Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 27 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 September 2017, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 6 16 +19 2.31 78.15 9.65 83.73 8.19 59.73 49.98 73.47 86.83 94.40 99.49 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 6 16 +15 3.91 89.97 9.29 76.21 8.52 39.35 14.86 36.13 57.47 76.34 96.15 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 6 13 +7 1.68 68.85 2.23 77.71 8.44 40.84 18.98 43.37 65.21 81.83 97.31 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 11 +5 -1.03 36.64 -0.87 74.91 8.46 36.74 11.52 30.04 51.47 71.70 94.79 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 6 11 +1 0.85 60.04 -1.90 66.74 8.96 19.86 2.10 7.72 17.41 32.58 75.42 0.03R 0.00 Watford 6 11 -1 4.74 93.00 2.31 45.14 8.40 -17.89 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.33 2.98 10.80R 1.98 Arsenal 6 10 +1 -0.60 42.23 -2.71 67.44 8.80 21.97 2.46 8.69 19.17 35.37 78.23 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 6 9 +2 3.17 84.03 5.35 34.33 7.83 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 53.35R 20.02 Burnley 6 9 +1 2.17 76.59 3.39 46.83 8.40 -7.57 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.43 4.54 7.00R 0.98 Newcastle 6 9 +1 0.62 57.49 0.77 47.50 8.95 -7.91 0.01 0.07 0.26 0.83 6.72 6.95R 1.25 Southampton 6 8 -1 -1.40 33.87 -2.75 48.86 8.43 -5.44 0.01 0.04 0.21 0.85 7.23 4.40R 0.54 West_Brom 6 8 -2 0.31 55.18 -1.32 43.82 8.23 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 2.06 12.90R 2.45 Brighton 6 7 -2 0.16 53.49 0.10 41.80 8.63 -15.96 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.73 20.03R 4.81 Everton 6 7 -7 0.18 54.12 -4.58 55.23 9.03 -0.92 0.06 0.38 1.46 4.18 23.59 1.31R 0.14 Swansea 6 5 -4 -1.32 35.50 -1.03 39.43 8.40 -19.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.82 28.51R 7.51 Stoke 6 5 -5 -0.61 44.98 -1.20 42.23 8.45 -15.94 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.10 1.45 18.39R 4.49 Leicester 6 4 -3 -2.82 19.11 -0.48 46.83 8.88 -5.98 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.57 5.31 8.18R 1.57 West_Ham 6 4 -7 -2.55 21.40 -4.23 41.21 8.77 -19.79 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 1.50 22.92R 6.07 Bournemouth 6 3 -7 -3.07 15.70 -3.02 37.46 8.57 -24.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.50 37.31R 12.51 Crystal_Palace 6 0 -13 -6.11 0.60 -9.02 31.06 8.07 -33.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 67.91R 35.67Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 September 2017, Birmingham 1 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 10 23 +8 8.23 97.05 6.44 78.34 9.65 17.15 21.20 36.06 70.56 44.18P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 21 +6 6.86 93.75 5.23 72.75 10.13 9.53 9.66 18.52 48.64 25.28P 0.43R 0.01 Leeds_United 10 20 +10 3.65 79.80 6.13 75.49 9.55 19.32 14.04 26.04 61.01 35.40P 