Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 2 October 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 October 2017, Arsenal 2 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 19 +20 3.83 89.37 10.47 85.47 7.87 60.60 56.49 78.94 90.40 96.43 99.83 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 7 19 +19 4.22 90.66 11.25 78.07 8.20 43.81 17.20 42.59 64.86 82.30 98.08 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 14 +9 -0.63 41.42 1.11 76.73 8.07 41.37 13.36 35.47 58.71 78.36 97.47 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 13 +6 0.55 55.34 1.72 75.38 8.16 37.88 9.39 28.51 51.08 73.41 96.22 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 7 13 +3 0.21 51.63 -1.91 68.55 8.52 23.18 2.32 8.91 20.33 37.98 83.56 0.00 0.00 Burnley 7 12 +2 3.92 88.32 4.44 49.41 8.22 -4.97 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.62 7.44 3.25R 0.34 Liverpool 7 12 +1 0.21 51.50 -2.30 65.89 8.73 19.00 1.22 5.34 13.38 26.98 74.64 0.02R 0.00 Watford 7 12 -1 4.54 90.04 2.54 45.28 8.16 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 2.99 9.23R 1.40 Newcastle 7 10 +1 0.49 55.70 1.13 47.79 8.62 -6.66 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.61 6.25 5.56R 0.73 West_Brom 7 9 -2 -0.24 48.02 -1.56 43.45 8.07 -14.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.92 12.57R 2.10 Huddersfield 7 9 -2 3.10 83.29 3.58 32.27 7.39 -34.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 63.29R 24.59 Southampton 7 8 -2 -2.78 22.20 -3.77 47.01 8.21 -7.15 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.39 4.83 5.70R 0.68 Stoke 7 8 -4 1.02 63.98 -0.28 44.57 8.22 -13.95 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.16 2.56 10.74R 1.67 Brighton 7 7 -4 -0.33 48.12 -0.54 40.78 8.31 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 1.08 21.62R 4.66 West_Ham 7 7 -6 -1.24 36.81 -3.73 43.01 8.40 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 2.06 15.15R 2.87 Everton 7 7 -8 -1.32 35.71 -5.72 52.80 8.70 -3.39 0.01 0.12 0.61 1.93 15.76 1.86R 0.20 Leicester 7 5 -3 -3.33 17.30 -0.74 46.13 8.60 -6.25 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.35 4.39 7.86R 1.29 Swansea 7 5 -5 -2.38 25.16 -1.54 38.19 8.05 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.47 31.85R 7.55 Bournemouth 7 4 -7 -3.44 15.76 -3.15 37.36 8.16 -23.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37 36.36R 10.17 Crystal_Palace 7 0 -17 -6.35 0.55 -11.00 29.35 7.91 -38.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 74.93R 41.74Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 October 2017, Sheff_Wed 3 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 11 24 +8 7.67 95.10 6.18 77.62 9.50 16.53 18.58 31.96 66.61 40.15P 0.04R 0.00 Wolverhampton 11 23 +8 6.94 93.13 6.56 75.21 9.44 14.43 12.60 23.69 57.24 31.17P 0.10R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 11 21 +5 5.84 88.88 4.81 71.12 9.93 8.08 6.76 13.84 40.26 19.61P 0.51R 0.03 Bristol_City 11 20 +9 