Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 15 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 September 2017, West_Ham 2 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 4 10 +10 1.91 77.12 6.09 71.95 8.96 32.87 11.06 26.19 43.85 62.60 88.59 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 4 10 +8 1.75 74.84 3.57 78.44 8.81 44.28 31.99 55.34 72.97 85.37 97.00 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 4 9 +3 1.77 72.59 0.27 76.51 9.11 37.38 23.96 45.86 64.47 79.05 94.83 0.00R 0.00 Watford 4 8 +4 3.27 88.93 5.16 45.82 8.84 -10.99 0.00 0.05 0.21 0.65 4.50 10.72R 2.00 Tottenham 4 7 +4 -0.65 40.23 0.70 76.60 8.88 41.44 23.91 46.72 65.99 80.44 95.38 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 4 7 +2 3.26 89.55 4.60 33.00 8.30 -34.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 61.58R 28.16 Burnley 4 7 +1 2.78 88.27 3.25 47.38 8.86 -8.26 0.02 0.10 0.30 0.91 5.94 7.94R 1.31 Liverpool 4 7 +0 0.46 58.36 -1.62 67.06 9.56 21.72 4.83 12.87 24.57 39.67 73.39 0.07R 0.01 West_Brom 4 7 +0 1.40 70.21 -0.29 45.71 8.76 -12.13 0.01 0.06 0.21 0.59 4.21 10.60R 2.02 Newcastle 4 6 +1 0.47 56.15 0.95 47.94 9.56 -6.83 0.04 0.18 0.62 1.64 8.13 8.31R 1.58 Arsenal 4 6 -1 -1.30 29.63 -3.98 66.06 9.35 20.29 3.74 10.73 21.26 35.43 70.28 0.07R 0.01 Stoke 4 5 +0 0.98 67.50 2.03 46.20 8.90 -8.70 0.00 0.06 0.26 0.71 4.60 10.11R 1.97 Southampton 4 5 -1 -2.02 23.85 -3.20 48.43 8.92 -5.78 0.03 0.15 0.47 1.34 7.42 6.13R 1.10 Brighton 4 4 -2 -0.24 49.46 -0.12 40.99 9.25 -17.14 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.24 1.88 25.96R 7.27 Swansea 4 4 -3 -0.30 48.31 -1.33 40.13 8.83 -21.21 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.19 28.61R 7.83 Everton 4 4 -4 -0.37 47.50 -2.07 56.89 9.51 5.29 0.34 1.45 3.93 9.04 30.55 1.19R 0.15 Leicester 4 3 -2 -1.14 32.87 0.35 48.82 9.44 -4.43 0.04 0.18 0.65 1.74 8.99 6.91R 1.25 West_Ham 4 3 -6 -1.63 25.44 -4.60 41.89 9.28 -20.57 0.01 0.02 0.10 0.32 2.21 23.31R 6.21 Bournemouth 4 0 -7 -3.77 3.85 -3.81 36.37 9.04 -25.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.53 44.67R 16.81 Crystal_Palace 4 0 -7 -4.95 1.26 -5.95 34.28 8.66 -27.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.23 53.80R 22.33Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 September 2017, Fulham 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 7 17 +12 4.94 92.42 8.41 78.58 10.09 24.47 23.42 38.86 73.10 48.31P 0.09R 0.00 Cardiff 7 16 +5 6.00 95.25 4.42 73.46 10.18 11.21 10.49 20.61 53.22 28.01P 0.51R 0.05 Sheff_Utd 7 15 +3 5.78 94.44 3.39 68.85 10.71 3.56 5.41 11.26 35.92 16.44P 1.95R 0.22 Wolverhampton 7 14 +4 4.21 88.38 3.72 69.29 10.10 7.12 5.18 11.20 36.73 16.89P 1.32R 0.11 Preston 7 12 +4 2.39 75.66 3.77 68.36 10.00 8.68 4.02 