Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 4 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2017, Huddersfield 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 28 +29 5.18 93.23 12.79 89.72 7.10 70.93 79.14 92.64 97.38 99.18 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 10 23 +19 3.20 77.99 9.89 75.51 7.61 39.68 6.33 30.66 54.75 75.17 97.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 20 +12 -0.47 44.02 1.28 77.00 7.50 41.60 8.73 38.45 63.33 81.24 98.51 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 19 +8 0.06 49.33 -0.15 74.01 7.59 34.51 3.74 22.95 45.74 68.31 96.62 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 19 +6 0.26 51.12 -1.83 69.38 7.85 24.83 1.45 9.75 23.12 42.27 89.45 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 11 19 +4 0.65 55.60 -1.13 67.30 7.74 21.81 0.62 5.49 15.22 31.64 84.44 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 11 19 +1 6.23 93.20 4.90 51.86 7.45 -4.45 0.00 0.05 0.21 0.85 9.87 1.10R 0.08 Brighton 11 15 +0 1.88 66.89 2.94 46.55 7.53 -8.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.19 3.10 6.13R 0.91 Watford 10 15 -3 4.89 88.09 3.28 46.08 7.58 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.16 2.62 7.50R 1.24 Huddersfield 11 15 -5 5.91 92.06 4.36 35.85 6.73 -33.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 48.12R 14.99 Newcastle 11 14 +0 -1.03 41.68 -0.06 44.99 7.58 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 2.25 8.75R 1.31 Leicester 11 13 +0 -1.56 37.23 1.17 49.23 7.71 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.41 6.14 3.28R 0.44 Southampton 11 13 -2 -3.88 19.87 -4.72 45.13 7.40 -9.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 2.13 7.82R 1.19 Stoke 11 12 -9 0.82 58.91 -2.43 42.66 7.39 -20.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.87 15.64R 3.26 West_Brom 11 10 -5 -3.27 23.12 -2.31 39.75 7.20 -16.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.35 24.70R 5.92 Bournemouth 11 10 -7 -1.23 40.19 -0.34 41.89 7.49 -16.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.81 17.76R 4.11 West_Ham 11 9 -12 -3.42 22.23 -7.53 37.46 7.44 -28.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 38.39R 11.91 Swansea 11 8 -6 -4.47 14.71 -1.75 35.80 7.21 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 45.15R 15.02 Everton 10 8 -13 -3.57 19.56 -9.03 47.92 8.04 -11.35 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.31 4.72 5.80R 1.07 Crystal_Palace 10 4 -17 -5.56 6.42 -9.34 31.37 7.41 -35.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.84R 38.55Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 November 2017, Birmingham 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 15 32 +12 9.42 95.45 9.03 80.57 8.71 21.14 26.60 44.08 79.84 52.55P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 15 31 +10 8.32 93.42 6.82 78.43 8.72 17.39 18.86 34.11 72.34 43.08P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 15 30 +7 8.92 94.17 6.07 75.44 8.97 11.42 11.36 22.73 58.82 30.40P 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_City 