Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 4 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2017, Huddersfield 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   28  +29       5.18    93.23    12.79    89.72     7.10    70.93    79.14    92.64    97.38    99.18    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          10   23  +19       3.20    77.99     9.89    75.51     7.61    39.68     6.33    30.66    54.75    75.17    97.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   20  +12      -0.47    44.02     1.28    77.00     7.50    41.60     8.73    38.45    63.33    81.24    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   19   +8       0.06    49.33    -0.15    74.01     7.59    34.51     3.74    22.95    45.74    68.31    96.62     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   19   +6       0.26    51.12    -1.83    69.38     7.85    24.83     1.45     9.75    23.12    42.27    89.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   19   +4       0.65    55.60    -1.13    67.30     7.74    21.81     0.62     5.49    15.22    31.64    84.44     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          11   19   +1       6.23    93.20     4.90    51.86     7.45    -4.45     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.85     9.87     1.10R    0.08  
Brighton         11   15   +0       1.88    66.89     2.94    46.55     7.53    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     3.10     6.13R    0.91  
Watford          10   15   -3       4.89    88.09     3.28    46.08     7.58   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     2.62     7.50R    1.24  
Huddersfield     11   15   -5       5.91    92.06     4.36    35.85     6.73   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    48.12R   14.99  
Newcastle        11   14   +0      -1.03    41.68    -0.06    44.99     7.58   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     2.25     8.75R    1.31  
Leicester        11   13   +0      -1.56    37.23     1.17    49.23     7.71    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.41     6.14     3.28R    0.44  
Southampton      11   13   -2      -3.88    19.87    -4.72    45.13     7.40    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.13     7.82R    1.19  
Stoke            11   12   -9       0.82    58.91    -2.43    42.66     7.39   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.87    15.64R    3.26  
West_Brom        11   10   -5      -3.27    23.12    -2.31    39.75     7.20   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    24.70R    5.92  
Bournemouth      11   10   -7      -1.23    40.19    -0.34    41.89     7.49   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.81    17.76R    4.11  
West_Ham         11    9  -12      -3.42    22.23    -7.53    37.46     7.44   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    38.39R   11.91  
Swansea          11    8   -6      -4.47    14.71    -1.75    35.80     7.21   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    45.15R   15.02  
Everton          10    8  -13      -3.57    19.56    -9.03    47.92     8.04   -11.35     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     4.72     5.80R    1.07  
Crystal_Palace   10    4  -17      -5.56     6.42    -9.34    31.37     7.41   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.84R   38.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 November 2017, Birmingham 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   15   32  +12       9.42    95.45     9.03    80.57     8.71    21.14    26.60    44.08    79.84    52.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         15   31  +10       8.32    93.42     6.82    78.43     8.72    17.39    18.86    34.11    72.34    43.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   30   +7       8.92    94.17     6.07    75.44     8.97    11.42    11.36    22.73    58.82    30.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    15   27   +9       5.19    82.31     7.28    70.82     8.71    10.98     4.54    10.56    39.59    16.77P    0.17R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   26   +8       3.60    74.35     5.15    71.74     8.48    13.08     5.00    11.99    43.71    19.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby           14   25   +6       3.43    73.92     2.46    76.18     8.79    16.89    12.84    25.45    63.92    35.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +7      -0.45    46.84     2.75    68.86     8.68    12.15     3.06     7.34    32.03    13.78P    0.31R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   15   23   +7      -1.39    40.15     1.46    73.74     8.71    18.93     8.51    17.95    54.18    29.67P    0.06R    0.00  
