Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 22 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 September 2017, Chelsea 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 13 +14 2.12 77.34 7.38 81.70 8.49 53.41 48.15 71.30 84.70 92.99 98.95 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 5 13 +14 2.72 83.14 8.92 74.93 8.68 38.93 16.67 38.73 59.51 76.62 95.01 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +3 1.06 63.23 -0.17 74.67 8.86 33.86 15.82 37.11 57.57 75.12 94.03 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 5 9 +2 1.88 72.55 1.63 49.67 9.29 -5.59 0.06 0.31 0.94 2.34 11.29 5.46R 0.94 Tottenham 5 8 +4 -1.91 25.64 -0.63 73.80 8.65 36.23 13.64 33.49 54.71 72.91 93.63 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 5 8 +2 3.22 86.97 4.97 33.60 8.04 -31.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.22 58.66R 25.11 Burnley 5 8 +1 2.93 86.42 3.89 48.05 8.68 -6.31 0.01 0.08 0.30 0.98 7.33 6.34R 1.05 Liverpool 5 8 +0 -0.46 43.58 -2.39 64.97 9.27 18.50 2.52 8.27 18.02 32.41 69.01 0.09R 0.01 Southampton 5 8 +0 -0.50 43.60 -2.36 50.31 8.73 -4.11 0.04 0.19 0.72 2.11 11.40 3.73R 0.51 West_Brom 5 8 +0 0.95 63.10 -0.44 45.17 8.47 -11.79 0.01 0.03 0.14 0.45 3.74 11.08R 2.14 Watford 5 8 -2 2.99 85.57 1.07 42.66 8.55 -19.88 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.28 2.10 19.07R 4.42 Arsenal 5 7 -1 -1.39 32.49 -3.45 66.07 9.05 20.38 2.93 9.71 20.63 36.35 73.65 0.05R 0.00 Stoke 5 5 -1 -0.10 51.56 1.40 44.62 8.74 -9.96 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.42 3.53 13.24R 2.88 Swansea 5 5 -3 0.19 55.64 0.12 41.62 8.64 -17.01 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.18 1.84 22.08R 5.61 Leicester 5 4 -2 -1.84 27.05 -0.20 47.79 9.12 -5.32 0.01 0.10 0.42 1.27 7.80 7.73R 1.45 Brighton 5 4 -3 -1.42 33.35 -0.80 39.39 8.97 -18.11 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.17 1.35 30.81R 9.47 West_Ham 5 4 -6 -1.79 28.17 -4.34 41.86 8.89 -19.33 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.24 1.99 22.70R 5.79 Everton 5 4 -8 -0.92 39.89 -4.81 54.07 9.28 -0.99 0.11 0.57 1.93 5.08 22.26 2.18R 0.32 Bournemouth 5 3 -6 -2.36 19.98 -3.16 38.28 8.71 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.75 36.07R 11.80 Crystal_Palace 5 0 -8 -6.02 0.55 -6.64 32.79 8.35 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 60.72R 28.51Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 17 +11 3.58 82.55 7.41 76.42 9.85 22.20 17.96 31.20 65.56 40.70P 0.16R 0.01 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 5.80 93.40 4.65 72.27 9.97 10.05 8.78 17.41 47.97 24.18P 0.65R 0.06 Cardiff 8 17 +5 5.51 92.38 4.21 73.13 10.03 11.29 10.30 19.78 51.59 26.99P 0.50R 0.05 Preston 8 15 +6 3.69 83.49 5.26 71.40 10.00 12.67 7.71 15.68 45.20 23.07P 0.66R 0.07 Ipswich 7 15 +4 4.32 88.47 2.41 66.81 9.92 2.00 3.24 