Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 September 2017, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   16  +19       2.27    77.73     9.51    83.97     8.23    60.24    51.65    74.42    87.15    94.44    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   16  +15       3.88    89.77     9.25    76.31     8.49    39.46    14.77    36.87    58.25    76.74    96.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           6   13   +7       1.72    69.25     2.28    77.50     8.49    40.54    18.26    42.60    64.43    81.08    97.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         6   11   +5      -0.99    36.96    -0.80    74.76     8.41    36.49    10.77    29.31    50.67    71.50    94.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         6   11   +1       0.81    59.49    -1.96    66.88     8.96    20.03     2.12     7.93    18.14    33.34    75.53     0.03R    0.00  
Watford           6   11   -1       4.79    93.09     2.43    45.13     8.38   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.26     3.12    10.66R    1.92  
Arsenal           6   10   +1      -0.57    42.84    -2.64    67.38     8.71    21.83     2.34     8.25    18.81    34.89    78.34     0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield      6    9   +2       3.21    84.47     5.40    34.04     7.75   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    54.58R   20.66  
Burnley           6    9   +1       2.13    76.26     3.35    46.82     8.41    -7.59     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.44     4.42     6.83R    0.94  
Newcastle         6    9   +1       0.54    56.56     0.66    47.63     8.91    -7.70     0.01     0.05     0.24     0.82     6.60     6.84R    1.06  
Southampton       6    8   -1      -1.48    33.43    -2.86    49.18     8.43    -4.97     0.01     0.05     0.24     0.90     7.57     3.86R    0.52  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       0.28    54.95    -1.36    43.89     8.21   -13.80     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     2.00    12.47R    2.14  
Brighton          6    7   -2       0.14    53.31     0.07    41.94     8.59   -15.69     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.67    19.32R    4.51  
Everton           6    7   -7       0.18    53.90    -4.56    55.19     9.00    -0.92     0.06     0.44     1.56     4.36    23.18     1.22R    0.15  
Swansea           6    5   -4      -1.32    35.37    -1.02    39.36     8.37   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.75    28.51R    7.64  
Stoke             6    5   -5      -0.57    45.90    -1.14    42.23     8.49   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     1.55    18.53R    4.31  
Leicester         6    4   -3      -2.80    19.49    -0.44    46.63     9.00    -6.31     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.58     5.34     8.95R    1.67  
West_Ham          6    4   -7      -2.52    21.75    -4.19    41.14     8.77   -19.92     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.13     1.50    22.84R    6.01  
Bournemouth       6    3   -7      -3.09    15.30    -3.05    37.61     8.54   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.52    36.80R   12.05  
Crystal_Palace    6    0  -13      -6.07     0.65    -8.91    30.90     8.13   -34.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    68.54R   36.44  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Barnsley 1 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff         10   23   +8       8.26    97.04     6.47    78.51     9.73    17.39    20.83    35.59    70.52    43.72P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    10   20  +10       3.54    79.03     5.97    75.72     9.72    19.71    14.42    26.18    60.86    35.39P    0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    9   20   +6       6.93    95.40     4.93    73.76     9.84    10.69    10.15    19.65    51.38    26.71P    0.25R    0.01  
Preston         10   19   +7       4.57    85.42     5.76    72.49     9.54    13.41     7.68    15.90    47.27    23.36P    0.24R    0.02  
Ipswich          9   18   +6       4.39    85.23     4.14    68.98     9.91     6.47     4.45     9.89    33.42    14.99P    0.87R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        9   18   +4       5.80    91.66     4.12    69.97    10.41     5.75     6.20    12.29    37.13    17.55P    0.99R    0.06  
