Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   13  +14       2.07    76.79     7.30    82.14     8.45    54.28    49.84    73.44    86.65    93.77    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           4   10  +10       1.92    77.04     6.20    71.93     8.93    32.55     9.82    26.12    45.77    64.99    89.62     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4    9   +3       1.78    72.70     0.30    76.21     9.17    36.23    20.83    45.03    64.95    79.60    94.78     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         5    9   +2       1.88    72.43     1.63    49.75     9.37    -5.47     0.06     0.29     0.98     2.54    11.56     5.47R    0.93  
Tottenham         5    8   +4      -1.81    26.79    -0.48    73.95     8.68    36.40    13.59    34.46    55.83    73.61    93.32     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield      5    8   +2       3.22    87.17     5.00    33.57     8.04   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    58.45R   25.01  
Burnley           5    8   +1       2.95    86.70     3.93    47.99     8.66    -6.50     0.02     0.09     0.35     1.16     6.72     6.27R    1.01  
Liverpool         5    8   +0      -0.47    43.51    -2.39    65.01     9.29    18.54     2.38     8.54    18.53    33.04    68.09     0.12R    0.01  
Southampton       5    8   +0      -0.47    44.20    -2.31    50.18     8.76    -4.37     0.02     0.18     0.71     2.10    10.94     3.81R    0.55  
West_Brom         5    8   +0       0.95    63.24    -0.42    45.13     8.44   -11.84     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.50     3.45    10.98R    1.98  
Watford           5    8   -2       3.00    85.81     1.14    42.59     8.51   -20.03     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.24     1.96    19.04R    4.39  
Arsenal           4    6   -1      -1.34    29.49    -3.97    65.83     9.35    19.49     3.15    10.19    21.18    36.43    71.04     0.06R    0.01  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -0.13    51.22     1.36    44.64     8.73    -9.94     0.01     0.04     0.14     0.48     3.47    12.98R    2.69  
Swansea           5    5   -3       0.11    54.69     0.02    41.46     8.78   -17.45     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.88    22.79R    5.81  
Leicester         5    4   -2      -1.94    26.30    -0.34    47.77     9.16    -5.36     0.02     0.11     0.41     1.32     7.74     7.83R    1.42  
Brighton          5    4   -3      -1.42    33.44    -0.77    39.27     8.92   -18.35     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.17     1.30    31.10R    9.30  
Everton           4    4   -4      -0.32    48.24    -2.03    56.81     9.41     5.11     0.25     1.39     4.07     9.50    31.88     1.14R    0.14  
West_Ham          5    4   -6      -1.90    26.93    -4.53    41.58     8.98   -19.90     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.24     2.03    23.12R    6.05  
Bournemouth       5    3   -6      -2.32    20.80    -3.07    38.41     8.84   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.90    35.50R   11.56  
Crystal_Palace    5    0   -8      -5.94     0.63    -6.56    32.60     8.40   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    61.34R   29.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     8   17  +11       3.57    82.43     7.40    76.27     9.86    22.02    17.72    30.73    65.06    40.09P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       5.83    93.71     4.68    72.35     9.92    10.19     8.91    17.78    48.52    24.83P    0.50R    0.04  
Cardiff          8   17   +5       5.44    92.11     4.13    73.27    10.04    11.49    10.55    20.39    52.08    27.68P    0.46R    0.03  
Preston          8   15   +6       3.70    83.58     5.29    71.37     9.97    12.56     7.69    15.56    45.04    22.70P    0.65R    0.05  
Ipswich          7   15   +4       4.35    88.18     2.42    66.86     9.96     2.06     3.37     7.45    27.65    11.51P    2.13R    0.20  
Sheff_Utd        8   15   +2       4.30    86.37     2.24    65.72    10.47     0.03     3.03     6.69    25.30    10.51P    3.51R    0.39  
Middlesbrough    8   14   +5       0.63    56.21     1.51    75.21    10.10    18.52    15.17    26.92    60.37    37.49P    0.22R    0.01  
