Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 28 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 28 +29 5.12 92.97 12.60 89.73 7.11 71.13 79.45 92.87 97.57 99.28 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 10 23 +19 3.18 77.81 9.86 75.60 7.58 39.94 6.16 30.98 56.22 77.36 97.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 20 +12 -0.54 43.42 1.11 77.17 7.40 42.06 8.77 39.82 65.31 83.46 98.72 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 19 +8 0.03 49.06 -0.26 73.95 7.59 34.55 3.76 23.00 46.27 69.58 96.51 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 19 +6 0.23 51.15 -1.95 69.27 7.86 24.76 1.50 9.72 23.23 43.30 89.20 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 10 16 +1 -0.14 48.52 -2.75 65.13 8.06 17.83 0.35 3.50 10.66 23.87 76.23 0.02R 0.00 Watford 10 15 -3 4.88 88.23 3.29 46.11 7.60 -16.49 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 2.96 7.41R 1.11 Newcastle 9 14 +2 1.40 63.51 1.57 48.88 8.25 -6.41 0.01 0.05 0.17 0.72 7.47 4.47R 0.59 Burnley 9 13 -1 3.06 79.93 3.29 47.69 7.85 -7.84 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.34 4.90 5.03R 0.61 Southampton 9 12 -1 -2.10 30.94 -3.64 47.56 7.87 -7.56 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.37 5.23 4.95R 0.62 Huddersfield 10 12 -6 4.31 87.00 3.63 33.38 6.83 -36.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 62.13R 24.86 Brighton 9 11 -1 0.80 59.23 2.32 44.83 7.99 -10.31 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.21 2.87 10.46R 1.97 Stoke 10 11 -9 1.21 63.40 -2.35 43.03 7.60 -19.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.26 15.10R 2.95 West_Brom 10 10 -4 -1.95 32.77 -1.38 41.85 7.49 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.95 17.53R 3.74 Leicester 9 9 -2 -2.35 28.84 -0.13 47.27 8.11 -5.77 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.33 5.01 6.22R 0.97 West_Ham 10 9 -9 -2.86 25.56 -5.93 39.42 7.73 -24.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.55 29.07R 7.16 Swansea 10 8 -5 -3.26 21.76 -0.92 37.85 7.54 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.29 34.70R 9.50 Everton 9 8 -11 -2.69 25.05 -7.81 50.09 8.33 -8.08 0.00 0.03 0.20 0.85 9.41 3.77R 0.55 Bournemouth 10 7 -8 -3.02 23.27 -1.34 39.45 7.72 -18.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.56 27.94R 7.64 Crystal_Palace 10 4 -17 -5.49 6.72 -9.20 31.21 7.37 -35.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 71.20R 37.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Burton_Albion 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 14 30 +8 9.81 96.48 6.37 77.50 9.27 13.31 19.43 32.96 68.03 40.39P 0.06R 0.00 Wolverhampton 14 29 +10 8.09 93.53 7.51 77.76 8.84 17.36 19.46 33.95 70.33 42.17P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 14 28 +8 7.48 92.02 5.97 76.19 8.81 14.55 14.67 27.46 63.87 36.12P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_City 14 24 +7 3.85 76.52 5.74 67.51 8.96 6.33 2.80 6.73 27.78 11.26P 0.68R 0.03 