Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 13 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 October 2017, Arsenal 2 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 19 +20 3.83 89.20 10.51 85.41 7.88 60.46 56.34 78.56 90.27 96.33 99.76 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 7 19 +19 4.24 90.75 11.27 78.12 8.16 43.78 17.43 43.16 65.22 82.26 98.17 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 14 +9 -0.65 40.89 1.09 76.68 8.06 41.29 13.08 35.31 58.29 78.22 97.37 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 13 +6 0.60 55.81 1.77 75.38 8.14 37.81 9.38 28.67 51.50 73.62 96.15 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 7 13 +3 0.17 51.22 -1.98 68.54 8.55 23.19 2.48 8.85 20.28 37.96 83.56 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 7 12 +2 3.92 88.48 4.45 49.50 8.17 -4.89 0.01 0.03 0.17 0.66 7.43 3.03R 0.29 Liverpool 7 12 +1 0.24 51.95 -2.27 65.90 8.68 19.01 1.26 5.21 13.28 26.88 75.08 0.02R 0.00 Watford 7 12 -1 4.53 89.95 2.50 45.38 8.20 -17.19 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.24 3.03 9.31R 1.41 Newcastle 7 10 +1 0.46 55.76 1.09 47.70 8.57 -6.86 0.01 0.05 0.14 0.61 6.09 5.54R 0.75 West_Brom 7 9 -2 -0.25 48.16 -1.57 43.45 7.97 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.87 12.33R 1.98 Huddersfield 7 9 -2 3.06 82.80 3.54 32.43 7.44 -34.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 62.67R 24.33 Southampton 7 8 -2 -2.80 21.97 -3.81 47.07 8.18 -7.08 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.37 4.72 5.53R 0.68 Stoke 7 8 -4 1.01 63.85 -0.27 44.54 8.24 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.15 2.62 10.99R 1.79 Brighton 7 7 -4 -0.32 48.04 -0.55 40.78 8.33 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08 1.17 21.70R 4.69 West_Ham 7 7 -6 -1.20 37.30 -3.66 42.94 8.46 -18.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 2.05 15.60R 2.99 Everton 7 7 -8 -1.33 35.31 -5.74 52.85 8.68 -3.36 0.01 0.13 0.55 2.03 15.75 1.79R 0.18 Leicester 7 5 -3 -3.34 16.94 -0.77 46.08 8.56 -6.30 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.33 4.21 8.16R 1.27 Swansea 7 5 -5 -2.33 25.58 -1.46 38.04 8.09 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.53 32.43R 7.95 Bournemouth 7 4 -7 -3.41 15.86 -3.10 37.37 8.22 -23.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.40 36.05R 10.25 Crystal_Palace 7 0 -17 -6.38 0.51 -11.05 29.40 7.86 -38.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 74.84R 41.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 October 2017, Birmingham 1 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 12 24 +7 6.36 90.53 5.24 75.33 9.21 14.18 13.22 24.81 59.28 32.85P 0.09R 0.00 Wolverhampton 11 23 +8 6.88 93.17 6.47 75.14 9.46 14.35 13.71 24.86 57.77 32.14P 0.10R 0.00 Bristol_City 12 21 +9 3.09 73.87 6.93 68.04 9.38 9.52 3.75 8.55 30.06 13.29P 0.76R 0.03 Sheff_Utd 11 21 +5 5.82 89.22 4.76 71.14 9.88 8.09 7.47 14.52 41.57 20.57P 0.50R 0.01 Leeds_United 11 