Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 21 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 September 2017, Chelsea 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 13 +14 2.09 76.97 7.30 81.72 8.53 53.59 48.94 71.58 85.15 93.06 99.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 5 13 +14 2.75 83.20 8.97 74.91 8.65 38.90 16.85 39.50 59.80 77.00 95.09 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +3 1.08 63.39 -0.17 74.43 8.79 33.53 15.25 36.25 56.90 74.77 93.97 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 5 9 +2 1.91 72.97 1.67 49.59 9.33 -5.68 0.06 0.29 0.87 2.29 11.62 5.77R 1.00 Tottenham 5 8 +4 -1.90 25.52 -0.64 73.67 8.60 36.06 13.18 33.13 54.22 72.62 93.69 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 5 8 +2 3.19 86.51 4.93 33.85 8.10 -30.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 58.10R 24.65 Burnley 5 8 +1 2.97 86.77 3.96 48.06 8.71 -6.37 0.03 0.11 0.31 1.05 7.21 6.47R 1.03 Liverpool 5 8 +0 -0.47 43.49 -2.39 65.02 9.23 18.59 2.50 8.47 18.48 32.57 69.33 0.10R 0.01 Southampton 5 8 +0 -0.51 43.59 -2.37 50.28 8.66 -4.15 0.04 0.23 0.73 2.11 11.22 3.61R 0.42 West_Brom 5 8 +0 0.89 62.27 -0.50 45.25 8.43 -11.67 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.53 3.90 10.90R 1.91 Watford 5 8 -2 2.98 85.53 1.07 42.71 8.56 -19.82 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.28 2.14 19.08R 4.43 Arsenal 5 7 -1 -1.38 32.55 -3.45 65.85 9.12 20.06 3.05 9.64 20.68 36.11 72.95 0.07R 0.00 Stoke 5 5 -1 -0.09 51.72 1.44 44.43 8.70 -10.20 0.01 0.03 0.14 0.45 3.32 13.69R 3.01 Swansea 5 5 -3 0.16 55.16 0.10 41.83 8.68 -16.81 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.27 1.97 21.61R 5.52 Leicester 5 4 -2 -1.89 26.80 -0.27 47.96 9.16 -5.08 0.02 0.11 0.41 1.36 8.16 7.84R 1.49 Brighton 5 4 -3 -1.40 33.43 -0.78 39.42 8.88 -18.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 1.30 30.97R 9.53 West_Ham 5 4 -6 -1.79 28.06 -4.35 41.91 8.91 -19.22 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.22 2.08 22.34R 5.81 Everton 5 4 -8 -0.90 39.88 -4.78 53.97 9.19 -1.14 0.08 0.58 1.91 5.05 21.89 2.13R 0.33 Bournemouth 5 3 -6 -2.34 20.07 -3.13 38.33 8.77 -23.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.87 36.29R 11.95 Crystal_Palace 5 0 -8 -6.01 0.59 -6.62 32.82 8.36 -27.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 61.03R 28.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 17 +11 3.60 82.60 7.45 76.23 9.92 21.99 17.56 30.61 64.60 39.95P 0.12R 0.01 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 5.81 93.45 4.68 72.30 9.87 10.11 8.75 17.29 48.04 23.97P 0.50R 0.05 Cardiff 8 17 +5 5.47 92.23 4.18 73.14 9.99 11.28 10.11 19.73 51.46 26.89P 0.50R 0.03 Preston 8 15 +6 3.69 83.54 5.28 71.54 9.86 12.78 7.69 15.58 45.44 22.87P 0.62R 0.05 Ipswich 7 15 +4 4.27 87.99 2.33 67.05 