7.35 27.12 11.43P 2.09R 0.18 Sheff_Utd 8 15 +2 4.24 86.16 2.17 65.82 10.32 0.21 3.01 6.67 25.10 10.52P 3.25R 0.36 Middlesbrough 8 14 +5 0.62 56.28 1.50 75.30 10.08 18.65 15.36 27.32 60.84 37.90P 0.26R 0.01 Bristol_City 8 13 +5 1.65 66.39 4.51 64.56 10.14 3.76 2.36 5.34 22.04 8.90P 3.84R 0.43 Sheff_Wed 8 13 +3 0.45 54.65 0.61 72.04 9.81 13.57 8.13 16.87 47.96 25.64P 0.54R 0.05 Nott'm_Forest 8 12 -2 2.29 72.95 -0.04 60.97 10.08 -7.33 0.96 2.52 12.41 4.43P 7.90R 1.28 QPR 8 11 +0 0.90 60.54 1.35 61.32 10.06 -2.80 1.06 2.63 13.48 4.90P 7.16R 1.12 Norwich 8 11 -4 -1.43 35.99 -6.18 66.60 10.28 1.19 3.46 7.75 27.70 12.71P 2.73R 0.36 Aston_Villa 8 10 +1 -0.79 42.62 1.06 63.13 9.61 3.25 1.28 3.27 16.50 6.56P 4.10R 0.49 Fulham 8 10 +1 -1.98 31.14 -0.58 68.77 10.23 11.26 5.17 11.08 35.98 17.56P 1.64R 0.19 Derby 7 10 +0 -0.31 47.07 -1.07 69.12 10.19 8.68 5.43 11.52 36.91 18.28P 1.54R 0.15 Millwall 8 9 +2 -0.54 45.85 4.27 53.46 10.23 -9.72 0.22 0.57 3.90 1.32P 24.58R 5.84 Hull 8 8 -1 -4.05 15.06 -2.64 64.15 10.95 5.14 2.96 6.39 22.69 10.94P 5.25R 0.80 Reading 7 8 -1 -1.22 37.90 -0.45 61.00 10.15 -1.59 1.03 2.54 13.13 4.91P 7.54R 1.25 Burton_Albion 8 8 -9 0.29 55.66 -4.04 48.17 9.30 -26.28 0.01 0.05 0.77 0.14P 45.41R 13.77 Barnsley 7 7 -3 -1.80 31.43 -1.69 54.10 10.16 -13.43 0.24 0.66 4.06 1.34P 22.96R 5.62 Sunderland 8 6 -5 -4.80 10.57 -4.79 60.27 10.44 -1.33 0.95 2.40 12.40 5.18P 9.26R 1.81 Brentford 8 4 -5 -6.96 3.10 -5.01 56.35 10.13 -5.23 0.36 0.96 6.28 2.28P 16.26R 3.22 Birmingham 8 4 -8 -5.13 7.42 -5.36 45.16 9.28 -23.54 0.01 0.03 0.32 0.08P 57.27R 20.74 Bolton 8 2 -12 -5.90 3.95 -7.54 40.60 9.69 -32.66 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 74.46R 42.14League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 September 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 8 22 +7 11.26 99.86 7.21 70.74 10.01 2.06 2.21 6.31 33.50 10.43P 1.02R 0.06 Wigan 8 19 +12 3.67 83.21 5.39 87.65 10.34 36.23 37.15 57.11 89.37 67.81P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 8 17 +8 4.15 84.80 5.15 75.20 10.43 17.31 5.89 14.50 52.67 23.14P 0.42R 0.02 Bradford 8 17 +6 3.98 84.56 2.87 80.67 10.05 23.24 13.18 28.31 72.85 40.89P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 8 17 +6 6.03 93.78 6.04 68.15 10.76 4.57 1.91 5.15 26.94 9.41P 2.68R 0.19 Scunthorpe 8 15 +6 1.45 63.69 2.22 77.84 10.20 22.37 8.90 20.73 62.97 32.84P 0.18R 0.01 Charlton 8 15 +2 2.55 73.62 -0.27 70.22 10.24 6.64 2.13 6.06 33.13 12.02P 1.29R 0.08 Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +1 1.45 64.80 -1.87 69.37 10.42 5.55 2.10 5.78 30.29 11.46P 1.80R 0.10 MK_Dons 9 13 -2 0.87 58.54 -1.70 66.09 10.00 1.58 0.73 2.43 19.39 6.15P 3.23R 0.26 Rotherham 8 12 +5 0.48 54.98 4.22 68.17 11.11 10.98 2.12 5.71 28.63 11.03P 3.24R 0.33 Oxford_Utd 8 12 +5 -0.10 48.99 3.28 70.12 10.23 14.14 2.12 6.12 33.57 