Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2017, Burnley 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   28  +29       5.13    93.05    12.58    89.67     7.11    71.02    79.26    92.96    97.50    99.28    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          10   23  +19       3.16    77.50     9.85    75.68     7.59    40.08     6.70    31.94    57.09    77.71    98.03     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   20  +12      -0.43    44.28     1.28    76.83     7.44    41.49     8.35    38.17    63.74    82.42    98.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   19   +8       0.10    49.76    -0.17    73.87     7.56    34.41     3.80    23.17    45.91    69.75    96.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   19   +6       0.18    50.64    -2.01    69.41     7.84    25.06     1.51    10.11    24.28    44.25    90.04     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        10   16   +1      -0.10    48.93    -2.70    65.07     8.06    17.74     0.38     3.54    10.88    23.97    76.84     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          10   16   +0       4.48    87.33     3.94    49.53     7.60    -6.43     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.45     7.18     2.67R    0.26  
Watford          10   15   -3       4.85    87.90     3.25    46.10     7.62   -16.44     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     3.10     7.92R    1.25  
Newcastle        10   14   +1       0.30    53.32     0.87    47.29     7.88    -7.76     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.37     4.82     5.76R    0.79  
Southampton      10   13   -1      -2.51    28.36    -3.71    47.32     7.60    -7.43     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.32     4.72     4.85R    0.57  
Leicester        10   12   +0      -1.24    39.43     1.06    49.64     7.89    -2.44     0.00     0.03     0.16     0.65     8.06     3.17R    0.38  
Brighton         10   12   -1       0.38    54.83     2.26    44.48     7.80   -10.27     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     2.40    11.36R    1.96  
Huddersfield     10   12   -6       4.36    87.31     3.67    33.48     6.90   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    62.16R   25.07  
Stoke            10   11   -9       1.16    62.66    -2.48    42.89     7.59   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.33    15.94R    3.22  
West_Brom        10   10   -4      -1.87    33.43    -1.25    41.71     7.45   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.99    17.81R    3.77  
West_Ham         10    9   -9      -2.93    24.71    -6.08    39.74     7.71   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.67    27.78R    6.83  
Swansea          10    8   -5      -3.21    21.73    -0.81    37.85     7.45   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33    35.16R    9.49  
Everton          10    8  -13      -3.67    18.60    -9.15    47.88     8.03   -11.34     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.36     5.57     5.82R    0.99  
Bournemouth      10    7   -8      -2.91    24.34    -1.24    39.28     7.67   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49    28.92R    7.87  
Crystal_Palace   10    4  -17      -5.50     6.59    -9.18    31.36     7.39   -35.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.66R   37.56  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       14   30   +8       9.85    96.51     6.45    77.32     9.17    13.07    18.71    32.53    67.55    39.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   14   29  +10       8.14    93.57     7.57    77.78     8.96    17.39    20.06    34.62    70.74    42.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         14   28   +8       7.51    92.24     6.01    76.17     8.82    14.46    14.78    27.61    64.25    36.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    14   24   +7       3.87    76.68     5.76    67.55     8.98     6.43     3.00     7.08    28.32    11.57P    0.66R    0.02  
Leeds_United    14   23   +8       0.97    57.20     3.82    70.62     8.78    13.73     5.40    11.97    41.17    19.68P    0.24R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6       2.45    68.11     3.86    68.69     8.56     9.14     3.16     7.68    31.48    13.68P    0.34R    0.00  
Derby           13   22   +5       1.90    64.47     1.65    74.18     8.98    15.35    10.93    21.63    56.37    31.19P    0.09R    0.00  