0.12R 0.00 Wolverhampton 10 20 +4 6.12 91.88 3.71 71.44 9.55 7.33 6.77 13.78 42.50 19.78P 0.42R 0.02 Preston 10 19 +7 4.59 85.67 5.77 72.51 9.55 13.42 8.26 16.77 48.44 24.44P 0.29R 0.01 Ipswich 9 18 +6 4.49 85.88 4.26 68.72 9.84 6.13 4.58 9.72 33.07 14.72P 1.05R 0.06 Bristol_City 10 17 +7 2.55 71.98 5.97 66.57 9.78 7.16 3.05 6.80 26.37 11.07P 1.71R 0.08 Aston_Villa 10 16 +6 1.29 61.85 4.39 68.69 9.35 11.29 3.72 8.75 33.24 14.88P 0.88R 0.06 Middlesbrough 10 15 +4 -1.15 39.65 0.43 72.23 9.63 15.65 8.04 16.50 47.54 26.40P 0.38R 0.02 Norwich 10 15 -3 -0.23 48.16 -5.33 68.73 9.90 3.57 4.42 9.45 32.81 15.44P 1.26R 0.08 Fulham 10 14 +3 -1.21 39.76 0.76 70.96 9.78 14.74 6.81 14.15 42.81 22.11P 0.62R 0.02 Millwall 10 13 +3 0.75 57.77 5.18 56.22 9.77 -6.13 0.24 0.72 5.06 1.55P 14.64R 1.96 QPR 10 13 +0 -0.07 50.26 0.93 59.81 9.59 -3.75 0.57 1.50 9.19 3.15P 7.39R 0.79 Sheff_Wed 10 13 +0 -2.39 29.18 -2.55 66.93 9.42 7.05 2.55 6.23 26.37 11.97P 1.32R 0.07 Derby 9 12 +0 -1.51 36.22 -1.69 67.50 9.85 7.40 3.39 7.79 29.37 13.65P 1.47R 0.08 Nott'm_Forest 10 12 -5 0.30 54.06 -1.85 56.99 9.56 -12.40 0.24 0.73 5.15 1.64P 12.80R 1.86 Hull 10 9 -2 -5.77 9.44 -3.54 60.95 10.42 1.70 1.16 2.80 13.61 5.75P 7.25R 0.88 Reading 9 9 -2 -2.77 25.76 -1.21 58.84 9.78 -3.29 0.46 1.35 8.27 2.92P 9.21R 1.18 Burton_Albion 10 9 -13 -0.24 49.99 -6.39 45.06 8.82 -32.40 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.03P 57.50R 16.51 Brentford 10 8 -2 -6.41 7.20 -3.02 59.26 9.88 0.51 0.60 1.60 9.29 3.63P 8.70R 0.91 Barnsley 9 8 -4 -3.09 23.17 -2.01 52.44 9.77 -14.15 0.09 0.24 2.28 0.66P 25.56R 4.89 Birmingham 10 8 -7 -3.44 20.56 -3.85 48.30 9.09 -19.55 0.02 0.05 0.61 0.16P 40.94R 8.47 Sunderland 10 6 -9 -6.78 5.99 -7.52 54.50 9.96 -10.14 0.13 0.43 3.63 1.20P 19.43R 3.43 Bolton 10 2 -17 -7.14 2.38 -10.21 36.11 9.10 -40.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 86.59R 58.57League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Blackburn 2 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 10 26 +8 12.64 99.82 8.37 73.42 9.57 5.06 3.70 9.78 44.50 15.25P 0.40R 0.01 Wigan 10 22 +12 3.18 76.62 4.29 85.94 9.81 33.37 33.25 53.32 88.08 65.01P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 10 20 +8 4.24 82.37 4.87 75.11 10.05 16.77 6.33 15.22 53.53 23.74P 0.39R 0.01 Bradford 10 20 +4 4.09 81.82 0.66 78.13 9.57 17.08 9.12 21.30 64.91 32.99P 0.10R 0.01 Scunthorpe 10 19 +8 1.88 65.90 3.04 78.69 9.69 23.67 10.71 24.25 67.89 37.02P 0.10R 0.01 Blackpool 10 18 +4 4.49 84.28 4.33 64.17 10.03 -0.75 0.65 2.04 15.91 4.65P 5.03R 0.37 Charlton 10 17 +2 1.44 62.46 -0.85 68.54 9.66 5.13 1.48 4.46 27.57 9.69P 1.58R 0.08 Blackburn 9 16 +6 0.37 52.86 1.02 84.00 10.21 32.41 26.51 45.74 83.13 58.54P 0.03R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 9 16 +2 1.50 63.58 -1.25 70.80 10.00 8.15 2.72 7.38 35.98 14.01P 1.07R 0.05 Rotherham 10 15 +7 0.28 52.63 5.58 70.42 