Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 26 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 September 2017, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 6 16 +19 2.27 77.73 9.51 83.97 8.23 60.24 51.65 74.42 87.15 94.44 99.50 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 6 16 +15 3.88 89.77 9.25 76.31 8.49 39.46 14.77 36.87 58.25 76.74 96.28 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 6 13 +7 1.72 69.25 2.28 77.50 8.49 40.54 18.26 42.60 64.43 81.08 97.09 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 11 +5 -0.99 36.96 -0.80 74.76 8.41 36.49 10.77 29.31 50.67 71.50 94.90 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 6 11 +1 0.81 59.49 -1.96 66.88 8.96 20.03 2.12 7.93 18.14 33.34 75.53 0.03R 0.00 Watford 6 11 -1 4.79 93.09 2.43 45.13 8.38 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.26 3.12 10.66R 1.92 Arsenal 6 10 +1 -0.57 42.84 -2.64 67.38 8.71 21.83 2.34 8.25 18.81 34.89 78.34 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 6 9 +2 3.21 84.47 5.40 34.04 7.75 -29.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 54.58R 20.66 Burnley 6 9 +1 2.13 76.26 3.35 46.82 8.41 -7.59 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.44 4.42 6.83R 0.94 Newcastle 6 9 +1 0.54 56.56 0.66 47.63 8.91 -7.70 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.82 6.60 6.84R 1.06 Southampton 6 8 -1 -1.48 33.43 -2.86 49.18 8.43 -4.97 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.90 7.57 3.86R 0.52 West_Brom 6 8 -2 0.28 54.95 -1.36 43.89 8.21 -13.80 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.16 2.00 12.47R 2.14 Brighton 6 7 -2 0.14 53.31 0.07 41.94 8.59 -15.69 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.16 1.67 19.32R 4.51 Everton 6 7 -7 0.18 53.90 -4.56 55.19 9.00 -0.92 0.06 0.44 1.56 4.36 23.18 1.22R 0.15 Swansea 6 5 -4 -1.32 35.37 -1.02 39.36 8.37 -19.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.75 28.51R 7.64 Stoke 6 5 -5 -0.57 45.90 -1.14 42.23 8.49 -15.96 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 1.55 18.53R 4.31 Leicester 6 4 -3 -2.80 19.49 -0.44 46.63 9.00 -6.31 0.01 0.05 0.17 0.58 5.34 8.95R 1.67 West_Ham 6 4 -7 -2.52 21.75 -4.19 41.14 8.77 -19.92 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.13 1.50 22.84R 6.01 Bournemouth 6 3 -7 -3.09 15.30 -3.05 37.61 8.54 -23.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.52 36.80R 12.05 Crystal_Palace 6 0 -13 -6.07 0.65 -8.91 30.90 8.13 -34.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 68.54R 36.