Norwich         15   22   -4      -0.17    49.01    -6.43    67.31     8.78     0.06     1.89     5.04    24.72     9.88P    0.69R    0.03  
Preston         15   21   +3       0.37    53.24     2.78    65.64     8.69     6.31     1.26     3.49    20.18     7.27P    0.87R    0.03  
Ipswich         14   21   +1       1.50    61.35     0.61    62.39     8.78    -2.63     0.62     1.75    11.51     3.83P    2.40R    0.10  
QPR             15   21   +1       0.98    57.73     1.76    61.13     8.56    -2.39     0.31     1.02     8.82     2.66P    3.01R    0.16  
Nott'm_Forest   15   21   -5       2.94    71.08    -0.90    60.67     8.68    -9.75     0.33     0.96     7.85     2.18P    3.93R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed       15   20   +1      -3.40    26.83    -3.17    65.38     8.52     5.52     1.11     3.11    18.89     7.51P    0.98R    0.03  
Brentford       15   19   +2      -3.26    28.57    -0.59    65.43     8.92     7.72     1.33     3.73    20.56     8.16P    1.19R    0.06  
Fulham          15   19   +1      -3.56    26.54    -2.06    65.50     8.77     6.90     1.42     3.75    19.98     8.18P    1.14R    0.06  
Millwall        15   17   +1      -0.94    44.17     4.84    53.59     8.66    -7.37     0.05     0.16     1.71     0.45P   15.84R    1.88  
Hull            15   16   +1      -6.93    11.17    -2.57    61.49     9.24     5.26     0.63     1.80    11.56     4.68P    3.51R    0.27  
Barnsley        14   16   -1      -1.84    37.31     1.19    56.56     8.92    -6.58     0.11     0.37     3.91     1.14P    9.87R    1.04  
Reading         14   15   -3      -3.15    28.12    -1.53    57.88     8.84    -4.45     0.17     0.54     4.91     1.60P    7.21R    0.70  
Birmingham      15   12  -15      -3.81    23.71    -8.33    43.75     8.01   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.59R   14.93  
Sunderland      15   10  -10      -9.47     4.31    -8.14    50.99     8.91   -12.46     0.01     0.06     0.94     0.28P   24.84R    4.11  
Burton_Albion   15   10  -22      -3.21    27.20   -10.88    37.92     7.65   -43.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.75R   42.45  
Bolton          15    8  -17      -6.23    10.88    -7.57    39.23     8.18   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.45R   33.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 October 2017, Blackburn 2 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       16   37  +14      14.41    99.47    12.83    79.19     8.30    15.79     6.84    22.62    73.24    31.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            16   36  +20       5.51    83.97     7.33    92.27     8.28    41.94    64.93    82.81    98.38    88.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +7       3.81    74.41     0.72    78.06     8.21    17.27     5.82    19.04    69.93    33.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         15   30   +7       6.63    88.66     2.74    77.22     8.65    14.00     5.28    17.61    64.73    28.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       16   26   +5       0.55    53.84    -0.18    74.24     8.32    15.74     2.40     9.67    52.61    21.45P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   25   +9      -1.59    37.98     0.06    80.49     8.71    28.20    10.81    31.09    78.77    48.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham        16   25   +7       1.39    59.57     4.57    69.72     8.96    12.23     1.28     4.82    33.33    11.22P    0.88R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town   16   25   +2       0.82    55.93    -1.36    69.95     8.48     7.71     0.90     3.88    32.06    10.44P    0.64R    0.02  
Peterborough     15   24   +4       1.91    63.25     1.82    68.82     8.75     7.24     0.84     3.48    28.63     8.99P    1.10R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd       16   23   +6      -1.35    40.99     2.48    68.25     8.46    12.31     0.57     2.88    26.94     8.67P    0.92R    0.04  
Southend         16   23   -6       1.27    59.12    -5.53    63.39     8.43    -7.25     0.11     0.69    10.57     2.65P    3.88R    0.22  
Blackpool        15   22   +1       2.84    69.86     2.98    60.47     8.76    -4.86     0.08     0.45     7.06     1.65P    8.29R    0.69  
