Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 16 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 13 +14 2.07 76.79 7.30 82.14 8.45 54.28 49.84 73.44 86.65 93.77 99.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 4 10 +10 1.92 77.04 6.20 71.93 8.93 32.55 9.82 26.12 45.77 64.99 89.62 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 4 9 +3 1.78 72.70 0.30 76.21 9.17 36.23 20.83 45.03 64.95 79.60 94.78 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 5 9 +2 1.88 72.43 1.63 49.75 9.37 -5.47 0.06 0.29 0.98 2.54 11.56 5.47R 0.93 Tottenham 5 8 +4 -1.81 26.79 -0.48 73.95 8.68 36.40 13.59 34.46 55.83 73.61 93.32 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 5 8 +2 3.22 87.17 5.00 33.57 8.04 -31.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 58.45R 25.01 Burnley 5 8 +1 2.95 86.70 3.93 47.99 8.66 -6.50 0.02 0.09 0.35 1.16 6.72 6.27R 1.01 Liverpool 5 8 +0 -0.47 43.51 -2.39 65.01 9.29 18.54 2.38 8.54 18.53 33.04 68.09 0.12R 0.01 Southampton 5 8 +0 -0.47 44.20 -2.31 50.18 8.76 -4.37 0.02 0.18 0.71 2.10 10.94 3.81R 0.55 West_Brom 5 8 +0 0.95 63.24 -0.42 45.13 8.44 -11.84 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.50 3.45 10.98R 1.98 Watford 5 8 -2 3.00 85.81 1.14 42.59 8.51 -20.03 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.24 1.96 19.04R 4.39 Arsenal 4 6 -1 -1.34 29.49 -3.97 65.83 9.35 19.49 3.15 10.19 21.18 36.43 71.04 0.06R 0.01 Stoke 5 5 -1 -0.13 51.22 1.36 44.64 8.73 -9.94 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.48 3.47 12.98R 2.69 Swansea 5 5 -3 0.11 54.69 0.02 41.46 8.78 -17.45 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.20 1.88 22.79R 5.81 Leicester 5 4 -2 -1.94 26.30 -0.34 47.77 9.16 -5.36 0.02 0.11 0.41 1.32 7.74 7.83R 1.42 Brighton 5 4 -3 -1.42 33.44 -0.77 39.27 8.92 -18.35 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.17 1.30 31.10R 9.30 Everton 4 4 -4 -0.32 48.24 -2.03 56.81 9.41 5.11 0.25 1.39 4.07 9.50 31.88 1.14R 0.14 West_Ham 5 4 -6 -1.90 26.93 -4.53 41.58 8.98 -19.90 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.24 2.03 23.12R 6.05 Bournemouth 5 3 -6 -2.32 20.80 -3.07 38.41 8.84 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.90 35.50R 11.56 Crystal_Palace 5 0 -8 -5.94 0.63 -6.56 32.60 8.40 -28.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 61.34R 29.15Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Barnsley 0 3 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 17 +11 3.57 82.43 7.40 76.27 9.86 22.02 17.72 30.73 65.06 40.09P 0.12R 0.01 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 5.83 93.71 4.68 72.35 9.92 10.19 8.91 17.78 48.52 24.83P 0.50R 0.04 Cardiff 8 17 +5 5.44 92.11 4.13 73.27 10.04 11.49 10.55 20.39 52.08 27.68P 0.46R 0.03 Preston 8 15 +6 3.70 83.58 5.29 71.37 9.97 12.56 7.69 15.56 45.04 22.70P 0.65R 0.05 