Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 11 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2017, Chelsea 1 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 11 31 +31 5.97 94.91 13.37 91.05 6.81 72.60 84.56 95.39 98.56 99.63 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 11 23 +18 2.13 68.17 9.33 73.96 7.35 38.35 3.32 22.71 46.33 70.06 96.96 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 23 +13 0.12 49.51 0.65 77.20 7.26 39.96 6.89 39.38 64.79 82.83 98.84 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 22 +9 1.50 62.29 0.52 75.64 7.29 35.44 4.23 29.61 55.36 76.74 98.06 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 11 19 +4 0.66 55.40 -1.10 67.32 7.79 21.89 0.45 5.90 15.87 32.17 84.36 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 11 19 +4 -0.32 46.52 -2.40 68.20 7.61 23.33 0.55 6.93 18.57 36.11 87.34 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 11 19 +1 6.21 92.98 4.86 52.02 7.44 -4.22 0.00 0.04 0.23 0.99 10.26 1.07R 0.09 Brighton 11 15 +0 1.83 66.55 2.89 46.59 7.51 -8.31 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.21 3.11 5.86R 0.80 Watford 11 15 -4 4.02 82.54 3.23 45.14 7.36 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.85 8.84R 1.51 Huddersfield 11 15 -5 5.93 92.13 4.34 35.81 6.68 -33.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 48.26R 15.04 Newcastle 11 14 +0 -1.02 42.09 -0.06 45.01 7.60 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 2.30 8.54R 1.39 Leicester 11 13 +0 -1.58 37.02 1.12 49.33 7.67 -2.42 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.42 6.30 2.93R 0.41 Southampton 11 13 -2 -3.86 20.11 -4.70 45.05 7.38 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 2.22 7.98R 1.23 Stoke 11 12 -9 0.79 58.69 -2.42 42.58 7.32 -20.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.91 15.66R 3.35 Everton 11 11 -12 -2.55 28.61 -8.95 49.29 7.80 -10.75 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.44 5.91 3.90R 0.66 West_Brom 11 10 -5 -3.24 23.35 -2.30 39.77 7.20 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37 24.46R 5.84 Bournemouth 11 10 -7 -1.20 40.43 -0.27 41.68 7.50 -16.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.83 18.75R 4.45 West_Ham 11 9 -12 -3.43 22.27 -7.55 37.41 7.41 -28.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 38.49R 11.74 Swansea 11 8 -6 -4.50 14.85 -1.82 35.83 7.23 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 45.04R 14.82 Crystal_Palace 11 4 -18 -6.02 5.46 -8.76 31.32 7.25 -33.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.22R 38.67Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2017, Middlesbrough 1 0 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 16 35 +14 10.35 96.52 10.03 82.68 8.44 23.90 34.63 53.57 86.85 61.48P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 33 +10 9.63 94.78 7.75 78.43 8.64 16.35 17.32 32.93 72.27 41.56P 0.01R 0.00 Cardiff 16 31 +9 7.20 89.68 6.21 76.51 8.49 15.60 11.96 24.86 64.76 34.16P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_City 16 30 +10 6.51 86.75 