Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2017, Chelsea 1 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   31  +31       5.97    94.91    13.37    91.05     6.81    72.60    84.56    95.39    98.56    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   23  +18       2.13    68.17     9.33    73.96     7.35    38.35     3.32    22.71    46.33    70.06    96.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   23  +13       0.12    49.51     0.65    77.20     7.26    39.96     6.89    39.38    64.79    82.83    98.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   22   +9       1.50    62.29     0.52    75.64     7.29    35.44     4.23    29.61    55.36    76.74    98.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   19   +4       0.66    55.40    -1.10    67.32     7.79    21.89     0.45     5.90    15.87    32.17    84.36     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          11   19   +4      -0.32    46.52    -2.40    68.20     7.61    23.33     0.55     6.93    18.57    36.11    87.34     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          11   19   +1       6.21    92.98     4.86    52.02     7.44    -4.22     0.00     0.04     0.23     0.99    10.26     1.07R    0.09  
Brighton         11   15   +0       1.83    66.55     2.89    46.59     7.51    -8.31     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.21     3.11     5.86R    0.80  
Watford          11   15   -4       4.02    82.54     3.23    45.14     7.36   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.85     8.84R    1.51  
Huddersfield     11   15   -5       5.93    92.13     4.34    35.81     6.68   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    48.26R   15.04  
Newcastle        11   14   +0      -1.02    42.09    -0.06    45.01     7.60   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     2.30     8.54R    1.39  
Leicester        11   13   +0      -1.58    37.02     1.12    49.33     7.67    -2.42     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.42     6.30     2.93R    0.41  
Southampton      11   13   -2      -3.86    20.11    -4.70    45.05     7.38    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     2.22     7.98R    1.23  
Stoke            11   12   -9       0.79    58.69    -2.42    42.58     7.32   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.91    15.66R    3.35  
Everton          11   11  -12      -2.55    28.61    -8.95    49.29     7.80   -10.75     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.44     5.91     3.90R    0.66  
West_Brom        11   10   -5      -3.24    23.35    -2.30    39.77     7.20   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.37    24.46R    5.84  
Bournemouth      11   10   -7      -1.20    40.43    -0.27    41.68     7.50   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.83    18.75R    4.45  
West_Ham         11    9  -12      -3.43    22.27    -7.55    37.41     7.41   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    38.49R   11.74  
Swansea          11    8   -6      -4.50    14.85    -1.82    35.83     7.23   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    45.04R   14.82  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -18      -6.02     5.46    -8.76    31.32     7.25   -33.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.22R   38.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2017, Middlesbrough 1 0 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   16   35  +14      10.35    96.52    10.03    82.68     8.44    23.90    34.63    53.57    86.85    61.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   33  +10       9.63    94.78     7.75    78.43     8.64    16.35    17.32    32.93    72.27    41.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   31   +9       7.20    89.68     6.21    76.51     8.49    15.60    11.96    24.86    64.76    34.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   30  +10       6.51    86.75     7.85    72.88     8.53    12.60     6.29    14.31    48.52    21.87P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   26   +8      -0.48    46.39     1.46    75.42     8.52    19.92    10.39    22.26    61.60    35.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   26   +7       2.52    67.21     4.50    69.74     8.22    11.11     2.65     7.20    34.12    13.87P    0.15R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +4       2.28    65.89     0.80    73.40     8.64    12.86     6.64    15.66    51.39    25.15P    0.08R    0.00  
