Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 September 2017, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   16  +19       2.31    78.15     9.65    83.73     8.19    59.73    49.98    73.47    86.83    94.40    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   16  +15       3.91    89.97     9.29    76.21     8.52    39.35    14.86    36.13    57.47    76.34    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           6   13   +7       1.68    68.85     2.23    77.71     8.44    40.84    18.98    43.37    65.21    81.83    97.31     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         6   11   +5      -1.03    36.64    -0.87    74.91     8.46    36.74    11.52    30.04    51.47    71.70    94.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         6   11   +1       0.85    60.04    -1.90    66.74     8.96    19.86     2.10     7.72    17.41    32.58    75.42     0.03R    0.00  
Watford           6   11   -1       4.74    93.00     2.31    45.14     8.40   -17.89     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.33     2.98    10.80R    1.98  
Arsenal           6   10   +1      -0.60    42.23    -2.71    67.44     8.80    21.97     2.46     8.69    19.17    35.37    78.23     0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield      6    9   +2       3.17    84.03     5.35    34.33     7.83   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    53.35R   20.02  
Burnley           6    9   +1       2.17    76.59     3.39    46.83     8.40    -7.57     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.43     4.54     7.00R    0.98  
Newcastle         6    9   +1       0.62    57.49     0.77    47.50     8.95    -7.91     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.83     6.72     6.95R    1.25  
Southampton       6    8   -1      -1.40    33.87    -2.75    48.86     8.43    -5.44     0.01     0.04     0.21     0.85     7.23     4.40R    0.54  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       0.31    55.18    -1.32    43.82     8.23   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     2.06    12.90R    2.45  
Brighton          6    7   -2       0.16    53.49     0.10    41.80     8.63   -15.96     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.73    20.03R    4.81  
Everton           6    7   -7       0.18    54.12    -4.58    55.23     9.03    -0.92     0.06     0.38     1.46     4.18    23.59     1.31R    0.14  
Swansea           6    5   -4      -1.32    35.50    -1.03    39.43     8.40   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.82    28.51R    7.51  
Stoke             6    5   -5      -0.61    44.98    -1.20    42.23     8.45   -15.94     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.45    18.39R    4.49  
Leicester         6    4   -3      -2.82    19.11    -0.48    46.83     8.88    -5.98     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.57     5.31     8.18R    1.57  
West_Ham          6    4   -7      -2.55    21.40    -4.23    41.21     8.77   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     1.50    22.92R    6.07  
Bournemouth       6    3   -7      -3.07    15.70    -3.02    37.46     8.57   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.50    37.31R   12.51  
Crystal_Palace    6    0  -13      -6.11     0.60    -9.02    31.06     8.07   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.91R   35.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 September 2017, Birmingham 1 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff         10   23   +8       8.23    97.05     6.44    78.34     9.65    17.15    21.20    36.06    70.56    44.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   21   +6       6.86    93.75     5.23    72.75    10.13     9.53     9.66    18.52    48.64    25.28P    0.43R    0.01  
Leeds_United    10   20  +10       3.65    79.80     6.13    75.49     9.55    19.32    14.04    26.04    61.01    35.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   10   20   +4       6.12    91.88     3.71    71.44     9.55     7.33     6.77    13.78    42.50    19.78P    0.42R    0.02  
Preston         10   19   +7       4.59    85.67     5.77    72.51     9.55    13.42     8.26    16.77    48.44    24.44P    0.29R    0.01  
Ipswich          9   18   +6       4.49    85.88     4.26    68.72     9.84     6.13     4.58     9.72    33.07    14.72P    1.05R    0.06  