3.89 79.95 7.56 69.97 9.57 11.86 5.43 11.21 36.64 16.80P 0.44R 0.00 Leeds_United 11 20 +7 2.74 72.25 3.73 72.66 9.50 14.10 8.39 16.71 47.17 24.49P 0.22R 0.01 Preston 11 20 +7 3.91 80.53 5.36 71.60 9.37 12.56 6.64 13.79 42.31 20.65P 0.26R 0.01 Aston_Villa 11 19 +7 2.32 69.28 4.56 69.75 9.26 11.46 4.56 9.83 35.09 15.97P 0.44R 0.02 Ipswich 10 18 +4 3.17 76.11 2.38 65.73 9.68 1.50 2.32 5.16 21.58 8.71P 1.67R 0.11 Norwich 11 18 -2 1.22 60.53 -4.62 70.56 9.72 4.79 5.77 11.96 37.70 18.32P 0.52R 0.01 Fulham 11 17 +4 0.16 51.44 1.37 73.23 9.64 16.67 9.86 19.06 49.73 27.52P 0.23R 0.01 Middlesbrough 11 16 +4 -1.92 33.87 -0.15 71.34 9.61 14.81 6.60 13.96 42.43 23.07P 0.39R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 11 16 +3 -1.50 37.17 -0.57 69.78 9.26 11.76 4.45 9.89 35.31 17.02P 0.39R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 11 15 -4 1.73 65.22 -1.12 59.36 9.47 -10.30 0.42 1.14 7.26 2.28P 7.07R 0.66 Millwall 11 13 +1 -0.29 48.70 3.76 52.83 9.50 -11.53 0.08 0.27 2.24 0.67P 20.78R 2.77 Derby 10 13 +0 -1.65 35.94 -1.38 67.72 9.70 8.20 3.35 7.38 28.50 13.06P 1.10R 0.07 QPR 11 13 -1 -1.22 40.18 0.30 57.67 9.38 -5.98 0.24 0.72 5.28 1.67P 8.96R 0.98 Hull 11 12 +3 -5.72 11.28 -1.10 65.05 10.42 10.64 2.75 6.19 22.60 11.09P 2.58R 0.21 Barnsley 10 11 -2 -1.61 36.47 -0.20 55.93 9.59 -9.36 0.17 0.54 4.11 1.29P 13.06R 1.62 Brentford 11 9 -2 -6.38 8.36 -2.45 59.93 9.72 2.05 0.60 1.62 9.29 3.61P 6.19R 0.57 Reading 10 9 -3 -4.05 18.29 -2.01 56.63 9.58 -5.66 0.24 0.63 4.68 1.55P 11.18R 1.22 Burton_Albion 11 9 -17 -0.79 44.67 -8.95 42.02 8.54 -39.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 68.14R 21.33 Birmingham 11 8 -12 -3.61 20.45 -6.78 45.16 8.91 -27.83 0.01 0.02 0.18 0.04P 52.97R 11.79 Sunderland 11 7 -9 -6.84 6.65 -7.04 55.25 9.86 -8.64 0.18 0.44 3.73 1.27P 15.13R 2.20 Bolton 11 2 -18 -7.83 1.75 -10.18 35.04 8.93 -40.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.64R 56.34League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 September 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 11 29 +10 14.10 99.90 10.09 76.60 9.43 9.45 6.08 15.47 57.08 22.14P 0.10R 0.00 Wigan 11 25 +14 3.97 80.67 5.10 87.67 9.59 35.42 38.67 59.86 91.31 70.58P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 11 23 +6 4.90 85.39 1.50 79.59 9.34 18.78 10.84 24.94 70.23 37.33P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 11 20 +5 3.16 74.35 2.37 71.76 9.70 10.45 2.68 7.59 38.92 14.40P 0.71R 0.04 Charlton 11 20 +4 2.92 73.20 0.91 71.77 9.55 9.59 2.53 7.45 38.80 14.67P 0.62R 0.01 Blackburn 10 19 +7 1.26 60.61 0.89 84.59 9.96 31.45 26.30 47.22 84.72 60.43P 0.02R 0.00 Scunthorpe 11 19 +6 0.69 55.71 1.30 76.02 9.42 19.66 5.86 15.25 57.22 27.23P 0.14R 0.00 Rotherham 11 18 +8 1.39 61.33 5.72 70.83 10.08 15.26 2.64 7.31 36.86 14.25P 1.21R 0.05 Blackpool 11 18 +3 3.65 78.67 4.10 62.80 9.74 -1.65 0.35 1.26 11.78 3.29P 5.91R 0.43 MK_Dons 11 17 +0 1.41 62.32 -0.84 66.88 9.50 2.97 0.79 2.71 21.08 6.74P 2.20R 