Bristol_Rovers   16   21   -4       0.61    55.09    -1.09    58.58     8.51   -10.42     0.02     0.22     4.29     0.97P   11.96R    1.16  
Portsmouth       16   20   -1      -0.61    46.57     0.90    59.54     8.55    -3.27     0.05     0.27     5.39     1.29P    9.17R    0.93  
Walsall          16   19   -3      -2.44    34.12    -2.23    59.10     8.31    -4.37     0.02     0.16     4.32     1.11P    9.64R    0.90  
MK_Dons          16   19   -7      -2.38    34.55    -6.16    57.81     8.35   -10.62     0.02     0.13     3.31     0.79P   13.12R    1.33  
Doncaster        16   18   -2      -2.28    35.48     0.52    54.70     8.53    -8.83     0.01     0.05     1.75     0.40P   22.44R    3.20  
Oldham           16   18   -8       1.13    59.44    -0.51    53.35     8.10   -16.77     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.14P   27.78R    4.50  
Rochdale         16   17   -3      -5.78    15.79    -4.35    57.14     8.35    -4.67     0.02     0.11     2.98     0.71P   14.14R    1.41  
AFC_Wimbledon    16   15   -8      -3.25    28.03    -3.07    48.65     7.82   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   48.69R   10.81  
Northampton      16   15  -13      -1.96    37.22    -4.96    47.08     8.00   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   58.16R   17.18  
Gillingham       16   14   -8      -4.17    22.86    -2.27    50.88     8.27   -14.52     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   38.08R    7.71  
Bury             16   12   -7      -6.31    12.71    -1.13    47.11     8.26   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   55.66R   15.97  
Plymouth         16   11  -12      -5.50    15.65    -4.09    42.90     8.10   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.27R   33.83  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         16   33  +12      10.37    96.47    10.94    74.70     8.54    12.58     4.84    22.35    63.89    29.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   32  +11       5.98    84.59     4.88    79.66     8.41    20.93    12.44    43.58    82.96    53.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                16   31  +19       2.02    63.25     8.28    87.01     8.32    41.95    45.13    78.43    96.56    84.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   30   +5       5.26    81.87     0.77    77.40     8.61    14.48     8.23    32.66    74.36    42.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              16   28   +6       0.95    56.11    -1.60    79.63     8.72    22.01    13.47    44.04    82.31    55.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             16   27   +9      -0.01    49.64     1.62    78.54     8.42    23.81    10.08    39.23    80.25    53.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   27   +6       2.73    68.12     2.44    73.16     8.52    13.51     3.44    17.73    57.90    27.46P    0.03R    0.01  
Newport_County       16   25   +5       4.55    79.05     7.25    63.07     8.30     0.57     0.19     1.97    15.75     4.43P    0.82R    0.17  
Lincoln_City         16   24   +2       4.48    78.55     5.42    60.10     8.34    -4.80     0.08     0.90     8.94     2.37P    2.21R    0.61  
Cambridge_Utd        16   24   +0       0.80    55.89    -2.15    66.12     8.24     1.73     0.45     3.92    25.01     8.83P    0.31R    0.07  
Stevenage            16   24   -3       1.85    62.82    -2.96    63.60     8.54    -5.59     0.31     2.61    17.33     5.53P    0.96R    0.28  
Grimsby              16   23   -2       2.29    66.17    -0.24    60.82     8.31    -7.05     0.10     1.08     9.84     2.79P    1.95R    0.54  
Colchester           16   22   +2      -2.23    35.15    -1.51    66.95     8.60     7.61     0.69     5.60    30.08    11.90P    0.36R    0.07  
Mansfield            16   22   +1      -0.16    49.14     0.53    64.83     8.29     3.74     0.30     2.79    21.07     6.97P    0.59R    0.13  
Cheltenham           16   21   +0       0.83    56.56     2.77    58.48     8.27    -5.57     0.04     0.51     6.41     1.50P    3.43R    1.12  
Carlisle             16   20   -1      -1.85    37.99    -0.74    62.58     8.57     0.85     0.18     1.90    15.02     4.87P    1.42R    0.46  
Yeovil               16   19   -5      -0.44    47.92    -1.16    53.96     8.24   -14.69     0.01     0.13     2.13     0.46P    9.85R    3.53  
Crewe                16   17   -9      -2.42    34.03    -5.13    53.63     8.27   -16.06     0.01     0.08     1.82     0.40P   11.30R    4.32  