Bristol_City    10   17   +7       2.55    71.98     5.97    66.57     9.78     7.16     3.05     6.80    26.37    11.07P    1.71R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     10   16   +6       1.29    61.85     4.39    68.69     9.35    11.29     3.72     8.75    33.24    14.88P    0.88R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   10   15   +4      -1.15    39.65     0.43    72.23     9.63    15.65     8.04    16.50    47.54    26.40P    0.38R    0.02  
Norwich         10   15   -3      -0.23    48.16    -5.33    68.73     9.90     3.57     4.42     9.45    32.81    15.44P    1.26R    0.08  
Fulham          10   14   +3      -1.21    39.76     0.76    70.96     9.78    14.74     6.81    14.15    42.81    22.11P    0.62R    0.02  
Millwall        10   13   +3       0.75    57.77     5.18    56.22     9.77    -6.13     0.24     0.72     5.06     1.55P   14.64R    1.96  
QPR             10   13   +0      -0.07    50.26     0.93    59.81     9.59    -3.75     0.57     1.50     9.19     3.15P    7.39R    0.79  
Sheff_Wed       10   13   +0      -2.39    29.18    -2.55    66.93     9.42     7.05     2.55     6.23    26.37    11.97P    1.32R    0.07  
Derby            9   12   +0      -1.51    36.22    -1.69    67.50     9.85     7.40     3.39     7.79    29.37    13.65P    1.47R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -5       0.30    54.06    -1.85    56.99     9.56   -12.40     0.24     0.73     5.15     1.64P   12.80R    1.86  
Hull            10    9   -2      -5.77     9.44    -3.54    60.95    10.42     1.70     1.16     2.80    13.61     5.75P    7.25R    0.88  
Reading          9    9   -2      -2.77    25.76    -1.21    58.84     9.78    -3.29     0.46     1.35     8.27     2.92P    9.21R    1.18  
Burton_Albion   10    9  -13      -0.24    49.99    -6.39    45.06     8.82   -32.40     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   57.50R   16.51  
Brentford       10    8   -2      -6.41     7.20    -3.02    59.26     9.88     0.51     0.60     1.60     9.29     3.63P    8.70R    0.91  
Barnsley         9    8   -4      -3.09    23.17    -2.01    52.44     9.77   -14.15     0.09     0.24     2.28     0.66P   25.56R    4.89  
Birmingham      10    8   -7      -3.44    20.56    -3.85    48.30     9.09   -19.55     0.02     0.05     0.61     0.16P   40.94R    8.47  
Sunderland      10    6   -9      -6.78     5.99    -7.52    54.50     9.96   -10.14     0.13     0.43     3.63     1.20P   19.43R    3.43  
Bolton          10    2  -17      -7.14     2.38   -10.21    36.11     9.10   -40.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.59R   58.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Blackburn 2 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       10   26   +8      12.64    99.82     8.37    73.42     9.57     5.06     3.70     9.78    44.50    15.25P    0.40R    0.01  
Wigan            10   22  +12       3.18    76.62     4.29    85.94     9.81    33.37    33.25    53.32    88.08    65.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     10   20   +8       4.24    82.37     4.87    75.11    10.05    16.77     6.33    15.22    53.53    23.74P    0.39R    0.01  
Bradford         10   20   +4       4.09    81.82     0.66    78.13     9.57    17.08     9.12    21.30    64.91    32.99P    0.10R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       10   19   +8       1.88    65.90     3.04    78.69     9.69    23.67    10.71    24.25    67.89    37.02P    0.10R    0.01  
Blackpool        10   18   +4       4.49    84.28     4.33    64.17    10.03    -0.75     0.65     2.04    15.91     4.65P    5.03R    0.37  
Charlton         10   17   +2       1.44    62.46    -0.85    68.54     9.66     5.13     1.48     4.46    27.57     9.69P    1.58R    0.08  
Blackburn         9   16   +6       0.37    52.86     1.02    84.00    10.21    32.41    26.51    45.74    83.13    58.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town    9   16   +2       1.50    63.58    -1.25    70.80    10.00     8.15     2.72     7.38    35.98    14.01P    1.07R    0.05  
Rotherham        10   15   +7       0.28    52.63     5.58    70.42    10.54    16.22     3.18     7.98    36.44    14.81P    1.67R    0.09  
Portsmouth       10   14   +2       0.68    56.81     2.50    63.13    10.08     1.59     0.51     1.69    13.82     4.24P    6.36R    0.54  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2       0.04    50.79    -2.40    64.24     9.71    -0.56     0.48     1.69    15.08     4.69P    4.39R    0.31  