Bristol_City     8   13   +5       1.66    66.66     4.51    64.69    10.04     3.95     2.34     5.56    22.20     9.25P    3.47R    0.40  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   +3       0.46    54.78     0.62    72.01     9.80    13.53     8.28    16.87    47.55    25.63P    0.53R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    8   12   -2       2.26    72.69    -0.08    61.10    10.04    -7.13     0.95     2.43    12.81     4.43P    7.57R    1.21  
QPR              8   11   +0       0.91    60.53     1.33    61.31     9.96    -2.86     0.96     2.56    13.22     4.73P    7.01R    1.09  
Norwich          8   11   -4      -1.36    36.61    -6.07    66.30    10.34     0.73     3.51     7.51    27.01    12.30P    2.95R    0.30  
Aston_Villa      8   10   +1      -0.79    42.56     1.04    63.10     9.63     3.24     1.30     3.41    16.66     6.57P    4.19R    0.49  
Fulham           8   10   +1      -1.96    31.55    -0.54    68.68    10.17    11.11     5.01    10.84    35.62    17.58P    1.55R    0.19  
Derby            7   10   +0      -0.35    46.49    -1.12    69.31    10.18     8.97     5.66    11.80    37.39    18.52P    1.29R    0.14  
Millwall         8    9   +2      -0.54    45.58     4.26    53.49    10.18    -9.65     0.21     0.55     3.72     1.22P   24.58R    5.70  
Hull             8    8   -1      -4.06    15.02    -2.63    64.12    11.03     5.06     2.82     6.44    22.83    11.02P    5.65R    0.87  
Reading          7    8   -1      -1.20    38.07    -0.43    60.98    10.16    -1.65     1.05     2.59    13.16     4.97P    7.47R    1.19  
Burton_Albion    8    8   -9       0.29    55.47    -4.06    48.22     9.36   -26.23     0.01     0.05     0.76     0.15P   45.43R   13.75  
Barnsley         7    7   -3      -1.83    31.20    -1.69    54.25    10.15   -13.21     0.22     0.57     4.11     1.30P   22.75R    5.42  
Sunderland       8    6   -5      -4.83    10.44    -4.82    60.10    10.37    -1.53     0.87     2.23    11.98     4.99P    9.54R    1.67  
Brentford        8    4   -5      -7.01     2.99    -5.09    56.49    10.20    -5.02     0.36     1.01     6.47     2.36P   16.22R    3.47  
Birmingham       8    4   -8      -5.15     7.11    -5.37    45.21     9.30   -23.45     0.01     0.03     0.35     0.10P   57.48R   20.56  
Bolton           8    2  -12      -5.90     3.86    -7.55    40.53     9.69   -32.74     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   74.71R   42.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Blackburn 0 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury        8   22   +7      11.26    99.86     7.22    70.95     9.96     2.21     2.37     6.61    34.81    10.99P    1.02R    0.05  
Peterborough      8   17   +8       4.15    84.92     5.15    75.09    10.45    17.19     6.21    14.99    52.95    23.29P    0.45R    0.02  
Bradford          8   17   +6       4.03    84.66     2.95    80.61     9.99    23.27    13.19    29.23    73.55    41.58P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool         8   17   +6       6.07    93.94     6.08    68.08    10.69     4.51     1.78     5.09    27.60     9.30P    2.84R    0.20  
Wigan             7   16  +11       2.77    77.51     5.48    87.58    10.62    37.95    38.12    57.65    89.39    68.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton          8   15   +2       2.59    74.19    -0.25    70.09    10.26     6.37     2.19     6.25    33.23    12.32P    1.47R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town    7   13   +1       1.40    64.23    -1.95    69.55    10.24     5.79     2.05     5.84    31.39    11.87P    1.66R    0.10  
Rotherham         8   12   +5       0.48    55.08     4.20    68.02    11.07    10.78     2.10     5.67    28.74    11.02P    3.31R    0.37  
Oxford_Utd        8   12   +5      -0.19    48.35     3.16    70.19    10.32    14.22     2.30     6.59    34.94    13.53P    1.62R    0.11  
Scunthorpe        7   12   +5       0.15    51.06     1.68    76.03    10.45    21.26     6.83    16.98    57.35    28.44P    0.38R    0.02  
Blackburn         7   12   +4      -0.06    48.63     0.24    82.85    10.89    30.84    21.40    39.68    78.45    52.97P    0.10R    0.00  
Portsmouth        8   11   +1       0.56    56.33     1.78    61.69    10.74    -1.23     0.45     1.59    12.34     3.91P    9.57R    1.22  
MK_Dons           8   10   -4      -0.46    46.01    -3.21    63.31    10.21    -2.17     0.46     1.54    14.11     4.33P    6.50R    0.71  
