Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 17 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 October 2017, Leicester 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 22 +25 3.93 89.19 12.29 87.92 7.49 68.79 71.64 89.32 96.21 98.79 99.95 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 8 20 +19 3.82 85.97 11.20 77.22 7.95 42.99 12.30 42.78 67.43 84.84 98.37 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 17 +10 0.05 48.94 0.55 76.61 7.91 39.23 10.88 38.60 64.51 82.75 97.89 0.00 0.00 Watford 8 15 +0 6.53 95.61 4.08 48.76 7.98 -13.38 0.01 0.03 0.19 0.74 7.01 4.32R 0.53 Chelsea 8 13 +5 -1.47 34.46 -0.30 72.08 7.97 33.77 3.49 18.32 40.41 65.31 93.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 13 +2 -1.53 33.72 -3.45 65.61 8.28 19.72 0.85 5.28 14.56 30.71 77.41 0.02R 0.00 Burnley 8 13 +2 3.37 83.25 4.21 48.80 7.95 -5.50 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.71 7.34 3.89R 0.38 Liverpool 8 13 +1 0.06 50.20 -1.89 65.89 8.42 19.66 0.83 5.47 15.49 32.03 78.11 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 8 11 +1 0.20 52.93 1.19 47.83 8.45 -6.63 0.00 0.04 0.19 0.80 7.38 5.89R 0.88 West_Brom 8 10 -2 -0.37 46.91 -1.23 43.37 7.79 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 2.00 13.21R 2.29 Southampton 8 9 -2 -3.37 19.27 -4.09 46.20 7.96 -8.09 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.37 4.43 7.20R 0.95 Huddersfield 8 9 -4 2.43 76.74 2.60 30.81 7.18 -37.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 73.19R 37.48 Swansea 8 8 -3 -1.37 36.65 -0.46 40.08 7.84 -17.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.84 25.05R 5.39 Brighton 8 8 -4 -0.51 46.68 -0.28 41.05 8.03 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.24 21.53R 4.89 West_Ham 8 8 -6 -1.41 36.50 -3.52 43.12 8.17 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.17 2.22 15.61R 3.01 Everton 8 8 -8 -1.89 30.77 -5.92 52.03 8.49 -3.95 0.01 0.13 0.62 2.12 15.65 2.23R 0.26 Stoke 8 8 -9 0.90 62.58 -2.51 42.84 8.10 -19.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.91 16.92R 3.50 Leicester 8 6 -3 -3.99 14.04 -1.15 45.12 8.32 -7.36 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.28 3.81 10.29R 1.65 Bournemouth 8 4 -8 -3.90 13.09 -2.40 37.36 8.03 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.40 38.04R 11.46 Crystal_Palace 8 3 -16 -4.22 9.19 -8.93 32.75 7.80 -34.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 62.58R 27.33Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 October 2017, Derby 2 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 12 26 +10 8.02 95.13 7.74 77.46 9.18 17.36 20.15 34.42 69.41 42.32P 0.03R 0.00 Cardiff 12 24 +7 6.47 90.68 5.44 74.97 9.21 13.65 13.22 24.84 59.09 32.70P 0.13R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 12 24 +6 7.05 92.11 5.14 72.64 9.60 8.97 9.47 18.48 48.88 24.90P 0.29R 0.01 Bristol_City 12 21 +9 3.11 74.01 6.92 68.38 9.37 10.02 4.27 9.41 32.75 14.58P 0.83R 0.04 Preston 12 21 +7 3.70 78.17 5.63 71.92 9.16 13.55 