Walsall          10   13   -3      -0.60    45.34    -2.66    60.41     9.61    -6.07     0.22     0.74     7.82     2.11P    9.47R    0.82  
Southend         10   13   -3      -1.10    40.38    -3.46    62.76     9.81    -2.63     0.37     1.30    12.24     3.74P    6.50R    0.52  
Oxford_Utd       10   12   +1      -2.73    27.23    -0.54    63.80     9.86     4.55     0.49     1.77    15.05     4.90P    5.10R    0.46  
Bristol_Rovers   10   12   -7       0.29    53.67    -3.33    55.41     9.78   -17.96     0.05     0.21     3.05     0.65P   22.82R    3.41  
Rochdale         10   10   -3      -3.89    19.40    -3.30    60.63     9.81    -1.53     0.17     0.82     8.71     2.56P    9.43R    0.96  
Doncaster        10    9   -1      -3.80    19.91     0.52    53.45    10.04    -8.85     0.03     0.14     2.51     0.65P   27.99R    4.86  
Bury             10    9   -3      -2.55    28.31     0.71    52.66     9.68   -12.58     0.01     0.07     1.63     0.32P   30.65R    5.49  
AFC_Wimbledon    10    8   -6      -3.21    22.36    -2.46    49.35     9.19   -17.06     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.12P   43.34R    9.25  
Northampton      10    8   -7      -2.58    28.26    -1.96    49.31     9.50   -20.32     0.00     0.03     0.68     0.14P   44.47R   10.36  
Gillingham       10    7   -8      -4.22    16.69    -4.11    48.85     9.57   -20.56     0.01     0.03     0.63     0.13P   46.23R   11.56  
Oldham           10    7  -10      -3.07    23.88    -4.58    45.86     9.06   -25.59     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.02P   59.38R   17.86  
Plymouth         10    5  -11      -4.79    11.94    -4.97    42.01     9.38   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   73.47R   33.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 3 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         10   25  +12      11.16    99.41    11.90    77.20     9.99    16.13    10.94    33.63    68.87    40.17P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter               10   22   +5       5.87    90.85     1.24    79.04    10.11    16.89    15.06    40.61    74.63    49.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   10   20   +7       3.82    80.15     3.27    75.96     9.84    17.23     9.10    29.69    65.20    38.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Coventry             10   19   +7       1.81    65.08     1.88    82.02     9.96    27.38    23.57    53.88    84.16    63.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                10   18   +9       0.61    55.05     3.38    80.46     9.72    29.16    19.34    47.90    81.24    58.40P    0.01R    0.01  
Stevenage            10   18   +5       2.68    72.29     2.65    70.37     9.93     9.61     3.49    14.12    42.84    20.70P    0.34R    0.06  
Newport_County       10   18   +5       5.59    89.97     6.97    63.97     9.66    -0.02     0.67     4.23    20.11     7.18P    1.51R    0.35  
Wycombe              10   18   +3       2.76    73.32     0.55    71.05     9.78     8.50     3.56    14.95    45.45    22.34P    0.26R    0.04  
Mansfield            10   16   +3       1.30    61.92     1.40    67.64     9.73     6.56     1.71     8.44    32.42    14.13P    0.67R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd        10   16   +2       1.06    59.81    -0.04    68.60     9.71     6.93     2.05    10.03    35.77    16.38P    0.47R    0.09  
Swindon              10   16   +0      -0.25    47.59    -3.91    75.61    10.24    15.88     8.64    28.95    63.52    39.32P    0.12R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         10   15   +1       3.25    77.24     4.18    57.72     9.92    -9.39     0.14     1.13     7.73     2.28P    7.24R    1.97  
Grimsby              10   13   -4       0.73    57.40    -1.66    58.50     9.84   -10.52     0.23     1.41     8.76     2.94P    5.96R    1.60  
Yeovil               10   12   -6       0.21    53.16    -2.82    52.84     9.57   -20.15     0.03     0.32     2.77     0.75P   15.56R    4.94  
Barnet               10   11   +1      -2.43    29.95     1.55    59.62     9.76    -0.40     0.22     1.76    10.91     3.86P    4.41R    1.02  
Cheltenham           10   11   -1      -1.35    39.02     1.12    54.79     9.51    -9.32     0.06     0.50     4.21     1.23P   10.54R    3.33  
Carlisle             10   11   -2      -2.34    30.68    -1.24    61.83    10.04    -0.18     0.45     3.12    16.01     6.12P    3.27R    0.86  
