Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   28  +29       5.12    92.97    12.60    89.73     7.11    71.13    79.45    92.87    97.57    99.28    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          10   23  +19       3.18    77.81     9.86    75.60     7.58    39.94     6.16    30.98    56.22    77.36    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   20  +12      -0.54    43.42     1.11    77.17     7.40    42.06     8.77    39.82    65.31    83.46    98.72     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   19   +8       0.03    49.06    -0.26    73.95     7.59    34.55     3.76    23.00    46.27    69.58    96.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   19   +6       0.23    51.15    -1.95    69.27     7.86    24.76     1.50     9.72    23.23    43.30    89.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   16   +1      -0.14    48.52    -2.75    65.13     8.06    17.83     0.35     3.50    10.66    23.87    76.23     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          10   15   -3       4.88    88.23     3.29    46.11     7.60   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     2.96     7.41R    1.11  
Newcastle         9   14   +2       1.40    63.51     1.57    48.88     8.25    -6.41     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.72     7.47     4.47R    0.59  
Burnley           9   13   -1       3.06    79.93     3.29    47.69     7.85    -7.84     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.34     4.90     5.03R    0.61  
Southampton       9   12   -1      -2.10    30.94    -3.64    47.56     7.87    -7.56     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.37     5.23     4.95R    0.62  
Huddersfield     10   12   -6       4.31    87.00     3.63    33.38     6.83   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    62.13R   24.86  
Brighton          9   11   -1       0.80    59.23     2.32    44.83     7.99   -10.31     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.21     2.87    10.46R    1.97  
Stoke            10   11   -9       1.21    63.40    -2.35    43.03     7.60   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.26    15.10R    2.95  
West_Brom        10   10   -4      -1.95    32.77    -1.38    41.85     7.49   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.95    17.53R    3.74  
Leicester         9    9   -2      -2.35    28.84    -0.13    47.27     8.11    -5.77     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.33     5.01     6.22R    0.97  
West_Ham         10    9   -9      -2.86    25.56    -5.93    39.42     7.73   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.55    29.07R    7.16  
Swansea          10    8   -5      -3.26    21.76    -0.92    37.85     7.54   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    34.70R    9.50  
Everton           9    8  -11      -2.69    25.05    -7.81    50.09     8.33    -8.08     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.85     9.41     3.77R    0.55  
Bournemouth      10    7   -8      -3.02    23.27    -1.34    39.45     7.72   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.56    27.94R    7.64  
Crystal_Palace   10    4  -17      -5.49     6.72    -9.20    31.21     7.37   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.20R   37.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Burton_Albion 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       14   30   +8       9.81    96.48     6.37    77.50     9.27    13.31    19.43    32.96    68.03    40.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   14   29  +10       8.09    93.53     7.51    77.76     8.84    17.36    19.46    33.95    70.33    42.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         14   28   +8       7.48    92.02     5.97    76.19     8.81    14.55    14.67    27.46    63.87    36.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    14   24   +7       3.85    76.52     5.74    67.51     8.96     6.33     2.80     6.73    27.78    11.26P    0.68R    0.03  
Leeds_United    14   23   +8       1.02    57.72     3.88    70.52     8.79    13.55     5.19    11.58    39.99    18.94P    0.21R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6       2.86    71.60     3.92    69.57     8.80     9.82     4.07     9.41    35.47    15.60P    0.31R    0.02  
Derby           13   22   +5       1.94    64.63     1.72    74.08     8.91    15.19    10.17    20.74    55.51    30.27P    0.09R    0.00  