10.05 2.30 3.59 7.95 28.37 12.12P 1.94R 0.20 Sheff_Utd 8 15 +2 4.22 86.02 2.14 65.84 10.36 0.15 3.26 7.01 25.09 10.89P 3.17R 0.33 Middlesbrough 8 14 +5 0.62 56.28 1.48 75.30 10.16 18.66 15.08 27.51 60.94 38.17P 0.28R 0.02 Bristol_City 8 13 +5 1.66 66.59 4.50 64.50 10.12 3.72 2.29 5.28 21.63 8.78P 3.68R 0.47 Sheff_Wed 8 13 +3 0.47 54.79 0.61 72.10 9.85 13.63 8.54 17.09 47.96 25.98P 0.51R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 8 12 -2 2.26 72.83 -0.08 61.18 10.11 -7.02 1.01 2.62 13.07 4.64P 7.53R 1.26 QPR 8 11 +0 0.94 60.91 1.41 61.26 9.95 -2.90 0.99 2.50 13.03 4.69P 7.02R 1.03 Norwich 8 11 -4 -1.42 36.08 -6.13 66.49 10.37 1.02 3.52 7.65 27.49 12.63P 2.90R 0.38 Aston_Villa 8 10 +1 -0.79 42.51 1.06 63.12 9.60 3.30 1.31 3.18 16.96 6.52P 4.11R 0.47 Fulham 8 10 +1 -1.96 31.16 -0.57 68.88 10.28 11.46 5.33 11.37 36.49 18.19P 1.59R 0.17 Derby 7 10 +0 -0.30 46.95 -1.08 69.10 10.16 8.71 5.34 11.35 36.51 17.98P 1.33R 0.12 Millwall 8 9 +2 -0.59 45.40 4.19 53.67 10.26 -9.40 0.24 0.54 3.92 1.21P 24.16R 5.66 Hull 8 8 -1 -4.05 14.91 -2.61 64.07 10.79 5.01 2.81 6.01 22.07 10.39P 5.22R 0.82 Reading 7 8 -1 -1.25 37.71 -0.49 61.10 10.13 -1.48 1.03 2.57 13.28 5.12P 7.47R 1.15 Burton_Albion 8 8 -9 0.30 55.36 -4.05 48.00 9.28 -26.57 0.02 0.06 0.63 0.15P 45.96R 13.74 Barnsley 7 7 -3 -1.77 31.91 -1.62 53.99 10.15 -13.59 0.19 0.54 3.95 1.15P 23.42R 5.69 Sunderland 8 6 -5 -4.83 10.43 -4.83 60.19 10.43 -1.46 0.95 2.49 12.32 5.17P 9.36R 1.64 Brentford 8 4 -5 -6.93 3.08 -4.98 56.38 10.20 -5.18 0.38 1.05 6.32 2.43P 16.18R 3.27 Birmingham 8 4 -8 -5.12 7.21 -5.33 45.00 9.36 -23.73 0.01 0.02 0.31 0.06P 57.76R 21.16 Bolton 8 2 -12 -5.90 3.93 -7.55 40.51 9.68 -32.81 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 74.67R 42.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 September 2017, Wigan 1 0 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 8 22 +7 11.23 99.85 7.18 71.02 9.98 2.40 2.34 6.50 34.97 10.91P 1.00R 0.04 Wigan 8 19 +12 3.69 83.18 5.39 87.47 10.29 35.99 36.80 57.07 89.41 67.89P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 8 17 +8 4.17 85.09 5.15 74.96 10.25 16.96 5.58 13.73 52.20 22.29P 0.41R 0.01 Bradford 8 17 +6 4.05 84.90 2.96 80.54 9.90 23.04 12.87 28.18 73.26 40.91P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 8 17 +6 6.00 93.83 5.98 68.23 10.74 4.86 1.93 5.23 27.66 9.57P 2.70R 0.17 Scunthorpe 8 15 +6 1.52 64.47 2.32 77.89 10.11 22.55 9.02 20.85 64.01 33.02P 0.19R 0.01 Charlton 8 15 +2 2.63 74.54 -0.19 69.94 10.19 6.18 2.03 5.85 32.26 11.67P 1.45R 0.08 Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +1 1.41 64.37 -1.93 69.59 10.38 5.86 2.06 5.93 31.24 11.74P 1.74R 0.12 Rotherham 8 12 +5 0.53 55.56 4.30 67.88 11.04 10.48 2.01 5.39 27.95 10.57P 3.34R 0.34 Oxford_Utd 8 12 +5 -0.15 48.78 3.21 70.20 10.30 14.27 2.28 6.54 