Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 October 2017, Arsenal 2 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          7   19  +20       3.83    89.20    10.51    85.41     7.88    60.46    56.34    78.56    90.27    96.33    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           7   19  +19       4.24    90.75    11.27    78.12     8.16    43.78    17.43    43.16    65.22    82.26    98.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         7   14   +9      -0.65    40.89     1.09    76.68     8.06    41.29    13.08    35.31    58.29    78.22    97.37     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           7   13   +6       0.60    55.81     1.77    75.38     8.14    37.81     9.38    28.67    51.50    73.62    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.17    51.22    -1.98    68.54     8.55    23.19     2.48     8.85    20.28    37.96    83.56     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley           7   12   +2       3.92    88.48     4.45    49.50     8.17    -4.89     0.01     0.03     0.17     0.66     7.43     3.03R    0.29  
Liverpool         7   12   +1       0.24    51.95    -2.27    65.90     8.68    19.01     1.26     5.21    13.28    26.88    75.08     0.02R    0.00  
Watford           7   12   -1       4.53    89.95     2.50    45.38     8.20   -17.19     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     3.03     9.31R    1.41  
Newcastle         7   10   +1       0.46    55.76     1.09    47.70     8.57    -6.86     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.61     6.09     5.54R    0.75  
West_Brom         7    9   -2      -0.25    48.16    -1.57    43.45     7.97   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.87    12.33R    1.98  
Huddersfield      7    9   -2       3.06    82.80     3.54    32.43     7.44   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    62.67R   24.33  
Southampton       7    8   -2      -2.80    21.97    -3.81    47.07     8.18    -7.08     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.37     4.72     5.53R    0.68  
Stoke             7    8   -4       1.01    63.85    -0.27    44.54     8.24   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     2.62    10.99R    1.79  
Brighton          7    7   -4      -0.32    48.04    -0.55    40.78     8.33   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     1.17    21.70R    4.69  
West_Ham          7    7   -6      -1.20    37.30    -3.66    42.94     8.46   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.05    15.60R    2.99  
Everton           7    7   -8      -1.33    35.31    -5.74    52.85     8.68    -3.36     0.01     0.13     0.55     2.03    15.75     1.79R    0.18  
Leicester         7    5   -3      -3.34    16.94    -0.77    46.08     8.56    -6.30     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.33     4.21     8.16R    1.27  
Swansea           7    5   -5      -2.33    25.58    -1.46    38.04     8.09   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    32.43R    7.95  
Bournemouth       7    4   -7      -3.41    15.86    -3.10    37.37     8.22   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40    36.05R   10.25  
Crystal_Palace    7    0  -17      -6.38     0.51   -11.05    29.40     7.86   -38.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.84R   41.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 October 2017, Birmingham 1 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff         12   24   +7       6.36    90.53     5.24    75.33     9.21    14.18    13.22    24.81    59.28    32.85P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   11   23   +8       6.88    93.17     6.47    75.14     9.46    14.35    13.71    24.86    57.77    32.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    12   21   +9       3.09    73.87     6.93    68.04     9.38     9.52     3.75     8.55    30.06    13.29P    0.76R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +5       5.82    89.22     4.76    71.14     9.88     8.09     7.47    14.52    41.57    20.57P    0.50R    0.01  
Leeds_United    11   20   +7       2.72    72.05     3.75    72.74     9.42    14.21     9.33    18.00    48.78    25.76P    0.25R    0.01  
Preston         11   20   +7       3.93    80.53     5.42    71.50     9.34    12.36     7.22    14.48    43.27    21.45P    0.28R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     11   19   +7       2.38    69.78     4.64    69.49     9.19    11.10     4.54    10.08    35.34    16.35P    0.53R    0.02  