0.11 Fleetwood_Town 10 16 +0 0.29 52.36 -2.96 67.76 9.82 3.60 1.24 3.71 24.27 8.42P 2.07R 0.10 Southend 11 16 -2 0.04 50.97 -3.19 64.81 9.68 -0.96 0.50 1.83 15.88 4.86P 3.85R 0.25 Oxford_Utd 11 15 +4 -1.47 37.99 1.95 67.69 9.48 11.09 1.02 3.39 24.46 8.42P 1.66R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 11 15 -6 1.34 62.24 -3.28 56.77 9.58 -17.20 0.04 0.26 3.66 0.88P 17.72R 2.16 Portsmouth 11 14 +1 -0.77 44.18 1.48 59.94 9.83 -2.11 0.18 0.67 7.71 2.14P 10.37R 1.06 Walsall 11 13 -5 -1.11 41.46 -3.42 59.12 9.35 -7.87 0.09 0.35 5.43 1.35P 10.89R 1.07 Rochdale 11 11 -3 -4.25 18.21 -3.33 59.89 9.47 -1.98 0.16 0.59 6.71 2.01P 9.50R 0.92 Oldham 11 10 -9 -1.26 40.36 -3.38 48.85 8.91 -22.30 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.06P 45.36R 9.95 Doncaster 11 9 -3 -4.33 17.89 -0.27 51.42 9.81 -11.83 0.02 0.07 1.45 0.37P 34.43R 6.78 Bury 11 9 -5 -3.56 21.93 -0.74 50.22 9.40 -16.08 0.00 0.01 0.74 0.16P 39.35R 8.02 AFC_Wimbledon 11 9 -6 -3.57 21.04 -2.59 48.90 8.89 -16.82 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.06P 44.49R 9.39 Northampton 11 8 -8 -3.47 22.39 -2.19 48.86 9.36 -19.41 0.00 0.02 0.48 0.10P 45.61R 10.64 Gillingham 11 7 -9 -4.76 14.10 -3.82 48.58 9.33 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.08P 46.39R 11.20 Plymouth 11 5 -12 -5.76 8.73 -5.41 40.78 9.16 -30.10 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 77.38R 37.68League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 September 2017, Chesterfield 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 11 25 +10 10.29 98.61 10.66 75.17 9.74 13.04 6.49 23.26 59.30 29.79P 0.06R 0.01 Exeter 11 25 +8 6.45 92.03 2.54 81.24 9.72 20.90 17.81 46.47 80.28 54.86P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 11 23 +8 4.95 85.31 3.51 76.92 9.47 17.13 8.89 29.49 66.95 38.90P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 11 22 +8 2.71 71.42 1.84 82.60 9.64 26.74 22.30 52.80 84.87 63.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 11 21 +11 1.37 60.96 4.05 81.87 9.42 30.86 20.30 50.87 84.13 61.48P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 11 21 +7 3.76 79.11 3.86 72.58 9.54 12.59 4.10 16.52 49.42 24.09P 0.08R 0.01 Wycombe 11 21 +5 3.69 78.61 1.48 73.25 9.60 11.34 4.53 17.95 51.91 26.27P 0.09R 0.01 Mansfield 11 19 +5 2.49 70.48 2.76 69.92 9.44 9.46 2.14 10.16 38.42 16.88P 0.17R 0.03 Swindon 11 19 +2 0.66 55.02 -2.93 77.79 9.98 18.77 10.63 33.52 69.40 44.33P 0.03R 0.00 Newport_County 11 18 +3 5.03 86.83 6.28 62.86 9.40 -1.66 0.33 2.46 14.82 4.70P 1.43R 0.31 Lincoln_City 11 16 +1 3.10 75.36 4.42 58.00 9.71 -7.99 0.10 0.96 6.89 2.08P 5.22R 1.35 Cambridge_Utd 11 16 +0 0.30 53.06 -1.13 66.91 9.33 4.54 0.89 5.52 26.57 10.59P 0.48R 0.09 Cheltenham 11 14 +1 0.18 52.60 2.89 58.25 9.22 -4.53 0.09 0.72 6.60 1.90P 4.00R 1.05 Carlisle 11 14 -1 -0.73 44.53 -0.33 64.07 9.76 1.75 0.66 3.59 19.15 7.13P 1.49R 0.35 Grimsby 11 14 -4 0.22 52.73 -1.88 57.46 9.43 -11.37 0.08 0.68 5.76 1.65P 5.51R 1.44 