Leeds_United 14 23 +8 1.02 57.72 3.88 70.52 8.79 13.55 5.19 11.58 39.99 18.94P 0.21R 0.01 Aston_Villa 13 22 +6 2.86 71.60 3.92 69.57 8.80 9.82 4.07 9.41 35.47 15.60P 0.31R 0.02 Derby 13 22 +5 1.94 64.63 1.72 74.08 8.91 15.19 10.17 20.74 55.51 30.27P 0.09R 0.00 Norwich 14 22 -2 0.78 56.02 -5.08 70.04 9.01 4.14 4.71 10.52 36.89 17.28P 0.34R 0.02 Preston 14 21 +5 1.26 59.77 4.08 68.16 8.78 9.98 3.07 7.38 30.02 12.99P 0.56R 0.03 Ipswich 13 21 +3 2.34 67.75 1.79 64.06 8.92 -0.16 1.29 3.21 16.28 5.98P 1.88R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 14 21 -3 3.74 76.58 0.21 62.49 8.88 -7.03 0.73 2.09 12.18 4.01P 3.04R 0.21 Middlesbrough 14 20 +5 -2.66 30.86 -0.01 71.29 8.93 15.79 6.03 13.63 43.99 23.57P 0.23R 0.01 Fulham 14 19 +3 -2.40 33.25 -0.31 68.48 9.01 11.39 3.86 8.54 32.08 14.87P 0.60R 0.02 QPR 14 18 +0 -0.49 46.85 0.99 59.31 8.72 -3.83 0.29 0.83 6.75 2.24P 5.54R 0.40 Millwall 14 17 +2 -0.15 49.97 5.01 54.67 8.84 -6.70 0.08 0.27 2.67 0.80P 14.13R 1.77 Sheff_Wed 14 17 +0 -4.46 20.21 -3.38 63.99 8.76 4.85 1.03 2.81 16.25 6.67P 1.68R 0.10 Hull 14 16 +3 -6.09 13.13 -1.39 64.25 9.48 9.49 1.87 4.50 19.85 8.99P 2.16R 0.13 Brentford 14 16 +0 -4.16 22.30 -1.49 62.76 9.22 3.94 1.01 2.61 14.61 5.61P 3.19R 0.24 Barnsley 13 13 -3 -2.90 29.16 -0.00 54.36 9.00 -9.43 0.07 0.27 2.44 0.68P 15.94R 2.30 Reading 13 12 -5 -4.19 20.59 -2.66 55.85 8.94 -7.09 0.11 0.36 3.37 1.03P 11.93R 1.52 Birmingham 13 11 -13 -2.70 29.13 -7.08 45.31 8.35 -28.65 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 54.20R 13.03 Burton_Albion 14 10 -20 -2.40 31.72 -9.95 39.81 7.92 -40.56 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 79.22R 35.12 Sunderland 14 9 -10 -8.70 4.84 -7.61 52.06 9.18 -11.25 0.05 0.14 1.51 0.48P 23.38R 4.14 Bolton 14 7 -17 -6.20 9.97 -8.23 38.68 8.46 -35.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 80.58R 40.80League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 16 37 +14 14.34 99.37 12.76 79.36 8.32 15.93 7.08 22.28 73.70 31.34P 0.01R 0.00 Wigan 16 36 +20 5.52 83.94 7.32 92.25 8.31 41.97 62.85 81.80 98.25 87.55P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 16 30 +7 3.90 74.73 0.84 78.03 8.26 17.20 5.43 18.18 69.46 32.36P 0.03R 0.00 Charlton 15 30 +7 6.61 88.44 2.73 77.10 8.66 13.84 5.05 16.40 63.94 27.61P 0.05R 0.00 Scunthorpe 16 26 +5 0.55 53.84 -0.18 74.27 8.34 15.77 2.27 9.12 52.89 21.06P 0.10R 0.00 Rotherham 16 25 +7 1.43 59.64 4.62 69.60 8.93 12.07 1.09 4.25 32.59 10.50P 0.86R 0.03 Blackburn 14 24 +9 -0.94 42.17 0.49 81.80 9.05 29.50 13.79 36.33 81.97 52.56P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 15 24 +4 1.84 62.80 1.67 69.03 8.74 7.60 0.72 3.50 29.22 9.11P 0.93R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 15 24 +2 0.91 56.39 -1.74 69.45 8.60 6.44 0.87 3.51 30.17 9.74P 0.83R 0.04 Oxford_Utd 16 23 +6 -1.43 40.65 2.38 68.39 8.40 12.52 0.60 2.70 26.75 8.58P 0.92R 0.03 Southend 16 23 -6 1.29 59.52 -5.50 63.42 8.42 -7.23 0.09 0.62 10.75 2.63P 3.98R 0.22 Blackpool 