7.85 72.88 8.53 12.60 6.29 14.31 48.52 21.87P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 26 +8 -0.48 46.39 1.46 75.42 8.52 19.92 10.39 22.26 61.60 35.39P 0.03R 0.00 Aston_Villa 16 26 +7 2.52 67.21 4.50 69.74 8.22 11.11 2.65 7.20 34.12 13.87P 0.15R 0.00 Derby 15 25 +4 2.28 65.89 0.80 73.40 8.64 12.86 6.64 15.66 51.39 25.15P 0.08R 0.00 Ipswich 15 24 +4 2.30 66.21 2.40 65.29 8.68 2.10 1.18 3.28 18.60 6.59P 1.02R 0.04 Nott'm_Forest 16 24 -1 3.51 73.32 1.52 63.99 8.54 -3.14 0.70 2.13 14.07 4.42P 1.60R 0.11 Leeds_United 16 23 +5 -1.26 41.60 1.62 66.98 8.38 9.40 1.47 4.26 24.07 9.38P 0.46R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 16 23 +2 -1.95 36.81 -2.49 67.59 8.36 7.26 1.80 4.84 25.51 10.59P 0.45R 0.02 Brentford 16 22 +4 -2.09 36.44 0.72 67.81 8.72 10.89 2.16 5.73 28.18 11.69P 0.48R 0.04 Norwich 16 22 -5 -1.64 39.08 -7.53 64.98 8.58 -2.45 0.83 2.61 16.79 6.04P 1.23R 0.07 Preston 16 21 +0 -0.46 47.16 0.60 63.13 8.41 1.60 0.49 1.58 12.16 3.97P 1.88R 0.12 QPR 16 21 -3 0.59 55.03 -0.72 58.56 8.30 -8.40 0.08 0.38 4.58 1.25P 5.59R 0.47 Barnsley 15 19 +1 -0.93 43.99 2.12 58.52 8.64 -4.06 0.19 0.58 5.28 1.58P 6.26R 0.63 Fulham 16 19 -1 -4.39 22.61 -3.15 63.67 8.62 4.14 0.63 1.98 14.42 5.35P 1.78R 0.13 Reading 15 18 -1 -1.81 37.99 0.10 61.07 8.73 -0.27 0.38 1.13 8.88 2.96P 3.59R 0.31 Millwall 16 17 +0 -2.18 35.91 4.12 51.01 8.33 -10.15 0.01 0.04 0.71 0.18P 23.69R 3.78 Hull 16 16 -2 -7.41 10.15 -4.07 58.88 8.96 0.23 0.20 0.64 6.62 2.35P 6.17R 0.71 Burton_Albion 16 13 -21 -1.44 40.75 -9.75 40.42 7.50 -41.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 77.12R 34.93 Birmingham 16 12 -17 -4.40 20.90 -9.10 41.97 7.66 -32.96 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 69.91R 24.93 Bolton 16 11 -16 -4.76 19.62 -6.75 41.79 8.09 -31.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 69.43R 27.41 Sunderland 16 10 -11 -10.23 3.28 -8.26 49.96 8.73 -13.05 0.00 0.03 0.56 0.17P 28.96R 6.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2017, Blackpool 2 3 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 16 37 +14 14.37 99.44 12.74 79.41 8.32 16.09 7.50 25.09 76.40 34.15P 0.02R 0.00 Wigan 16 36 +20 5.49 83.89 7.40 92.39 8.35 42.10 66.50 83.92 98.67 89.10P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 15 30 +7 6.71 88.78 2.87 76.94 8.63 13.61 5.13 17.94 65.91 29.19P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 17 30 +6 2.27 64.58 -0.47 75.23 8.03 14.14 3.04 11.81 59.58 24.77P 0.06R 0.00 Scunthorpe 17 29 +6 1.54 60.09 -0.15 75.31 8.15 15.78 2.99 12.33 60.49 25.55P 0.10R 0.00 Blackburn 15 25 +9 -1.57 38.33 0.10 80.61 8.74 28.35 11.45 33.26 81.16 50.40P 0.03R 0.00 Rotherham 16 25 +7 1.47 59.68 4.66 69.50 9.02 11.92 1.32 5.14 34.69 11.89P 1.13R 0.08 Fleetwood_Town 17 25 +1 -0.17 48.98 -1.80 67.98 8.29 5.80 0.49 2.50 26.22 8.18P 1.20R 0.06 Peterborough 15 24 +4 1.86 62.81 1.72 69.15 8.75 7.81 0.95 4.22 31.96 10.07P 1.11R 0.07 Oxford_Utd 17 23 +5 -2.88 31.83 1.24 65.37 8.26 8.98 0.30 1.51 17.97 5.37P 2.21R 0.16 Portsmouth 17 23 +0 0.84 56.39 1.66 61.60 8.41 -1.67 0.08 0.51 8.97 2.20P 6.46R 0.57 Southend 16 23 -6 1.32 59.66 -5.44 63.21 8.48 -7.45 0.11 0.74 11.71 3.00P 5.00R 0.42 Blackpool 16 22 +0 1.59 61.74 2.21 58.40 8.46 -7.05 0.03 0.22 4.73 1.10P 12.72R 1.62 MK_Dons 17 22 -6 -1.02 43.82 -5.66 59.99 8.16 -8.62 0.04 0.24 5.72 1.38P 8.80R 0.88 Bristol_Rovers 17 21 -5 -0.13 50.11 -1.13 57.62 8.26 -10.57 0.01 0.11 3.47 0.71P 15.05R 1.94 Walsall 16 19 -3 -2.49 33.72 -2.28 59.15 8.34 -4.31 0.03 0.25 4.92 1.22P 10.90R 1.24 Doncaster 16 18 -2 -2.08 36.77 0.82 54.53 8.52 -9.16 0.00 0.06 1.88 0.42P 25.26R 4.48 Oldham 16 18 -8 1.06 58.93 -0.60 53.29 8.14 -16.76 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.17P 30.51R 6.05 Northampton 17 18 -12 -0.21 49.65 -3.85 50.11 7.88 -23.97 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 45.80R 11.62 Rochdale 16 17 -3 -5.81 15.69 -4.39 57.26 8.38 -4.47 0.03 0.12 3.47 0.90P 15.34R 2.06 Gillingham 17 15 -8 -4.69 21.04 -2.52 50.17 8.09 -14.96 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.09P 43.52R 10.75 AFC_Wimbledon 16 15 -8 -3.20 28.42 -3.04 48.64 7.85 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 51.70R 14.50 Plymouth 17 14 -11 -3.83 25.45 -3.21 46.13 7.98 -21.66 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 63.84R 23.71 Bury 17 13 -7 -6.47 12.91 -0.87 46.90 7.97 -16.20 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 59.18R 19.80League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 16 33 +12 10.34 96.20 10.92 74.75 8.56 12.62 4.93 22.54 63.68 29.99P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 32 +11 6.09 85.30 5.00 79.53 8.42 20.73 12.44 43.01 82.74 52.89P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 16 31 +19 1.94 62.72 8.20 87.10 8.29 42.10 45.43 78.82 96.64 84.92P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 16 30 +5 5.24 81.50 0.73 77.42 8.51 14.46 8.04 32.53 74.93 43.00P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 16 28 +6 1.02 56.66 -1.51 79.59 8.76 21.96 13.33 43.93 82.17 55.64P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 16 27 +9 0.07 50.12 1.77 78.45 8.30 23.65 9.77 38.63 80.32 52.83P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 16 27 +6 2.67 67.87 2.35 73.33 8.51 13.70 3.54 18.25 58.48 27.98P 0.05R 0.02 Newport_County 16 25 +5 4.65 79.65 7.37 62.91 8.28 0.32 0.21 1.86 15.24 4.30P 0.90R 0.25 Lincoln_City 16 24 +2 4.39 78.01 5.31 60.11 8.40 -4.76 0.08 0.98 9.20 2.53P 2.33R 0.69 Cambridge_Utd 16 24 +0 0.79 55.67 -2.11 66.11 8.31 1.66 0.51 4.04 24.74 8.81P 0.40R 0.08 Stevenage 16 24 -3 1.76 62.40 -3.06 63.70 8.56 -5.39 0.27 2.54 17.68 5.60P 0.97R 0.27 Grimsby 16 23 -2 2.31 66.03 -0.24 60.94 8.28 -6.90 0.13 1.14 10.11 2.79P 1.76R 0.44 Colchester 16 22 +2 -2.26 34.82 -1.60 67.05 8.63 7.75 0.77 5.79 30.53 12.13P 0.36R 0.10 Mansfield 16 22 +1 -0.10 49.99 0.62 64.72 8.27 3.56 0.29 2.83 20.38 6.83P 0.58R 0.13 Cheltenham 16 21 +0 0.82 56.27 2.76 58.52 8.26 -5.45 0.05 0.55 6.39 1.73P 3.34R 1.07 Carlisle 16 20 -1 -1.85 38.34 -0.74 62.57 8.48 0.79 0.17 1.83 14.87 4.76P 1.38R 0.44 Yeovil 16 19 -5 -0.47 47.72 -1.17 