Norwich         14   22   -2       0.97    57.46    -4.80    69.71     9.07     3.56     4.58    10.12    36.00    16.41P    0.48R    0.02  
Preston         14   21   +5       1.28    59.86     4.12    68.13     8.85     9.98     3.20     7.47    30.55    13.26P    0.55R    0.02  
Ipswich         13   21   +3       2.34    67.74     1.76    64.08     8.93    -0.09     1.31     3.36    16.74     6.09P    1.81R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest   14   21   -3       3.79    76.88     0.23    62.44     8.89    -7.13     0.70     2.06    12.17     3.91P    3.14R    0.23  
Middlesbrough   14   20   +5      -2.64    30.97     0.02    71.11     8.83    15.55     5.97    13.05    43.50    23.25P    0.20R    0.00  
Fulham          14   19   +3      -2.50    32.30    -0.46    68.55     9.01    11.52     3.76     8.81    32.78    15.31P    0.62R    0.03  
QPR             14   18   +0      -0.48    46.92     1.03    59.22     8.68    -3.93     0.32     0.92     6.54     2.05P    5.61R    0.47  
Millwall        14   17   +2      -0.16    49.89     4.98    54.80     8.79    -6.50     0.09     0.28     2.76     0.82P   14.01R    1.65  
Sheff_Wed       14   17   +0      -4.43    20.38    -3.33    63.96     8.77     4.77     1.03     2.88    16.57     6.67P    1.74R    0.09  
Hull            14   16   +3      -6.14    13.09    -1.49    64.33     9.51     9.63     1.80     4.52    20.10     9.19P    2.26R    0.16  
Brentford       14   16   +0      -4.25    21.82    -1.57    62.87     9.05     4.09     0.98     2.61    14.77     5.74P    2.80R    0.21  
Barnsley        13   13   -3      -2.97    28.54    -0.12    54.40     9.00    -9.31     0.08     0.30     2.67     0.82P   16.15R    2.34  
Reading         13   12   -5      -4.12    20.89    -2.59    55.67     8.92    -7.29     0.09     0.35     3.34     1.02P   12.77R    1.52  
Birmingham      14   12  -13      -3.02    27.93    -7.12    45.54     8.26   -27.66     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   53.21R   12.30  
Burton_Albion   14   10  -20      -2.38    32.22    -9.93    39.71     7.85   -40.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.82R   35.85  
Sunderland      14    9  -10      -8.74     4.75    -7.64    52.19     9.09   -11.07     0.03     0.13     1.52     0.50P   22.71R    3.90  
Bolton          14    7  -17      -6.15    10.07    -8.23    38.68     8.42   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    80.70R   41.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 October 2017, Blackburn 2 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       16   37  +14      14.30    99.37    12.70    79.43     8.27    16.08     7.32    23.19    74.04    32.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            16   36  +20       5.36    83.20     7.12    92.42     8.33    42.16    64.65    82.87    98.38    88.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +7       3.87    74.93     0.80    77.94     8.32    17.14     5.81    18.71    68.85    32.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         15   30   +7       6.57    88.39     2.65    77.16     8.67    14.00     5.09    17.10    64.31    27.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       16   26   +5       0.54    53.86    -0.18    74.33     8.30    15.81     2.34     9.43    53.03    21.30P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   25   +9      -1.67    37.59    -0.07    80.71     8.79    28.48    11.05    31.73    79.47    48.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham        16   25   +7       1.43    59.85     4.60    69.71     8.96    12.18     1.10     4.68    33.17    11.28P    0.90R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town   16   25   +2       0.85    55.89    -1.32    69.85     8.42     7.61     0.91     3.70    31.53    10.05P    0.63R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   24   +4       1.87    63.07     1.73    69.00     8.73     7.56     0.86     3.67    29.18     9.24P    0.95R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd       16   23   +6      -1.49    40.02     2.29    68.39     8.44    12.55     0.57     2.91    27.11     9.16P    0.99R    0.05  
Southend         16   23   -6       1.31    59.53    -5.47    63.32     8.46    -7.40     0.12     0.63    10.65     2.60P    4.15R    0.26  
Blackpool        15   22   +1       2.87    70.09     3.01    60.33     8.82    -5.06     0.07     0.47     7.07     1.72P    8.46R    0.77  
