Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 1 November 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2017, Burnley 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 28 +29 5.13 93.05 12.58 89.67 7.11 71.02 79.26 92.96 97.50 99.28 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 10 23 +19 3.16 77.50 9.85 75.68 7.59 40.08 6.70 31.94 57.09 77.71 98.03 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 20 +12 -0.43 44.28 1.28 76.83 7.44 41.49 8.35 38.17 63.74 82.42 98.67 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 19 +8 0.10 49.76 -0.17 73.87 7.56 34.41 3.80 23.17 45.91 69.75 96.69 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 19 +6 0.18 50.64 -2.01 69.41 7.84 25.06 1.51 10.11 24.28 44.25 90.04 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 10 16 +1 -0.10 48.93 -2.70 65.07 8.06 17.74 0.38 3.54 10.88 23.97 76.84 0.02R 0.00 Burnley 10 16 +0 4.48 87.33 3.94 49.53 7.60 -6.43 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.45 7.18 2.67R 0.26 Watford 10 15 -3 4.85 87.90 3.25 46.10 7.62 -16.44 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.18 3.10 7.92R 1.25 Newcastle 10 14 +1 0.30 53.32 0.87 47.29 7.88 -7.76 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.37 4.82 5.76R 0.79 Southampton 10 13 -1 -2.51 28.36 -3.71 47.32 7.60 -7.43 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.32 4.72 4.85R 0.57 Leicester 10 12 +0 -1.24 39.43 1.06 49.64 7.89 -2.44 0.00 0.03 0.16 0.65 8.06 3.17R 0.38 Brighton 10 12 -1 0.38 54.83 2.26 44.48 7.80 -10.27 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.15 2.40 11.36R 1.96 Huddersfield 10 12 -6 4.36 87.31 3.67 33.48 6.90 -35.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 62.16R 25.07 Stoke 10 11 -9 1.16 62.66 -2.48 42.89 7.59 -20.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.33 15.94R 3.22 West_Brom 10 10 -4 -1.87 33.43 -1.25 41.71 7.45 -14.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.99 17.81R 3.77 West_Ham 10 9 -9 -2.93 24.71 -6.08 39.74 7.71 -23.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.67 27.78R 6.83 Swansea 10 8 -5 -3.21 21.73 -0.81 37.85 7.45 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 35.16R 9.49 Everton 10 8 -13 -3.67 18.60 -9.15 47.88 8.03 -11.34 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.36 5.57 5.82R 0.99 Bournemouth 10 7 -8 -2.91 24.34 -1.24 39.28 7.67 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.49 28.92R 7.87 Crystal_Palace 10 4 -17 -5.50 6.59 -9.18 31.36 7.39 -35.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.66R 37.56Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 14 30 +8 9.85 96.51 6.45 77.32 9.17 13.07 18.71 32.53 67.55 39.87P 0.04R 0.00 Wolverhampton 14 29 +10 8.14 93.57 7.57 77.78 8.96 17.39 20.06 34.62 70.74 42.88P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 14 28 +8 7.51 92.24 6.01 76.17 8.82 14.46 14.78 27.61 64.25 36.07P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_City 14 24 +7 3.87 76.68 5.76 67.55 8.98 6.43 3.00 7.08 28.32 11.57P 0.66R 0.02 Leeds_United 