Ipswich 7 15 +4 4.35 88.18 2.42 66.86 9.96 2.06 3.37 7.45 27.65 11.51P 2.13R 0.20 Sheff_Utd 8 15 +2 4.30 86.37 2.24 65.72 10.47 0.03 3.03 6.69 25.30 10.51P 3.51R 0.39 Middlesbrough 8 14 +5 0.63 56.21 1.51 75.21 10.10 18.52 15.17 26.92 60.37 37.49P 0.22R 0.01 Bristol_City 8 13 +5 1.66 66.66 4.51 64.69 10.04 3.95 2.34 5.56 22.20 9.25P 3.47R 0.40 Sheff_Wed 8 13 +3 0.46 54.78 0.62 72.01 9.80 13.53 8.28 16.87 47.55 25.63P 0.53R 0.04 Nott'm_Forest 8 12 -2 2.26 72.69 -0.08 61.10 10.04 -7.13 0.95 2.43 12.81 4.43P 7.57R 1.21 QPR 8 11 +0 0.91 60.53 1.33 61.31 9.96 -2.86 0.96 2.56 13.22 4.73P 7.01R 1.09 Norwich 8 11 -4 -1.36 36.61 -6.07 66.30 10.34 0.73 3.51 7.51 27.01 12.30P 2.95R 0.30 Aston_Villa 8 10 +1 -0.79 42.56 1.04 63.10 9.63 3.24 1.30 3.41 16.66 6.57P 4.19R 0.49 Fulham 8 10 +1 -1.96 31.55 -0.54 68.68 10.17 11.11 5.01 10.84 35.62 17.58P 1.55R 0.19 Derby 7 10 +0 -0.35 46.49 -1.12 69.31 10.18 8.97 5.66 11.80 37.39 18.52P 1.29R 0.14 Millwall 8 9 +2 -0.54 45.58 4.26 53.49 10.18 -9.65 0.21 0.55 3.72 1.22P 24.58R 5.70 Hull 8 8 -1 -4.06 15.02 -2.63 64.12 11.03 5.06 2.82 6.44 22.83 11.02P 5.65R 0.87 Reading 7 8 -1 -1.20 38.07 -0.43 60.98 10.16 -1.65 1.05 2.59 13.16 4.97P 7.47R 1.19 Burton_Albion 8 8 -9 0.29 55.47 -4.06 48.22 9.36 -26.23 0.01 0.05 0.76 0.15P 45.43R 13.75 Barnsley 7 7 -3 -1.83 31.20 -1.69 54.25 10.15 -13.21 0.22 0.57 4.11 1.30P 22.75R 5.42 Sunderland 8 6 -5 -4.83 10.44 -4.82 60.10 10.37 -1.53 0.87 2.23 11.98 4.99P 9.54R 1.67 Brentford 8 4 -5 -7.01 2.99 -5.09 56.49 10.20 -5.02 0.36 1.01 6.47 2.36P 16.22R 3.47 Birmingham 8 4 -8 -5.15 7.11 -5.37 45.21 9.30 -23.45 0.01 0.03 0.35 0.10P 57.48R 20.56 Bolton 8 2 -12 -5.90 3.86 -7.55 40.53 9.69 -32.74 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.03P 74.71R 42.77League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Blackburn 0 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 8 22 +7 11.26 99.86 7.22 70.95 9.96 2.21 2.37 6.61 34.81 10.99P 1.02R 0.05 Peterborough 8 17 +8 4.15 84.92 5.15 75.09 10.45 17.19 6.21 14.99 52.95 23.29P 0.45R 0.02 Bradford 8 17 +6 4.03 84.66 2.95 80.61 9.99 23.27 13.19 29.23 73.55 41.58P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 8 17 +6 6.07 93.94 6.08 68.08 10.69 4.51 1.78 5.09 27.60 9.30P 2.84R 0.20 Wigan 7 16 +11 2.77 77.51 5.48 87.58 10.62 37.95 38.12 57.65 89.39 68.35P 0.02R 0.00 Charlton 8 15 +2 2.59 74.19 -0.25 70.09 10.26 6.37 2.19 6.25 33.23 12.32P 1.47R 0.09 Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +1 1.40 64.23 -1.95 69.55 10.24 5.79 2.05 5.84 31.39 11.87P 1.66R 0.10 Rotherham 8 12 +5 0.48 55.08 4.20 68.02 11.07 10.78 2.10 5.67 28.74 11.02P 3.31R 0.37 Oxford_Utd 8 12 +5 -0.19 48.35 3.16 70.19 10.32 14.22 2.30 6.59 34.94 13.53P 1.62R 0.11 Scunthorpe 7 12 +5 0.15 51.06 1.68 76.03 10.45 21.26 6.83 16.98 57.35 28.44P 0.38R 0.02 Blackburn 