Ipswich         15   24   +4       2.30    66.21     2.40    65.29     8.68     2.10     1.18     3.28    18.60     6.59P    1.02R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   16   24   -1       3.51    73.32     1.52    63.99     8.54    -3.14     0.70     2.13    14.07     4.42P    1.60R    0.11  
Leeds_United    16   23   +5      -1.26    41.60     1.62    66.98     8.38     9.40     1.47     4.26    24.07     9.38P    0.46R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       16   23   +2      -1.95    36.81    -2.49    67.59     8.36     7.26     1.80     4.84    25.51    10.59P    0.45R    0.02  
Brentford       16   22   +4      -2.09    36.44     0.72    67.81     8.72    10.89     2.16     5.73    28.18    11.69P    0.48R    0.04  
Norwich         16   22   -5      -1.64    39.08    -7.53    64.98     8.58    -2.45     0.83     2.61    16.79     6.04P    1.23R    0.07  
Preston         16   21   +0      -0.46    47.16     0.60    63.13     8.41     1.60     0.49     1.58    12.16     3.97P    1.88R    0.12  
QPR             16   21   -3       0.59    55.03    -0.72    58.56     8.30    -8.40     0.08     0.38     4.58     1.25P    5.59R    0.47  
Barnsley        15   19   +1      -0.93    43.99     2.12    58.52     8.64    -4.06     0.19     0.58     5.28     1.58P    6.26R    0.63  
Fulham          16   19   -1      -4.39    22.61    -3.15    63.67     8.62     4.14     0.63     1.98    14.42     5.35P    1.78R    0.13  
Reading         15   18   -1      -1.81    37.99     0.10    61.07     8.73    -0.27     0.38     1.13     8.88     2.96P    3.59R    0.31  
Millwall        16   17   +0      -2.18    35.91     4.12    51.01     8.33   -10.15     0.01     0.04     0.71     0.18P   23.69R    3.78  
Hull            16   16   -2      -7.41    10.15    -4.07    58.88     8.96     0.23     0.20     0.64     6.62     2.35P    6.17R    0.71  
Burton_Albion   16   13  -21      -1.44    40.75    -9.75    40.42     7.50   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.12R   34.93  
Birmingham      16   12  -17      -4.40    20.90    -9.10    41.97     7.66   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   69.91R   24.93  
Bolton          16   11  -16      -4.76    19.62    -6.75    41.79     8.09   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   69.43R   27.41  
Sunderland      16   10  -11     -10.23     3.28    -8.26    49.96     8.73   -13.05     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.17P   28.96R    6.28  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2017, Blackpool 2 3 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       16   37  +14      14.37    99.44    12.74    79.41     8.32    16.09     7.50    25.09    76.40    34.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            16   36  +20       5.49    83.89     7.40    92.39     8.35    42.10    66.50    83.92    98.67    89.10P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         15   30   +7       6.71    88.78     2.87    76.94     8.63    13.61     5.13    17.94    65.91    29.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford         17   30   +6       2.27    64.58    -0.47    75.23     8.03    14.14     3.04    11.81    59.58    24.77P    0.06R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       17   29   +6       1.54    60.09    -0.15    75.31     8.15    15.78     2.99    12.33    60.49    25.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   25   +9      -1.57    38.33     0.10    80.61     8.74    28.35    11.45    33.26    81.16    50.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham        16   25   +7       1.47    59.68     4.66    69.50     9.02    11.92     1.32     5.14    34.69    11.89P    1.13R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town   17   25   +1      -0.17    48.98    -1.80    67.98     8.29     5.80     0.49     2.50    26.22     8.18P    1.20R    0.06  
Peterborough     15   24   +4       1.86    62.81     1.72    69.15     8.75     7.81     0.95     4.22    31.96    10.07P    1.11R    0.07  
Oxford_Utd       17   23   +5      -2.88    31.83     1.24    65.37     8.26     8.98     0.30     1.51    17.97     5.37P    2.21R    0.16  
Portsmouth       17   23   +0       0.84    56.39     1.66    61.60     8.41    -1.67     0.08     0.51     8.97     2.20P    6.46R    0.57  
Southend         16   23   -6       1.32    59.66    -5.44    63.21     8.48    -7.45     0.11     0.74    11.71     3.00P    5.00R    0.42  
