    68.44     6.51    62.52     8.10     1.65     0.63     8.80     2.29P    3.85R    0.09  
Hartlepool         19   28   +2      -2.45    35.05    -4.51    71.15     7.86    11.16     5.16    36.36    14.45P    0.21R    0.00  
Tranmere           19   27   +4      -5.73    17.54    -5.50    72.72     7.53    16.60     7.00    45.06    20.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Maidenhead         19   27   +0       4.16    74.29     4.98    60.23     8.09    -5.95     0.30     4.97     1.12P    7.10R    0.19  
Gateshead          19   25   +6      -4.33    24.78     1.16    66.58     7.73    13.05     1.63    18.59     6.07P    0.88R    0.02  
Halifax            19   25   -2       2.64    66.87     2.92    55.65     7.81   -10.41     0.04     1.39     0.33P   17.40R    0.64  
Eastleigh          19   23   -1      -2.16    36.96    -0.06    60.46     7.77    -0.11     0.21     4.68     1.18P    5.90R    0.13  
AFC_Fylde          18   22   +2      -0.50    47.82     5.43    58.03     8.43    -1.83     0.24     3.67     1.01P   11.98R    0.55  
Leyton_Orient      19   19   -9      -8.58     9.28   -11.36    58.25     8.19    -5.71     0.15     3.13     0.95P   11.32R    0.47  
Guiseley           19   17  -14      -2.23    36.67    -4.24    44.26     7.26   -28.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P   73.64R   13.89  
Barrow             19   16   -4     -10.48     4.44    -4.66    52.61     7.79    -4.34     0.01     0.55     0.16P   26.93R    1.71  
Chester            19   16  -11      -6.13    15.80    -5.13    46.98     7.54   -20.15     0.00     0.04     0.01P   58.45R    7.40  
Torquay            19   11  -15     -10.04     4.13    -7.75    40.75     7.46   -25.60     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.54R   26.62  
Solihull_Moors     19   11  -20      -7.76     9.05    -8.27    37.52     7.33   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.88R   48.24