7 12 +4 -0.06 48.63 0.24 82.85 10.89 30.84 21.40 39.68 78.45 52.97P 0.10R 0.00 Portsmouth 8 11 +1 0.56 56.33 1.78 61.69 10.74 -1.23 0.45 1.59 12.34 3.91P 9.57R 1.22 MK_Dons 8 10 -4 -0.46 46.01 -3.21 63.31 10.21 -2.17 0.46 1.54 14.11 4.33P 6.50R 0.71 Walsall 8 9 -4 -1.90 32.15 -3.77 58.35 10.19 -8.33 0.16 0.57 6.34 1.73P 14.72R 2.07 Bristol_Rovers 8 9 -6 -0.31 47.63 -2.89 55.60 10.40 -16.25 0.04 0.31 4.15 0.99P 23.45R 4.27 AFC_Wimbledon 8 8 -3 -1.31 37.50 -0.60 53.05 9.69 -12.82 0.02 0.08 1.75 0.36P 28.86R 5.48 Northampton 7 7 -5 -1.10 39.66 -2.42 50.61 10.24 -22.25 0.01 0.07 1.47 0.32P 40.17R 10.64 Southend 8 7 -6 -3.91 16.04 -5.84 57.54 10.21 -8.76 0.10 0.40 5.58 1.48P 16.91R 2.55 Doncaster 7 6 -2 -2.45 25.74 -0.08 53.38 10.83 -11.83 0.06 0.31 3.45 1.02P 29.92R 6.86 Gillingham 8 6 -5 -3.50 18.69 -2.66 51.43 10.08 -16.51 0.02 0.09 1.56 0.38P 35.97R 8.71 Rochdale 8 6 -6 -4.64 11.81 -5.44 57.29 10.27 -7.98 0.13 0.39 5.35 1.50P 17.58R 2.80 Bury 8 5 -6 -3.82 15.70 -2.22 48.20 10.05 -21.05 0.00 0.03 0.72 0.14P 48.48R 14.53 Plymouth 8 5 -7 -3.53 18.04 -3.31 46.28 10.06 -23.40 0.01 0.03 0.53 0.13P 56.84R 19.76 Oldham 8 4 -7 -4.31 11.64 -3.31 45.79 9.48 -21.80 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.06P 58.08R 19.45League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 September 2017, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 8 22 +10 8.09 98.69 5.48 85.54 10.32 28.21 36.03 67.89 90.39 73.99P 0.01R 0.00 Notts_County 8 19 +6 8.80 98.80 7.19 69.66 10.19 3.12 2.81 13.29 41.58 18.12P 0.52R 0.13 Accrington_Stanley 8 16 +6 2.98 76.73 2.88 74.64 10.28 16.13 7.68 27.43 61.69 36.16P 0.14R 0.03 Luton 8 14 +8 0.38 53.51 3.86 80.82 10.15 31.02 20.09 52.14 82.40 61.67P 0.03R 0.01 Mansfield 8 13 +5 1.08 60.94 3.45 69.03 10.08 10.98 2.55 12.57 40.38 19.49P 0.56R 0.12 Coventry 8 13 +4 -0.77 41.69 -0.14 76.37 10.58 20.94 10.81 34.52 68.13 45.19P 0.12R 0.02 Cambridge_Utd 8 13 +0 1.60 66.00 -0.71 68.29 10.09 5.08 1.99 10.68 36.83 17.00P 0.66R 0.18 Swindon 8 13 -1 0.00 49.64 -4.06 76.01 10.89 16.11 10.27 33.06 65.52 42.55P 0.16R 0.04 Newport_County 8 12 +3 2.77 77.46 5.73 59.76 10.01 -3.57 0.31 2.26 12.52 4.18P 4.74R 1.66 Lincoln_City 8 12 +3 2.42 73.84 5.22 58.23 10.42 -6.00 0.24 1.91 10.67 3.61P 7.47R 2.62 Stevenage 8 12 +2 0.09 51.04 0.70 66.01 10.39 4.71 1.48 8.47 29.86 13.49P 1.49R 0.39 Wycombe 8 12 +1 -0.02 50.04 -0.76 67.19 10.23 5.62 1.82 9.41 33.39 15.43P 0.99R 0.27 Grimsby 8 12 -3 2.28 72.64 -0.91 60.43 10.21 -9.46 0.43 2.67 13.84 4.78P 4.75R 1.63 Barnet 8 11 +3 0.41 55.10 3.69 64.58 10.22 5.10 0.98 6.07 25.25 10.37P 1.87R 0.54 Crewe 8 11 +1 -0.15 49.20 0.85 62.81 10.21 0.37 0.64 4.44 19.93 7.82P 2.91R 0.95 Morecambe 8 9 -2 -0.69 44.31 0.06 53.02 9.90 -15.72 0.04 0.47 3.69 1.05P 16.41R 6.83 Colchester 8 8 -2 -4.03 15.09 -3.69 63.34 