Bristol_City    10   17   +7       2.47    71.64     5.85    66.72     9.79     7.40     3.02     6.65    26.30    10.96P    1.57R    0.10  
Aston_Villa     10   16   +6       1.30    61.91     4.40    68.58     9.47    11.16     3.65     8.35    32.06    14.32P    0.77R    0.05  
Middlesbrough   10   15   +4      -1.15    39.65     0.44    72.24     9.66    15.63     7.60    15.83    46.98    25.96P    0.35R    0.01  
Norwich         10   15   -3      -0.23    48.05    -5.32    68.62     9.91     3.36     4.07     9.02    31.82    14.79P    1.11R    0.08  
Fulham          10   14   +3      -1.22    39.62     0.76    71.23     9.87    15.14     6.88    14.31    43.51    22.42P    0.50R    0.03  
Millwall        10   13   +3       0.81    58.17     5.22    56.16     9.90    -6.21     0.26     0.72     5.07     1.61P   14.11R    1.86  
Sheff_Wed        9   13   +1      -1.10    39.48    -1.63    69.18     9.82     9.30     4.39     9.89    34.62    16.63P    0.82R    0.04  
QPR             10   13   +0      -0.09    49.64     0.93    59.78     9.62    -3.81     0.51     1.44     8.91     2.96P    6.77R    0.75  
Derby            9   12   +0      -1.57    35.84    -1.77    67.40     9.88     7.23     3.20     7.32    28.49    12.99P    1.48R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -5       0.27    53.66    -1.88    57.17     9.62   -12.07     0.24     0.72     5.21     1.63P   11.65R    1.57  
Hull            10    9   -2      -5.75     9.81    -3.53    61.04    10.47     1.89     1.13     2.75    13.38     5.72P    6.89R    0.83  
Reading          9    9   -2      -2.73    26.19    -1.16    58.66     9.84    -3.57     0.53     1.31     7.71     2.75P    8.82R    1.15  
Burton_Albion   10    9  -13      -0.26    49.51    -6.43    45.19     8.86   -32.25     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   54.55R   14.83  
Brentford       10    8   -2      -6.35     7.55    -2.94    59.27     9.88     0.57     0.56     1.46     8.92     3.51P    8.21R    0.90  
Barnsley         9    8   -4      -3.00    24.00    -1.86    52.31     9.76   -14.36     0.06     0.23     2.13     0.60P   24.60R    4.64  
Sunderland      10    6   -9      -6.78     5.82    -7.58    54.55    10.07   -10.06     0.15     0.48     3.88     1.33P   18.31R    3.06  
Birmingham       9    5   -8      -5.05     9.24    -4.72    45.57     9.25   -22.24     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.07P   50.94R   13.25  
Bolton          10    2  -17      -7.15     2.47   -10.16    35.92     9.10   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   86.07R   56.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Blackburn 2 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury       10   26   +8      12.60    99.84     8.32    73.45     9.56     5.08     3.64     9.88    44.29    15.35P    0.39R    0.01  
Wigan            10   22  +12       3.26    77.04     4.42    85.70     9.77    33.01    32.05    52.44    87.57    64.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     10   20   +8       4.26    82.50     4.89    75.17    10.02    16.82     6.35    15.23    53.76    23.87P    0.37R    0.01  
Bradford         10   20   +4       4.08    82.00     0.66    78.01     9.44    16.89     9.07    20.72    64.58    32.33P    0.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       10   19   +8       1.82    65.37     2.93    78.82     9.62    23.90    10.98    24.84    68.37    37.55P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        10   18   +4       4.48    84.36     4.31    64.15    10.07    -0.72     0.74     2.20    15.89     4.75P    5.04R    0.37  
Charlton         10   17   +2       1.42    62.58    -0.87    68.62     9.69     5.29     1.58     4.56    27.76     9.52P    1.55R    0.08  
Blackburn         9   16   +6       0.35    52.74     0.94    84.13    10.31    32.59    27.28    46.30    83.19    58.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town    9   16   +2       1.49    63.49    -1.23    70.77     9.97     8.10     2.73     7.35    35.65    14.20P    1.03R    0.05  
Rotherham        10   15   +7       0.37    53.37     5.72    70.27    10.54    16.02     3.07     7.87    35.93    14.62P    1.74R    0.13  
Portsmouth       10   14   +2       0.64    56.29     2.47    63.12    10.24     1.56     0.56     1.78    14.23     4.56P    6.41R    0.61  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2       0.05    50.97    -2.40    64.12     9.67    -0.72     0.53     1.69    14.73     4.61P    4.49R    0.32  