9.15 33.73 14.98P 1.56R 0.17 Sheff_Wed 7 12 +3 0.64 56.90 0.38 71.88 9.94 12.83 7.97 16.19 47.52 24.76P 0.56R 0.05 Ipswich 6 12 +2 3.51 84.90 1.60 65.32 10.20 0.17 2.60 5.93 23.54 9.65P 3.39R 0.48 Nott'm_Forest 7 12 -1 3.68 85.06 1.01 63.56 10.31 -4.44 1.69 4.29 18.95 7.04P 5.12R 0.82 Middlesbrough 7 11 +4 -0.39 45.79 1.38 73.76 10.33 17.77 11.86 22.44 55.13 33.02P 0.46R 0.05 QPR 7 11 +1 1.59 67.87 1.35 62.05 9.92 -2.48 1.03 2.88 14.87 5.28P 6.12R 0.96 Derby 6 10 +3 0.63 57.40 1.28 72.18 10.21 14.26 8.78 17.66 48.83 26.08P 0.71R 0.07 Bristol_City 7 10 +2 0.59 57.23 2.37 60.96 10.19 -2.26 1.14 2.74 13.42 4.93P 7.76R 1.34 Fulham 7 10 +2 -0.56 44.08 0.47 70.83 10.34 13.33 7.25 14.93 43.92 22.80P 1.08R 0.11 Norwich 7 8 -5 -3.17 18.97 -7.31 63.79 10.45 -1.77 2.04 4.81 20.25 8.77P 5.17R 0.83 Barnsley 6 7 +0 -0.68 43.13 0.89 57.73 10.35 -6.73 0.54 1.39 8.29 2.90P 14.16R 3.16 Hull 7 7 -1 -3.43 16.95 -2.29 65.58 11.15 6.78 3.70 7.99 27.35 13.31P 4.38R 0.74 Reading 6 7 -1 -1.20 36.58 -1.04 60.52 10.30 -2.99 0.89 2.43 12.75 4.69P 8.60R 1.64 Aston_Villa 7 7 -2 -2.20 27.21 -1.64 58.77 9.62 -3.48 0.44 1.20 8.14 2.79P 10.00R 1.73 Millwall 7 6 +1 -2.21 27.56 3.23 51.00 10.41 -12.25 0.12 0.36 2.64 0.86P 33.75R 10.41 Sunderland 7 5 -5 -4.61 10.01 -5.07 59.86 10.56 -2.51 0.89 2.23 12.00 4.95P 10.50R 2.24 Burton_Albion 7 5 -10 -1.39 35.20 -5.10 45.86 9.43 -28.18 0.01 0.03 0.44 0.09P 55.26R 21.64 Birmingham 7 4 -6 -4.14 10.43 -3.92 47.81 9.40 -19.22 0.01 0.05 0.72 0.18P 45.51R 14.52 Brentford 7 3 -5 -6.39 2.86 -4.72 57.47 10.42 -4.03 0.49 1.36 8.26 3.20P 14.71R 3.19 Bolton 7 2 -10 -5.25 5.28 -6.58 42.51 9.94 -29.84 0.00 0.02 0.27 0.06P 67.32R 35.45League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Shrewsbury 7 19 +6 9.70 99.70 6.36 68.52 10.23 0.11 1.30 3.99 25.64 7.41P 1.94R 0.11 Peterborough 7 16 +8 4.48 88.52 5.05 75.75 10.67 17.55 6.48 15.26 53.52 23.83P 0.41R 0.03 Charlton 7 15 +3 3.84 84.61 0.58 72.78 10.56 9.38 3.48 9.11 41.54 16.13P 0.78R 0.04 Bradford 7 14 +5 2.94 79.07 2.71 79.47 10.27 23.01 10.41 23.59 67.55 35.88P 0.09R 0.01 Blackpool 7 14 +4 4.69 90.41 4.46 64.77 11.03 -0.05 0.94 2.78 18.04 5.67P 5.68R 0.56 Wigan 6 13 +8 2.16 73.32 4.10 85.08 11.07 33.81 26.10 45.40 82.45 57.88P 0.04R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 6 13 +4 2.44 76.02 0.60 73.06 10.58 11.94 3.69 9.74 43.18 17.73P 0.77R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 7 12 +7 0.85 58.85 4.65 72.79 10.53 18.11 3.58 9.69 43.11 17.77P 0.78R 0.04 Rotherham 7 12 +6 1.41 63.97 4.50 69.55 11.42 11.89 2.78 7.11 32.80 12.86P 2.53R 0.24 Blackburn 6 12 +5 1.68 67.97 1.76 87.20 11.24 36.77 34.04 53.44 86.17 64.37P 0.04R 0.00 Scunthorpe 7 12 +5 0.14 51.02 1.69 76.35 10.42 21.61 6.15 15.84 56.54 27.30P 