Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 September 2017, Chelsea 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   13  +14       2.09    76.97     7.30    81.72     8.53    53.59    48.94    71.58    85.15    93.06    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           5   13  +14       2.75    83.20     8.97    74.91     8.65    38.90    16.85    39.50    59.80    77.00    95.09     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           5   10   +3       1.08    63.39    -0.17    74.43     8.79    33.53    15.25    36.25    56.90    74.77    93.97     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         5    9   +2       1.91    72.97     1.67    49.59     9.33    -5.68     0.06     0.29     0.87     2.29    11.62     5.77R    1.00  
Tottenham         5    8   +4      -1.90    25.52    -0.64    73.67     8.60    36.06    13.18    33.13    54.22    72.62    93.69     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield      5    8   +2       3.19    86.51     4.93    33.85     8.10   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    58.10R   24.65  
Burnley           5    8   +1       2.97    86.77     3.96    48.06     8.71    -6.37     0.03     0.11     0.31     1.05     7.21     6.47R    1.03  
Liverpool         5    8   +0      -0.47    43.49    -2.39    65.02     9.23    18.59     2.50     8.47    18.48    32.57    69.33     0.10R    0.01  
Southampton       5    8   +0      -0.51    43.59    -2.37    50.28     8.66    -4.15     0.04     0.23     0.73     2.11    11.22     3.61R    0.42  
West_Brom         5    8   +0       0.89    62.27    -0.50    45.25     8.43   -11.67     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.53     3.90    10.90R    1.91  
Watford           5    8   -2       2.98    85.53     1.07    42.71     8.56   -19.82     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.28     2.14    19.08R    4.43  
Arsenal           5    7   -1      -1.38    32.55    -3.45    65.85     9.12    20.06     3.05     9.64    20.68    36.11    72.95     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -0.09    51.72     1.44    44.43     8.70   -10.20     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.45     3.32    13.69R    3.01  
Swansea           5    5   -3       0.16    55.16     0.10    41.83     8.68   -16.81     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.27     1.97    21.61R    5.52  
Leicester         5    4   -2      -1.89    26.80    -0.27    47.96     9.16    -5.08     0.02     0.11     0.41     1.36     8.16     7.84R    1.49  
Brighton          5    4   -3      -1.40    33.43    -0.78    39.42     8.88   -18.01     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     1.30    30.97R    9.53  
West_Ham          5    4   -6      -1.79    28.06    -4.35    41.91     8.91   -19.22     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     2.08    22.34R    5.81  
Everton           5    4   -8      -0.90    39.88    -4.78    53.97     9.19    -1.14     0.08     0.58     1.91     5.05    21.89     2.13R    0.33  
Bournemouth       5    3   -6      -2.34    20.07    -3.13    38.33     8.77   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.87    36.29R   11.95  
Crystal_Palace    5    0   -8      -6.01     0.59    -6.62    32.82     8.36   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    61.03R   28.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     8   17  +11       3.60    82.60     7.45    76.23     9.92    21.99    17.56    30.61    64.60    39.95P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       5.81    93.45     4.68    72.30     9.87    10.11     8.75    17.29    48.04    23.97P    0.50R    0.05  
Cardiff          8   17   +5       5.47    92.23     4.18    73.14     9.99    11.28    10.11    19.73    51.46    26.89P    0.50R    0.03  
Preston          8   15   +6       3.69    83.54     5.28    71.54     9.86    12.78     7.69    15.58    45.44    22.87P    0.62R    0.05  
Ipswich          7   15   +4       4.27    87.99     2.33    67.05    10.05     2.30     3.59     7.95    28.37    12.12P    1.94R    0.20  
Sheff_Utd        8   15   +2       4.22    86.02     2.14    65.84    10.36     0.15     3.26     7.01    25.09    10.89P    3.17R    0.33  
Middlesbrough    8   14   +5       0.62    56.28     1.48    75.30    10.16    18.66    15.08    27.51    60.94    38.17P    0.28R    0.02  