53.94 8.16 -14.76 0.01 0.13 2.09 0.48P 9.78R 3.50 Crewe 16 17 -9 -2.55 33.40 -5.35 53.81 8.24 -15.73 0.01 0.10 1.85 0.46P 10.99R 4.11 Crawley_Town 16 16 -4 -2.75 31.96 0.43 50.46 7.98 -13.30 0.00 0.04 0.75 0.16P 18.11R 7.66 Forest_Green 16 15 -16 0.12 52.56 -4.14 43.79 8.08 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 52.21R 32.43 Barnet 16 14 -5 -5.73 15.63 -1.50 52.92 8.40 -8.52 0.00 0.08 1.82 0.43P 12.39R 4.89 Port_Vale 16 14 -7 -8.78 6.13 -8.33 56.80 8.60 -4.42 0.02 0.35 4.90 1.64P 5.61R 1.93 Morecambe 16 14 -10 -3.69 26.11 -3.54 46.38 7.90 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 36.93R 18.04 Chesterfield 16 9 -16 -10.56 2.73 -12.19 45.38 8.63 -23.76 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.06P 41.90R 23.96National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 November 2017, Chester 0 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dover_Athletic 18 33 +12 2.46 65.51 3.07 79.88 7.99 24.64 34.89 79.90 47.73P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 19 33 +5 7.07 87.53 4.55 70.68 7.56 6.79 4.64 34.89 10.89P 0.21R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 32 +1 5.73 82.78 -1.51 72.41 7.86 4.45 7.49 43.39 15.33P 0.16R 0.00 Sutton_United 18 30 +2 6.76 86.48 3.94 68.88 8.01 2.98 3.62 27.65 7.92P 0.84R 0.02 Maidstone_United 17 29 +5 7.03 88.26 6.89 66.22 8.12 1.42 2.12 18.68 4.76P 1.73R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 18 28 +8 -2.91 31.67 -1.35 75.63 8.04 22.16 17.61 62.56 31.81P 0.06R 0.00 Bromley 18 28 +6 3.16 69.92 5.61 67.61 8.13 7.78 2.99 24.25 7.38P 1.22R 0.02 Woking 18 28 -1 4.42 76.59 0.87 65.02 8.12 -3.47 1.43 14.73 3.73P 2.56R 0.04 Aldershot 18 27 +6 -1.42 40.85 0.25 70.84 7.96 14.14 6.08 38.58 14.81P 0.34R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 18 27 +6 1.57 60.34 4.58 66.10 7.84 7.65 1.74 18.64 5.51P 1.50R 0.03 Maidenhead 18 27 +3 4.27 74.99 6.10 63.16 8.47 -0.47 1.15 11.94 3.18P 4.99R 0.17 Hartlepool 18 27 +2 -2.11 36.83 -4.55 71.84 8.07 11.61 7.66 42.69 18.05P 0.24R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 18 25 +4 1.75 61.33 5.94 60.53 8.34 0.06 0.52 7.18 1.82P 8.07R 0.32 Tranmere 18 24 +2 -6.68 13.27 -6.58 70.79 7.78 14.18 5.55 38.14 16.39P 0.27R 0.00 Halifax 18 24 -2 3.00 69.55 3.13 56.04 8.07 -10.72 0.08 2.15 0.43P 19.68R 1.05 Eastleigh 18 23 +1 -1.66 39.83 0.71 61.88 7.89 1.93 0.47 8.09 2.13P 5.04R 0.17 AFC_Fylde 17 22 +3 0.55 54.29 5.99 58.83 8.68 -1.82 0.46 5.65 1.47P 12.71R 0.77 Gateshead 18 22 +3 -5.26 19.45 -0.86 64.11 7.92 8.81 1.04 13.38 4.27P 2.69R 0.05 Leyton_Orient 18 19 -8 -7.44 11.99 -10.75 59.98 8.41 -4.18 0.43 5.95 1.94P 9.85R 0.52 Guiseley 18 17 -13 -1.29 42.42 -3.69 45.68 7.47 -27.42 0.00 0.03 0.00P 70.15R 13.79 Barrow 18 16 -2 -9.49 5.83 -3.21 54.67 8.01 -1.36 0.05 1.46 0.42P 22.33R 1.50 Chester 19 16 -11 -6.08 16.07 -4.95 46.71 7.56 -20.70 0.00 0.04 0.02P 63.76R 11.10 Torquay 18 11 -14 -8.88 5.62 -6.97 42.40 7.75 -24.31 0.00 0.02 0.00P 81.04R 25.53 Solihull_Moors 18 11 -18 -7.02 10.91 -7.19 39.31 7.57 -34.16 0.00 0.01 0.00P 90.56R 44.86