34.64 13.58P 1.47R 0.08 Blackburn 7 12 +4 -0.09 48.26 0.20 82.96 10.86 30.93 21.71 39.93 78.48 53.11P 0.08R 0.00 Portsmouth 8 11 +1 0.51 55.98 1.68 61.91 10.64 -0.85 0.45 1.49 12.48 3.77P 8.94R 1.16 MK_Dons 8 10 -4 -0.44 46.35 -3.20 63.18 10.13 -2.39 0.43 1.41 13.14 3.90P 6.37R 0.65 Walsall 8 9 -4 -1.85 32.38 -3.71 58.13 10.02 -8.60 0.13 0.39 5.56 1.47P 14.71R 1.96 Bristol_Rovers 8 9 -6 -0.34 47.57 -3.02 55.55 10.37 -16.24 0.07 0.25 3.85 0.81P 22.90R 4.27 AFC_Wimbledon 8 8 -3 -1.26 37.98 -0.53 52.83 9.68 -12.99 0.02 0.10 1.66 0.37P 29.33R 5.76 Southend 8 7 -6 -3.97 15.63 -5.93 57.68 10.15 -8.47 0.07 0.38 5.49 1.48P 15.92R 2.32 Northampton 8 7 -6 -1.70 34.05 -2.17 50.44 10.12 -20.83 0.01 0.07 1.23 0.26P 40.14R 10.28 Doncaster 8 6 -3 -3.49 18.69 -0.64 51.69 10.47 -13.03 0.04 0.13 2.08 0.53P 34.53R 8.45 Gillingham 8 6 -5 -3.50 18.67 -2.67 51.28 10.05 -16.62 0.02 0.07 1.47 0.35P 35.81R 8.49 Rochdale 8 6 -6 -4.63 11.63 -5.45 57.46 10.33 -7.62 0.12 0.47 5.52 1.57P 17.13R 2.75 Bury 8 5 -6 -3.85 15.30 -2.32 48.26 10.00 -20.81 0.00 0.03 0.74 0.13P 48.06R 13.95 Plymouth 8 5 -7 -3.48 18.52 -3.24 46.02 10.07 -23.63 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.08P 56.63R 20.33 Oldham 8 4 -7 -4.33 11.48 -3.38 45.90 9.40 -21.47 0.01 0.02 0.25 0.05P 57.08R 18.78League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 8 22 +10 8.12 98.69 5.51 85.47 10.38 28.10 35.98 67.62 90.35 73.41P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 8 19 +6 8.85 98.81 7.30 69.31 10.34 2.55 2.86 13.11 40.48 17.90P 0.67R 0.18 Accrington_Stanley 8 16 +6 3.02 77.10 2.94 74.53 10.32 15.91 7.87 27.67 61.41 36.14P 0.16R 0.05 Luton 8 14 +8 0.36 53.57 3.83 80.78 10.18 31.00 20.35 52.24 82.25 61.78P 0.03R 0.01 Mansfield 8 13 +5 1.09 61.27 3.44 69.04 10.10 11.03 2.55 12.82 40.85 19.69P 0.59R 0.16 Coventry 8 13 +4 -0.75 42.14 -0.11 76.33 10.47 20.88 10.68 34.30 67.99 45.13P 0.10R 0.02 Cambridge_Utd 8 13 +0 1.56 65.64 -0.77 68.44 10.07 5.28 2.03 11.21 37.36 17.38P 0.70R 0.19 Swindon 8 13 -1 0.01 49.71 -4.10 75.91 10.80 15.93 9.92 32.73 65.64 42.54P 0.20R 0.05 Newport_County 8 12 +3 2.79 77.60 5.77 59.67 10.06 -3.78 0.29 2.31 12.54 4.08P 5.12R 1.76 Lincoln_City 8 12 +3 2.38 73.30 5.20 58.47 10.43 -5.65 0.27 1.98 11.05 3.68P 7.44R 2.66 Stevenage 8 12 +2 0.15 51.70 0.81 65.68 10.26 4.21 1.37 7.79 28.83 12.62P 1.52R 0.48 Wycombe 8 12 +1 0.01 50.28 -0.70 67.08 10.17 5.44 1.65 9.44 33.37 15.40P 0.99R 0.26 Grimsby 8 12 -3 2.27 72.59 -0.92 60.62 10.30 -9.23 0.45 2.92 14.37 5.22P 5.01R 1.71 Barnet 8 11 +3 0.44 55.35 3.77 64.38 10.22 4.72 0.95 5.87 24.78 10.15P 1.99R 0.58 Crewe 8 11 +1 -0.13 49.08 0.88 62.61 10.19 0.03 0.66 4.16 19.56 7.47P 3.04R 1.04 Morecambe 8 9 -2 -0.68 44.28 0.09 53.11 9.96 -15.58 0.06 0.51 3.87 1.09P 16.12R 6.89 Colchester 8 8 -2 -4.00 15.19 -3.67 63.44 10.50 2.74 0.98 5.57 