Blackpool        16   22   +0       1.59    61.74     2.21    58.40     8.46    -7.05     0.03     0.22     4.73     1.10P   12.72R    1.62  
MK_Dons          17   22   -6      -1.02    43.82    -5.66    59.99     8.16    -8.62     0.04     0.24     5.72     1.38P    8.80R    0.88  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   -5      -0.13    50.11    -1.13    57.62     8.26   -10.57     0.01     0.11     3.47     0.71P   15.05R    1.94  
Walsall          16   19   -3      -2.49    33.72    -2.28    59.15     8.34    -4.31     0.03     0.25     4.92     1.22P   10.90R    1.24  
Doncaster        16   18   -2      -2.08    36.77     0.82    54.53     8.52    -9.16     0.00     0.06     1.88     0.42P   25.26R    4.48  
Oldham           16   18   -8       1.06    58.93    -0.60    53.29     8.14   -16.76     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.17P   30.51R    6.05  
Northampton      17   18  -12      -0.21    49.65    -3.85    50.11     7.88   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   45.80R   11.62  
Rochdale         16   17   -3      -5.81    15.69    -4.39    57.26     8.38    -4.47     0.03     0.12     3.47     0.90P   15.34R    2.06  
Gillingham       17   15   -8      -4.69    21.04    -2.52    50.17     8.09   -14.96     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P   43.52R   10.75  
AFC_Wimbledon    16   15   -8      -3.20    28.42    -3.04    48.64     7.85   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   51.70R   14.50  
Plymouth         17   14  -11      -3.83    25.45    -3.21    46.13     7.98   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   63.84R   23.71  
Bury             17   13   -7      -6.47    12.91    -0.87    46.90     7.97   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   59.18R   19.80  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         16   33  +12      10.34    96.20    10.92    74.75     8.56    12.62     4.93    22.54    63.68    29.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   32  +11       6.09    85.30     5.00    79.53     8.42    20.73    12.44    43.01    82.74    52.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                16   31  +19       1.94    62.72     8.20    87.10     8.29    42.10    45.43    78.82    96.64    84.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   30   +5       5.24    81.50     0.73    77.42     8.51    14.46     8.04    32.53    74.93    43.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              16   28   +6       1.02    56.66    -1.51    79.59     8.76    21.96    13.33    43.93    82.17    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             16   27   +9       0.07    50.12     1.77    78.45     8.30    23.65     9.77    38.63    80.32    52.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   27   +6       2.67    67.87     2.35    73.33     8.51    13.70     3.54    18.25    58.48    27.98P    0.05R    0.02  
Newport_County       16   25   +5       4.65    79.65     7.37    62.91     8.28     0.32     0.21     1.86    15.24     4.30P    0.90R    0.25  
Lincoln_City         16   24   +2       4.39    78.01     5.31    60.11     8.40    -4.76     0.08     0.98     9.20     2.53P    2.33R    0.69  
Cambridge_Utd        16   24   +0       0.79    55.67    -2.11    66.11     8.31     1.66     0.51     4.04    24.74     8.81P    0.40R    0.08  
Stevenage            16   24   -3       1.76    62.40    -3.06    63.70     8.56    -5.39     0.27     2.54    17.68     5.60P    0.97R    0.27  
Grimsby              16   23   -2       2.31    66.03    -0.24    60.94     8.28    -6.90     0.13     1.14    10.11     2.79P    1.76R    0.44  
Colchester           16   22   +2      -2.26    34.82    -1.60    67.05     8.63     7.75     0.77     5.79    30.53    12.13P    0.36R    0.10  
Mansfield            16   22   +1      -0.10    49.99     0.62    64.72     8.27     3.56     0.29     2.83    20.38     6.83P    0.58R    0.13  
Cheltenham           16   21   +0       0.82    56.27     2.76    58.52     8.26    -5.45     0.05     0.55     6.39     1.73P    3.34R    1.07  
Carlisle             16   20   -1      -1.85    38.34    -0.74    62.57     8.48     0.79     0.17     1.83    14.87     4.76P    1.38R    0.44  
Yeovil               16   19   -5      -0.47    47.72    -1.17    53.94     8.16   -14.76     0.01     0.13     2.09     0.48P    9.78R    3.50  
