Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 October 2017, Leicester 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   22  +25       3.93    89.19    12.29    87.92     7.49    68.79    71.64    89.32    96.21    98.79    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           8   20  +19       3.82    85.97    11.20    77.22     7.95    42.99    12.30    42.78    67.43    84.84    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   17  +10       0.05    48.94     0.55    76.61     7.91    39.23    10.88    38.60    64.51    82.75    97.89     0.00     0.00  
Watford           8   15   +0       6.53    95.61     4.08    48.76     7.98   -13.38     0.01     0.03     0.19     0.74     7.01     4.32R    0.53  
Chelsea           8   13   +5      -1.47    34.46    -0.30    72.08     7.97    33.77     3.49    18.32    40.41    65.31    93.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   13   +2      -1.53    33.72    -3.45    65.61     8.28    19.72     0.85     5.28    14.56    30.71    77.41     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley           8   13   +2       3.37    83.25     4.21    48.80     7.95    -5.50     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.71     7.34     3.89R    0.38  
Liverpool         8   13   +1       0.06    50.20    -1.89    65.89     8.42    19.66     0.83     5.47    15.49    32.03    78.11     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle         8   11   +1       0.20    52.93     1.19    47.83     8.45    -6.63     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.80     7.38     5.89R    0.88  
West_Brom         8   10   -2      -0.37    46.91    -1.23    43.37     7.79   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     2.00    13.21R    2.29  
Southampton       8    9   -2      -3.37    19.27    -4.09    46.20     7.96    -8.09     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.37     4.43     7.20R    0.95  
Huddersfield      8    9   -4       2.43    76.74     2.60    30.81     7.18   -37.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.19R   37.48  
Swansea           8    8   -3      -1.37    36.65    -0.46    40.08     7.84   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.84    25.05R    5.39  
Brighton          8    8   -4      -0.51    46.68    -0.28    41.05     8.03   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.24    21.53R    4.89  
West_Ham          8    8   -6      -1.41    36.50    -3.52    43.12     8.17   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     2.22    15.61R    3.01  
Everton           8    8   -8      -1.89    30.77    -5.92    52.03     8.49    -3.95     0.01     0.13     0.62     2.12    15.65     2.23R    0.26  
Stoke             8    8   -9       0.90    62.58    -2.51    42.84     8.10   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.91    16.92R    3.50  
Leicester         8    6   -3      -3.99    14.04    -1.15    45.12     8.32    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.28     3.81    10.29R    1.65  
Bournemouth       8    4   -8      -3.90    13.09    -2.40    37.36     8.03   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40    38.04R   11.46  
Crystal_Palace    8    3  -16      -4.22     9.19    -8.93    32.75     7.80   -34.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    62.58R   27.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 October 2017, Derby 2 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wolverhampton   12   26  +10       8.02    95.13     7.74    77.46     9.18    17.36    20.15    34.42    69.41    42.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff         12   24   +7       6.47    90.68     5.44    74.97     9.21    13.65    13.22    24.84    59.09    32.70P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       12   24   +6       7.05    92.11     5.14    72.64     9.60     8.97     9.47    18.48    48.88    24.90P    0.29R    0.01  
Bristol_City    12   21   +9       3.11    74.01     6.92    68.38     9.37    10.02     4.27     9.41    32.75    14.58P    0.83R    0.04  
Preston         12   21   +7       3.70    78.17     5.63    71.92     9.16    13.55     7.78    15.99    46.64    23.67P    0.26R    0.01  
Leeds_United    12   20   +6       1.24    60.13     2.60    69.86     9.10    11.07     5.30    11.42    37.89    17.99P    0.39R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     12   19   +5       1.54    62.85     3.35    67.51     8.96     8.25     2.98     6.88    28.46    12.07P    0.86R    0.06  