7.78 15.99 46.64 23.67P 0.26R 0.01 Leeds_United 12 20 +6 1.24 60.13 2.60 69.86 9.10 11.07 5.30 11.42 37.89 17.99P 0.39R 0.02 Aston_Villa 12 19 +5 1.54 62.85 3.35 67.51 8.96 8.25 2.98 6.88 28.46 12.07P 0.86R 0.06 Norwich 12 19 -2 0.69 55.64 -4.84 69.89 9.41 4.37 5.75 11.80 37.14 18.21P 0.60R 0.04 Fulham 12 18 +4 -0.47 46.47 0.97 72.24 9.43 15.79 9.33 18.03 48.40 26.28P 0.35R 0.01 Ipswich 11 18 +3 2.18 68.25 1.91 64.36 9.35 0.55 1.71 4.19 18.91 7.34P 2.38R 0.15 Middlesbrough 12 17 +4 -2.36 31.43 -0.23 70.82 9.30 14.65 6.48 13.66 42.96 22.97P 0.40R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 12 16 +2 -2.93 27.45 -1.64 67.02 9.14 8.80 2.91 6.61 27.19 12.35P 1.12R 0.05 Derby 11 16 +2 -0.63 44.82 -0.33 69.44 9.40 10.22 5.14 11.05 36.53 17.99P 0.67R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 12 15 -6 1.09 59.85 -1.99 57.47 9.12 -13.04 0.22 0.67 5.07 1.52P 10.90R 1.38 QPR 12 14 -1 -1.42 39.01 0.54 58.00 9.05 -4.90 0.30 0.80 5.89 1.89P 8.80R 1.08 Hull 12 13 +3 -5.98 11.50 -0.91 65.72 9.98 12.29 3.23 7.05 25.61 12.65P 2.25R 0.22 Millwall 12 13 +0 -1.08 42.07 3.63 51.81 9.22 -11.60 0.04 0.15 1.58 0.42P 26.04R 4.82 Brentford 12 12 -1 -5.28 14.10 -2.32 60.94 9.45 2.14 0.83 2.10 11.55 4.66P 5.69R 0.56 Barnsley 11 12 -2 -1.82 35.45 0.04 55.50 9.51 -9.58 0.23 0.60 4.24 1.38P 15.72R 2.52 Reading 11 12 -2 -2.26 32.19 -0.85 59.54 9.32 -2.64 0.52 1.47 8.55 3.01P 7.25R 0.79 Birmingham 12 11 -11 -1.98 34.54 -5.94 47.74 8.67 -25.07 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 44.38R 9.78 Burton_Albion 12 10 -17 -0.74 45.40 -8.44 43.05 8.39 -36.82 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 67.02R 23.99 Sunderland 12 8 -9 -7.35 6.28 -7.24 53.87 9.57 -10.14 0.11 0.35 2.87 1.01P 20.28R 3.76 Bolton 12 5 -17 -6.14 7.76 -9.19 37.88 8.74 -37.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 83.36R 50.65League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 October 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 14 34 +14 13.84 99.59 12.38 78.78 8.76 15.33 8.31 23.70 70.45 31.92P 0.02R 0.00 Wigan 14 32 +18 5.16 83.98 6.50 90.80 8.91 39.69 58.15 77.18 96.91 83.88P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 14 27 +7 3.93 76.94 1.24 78.42 8.70 18.33 8.20 22.90 70.46 35.89P 0.03R 0.00 Rotherham 14 24 +9 2.82 69.83 5.99 72.68 9.39 16.23 3.29 10.19 46.45 18.78P 0.51R 0.02 Charlton 13 24 +5 3.87 77.44 1.46 73.12 9.06 10.71 3.04 10.09 46.32 18.28P 0.35R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 14 22 +8 0.10 50.84 4.04 71.16 8.86 16.13 2.07 6.79 39.65 15.18P 0.59R 0.02 Blackpool 13 22 +4 4.52 80.80 4.52 64.55 9.35 0.20 0.51 2.01 16.53 4.95P 4.01R 0.24 Peterborough 13 21 +4 1.50 61.31 1.55 68.44 9.23 7.03 1.07 4.28 28.54 9.70P 1.54R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 13 21 +1 0.84 56.36 -2.47 68.63 9.13 4.59 1.15 4.25 28.70 9.93P 1.35R 0.04 Blackburn 12 20 +6 -1.23 39.60 -1.08 79.37 9.59 25.02 12.05 29.29 72.96 44.10P 0.09R 0.00 Portsmouth 14 20 +3 0.60 54.93 2.64 63.31 9.08 2.26 0.30 