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Barnsley 1 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 10 23 +8 8.26 97.04 6.47 78.51 9.73 17.39 20.83 35.59 70.52 43.72P 0.05R 0.00 Leeds_United 10 20 +10 3.54 79.03 5.97 75.72 9.72 19.71 14.42 26.18 60.86 35.39P 0.08R 0.00 Wolverhampton 9 20 +6 6.93 95.40 4.93 73.76 9.84 10.69 10.15 19.65 51.38 26.71P 0.25R 0.01 Preston 10 19 +7 4.57 85.42 5.76 72.49 9.54 13.41 7.68 15.90 47.27 23.36P 0.24R 0.02 Ipswich 9 18 +6 4.39 85.23 4.14 68.98 9.91 6.47 4.45 9.89 33.42 14.99P 0.87R 0.04 Sheff_Utd 9 18 +4 5.80 91.66 4.12 69.97 10.41 5.75 6.20 12.29 37.13 17.55P 0.99R 0.06 Bristol_City 10 17 +7 2.47 71.64 5.85 66.72 9.79 7.40 3.02 6.65 26.30 10.96P 1.57R 0.10 Aston_Villa 10 16 +6 1.30 61.91 4.40 68.58 9.47 11.16 3.65 8.35 32.06 14.32P 0.77R 0.05 Middlesbrough 10 15 +4 -1.15 39.65 0.44 72.24 9.66 15.63 7.60 15.83 46.98 25.96P 0.35R 0.01 Norwich 10 15 -3 -0.23 48.05 -5.32 68.62 9.91 3.36 4.07 9.02 31.82 14.79P 1.11R 0.08 Fulham 10 14 +3 -1.22 39.62 0.76 71.23 9.87 15.14 6.88 14.31 43.51 22.42P 0.50R 0.03 Millwall 10 13 +3 0.81 58.17 5.22 56.16 9.90 -6.21 0.26 0.72 5.07 1.61P 14.11R 1.86 Sheff_Wed 9 13 +1 -1.10 39.48 -1.63 69.18 9.82 9.30 4.39 9.89 34.62 16.63P 0.82R 0.04 QPR 10 13 +0 -0.09 49.64 0.93 59.78 9.62 -3.81 0.51 1.44 8.91 2.96P 6.77R 0.75 Derby 9 12 +0 -1.57 35.84 -1.77 67.40 9.88 7.23 3.20 7.32 28.49 12.99P 1.48R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 10 12 -5 0.27 53.66 -1.88 57.17 9.62 -12.07 0.24 0.72 5.21 1.63P 11.65R 1.57 Hull 10 9 -2 -5.75 9.81 -3.53 61.04 10.47 1.89 1.13 2.75 13.38 5.72P 6.89R 0.83 Reading 9 9 -2 -2.73 26.19 -1.16 58.66 9.84 -3.57 0.53 1.31 7.71 2.75P 8.82R 1.15 Burton_Albion 10 9 -13 -0.26 49.51 -6.43 45.19 8.86 -32.25 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.03P 54.55R 14.83 Brentford 10 8 -2 -6.35 7.55 -2.94 59.27 9.88 0.57 0.56 1.46 8.92 3.51P 8.21R 0.90 Barnsley 9 8 -4 -3.00 24.00 -1.86 52.31 9.76 -14.36 0.06 0.23 2.13 0.60P 24.60R 4.64 Sunderland 10 6 -9 -6.78 5.82 -7.58 54.55 10.07 -10.06 0.15 0.48 3.88 1.33P 18.31R 3.06 Birmingham 9 5 -8 -5.05 9.24 -4.72 45.57 9.25 -22.24 0.00 0.02 0.27 0.07P 50.94R 13.25 Bolton 10 2 -17 -7.15 2.47 -10.16 35.92 9.10 -40.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 86.07R 56.61League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Blackburn 2 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 10 26 +8 12.60 99.84 8.32 73.45 9.56 5.08 3.64 9.88 44.29 15.35P 0.39R 0.01 Wigan 10 22 +12 3.26 77.04 4.42 85.70 9.77 33.01 32.05 52.44 87.57 64.11P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 10 20 +8 4.26 82.50 4.89 75.17 10.02 16.82 6.35 15.23 53.76 23.87P 0.37R 0.01 Bradford 10 20 +4 4.08 82.00 0.66 78.01 9.44 16.89 9.07 20.72 64.58 32.33P 0.07R 0.00 Scunthorpe 10 19 +8 1.82 65.37 2.93 78.82 9.62 23.90 10.98 24.84 68.37 37.55P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 10 18 +4 4.48 84.36 4.31 64.15 10.07 -0.72 0.74 2.20 15.89 4.75P 5.04R 0.37 Charlton 10 17 +2 1.42 62.58 -0.87 68.62 9.69 5.29 1.58 4.56 27.76 9.52P 1.55R 0.08 Blackburn 9 16 +6 0.35 52.74 0.94 84.13 10.31 32.59 27.28 46.30 83.19 58.88P 0.04R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 9 16 +2 1.49 63.49 -1.23 70.77 9.97 8.10 2.73 7.35 35.65 14.20P 1.03R 0.05 Rotherham 10 