Bristol_City     8   13   +5       1.66    66.59     4.50    64.50    10.12     3.72     2.29     5.28    21.63     8.78P    3.68R    0.47  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   +3       0.47    54.79     0.61    72.10     9.85    13.63     8.54    17.09    47.96    25.98P    0.51R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    8   12   -2       2.26    72.83    -0.08    61.18    10.11    -7.02     1.01     2.62    13.07     4.64P    7.53R    1.26  
QPR              8   11   +0       0.94    60.91     1.41    61.26     9.95    -2.90     0.99     2.50    13.03     4.69P    7.02R    1.03  
Norwich          8   11   -4      -1.42    36.08    -6.13    66.49    10.37     1.02     3.52     7.65    27.49    12.63P    2.90R    0.38  
Aston_Villa      8   10   +1      -0.79    42.51     1.06    63.12     9.60     3.30     1.31     3.18    16.96     6.52P    4.11R    0.47  
Fulham           8   10   +1      -1.96    31.16    -0.57    68.88    10.28    11.46     5.33    11.37    36.49    18.19P    1.59R    0.17  
Derby            7   10   +0      -0.30    46.95    -1.08    69.10    10.16     8.71     5.34    11.35    36.51    17.98P    1.33R    0.12  
Millwall         8    9   +2      -0.59    45.40     4.19    53.67    10.26    -9.40     0.24     0.54     3.92     1.21P   24.16R    5.66  
Hull             8    8   -1      -4.05    14.91    -2.61    64.07    10.79     5.01     2.81     6.01    22.07    10.39P    5.22R    0.82  
Reading          7    8   -1      -1.25    37.71    -0.49    61.10    10.13    -1.48     1.03     2.57    13.28     5.12P    7.47R    1.15  
Burton_Albion    8    8   -9       0.30    55.36    -4.05    48.00     9.28   -26.57     0.02     0.06     0.63     0.15P   45.96R   13.74  
Barnsley         7    7   -3      -1.77    31.91    -1.62    53.99    10.15   -13.59     0.19     0.54     3.95     1.15P   23.42R    5.69  
Sunderland       8    6   -5      -4.83    10.43    -4.83    60.19    10.43    -1.46     0.95     2.49    12.32     5.17P    9.36R    1.64  
Brentford        8    4   -5      -6.93     3.08    -4.98    56.38    10.20    -5.18     0.38     1.05     6.32     2.43P   16.18R    3.27  
Birmingham       8    4   -8      -5.12     7.21    -5.33    45.00     9.36   -23.73     0.01     0.02     0.31     0.06P   57.76R   21.16  
Bolton           8    2  -12      -5.90     3.93    -7.55    40.51     9.68   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   74.67R   42.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 September 2017, Wigan 1 0 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury        8   22   +7      11.23    99.85     7.18    71.02     9.98     2.40     2.34     6.50    34.97    10.91P    1.00R    0.04  
Wigan             8   19  +12       3.69    83.18     5.39    87.47    10.29    35.99    36.80    57.07    89.41    67.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough      8   17   +8       4.17    85.09     5.15    74.96    10.25    16.96     5.58    13.73    52.20    22.29P    0.41R    0.01  
Bradford          8   17   +6       4.05    84.90     2.96    80.54     9.90    23.04    12.87    28.18    73.26    40.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool         8   17   +6       6.00    93.83     5.98    68.23    10.74     4.86     1.93     5.23    27.66     9.57P    2.70R    0.17  
Scunthorpe        8   15   +6       1.52    64.47     2.32    77.89    10.11    22.55     9.02    20.85    64.01    33.02P    0.19R    0.01  
Charlton          8   15   +2       2.63    74.54    -0.19    69.94    10.19     6.18     2.03     5.85    32.26    11.67P    1.45R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town    7   13   +1       1.41    64.37    -1.93    69.59    10.38     5.86     2.06     5.93    31.24    11.74P    1.74R    0.12  
Rotherham         8   12   +5       0.53    55.56     4.30    67.88    11.04    10.48     2.01     5.39    27.95    10.57P    3.34R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd        8   12   +5      -0.15    48.78     3.21    70.20    10.30    14.27     2.28     6.54    34.64    13.58P    1.47R    0.08  
Blackburn         7   12   +4      -0.09    48.26     0.20    82.96    10.86    30.93    21.71    39.93    78.48    53.11P    0.08R    0.00  
Portsmouth        8   11   +1       0.51    55.98     1.68    61.91    10.64    -0.85     0.45     1.49    12.48     3.77P    8.94R    1.16  