Walsall           8    9   -4      -1.90    32.15    -3.77    58.35    10.19    -8.33     0.16     0.57     6.34     1.73P   14.72R    2.07  
Bristol_Rovers    8    9   -6      -0.31    47.63    -2.89    55.60    10.40   -16.25     0.04     0.31     4.15     0.99P   23.45R    4.27  
AFC_Wimbledon     8    8   -3      -1.31    37.50    -0.60    53.05     9.69   -12.82     0.02     0.08     1.75     0.36P   28.86R    5.48  
Northampton       7    7   -5      -1.10    39.66    -2.42    50.61    10.24   -22.25     0.01     0.07     1.47     0.32P   40.17R   10.64  
Southend          8    7   -6      -3.91    16.04    -5.84    57.54    10.21    -8.76     0.10     0.40     5.58     1.48P   16.91R    2.55  
Doncaster         7    6   -2      -2.45    25.74    -0.08    53.38    10.83   -11.83     0.06     0.31     3.45     1.02P   29.92R    6.86  
Gillingham        8    6   -5      -3.50    18.69    -2.66    51.43    10.08   -16.51     0.02     0.09     1.56     0.38P   35.97R    8.71  
Rochdale          8    6   -6      -4.64    11.81    -5.44    57.29    10.27    -7.98     0.13     0.39     5.35     1.50P   17.58R    2.80  
Bury              8    5   -6      -3.82    15.70    -2.22    48.20    10.05   -21.05     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.14P   48.48R   14.53  
Plymouth          8    5   -7      -3.53    18.04    -3.31    46.28    10.06   -23.40     0.01     0.03     0.53     0.13P   56.84R   19.76  
Oldham            8    4   -7      -4.31    11.64    -3.31    45.79     9.48   -21.80     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   58.08R   19.45  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter                8   22  +10       8.09    98.69     5.48    85.54    10.32    28.21    36.03    67.89    90.39    73.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County          8   19   +6       8.80    98.80     7.19    69.66    10.19     3.12     2.81    13.29    41.58    18.12P    0.52R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley    8   16   +6       2.98    76.73     2.88    74.64    10.28    16.13     7.68    27.43    61.69    36.16P    0.14R    0.03  
Luton                 8   14   +8       0.38    53.51     3.86    80.82    10.15    31.02    20.09    52.14    82.40    61.67P    0.03R    0.01  
Mansfield             8   13   +5       1.08    60.94     3.45    69.03    10.08    10.98     2.55    12.57    40.38    19.49P    0.56R    0.12  
Coventry              8   13   +4      -0.77    41.69    -0.14    76.37    10.58    20.94    10.81    34.52    68.13    45.19P    0.12R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd         8   13   +0       1.60    66.00    -0.71    68.29    10.09     5.08     1.99    10.68    36.83    17.00P    0.66R    0.18  
Swindon               8   13   -1       0.00    49.64    -4.06    76.01    10.89    16.11    10.27    33.06    65.52    42.55P    0.16R    0.04  
Newport_County        8   12   +3       2.77    77.46     5.73    59.76    10.01    -3.57     0.31     2.26    12.52     4.18P    4.74R    1.66  
Lincoln_City          8   12   +3       2.42    73.84     5.22    58.23    10.42    -6.00     0.24     1.91    10.67     3.61P    7.47R    2.62  
Stevenage             8   12   +2       0.09    51.04     0.70    66.01    10.39     4.71     1.48     8.47    29.86    13.49P    1.49R    0.39  
Wycombe               8   12   +1      -0.02    50.04    -0.76    67.19    10.23     5.62     1.82     9.41    33.39    15.43P    0.99R    0.27  
Grimsby               8   12   -3       2.28    72.64    -0.91    60.43    10.21    -9.46     0.43     2.67    13.84     4.78P    4.75R    1.63  
Barnet                8   11   +3       0.41    55.10     3.69    64.58    10.22     5.10     0.98     6.07    25.25    10.37P    1.87R    0.54  
Crewe                 8   11   +1      -0.15    49.20     0.85    62.81    10.21     0.37     0.64     4.44    19.93     7.82P    2.91R    0.95  
Morecambe             8    9   -2      -0.69    44.31     0.06    53.02     9.90   -15.72     0.04     0.47     3.69     1.05P   16.41R    6.83  
Colchester            8    8   -2      -4.03    15.09    -3.69    63.34    10.44     2.55     0.80     5.25    22.26     9.50P    2.69R    0.92  
Carlisle              8    8   -5      -2.16    30.00    -3.57    59.38    10.50    -7.03     0.39     2.48    12.60     4.67P    6.41R    2.38  