0.37R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 7 9 -3 0.19 52.76 -1.46 57.92 10.68 -11.76 0.17 0.59 6.11 1.53P 16.27R 2.69 Portsmouth 7 8 -2 -0.56 45.34 -0.47 57.16 10.75 -8.45 0.16 0.57 5.65 1.61P 17.57R 2.99 Walsall 7 8 -4 -1.58 34.30 -3.86 58.76 10.42 -8.31 0.14 0.52 6.57 1.69P 13.42R 1.79 MK_Dons 7 7 -5 -1.69 32.66 -3.64 61.00 10.46 -4.14 0.21 0.89 9.54 2.76P 9.52R 1.16 Doncaster 7 6 -2 -2.63 24.30 -0.29 53.55 10.87 -11.52 0.04 0.21 3.17 0.82P 27.97R 6.02 Northampton 6 6 -5 -1.02 39.26 -2.95 50.01 10.40 -23.78 0.01 0.04 1.16 0.21P 40.54R 10.98 Rochdale 7 6 -5 -3.56 16.92 -4.92 58.65 10.53 -6.86 0.15 0.58 6.63 1.89P 13.87R 2.04 Southend 7 6 -6 -3.19 19.27 -5.27 58.86 10.47 -7.21 0.13 0.51 6.84 1.89P 13.41R 1.86 AFC_Wimbledon 7 5 -4 -3.43 16.72 -2.40 48.87 9.92 -17.82 0.01 0.03 0.70 0.15P 43.59R 11.15 Oldham 7 4 -6 -3.04 18.99 -2.50 48.00 9.78 -19.37 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.09P 46.93R 12.85 Bury 7 4 -6 -3.16 18.77 -1.78 49.33 10.36 -20.14 0.01 0.05 1.11 0.20P 42.53R 11.97 Plymouth 7 4 -7 -3.31 17.95 -3.45 45.75 10.47 -25.27 0.01 0.02 0.53 0.11P 56.52R 20.73 Gillingham 7 3 -6 -5.05 7.25 -3.49 48.71 10.36 -19.48 0.01 0.03 0.96 0.20P 44.44R 12.68League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 7 19 +7 7.23 98.14 3.67 82.63 10.62 23.18 28.59 58.51 84.32 64.96P 0.01R 0.00 Notts_County 7 16 +5 7.24 97.70 6.36 67.16 10.61 0.73 2.43 10.49 32.82 14.59P 1.19R 0.30 Accrington_Stanley 7 13 +5 1.43 64.28 1.94 72.26 10.61 13.93 6.48 22.73 52.66 30.24P 0.29R 0.05 Coventry 7 13 +5 0.53 54.94 0.75 78.45 10.76 23.02 17.30 43.65 74.00 53.15P 0.07R 0.01 Lincoln_City 7 12 +4 3.50 82.93 5.81 60.65 10.86 -3.52 0.70 4.02 16.35 6.52P 5.17R 1.68 Newport_County 7 12 +4 3.92 86.84 6.35 61.31 10.39 -2.36 0.69 3.94 16.38 6.21P 3.79R 1.16 Stevenage 7 12 +3 1.01 60.43 0.99 67.00 10.56 5.13 2.44 10.65 33.31 15.84P 1.20R 0.35 Wycombe 7 12 +2 1.23 63.47 0.04 69.22 10.45 7.64 3.59 14.58 40.99 21.25P 0.64R 0.15 Luton 7 11 +7 -1.14 37.65 3.08 78.78 10.34 29.45 17.63 45.66 76.47 55.46P 0.04R 0.01 Crewe 7 11 +4 0.49 55.62 2.66 65.04 10.54 4.72 1.61 7.83 27.19 12.22P 1.93R 0.55 Mansfield 7 10 +4 -0.42 45.75 2.64 66.55 10.31 8.80 2.05 9.57 31.90 15.00P 1.18R 0.31 Barnet 7 10 +3 0.57 56.53 3.35 64.18 10.53 3.90 1.33 6.73 24.58 10.72P 2.24R 0.67 Cambridge_Utd 7 10 -1 0.16 52.24 -1.42 65.82 10.21 2.92 1.53 7.92 28.26 12.71P 1.38R 0.36 Swindon 7 10 -2 -1.01 39.39 -4.13 73.73 11.07 13.96 8.50 27.47 57.51 36.36P 0.36R 0.12 Grimsby 7 9 -4 1.17 64.07 -1.11 59.25 10.46 -9.70 0.41 2.47 12.01 4.33P 6.34R 2.21 Colchester 7 8 +0 -2.81 21.93 -2.02 65.90 10.75 6.61 2.05 9.52 30.45 14.97P 1.65R 0.45 Yeovil 7 8 -6 -0.47 46.21 -4.07 51.32 10.19 -22.77 0.04 0.38 2.99 0.87P 21.09R 8.33 Crawley_Town 7 7 -1 -1.02 