12.74P 1.40R 0.08 Blackburn 7 12 +4 -0.06 48.62 0.25 82.74 10.96 30.53 20.68 38.46 77.79 51.58P 0.11R 0.00 Portsmouth 8 11 +1 0.50 55.85 1.69 61.60 10.70 -1.28 0.41 1.42 11.77 3.56P 8.99R 1.15 Walsall 8 9 -4 -1.84 32.72 -3.68 58.08 10.08 -8.61 0.11 0.44 5.61 1.48P 14.40R 1.85 Bristol_Rovers 8 9 -6 -0.33 47.79 -2.97 55.54 10.39 -16.30 0.07 0.26 3.81 0.85P 22.52R 4.19 AFC_Wimbledon 9 8 -5 -2.31 28.88 -2.11 50.25 9.43 -16.75 0.00 0.03 0.73 0.15P 38.12R 8.49 Southend 8 7 -6 -3.91 15.99 -5.86 57.62 10.16 -8.54 0.12 0.40 5.13 1.41P 15.62R 2.26 Northampton 8 7 -6 -1.73 33.35 -2.22 50.36 10.01 -20.89 0.01 0.07 1.17 0.24P 39.49R 9.94 Doncaster 8 6 -3 -3.54 18.51 -0.73 51.82 10.53 -12.82 0.02 0.11 2.05 0.55P 33.68R 8.03 Gillingham 8 6 -5 -3.48 18.98 -2.64 51.34 10.23 -16.52 0.03 0.09 1.63 0.35P 35.24R 8.48 Rochdale 8 6 -6 -4.60 11.94 -5.39 57.58 10.39 -7.45 0.12 0.46 5.69 1.64P 16.23R 2.71 Bury 8 5 -6 -3.80 15.65 -2.27 48.08 9.99 -20.99 0.00 0.02 0.68 0.13P 47.70R 13.87 Plymouth 8 5 -7 -3.44 18.56 -3.23 46.12 10.06 -23.50 0.00 0.02 0.40 0.10P 55.70R 19.51 Oldham 8 4 -7 -4.32 11.53 -3.38 45.83 9.44 -21.54 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.05P 56.86R 18.37League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 September 2017, Forest_Green 0 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 8 22 +10 8.07 98.62 5.47 85.45 10.40 28.05 35.47 66.98 90.08 72.97P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 8 19 +6 8.86 98.93 7.29 69.39 10.27 2.77 2.68 12.97 40.01 17.54P 0.55R 0.14 Accrington_Stanley 8 16 +6 3.02 77.08 2.88 74.37 10.31 15.72 7.24 26.63 60.37 35.18P 0.14R 0.04 Swindon 9 16 +1 1.00 58.63 -3.04 77.76 10.44 18.19 12.14 38.21 71.90 48.10P 0.08R 0.01 Luton 8 14 +8 0.40 53.58 3.88 80.95 10.21 31.22 20.19 52.13 82.48 61.88P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 8 13 +5 1.00 60.16 3.33 69.23 9.99 11.33 2.40 12.46 41.05 19.65P 0.52R 0.15 Coventry 8 13 +4 -0.77 41.98 -0.13 76.33 10.56 20.85 10.52 33.99 67.78 44.74P 0.11R 0.04 Cambridge_Utd 8 13 +0 1.61 66.23 -0.71 68.39 9.99 5.19 1.77 10.43 36.69 16.77P 0.62R 0.11 Newport_County 8 12 +3 2.76 77.19 5.72 59.56 9.97 -3.90 0.24 1.95 11.89 3.73P 4.85R 1.49 Lincoln_City 8 12 +3 2.36 73.24 5.12 58.59 10.42 -5.41 0.28 2.03 11.22 3.80P 6.69R 2.25 Stevenage 8 12 +2 0.14 51.60 0.77 65.99 10.32 4.68 1.46 8.01 29.39 12.97P 1.29R 0.40 Wycombe 8 12 +1 -0.01 50.08 -0.72 67.11 10.22 5.44 1.74 9.09 32.83 14.78P 0.99R 0.23 Grimsby 8 12 -3 2.24 72.07 -0.96 60.58 10.26 -9.17 0.38 2.66 14.00 4.88P 4.64R 1.47 Barnet 8 11 +3 0.42 55.08 3.69 64.66 10.21 5.21 0.91 5.83 25.30 10.11P 1.80R 0.51 Crewe 8 11 +1 -0.06 49.88 0.98 62.36 10.25 -0.35 0.58 4.00 18.68 7.17P 3.03R 0.96 Morecambe 8 9 -2 -0.70 44.07 0.08 53.16 10.01 -15.45 0.04 0.43 3.89 1.06P 15.41R 6.07 Colchester 8 8 -2 -4.04 14.99 -3.71 63.46 10.43 2.75 0.98 