Bristol_Rovers   16   21   -4       0.73    55.77    -0.91    58.28     8.46   -10.88     0.02     0.19     3.73     0.80P   12.60R    1.26  
Portsmouth       16   20   -1      -0.56    46.67     0.96    59.43     8.60    -3.38     0.04     0.25     5.36     1.25P    9.74R    0.85  
Walsall          16   19   -3      -2.40    34.19    -2.13    59.09     8.33    -4.44     0.02     0.19     4.49     1.06P    9.78R    0.83  
MK_Dons          16   19   -7      -2.32    34.88    -6.09    57.63     8.27   -10.82     0.01     0.11     3.03     0.74P   13.09R    1.34  
Doncaster        16   18   -2      -2.32    35.19     0.44    54.95     8.58    -8.48     0.01     0.05     1.92     0.45P   21.63R    2.90  
Oldham           16   18   -8       1.05    58.78    -0.63    53.61     8.11   -16.39     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.16P   26.86R    4.13  
Rochdale         16   17   -3      -5.83    15.81    -4.44    57.14     8.32    -4.72     0.01     0.09     2.92     0.74P   13.84R    1.42  
AFC_Wimbledon    16   15   -8      -3.23    28.08    -3.04    48.63     7.82   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   48.88R   10.58  
Northampton      16   15  -13      -1.96    37.44    -4.94    46.99     8.04   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   58.47R   17.45  
Gillingham       16   14   -8      -4.08    23.46    -2.14    50.84     8.28   -14.60     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.09P   38.17R    7.73  
Bury             16   12   -7      -6.23    12.92    -0.98    47.01     8.28   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   55.76R   16.27  
Plymouth         16   11  -12      -5.43    16.01    -3.96    42.83     8.22   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.88R   34.07  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         16   33  +12      10.38    96.43    10.97    74.75     8.56    12.63     5.03    22.40    63.82    29.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   32  +11       6.08    84.88     5.03    79.49     8.46    20.73    12.58    42.84    82.38    52.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                16   31  +19       1.98    62.95     8.27    87.01     8.32    41.97    44.76    78.73    96.68    84.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   30   +5       5.29    81.94     0.85    77.24     8.61    14.23     7.94    32.03    73.80    42.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   28   +6       0.93    55.87    -1.64    79.69     8.71    22.07    13.38    44.43    82.58    56.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   27   +9       0.10    50.28     1.80    78.40     8.40    23.61    10.20    38.63    80.08    52.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   27   +6       2.75    68.50     2.43    73.23     8.50    13.58     3.56    18.12    57.99    27.87P    0.02R    0.01  
Newport_County       16   25   +5       4.58    79.02     7.26    63.07     8.29     0.53     0.20     1.95    15.39     4.34P    0.96R    0.26  
Lincoln_City         16   24   +2       4.31    77.78     5.17    60.26     8.39    -4.52     0.07     1.01     9.23     2.50P    2.17R    0.57  
Cambridge_Utd        16   24   +0       0.82    55.85    -2.07    66.11     8.27     1.69     0.48     3.97    24.93     8.68P    0.39R    0.10  
Stevenage            16   24   -3       1.82    62.88    -2.97    63.68     8.61    -5.45     0.26     2.56    17.75     5.59P    1.03R    0.28  
Grimsby              16   23   -2       2.26    65.89    -0.27    60.88     8.30    -6.98     0.11     1.15    10.18     2.92P    1.82R    0.56  
Colchester           16   22   +2      -2.27    34.76    -1.62    67.12     8.61     7.82     0.80     6.04    30.83    12.37P    0.35R    0.08  
Mansfield            16   22   +1      -0.21    48.88     0.45    64.93     8.34     3.86     0.33     2.99    21.60     7.40P    0.63R    0.16  
Cheltenham           16   21   +0       0.91    57.27     2.84    58.53     8.20    -5.44     0.04     0.49     6.20     1.52P    3.28R    1.05  
Carlisle             16   20   -1      -1.74    38.91    -0.63    62.41     8.59     0.60     0.22     1.94    14.75     4.80P    1.44R    0.40  
Yeovil               16   19   -5      -0.53    47.33    -1.30    54.04     8.18   -14.57     0.00     0.13     2.19     0.52P    9.63R    3.45  
Crewe                16   17   -9      -2.45    34.01    -5.20    53.58     8.28   -16.07     0.00     0.10     1.82     0.48P   11.34R    4.47  