Norwich         12   19   -2       0.69    55.64    -4.84    69.89     9.41     4.37     5.75    11.80    37.14    18.21P    0.60R    0.04  
Fulham          12   18   +4      -0.47    46.47     0.97    72.24     9.43    15.79     9.33    18.03    48.40    26.28P    0.35R    0.01  
Ipswich         11   18   +3       2.18    68.25     1.91    64.36     9.35     0.55     1.71     4.19    18.91     7.34P    2.38R    0.15  
Middlesbrough   12   17   +4      -2.36    31.43    -0.23    70.82     9.30    14.65     6.48    13.66    42.96    22.97P    0.40R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       12   16   +2      -2.93    27.45    -1.64    67.02     9.14     8.80     2.91     6.61    27.19    12.35P    1.12R    0.05  
Derby           11   16   +2      -0.63    44.82    -0.33    69.44     9.40    10.22     5.14    11.05    36.53    17.99P    0.67R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   12   15   -6       1.09    59.85    -1.99    57.47     9.12   -13.04     0.22     0.67     5.07     1.52P   10.90R    1.38  
QPR             12   14   -1      -1.42    39.01     0.54    58.00     9.05    -4.90     0.30     0.80     5.89     1.89P    8.80R    1.08  
Hull            12   13   +3      -5.98    11.50    -0.91    65.72     9.98    12.29     3.23     7.05    25.61    12.65P    2.25R    0.22  
Millwall        12   13   +0      -1.08    42.07     3.63    51.81     9.22   -11.60     0.04     0.15     1.58     0.42P   26.04R    4.82  
Brentford       12   12   -1      -5.28    14.10    -2.32    60.94     9.45     2.14     0.83     2.10    11.55     4.66P    5.69R    0.56  
Barnsley        11   12   -2      -1.82    35.45     0.04    55.50     9.51    -9.58     0.23     0.60     4.24     1.38P   15.72R    2.52  
Reading         11   12   -2      -2.26    32.19    -0.85    59.54     9.32    -2.64     0.52     1.47     8.55     3.01P    7.25R    0.79  
Birmingham      12   11  -11      -1.98    34.54    -5.94    47.74     8.67   -25.07     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   44.38R    9.78  
Burton_Albion   12   10  -17      -0.74    45.40    -8.44    43.05     8.39   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.02R   23.99  
Sunderland      12    8   -9      -7.35     6.28    -7.24    53.87     9.57   -10.14     0.11     0.35     2.87     1.01P   20.28R    3.76  
Bolton          12    5  -17      -6.14     7.76    -9.19    37.88     8.74   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.36R   50.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 October 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       14   34  +14      13.84    99.59    12.38    78.78     8.76    15.33     8.31    23.70    70.45    31.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            14   32  +18       5.16    83.98     6.50    90.80     8.91    39.69    58.15    77.18    96.91    83.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         14   27   +7       3.93    76.94     1.24    78.42     8.70    18.33     8.20    22.90    70.46    35.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham        14   24   +9       2.82    69.83     5.99    72.68     9.39    16.23     3.29    10.19    46.45    18.78P    0.51R    0.02  
Charlton         13   24   +5       3.87    77.44     1.46    73.12     9.06    10.71     3.04    10.09    46.32    18.28P    0.35R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd       14   22   +8       0.10    50.84     4.04    71.16     8.86    16.13     2.07     6.79    39.65    15.18P    0.59R    0.02  
Blackpool        13   22   +4       4.52    80.80     4.52    64.55     9.35     0.20     0.51     2.01    16.53     4.95P    4.01R    0.24  
Peterborough     13   21   +4       1.50    61.31     1.55    68.44     9.23     7.03     1.07     4.28    28.54     9.70P    1.54R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town   13   21   +1       0.84    56.36    -2.47    68.63     9.13     4.59     1.15     4.25    28.70     9.93P    1.35R    0.04  
Blackburn        12   20   +6      -1.23    39.60    -1.08    79.37     9.59    25.02    12.05    29.29    72.96    44.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Portsmouth       14   20   +3       0.60    54.93     2.64    63.31     9.08     2.26     0.30     1.31    13.25     3.97P    4.74R    0.30  
Scunthorpe       14   20   +3      -1.75    37.38    -0.74    71.21     8.69    14.12     1.57     6.36    39.45    15.89P    0.49R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   14   18   -5       0.53    54.85    -1.67    57.38     8.97   -13.24     0.04     0.27     3.78     0.90P   16.31R    1.46  