5.29 22.25 9.69P 2.52R 0.71 Carlisle 8 8 -5 -2.08 30.61 -3.45 59.28 10.49 -7.14 0.29 2.19 12.17 4.27P 6.24R 2.21 Yeovil 8 8 -7 -1.31 37.96 -4.22 50.00 9.89 -23.75 0.02 0.19 1.88 0.51P 24.61R 10.37 Crawley_Town 8 7 -2 -2.41 27.11 0.57 51.43 9.98 -14.04 0.03 0.32 2.81 0.87P 19.38R 8.16 Cheltenham 8 7 -4 -2.66 25.50 -1.98 50.51 9.72 -17.29 0.03 0.19 2.04 0.57P 21.84R 9.07 Chesterfield 8 5 -10 -5.28 9.07 -8.81 55.80 10.97 -12.63 0.23 1.38 7.83 3.00P 12.31R 5.10 Forest_Green 9 5 -12 -3.33 20.63 -4.76 39.68 9.81 -41.33 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.02P 66.49R 48.50 Port_Vale 8 4 -6 -7.74 1.85 -7.30 59.44 10.69 -0.93 0.40 2.62 13.28 5.76P 5.86R 2.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barrow 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Aldershot 11 20 +9 1.40 61.77 3.69 76.32 9.28 21.36 14.05 58.42 26.10P 0.13R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 11 20 +7 2.05 67.14 2.55 79.15 9.55 24.05 22.23 69.52 35.18P 0.12R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 11 19 +8 -0.77 43.03 0.69 80.96 9.55 30.11 29.88 76.32 44.43P 0.07R 0.00 Sutton_United 11 19 +0 5.30 87.56 2.05 65.85 9.31 -1.31 1.56 17.04 4.06P 3.35R 0.15 Maidenhead 11 18 +5 3.87 79.01 6.34 63.18 10.32 0.64 1.51 14.31 4.00P 7.74R 0.68 Bromley 11 18 +4 2.92 73.70 4.14 65.94 9.52 4.08 1.90 18.82 4.95P 3.33R 0.14 Maidstone_United 11 18 +3 4.94 85.97 6.05 63.28 9.45 -1.17 0.94 12.03 2.71P 6.03R 0.39 Halifax 11 18 +3 4.57 83.71 5.39 61.86 10.05 -2.20 0.99 10.93 2.83P 8.88R 0.64 Wrexham 11 18 +3 2.76 73.13 2.50 65.10 9.09 2.82 1.21 15.15 4.00P 3.37R 0.17 Woking 11 18 +0 3.28 76.09 0.61 63.86 9.67 -4.10 1.30 13.62 3.36P 5.98R 0.38 Boreham_Wood 11 17 +5 2.20 68.74 5.17 67.52 9.36 9.23 2.40 23.33 6.71P 2.09R 0.07 Macclesfield 11 17 -3 1.17 60.17 -4.35 65.08 9.33 -2.42 1.41 15.25 4.23P 3.88R 0.20 Leyton_Orient 11 16 -3 -2.11 32.95 -7.63 69.96 10.12 6.24 5.44 32.57 12.52P 1.86R 0.11 Gateshead 11 15 +3 -2.33 30.49 -0.33 67.15 9.40 9.59 2.28 22.37 7.23P 2.40R 0.09 Hartlepool 11 15 -1 -2.52 29.74 -4.75 71.08 9.77 11.17 5.76 36.65 14.45P 1.12R 0.04 Eastleigh 11 13 +1 -2.19 32.27 0.69 61.20 9.22 1.86 0.47 8.15 2.14P 8.01R 0.53 Tranmere 11 13 +0 -6.18 8.95 -5.82 71.93 9.04 16.03 5.72 39.88 17.04P 0.57R 0.01 Barrow 11 12 +1 -4.49 16.35 -1.07 62.13 9.42 4.60 0.70 10.46 2.93P 6.86R 0.39 Ebbsfleet_United 11 12 +0 -0.82 44.29 3.58 53.28 10.09 -10.17 0.12 2.51 0.58P 31.46R 5.07 AFC_Fylde 11 12 -2 -0.16 50.10 2.83 51.99 10.19 -15.87 0.13 1.97 0.42P 37.14R 7.32 Chester 11 8 -9 -4.82 13.86 -5.32 48.01 9.22 -21.56 0.01 0.39 0.06P 52.92R 11.48 Guiseley 11 8 -12 -2.46 29.06 -5.31 43.38 8.71 -30.76 0.00 0.05 0.01P 73.31R 24.94 Solihull_Moors 11 7 -9 -4.62 14.60 -3.55 45.63 9.15 -23.80 0.01 0.19 0.04P 63.25R 17.56 Torquay 11 4 -13 -7.93 2.57 -8.14 42.21 9.08 -28.41 0.00 0.05 0.01P 76.11R 29.64