15 27 +9 5.19 82.31 7.28 70.82 8.71 10.98 4.54 10.56 39.59 16.77P 0.17R 0.00 Aston_Villa 15 26 +8 3.60 74.35 5.15 71.74 8.48 13.08 5.00 11.99 43.71 19.94P 0.08R 0.00 Derby 14 25 +6 3.43 73.92 2.46 76.18 8.79 16.89 12.84 25.45 63.92 35.98P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 15 23 +7 -0.45 46.84 2.75 68.86 8.68 12.15 3.06 7.34 32.03 13.78P 0.31R 0.01 Middlesbrough 15 23 +7 -1.39 40.15 1.46 73.74 8.71 18.93 8.51 17.95 54.18 29.67P 0.06R 0.00 Norwich 15 22 -4 -0.17 49.01 -6.43 67.31 8.78 0.06 1.89 5.04 24.72 9.88P 0.69R 0.03 Preston 15 21 +3 0.37 53.24 2.78 65.64 8.69 6.31 1.26 3.49 20.18 7.27P 0.87R 0.03 Ipswich 14 21 +1 1.50 61.35 0.61 62.39 8.78 -2.63 0.62 1.75 11.51 3.83P 2.40R 0.10 QPR 15 21 +1 0.98 57.73 1.76 61.13 8.56 -2.39 0.31 1.02 8.82 2.66P 3.01R 0.16 Nott'm_Forest 15 21 -5 2.94 71.08 -0.90 60.67 8.68 -9.75 0.33 0.96 7.85 2.18P 3.93R 0.26 Sheff_Wed 15 20 +1 -3.40 26.83 -3.17 65.38 8.52 5.52 1.11 3.11 18.89 7.51P 0.98R 0.03 Brentford 15 19 +2 -3.26 28.57 -0.59 65.43 8.92 7.72 1.33 3.73 20.56 8.16P 1.19R 0.06 Fulham 15 19 +1 -3.56 26.54 -2.06 65.50 8.77 6.90 1.42 3.75 19.98 8.18P 1.14R 0.06 Millwall 15 17 +1 -0.94 44.17 4.84 53.59 8.66 -7.37 0.05 0.16 1.71 0.45P 15.84R 1.88 Hull 15 16 +1 -6.93 11.17 -2.57 61.49 9.24 5.26 0.63 1.80 11.56 4.68P 3.51R 0.27 Barnsley 14 16 -1 -1.84 37.31 1.19 56.56 8.92 -6.58 0.11 0.37 3.91 1.14P 9.87R 1.04 Reading 14 15 -3 -3.15 28.12 -1.53 57.88 8.84 -4.45 0.17 0.54 4.91 1.60P 7.21R 0.70 Birmingham 15 12 -15 -3.81 23.71 -8.33 43.75 8.01 -30.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 60.59R 14.93 Sunderland 15 10 -10 -9.47 4.31 -8.14 50.99 8.91 -12.46 0.01 0.06 0.94 0.28P 24.84R 4.11 Burton_Albion 15 10 -22 -3.21 27.20 -10.88 37.92 7.65 -43.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.75R 42.45 Bolton 15 8 -17 -6.23 10.88 -7.57 39.23 8.18 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 78.45R 33.86League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 October 2017, Blackburn 2 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 16 37 +14 14.41 99.47 12.83 79.19 8.30 15.79 6.84 22.62 73.24 31.46P 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 16 36 +20 5.51 83.97 7.33 92.27 8.28 41.94 64.93 82.81 98.38 88.13P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +7 3.81 74.41 0.72 78.06 8.21 17.27 5.82 19.04 69.93 33.07P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 15 30 +7 6.63 88.66 2.74 77.22 8.65 14.00 5.28 17.61 64.73 28.65P 0.04R 0.00 Scunthorpe 16 26 +5 0.55 53.84 -0.18 74.24 8.32 15.74 2.40 9.67 52.61 21.45P 0.12R 0.00 Blackburn 15 25 +9 -1.59 37.98 0.06 80.49 8.71 28.20 10.81 31.09 78.77 48.02P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 16 25 +7 1.39 59.57 4.57 69.72 8.96 12.23 1.28 4.82 33.33 11.22P 0.88R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 16 25 +2 0.82 55.93 -1.36 69.95 8.48 7.71 0.90 3.88 32.06 10.44P 0.64R 0.02 Peterborough 15 24 +4 1.91 63.25 1.82 68.82 8.75 7.24 0.84 3.48 28.63 8.99P 1.10R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 