10.54 16.22 3.18 7.98 36.44 14.81P 1.67R 0.09 Portsmouth 10 14 +2 0.68 56.81 2.50 63.13 10.08 1.59 0.51 1.69 13.82 4.24P 6.36R 0.54 MK_Dons 10 14 -2 0.04 50.79 -2.40 64.24 9.71 -0.56 0.48 1.69 15.08 4.69P 4.39R 0.31 Walsall 10 13 -3 -0.60 45.34 -2.66 60.41 9.61 -6.07 0.22 0.74 7.82 2.11P 9.47R 0.82 Southend 10 13 -3 -1.10 40.38 -3.46 62.76 9.81 -2.63 0.37 1.30 12.24 3.74P 6.50R 0.52 Oxford_Utd 10 12 +1 -2.73 27.23 -0.54 63.80 9.86 4.55 0.49 1.77 15.05 4.90P 5.10R 0.46 Bristol_Rovers 10 12 -7 0.29 53.67 -3.33 55.41 9.78 -17.96 0.05 0.21 3.05 0.65P 22.82R 3.41 Rochdale 10 10 -3 -3.89 19.40 -3.30 60.63 9.81 -1.53 0.17 0.82 8.71 2.56P 9.43R 0.96 Doncaster 10 9 -1 -3.80 19.91 0.52 53.45 10.04 -8.85 0.03 0.14 2.51 0.65P 27.99R 4.86 Bury 10 9 -3 -2.55 28.31 0.71 52.66 9.68 -12.58 0.01 0.07 1.63 0.32P 30.65R 5.49 AFC_Wimbledon 10 8 -6 -3.21 22.36 -2.46 49.35 9.19 -17.06 0.00 0.03 0.56 0.12P 43.34R 9.25 Northampton 10 8 -7 -2.58 28.26 -1.96 49.31 9.50 -20.32 0.00 0.03 0.68 0.14P 44.47R 10.36 Gillingham 10 7 -8 -4.22 16.69 -4.11 48.85 9.57 -20.56 0.01 0.03 0.63 0.13P 46.23R 11.56 Oldham 10 7 -10 -3.07 23.88 -4.58 45.86 9.06 -25.59 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.02P 59.38R 17.86 Plymouth 10 5 -11 -4.79 11.94 -4.97 42.01 9.38 -29.52 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 73.47R 33.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 3 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 10 25 +12 11.16 99.41 11.90 77.20 9.99 16.13 10.94 33.63 68.87 40.17P 0.04R 0.01 Exeter 10 22 +5 5.87 90.85 1.24 79.04 10.11 16.89 15.06 40.61 74.63 49.12P 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 10 20 +7 3.82 80.15 3.27 75.96 9.84 17.23 9.10 29.69 65.20 38.62P 0.04R 0.01 Coventry 10 19 +7 1.81 65.08 1.88 82.02 9.96 27.38 23.57 53.88 84.16 63.74P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 10 18 +9 0.61 55.05 3.38 80.46 9.72 29.16 19.34 47.90 81.24 58.40P 0.01R 0.01 Stevenage 10 18 +5 2.68 72.29 2.65 70.37 9.93 9.61 3.49 14.12 42.84 20.70P 0.34R 0.06 Newport_County 10 18 +5 5.59 89.97 6.97 63.97 9.66 -0.02 0.67 4.23 20.11 7.18P 1.51R 0.35 Wycombe 10 18 +3 2.76 73.32 0.55 71.05 9.78 8.50 3.56 14.95 45.45 22.34P 0.26R 0.04 Mansfield 10 16 +3 1.30 61.92 1.40 67.64 9.73 6.56 1.71 8.44 32.42 14.13P 0.67R 0.12 Cambridge_Utd 10 16 +2 1.06 59.81 -0.04 68.60 9.71 6.93 2.05 10.03 35.77 16.38P 0.47R 0.09 Swindon 10 16 +0 -0.25 47.59 -3.91 75.61 10.24 15.88 8.64 28.95 63.52 39.32P 0.12R 0.02 Lincoln_City 10 15 +1 3.25 77.24 4.18 57.72 9.92 -9.39 0.14 1.13 7.73 2.28P 7.24R 1.97 Grimsby 10 13 -4 0.73 57.40 -1.66 58.50 9.84 -10.52 0.23 1.41 8.76 2.94P 5.96R 1.60 Yeovil 10 12 -6 0.21 53.16 -2.82 52.84 9.57 -20.15 0.03 0.32 2.77 0.75P 15.56R 4.94 Barnet 10 11 +1 -2.43 29.95 1.55 59.62 9.76 -0.40 0.22 1.76 10.91 3.86P 4.41R 1.02 Cheltenham 10 11 -1 -1.35 39.02 1.12 54.79 9.51 -9.32 0.06 0.50 4.21 1.23P 10.54R 3.33 