Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 September 2017, Chelsea 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   13  +14       2.12    77.34     7.38    81.70     8.49    53.41    48.15    71.30    84.70    92.99    98.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           5   13  +14       2.72    83.14     8.92    74.93     8.68    38.93    16.67    38.73    59.51    76.62    95.01     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           5   10   +3       1.06    63.23    -0.17    74.67     8.86    33.86    15.82    37.11    57.57    75.12    94.03     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         5    9   +2       1.88    72.55     1.63    49.67     9.29    -5.59     0.06     0.31     0.94     2.34    11.29     5.46R    0.94  
Tottenham         5    8   +4      -1.91    25.64    -0.63    73.80     8.65    36.23    13.64    33.49    54.71    72.91    93.63     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield      5    8   +2       3.22    86.97     4.97    33.60     8.04   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.22    58.66R   25.11  
Burnley           5    8   +1       2.93    86.42     3.89    48.05     8.68    -6.31     0.01     0.08     0.30     0.98     7.33     6.34R    1.05  
Liverpool         5    8   +0      -0.46    43.58    -2.39    64.97     9.27    18.50     2.52     8.27    18.02    32.41    69.01     0.09R    0.01  
Southampton       5    8   +0      -0.50    43.60    -2.36    50.31     8.73    -4.11     0.04     0.19     0.72     2.11    11.40     3.73R    0.51  
West_Brom         5    8   +0       0.95    63.10    -0.44    45.17     8.47   -11.79     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.45     3.74    11.08R    2.14  
Watford           5    8   -2       2.99    85.57     1.07    42.66     8.55   -19.88     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.28     2.10    19.07R    4.42  
Arsenal           5    7   -1      -1.39    32.49    -3.45    66.07     9.05    20.38     2.93     9.71    20.63    36.35    73.65     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -0.10    51.56     1.40    44.62     8.74    -9.96     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.42     3.53    13.24R    2.88  
Swansea           5    5   -3       0.19    55.64     0.12    41.62     8.64   -17.01     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.18     1.84    22.08R    5.61  
Leicester         5    4   -2      -1.84    27.05    -0.20    47.79     9.12    -5.32     0.01     0.10     0.42     1.27     7.80     7.73R    1.45  
Brighton          5    4   -3      -1.42    33.35    -0.80    39.39     8.97   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.35    30.81R    9.47  
West_Ham          5    4   -6      -1.79    28.17    -4.34    41.86     8.89   -19.33     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     1.99    22.70R    5.79  
Everton           5    4   -8      -0.92    39.89    -4.81    54.07     9.28    -0.99     0.11     0.57     1.93     5.08    22.26     2.18R    0.32  
Bournemouth       5    3   -6      -2.36    19.98    -3.16    38.28     8.71   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.75    36.07R   11.80  
Crystal_Palace    5    0   -8      -6.02     0.55    -6.64    32.79     8.35   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    60.72R   28.51  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     8   17  +11       3.58    82.55     7.41    76.42     9.85    22.20    17.96    31.20    65.56    40.70P    0.16R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       5.80    93.40     4.65    72.27     9.97    10.05     8.78    17.41    47.97    24.18P    0.65R    0.06  
Cardiff          8   17   +5       5.51    92.38     4.21    73.13    10.03    11.29    10.30    19.78    51.59    26.99P    0.50R    0.05  
Preston          8   15   +6       3.69    83.49     5.26    71.40    10.00    12.67     7.71    15.68    45.20    23.07P    0.66R    0.07  
Ipswich          7   15   +4       4.32    88.47     2.41    66.81     9.92     2.00     3.24     7.35    27.12    11.43P    2.09R    0.18  
Sheff_Utd        8   15   +2       4.24    86.16     2.17    65.82    10.32     0.21     3.01     6.67    25.10    10.52P    3.25R    0.36  
Middlesbrough    8   14   +5       0.62    56.28     1.50    75.30    10.08    18.65    15.36    27.32    60.84    37.90P    0.26R    0.01  