Walsall          10   13   -3      -0.62    45.08    -2.74    60.71     9.72    -5.60     0.22     0.81     8.49     2.34P    9.26R    0.78  
Southend         10   13   -3      -1.15    40.19    -3.53    63.02     9.82    -2.29     0.39     1.38    12.74     3.71P    6.22R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd       10   12   +1      -2.70    27.34    -0.47    63.58     9.80     4.23     0.50     1.62    14.32     4.71P    5.23R    0.45  
Bristol_Rovers   10   12   -7       0.26    53.43    -3.38    55.60     9.80   -17.80     0.04     0.20     3.16     0.71P   22.23R    3.39  
Rochdale         10   10   -3      -3.87    19.51    -3.24    60.51     9.92    -1.75     0.21     0.79     9.04     2.70P    9.84R    1.10  
Doncaster        10    9   -1      -3.71    20.88     0.66    53.27    10.10    -9.29     0.03     0.17     2.55     0.69P   28.87R    5.34  
Bury             10    9   -3      -2.53    28.46     0.72    52.59     9.61   -12.62     0.02     0.08     1.67     0.35P   30.58R    5.34  
AFC_Wimbledon    10    8   -6      -3.18    22.67    -2.41    49.33     9.17   -17.06     0.01     0.01     0.57     0.13P   43.54R    9.27  
Northampton      10    8   -7      -2.60    27.88    -2.00    49.47     9.50   -20.10     0.01     0.04     0.69     0.15P   43.81R   10.43  
Gillingham       10    7   -8      -4.18    16.69    -4.07    48.69     9.41   -20.81     0.01     0.04     0.56     0.13P   46.69R   11.38  
Oldham           10    7  -10      -3.09    23.64    -4.58    45.77     9.07   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   59.92R   18.24  
Plymouth         10    5  -11      -4.86    11.48    -5.11    42.27     9.44   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   72.61R   32.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 3 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Notts_County         10   25  +12      11.17    99.47    11.88    77.18     9.94    16.08    11.07    33.42    69.11    40.20P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter               10   22   +5       5.86    90.76     1.22    79.03    10.03    16.92    15.04    40.43    74.95    48.86P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   10   20   +7       3.91    80.47     3.38    75.62     9.84    16.67     8.78    28.67    63.96    37.65P    0.05R    0.01  
Coventry             10   19   +7       1.82    65.33     1.91    81.89     9.89    27.27    23.37    53.70    83.96    63.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                10   18   +9       0.62    55.09     3.40    80.47     9.73    29.17    19.22    48.43    81.06    58.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            10   18   +5       2.56    71.50     2.51    70.66     9.88    10.07     3.65    14.65    44.34    21.53P    0.36R    0.07  
Newport_County       10   18   +5       5.55    89.74     6.93    64.05     9.55     0.12     0.69     4.13    20.07     7.06P    1.41R    0.31  
Wycombe              10   18   +3       2.67    72.38     0.39    71.44     9.82     9.02     3.81    15.87    46.94    23.35P    0.24R    0.04  
Mansfield            10   16   +3       1.34    62.10     1.46    67.60     9.69     6.51     1.77     8.58    32.24    14.18P    0.61R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd        10   16   +2       0.99    59.08    -0.12    68.61     9.72     7.00     2.11    10.15    35.90    16.51P    0.44R    0.09  
Swindon              10   16   +0      -0.14    48.69    -3.72    75.28    10.34    15.46     8.55    28.31    61.96    38.46P    0.14R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         10   15   +1       3.26    77.56     4.21    57.64     9.98    -9.51     0.19     1.29     7.85     2.55P    7.30R    1.95  
Grimsby              10   13   -4       0.83    58.27    -1.52    58.39     9.69   -10.72     0.20     1.24     8.22     2.60P    5.91R    1.63  
Yeovil               10   12   -6       0.15    52.44    -2.94    53.07     9.58   -19.77     0.02     0.26     2.93     0.70P   15.18R    4.73  
Barnet               10   11   +1      -2.46    29.60     1.49    59.59     9.77    -0.39     0.22     1.81    10.94     3.87P    4.41R    1.17  
Cheltenham           10   11   -1      -1.27    39.93     1.20    54.69     9.50    -9.50     0.06     0.50     3.97     1.22P   10.87R    3.41  
Carlisle             10   11   -2      -2.22    31.64    -1.05    61.48    10.08    -0.80     0.47     3.08    15.29     5.86P    3.63R    1.04  