Norwich         14   22   -2       0.78    56.02    -5.08    70.04     9.01     4.14     4.71    10.52    36.89    17.28P    0.34R    0.02  
Preston         14   21   +5       1.26    59.77     4.08    68.16     8.78     9.98     3.07     7.38    30.02    12.99P    0.56R    0.03  
Ipswich         13   21   +3       2.34    67.75     1.79    64.06     8.92    -0.16     1.29     3.21    16.28     5.98P    1.88R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest   14   21   -3       3.74    76.58     0.21    62.49     8.88    -7.03     0.73     2.09    12.18     4.01P    3.04R    0.21  
Middlesbrough   14   20   +5      -2.66    30.86    -0.01    71.29     8.93    15.79     6.03    13.63    43.99    23.57P    0.23R    0.01  
Fulham          14   19   +3      -2.40    33.25    -0.31    68.48     9.01    11.39     3.86     8.54    32.08    14.87P    0.60R    0.02  
QPR             14   18   +0      -0.49    46.85     0.99    59.31     8.72    -3.83     0.29     0.83     6.75     2.24P    5.54R    0.40  
Millwall        14   17   +2      -0.15    49.97     5.01    54.67     8.84    -6.70     0.08     0.27     2.67     0.80P   14.13R    1.77  
Sheff_Wed       14   17   +0      -4.46    20.21    -3.38    63.99     8.76     4.85     1.03     2.81    16.25     6.67P    1.68R    0.10  
Hull            14   16   +3      -6.09    13.13    -1.39    64.25     9.48     9.49     1.87     4.50    19.85     8.99P    2.16R    0.13  
Brentford       14   16   +0      -4.16    22.30    -1.49    62.76     9.22     3.94     1.01     2.61    14.61     5.61P    3.19R    0.24  
Barnsley        13   13   -3      -2.90    29.16    -0.00    54.36     9.00    -9.43     0.07     0.27     2.44     0.68P   15.94R    2.30  
Reading         13   12   -5      -4.19    20.59    -2.66    55.85     8.94    -7.09     0.11     0.36     3.37     1.03P   11.93R    1.52  
Birmingham      13   11  -13      -2.70    29.13    -7.08    45.31     8.35   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   54.20R   13.03  
Burton_Albion   14   10  -20      -2.40    31.72    -9.95    39.81     7.92   -40.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.22R   35.12  
Sunderland      14    9  -10      -8.70     4.84    -7.61    52.06     9.18   -11.25     0.05     0.14     1.51     0.48P   23.38R    4.14  
Bolton          14    7  -17      -6.20     9.97    -8.23    38.68     8.46   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.58R   40.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       16   37  +14      14.34    99.37    12.76    79.36     8.32    15.93     7.08    22.28    73.70    31.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            16   36  +20       5.52    83.94     7.32    92.25     8.31    41.97    62.85    81.80    98.25    87.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +7       3.90    74.73     0.84    78.03     8.26    17.20     5.43    18.18    69.46    32.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         15   30   +7       6.61    88.44     2.73    77.10     8.66    13.84     5.05    16.40    63.94    27.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       16   26   +5       0.55    53.84    -0.18    74.27     8.34    15.77     2.27     9.12    52.89    21.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Rotherham        16   25   +7       1.43    59.64     4.62    69.60     8.93    12.07     1.09     4.25    32.59    10.50P    0.86R    0.03  
Blackburn        14   24   +9      -0.94    42.17     0.49    81.80     9.05    29.50    13.79    36.33    81.97    52.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   24   +4       1.84    62.80     1.67    69.03     8.74     7.60     0.72     3.50    29.22     9.11P    0.93R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town   15   24   +2       0.91    56.39    -1.74    69.45     8.60     6.44     0.87     3.51    30.17     9.74P    0.83R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd       16   23   +6      -1.43    40.65     2.38    68.39     8.40    12.52     0.60     2.70    26.75     8.58P    0.92R    0.03  
Southend         16   23   -6       1.29    59.52    -5.50    63.42     8.42    -7.23     0.09     0.62    10.75     2.63P    3.98R    0.22  
Blackpool        15   22   +1       2.82    69.91     2.94    60.52     8.66    -4.73     0.06     0.41     7.08     1.61P    7.84R    0.62  
Bristol_Rovers   16   21   -4       0.80    56.35    -0.82    58.31     8.47   -10.85     0.02     0.17     3.93     0.83P   12.27R    1.22  