MK_Dons           8   10   -4      -0.44    46.35    -3.20    63.18    10.13    -2.39     0.43     1.41    13.14     3.90P    6.37R    0.65  
Walsall           8    9   -4      -1.85    32.38    -3.71    58.13    10.02    -8.60     0.13     0.39     5.56     1.47P   14.71R    1.96  
Bristol_Rovers    8    9   -6      -0.34    47.57    -3.02    55.55    10.37   -16.24     0.07     0.25     3.85     0.81P   22.90R    4.27  
AFC_Wimbledon     8    8   -3      -1.26    37.98    -0.53    52.83     9.68   -12.99     0.02     0.10     1.66     0.37P   29.33R    5.76  
Southend          8    7   -6      -3.97    15.63    -5.93    57.68    10.15    -8.47     0.07     0.38     5.49     1.48P   15.92R    2.32  
Northampton       8    7   -6      -1.70    34.05    -2.17    50.44    10.12   -20.83     0.01     0.07     1.23     0.26P   40.14R   10.28  
Doncaster         8    6   -3      -3.49    18.69    -0.64    51.69    10.47   -13.03     0.04     0.13     2.08     0.53P   34.53R    8.45  
Gillingham        8    6   -5      -3.50    18.67    -2.67    51.28    10.05   -16.62     0.02     0.07     1.47     0.35P   35.81R    8.49  
Rochdale          8    6   -6      -4.63    11.63    -5.45    57.46    10.33    -7.62     0.12     0.47     5.52     1.57P   17.13R    2.75  
Bury              8    5   -6      -3.85    15.30    -2.32    48.26    10.00   -20.81     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.13P   48.06R   13.95  
Plymouth          8    5   -7      -3.48    18.52    -3.24    46.02    10.07   -23.63     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   56.63R   20.33  
Oldham            8    4   -7      -4.33    11.48    -3.38    45.90     9.40   -21.47     0.01     0.02     0.25     0.05P   57.08R   18.78  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter                8   22  +10       8.12    98.69     5.51    85.47    10.38    28.10    35.98    67.62    90.35    73.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County          8   19   +6       8.85    98.81     7.30    69.31    10.34     2.55     2.86    13.11    40.48    17.90P    0.67R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley    8   16   +6       3.02    77.10     2.94    74.53    10.32    15.91     7.87    27.67    61.41    36.14P    0.16R    0.05  
Luton                 8   14   +8       0.36    53.57     3.83    80.78    10.18    31.00    20.35    52.24    82.25    61.78P    0.03R    0.01  
Mansfield             8   13   +5       1.09    61.27     3.44    69.04    10.10    11.03     2.55    12.82    40.85    19.69P    0.59R    0.16  
Coventry              8   13   +4      -0.75    42.14    -0.11    76.33    10.47    20.88    10.68    34.30    67.99    45.13P    0.10R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd         8   13   +0       1.56    65.64    -0.77    68.44    10.07     5.28     2.03    11.21    37.36    17.38P    0.70R    0.19  
Swindon               8   13   -1       0.01    49.71    -4.10    75.91    10.80    15.93     9.92    32.73    65.64    42.54P    0.20R    0.05  
Newport_County        8   12   +3       2.79    77.60     5.77    59.67    10.06    -3.78     0.29     2.31    12.54     4.08P    5.12R    1.76  
Lincoln_City          8   12   +3       2.38    73.30     5.20    58.47    10.43    -5.65     0.27     1.98    11.05     3.68P    7.44R    2.66  
Stevenage             8   12   +2       0.15    51.70     0.81    65.68    10.26     4.21     1.37     7.79    28.83    12.62P    1.52R    0.48  
Wycombe               8   12   +1       0.01    50.28    -0.70    67.08    10.17     5.44     1.65     9.44    33.37    15.40P    0.99R    0.26  
Grimsby               8   12   -3       2.27    72.59    -0.92    60.62    10.30    -9.23     0.45     2.92    14.37     5.22P    5.01R    1.71  
Barnet                8   11   +3       0.44    55.35     3.77    64.38    10.22     4.72     0.95     5.87    24.78    10.15P    1.99R    0.58  
Crewe                 8   11   +1      -0.13    49.08     0.88    62.61    10.19     0.03     0.66     4.16    19.56     7.47P    3.04R    1.04  
Morecambe             8    9   -2      -0.68    44.28     0.09    53.11     9.96   -15.58     0.06     0.51     3.87     1.09P   16.12R    6.89  
Colchester            8    8   -2      -4.00    15.19    -3.67    63.44    10.50     2.74     0.98     5.57    22.83    10.02P    2.79R    0.86  
Carlisle              8    8   -5      -2.11    30.60    -3.51    59.32    10.57    -7.13     0.38     2.57    12.71     4.75P    6.75R    2.58  