15 +7 0.37 53.37 5.72 70.27 10.54 16.02 3.07 7.87 35.93 14.62P 1.74R 0.13 Portsmouth 10 14 +2 0.64 56.29 2.47 63.12 10.24 1.56 0.56 1.78 14.23 4.56P 6.41R 0.61 MK_Dons 10 14 -2 0.05 50.97 -2.40 64.12 9.67 -0.72 0.53 1.69 14.73 4.61P 4.49R 0.32 Walsall 10 13 -3 -0.62 45.08 -2.74 60.71 9.72 -5.60 0.22 0.81 8.49 2.34P 9.26R 0.78 Southend 10 13 -3 -1.15 40.19 -3.53 63.02 9.82 -2.29 0.39 1.38 12.74 3.71P 6.22R 0.50 Oxford_Utd 10 12 +1 -2.70 27.34 -0.47 63.58 9.80 4.23 0.50 1.62 14.32 4.71P 5.23R 0.45 Bristol_Rovers 10 12 -7 0.26 53.43 -3.38 55.60 9.80 -17.80 0.04 0.20 3.16 0.71P 22.23R 3.39 Rochdale 10 10 -3 -3.87 19.51 -3.24 60.51 9.92 -1.75 0.21 0.79 9.04 2.70P 9.84R 1.10 Doncaster 10 9 -1 -3.71 20.88 0.66 53.27 10.10 -9.29 0.03 0.17 2.55 0.69P 28.87R 5.34 Bury 10 9 -3 -2.53 28.46 0.72 52.59 9.61 -12.62 0.02 0.08 1.67 0.35P 30.58R 5.34 AFC_Wimbledon 10 8 -6 -3.18 22.67 -2.41 49.33 9.17 -17.06 0.01 0.01 0.57 0.13P 43.54R 9.27 Northampton 10 8 -7 -2.60 27.88 -2.00 49.47 9.50 -20.10 0.01 0.04 0.69 0.15P 43.81R 10.43 Gillingham 10 7 -8 -4.18 16.69 -4.07 48.69 9.41 -20.81 0.01 0.04 0.56 0.13P 46.69R 11.38 Oldham 10 7 -10 -3.09 23.64 -4.58 45.77 9.07 -25.66 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 59.92R 18.24 Plymouth 10 5 -11 -4.86 11.48 -5.11 42.27 9.44 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 72.61R 32.18League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 3 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Notts_County 10 25 +12 11.17 99.47 11.88 77.18 9.94 16.08 11.07 33.42 69.11 40.20P 0.04R 0.01 Exeter 10 22 +5 5.86 90.76 1.22 79.03 10.03 16.92 15.04 40.43 74.95 48.86P 0.03R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 10 20 +7 3.91 80.47 3.38 75.62 9.84 16.67 8.78 28.67 63.96 37.65P 0.05R 0.01 Coventry 10 19 +7 1.82 65.33 1.91 81.89 9.89 27.27 23.37 53.70 83.96 63.61P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 10 18 +9 0.62 55.09 3.40 80.47 9.73 29.17 19.22 48.43 81.06 58.62P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 10 18 +5 2.56 71.50 2.51 70.66 9.88 10.07 3.65 14.65 44.34 21.53P 0.36R 0.07 Newport_County 10 18 +5 5.55 89.74 6.93 64.05 9.55 0.12 0.69 4.13 20.07 7.06P 1.41R 0.31 Wycombe 10 18 +3 2.67 72.38 0.39 71.44 9.82 9.02 3.81 15.87 46.94 23.35P 0.24R 0.04 Mansfield 10 16 +3 1.34 62.10 1.46 67.60 9.69 6.51 1.77 8.58 32.24 14.18P 0.61R 0.12 Cambridge_Utd 10 16 +2 0.99 59.08 -0.12 68.61 9.72 7.00 2.11 10.15 35.90 16.51P 0.44R 0.09 Swindon 10 16 +0 -0.14 48.69 -3.72 75.28 10.34 15.46 8.55 28.31 61.96 38.46P 0.14R 0.03 Lincoln_City 10 15 +1 3.26 77.56 4.21 57.64 9.98 -9.51 0.19 1.29 7.85 2.55P 7.30R 1.95 Grimsby 10 13 -4 0.83 58.27 -1.52 58.39 9.69 -10.72 0.20 1.24 8.22 2.60P 5.91R 1.63 Yeovil 10 12 -6 0.15 52.44 -2.94 53.07 9.58 -19.77 0.02 0.26 2.93 0.70P 15.18R 4.73 Barnet 10 11 +1 -2.46 29.60 1.49 59.59 9.77 -0.39 0.22 1.81 10.94 3.87P 4.41R 1.17 Cheltenham 10 11 -1 -1.27 39.93 