Crawley_Town         16   16   -4      -2.79    31.50     0.38    50.56     8.01   -13.18     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.15P   18.10R    7.62  
Forest_Green         16   15  -16       0.11    52.56    -4.13    43.71     8.21   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   52.76R   33.25  
Barnet               16   14   -5      -5.66    15.97    -1.44    52.80     8.41    -8.66     0.00     0.08     1.81     0.43P   12.94R    5.02  
Port_Vale            16   14   -7      -8.67     6.68    -8.19    56.50     8.69    -4.83     0.02     0.32     4.74     1.54P    6.40R    2.32  
Morecambe            16   14  -10      -3.74    25.38    -3.56    46.48     7.97   -23.35     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   36.10R   17.73  
Chesterfield         16    9  -16     -10.74     2.54   -12.44    45.67     8.65   -23.31     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.07P   40.60R   22.67  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Barrow 3 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dover_Athletic     18   33  +12       2.40    65.11     3.03    79.82     8.03    24.55    35.50    79.65    48.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       18   32   +1       5.70    82.77    -1.56    72.44     7.84     4.48     7.68    44.05    15.50P    0.20R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   30   +4       5.63    82.87     3.86    68.89     7.70     5.53     3.32    27.70     8.34P    0.66R    0.00  
Sutton_United      18   30   +2       6.70    86.47     3.83    69.03     7.89     3.16     3.55    28.39     8.10P    0.77R    0.01  
Maidstone_United   17   29   +5       7.07    88.33     6.95    66.11     8.06     1.23     1.98    18.46     4.67P    1.93R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red          18   28   +8      -2.96    31.25    -1.41    75.62     7.99    22.17    17.89    63.24    31.92P    0.08R    0.00  
Bromley            18   28   +6       3.13    69.53     5.61    67.68     8.06     7.88     2.92    24.74     7.31P    1.22R    0.02  
Woking             18   28   -1       4.49    76.93     0.95    64.92     8.07    -3.64     1.34    14.68     3.67P    2.98R    0.04  
Aldershot          18   27   +6      -1.45    40.52     0.24    70.99     7.98    14.33     6.62    40.05    15.70P    0.38R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       18   27   +6       1.65    61.20     4.67    66.07     7.80     7.59     1.72    18.60     5.39P    1.57R    0.01  
Maidenhead         18   27   +3       4.11    74.18     5.85    63.38     8.43    -0.18     1.19    12.66     3.33P    4.68R    0.13  
Hartlepool         18   27   +2      -2.06    37.06    -4.44    71.68     8.06    11.41     7.34    42.45    17.66P    0.35R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   25   +4       1.75    61.59     5.98    60.44     8.27    -0.04     0.53     7.09     1.79P    8.51R    0.28  
Tranmere           18   24   +2      -6.68    13.25    -6.61    70.80     7.70    14.22     5.59    38.79    16.97P    0.34R    0.01  
Halifax            18   24   -2       3.03    69.54     3.18    56.00     8.11   -10.74     0.12     2.29     0.50P   20.60R    1.21  
AFC_Fylde          17   22   +3       0.61    54.50     6.08    58.73     8.65    -1.98     0.42     5.74     1.43P   13.15R    0.82  
Gateshead          18   22   +3      -5.09    20.37    -0.58    63.86     7.97     8.44     0.97    13.07     4.14P    3.23R    0.09  
Eastleigh          17   22   +1      -1.06    43.21     1.04    62.82     8.13     2.75     0.85    10.49     2.94P    5.05R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient      18   19   -8      -7.51    11.58   -10.84    60.03     8.35    -4.09     0.42     6.10     2.02P   10.12R    0.50  
Guiseley           18   17  -13      -1.19    43.01    -3.56    45.48     7.51   -27.69     0.00     0.07     0.01P   72.10R   14.92  
Barrow             18   16   -2      -9.65     5.59    -3.42    54.90     8.09    -1.08     0.05     1.54     0.45P   22.59R    1.66  
Chester            17   15  -10      -4.98    19.80    -4.92    48.26     7.95   -19.86     0.00     0.17     0.03P   56.95R    8.70  
Torquay            18   11  -14      -8.95     5.74    -7.01    42.50     7.71   -24.16     0.00     0.01     0.00P   81.58R   25.69  
Solihull_Moors     18   11  -18      -6.91    11.07    -6.91    39.28     7.56   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.96R   45.72