Portsmouth       16   20   -1      -0.59    46.88     0.89    59.32     8.65    -3.46     0.03     0.26     5.28     1.24P    9.92R    1.00  
Walsall          16   19   -3      -2.40    34.40    -2.14    59.01     8.33    -4.52     0.02     0.15     4.40     1.09P    9.75R    0.94  
MK_Dons          16   19   -7      -2.35    34.48    -6.16    57.74     8.34   -10.67     0.01     0.12     3.17     0.70P   13.08R    1.34  
Doncaster        16   18   -2      -2.37    34.83     0.37    54.94     8.57    -8.55     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.43P   21.75R    2.94  
Oldham           16   18   -8       1.06    59.12    -0.62    53.45     8.16   -16.54     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.16P   27.58R    4.48  
Rochdale         16   17   -3      -5.76    15.97    -4.31    57.10     8.34    -4.75     0.01     0.10     2.83     0.73P   14.07R    1.50  
AFC_Wimbledon    16   15   -8      -3.18    28.51    -3.01    48.54     7.87   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   49.61R   11.07  
Northampton      16   15  -13      -2.07    36.60    -5.14    47.18     8.05   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   57.49R   16.94  
Gillingham       16   14   -8      -4.15    23.00    -2.21    50.85     8.22   -14.55     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.07P   37.99R    7.62  
Bury             16   12   -7      -6.23    12.89    -0.99    46.90     8.17   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   56.58R   16.25  
Plymouth         16   11  -12      -5.56    15.40    -4.16    42.97     8.18   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.35R   33.70  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         16   33  +12      10.40    96.54    11.00    74.66     8.48    12.51     4.66    21.84    63.62    29.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   32  +11       6.00    84.60     4.90    79.60     8.45    20.80    12.61    43.65    82.45    53.67P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                16   31  +19       1.99    63.20     8.22    87.07     8.24    42.04    45.37    78.93    96.84    85.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               16   30   +5       5.36    82.38     0.91    77.25     8.47    14.24     7.81    32.10    74.24    42.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   28   +6       0.87    55.59    -1.74    79.72     8.66    22.13    13.38    44.63    82.66    56.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             16   27   +9       0.12    50.56     1.80    78.36     8.42    23.57    10.11    38.32    79.81    52.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   27   +6       2.73    68.26     2.46    73.22     8.52    13.59     3.62    18.05    58.11    27.83P    0.05R    0.01  
Newport_County       16   25   +5       4.56    79.29     7.24    63.07     8.23     0.60     0.16     1.94    15.60     4.28P    0.82R    0.23  
Lincoln_City         16   24   +2       4.33    77.87     5.20    60.25     8.32    -4.55     0.06     0.95     9.04     2.49P    2.14R    0.56  
Cambridge_Utd        16   24   +0       0.83    56.08    -2.09    66.10     8.33     1.65     0.47     4.07    24.95     8.85P    0.33R    0.07  
Stevenage            16   24   -3       1.87    62.91    -2.94    63.74     8.55    -5.37     0.29     2.62    17.61     5.58P    0.97R    0.23  
Grimsby              16   23   -2       2.25    66.10    -0.29    60.91     8.28    -6.94     0.12     1.07    10.06     2.79P    1.85R    0.58  
Colchester           16   22   +2      -2.22    35.12    -1.51    66.98     8.58     7.64     0.75     5.69    30.24    12.20P    0.33R    0.06  
Mansfield            16   22   +1      -0.15    49.68     0.56    64.81     8.34     3.70     0.30     2.86    21.02     7.15P    0.66R    0.15  
Cheltenham           16   21   +0       0.87    56.72     2.82    58.45     8.26    -5.54     0.03     0.53     6.29     1.58P    3.25R    0.97  
Carlisle             16   20   -1      -1.90    38.03    -0.82    62.63     8.59     0.93     0.20     1.97    15.21     5.02P    1.42R    0.40  
Yeovil               16   19   -5      -0.41    48.05    -1.09    53.85     8.30   -14.91     0.01     0.16     2.20     0.47P   10.34R    3.68  
Crewe                16   17   -9      -2.53    33.42    -5.29    53.71     8.25   -15.86     0.01     0.10     1.82     0.43P   11.15R    4.36  