Ipswich         10   18   +4       3.12    75.76     2.33    65.81     9.64     1.60     2.65     5.79    22.65     9.33P    1.79R    0.10  
Norwich         11   18   -2       1.21    60.21    -4.64    70.84     9.74     5.25     6.96    13.78    39.91    20.35P    0.54R    0.03  
Fulham          11   17   +4       0.19    51.79     1.42    73.24     9.63    16.66    10.80    20.24    51.27    28.48P    0.26R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   11   16   +4      -1.93    33.72    -0.10    71.35     9.47    14.88     7.20    14.69    43.36    24.03P    0.31R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       11   16   +3      -1.42    38.11    -0.46    69.53     9.30    11.37     4.60    10.21    35.86    17.37P    0.56R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   11   15   -4       1.66    64.64    -1.24    59.42     9.43   -10.15     0.42     1.12     7.60     2.31P    7.75R    0.75  
Millwall        11   13   +1      -0.25    49.11     3.77    52.84     9.50   -11.38     0.08     0.27     2.22     0.69P   22.46R    3.30  
Derby           10   13   +0      -1.57    36.67    -1.27    67.41     9.66     7.68     3.53     7.74    28.31    13.23P    1.27R    0.06  
QPR             11   13   -1      -1.23    40.16     0.29    57.84     9.30    -5.71     0.29     0.79     5.65     1.91P    9.30R    0.99  
Hull            11   12   +3      -5.75    11.11    -1.14    65.34    10.30    11.08     3.01     6.60    24.24    11.71P    2.75R    0.18  
Barnsley        10   11   -2      -1.54    37.26    -0.11    55.64     9.51    -9.83     0.17     0.51     4.00     1.24P   14.84R    1.85  
Birmingham      12   11  -11      -1.89    35.42    -5.79    47.43     8.66   -25.59     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.08P   44.44R    8.20  
Burton_Albion   12   10  -17      -0.65    46.14    -8.34    42.93     8.31   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   66.81R   19.72  
Brentford       11    9   -2      -6.41     8.20    -2.53    59.79     9.67     1.82     0.62     1.67     9.47     3.71P    7.16R    0.62  
Reading         10    9   -3      -4.08    18.24    -2.08    56.74     9.51    -5.42     0.24     0.70     4.98     1.67P   11.80R    1.42  
Sunderland      11    7   -9      -6.86     6.54    -7.09    55.21     9.88    -8.68     0.20     0.55     4.08     1.47P   16.76R    2.59  
Bolton          11    2  -18      -7.83     1.72   -10.22    35.10     8.85   -40.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.70R   60.06  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 October 2017, Gillingham 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       12   30  +10      13.79    99.81    10.20    76.11     9.17     9.29     4.17    11.87    53.54    18.55P    0.09R    0.00  
Wigan            12   28  +15       5.31    86.87     5.65    89.90     9.44    37.28    44.05    65.43    94.05    75.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         12   26   +9       5.96    88.77     3.65    83.05     9.12    24.49    15.41    34.54    81.08    47.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham        12   21   +9       2.77    70.90     6.29    73.26    10.02    17.51     3.29     9.37    44.17    17.71P    0.45R    0.01  
Peterborough     11   20   +5       3.36    75.69     2.72    71.79     9.78    10.55     2.22     6.77    37.67    13.37P    0.64R    0.01  
Charlton         11   20   +4       2.88    72.85     0.85    71.60     9.62     9.26     1.92     6.23    36.23    13.03P    0.55R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   19   +7       1.17    59.55     0.82    84.52     9.97    31.30    22.32    43.10    83.39    57.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       12   19   +5      -0.35    47.02     0.75    73.94     9.26    17.54     2.69     8.82    46.59    19.19P    0.18R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   11   19   +1       1.56    62.66    -2.48    69.61     9.50     4.95     1.25     4.11    28.41     9.70P    0.88R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd       12   18   +7      -0.88    43.17     3.41    70.15     9.64    15.40     1.65     4.96    31.95    11.94P    0.78R    0.03  
Blackpool        11   18   +3       3.67    78.44     4.15    62.65     9.86    -1.80     0.26     1.08    11.42     3.13P    5.49R    0.30  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   +0       2.00    66.19     1.18    61.85     9.59    -5.59     0.16     0.74     9.36     2.23P    6.37R    0.42  