1.31 13.25 3.97P 4.74R 0.30 Scunthorpe 14 20 +3 -1.75 37.38 -0.74 71.21 8.69 14.12 1.57 6.36 39.45 15.89P 0.49R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 14 18 -5 0.53 54.85 -1.67 57.38 8.97 -13.24 0.04 0.27 3.78 0.90P 16.31R 1.46 MK_Dons 14 18 -5 -0.89 43.87 -4.68 61.01 8.76 -6.24 0.08 0.51 7.66 2.05P 7.55R 0.44 Southend 14 17 -8 -1.45 39.83 -6.57 59.19 8.88 -10.86 0.04 0.31 5.35 1.34P 11.66R 0.98 Walsall 14 16 -5 -2.05 35.30 -3.18 58.17 8.76 -7.50 0.02 0.17 4.20 1.05P 13.14R 1.06 Doncaster 14 15 +0 -3.13 28.74 1.68 55.65 9.08 -5.13 0.03 0.11 2.97 0.72P 20.37R 2.15 AFC_Wimbledon 14 15 -6 -1.07 42.96 -1.76 51.97 8.31 -15.24 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.14P 33.30R 4.42 Oldham 13 14 -8 0.86 58.64 -1.32 52.63 8.67 -17.45 0.01 0.03 0.93 0.16P 32.09R 4.63 Rochdale 14 13 -4 -6.49 11.25 -4.48 56.51 8.85 -4.86 0.04 0.17 3.11 0.86P 16.82R 1.67 Bury 13 12 -4 -3.09 27.39 0.58 51.92 8.91 -12.77 0.00 0.03 1.05 0.19P 34.41R 5.20 Gillingham 14 11 -9 -4.33 20.39 -3.15 49.99 8.67 -16.59 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.10P 42.49R 7.77 Northampton 14 9 -15 -5.14 15.02 -6.64 42.62 8.33 -31.49 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 76.27R 29.58 Plymouth 14 7 -13 -6.79 7.93 -4.84 40.42 8.54 -28.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 81.88R 39.93League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 October 2017, Barnet 1 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 14 30 +22 3.57 74.56 10.75 91.82 8.60 50.21 65.15 90.16 98.71 93.19P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 14 29 +9 9.75 96.53 8.92 72.25 9.00 7.58 2.39 16.32 50.62 22.62P 0.04R 0.01 Exeter 14 29 +6 6.99 90.33 1.73 80.07 9.01 16.97 10.66 45.74 81.18 54.54P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 14 26 +7 4.39 79.27 3.28 75.81 8.97 15.90 4.86 28.40 67.09 38.24P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 14 26 +6 4.20 78.09 2.14 75.09 8.92 13.86 4.19 25.68 64.09 35.26P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 14 24 +8 5.42 84.60 9.04 66.09 8.81 5.44 0.46 5.28 26.25 9.35P 0.41R 0.08 Stevenage 14 24 +1 4.11 77.82 0.29 69.86 9.09 3.97 1.33 11.27 40.84 17.62P 0.19R 0.03 Coventry 14 23 +6 -0.46 46.38 -0.25 75.66 8.93 18.68 4.83 28.21 67.48 41.34P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 14 23 +3 5.82 86.26 5.96 62.91 8.94 -2.47 0.25 2.57 15.77 5.07P 1.31R 0.24 Swindon 14 22 +2 -1.09 42.01 -3.82 75.08 9.19 16.08 4.32 26.48 64.34 38.23P 0.03R 0.01 Grimsby 14 21 -2 2.93 71.23 -0.27 62.03 8.84 -6.66 0.17 2.05 13.50 4.37P 1.64R 0.37 Mansfield 14 20 +1 0.48 54.08 0.40 65.59 8.79 3.62 0.38 4.44 24.15 9.22P 0.55R 0.09 Cambridge_Utd 14 20 -1 -0.11 49.75 -2.57 64.85 8.76 0.60 0.29 3.69 21.31 7.92P 0.65R 0.11 Colchester 14 18 +0 -3.09 28.24 -2.86 64.92 8.98 4.44 0.38 4.25 22.99 9.23P 0.80R 0.17 Carlisle 14 18 -1 -0.94 43.91 -0.46 63.58 9.07 1.17 0.25 3.20 18.57 6.68P 1.33R 0.31 Cheltenham 14 17 -1 -0.30 48.70 1.86 56.21 8.59 -8.11 0.01 0.41 4.08 1.09P 