14 23 +8 0.97 57.20 3.82 70.62 8.78 13.73 5.40 11.97 41.17 19.68P 0.24R 0.01 Aston_Villa 14 23 +6 2.45 68.11 3.86 68.69 8.56 9.14 3.16 7.68 31.48 13.68P 0.34R 0.00 Derby 13 22 +5 1.90 64.47 1.65 74.18 8.98 15.35 10.93 21.63 56.37 31.19P 0.09R 0.00 Norwich 14 22 -2 0.97 57.46 -4.80 69.71 9.07 3.56 4.58 10.12 36.00 16.41P 0.48R 0.02 Preston 14 21 +5 1.28 59.86 4.12 68.13 8.85 9.98 3.20 7.47 30.55 13.26P 0.55R 0.02 Ipswich 13 21 +3 2.34 67.74 1.76 64.08 8.93 -0.09 1.31 3.36 16.74 6.09P 1.81R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 14 21 -3 3.79 76.88 0.23 62.44 8.89 -7.13 0.70 2.06 12.17 3.91P 3.14R 0.23 Middlesbrough 14 20 +5 -2.64 30.97 0.02 71.11 8.83 15.55 5.97 13.05 43.50 23.25P 0.20R 0.00 Fulham 14 19 +3 -2.50 32.30 -0.46 68.55 9.01 11.52 3.76 8.81 32.78 15.31P 0.62R 0.03 QPR 14 18 +0 -0.48 46.92 1.03 59.22 8.68 -3.93 0.32 0.92 6.54 2.05P 5.61R 0.47 Millwall 14 17 +2 -0.16 49.89 4.98 54.80 8.79 -6.50 0.09 0.28 2.76 0.82P 14.01R 1.65 Sheff_Wed 14 17 +0 -4.43 20.38 -3.33 63.96 8.77 4.77 1.03 2.88 16.57 6.67P 1.74R 0.09 Hull 14 16 +3 -6.14 13.09 -1.49 64.33 9.51 9.63 1.80 4.52 20.10 9.19P 2.26R 0.16 Brentford 14 16 +0 -4.25 21.82 -1.57 62.87 9.05 4.09 0.98 2.61 14.77 5.74P 2.80R 0.21 Barnsley 13 13 -3 -2.97 28.54 -0.12 54.40 9.00 -9.31 0.08 0.30 2.67 0.82P 16.15R 2.34 Reading 13 12 -5 -4.12 20.89 -2.59 55.67 8.92 -7.29 0.09 0.35 3.34 1.02P 12.77R 1.52 Birmingham 14 12 -13 -3.02 27.93 -7.12 45.54 8.26 -27.66 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.02P 53.21R 12.30 Burton_Albion 14 10 -20 -2.38 32.22 -9.93 39.71 7.85 -40.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 79.82R 35.85 Sunderland 14 9 -10 -8.74 4.75 -7.64 52.19 9.09 -11.07 0.03 0.13 1.52 0.50P 22.71R 3.90 Bolton 14 7 -17 -6.15 10.07 -8.23 38.68 8.42 -34.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 80.70R 41.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 October 2017, Blackburn 2 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 16 37 +14 14.30 99.37 12.70 79.43 8.27 16.08 7.32 23.19 74.04 32.03P 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 16 36 +20 5.36 83.20 7.12 92.42 8.33 42.16 64.65 82.87 98.38 88.30P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +7 3.87 74.93 0.80 77.94 8.32 17.14 5.81 18.71 68.85 32.15P 0.03R 0.00 Charlton 15 30 +7 6.57 88.39 2.65 77.16 8.67 14.00 5.09 17.10 64.31 27.93P 0.06R 0.00 Scunthorpe 16 26 +5 0.54 53.86 -0.18 74.33 8.30 15.81 2.34 9.43 53.03 21.30P 0.12R 0.00 Blackburn 15 25 +9 -1.67 37.59 -0.07 80.71 8.79 28.48 11.05 31.73 79.47 48.89P 0.02R 0.00 Rotherham 16 25 +7 1.43 59.85 4.60 69.71 8.96 12.18 1.10 4.68 33.17 11.28P 0.90R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 16 25 +2 0.85 55.89 -1.32 69.85 8.42 7.61 0.91 3.70 31.53 10.05P 0.63R 0.01 Peterborough 15 24 +4 1.87 63.07 1.73 69.00 8.73 7.56 0.86 3.67 29.18 9.24P 0.95R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 16 23 +6 -1.49 40.02 2.29 68.39 8.44 12.55 0.57 2.91 27.11 9.16P 0.99R 0.05 Southend 16 23 -6 1.31 59.53 -5.47 63.32 8.46 -7.40 