Yeovil                8    8   -7      -1.31    38.20    -4.18    50.00     9.89   -23.74     0.02     0.23     2.01     0.54P   25.20R   10.99  
Crawley_Town          8    7   -2      -2.36    27.23     0.63    51.34     9.86   -14.22     0.03     0.31     2.61     0.76P   20.30R    8.73  
Cheltenham            8    7   -4      -2.63    25.55    -1.96    50.41     9.72   -17.49     0.02     0.22     2.01     0.53P   22.67R   10.13  
Forest_Green          8    5  -10      -2.56    25.71    -3.68    41.02    10.17   -39.88     0.00     0.03     0.32     0.07P   61.95R   44.16  
Chesterfield          8    5  -10      -5.29     9.00    -8.87    56.24    10.83   -11.88     0.20     1.57     8.44     3.23P   11.74R    5.04  
Port_Vale             8    4   -6      -7.69     1.89    -7.24    59.46    10.68    -0.93     0.37     2.64    13.68     5.81P    6.21R    2.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Barrow 0 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United      10   19   +2       6.32    92.64     3.49    67.97     9.56     1.81     3.05    23.78     6.59P    2.39R    0.10  
Halifax            10   18   +5       5.07    87.24     5.99    63.54    10.20     0.26     1.66    14.57     4.09P    6.86R    0.46  
Aldershot          10   17   +8      -0.25    47.55     2.70    74.07     9.56    19.54    11.00    48.95    21.37P    0.38R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       10   17   +6       3.45    78.93     5.98    68.89     9.41    10.32     3.78    27.52     8.54P    1.58R    0.05  
Dover_Athletic     10   17   +3       1.70    65.00     0.50    76.35     9.81    18.29    16.35    57.50    27.14P    0.32R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   17   +3       3.46    78.93     2.93    66.20     9.19     3.88     1.83    18.13     5.13P    2.81R    0.11  
Macclesfield       10   17   +0       2.32    70.29    -1.64    68.81     9.47     4.09     3.80    26.69     8.90P    1.81R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red          10   16   +6      -1.62    35.37    -0.12    79.22     9.71    27.85    25.49    69.40    39.15P    0.11R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      10   16   -2      -0.93    41.48    -6.97    72.61    10.31     9.30     9.89    42.16    18.38P    1.06R    0.03  
Maidenhead         10   15   +4       2.47    71.08     5.65    60.83    10.46    -1.38     1.13    10.26     2.85P   11.80R    1.21  
Gateshead          10   15   +4      -1.01    40.97     0.60    69.38     9.61    11.87     4.59    30.11    10.83P    1.58R    0.06  
Bromley            10   15   +3       2.00    68.01     4.16    64.59     9.72     3.41     1.61    15.79     4.32P    5.15R    0.27  
Maidstone_United   10   15   +0       3.49    79.50     3.34    59.07     9.43    -7.95     0.38     5.47     1.18P   13.62R    1.21  
Woking             10   15   -2       2.16    69.49    -0.59    61.73     9.82    -7.00     0.92     9.94     2.49P    9.28R    0.73  
Eastleigh          10   12   +1      -1.56    36.99     1.11    62.49     9.40     3.33     0.83    10.56     3.00P    6.66R    0.40  
Tranmere           10   12   +0      -5.63     9.98    -5.57    72.72     9.32    16.71     8.02    42.90    19.69P    0.54R    0.01  
Hartlepool         10   12   -2      -4.15    17.45    -5.72    68.46     9.90     8.75     4.05    27.24    10.78P    2.29R    0.11  
Barrow             10   11   +1      -3.74    19.52    -0.51    63.43     9.69     6.03     1.32    13.44     4.23P    5.83R    0.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   11   +0      -0.75    44.75     3.26    52.70    10.31   -11.84     0.15     2.40     0.56P   34.54R    6.30  
AFC_Fylde          10   11   -2      -0.07    51.02     2.35    51.36    10.32   -17.19     0.12     1.82     0.47P   40.43R    8.29  
Chester            10    8   -5      -4.55    14.65    -3.21    50.60     9.41   -15.63     0.04     0.90     0.19P   41.57R    7.22  
Solihull_Moors     10    7   -8      -3.72    19.05    -3.21    47.07     9.40   -22.93     0.01     0.35     0.07P   57.34R   14.18  
Guiseley           10    7  -12      -2.49    27.61    -5.74    43.06     8.89   -31.65     0.00     0.07     0.01P   74.48R   26.32  
Torquay            10    3  -13      -7.98     1.87    -8.79    41.67     9.26   -29.86     0.00     0.06     0.02P   77.55R   32.42