Crewe                10   11   -5      -1.86    34.66    -3.53    56.30     9.79   -11.89     0.09     0.78     5.75     1.84P    9.03R    2.81  
Crawley_Town         10   10   -2      -1.68    35.91     1.25    52.29     9.53   -13.04     0.02     0.27     2.57     0.69P   16.43R    5.60  
Morecambe            10   10   -3      -1.44    38.55     0.63    52.75     9.58   -13.78     0.03     0.29     2.65     0.68P   15.81R    5.43  
Colchester           10    9   -3      -5.72     9.77    -4.62    60.88    10.06     0.45     0.41     2.55    13.86     5.48P    3.72R    0.94  
Port_Vale            10    5   -7      -9.42     1.29    -8.19    56.35    10.23    -3.92     0.12     1.01     7.04     2.77P    9.15R    2.80  
Chesterfield         10    5  -12      -7.51     3.81    -9.96    52.40    10.33   -15.50     0.06     0.42     3.47     1.24P   18.39R    6.98  
Forest_Green         10    5  -15      -3.72    18.70    -6.00    36.94     9.41   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   76.98R   61.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 September 2017, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United      12   22   +1       6.65    91.23     2.65    67.91     9.15     0.24     3.11    24.26     6.70P    2.14R    0.07  
Aldershot          12   21   +9       0.85    56.54     3.42    75.64     9.11    20.88    14.56    57.85    26.72P    0.19R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     12   21   +7       1.41    61.20     2.21    77.86     9.38    22.64    21.34    66.42    34.08P    0.14R    0.00  
Halifax            12   21   +4       5.77    87.86     5.79    64.15     9.63    -0.34     1.69    15.43     4.18P    5.62R    0.29  
Wrexham            12   21   +4       4.58    83.31     3.66    67.85     8.89     5.22     2.87    23.82     7.16P    1.79R    0.06  
Woking             12   21   +1       4.82    83.67     1.50    65.92     9.43    -2.37     2.40    19.06     5.34P    3.86R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          12   20   +8      -1.44    38.03     0.25    79.41     9.28    28.28    27.67    72.89    41.57P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       12   20   -2       2.51    70.00    -3.73    67.11     8.98    -0.82     2.36    21.41     6.38P    2.30R    0.06  
Maidstone_United   12   19   +3       4.66    83.29     6.26    63.16     9.16    -0.90     1.05    12.08     2.82P    6.29R    0.39  
Bromley            12   18   +3       1.96    66.08     3.72    64.08     9.24     2.20     1.36    14.72     3.87P    5.09R    0.23  
Maidenhead         12   18   +3       3.05    73.07     5.14    60.57     9.98    -3.23     1.00     9.48     2.68P   12.05R    1.08  
Boreham_Wood       12   17   +4       0.73    56.61     4.01    64.58     8.98     6.01     1.38    15.23     4.32P    3.89R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient      12   17   -3      -2.47    31.18    -7.64    70.59     9.78     7.78     6.71    36.21    14.62P    1.65R    0.06  
Gateshead          12   16   +3      -2.65    29.49    -0.26    67.16     9.20    10.11     2.74    23.60     7.97P    2.35R    0.09  
Eastleigh          12   16   +2      -0.51    46.20     1.78    64.03     9.06     4.55     1.11    14.02     3.81P    4.68R    0.23  
Ebbsfleet_United   12   15   +1       0.81    57.60     4.43    56.37     9.87    -6.78     0.29     4.45     1.11P   22.26R    2.59  
Hartlepool         12   15   -2      -4.01    20.83    -5.89    68.59     9.48     8.49     3.79    28.68    11.02P    2.13R    0.08  
Tranmere           12   13   -1      -7.66     5.53    -6.95    69.29     8.91    13.20     3.93    30.73    13.14P    1.23R    0.04  
Barrow             12   12   +0      -5.74    11.44    -1.85    60.29     9.20     2.80     0.55     7.70     2.18P   10.06R    0.63  
AFC_Fylde          12   12   -3      -1.34    40.70     2.15    49.61     9.67   -18.34     0.04     0.92     0.17P   48.06R   10.28  
Chester            12   11   -7      -3.62    22.88    -4.03    50.60     9.05   -18.03     0.02     0.80     0.14P   43.86R    7.00  
Guiseley           12    9  -12      -2.48    29.91    -4.81    44.04     8.63   -29.06     0.00     0.07     0.01P   73.11R   22.33  
Solihull_Moors     12    8   -9      -4.67    15.79    -2.95    45.91     8.92   -22.75     0.00     0.17     0.02P   64.34R   16.46  
Torquay            12    4  -14      -9.08     1.60    -8.86    40.53     8.88   -29.78     0.00     0.02     0.00P   82.86R   37.71