Yeovil                8    8   -7      -1.35    37.57    -4.26    50.24     9.94   -23.39     0.02     0.21     2.14     0.53P   24.85R   11.00  
Crawley_Town          8    7   -2      -2.38    27.20     0.59    51.42     9.89   -14.12     0.04     0.31     2.57     0.73P   20.62R    8.98  
Cheltenham            8    7   -4      -2.73    24.70    -2.08    50.60     9.78   -17.19     0.02     0.24     2.17     0.63P   22.73R   10.15  
Forest_Green          8    5  -10      -2.64    25.02    -3.84    41.51    10.25   -38.85     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.09P   60.15R   42.78  
Chesterfield          8    5  -10      -5.39     8.88    -8.97    56.33    10.94   -11.82     0.26     1.63     8.72     3.50P   11.92R    5.19  
Port_Vale             8    4   -6      -7.68     1.86    -7.20    59.33    10.75    -1.10     0.37     2.75    13.81     6.05P    6.51R    2.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barrow 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Aldershot          11   20   +9       1.43    62.13     3.74    76.30     9.24    21.33    13.69    58.89    25.74P    0.14R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     11   20   +7       2.07    67.22     2.57    79.18     9.52    24.11    22.68    69.94    35.69P    0.11R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          11   19   +8      -0.74    42.97     0.76    80.92     9.48    30.12    29.98    76.08    44.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Sutton_United      11   19   +0       5.29    87.52     2.01    65.82     9.36    -1.27     1.74    17.05     4.36P    3.44R    0.17  
Maidenhead         11   18   +5       3.81    78.62     6.25    63.36    10.27     0.93     1.59    14.59     4.03P    7.37R    0.61  
Bromley            11   18   +4       2.95    74.04     4.14    66.06     9.49     4.24     1.89    18.98     5.10P    3.23R    0.16  
Maidstone_United   11   18   +3       4.92    85.75     6.05    63.44     9.35    -0.99     1.00    12.07     2.79P    5.67R    0.26  
Halifax            11   18   +3       4.50    83.30     5.26    62.09    10.01    -1.87     1.03    11.41     2.87P    8.43R    0.58  
Wrexham            11   18   +3       2.78    73.32     2.53    65.10     9.05     2.79     1.23    15.13     4.01P    3.29R    0.13  
Woking             11   18   +0       3.28    76.02     0.63    63.83     9.56    -4.14     1.25    13.51     3.40P    5.64R    0.39  
Boreham_Wood       11   17   +5       2.23    69.10     5.23    67.44     9.31     9.11     2.32    23.22     6.81P    2.03R    0.09  
Macclesfield       11   17   -3       1.16    60.08    -4.35    65.02     9.19    -2.46     1.32    14.90     4.12P    3.64R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient      11   16   -3      -2.20    32.28    -7.80    70.23    10.02     6.67     5.54    33.34    12.88P    1.72R    0.07  
Gateshead          11   15   +3      -2.31    30.74    -0.27    66.98     9.46     9.34     2.39    22.20     7.23P    2.49R    0.11  
Hartlepool         11   15   -1      -2.51    29.90    -4.73    71.05     9.63    11.08     5.48    36.18    14.29P    1.03R    0.04  
Eastleigh          11   13   +1      -2.22    32.10     0.68    61.19     9.27     1.83     0.51     8.22     2.07P    8.19R    0.61  
Tranmere           11   13   +0      -6.16     8.81    -5.78    71.74     9.00    15.75     5.48    39.02    16.70P    0.56R    0.01  
Barrow             11   12   +1      -4.50    16.33    -1.10    62.09     9.43     4.55     0.66    10.46     2.84P    7.02R    0.45  
Ebbsfleet_United   11   12   +0      -0.75    44.90     3.70    53.01    10.09   -10.54     0.11     2.17     0.44P   32.89R    5.49  
AFC_Fylde          11   12   -2      -0.15    50.59     2.84    51.87    10.22   -16.05     0.09     1.95     0.42P   37.80R    7.68  
Chester            11    8   -9      -4.83    14.07    -5.36    48.04     9.27   -21.50     0.01     0.42     0.07P   52.95R   11.76  
Guiseley           11    8  -12      -2.48    28.92    -5.34    43.56     8.80   -30.49     0.00     0.07     0.00P   72.44R   24.30  
Solihull_Moors     11    7   -9      -4.57    14.82    -3.46    45.56     9.10   -23.97     0.00     0.15     0.02P   63.57R   17.47  
Torquay            11    4  -13      -7.93     2.49    -8.16    42.12     9.08   -28.57     0.00     0.06     0.01P   76.30R   29.48