16 23 +6 -1.35 40.99 2.48 68.25 8.46 12.31 0.57 2.88 26.94 8.67P 0.92R 0.04 Southend 16 23 -6 1.27 59.12 -5.53 63.39 8.43 -7.25 0.11 0.69 10.57 2.65P 3.88R 0.22 Blackpool 15 22 +1 2.84 69.86 2.98 60.47 8.76 -4.86 0.08 0.45 7.06 1.65P 8.29R 0.69 Bristol_Rovers 16 21 -4 0.61 55.09 -1.09 58.58 8.51 -10.42 0.02 0.22 4.29 0.97P 11.96R 1.16 Portsmouth 16 20 -1 -0.61 46.57 0.90 59.54 8.55 -3.27 0.05 0.27 5.39 1.29P 9.17R 0.93 Walsall 16 19 -3 -2.44 34.12 -2.23 59.10 8.31 -4.37 0.02 0.16 4.32 1.11P 9.64R 0.90 MK_Dons 16 19 -7 -2.38 34.55 -6.16 57.81 8.35 -10.62 0.02 0.13 3.31 0.79P 13.12R 1.33 Doncaster 16 18 -2 -2.28 35.48 0.52 54.70 8.53 -8.83 0.01 0.05 1.75 0.40P 22.44R 3.20 Oldham 16 18 -8 1.13 59.44 -0.51 53.35 8.10 -16.77 0.00 0.01 0.80 0.14P 27.78R 4.50 Rochdale 16 17 -3 -5.78 15.79 -4.35 57.14 8.35 -4.67 0.02 0.11 2.98 0.71P 14.14R 1.41 AFC_Wimbledon 16 15 -8 -3.25 28.03 -3.07 48.65 7.82 -17.76 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 48.69R 10.81 Northampton 16 15 -13 -1.96 37.22 -4.96 47.08 8.00 -27.30 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 58.16R 17.18 Gillingham 16 14 -8 -4.17 22.86 -2.27 50.88 8.27 -14.52 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.09P 38.08R 7.71 Bury 16 12 -7 -6.31 12.71 -1.13 47.11 8.26 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 55.66R 15.97 Plymouth 16 11 -12 -5.50 15.65 -4.09 42.90 8.10 -25.25 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 75.27R 33.83League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 16 33 +12 10.37 96.47 10.94 74.70 8.54 12.58 4.84 22.35 63.89 29.87P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 32 +11 5.98 84.59 4.88 79.66 8.41 20.93 12.44 43.58 82.96 53.65P 0.00 0.00 Luton 16 31 +19 2.02 63.25 8.28 87.01 8.32 41.95 45.13 78.43 96.56 84.67P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 16 30 +5 5.26 81.87 0.77 77.40 8.61 14.48 8.23 32.66 74.36 42.70P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 16 28 +6 0.95 56.11 -1.60 79.63 8.72 22.01 13.47 44.04 82.31 55.98P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 16 27 +9 -0.01 49.64 1.62 78.54 8.42 23.81 10.08 39.23 80.25 53.18P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 16 27 +6 2.73 68.12 2.44 73.16 8.52 13.51 3.44 17.73 57.90 27.46P 0.03R 0.01 Newport_County 16 25 +5 4.55 79.05 7.25 63.07 8.30 0.57 0.19 1.97 15.75 4.43P 0.82R 0.17 Lincoln_City 16 24 +2 4.48 78.55 5.42 60.10 8.34 -4.80 0.08 0.90 8.94 2.37P 2.21R 0.61 Cambridge_Utd 16 24 +0 0.80 55.89 -2.15 66.12 8.24 1.73 0.45 3.92 25.01 8.83P 0.31R 0.07 Stevenage 16 24 -3 1.85 62.82 -2.96 63.60 8.54 -5.59 0.31 2.61 17.33 5.53P 0.96R 0.28 Grimsby 16 23 -2 2.29 66.17 -0.24 60.82 8.31 -7.05 0.10 1.08 9.84 2.79P 1.95R 0.54 Colchester 16 22 +2 -2.23 35.15 -1.51 66.95 8.60 7.61 0.69 5.60 30.08 11.90P 0.36R 0.07 Mansfield 16 22 +1 -0.16 49.14 0.53 64.83 8.29 3.74 0.30 2.79 21.07 6.97P 0.59R 0.13 Cheltenham 16 21 +0 0.83 56.56 2.77 58.48 8.27 -5.57 0.04 0.51 6.41 1.50P 3.43R 1.12 Carlisle 16 20 -1 -1.85 37.99 -0.74 62.58 8.57 0.85 0.18 1.90 