0.12 0.63 10.65 2.60P 4.15R 0.26 Blackpool 15 22 +1 2.87 70.09 3.01 60.33 8.82 -5.06 0.07 0.47 7.07 1.72P 8.46R 0.77 Bristol_Rovers 16 21 -4 0.73 55.77 -0.91 58.28 8.46 -10.88 0.02 0.19 3.73 0.80P 12.60R 1.26 Portsmouth 16 20 -1 -0.56 46.67 0.96 59.43 8.60 -3.38 0.04 0.25 5.36 1.25P 9.74R 0.85 Walsall 16 19 -3 -2.40 34.19 -2.13 59.09 8.33 -4.44 0.02 0.19 4.49 1.06P 9.78R 0.83 MK_Dons 16 19 -7 -2.32 34.88 -6.09 57.63 8.27 -10.82 0.01 0.11 3.03 0.74P 13.09R 1.34 Doncaster 16 18 -2 -2.32 35.19 0.44 54.95 8.58 -8.48 0.01 0.05 1.92 0.45P 21.63R 2.90 Oldham 16 18 -8 1.05 58.78 -0.63 53.61 8.11 -16.39 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.16P 26.86R 4.13 Rochdale 16 17 -3 -5.83 15.81 -4.44 57.14 8.32 -4.72 0.01 0.09 2.92 0.74P 13.84R 1.42 AFC_Wimbledon 16 15 -8 -3.23 28.08 -3.04 48.63 7.82 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 48.88R 10.58 Northampton 16 15 -13 -1.96 37.44 -4.94 46.99 8.04 -27.46 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 58.47R 17.45 Gillingham 16 14 -8 -4.08 23.46 -2.14 50.84 8.28 -14.60 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.09P 38.17R 7.73 Bury 16 12 -7 -6.23 12.92 -0.98 47.01 8.28 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 55.76R 16.27 Plymouth 16 11 -12 -5.43 16.01 -3.96 42.83 8.22 -25.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 74.88R 34.07League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 16 33 +12 10.38 96.43 10.97 74.75 8.56 12.63 5.03 22.40 63.82 29.58P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 32 +11 6.08 84.88 5.03 79.49 8.46 20.73 12.58 42.84 82.38 52.82P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 16 31 +19 1.98 62.95 8.27 87.01 8.32 41.97 44.76 78.73 96.68 84.81P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 16 30 +5 5.29 81.94 0.85 77.24 8.61 14.23 7.94 32.03 73.80 42.37P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 16 28 +6 0.93 55.87 -1.64 79.69 8.71 22.07 13.38 44.43 82.58 56.45P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 16 27 +9 0.10 50.28 1.80 78.40 8.40 23.61 10.20 38.63 80.08 52.77P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 16 27 +6 2.75 68.50 2.43 73.23 8.50 13.58 3.56 18.12 57.99 27.87P 0.02R 0.01 Newport_County 16 25 +5 4.58 79.02 7.26 63.07 8.29 0.53 0.20 1.95 15.39 4.34P 0.96R 0.26 Lincoln_City 16 24 +2 4.31 77.78 5.17 60.26 8.39 -4.52 0.07 1.01 9.23 2.50P 2.17R 0.57 Cambridge_Utd 16 24 +0 0.82 55.85 -2.07 66.11 8.27 1.69 0.48 3.97 24.93 8.68P 0.39R 0.10 Stevenage 16 24 -3 1.82 62.88 -2.97 63.68 8.61 -5.45 0.26 2.56 17.75 5.59P 1.03R 0.28 Grimsby 16 23 -2 2.26 65.89 -0.27 60.88 8.30 -6.98 0.11 1.15 10.18 2.92P 1.82R 0.56 Colchester 16 22 +2 -2.27 34.76 -1.62 67.12 8.61 7.82 0.80 6.04 30.83 12.37P 0.35R 0.08 Mansfield 16 22 +1 -0.21 48.88 0.45 64.93 8.34 3.86 0.33 2.99 21.60 7.40P 0.63R 0.16 Cheltenham 16 21 +0 0.91 57.27 2.84 58.53 8.20 -5.44 0.04 0.49 6.20 1.52P 3.28R 1.05 Carlisle 16 20 -1 -1.74 38.91 -0.63 62.41 8.59 0.60 0.22 1.94 14.75 4.80P 1.44R 0.40 Yeovil 16 19 -5 -0.53 47.33 -1.30 54.04 