Portsmouth       12   17   +2       0.68    56.01     2.18    62.48     9.60     0.39     0.21     0.93    10.19     2.93P    5.22R    0.30  
MK_Dons          12   17   -3       0.49    54.42    -3.15    63.78     9.30    -2.72     0.21     0.91    11.71     3.25P    3.63R    0.18  
Southend         12   16   -5      -0.84    43.74    -5.37    61.47     9.37    -7.20     0.11     0.55     7.93     1.99P    6.53R    0.36  
Walsall          12   14   -5      -1.39    39.52    -3.27    58.76     9.24    -7.86     0.03     0.21     4.46     1.03P   10.28R    0.72  
Doncaster        12   12   +0      -3.59    23.98     1.43    54.81     9.64    -6.28     0.01     0.14     2.48     0.64P   20.23R    2.27  
Rochdale         12   11   -4      -5.62    12.66    -4.27    57.67     9.33    -4.24     0.05     0.20     3.79     1.04P   12.10R    1.21  
Oldham           11   10   -9      -1.08    42.07    -3.12    49.03     9.06   -22.14     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   42.23R    8.06  
Bury             11    9   -5      -3.45    22.87    -0.56    50.30     9.40   -16.00     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.14P   36.58R    6.29  
AFC_Wimbledon    12    9   -9      -4.03    19.30    -4.28    46.85     8.72   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   51.57R   10.80  
Northampton      12    8  -14      -3.73    21.52    -6.22    44.18     8.90   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   64.16R   19.23  
Gillingham       12    7  -10      -6.03     9.54    -4.72    46.64     9.10   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   52.18R   12.26  
Plymouth         12    5  -13      -6.77     6.28    -5.85    39.55     8.94   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.86R   37.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter               12   28   +9       7.87    95.08     3.30    83.39     9.37    22.58    24.06    56.73    87.36    64.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         12   26  +10       9.43    97.60     9.81    72.87     9.43     9.93     3.74    16.73    51.30    23.22P    0.05R    0.01  
Luton                12   24  +13       2.73    70.86     5.72    84.24     9.12    33.78    28.26    62.80    90.43    71.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              12   24   +7       5.21    85.76     3.29    76.28     9.39    15.47     7.44    28.01    66.12    37.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry             12   23   +8       2.29    67.77     1.85    81.48     9.28    25.44    18.24    49.73    83.65    60.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   12   23   +6       3.89    78.00     2.03    74.29     9.22    13.16     4.92    20.57    57.76    29.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage            12   21   +6       2.62    70.35     3.20    70.87     9.38    11.04     2.74    13.03    43.74    20.21P    0.13R    0.03  
Newport_County       12   21   +5       6.11    90.08     7.37    64.83     9.18     0.98     0.52     3.62    20.71     6.74P    0.72R    0.14  
Mansfield            12   19   +3       1.63    63.43     1.50    68.16     9.21     6.94     1.32     7.39    32.28    13.26P    0.31R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         12   19   +2       4.38    81.81     4.87    60.03     9.28    -6.27     0.14     1.31     9.61     2.79P    2.62R    0.60  
Swindon              12   19   +1      -0.56    45.59    -3.68    75.44     9.73    16.16     6.68    25.82    62.63    36.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           12   17   +2       1.74    64.66     3.74    60.49     9.02    -2.52     0.16     1.19     9.83     2.83P    2.16R    0.45  
Grimsby              12   17   -3       1.87    65.66    -0.94    60.56     9.23    -8.03     0.20     1.48    10.27     3.12P    2.38R    0.53  
Cambridge_Utd        12   16   -2      -0.82    43.73    -2.73    64.30     9.11     0.72     0.38     3.15    18.91     7.09P    0.85R    0.19  
Colchester           12   15   +0      -3.16    26.16    -2.64    65.27     9.47     5.38     0.74     4.63    23.43     9.43P    0.76R    0.14  
Carlisle             12   14   -2      -1.96    35.54    -1.15    61.84     9.46    -0.51     0.30     2.10    13.73     4.77P    2.16R    0.52  
Crewe                12   14   -5      -1.18    41.23    -3.00    57.39     9.20   -10.14     0.06     0.62     5.65     1.64P    5.16R    1.40  
Crawley_Town         12   13   -2      -1.43    39.04     1.11    52.88     8.93   -12.05     0.01     0.18     2.02     0.54P   11.11R    3.54  