15 22 +1 2.82 69.91 2.94 60.52 8.66 -4.73 0.06 0.41 7.08 1.61P 7.84R 0.62 Bristol_Rovers 16 21 -4 0.80 56.35 -0.82 58.31 8.47 -10.85 0.02 0.17 3.93 0.83P 12.27R 1.22 Portsmouth 16 20 -1 -0.59 46.88 0.89 59.32 8.65 -3.46 0.03 0.26 5.28 1.24P 9.92R 1.00 Walsall 16 19 -3 -2.40 34.40 -2.14 59.01 8.33 -4.52 0.02 0.15 4.40 1.09P 9.75R 0.94 MK_Dons 16 19 -7 -2.35 34.48 -6.16 57.74 8.34 -10.67 0.01 0.12 3.17 0.70P 13.08R 1.34 Doncaster 16 18 -2 -2.37 34.83 0.37 54.94 8.57 -8.55 0.01 0.05 1.82 0.43P 21.75R 2.94 Oldham 16 18 -8 1.06 59.12 -0.62 53.45 8.16 -16.54 0.00 0.02 0.88 0.16P 27.58R 4.48 Rochdale 16 17 -3 -5.76 15.97 -4.31 57.10 8.34 -4.75 0.01 0.10 2.83 0.73P 14.07R 1.50 AFC_Wimbledon 16 15 -8 -3.18 28.51 -3.01 48.54 7.87 -17.91 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 49.61R 11.07 Northampton 16 15 -13 -2.07 36.60 -5.14 47.18 8.05 -27.14 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 57.49R 16.94 Gillingham 16 14 -8 -4.15 23.00 -2.21 50.85 8.22 -14.55 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.07P 37.99R 7.62 Bury 16 12 -7 -6.23 12.89 -0.99 46.90 8.17 -16.87 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 56.58R 16.25 Plymouth 16 11 -12 -5.56 15.40 -4.16 42.97 8.18 -25.09 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 74.35R 33.70League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 4 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 16 33 +12 10.40 96.54 11.00 74.66 8.48 12.51 4.66 21.84 63.62 29.38P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 32 +11 6.00 84.60 4.90 79.60 8.45 20.80 12.61 43.65 82.45 53.67P 0.00 0.00 Luton 16 31 +19 1.99 63.20 8.22 87.07 8.24 42.04 45.37 78.93 96.84 85.07P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 16 30 +5 5.36 82.38 0.91 77.25 8.47 14.24 7.81 32.10 74.24 42.37P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 16 28 +6 0.87 55.59 -1.74 79.72 8.66 22.13 13.38 44.63 82.66 56.23P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 16 27 +9 0.12 50.56 1.80 78.36 8.42 23.57 10.11 38.32 79.81 52.16P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 16 27 +6 2.73 68.26 2.46 73.22 8.52 13.59 3.62 18.05 58.11 27.83P 0.05R 0.01 Newport_County 16 25 +5 4.56 79.29 7.24 63.07 8.23 0.60 0.16 1.94 15.60 4.28P 0.82R 0.23 Lincoln_City 16 24 +2 4.33 77.87 5.20 60.25 8.32 -4.55 0.06 0.95 9.04 2.49P 2.14R 0.56 Cambridge_Utd 16 24 +0 0.83 56.08 -2.09 66.10 8.33 1.65 0.47 4.07 24.95 8.85P 0.33R 0.07 Stevenage 16 24 -3 1.87 62.91 -2.94 63.74 8.55 -5.37 0.29 2.62 17.61 5.58P 0.97R 0.23 Grimsby 16 23 -2 2.25 66.10 -0.29 60.91 8.28 -6.94 0.12 1.07 10.06 2.79P 1.85R 0.58 Colchester 16 22 +2 -2.22 35.12 -1.51 66.98 8.58 7.64 0.75 5.69 30.24 12.20P 0.33R 0.06 Mansfield 16 22 +1 -0.15 49.68 0.56 64.81 8.34 3.70 0.30 2.86 21.02 7.15P 0.66R 0.15 Cheltenham 16 21 +0 0.87 56.72 2.82 58.45 8.26 -5.54 0.03 0.53 6.29 1.58P 3.25R 0.97 Carlisle 16 20 -1 -1.90 38.03 -0.82 62.63 8.59 0.93 0.20 1.97 15.21 5.02P 1.42R 0.40 Yeovil 16 