10.44 2.55 0.80 5.25 22.26 9.50P 2.69R 0.92 Carlisle 8 8 -5 -2.16 30.00 -3.57 59.38 10.50 -7.03 0.39 2.48 12.60 4.67P 6.41R 2.38 Yeovil 8 8 -7 -1.31 38.20 -4.18 50.00 9.89 -23.74 0.02 0.23 2.01 0.54P 25.20R 10.99 Crawley_Town 8 7 -2 -2.36 27.23 0.63 51.34 9.86 -14.22 0.03 0.31 2.61 0.76P 20.30R 8.73 Cheltenham 8 7 -4 -2.63 25.55 -1.96 50.41 9.72 -17.49 0.02 0.22 2.01 0.53P 22.67R 10.13 Forest_Green 8 5 -10 -2.56 25.71 -3.68 41.02 10.17 -39.88 0.00 0.03 0.32 0.07P 61.95R 44.16 Chesterfield 8 5 -10 -5.29 9.00 -8.87 56.24 10.83 -11.88 0.20 1.57 8.44 3.23P 11.74R 5.04 Port_Vale 8 4 -6 -7.69 1.89 -7.24 59.46 10.68 -0.93 0.37 2.64 13.68 5.81P 6.21R 2.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Barrow 0 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 10 19 +2 6.32 92.64 3.49 67.97 9.56 1.81 3.05 23.78 6.59P 2.39R 0.10 Halifax 10 18 +5 5.07 87.24 5.99 63.54 10.20 0.26 1.66 14.57 4.09P 6.86R 0.46 Aldershot 10 17 +8 -0.25 47.55 2.70 74.07 9.56 19.54 11.00 48.95 21.37P 0.38R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 10 17 +6 3.45 78.93 5.98 68.89 9.41 10.32 3.78 27.52 8.54P 1.58R 0.05 Dover_Athletic 10 17 +3 1.70 65.00 0.50 76.35 9.81 18.29 16.35 57.50 27.14P 0.32R 0.02 Wrexham 10 17 +3 3.46 78.93 2.93 66.20 9.19 3.88 1.83 18.13 5.13P 2.81R 0.11 Macclesfield 10 17 +0 2.32 70.29 -1.64 68.81 9.47 4.09 3.80 26.69 8.90P 1.81R 0.06 Dag_&_Red 10 16 +6 -1.62 35.37 -0.12 79.22 9.71 27.85 25.49 69.40 39.15P 0.11R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 10 16 -2 -0.93 41.48 -6.97 72.61 10.31 9.30 9.89 42.16 18.38P 1.06R 0.03 Maidenhead 10 15 +4 2.47 71.08 5.65 60.83 10.46 -1.38 1.13 10.26 2.85P 11.80R 1.21 Gateshead 10 15 +4 -1.01 40.97 0.60 69.38 9.61 11.87 4.59 30.11 10.83P 1.58R 0.06 Bromley 10 15 +3 2.00 68.01 4.16 64.59 9.72 3.41 1.61 15.79 4.32P 5.15R 0.27 Maidstone_United 10 15 +0 3.49 79.50 3.34 59.07 9.43 -7.95 0.38 5.47 1.18P 13.62R 1.21 Woking 10 15 -2 2.16 69.49 -0.59 61.73 9.82 -7.00 0.92 9.94 2.49P 9.28R 0.73 Eastleigh 10 12 +1 -1.56 36.99 1.11 62.49 9.40 3.33 0.83 10.56 3.00P 6.66R 0.40 Tranmere 10 12 +0 -5.63 9.98 -5.57 72.72 9.32 16.71 8.02 42.90 19.69P 0.54R 0.01 Hartlepool 10 12 -2 -4.15 17.45 -5.72 68.46 9.90 8.75 4.05 27.24 10.78P 2.29R 0.11 Barrow 10 11 +1 -3.74 19.52 -0.51 63.43 9.69 6.03 1.32 13.44 4.23P 5.83R 0.42 Ebbsfleet_United 10 11 +0 -0.75 44.75 3.26 52.70 10.31 -11.84 0.15 2.40 0.56P 34.54R 6.30 AFC_Fylde 10 11 -2 -0.07 51.02 2.35 51.36 10.32 -17.19 0.12 1.82 0.47P 40.43R 8.29 Chester 10 8 -5 -4.55 14.65 -3.21 50.60 9.41 -15.63 0.04 0.90 0.19P 41.57R 7.22 Solihull_Moors 10 7 -8 -3.72 19.05 -3.21 47.07 9.40 -22.93 0.01 0.35 0.07P 57.34R 14.18 Guiseley 10 7 -12 -2.49 27.61 -5.74 43.06 8.89 -31.65 0.00 0.07 0.01P 74.48R 26.32 Torquay 10 3 -13 -7.98 1.87 -8.79 41.67 9.26 -29.86 0.00 0.06 0.02P 77.55R 32.42