Crawley_Town         16   16   -4      -2.79    31.37     0.41    50.50     7.97   -13.26     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.13P   18.08R    7.45  
Forest_Green         16   15  -16       0.11    52.57    -4.10    43.71     8.14   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   52.27R   32.53  
Barnet               16   14   -5      -5.80    15.40    -1.63    53.01     8.42    -8.39     0.00     0.09     1.84     0.47P   12.36R    4.91  
Port_Vale            16   14   -7      -8.79     6.31    -8.36    56.77     8.73    -4.46     0.02     0.39     5.14     1.71P    6.07R    2.10  
Morecambe            16   14  -10      -3.64    26.43    -3.39    46.27     7.95   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   37.28R   18.35  
Chesterfield         16    9  -16     -10.62     2.67   -12.27    45.62     8.67   -23.46     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.08P   40.63R   23.34  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 October 2017, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dover_Athletic     17   32  +12       2.82    68.17     3.06    80.15     8.21    24.55    33.45    79.22    46.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield       17   32   +2       7.11    88.82    -0.54    74.47     7.99     6.46    10.50    52.41    19.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   29   +4       5.98    85.45     3.84    69.40     7.91     5.81     3.35    28.91     8.64P    0.56R    0.00  
Sutton_United      17   29   +2       7.25    89.12     4.16    69.57     8.21     3.35     3.95    30.01     8.54P    0.75R    0.02  
Woking             17   28   +0       5.87    83.78     1.87    67.63     8.24    -0.50     2.59    22.29     5.94P    1.35R    0.03  
Aldershot          17   27   +8      -0.44    46.89     1.71    73.09     8.22    17.41     9.36    48.70    20.13P    0.21R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          17   27   +8      -2.54    33.16    -1.34    76.72     8.18    23.30    19.41    66.55    34.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley            17   27   +6       3.40    71.74     5.45    67.64     8.25     7.35     2.60    23.99     6.88P    1.25R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   26   +6       2.22    65.27     4.94    66.66     8.02     7.94     1.90    20.26     5.81P    1.31R    0.03  
Maidstone_United   16   26   +4       5.93    85.09     6.70    64.63     8.29     0.36     1.25    14.01     3.41P    3.23R    0.12  
Maidenhead         17   26   +3       4.56    77.07     5.97    62.91     8.80    -1.61     1.16    11.80     3.08P    5.67R    0.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   24   +4       1.79    62.01     5.59    60.55     8.60    -0.54     0.59     7.51     2.02P    8.43R    0.45  
Halifax            17   24   +0       3.47    72.54     3.74    57.30     8.22    -8.47     0.15     3.11     0.70P   15.49R    0.96  
Hartlepool         17   24   +0      -2.98    31.05    -5.49    69.46     8.33     8.58     4.17    30.87    12.20P    0.83R    0.02  
Gateshead          17   21   +3      -4.85    20.54    -0.78    64.53     8.15     8.90     1.19    14.47     4.65P    2.78R    0.09  
Tranmere           17   21   +0      -7.31    10.50    -7.17    69.16     7.90    12.16     3.35    29.63    12.33P    0.60R    0.01  
Eastleigh          16   19   +0      -2.64    32.51     0.13    60.53     8.34     0.83     0.46     6.54     1.89P    8.26R    0.46  
AFC_Fylde          16   19   -1       0.23    52.62     3.97    54.93     8.77    -9.37     0.11     2.24     0.54P   25.21R    3.16  
Leyton_Orient      17   18   -8      -7.22    11.68   -10.93    60.14     8.58    -4.46     0.45     6.33     2.02P   10.03R    0.68  
Chester            16   15   -9      -4.07    23.62    -4.56    49.65     8.21   -18.94     0.00     0.33     0.08P   48.39R    8.28  
Guiseley           17   14  -14      -2.99    30.22    -4.96    42.91     7.60   -30.09     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.91R   28.92  
Barrow             17   13   -4     -10.84     3.00    -4.73    52.39     8.20    -4.24     0.02     0.75     0.19P   32.13R    3.79  
Torquay            17   11  -12      -8.17     6.66    -5.92    44.38     7.93   -21.33     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.61R   21.37  
Solihull_Moors     17   11  -14      -6.53    11.91    -4.71    42.33     7.91   -27.48     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.84R   31.31