1.20 54.69 9.50 -9.50 0.06 0.50 3.97 1.22P 10.87R 3.41 Carlisle 10 11 -2 -2.22 31.64 -1.05 61.48 10.08 -0.80 0.47 3.08 15.29 5.86P 3.63R 1.04 Crewe 10 11 -5 -1.90 34.12 -3.59 56.25 9.75 -11.91 0.10 0.78 5.88 1.83P 8.97R 2.80 Crawley_Town 10 10 -2 -1.74 35.31 1.13 52.68 9.50 -12.42 0.02 0.27 2.55 0.71P 15.58R 5.01 Morecambe 10 10 -3 -1.53 37.29 0.45 53.04 9.59 -13.29 0.04 0.31 2.86 0.79P 15.11R 5.14 Colchester 10 9 -3 -5.74 9.65 -4.63 60.89 10.10 0.49 0.45 2.72 14.31 5.77P 4.02R 0.97 Port_Vale 10 5 -7 -9.40 1.28 -8.17 56.42 10.30 -3.84 0.13 1.03 7.31 2.92P 9.35R 2.83 Chesterfield 10 5 -12 -7.49 3.98 -9.87 52.20 10.39 -15.85 0.04 0.37 3.36 1.14P 19.07R 7.40 Forest_Green 10 5 -15 -3.69 19.05 -5.96 36.90 9.43 -46.79 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 77.26R 61.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 September 2017, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 12 22 +1 6.66 91.48 2.70 68.04 9.14 0.43 2.97 24.39 6.68P 2.06R 0.08 Aldershot 12 21 +9 0.85 56.73 3.42 75.71 9.20 21.02 14.11 58.20 26.30P 0.26R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 12 21 +7 1.36 60.75 2.13 78.09 9.36 23.00 21.71 67.27 34.64P 0.13R 0.00 Halifax 12 21 +4 5.81 88.15 5.86 64.09 9.67 -0.45 1.59 15.15 4.04P 5.58R 0.29 Wrexham 12 21 +4 4.59 83.50 3.69 67.75 8.88 5.11 2.63 23.30 6.71P 1.74R 0.05 Woking 12 21 +1 4.88 83.87 1.59 65.82 9.40 -2.49 2.19 18.86 4.94P 3.82R 0.17 Dag_&_Red 12 20 +8 -1.63 36.51 -0.04 79.91 9.27 29.03 29.03 74.39 43.13P 0.08R 0.00 Macclesfield 12 20 -2 2.51 69.97 -3.71 67.06 9.01 -0.81 2.22 21.03 6.18P 2.26R 0.07 Maidstone_United 12 19 +3 4.68 83.56 6.27 63.13 9.17 -0.97 1.02 11.96 2.74P 6.31R 0.32 Bromley 12 18 +3 1.92 65.89 3.67 64.15 9.30 2.33 1.35 14.71 3.78P 4.96R 0.22 Maidenhead 12 18 +3 3.15 73.76 5.31 60.18 9.90 -3.84 0.80 8.79 2.29P 12.60R 1.13 Boreham_Wood 12 17 +4 0.71 56.50 3.99 64.54 8.97 5.96 1.31 15.06 4.25P 3.61R 0.16 Leyton_Orient 12 17 -3 -2.47 31.23 -7.67 70.58 9.87 7.78 6.65 35.90 14.72P 1.66R 0.05 Gateshead 12 16 +3 -2.69 29.10 -0.30 67.06 9.26 9.92 2.59 23.19 7.69P 2.37R 0.10 Eastleigh 12 16 +2 -0.64 45.15 1.56 64.48 9.13 5.17 1.27 15.28 4.34P 4.37R 0.24 Ebbsfleet_United 12 15 +1 0.79 57.40 4.39 56.53 9.85 -6.60 0.28 4.51 1.09P 21.76R 2.59 Hartlepool 12 15 -2 -3.96 21.43 -5.85 68.40 9.54 8.27 3.76 27.62 10.76P 2.08R 0.08 Tranmere 12 13 -1 -7.69 5.49 -6.98 69.38 8.93 13.32 3.92 30.80 13.05P 1.09R 0.03 Barrow 12 12 +0 -5.72 11.77 -1.84 60.27 9.30 2.78 0.55 7.72 2.28P 10.36R 0.72 AFC_Fylde 12 12 -3 -1.12 42.77 2.52 49.13 9.75 -19.24 0.04 0.89 0.21P 50.23R 11.24 Chester 12 11 -7 -3.62 22.89 -4.05 50.55 9.03 -17.99 0.01 0.72 0.13P 43.49R 6.75 Guiseley 12 9 -12 -2.48 29.93 -4.78 43.96 8.55 -29.26 0.00 0.07 0.01P 73.04R 22.43 Solihull_Moors 12 8 -9 -4.68 15.89 -2.96 45.97 8.94 -22.67 0.00 0.15 0.03P 63.70R 16.21 Torquay 12 4 -14 -9.11 1.58 -8.92 40.56 8.88 -29.81 0.00 0.02 0.01P 82.45R 37.09