5.77R 1.57 Crewe 14 17 -5 -0.89 44.25 -3.02 57.32 8.77 -10.66 0.03 0.55 5.33 1.52P 5.27R 1.39 Yeovil 14 15 -8 -1.32 40.91 -3.42 50.84 8.60 -20.87 0.00 0.08 1.18 0.28P 17.87R 5.58 Crawley_Town 14 14 -4 -2.55 32.22 -0.11 50.22 8.44 -15.24 0.00 0.05 0.87 0.22P 18.61R 6.19 Barnet 14 13 -2 -4.71 18.74 0.32 55.71 8.83 -3.94 0.03 0.36 4.25 1.24P 7.15R 1.96 Morecambe 14 13 -8 -2.44 32.92 -2.05 49.19 8.55 -20.18 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.14P 23.43R 8.23 Port_Vale 14 11 -5 -9.74 3.23 -7.35 56.74 9.25 -2.19 0.05 0.74 6.10 2.45P 6.02R 1.74 Forest_Green 14 9 -19 -2.85 29.43 -6.46 37.63 8.41 -45.60 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 76.29R 58.29 Chesterfield 14 8 -15 -9.43 3.44 -12.04 47.19 9.13 -22.60 0.00 0.04 0.58 0.16P 32.59R 13.64National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Barrow 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 15 29 +2 6.31 87.51 -1.29 73.21 8.39 5.01 7.90 44.66 15.88P 0.21R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 15 28 +10 2.89 70.10 3.06 80.06 8.60 24.45 30.76 76.24 43.76P 0.03R 0.00 Woking 15 28 +4 7.22 90.00 3.65 70.81 8.69 4.14 5.55 34.50 10.63P 0.58R 0.01 Sutton_United 15 27 +2 7.41 91.03 3.33 68.81 8.50 1.15 3.23 26.10 7.28P 0.95R 0.02 Wrexham 15 26 +5 5.19 83.41 4.17 68.70 8.27 6.22 2.89 25.64 7.55P 0.82R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 15 24 +8 -2.14 34.55 -0.52 77.74 8.52 25.33 21.80 68.23 36.53P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 15 24 +5 3.91 76.38 5.65 67.78 8.68 7.03 2.76 23.91 7.00P 1.53R 0.03 Aldershot 15 23 +7 -1.16 41.77 1.56 72.03 8.47 16.70 7.09 41.96 16.71P 0.32R 0.00 Maidstone_United 15 23 +2 4.63 80.66 5.25 61.99 8.47 -3.17 0.60 7.97 1.81P 5.94R 0.23 Halifax 15 23 +2 4.64 80.00 4.94 60.88 8.84 -3.81 0.56 7.51 1.87P 7.82R 0.30 Boreham_Wood 15 22 +5 1.31 60.07 4.47 65.43 8.39 7.00 1.40 16.15 4.59P 2.06R 0.05 Maidenhead 15 22 +2 3.10 70.91 4.48 59.25 9.04 -6.52 0.45 5.85 1.39P 11.64R 0.75 Hartlepool 15 22 +0 -2.02 35.93 -5.15 71.15 8.69 10.02 5.83 37.13 14.70P 0.55R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 15 21 +4 1.87 63.42 6.08 60.80 9.06 0.24 0.63 8.28 2.14P 8.11R 0.37 Tranmere 15 20 +1 -5.85 13.91 -6.40 70.92 8.23 13.24 5.09 35.92 15.52P 0.38R 0.00 Gateshead 15 18 +2 -4.98 18.38 -1.59 63.32 8.55 6.58 0.92 11.60 3.65P 4.01R 0.12 Leyton_Orient 15 18 -5 -5.12 18.32 -9.02 65.16 9.15 2.04 1.96 17.09 6.06P 3.51R 0.11 Eastleigh 14 16 +0 -2.49 32.39 0.71 61.16 8.64 2.31 0.45 7.65 2.03P 6.88R 0.28 AFC_Fylde 15 16 -3 -0.76 46.14 3.11 52.12 9.07 -13.29 0.05 1.23 0.29P 34.87R 4.45 Barrow 15 13 -2 -8.41 5.73 -3.28 55.64 8.49 -1.33 0.08 2.05 0.55P 18.46R 1.27 Chester 14 12 -9 -4.41 19.82 -4.81 49.01 8.49 -19.33 0.01 0.28 0.06P 48.96R 7.09 Guiseley 15 10 -16 -4.00 21.83 -6.57 40.80 7.87 -33.22 0.00 0.01 0.00P 84.54R 32.60 Solihull_Moors 15 8 -13 -7.35 7.26 -4.71 41.88 8.28 -26.42 0.00 0.02 0.00 79.00R 27.01 Torquay 15 7 -13 -9.71 2.48 -7.13 41.90 8.26 -24.36 0.00 0.02 0.00P 78.79R 25.27