Crawley_Town         16   16   -4      -2.87    30.94     0.29    50.66     7.98   -12.99     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.16P   17.35R    7.27  
Forest_Green         16   15  -16       0.06    52.27    -4.23    43.80     8.18   -36.81     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   52.04R   32.06  
Barnet               16   14   -5      -5.78    15.56    -1.62    53.05     8.48    -8.24     0.00     0.09     1.84     0.42P   12.41R    5.16  
Port_Vale            16   14   -7      -8.71     6.50    -8.27    56.70     8.74    -4.56     0.03     0.36     5.24     1.76P    5.95R    2.19  
Morecambe            16   14  -10      -3.59    26.50    -3.35    46.28     7.96   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   37.30R   18.34  
Chesterfield         16    9  -16     -10.63     2.74   -12.23    45.44     8.68   -23.71     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.07P   41.70R   23.66  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Barrow 3 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dover_Athletic     18   33  +12       2.43    65.28     3.03    79.84     8.08    24.54    35.22    79.44    48.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       18   32   +1       5.76    82.71    -1.52    72.43     7.85     4.46     7.50    43.86    15.44P    0.20R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   30   +4       5.59    82.64     3.80    69.03     7.81     5.68     3.45    28.57     8.51P    0.66R    0.01  
Sutton_United      18   30   +2       6.79    86.72     4.00    68.95     7.97     3.04     3.56    28.32     8.01P    0.83R    0.01  
Maidstone_United   17   29   +5       7.13    88.67     7.02    66.13     8.12     1.20     2.02    18.68     4.75P    1.99R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red          18   28   +8      -3.01    31.04    -1.49    75.66     7.94    22.25    17.67    63.39    32.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Bromley            18   28   +6       3.17    70.17     5.66    67.57     8.12     7.80     2.99    24.58     7.06P    1.27R    0.02  
Woking             18   28   -1       4.44    76.46     0.89    65.09     8.09    -3.38     1.43    15.12     3.94P    2.78R    0.06  
Aldershot          18   27   +6      -1.47    40.49     0.27    70.80     7.98    14.08     6.28    38.79    14.76P    0.36R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       18   27   +6       1.62    60.93     4.65    65.94     7.80     7.42     1.67    18.07     5.36P    1.51R    0.01  
Maidenhead         18   27   +3       4.34    75.36     6.18    63.09     8.48    -0.65     1.12    12.02     3.20P    5.15R    0.19  
Hartlepool         18   27   +2      -2.18    36.33    -4.61    71.88     8.10    11.70     7.79    43.38    18.14P    0.36R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   25   +4       1.74    61.55     5.94    60.45     8.31    -0.02     0.51     7.01     1.77P    8.46R    0.31  
Tranmere           18   24   +2      -6.65    13.49    -6.54    70.67     7.78    14.03     5.72    37.66    16.46P    0.37R    0.00  
Halifax            18   24   -2       3.08    69.97     3.23    55.95     8.10   -10.83     0.10     2.19     0.51P   20.55R    1.24  
AFC_Fylde          17   22   +3       0.46    53.72     5.86    59.00     8.71    -1.59     0.44     5.84     1.55P   12.75R    0.81  
Gateshead          18   22   +3      -5.25    19.76    -0.84    64.20     7.96     8.97     1.12    13.94     4.56P    2.96R    0.06  
Eastleigh          17   22   +1      -1.08    43.40     1.01    62.94     8.17     2.98     0.91    10.88     3.08P    4.82R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient      18   19   -8      -7.51    11.89   -10.84    60.05     8.45    -4.07     0.45     6.39     2.02P   10.40R    0.53  
Guiseley           18   17  -13      -1.21    43.11    -3.55    45.60     7.51   -27.62     0.00     0.06     0.01P   71.23R   14.42  
Barrow             18   16   -2      -9.60     5.54    -3.37    54.74     8.09    -1.23     0.06     1.62     0.46P   22.93R    1.59  
Chester            17   15  -10      -4.90    20.12    -4.85    48.12     7.97   -20.08     0.00     0.17     0.05P   58.01R    9.07  
Torquay            18   11  -14      -8.86     5.83    -6.90    42.34     7.69   -24.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   81.75R   26.42  
Solihull_Moors     18   11  -18      -6.96    10.91    -7.03    39.32     7.59   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.60R   45.10