MK_Dons          14   18   -5      -0.89    43.87    -4.68    61.01     8.76    -6.24     0.08     0.51     7.66     2.05P    7.55R    0.44  
Southend         14   17   -8      -1.45    39.83    -6.57    59.19     8.88   -10.86     0.04     0.31     5.35     1.34P   11.66R    0.98  
Walsall          14   16   -5      -2.05    35.30    -3.18    58.17     8.76    -7.50     0.02     0.17     4.20     1.05P   13.14R    1.06  
Doncaster        14   15   +0      -3.13    28.74     1.68    55.65     9.08    -5.13     0.03     0.11     2.97     0.72P   20.37R    2.15  
AFC_Wimbledon    14   15   -6      -1.07    42.96    -1.76    51.97     8.31   -15.24     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.14P   33.30R    4.42  
Oldham           13   14   -8       0.86    58.64    -1.32    52.63     8.67   -17.45     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.16P   32.09R    4.63  
Rochdale         14   13   -4      -6.49    11.25    -4.48    56.51     8.85    -4.86     0.04     0.17     3.11     0.86P   16.82R    1.67  
Bury             13   12   -4      -3.09    27.39     0.58    51.92     8.91   -12.77     0.00     0.03     1.05     0.19P   34.41R    5.20  
Gillingham       14   11   -9      -4.33    20.39    -3.15    49.99     8.67   -16.59     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.10P   42.49R    7.77  
Northampton      14    9  -15      -5.14    15.02    -6.64    42.62     8.33   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.27R   29.58  
Plymouth         14    7  -13      -6.79     7.93    -4.84    40.42     8.54   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.88R   39.93  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 October 2017, Barnet 1 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                14   30  +22       3.57    74.56    10.75    91.82     8.60    50.21    65.15    90.16    98.71    93.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         14   29   +9       9.75    96.53     8.92    72.25     9.00     7.58     2.39    16.32    50.62    22.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter               14   29   +6       6.99    90.33     1.73    80.07     9.01    16.97    10.66    45.74    81.18    54.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              14   26   +7       4.39    79.27     3.28    75.81     8.97    15.90     4.86    28.40    67.09    38.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   14   26   +6       4.20    78.09     2.14    75.09     8.92    13.86     4.19    25.68    64.09    35.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       14   24   +8       5.42    84.60     9.04    66.09     8.81     5.44     0.46     5.28    26.25     9.35P    0.41R    0.08  
Stevenage            14   24   +1       4.11    77.82     0.29    69.86     9.09     3.97     1.33    11.27    40.84    17.62P    0.19R    0.03  
Coventry             14   23   +6      -0.46    46.38    -0.25    75.66     8.93    18.68     4.83    28.21    67.48    41.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         14   23   +3       5.82    86.26     5.96    62.91     8.94    -2.47     0.25     2.57    15.77     5.07P    1.31R    0.24  
Swindon              14   22   +2      -1.09    42.01    -3.82    75.08     9.19    16.08     4.32    26.48    64.34    38.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Grimsby              14   21   -2       2.93    71.23    -0.27    62.03     8.84    -6.66     0.17     2.05    13.50     4.37P    1.64R    0.37  
Mansfield            14   20   +1       0.48    54.08     0.40    65.59     8.79     3.62     0.38     4.44    24.15     9.22P    0.55R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd        14   20   -1      -0.11    49.75    -2.57    64.85     8.76     0.60     0.29     3.69    21.31     7.92P    0.65R    0.11  
Colchester           14   18   +0      -3.09    28.24    -2.86    64.92     8.98     4.44     0.38     4.25    22.99     9.23P    0.80R    0.17  
Carlisle             14   18   -1      -0.94    43.91    -0.46    63.58     9.07     1.17     0.25     3.20    18.57     6.68P    1.33R    0.31  
Cheltenham           14   17   -1      -0.30    48.70     1.86    56.21     8.59    -8.11     0.01     0.41     4.08     1.09P    5.77R    1.57  
Crewe                14   17   -5      -0.89    44.25    -3.02    57.32     8.77   -10.66     0.03     0.55     5.33     1.52P    5.27R    1.39  
Yeovil               14   15   -8      -1.32    40.91    -3.42    50.84     8.60   -20.87     0.00     0.08     1.18     0.28P   17.87R    5.58  