20 +7 2.72 72.05 3.75 72.74 9.42 14.21 9.33 18.00 48.78 25.76P 0.25R 0.01 Preston 11 20 +7 3.93 80.53 5.42 71.50 9.34 12.36 7.22 14.48 43.27 21.45P 0.28R 0.01 Aston_Villa 11 19 +7 2.38 69.78 4.64 69.49 9.19 11.10 4.54 10.08 35.34 16.35P 0.53R 0.02 Ipswich 10 18 +4 3.12 75.76 2.33 65.81 9.64 1.60 2.65 5.79 22.65 9.33P 1.79R 0.10 Norwich 11 18 -2 1.21 60.21 -4.64 70.84 9.74 5.25 6.96 13.78 39.91 20.35P 0.54R 0.03 Fulham 11 17 +4 0.19 51.79 1.42 73.24 9.63 16.66 10.80 20.24 51.27 28.48P 0.26R 0.02 Middlesbrough 11 16 +4 -1.93 33.72 -0.10 71.35 9.47 14.88 7.20 14.69 43.36 24.03P 0.31R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 11 16 +3 -1.42 38.11 -0.46 69.53 9.30 11.37 4.60 10.21 35.86 17.37P 0.56R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 11 15 -4 1.66 64.64 -1.24 59.42 9.43 -10.15 0.42 1.12 7.60 2.31P 7.75R 0.75 Millwall 11 13 +1 -0.25 49.11 3.77 52.84 9.50 -11.38 0.08 0.27 2.22 0.69P 22.46R 3.30 Derby 10 13 +0 -1.57 36.67 -1.27 67.41 9.66 7.68 3.53 7.74 28.31 13.23P 1.27R 0.06 QPR 11 13 -1 -1.23 40.16 0.29 57.84 9.30 -5.71 0.29 0.79 5.65 1.91P 9.30R 0.99 Hull 11 12 +3 -5.75 11.11 -1.14 65.34 10.30 11.08 3.01 6.60 24.24 11.71P 2.75R 0.18 Barnsley 10 11 -2 -1.54 37.26 -0.11 55.64 9.51 -9.83 0.17 0.51 4.00 1.24P 14.84R 1.85 Birmingham 12 11 -11 -1.89 35.42 -5.79 47.43 8.66 -25.59 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.08P 44.44R 8.20 Burton_Albion 12 10 -17 -0.65 46.14 -8.34 42.93 8.31 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 66.81R 19.72 Brentford 11 9 -2 -6.41 8.20 -2.53 59.79 9.67 1.82 0.62 1.67 9.47 3.71P 7.16R 0.62 Reading 10 9 -3 -4.08 18.24 -2.08 56.74 9.51 -5.42 0.24 0.70 4.98 1.67P 11.80R 1.42 Sunderland 11 7 -9 -6.86 6.54 -7.09 55.21 9.88 -8.68 0.20 0.55 4.08 1.47P 16.76R 2.59 Bolton 11 2 -18 -7.83 1.72 -10.22 35.10 8.85 -40.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.70R 60.06League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 October 2017, Gillingham 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 12 30 +10 13.79 99.81 10.20 76.11 9.17 9.29 4.17 11.87 53.54 18.55P 0.09R 0.00 Wigan 12 28 +15 5.31 86.87 5.65 89.90 9.44 37.28 44.05 65.43 94.05 75.09P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 12 26 +9 5.96 88.77 3.65 83.05 9.12 24.49 15.41 34.54 81.08 47.79P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 12 21 +9 2.77 70.90 6.29 73.26 10.02 17.51 3.29 9.37 44.17 17.71P 0.45R 0.01 Peterborough 11 20 +5 3.36 75.69 2.72 71.79 9.78 10.55 2.22 6.77 37.67 13.37P 0.64R 0.01 Charlton 11 20 +4 2.88 72.85 0.85 71.60 9.62 9.26 1.92 6.23 36.23 13.03P 0.55R 0.02 Blackburn 10 19 +7 1.17 59.55 0.82 84.52 9.97 31.30 22.32 43.10 83.39 57.10P 0.02R 0.00 Scunthorpe 12 19 +5 -0.35 47.02 0.75 73.94 9.26 17.54 2.69 8.82 46.59 19.19P 0.18R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 11 19 +1 1.56 62.66 -2.48 69.61 9.50 4.95 1.25 4.11 28.41 9.70P 0.88R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 12 18 +7 -0.88 43.17 3.41 