Crewe                16   17   -9      -2.55    33.40    -5.35    53.81     8.24   -15.73     0.01     0.10     1.85     0.46P   10.99R    4.11  
Crawley_Town         16   16   -4      -2.75    31.96     0.43    50.46     7.98   -13.30     0.00     0.04     0.75     0.16P   18.11R    7.66  
Forest_Green         16   15  -16       0.12    52.56    -4.14    43.79     8.08   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   52.21R   32.43  
Barnet               16   14   -5      -5.73    15.63    -1.50    52.92     8.40    -8.52     0.00     0.08     1.82     0.43P   12.39R    4.89  
Port_Vale            16   14   -7      -8.78     6.13    -8.33    56.80     8.60    -4.42     0.02     0.35     4.90     1.64P    5.61R    1.93  
Morecambe            16   14  -10      -3.69    26.11    -3.54    46.38     7.90   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   36.93R   18.04  
Chesterfield         16    9  -16     -10.56     2.73   -12.19    45.38     8.63   -23.76     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P   41.90R   23.96  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 November 2017, Chester 0 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dover_Athletic     18   33  +12       2.46    65.51     3.07    79.88     7.99    24.64    34.89    79.90    47.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   33   +5       7.07    87.53     4.55    70.68     7.56     6.79     4.64    34.89    10.89P    0.21R    0.00  
Macclesfield       18   32   +1       5.73    82.78    -1.51    72.41     7.86     4.45     7.49    43.39    15.33P    0.16R    0.00  
Sutton_United      18   30   +2       6.76    86.48     3.94    68.88     8.01     2.98     3.62    27.65     7.92P    0.84R    0.02  
Maidstone_United   17   29   +5       7.03    88.26     6.89    66.22     8.12     1.42     2.12    18.68     4.76P    1.73R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red          18   28   +8      -2.91    31.67    -1.35    75.63     8.04    22.16    17.61    62.56    31.81P    0.06R    0.00  
Bromley            18   28   +6       3.16    69.92     5.61    67.61     8.13     7.78     2.99    24.25     7.38P    1.22R    0.02  
Woking             18   28   -1       4.42    76.59     0.87    65.02     8.12    -3.47     1.43    14.73     3.73P    2.56R    0.04  
Aldershot          18   27   +6      -1.42    40.85     0.25    70.84     7.96    14.14     6.08    38.58    14.81P    0.34R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       18   27   +6       1.57    60.34     4.58    66.10     7.84     7.65     1.74    18.64     5.51P    1.50R    0.03  
Maidenhead         18   27   +3       4.27    74.99     6.10    63.16     8.47    -0.47     1.15    11.94     3.18P    4.99R    0.17  
Hartlepool         18   27   +2      -2.11    36.83    -4.55    71.84     8.07    11.61     7.66    42.69    18.05P    0.24R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   25   +4       1.75    61.33     5.94    60.53     8.34     0.06     0.52     7.18     1.82P    8.07R    0.32  
Tranmere           18   24   +2      -6.68    13.27    -6.58    70.79     7.78    14.18     5.55    38.14    16.39P    0.27R    0.00  
Halifax            18   24   -2       3.00    69.55     3.13    56.04     8.07   -10.72     0.08     2.15     0.43P   19.68R    1.05  
Eastleigh          18   23   +1      -1.66    39.83     0.71    61.88     7.89     1.93     0.47     8.09     2.13P    5.04R    0.17  
AFC_Fylde          17   22   +3       0.55    54.29     5.99    58.83     8.68    -1.82     0.46     5.65     1.47P   12.71R    0.77  
Gateshead          18   22   +3      -5.26    19.45    -0.86    64.11     7.92     8.81     1.04    13.38     4.27P    2.69R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient      18   19   -8      -7.44    11.99   -10.75    59.98     8.41    -4.18     0.43     5.95     1.94P    9.85R    0.52  
Guiseley           18   17  -13      -1.29    42.42    -3.69    45.68     7.47   -27.42     0.00     0.03     0.00P   70.15R   13.79  
Barrow             18   16   -2      -9.49     5.83    -3.21    54.67     8.01    -1.36     0.05     1.46     0.42P   22.33R    1.50  
Chester            19   16  -11      -6.08    16.07    -4.95    46.71     7.56   -20.70     0.00     0.04     0.02P   63.76R   11.10  
Torquay            18   11  -14      -8.88     5.62    -6.97    42.40     7.75   -24.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P   81.04R   25.53  
Solihull_Moors     18   11  -18      -7.02    10.91    -7.19    39.31     7.57   -34.16     0.00     0.01     0.00P   90.56R   44.86