Bristol_City     8   13   +5       1.65    66.39     4.51    64.56    10.14     3.76     2.36     5.34    22.04     8.90P    3.84R    0.43  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   +3       0.45    54.65     0.61    72.04     9.81    13.57     8.13    16.87    47.96    25.64P    0.54R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    8   12   -2       2.29    72.95    -0.04    60.97    10.08    -7.33     0.96     2.52    12.41     4.43P    7.90R    1.28  
QPR              8   11   +0       0.90    60.54     1.35    61.32    10.06    -2.80     1.06     2.63    13.48     4.90P    7.16R    1.12  
Norwich          8   11   -4      -1.43    35.99    -6.18    66.60    10.28     1.19     3.46     7.75    27.70    12.71P    2.73R    0.36  
Aston_Villa      8   10   +1      -0.79    42.62     1.06    63.13     9.61     3.25     1.28     3.27    16.50     6.56P    4.10R    0.49  
Fulham           8   10   +1      -1.98    31.14    -0.58    68.77    10.23    11.26     5.17    11.08    35.98    17.56P    1.64R    0.19  
Derby            7   10   +0      -0.31    47.07    -1.07    69.12    10.19     8.68     5.43    11.52    36.91    18.28P    1.54R    0.15  
Millwall         8    9   +2      -0.54    45.85     4.27    53.46    10.23    -9.72     0.22     0.57     3.90     1.32P   24.58R    5.84  
Hull             8    8   -1      -4.05    15.06    -2.64    64.15    10.95     5.14     2.96     6.39    22.69    10.94P    5.25R    0.80  
Reading          7    8   -1      -1.22    37.90    -0.45    61.00    10.15    -1.59     1.03     2.54    13.13     4.91P    7.54R    1.25  
Burton_Albion    8    8   -9       0.29    55.66    -4.04    48.17     9.30   -26.28     0.01     0.05     0.77     0.14P   45.41R   13.77  
Barnsley         7    7   -3      -1.80    31.43    -1.69    54.10    10.16   -13.43     0.24     0.66     4.06     1.34P   22.96R    5.62  
Sunderland       8    6   -5      -4.80    10.57    -4.79    60.27    10.44    -1.33     0.95     2.40    12.40     5.18P    9.26R    1.81  
Brentford        8    4   -5      -6.96     3.10    -5.01    56.35    10.13    -5.23     0.36     0.96     6.28     2.28P   16.26R    3.22  
Birmingham       8    4   -8      -5.13     7.42    -5.36    45.16     9.28   -23.54     0.01     0.03     0.32     0.08P   57.27R   20.74  
Bolton           8    2  -12      -5.90     3.95    -7.54    40.60     9.69   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   74.46R   42.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 September 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury        8   22   +7      11.26    99.86     7.21    70.74    10.01     2.06     2.21     6.31    33.50    10.43P    1.02R    0.06  
Wigan             8   19  +12       3.67    83.21     5.39    87.65    10.34    36.23    37.15    57.11    89.37    67.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough      8   17   +8       4.15    84.80     5.15    75.20    10.43    17.31     5.89    14.50    52.67    23.14P    0.42R    0.02  
Bradford          8   17   +6       3.98    84.56     2.87    80.67    10.05    23.24    13.18    28.31    72.85    40.89P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool         8   17   +6       6.03    93.78     6.04    68.15    10.76     4.57     1.91     5.15    26.94     9.41P    2.68R    0.19  
Scunthorpe        8   15   +6       1.45    63.69     2.22    77.84    10.20    22.37     8.90    20.73    62.97    32.84P    0.18R    0.01  
Charlton          8   15   +2       2.55    73.62    -0.27    70.22    10.24     6.64     2.13     6.06    33.13    12.02P    1.29R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town    7   13   +1       1.45    64.80    -1.87    69.37    10.42     5.55     2.10     5.78    30.29    11.46P    1.80R    0.10  
MK_Dons           9   13   -2       0.87    58.54    -1.70    66.09    10.00     1.58     0.73     2.43    19.39     6.15P    3.23R    0.26  
Rotherham         8   12   +5       0.48    54.98     4.22    68.17    11.11    10.98     2.12     5.71    28.63    11.03P    3.24R    0.33  
Oxford_Utd        8   12   +5      -0.10    48.99     3.28    70.12    10.23    14.14     2.12     6.12    33.57    12.74P    1.40R    0.08  
Blackburn         7   12   +4      -0.06    48.62     0.25    82.74    10.96    30.53    20.68    38.46    77.79    51.58P    0.11R    0.00  
Portsmouth        8   11   +1       0.50    55.85     1.69    61.60    10.70    -1.28     0.41     1.42    11.77     3.56P    8.99R    1.15  