Barnet               12   12   -1      -3.25    25.60     0.88    57.99     9.26    -2.14     0.08     0.69     6.80     2.05P    4.37R    1.11  
Yeovil               12   12   -9      -1.73    37.09    -4.70    49.21     8.93   -24.16     0.00     0.06     0.76     0.22P   21.90R    7.32  
Morecambe            12   10   -7      -3.24    25.07    -1.89    48.75     8.98   -19.62     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.15P   23.68R    8.81  
Forest_Green         12    6  -16      -4.48    16.18    -5.56    36.93     8.93   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   74.80R   56.39  
Port_Vale            12    5  -10     -11.58     0.56   -10.30    51.21     9.55   -10.49     0.01     0.09     1.70     0.53P   16.05R    5.54  
Chesterfield         12    5  -15      -9.67     1.74   -12.06    47.15     9.62   -22.42     0.00     0.05     0.63     0.20P   30.67R   13.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Barrow 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Macclesfield       15   29   +2       6.25    87.31    -1.40    73.41     8.38     5.23     8.31    44.95    16.15P    0.19R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     15   28  +10       2.82    69.73     2.99    80.20     8.56    24.58    30.70    76.77    43.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             15   28   +4       7.16    90.03     3.58    70.88     8.67     4.24     5.50    34.47    10.60P    0.52R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   27   +2       7.37    91.14     3.26    68.96     8.48     1.42     3.09    26.36     7.24P    0.89R    0.01  
Wrexham            15   26   +5       5.14    83.26     4.08    68.81     8.29     6.33     2.86    25.68     7.57P    0.80R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          15   24   +8      -2.16    34.58    -0.57    77.70     8.57    25.34    21.77    67.96    36.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Bromley            15   24   +5       3.83    75.80     5.53    67.93     8.66     7.22     2.87    24.21     7.13P    1.32R    0.03  
Aldershot          15   23   +7      -1.14    41.74     1.59    71.88     8.49    16.54     6.70    41.12    16.09P    0.30R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   15   23   +2       4.58    80.24     5.20    62.05     8.45    -3.10     0.58     8.19     1.82P    5.73R    0.20  
Halifax            15   23   +2       4.70    80.44     5.02    60.82     8.80    -3.92     0.52     7.35     1.74P    7.94R    0.30  
Boreham_Wood       15   22   +5       1.22    59.38     4.35    65.51     8.38     7.11     1.48    16.14     4.74P    2.04R    0.07  
Maidenhead         15   22   +2       3.14    71.22     4.57    59.12     9.13    -6.73     0.51     5.87     1.51P   12.20R    0.67  
Hartlepool         15   22   +0      -2.01    35.85    -5.14    71.18     8.77    10.09     5.91    37.15    14.81P    0.55R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   21   +4       1.85    63.47     6.06    60.76     9.14     0.15     0.72     8.37     2.27P    8.38R    0.42  
Tranmere           15   20   +1      -5.81    14.20    -6.36    70.96     8.27    13.33     5.01    36.34    15.51P    0.34R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   18   +2      -4.88    18.61    -1.42    63.06     8.60     6.25     0.83    11.07     3.46P    4.15R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient      15   18   -5      -5.19    18.12    -9.14    65.32     9.17     2.23     2.04    17.33     6.16P    3.48R    0.14  
Eastleigh          14   16   +0      -2.35    33.28     0.90    60.86     8.65     1.86     0.45     7.03     1.90P    7.33R    0.32  
AFC_Fylde          15   16   -3      -0.77    46.02     3.09    52.21     8.94   -13.18     0.05     1.12     0.27P   33.78R    4.16  
Barrow             15   13   -2      -8.45     5.79    -3.35    55.79     8.54    -1.17     0.08     2.19     0.58P   18.18R    1.14  
Chester            14   12   -9      -4.38    19.90    -4.71    48.95     8.57   -19.43     0.01     0.29     0.06P   49.10R    7.42  
Guiseley           15   10  -16      -3.92    22.04    -6.46    40.76     7.89   -33.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    84.42R   32.12  
Solihull_Moors     15    8  -13      -7.30     7.48    -4.61    41.80     8.32   -26.49     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.99R   26.91  
Torquay            15    7  -13      -9.66     2.50    -7.07    41.74     8.30   -24.59     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.29R   25.95