15.02 4.87P 1.42R 0.46 Yeovil 16 19 -5 -0.44 47.92 -1.16 53.96 8.24 -14.69 0.01 0.13 2.13 0.46P 9.85R 3.53 Crewe 16 17 -9 -2.42 34.03 -5.13 53.63 8.27 -16.06 0.01 0.08 1.82 0.40P 11.30R 4.32 Crawley_Town 16 16 -4 -2.87 30.94 0.29 50.66 7.98 -12.99 0.00 0.02 0.75 0.16P 17.35R 7.27 Forest_Green 16 15 -16 0.06 52.27 -4.23 43.80 8.18 -36.81 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.02P 52.04R 32.06 Barnet 16 14 -5 -5.78 15.56 -1.62 53.05 8.48 -8.24 0.00 0.09 1.84 0.42P 12.41R 5.16 Port_Vale 16 14 -7 -8.71 6.50 -8.27 56.70 8.74 -4.56 0.03 0.36 5.24 1.76P 5.95R 2.19 Morecambe 16 14 -10 -3.59 26.50 -3.35 46.28 7.96 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 37.30R 18.34 Chesterfield 16 9 -16 -10.63 2.74 -12.23 45.44 8.68 -23.71 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.07P 41.70R 23.66National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Barrow 3 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dover_Athletic 18 33 +12 2.43 65.28 3.03 79.84 8.08 24.54 35.22 79.44 48.22P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 32 +1 5.76 82.71 -1.52 72.43 7.85 4.46 7.50 43.86 15.44P 0.20R 0.00 Wrexham 18 30 +4 5.59 82.64 3.80 69.03 7.81 5.68 3.45 28.57 8.51P 0.66R 0.01 Sutton_United 18 30 +2 6.79 86.72 4.00 68.95 7.97 3.04 3.56 28.32 8.01P 0.83R 0.01 Maidstone_United 17 29 +5 7.13 88.67 7.02 66.13 8.12 1.20 2.02 18.68 4.75P 1.99R 0.03 Dag_&_Red 18 28 +8 -3.01 31.04 -1.49 75.66 7.94 22.25 17.67 63.39 32.14P 0.06R 0.00 Bromley 18 28 +6 3.17 70.17 5.66 67.57 8.12 7.80 2.99 24.58 7.06P 1.27R 0.02 Woking 18 28 -1 4.44 76.46 0.89 65.09 8.09 -3.38 1.43 15.12 3.94P 2.78R 0.06 Aldershot 18 27 +6 -1.47 40.49 0.27 70.80 7.98 14.08 6.28 38.79 14.76P 0.36R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 18 27 +6 1.62 60.93 4.65 65.94 7.80 7.42 1.67 18.07 5.36P 1.51R 0.01 Maidenhead 18 27 +3 4.34 75.36 6.18 63.09 8.48 -0.65 1.12 12.02 3.20P 5.15R 0.19 Hartlepool 18 27 +2 -2.18 36.33 -4.61 71.88 8.10 11.70 7.79 43.38 18.14P 0.36R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 18 25 +4 1.74 61.55 5.94 60.45 8.31 -0.02 0.51 7.01 1.77P 8.46R 0.31 Tranmere 18 24 +2 -6.65 13.49 -6.54 70.67 7.78 14.03 5.72 37.66 16.46P 0.37R 0.00 Halifax 18 24 -2 3.08 69.97 3.23 55.95 8.10 -10.83 0.10 2.19 0.51P 20.55R 1.24 AFC_Fylde 17 22 +3 0.46 53.72 5.86 59.00 8.71 -1.59 0.44 5.84 1.55P 12.75R 0.81 Gateshead 18 22 +3 -5.25 19.76 -0.84 64.20 7.96 8.97 1.12 13.94 4.56P 2.96R 0.06 Eastleigh 17 22 +1 -1.08 43.40 1.01 62.94 8.17 2.98 0.91 10.88 3.08P 4.82R 0.12 Leyton_Orient 18 19 -8 -7.51 11.89 -10.84 60.05 8.45 -4.07 0.45 6.39 2.02P 10.40R 0.53 Guiseley 18 17 -13 -1.21 43.11 -3.55 45.60 7.51 -27.62 0.00 0.06 0.01P 71.23R 14.42 Barrow 18 16 -2 -9.60 5.54 -3.37 54.74 8.09 -1.23 0.06 1.62 0.46P 22.93R 1.59 Chester 17 15 -10 -4.90 20.12 -4.85 48.12 7.97 -20.08 0.00 0.17 0.05P 58.01R 9.07 Torquay 18 11 -14 -8.86 5.83 -6.90 42.34 7.69 -24.43 0.00 0.01 0.00P 81.75R 26.42 Solihull_Moors 18 11 -18 -6.96 10.91 -7.03 39.32 7.59 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.60R 45.10