Walsall           8    9   -4      -1.84    32.72    -3.68    58.08    10.08    -8.61     0.11     0.44     5.61     1.48P   14.40R    1.85  
Bristol_Rovers    8    9   -6      -0.33    47.79    -2.97    55.54    10.39   -16.30     0.07     0.26     3.81     0.85P   22.52R    4.19  
AFC_Wimbledon     9    8   -5      -2.31    28.88    -2.11    50.25     9.43   -16.75     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.15P   38.12R    8.49  
Southend          8    7   -6      -3.91    15.99    -5.86    57.62    10.16    -8.54     0.12     0.40     5.13     1.41P   15.62R    2.26  
Northampton       8    7   -6      -1.73    33.35    -2.22    50.36    10.01   -20.89     0.01     0.07     1.17     0.24P   39.49R    9.94  
Doncaster         8    6   -3      -3.54    18.51    -0.73    51.82    10.53   -12.82     0.02     0.11     2.05     0.55P   33.68R    8.03  
Gillingham        8    6   -5      -3.48    18.98    -2.64    51.34    10.23   -16.52     0.03     0.09     1.63     0.35P   35.24R    8.48  
Rochdale          8    6   -6      -4.60    11.94    -5.39    57.58    10.39    -7.45     0.12     0.46     5.69     1.64P   16.23R    2.71  
Bury              8    5   -6      -3.80    15.65    -2.27    48.08     9.99   -20.99     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.13P   47.70R   13.87  
Plymouth          8    5   -7      -3.44    18.56    -3.23    46.12    10.06   -23.50     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.10P   55.70R   19.51  
Oldham            8    4   -7      -4.32    11.53    -3.38    45.83     9.44   -21.54     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   56.86R   18.37  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 September 2017, Forest_Green 0 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter                8   22  +10       8.07    98.62     5.47    85.45    10.40    28.05    35.47    66.98    90.08    72.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County          8   19   +6       8.86    98.93     7.29    69.39    10.27     2.77     2.68    12.97    40.01    17.54P    0.55R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley    8   16   +6       3.02    77.08     2.88    74.37    10.31    15.72     7.24    26.63    60.37    35.18P    0.14R    0.04  
Swindon               9   16   +1       1.00    58.63    -3.04    77.76    10.44    18.19    12.14    38.21    71.90    48.10P    0.08R    0.01  
Luton                 8   14   +8       0.40    53.58     3.88    80.95    10.21    31.22    20.19    52.13    82.48    61.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield             8   13   +5       1.00    60.16     3.33    69.23     9.99    11.33     2.40    12.46    41.05    19.65P    0.52R    0.15  
Coventry              8   13   +4      -0.77    41.98    -0.13    76.33    10.56    20.85    10.52    33.99    67.78    44.74P    0.11R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd         8   13   +0       1.61    66.23    -0.71    68.39     9.99     5.19     1.77    10.43    36.69    16.77P    0.62R    0.11  
Newport_County        8   12   +3       2.76    77.19     5.72    59.56     9.97    -3.90     0.24     1.95    11.89     3.73P    4.85R    1.49  
Lincoln_City          8   12   +3       2.36    73.24     5.12    58.59    10.42    -5.41     0.28     2.03    11.22     3.80P    6.69R    2.25  
Stevenage             8   12   +2       0.14    51.60     0.77    65.99    10.32     4.68     1.46     8.01    29.39    12.97P    1.29R    0.40  
Wycombe               8   12   +1      -0.01    50.08    -0.72    67.11    10.22     5.44     1.74     9.09    32.83    14.78P    0.99R    0.23  
Grimsby               8   12   -3       2.24    72.07    -0.96    60.58    10.26    -9.17     0.38     2.66    14.00     4.88P    4.64R    1.47  
Barnet                8   11   +3       0.42    55.08     3.69    64.66    10.21     5.21     0.91     5.83    25.30    10.11P    1.80R    0.51  
Crewe                 8   11   +1      -0.06    49.88     0.98    62.36    10.25    -0.35     0.58     4.00    18.68     7.17P    3.03R    0.96  
Morecambe             8    9   -2      -0.70    44.07     0.08    53.16    10.01   -15.45     0.04     0.43     3.89     1.06P   15.41R    6.07  
Colchester            8    8   -2      -4.04    14.99    -3.71    63.46    10.43     2.75     0.98     5.29    22.25     9.69P    2.52R    0.71  