Crawley_Town         14   14   -4      -2.55    32.22    -0.11    50.22     8.44   -15.24     0.00     0.05     0.87     0.22P   18.61R    6.19  
Barnet               14   13   -2      -4.71    18.74     0.32    55.71     8.83    -3.94     0.03     0.36     4.25     1.24P    7.15R    1.96  
Morecambe            14   13   -8      -2.44    32.92    -2.05    49.19     8.55   -20.18     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.14P   23.43R    8.23  
Port_Vale            14   11   -5      -9.74     3.23    -7.35    56.74     9.25    -2.19     0.05     0.74     6.10     2.45P    6.02R    1.74  
Forest_Green         14    9  -19      -2.85    29.43    -6.46    37.63     8.41   -45.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   76.29R   58.29  
Chesterfield         14    8  -15      -9.43     3.44   -12.04    47.19     9.13   -22.60     0.00     0.04     0.58     0.16P   32.59R   13.64  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Barrow 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       15   29   +2       6.31    87.51    -1.29    73.21     8.39     5.01     7.90    44.66    15.88P    0.21R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     15   28  +10       2.89    70.10     3.06    80.06     8.60    24.45    30.76    76.24    43.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             15   28   +4       7.22    90.00     3.65    70.81     8.69     4.14     5.55    34.50    10.63P    0.58R    0.01  
Sutton_United      15   27   +2       7.41    91.03     3.33    68.81     8.50     1.15     3.23    26.10     7.28P    0.95R    0.02  
Wrexham            15   26   +5       5.19    83.41     4.17    68.70     8.27     6.22     2.89    25.64     7.55P    0.82R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          15   24   +8      -2.14    34.55    -0.52    77.74     8.52    25.33    21.80    68.23    36.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Bromley            15   24   +5       3.91    76.38     5.65    67.78     8.68     7.03     2.76    23.91     7.00P    1.53R    0.03  
Aldershot          15   23   +7      -1.16    41.77     1.56    72.03     8.47    16.70     7.09    41.96    16.71P    0.32R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   15   23   +2       4.63    80.66     5.25    61.99     8.47    -3.17     0.60     7.97     1.81P    5.94R    0.23  
Halifax            15   23   +2       4.64    80.00     4.94    60.88     8.84    -3.81     0.56     7.51     1.87P    7.82R    0.30  
Boreham_Wood       15   22   +5       1.31    60.07     4.47    65.43     8.39     7.00     1.40    16.15     4.59P    2.06R    0.05  
Maidenhead         15   22   +2       3.10    70.91     4.48    59.25     9.04    -6.52     0.45     5.85     1.39P   11.64R    0.75  
Hartlepool         15   22   +0      -2.02    35.93    -5.15    71.15     8.69    10.02     5.83    37.13    14.70P    0.55R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   21   +4       1.87    63.42     6.08    60.80     9.06     0.24     0.63     8.28     2.14P    8.11R    0.37  
Tranmere           15   20   +1      -5.85    13.91    -6.40    70.92     8.23    13.24     5.09    35.92    15.52P    0.38R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   18   +2      -4.98    18.38    -1.59    63.32     8.55     6.58     0.92    11.60     3.65P    4.01R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient      15   18   -5      -5.12    18.32    -9.02    65.16     9.15     2.04     1.96    17.09     6.06P    3.51R    0.11  
Eastleigh          14   16   +0      -2.49    32.39     0.71    61.16     8.64     2.31     0.45     7.65     2.03P    6.88R    0.28  
AFC_Fylde          15   16   -3      -0.76    46.14     3.11    52.12     9.07   -13.29     0.05     1.23     0.29P   34.87R    4.45  
Barrow             15   13   -2      -8.41     5.73    -3.28    55.64     8.49    -1.33     0.08     2.05     0.55P   18.46R    1.27  
Chester            14   12   -9      -4.41    19.82    -4.81    49.01     8.49   -19.33     0.01     0.28     0.06P   48.96R    7.09  
Guiseley           15   10  -16      -4.00    21.83    -6.57    40.80     7.87   -33.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.54R   32.60  
Solihull_Moors     15    8  -13      -7.35     7.26    -4.71    41.88     8.28   -26.42     0.00     0.02     0.00    79.00R   27.01  
Torquay            15    7  -13      -9.71     2.48    -7.13    41.90     8.26   -24.36     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.79R   25.27