Colchester 11 12 -2 -4.28 18.06 -3.86 62.97 9.76 2.16 0.48 3.18 16.54 6.72P 1.63R 0.34 Yeovil 11 12 -7 -1.05 42.25 -3.70 50.96 9.21 -21.83 0.01 0.10 1.42 0.31P 17.12R 5.19 Barnet 11 11 -1 -3.07 26.07 0.71 57.81 9.50 -3.05 0.11 0.80 6.65 2.08P 4.92R 1.20 Crewe 11 11 -6 -2.71 28.29 -3.71 55.38 9.51 -11.99 0.03 0.40 3.95 1.12P 8.63R 2.51 Crawley_Town 11 10 -3 -2.98 26.23 0.32 50.49 9.10 -14.54 0.00 0.06 1.17 0.24P 17.60R 5.76 Morecambe 11 10 -6 -1.87 35.28 -0.78 51.27 9.31 -17.06 0.00 0.09 1.49 0.37P 16.76R 5.58 Port_Vale 11 5 -9 -10.08 1.04 -9.13 53.63 9.86 -7.96 0.03 0.34 3.15 1.19P 11.51R 3.73 Chesterfield 11 5 -14 -8.67 2.53 -11.58 48.80 9.97 -21.01 0.01 0.07 1.12 0.31P 25.75R 10.26 Forest_Green 11 5 -16 -4.61 14.18 -6.30 36.11 9.10 -46.28 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 77.51R 60.78National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 September 2017, Barrow 0 1 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dover_Athletic 13 24 +8 2.30 67.42 2.07 78.41 9.09 21.81 23.72 70.25 36.65P 0.11R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 13 23 +9 -0.61 44.66 0.03 80.22 9.05 27.69 32.04 76.88 46.07P 0.07R 0.00 Sutton_United 13 23 +1 6.56 90.08 2.97 67.73 8.96 0.56 2.91 23.97 6.57P 2.14R 0.05 Macclesfield 13 23 +0 3.80 77.13 -2.24 69.81 8.82 2.72 4.27 31.45 10.32P 1.00R 0.01 Maidstone_United 13 22 +4 6.42 89.65 7.31 65.70 8.98 1.66 1.92 18.22 4.63P 3.72R 0.16 Wrexham 13 22 +4 4.08 79.77 3.45 67.07 8.65 4.70 2.21 21.41 6.13P 2.01R 0.04 Woking 13 22 +1 4.54 81.18 1.60 65.62 9.16 -2.08 2.09 18.49 4.98P 3.86R 0.13 Aldershot 13 21 +7 -0.15 48.71 1.96 73.25 8.92 17.41 9.61 48.67 20.68P 0.38R 0.00 Maidenhead 13 21 +6 3.64 75.45 6.63 63.28 9.68 1.51 1.67 14.78 4.26P 7.25R 0.37 Halifax 13 21 +2 5.14 84.15 4.82 61.42 9.40 -4.23 0.81 10.11 2.47P 9.41R 0.52 Boreham_Wood 13 18 +4 0.53 54.93 4.21 64.92 8.76 7.02 1.38 16.54 4.81P 3.51R 0.09 Ebbsfleet_United 13 18 +3 1.69 63.28 5.29 59.51 9.64 -2.34 0.68 7.84 2.08P 13.95R 1.09 Bromley 13 18 +2 0.90 57.78 3.07 62.33 9.03 0.69 0.81 10.92 2.75P 7.29R 0.34 Gateshead 13 17 +3 -3.17 26.80 -0.47 66.13 9.05 9.11 2.22 20.73 6.94P 3.07R 0.09 Leyton_Orient 13 17 -4 -3.93 22.71 -8.84 66.67 9.51 2.71 3.06 22.76 8.28P 3.74R 0.16 Eastleigh 12 16 +2 -0.48 46.94 1.77 64.12 9.06 4.70 1.32 14.80 4.14P 4.94R 0.18 Tranmere 13 16 +0 -6.16 10.85 -6.13 70.95 8.68 14.18 5.62 38.25 16.45P 0.71R 0.01 Hartlepool 13 16 -2 -4.32 20.29 -5.79 67.83 9.25 7.93 3.31 26.16 9.85P 2.21R 0.07 AFC_Fylde 13 15 -2 0.48 55.30 3.48 53.36 9.57 -13.51 0.15 2.31 0.57P 33.66R 4.61 Barrow 13 12 -1 -7.12 7.58 -2.90 57.73 8.95 0.14 0.18 4.42 1.22P 15.89R 1.07 Chester 12 11 -7 -3.55 23.39 -3.95 50.73 9.08 -17.69 0.02 0.88 0.14P 44.53R 6.32 Guiseley 13 9 -15 -3.00 26.66 -6.56 41.76 8.26 -33.46 0.00 0.02 0.01P 82.58R 30.36 Solihull_Moors 13 8 -10 -5.43 12.70 -3.03 45.21 8.72 -22.40 0.00 0.12 0.02P 68.58R 16.75 Torquay 13 4 -15 -9.74 1.20 -8.75 40.05 8.71 -28.83 0.00 0.02 0.01P 85.40R 37.56