Carlisle              8    8   -5      -2.08    30.61    -3.45    59.28    10.49    -7.14     0.29     2.19    12.17     4.27P    6.24R    2.21  
Yeovil                8    8   -7      -1.31    37.96    -4.22    50.00     9.89   -23.75     0.02     0.19     1.88     0.51P   24.61R   10.37  
Crawley_Town          8    7   -2      -2.41    27.11     0.57    51.43     9.98   -14.04     0.03     0.32     2.81     0.87P   19.38R    8.16  
Cheltenham            8    7   -4      -2.66    25.50    -1.98    50.51     9.72   -17.29     0.03     0.19     2.04     0.57P   21.84R    9.07  
Chesterfield          8    5  -10      -5.28     9.07    -8.81    55.80    10.97   -12.63     0.23     1.38     7.83     3.00P   12.31R    5.10  
Forest_Green          9    5  -12      -3.33    20.63    -4.76    39.68     9.81   -41.33     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.02P   66.49R   48.50  
Port_Vale             8    4   -6      -7.74     1.85    -7.30    59.44    10.69    -0.93     0.40     2.62    13.28     5.76P    5.86R    2.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barrow 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Aldershot          11   20   +9       1.40    61.77     3.69    76.32     9.28    21.36    14.05    58.42    26.10P    0.13R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     11   20   +7       2.05    67.14     2.55    79.15     9.55    24.05    22.23    69.52    35.18P    0.12R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          11   19   +8      -0.77    43.03     0.69    80.96     9.55    30.11    29.88    76.32    44.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Sutton_United      11   19   +0       5.30    87.56     2.05    65.85     9.31    -1.31     1.56    17.04     4.06P    3.35R    0.15  
Maidenhead         11   18   +5       3.87    79.01     6.34    63.18    10.32     0.64     1.51    14.31     4.00P    7.74R    0.68  
Bromley            11   18   +4       2.92    73.70     4.14    65.94     9.52     4.08     1.90    18.82     4.95P    3.33R    0.14  
Maidstone_United   11   18   +3       4.94    85.97     6.05    63.28     9.45    -1.17     0.94    12.03     2.71P    6.03R    0.39  
Halifax            11   18   +3       4.57    83.71     5.39    61.86    10.05    -2.20     0.99    10.93     2.83P    8.88R    0.64  
Wrexham            11   18   +3       2.76    73.13     2.50    65.10     9.09     2.82     1.21    15.15     4.00P    3.37R    0.17  
Woking             11   18   +0       3.28    76.09     0.61    63.86     9.67    -4.10     1.30    13.62     3.36P    5.98R    0.38  
Boreham_Wood       11   17   +5       2.20    68.74     5.17    67.52     9.36     9.23     2.40    23.33     6.71P    2.09R    0.07  
Macclesfield       11   17   -3       1.17    60.17    -4.35    65.08     9.33    -2.42     1.41    15.25     4.23P    3.88R    0.20  
Leyton_Orient      11   16   -3      -2.11    32.95    -7.63    69.96    10.12     6.24     5.44    32.57    12.52P    1.86R    0.11  
Gateshead          11   15   +3      -2.33    30.49    -0.33    67.15     9.40     9.59     2.28    22.37     7.23P    2.40R    0.09  
Hartlepool         11   15   -1      -2.52    29.74    -4.75    71.08     9.77    11.17     5.76    36.65    14.45P    1.12R    0.04  
Eastleigh          11   13   +1      -2.19    32.27     0.69    61.20     9.22     1.86     0.47     8.15     2.14P    8.01R    0.53  
Tranmere           11   13   +0      -6.18     8.95    -5.82    71.93     9.04    16.03     5.72    39.88    17.04P    0.57R    0.01  
Barrow             11   12   +1      -4.49    16.35    -1.07    62.13     9.42     4.60     0.70    10.46     2.93P    6.86R    0.39  
Ebbsfleet_United   11   12   +0      -0.82    44.29     3.58    53.28    10.09   -10.17     0.12     2.51     0.58P   31.46R    5.07  
AFC_Fylde          11   12   -2      -0.16    50.10     2.83    51.99    10.19   -15.87     0.13     1.97     0.42P   37.14R    7.32  
Chester            11    8   -9      -4.82    13.86    -5.32    48.01     9.22   -21.56     0.01     0.39     0.06P   52.92R   11.48  
Guiseley           11    8  -12      -2.46    29.06    -5.31    43.38     8.71   -30.76     0.00     0.05     0.01P   73.31R   24.94  
Solihull_Moors     11    7   -9      -4.62    14.60    -3.55    45.63     9.15   -23.80     0.01     0.19     0.04P   63.25R   17.56  
Torquay            11    4  -13      -7.93     2.57    -8.14    42.21     9.08   -28.41     0.00     0.05     0.01P   76.11R   29.64