19 -5 -0.41 48.05 -1.09 53.85 8.30 -14.91 0.01 0.16 2.20 0.47P 10.34R 3.68 Crewe 16 17 -9 -2.53 33.42 -5.29 53.71 8.25 -15.86 0.01 0.10 1.82 0.43P 11.15R 4.36 Crawley_Town 16 16 -4 -2.79 31.37 0.41 50.50 7.97 -13.26 0.00 0.02 0.70 0.13P 18.08R 7.45 Forest_Green 16 15 -16 0.11 52.57 -4.10 43.71 8.14 -36.98 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 52.27R 32.53 Barnet 16 14 -5 -5.80 15.40 -1.63 53.01 8.42 -8.39 0.00 0.09 1.84 0.47P 12.36R 4.91 Port_Vale 16 14 -7 -8.79 6.31 -8.36 56.77 8.73 -4.46 0.02 0.39 5.14 1.71P 6.07R 2.10 Morecambe 16 14 -10 -3.64 26.43 -3.39 46.27 7.95 -23.69 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 37.28R 18.35 Chesterfield 16 9 -16 -10.62 2.67 -12.27 45.62 8.67 -23.46 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.08P 40.63R 23.34National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 October 2017, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dover_Athletic 17 32 +12 2.82 68.17 3.06 80.15 8.21 24.55 33.45 79.22 46.83P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 17 32 +2 7.11 88.82 -0.54 74.47 7.99 6.46 10.50 52.41 19.68P 0.08R 0.00 Wrexham 17 29 +4 5.98 85.45 3.84 69.40 7.91 5.81 3.35 28.91 8.64P 0.56R 0.00 Sutton_United 17 29 +2 7.25 89.12 4.16 69.57 8.21 3.35 3.95 30.01 8.54P 0.75R 0.02 Woking 17 28 +0 5.87 83.78 1.87 67.63 8.24 -0.50 2.59 22.29 5.94P 1.35R 0.03 Aldershot 17 27 +8 -0.44 46.89 1.71 73.09 8.22 17.41 9.36 48.70 20.13P 0.21R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 17 27 +8 -2.54 33.16 -1.34 76.72 8.18 23.30 19.41 66.55 34.43P 0.07R 0.00 Bromley 17 27 +6 3.40 71.74 5.45 67.64 8.25 7.35 2.60 23.99 6.88P 1.25R 0.03 Boreham_Wood 17 26 +6 2.22 65.27 4.94 66.66 8.02 7.94 1.90 20.26 5.81P 1.31R 0.03 Maidstone_United 16 26 +4 5.93 85.09 6.70 64.63 8.29 0.36 1.25 14.01 3.41P 3.23R 0.12 Maidenhead 17 26 +3 4.56 77.07 5.97 62.91 8.80 -1.61 1.16 11.80 3.08P 5.67R 0.28 Ebbsfleet_United 17 24 +4 1.79 62.01 5.59 60.55 8.60 -0.54 0.59 7.51 2.02P 8.43R 0.45 Halifax 17 24 +0 3.47 72.54 3.74 57.30 8.22 -8.47 0.15 3.11 0.70P 15.49R 0.96 Hartlepool 17 24 +0 -2.98 31.05 -5.49 69.46 8.33 8.58 4.17 30.87 12.20P 0.83R 0.02 Gateshead 17 21 +3 -4.85 20.54 -0.78 64.53 8.15 8.90 1.19 14.47 4.65P 2.78R 0.09 Tranmere 17 21 +0 -7.31 10.50 -7.17 69.16 7.90 12.16 3.35 29.63 12.33P 0.60R 0.01 Eastleigh 16 19 +0 -2.64 32.51 0.13 60.53 8.34 0.83 0.46 6.54 1.89P 8.26R 0.46 AFC_Fylde 16 19 -1 0.23 52.62 3.97 54.93 8.77 -9.37 0.11 2.24 0.54P 25.21R 3.16 Leyton_Orient 17 18 -8 -7.22 11.68 -10.93 60.14 8.58 -4.46 0.45 6.33 2.02P 10.03R 0.68 Chester 16 15 -9 -4.07 23.62 -4.56 49.65 8.21 -18.94 0.00 0.33 0.08P 48.39R 8.28 Guiseley 17 14 -14 -2.99 30.22 -4.96 42.91 7.60 -30.09 0.00 0.02 0.00P 79.91R 28.92 Barrow 17 13 -4 -10.84 3.00 -4.73 52.39 8.20 -4.24 0.02 0.75 0.19P 32.13R 3.79 Torquay 17 11 -12 -8.17 6.66 -5.92 44.38 7.93 -21.33 0.00 0.04 0.01P 72.61R 21.37 Solihull_Moors 17 11 -14 -6.53 11.91 -4.71 42.33 7.91 -27.48 0.00 0.01 0.00P 80.84R 31.31