22.83 10.02P 2.79R 0.86 Carlisle 8 8 -5 -2.11 30.60 -3.51 59.32 10.57 -7.13 0.38 2.57 12.71 4.75P 6.75R 2.58 Yeovil 8 8 -7 -1.35 37.57 -4.26 50.24 9.94 -23.39 0.02 0.21 2.14 0.53P 24.85R 11.00 Crawley_Town 8 7 -2 -2.38 27.20 0.59 51.42 9.89 -14.12 0.04 0.31 2.57 0.73P 20.62R 8.98 Cheltenham 8 7 -4 -2.73 24.70 -2.08 50.60 9.78 -17.19 0.02 0.24 2.17 0.63P 22.73R 10.15 Forest_Green 8 5 -10 -2.64 25.02 -3.84 41.51 10.25 -38.85 0.00 0.03 0.37 0.09P 60.15R 42.78 Chesterfield 8 5 -10 -5.39 8.88 -8.97 56.33 10.94 -11.82 0.26 1.63 8.72 3.50P 11.92R 5.19 Port_Vale 8 4 -6 -7.68 1.86 -7.20 59.33 10.75 -1.10 0.37 2.75 13.81 6.05P 6.51R 2.41National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barrow 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Aldershot 11 20 +9 1.43 62.13 3.74 76.30 9.24 21.33 13.69 58.89 25.74P 0.14R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 11 20 +7 2.07 67.22 2.57 79.18 9.52 24.11 22.68 69.94 35.69P 0.11R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 11 19 +8 -0.74 42.97 0.76 80.92 9.48 30.12 29.98 76.08 44.09P 0.06R 0.00 Sutton_United 11 19 +0 5.29 87.52 2.01 65.82 9.36 -1.27 1.74 17.05 4.36P 3.44R 0.17 Maidenhead 11 18 +5 3.81 78.62 6.25 63.36 10.27 0.93 1.59 14.59 4.03P 7.37R 0.61 Bromley 11 18 +4 2.95 74.04 4.14 66.06 9.49 4.24 1.89 18.98 5.10P 3.23R 0.16 Maidstone_United 11 18 +3 4.92 85.75 6.05 63.44 9.35 -0.99 1.00 12.07 2.79P 5.67R 0.26 Halifax 11 18 +3 4.50 83.30 5.26 62.09 10.01 -1.87 1.03 11.41 2.87P 8.43R 0.58 Wrexham 11 18 +3 2.78 73.32 2.53 65.10 9.05 2.79 1.23 15.13 4.01P 3.29R 0.13 Woking 11 18 +0 3.28 76.02 0.63 63.83 9.56 -4.14 1.25 13.51 3.40P 5.64R 0.39 Boreham_Wood 11 17 +5 2.23 69.10 5.23 67.44 9.31 9.11 2.32 23.22 6.81P 2.03R 0.09 Macclesfield 11 17 -3 1.16 60.08 -4.35 65.02 9.19 -2.46 1.32 14.90 4.12P 3.64R 0.16 Leyton_Orient 11 16 -3 -2.20 32.28 -7.80 70.23 10.02 6.67 5.54 33.34 12.88P 1.72R 0.07 Gateshead 11 15 +3 -2.31 30.74 -0.27 66.98 9.46 9.34 2.39 22.20 7.23P 2.49R 0.11 Hartlepool 11 15 -1 -2.51 29.90 -4.73 71.05 9.63 11.08 5.48 36.18 14.29P 1.03R 0.04 Eastleigh 11 13 +1 -2.22 32.10 0.68 61.19 9.27 1.83 0.51 8.22 2.07P 8.19R 0.61 Tranmere 11 13 +0 -6.16 8.81 -5.78 71.74 9.00 15.75 5.48 39.02 16.70P 0.56R 0.01 Barrow 11 12 +1 -4.50 16.33 -1.10 62.09 9.43 4.55 0.66 10.46 2.84P 7.02R 0.45 Ebbsfleet_United 11 12 +0 -0.75 44.90 3.70 53.01 10.09 -10.54 0.11 2.17 0.44P 32.89R 5.49 AFC_Fylde 11 12 -2 -0.15 50.59 2.84 51.87 10.22 -16.05 0.09 1.95 0.42P 37.80R 7.68 Chester 11 8 -9 -4.83 14.07 -5.36 48.04 9.27 -21.50 0.01 0.42 0.07P 52.95R 11.76 Guiseley 11 8 -12 -2.48 28.92 -5.34 43.56 8.80 -30.49 0.00 0.07 0.00P 72.44R 24.30 Solihull_Moors 11 7 -9 -4.57 14.82 -3.46 45.56 9.10 -23.97 0.00 0.15 0.02P 63.57R 17.47 Torquay 11 4 -13 -7.93 2.49 -8.16 42.12 9.08 -28.57 0.00 0.06 0.01P 76.30R 29.48