Crewe                10   11   -5      -1.90    34.12    -3.59    56.25     9.75   -11.91     0.10     0.78     5.88     1.83P    8.97R    2.80  
Crawley_Town         10   10   -2      -1.74    35.31     1.13    52.68     9.50   -12.42     0.02     0.27     2.55     0.71P   15.58R    5.01  
Morecambe            10   10   -3      -1.53    37.29     0.45    53.04     9.59   -13.29     0.04     0.31     2.86     0.79P   15.11R    5.14  
Colchester           10    9   -3      -5.74     9.65    -4.63    60.89    10.10     0.49     0.45     2.72    14.31     5.77P    4.02R    0.97  
Port_Vale            10    5   -7      -9.40     1.28    -8.17    56.42    10.30    -3.84     0.13     1.03     7.31     2.92P    9.35R    2.83  
Chesterfield         10    5  -12      -7.49     3.98    -9.87    52.20    10.39   -15.85     0.04     0.37     3.36     1.14P   19.07R    7.40  
Forest_Green         10    5  -15      -3.69    19.05    -5.96    36.90     9.43   -46.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   77.26R   61.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 September 2017, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United      12   22   +1       6.66    91.48     2.70    68.04     9.14     0.43     2.97    24.39     6.68P    2.06R    0.08  
Aldershot          12   21   +9       0.85    56.73     3.42    75.71     9.20    21.02    14.11    58.20    26.30P    0.26R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     12   21   +7       1.36    60.75     2.13    78.09     9.36    23.00    21.71    67.27    34.64P    0.13R    0.00  
Halifax            12   21   +4       5.81    88.15     5.86    64.09     9.67    -0.45     1.59    15.15     4.04P    5.58R    0.29  
Wrexham            12   21   +4       4.59    83.50     3.69    67.75     8.88     5.11     2.63    23.30     6.71P    1.74R    0.05  
Woking             12   21   +1       4.88    83.87     1.59    65.82     9.40    -2.49     2.19    18.86     4.94P    3.82R    0.17  
Dag_&_Red          12   20   +8      -1.63    36.51    -0.04    79.91     9.27    29.03    29.03    74.39    43.13P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield       12   20   -2       2.51    69.97    -3.71    67.06     9.01    -0.81     2.22    21.03     6.18P    2.26R    0.07  
Maidstone_United   12   19   +3       4.68    83.56     6.27    63.13     9.17    -0.97     1.02    11.96     2.74P    6.31R    0.32  
Bromley            12   18   +3       1.92    65.89     3.67    64.15     9.30     2.33     1.35    14.71     3.78P    4.96R    0.22  
Maidenhead         12   18   +3       3.15    73.76     5.31    60.18     9.90    -3.84     0.80     8.79     2.29P   12.60R    1.13  
Boreham_Wood       12   17   +4       0.71    56.50     3.99    64.54     8.97     5.96     1.31    15.06     4.25P    3.61R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient      12   17   -3      -2.47    31.23    -7.67    70.58     9.87     7.78     6.65    35.90    14.72P    1.66R    0.05  
Gateshead          12   16   +3      -2.69    29.10    -0.30    67.06     9.26     9.92     2.59    23.19     7.69P    2.37R    0.10  
Eastleigh          12   16   +2      -0.64    45.15     1.56    64.48     9.13     5.17     1.27    15.28     4.34P    4.37R    0.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   12   15   +1       0.79    57.40     4.39    56.53     9.85    -6.60     0.28     4.51     1.09P   21.76R    2.59  
Hartlepool         12   15   -2      -3.96    21.43    -5.85    68.40     9.54     8.27     3.76    27.62    10.76P    2.08R    0.08  
Tranmere           12   13   -1      -7.69     5.49    -6.98    69.38     8.93    13.32     3.92    30.80    13.05P    1.09R    0.03  
Barrow             12   12   +0      -5.72    11.77    -1.84    60.27     9.30     2.78     0.55     7.72     2.28P   10.36R    0.72  
AFC_Fylde          12   12   -3      -1.12    42.77     2.52    49.13     9.75   -19.24     0.04     0.89     0.21P   50.23R   11.24  
Chester            12   11   -7      -3.62    22.89    -4.05    50.55     9.03   -17.99     0.01     0.72     0.13P   43.49R    6.75  
Guiseley           12    9  -12      -2.48    29.93    -4.78    43.96     8.55   -29.26     0.00     0.07     0.01P   73.04R   22.43  
Solihull_Moors     12    8   -9      -4.68    15.89    -2.96    45.97     8.94   -22.67     0.00     0.15     0.03P   63.70R   16.21  
Torquay            12    4  -14      -9.11     1.58    -8.92    40.56     8.88   -29.81     0.00     0.02     0.01P   82.45R   37.09