40.13 1.58 53.58 10.21 -12.10 0.10 0.75 4.62 1.45P 14.59R 5.64 Carlisle 7 7 -5 -1.57 34.23 -3.26 59.95 10.81 -6.73 0.62 3.44 14.45 5.80P 5.85R 2.06 Morecambe 7 6 -3 -2.10 28.83 -0.62 51.11 10.30 -17.14 0.04 0.42 2.95 0.88P 21.20R 9.12 Chesterfield 7 5 -9 -3.96 14.73 -7.92 58.77 11.30 -8.98 0.65 3.16 13.11 5.69P 8.55R 3.24 Cheltenham 7 4 -6 -4.09 12.44 -3.72 47.50 9.94 -21.28 0.00 0.11 1.16 0.31P 32.70R 15.43 Forest_Green 7 4 -10 -2.79 22.32 -4.69 40.04 10.35 -42.48 0.00 0.02 0.30 0.06P 64.41R 46.38 Port_Vale 7 3 -6 -6.76 2.46 -6.27 62.35 11.19 3.09 1.21 5.97 21.25 10.42P 4.13R 1.43National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Barrow 0 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 10 19 +2 6.25 92.26 3.41 68.06 9.56 1.96 3.12 24.16 6.84P 2.36R 0.10 Halifax 10 18 +5 5.02 87.12 5.93 63.56 10.22 0.29 1.75 14.36 4.10P 6.80R 0.46 Aldershot 10 17 +8 -0.18 48.12 2.78 73.81 9.46 19.21 10.31 47.68 20.52P 0.37R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 10 17 +6 3.36 78.26 5.88 69.16 9.47 10.67 4.04 28.82 9.18P 1.46R 0.04 Dover_Athletic 10 17 +3 1.70 65.36 0.50 76.46 9.69 18.34 16.36 58.10 27.43P 0.26R 0.01 Wrexham 10 17 +3 3.45 79.03 2.93 66.30 9.17 3.96 2.03 18.26 5.37P 2.80R 0.11 Macclesfield 10 17 +0 2.35 70.47 -1.58 68.77 9.40 4.08 3.67 26.10 8.55P 1.79R 0.07 Dag_&_Red 10 16 +6 -1.53 36.03 0.01 79.10 9.74 27.64 25.49 69.28 38.83P 0.13R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 10 16 -2 -0.88 42.04 -6.90 72.50 10.23 9.15 9.57 41.49 18.02P 1.14R 0.03 Maidenhead 10 15 +4 2.43 70.59 5.62 60.85 10.58 -1.41 1.27 10.57 3.13P 12.29R 1.31 Gateshead 10 15 +4 -1.02 40.81 0.57 69.51 9.57 12.06 4.69 30.60 11.09P 1.45R 0.04 Bromley 10 15 +3 1.96 67.71 4.08 64.66 9.73 3.55 1.85 15.88 4.51P 4.99R 0.31 Maidstone_United 10 15 +0 3.44 79.36 3.26 59.18 9.47 -7.74 0.39 5.69 1.30P 13.37R 1.14 Woking 10 15 -2 2.20 69.73 -0.56 61.65 9.82 -7.19 0.89 9.78 2.38P 9.56R 0.70 Eastleigh 10 12 +1 -1.53 37.11 1.16 62.24 9.45 3.00 0.79 10.28 2.95P 7.17R 0.47 Tranmere 10 12 +0 -5.60 9.85 -5.54 72.75 9.29 16.78 8.05 43.05 19.72P 0.52R 0.02 Hartlepool 10 12 -2 -4.12 17.90 -5.69 68.29 9.98 8.53 4.19 26.95 10.66P 2.39R 0.12 Barrow 10 11 +1 -3.75 19.51 -0.55 63.41 9.65 5.97 1.23 13.33 4.14P 6.06R 0.41 Ebbsfleet_United 10 11 +0 -0.72 44.92 3.32 52.67 10.45 -11.97 0.16 2.45 0.62P 35.06R 6.35 AFC_Fylde 10 11 -2 0.01 51.87 2.43 51.27 10.37 -17.30 0.09 1.74 0.36P 40.43R 8.77 Chester 10 8 -5 -4.59 14.54 -3.27 50.82 9.42 -15.26 0.05 0.95 0.19P 40.57R 6.79 Solihull_Moors 10 7 -8 -3.73 19.17 -3.20 47.06 9.40 -22.90 0.01 0.35 0.07P 57.62R 14.06 Guiseley 10 7 -12 -2.49 27.78 -5.77 42.91 8.99 -31.94 0.00 0.08 0.01P 74.72R 27.39 Torquay 10 3 -13 -8.04 1.87 -8.84 41.94 9.25 -29.48 0.00 0.04 0.00P 76.70R 31.32