8.18 -14.57 0.00 0.13 2.19 0.52P 9.63R 3.45 Crewe 16 17 -9 -2.45 34.01 -5.20 53.58 8.28 -16.07 0.00 0.10 1.82 0.48P 11.34R 4.47 Crawley_Town 16 16 -4 -2.79 31.50 0.38 50.56 8.01 -13.18 0.00 0.04 0.72 0.15P 18.10R 7.62 Forest_Green 16 15 -16 0.11 52.56 -4.13 43.71 8.21 -36.96 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 52.76R 33.25 Barnet 16 14 -5 -5.66 15.97 -1.44 52.80 8.41 -8.66 0.00 0.08 1.81 0.43P 12.94R 5.02 Port_Vale 16 14 -7 -8.67 6.68 -8.19 56.50 8.69 -4.83 0.02 0.32 4.74 1.54P 6.40R 2.32 Morecambe 16 14 -10 -3.74 25.38 -3.56 46.48 7.97 -23.35 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03P 36.10R 17.73 Chesterfield 16 9 -16 -10.74 2.54 -12.44 45.67 8.65 -23.31 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.07P 40.60R 22.67National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Barrow 3 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dover_Athletic 18 33 +12 2.40 65.11 3.03 79.82 8.03 24.55 35.50 79.65 48.12P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 32 +1 5.70 82.77 -1.56 72.44 7.84 4.48 7.68 44.05 15.50P 0.20R 0.00 Wrexham 18 30 +4 5.63 82.87 3.86 68.89 7.70 5.53 3.32 27.70 8.34P 0.66R 0.00 Sutton_United 18 30 +2 6.70 86.47 3.83 69.03 7.89 3.16 3.55 28.39 8.10P 0.77R 0.01 Maidstone_United 17 29 +5 7.07 88.33 6.95 66.11 8.06 1.23 1.98 18.46 4.67P 1.93R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 18 28 +8 -2.96 31.25 -1.41 75.62 7.99 22.17 17.89 63.24 31.92P 0.08R 0.00 Bromley 18 28 +6 3.13 69.53 5.61 67.68 8.06 7.88 2.92 24.74 7.31P 1.22R 0.02 Woking 18 28 -1 4.49 76.93 0.95 64.92 8.07 -3.64 1.34 14.68 3.67P 2.98R 0.04 Aldershot 18 27 +6 -1.45 40.52 0.24 70.99 7.98 14.33 6.62 40.05 15.70P 0.38R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 18 27 +6 1.65 61.20 4.67 66.07 7.80 7.59 1.72 18.60 5.39P 1.57R 0.01 Maidenhead 18 27 +3 4.11 74.18 5.85 63.38 8.43 -0.18 1.19 12.66 3.33P 4.68R 0.13 Hartlepool 18 27 +2 -2.06 37.06 -4.44 71.68 8.06 11.41 7.34 42.45 17.66P 0.35R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 18 25 +4 1.75 61.59 5.98 60.44 8.27 -0.04 0.53 7.09 1.79P 8.51R 0.28 Tranmere 18 24 +2 -6.68 13.25 -6.61 70.80 7.70 14.22 5.59 38.79 16.97P 0.34R 0.01 Halifax 18 24 -2 3.03 69.54 3.18 56.00 8.11 -10.74 0.12 2.29 0.50P 20.60R 1.21 AFC_Fylde 17 22 +3 0.61 54.50 6.08 58.73 8.65 -1.98 0.42 5.74 1.43P 13.15R 0.82 Gateshead 18 22 +3 -5.09 20.37 -0.58 63.86 7.97 8.44 0.97 13.07 4.14P 3.23R 0.09 Eastleigh 17 22 +1 -1.06 43.21 1.04 62.82 8.13 2.75 0.85 10.49 2.94P 5.05R 0.14 Leyton_Orient 18 19 -8 -7.51 11.58 -10.84 60.03 8.35 -4.09 0.42 6.10 2.02P 10.12R 0.50 Guiseley 18 17 -13 -1.19 43.01 -3.56 45.48 7.51 -27.69 0.00 0.07 0.01P 72.10R 14.92 Barrow 18 16 -2 -9.65 5.59 -3.42 54.90 8.09 -1.08 0.05 1.54 0.45P 22.59R 1.66 Chester 17 15 -10 -4.98 19.80 -4.92 48.26 7.95 -19.86 0.00 0.17 0.03P 56.95R 8.70 Torquay 18 11 -14 -8.95 5.74 -7.01 42.50 7.71 -24.16 0.00 0.01 0.00P 81.58R 25.69 Solihull_Moors 18 11 -18 -6.91 11.07 -6.91 39.28 7.56 -34.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.96R 45.72