Carlisle 10 11 -2 -2.34 30.68 -1.24 61.83 10.04 -0.18 0.45 3.12 16.01 6.12P 3.27R 0.86 Crewe 10 11 -5 -1.86 34.66 -3.53 56.30 9.79 -11.89 0.09 0.78 5.75 1.84P 9.03R 2.81 Crawley_Town 10 10 -2 -1.68 35.91 1.25 52.29 9.53 -13.04 0.02 0.27 2.57 0.69P 16.43R 5.60 Morecambe 10 10 -3 -1.44 38.55 0.63 52.75 9.58 -13.78 0.03 0.29 2.65 0.68P 15.81R 5.43 Colchester 10 9 -3 -5.72 9.77 -4.62 60.88 10.06 0.45 0.41 2.55 13.86 5.48P 3.72R 0.94 Port_Vale 10 5 -7 -9.42 1.29 -8.19 56.35 10.23 -3.92 0.12 1.01 7.04 2.77P 9.15R 2.80 Chesterfield 10 5 -12 -7.51 3.81 -9.96 52.40 10.33 -15.50 0.06 0.42 3.47 1.24P 18.39R 6.98 Forest_Green 10 5 -15 -3.72 18.70 -6.00 36.94 9.41 -46.63 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 76.98R 61.01National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 September 2017, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 12 22 +1 6.65 91.23 2.65 67.91 9.15 0.24 3.11 24.26 6.70P 2.14R 0.07 Aldershot 12 21 +9 0.85 56.54 3.42 75.64 9.11 20.88 14.56 57.85 26.72P 0.19R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 12 21 +7 1.41 61.20 2.21 77.86 9.38 22.64 21.34 66.42 34.08P 0.14R 0.00 Halifax 12 21 +4 5.77 87.86 5.79 64.15 9.63 -0.34 1.69 15.43 4.18P 5.62R 0.29 Wrexham 12 21 +4 4.58 83.31 3.66 67.85 8.89 5.22 2.87 23.82 7.16P 1.79R 0.06 Woking 12 21 +1 4.82 83.67 1.50 65.92 9.43 -2.37 2.40 19.06 5.34P 3.86R 0.15 Dag_&_Red 12 20 +8 -1.44 38.03 0.25 79.41 9.28 28.28 27.67 72.89 41.57P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 12 20 -2 2.51 70.00 -3.73 67.11 8.98 -0.82 2.36 21.41 6.38P 2.30R 0.06 Maidstone_United 12 19 +3 4.66 83.29 6.26 63.16 9.16 -0.90 1.05 12.08 2.82P 6.29R 0.39 Bromley 12 18 +3 1.96 66.08 3.72 64.08 9.24 2.20 1.36 14.72 3.87P 5.09R 0.23 Maidenhead 12 18 +3 3.05 73.07 5.14 60.57 9.98 -3.23 1.00 9.48 2.68P 12.05R 1.08 Boreham_Wood 12 17 +4 0.73 56.61 4.01 64.58 8.98 6.01 1.38 15.23 4.32P 3.89R 0.17 Leyton_Orient 12 17 -3 -2.47 31.18 -7.64 70.59 9.78 7.78 6.71 36.21 14.62P 1.65R 0.06 Gateshead 12 16 +3 -2.65 29.49 -0.26 67.16 9.20 10.11 2.74 23.60 7.97P 2.35R 0.09 Eastleigh 12 16 +2 -0.51 46.20 1.78 64.03 9.06 4.55 1.11 14.02 3.81P 4.68R 0.23 Ebbsfleet_United 12 15 +1 0.81 57.60 4.43 56.37 9.87 -6.78 0.29 4.45 1.11P 22.26R 2.59 Hartlepool 12 15 -2 -4.01 20.83 -5.89 68.59 9.48 8.49 3.79 28.68 11.02P 2.13R 0.08 Tranmere 12 13 -1 -7.66 5.53 -6.95 69.29 8.91 13.20 3.93 30.73 13.14P 1.23R 0.04 Barrow 12 12 +0 -5.74 11.44 -1.85 60.29 9.20 2.80 0.55 7.70 2.18P 10.06R 0.63 AFC_Fylde 12 12 -3 -1.34 40.70 2.15 49.61 9.67 -18.34 0.04 0.92 0.17P 48.06R 10.28 Chester 12 11 -7 -3.62 22.88 -4.03 50.60 9.05 -18.03 0.02 0.80 0.14P 43.86R 7.00 Guiseley 12 9 -12 -2.48 29.91 -4.81 44.04 8.63 -29.06 0.00 0.07 0.01P 73.11R 22.33 Solihull_Moors 12 8 -9 -4.67 15.79 -2.95 45.91 8.92 -22.75 0.00 0.17 0.02P 64.34R 16.46 Torquay 12 4 -14 -9.08 1.60 -8.86 40.53 8.88 -29.78 0.00 0.02 0.00P 82.86R 37.71