70.15 9.64 15.40 1.65 4.96 31.95 11.94P 0.78R 0.03 Blackpool 11 18 +3 3.67 78.44 4.15 62.65 9.86 -1.80 0.26 1.08 11.42 3.13P 5.49R 0.30 Bristol_Rovers 12 18 +0 2.00 66.19 1.18 61.85 9.59 -5.59 0.16 0.74 9.36 2.23P 6.37R 0.42 Portsmouth 12 17 +2 0.68 56.01 2.18 62.48 9.60 0.39 0.21 0.93 10.19 2.93P 5.22R 0.30 MK_Dons 12 17 -3 0.49 54.42 -3.15 63.78 9.30 -2.72 0.21 0.91 11.71 3.25P 3.63R 0.18 Southend 12 16 -5 -0.84 43.74 -5.37 61.47 9.37 -7.20 0.11 0.55 7.93 1.99P 6.53R 0.36 Walsall 12 14 -5 -1.39 39.52 -3.27 58.76 9.24 -7.86 0.03 0.21 4.46 1.03P 10.28R 0.72 Doncaster 12 12 +0 -3.59 23.98 1.43 54.81 9.64 -6.28 0.01 0.14 2.48 0.64P 20.23R 2.27 Rochdale 12 11 -4 -5.62 12.66 -4.27 57.67 9.33 -4.24 0.05 0.20 3.79 1.04P 12.10R 1.21 Oldham 11 10 -9 -1.08 42.07 -3.12 49.03 9.06 -22.14 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.06P 42.23R 8.06 Bury 11 9 -5 -3.45 22.87 -0.56 50.30 9.40 -16.00 0.00 0.03 0.75 0.14P 36.58R 6.29 AFC_Wimbledon 12 9 -9 -4.03 19.30 -4.28 46.85 8.72 -20.96 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 51.57R 10.80 Northampton 12 8 -14 -3.73 21.52 -6.22 44.18 8.90 -31.05 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 64.16R 19.23 Gillingham 12 7 -10 -6.03 9.54 -4.72 46.64 9.10 -21.12 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 52.18R 12.26 Plymouth 12 5 -13 -6.77 6.28 -5.85 39.55 8.94 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 79.86R 37.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 12 28 +9 7.87 95.08 3.30 83.39 9.37 22.58 24.06 56.73 87.36 64.66P 0.01R 0.00 Notts_County 12 26 +10 9.43 97.60 9.81 72.87 9.43 9.93 3.74 16.73 51.30 23.22P 0.05R 0.01 Luton 12 24 +13 2.73 70.86 5.72 84.24 9.12 33.78 28.26 62.80 90.43 71.85P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 12 24 +7 5.21 85.76 3.29 76.28 9.39 15.47 7.44 28.01 66.12 37.33P 0.03R 0.00 Coventry 12 23 +8 2.29 67.77 1.85 81.48 9.28 25.44 18.24 49.73 83.65 60.76P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 12 23 +6 3.89 78.00 2.03 74.29 9.22 13.16 4.92 20.57 57.76 29.72P 0.03R 0.00 Stevenage 12 21 +6 2.62 70.35 3.20 70.87 9.38 11.04 2.74 13.03 43.74 20.21P 0.13R 0.03 Newport_County 12 21 +5 6.11 90.08 7.37 64.83 9.18 0.98 0.52 3.62 20.71 6.74P 0.72R 0.14 Mansfield 12 19 +3 1.63 63.43 1.50 68.16 9.21 6.94 1.32 7.39 32.28 13.26P 0.31R 0.05 Lincoln_City 12 19 +2 4.38 81.81 4.87 60.03 9.28 -6.27 0.14 1.31 9.61 2.79P 2.62R 0.60 Swindon 12 19 +1 -0.56 45.59 -3.68 75.44 9.73 16.16 6.68 25.82 62.63 36.87P 0.04R 0.00 Cheltenham 12 17 +2 1.74 64.66 3.74 60.49 9.02 -2.52 0.16 1.19 9.83 2.83P 2.16R 0.45 Grimsby 12 17 -3 1.87 65.66 -0.94 60.56 9.23 -8.03 0.20 1.48 10.27 3.12P 2.38R 0.53 Cambridge_Utd 12 16 -2 -0.82 43.73 -2.73 64.30 9.11 0.72 0.38 3.15 18.91 7.09P 0.85R 0.19 Colchester 12 15 +0 -3.16 26.16 -2.64 65.27 9.47 5.38 0.74 4.63 23.43 9.43P 0.76R 0.14 Carlisle 12 14 -2 -1.96 35.54 -1.15 61.84 9.46 -0.51 0.30 2.10 13.73 4.77P 2.16R 0.52 Crewe 12 14 -5 -1.18 41.23 -3.00 57.39 9.20 -10.14 0.06 0.62 5.65 1.64P 5.16R 1.40 Crawley_Town 12 13 -2 -1.43 39.04 1.11 52.88 8.93 -12.05 0.01 0.18 2.02 0.54P 11.11R 3.54 Barnet 12 12 -1 -3.25 25.60 0.88 57.99 9.26 -2.14 0.08 0.69 6.80 2.05P 4.37R 1.11 Yeovil 12 12 -9 -1.73 37.09 -4.70 49.21 8.93 -24.16 0.00 0.06 0.76 0.22P 21.90R 7.32 Morecambe 12 10 -7 -3.24 25.07 -1.89 48.75 8.98 -19.62 0.00 0.03 0.67 0.15P 23.68R 8.81 Forest_Green 12 6 -16 -4.48 16.18 -5.56 36.93 8.93 -43.23 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 74.80R 56.39 Port_Vale 12 5 -10 -11.58 0.56 -10.30 51.21 9.55 -10.49 0.01 0.09 1.70 0.53P 16.05R 5.54 Chesterfield 12 5 -15 -9.67 1.74 -12.06 47.15 9.62 -22.42 0.00 0.05 0.63 0.20P 30.67R 13.22National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 October 2017, Barrow 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Macclesfield 15 29 +2 6.25 87.31 -1.40 73.41 8.38 5.23 8.31 44.95 16.15P 0.19R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 15 28 +10 2.82 69.73 2.99 80.20 8.56 24.58 30.70 76.77 43.88P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 15 28 +4 7.16 90.03 3.58 70.88 8.67 4.24 5.50 34.47 10.60P 0.52R 0.00 Sutton_United 15 27 +2 7.37 91.14 3.26 68.96 8.48 1.42 3.09 26.36 7.24P 0.89R 0.01 Wrexham 15 26 +5 5.14 83.26 4.08 68.81 8.29 6.33 2.86 25.68 7.57P 0.80R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 15 24 +8 -2.16 34.58 -0.57 77.70 8.57 25.34 21.77 67.96 36.52P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 15 24 +5 3.83 75.80 5.53 67.93 8.66 7.22 2.87 24.21 7.13P 1.32R 0.03 Aldershot 15 23 +7 -1.14 41.74 1.59 71.88 8.49 16.54 6.70 41.12 16.09P 0.30R 0.00 Maidstone_United 15 23 +2 4.58 80.24 5.20 62.05 8.45 -3.10 0.58 8.19 1.82P 5.73R 0.20 Halifax 15 23 +2 4.70 80.44 5.02 60.82 8.80 -3.92 0.52 7.35 1.74P 7.94R 0.30 Boreham_Wood 15 22 +5 1.22 59.38 4.35 65.51 8.38 7.11 1.48 16.14 4.74P 2.04R 0.07 Maidenhead 15 22 +2 3.14 71.22 4.57 59.12 9.13 -6.73 0.51 5.87 1.51P 12.20R 0.67 Hartlepool 15 22 +0 -2.01 35.85 -5.14 71.18 8.77 10.09 5.91 37.15 14.81P 0.55R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 15 21 +4 1.85 63.47 6.06 60.76 9.14 0.15 0.72 8.37 2.27P 8.38R 0.42 Tranmere 15 20 +1 -5.81 14.20 -6.36 70.96 8.27 13.33 5.01 36.34 15.51P 0.34R 0.00 Gateshead 15 18 +2 -4.88 18.61 -1.42 63.06 8.60 6.25 0.83 11.07 3.46P 4.15R 0.13 Leyton_Orient 15 18 -5 -5.19 18.12 -9.14 65.32 9.17 2.23 2.04 17.33 6.16P 3.48R 0.14 Eastleigh 14 16 +0 -2.35 33.28 0.90 60.86 8.65 1.86 0.45 7.03 1.90P 7.33R 0.32 AFC_Fylde 15 16 -3 -0.77 46.02 3.09 52.21 8.94 -13.18 0.05 1.12 0.27P 33.78R 4.16 Barrow 15 13 -2 -8.45 5.79 -3.35 55.79 8.54 -1.17 0.08 2.19 0.58P 18.18R 1.14 Chester 14 12 -9 -4.38 19.90 -4.71 48.95 8.57 -19.43 0.01 0.29 0.06P 49.10R 7.42 Guiseley 15 10 -16 -3.92 22.04 -6.46 40.76 7.89 -33.32 0.00 0.01 0.00 84.42R 32.12 Solihull_Moors 15 8 -13 -7.30 7.48 -4.61 41.80 8.32 -26.49 0.00 0.01 0.01P 78.99R 26.91 Torquay 15 7 -13 -9.66 2.50 -7.07 41.74 8.30 -24.59 0.00 0.02 0.00P 79.29R 25.95