Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 September 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 September 2017, West_Ham 2 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           4   10  +10       1.91    77.12     6.09    71.95     8.96    32.87    11.06    26.19    43.85    62.60    88.59     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          4   10   +8       1.75    74.84     3.57    78.44     8.81    44.28    31.99    55.34    72.97    85.37    97.00     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           4    9   +3       1.77    72.59     0.27    76.51     9.11    37.38    23.96    45.86    64.47    79.05    94.83     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4    8   +4       3.27    88.93     5.16    45.82     8.84   -10.99     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.65     4.50    10.72R    2.00  
Tottenham         4    7   +4      -0.65    40.23     0.70    76.60     8.88    41.44    23.91    46.72    65.99    80.44    95.38     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield      4    7   +2       3.26    89.55     4.60    33.00     8.30   -34.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    61.58R   28.16  
Burnley           4    7   +1       2.78    88.27     3.25    47.38     8.86    -8.26     0.02     0.10     0.30     0.91     5.94     7.94R    1.31  
Liverpool         4    7   +0       0.46    58.36    -1.62    67.06     9.56    21.72     4.83    12.87    24.57    39.67    73.39     0.07R    0.01  
West_Brom         4    7   +0       1.40    70.21    -0.29    45.71     8.76   -12.13     0.01     0.06     0.21     0.59     4.21    10.60R    2.02  
Newcastle         4    6   +1       0.47    56.15     0.95    47.94     9.56    -6.83     0.04     0.18     0.62     1.64     8.13     8.31R    1.58  
Arsenal           4    6   -1      -1.30    29.63    -3.98    66.06     9.35    20.29     3.74    10.73    21.26    35.43    70.28     0.07R    0.01  
Stoke             4    5   +0       0.98    67.50     2.03    46.20     8.90    -8.70     0.00     0.06     0.26     0.71     4.60    10.11R    1.97  
Southampton       4    5   -1      -2.02    23.85    -3.20    48.43     8.92    -5.78     0.03     0.15     0.47     1.34     7.42     6.13R    1.10  
Brighton          4    4   -2      -0.24    49.46    -0.12    40.99     9.25   -17.14     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.24     1.88    25.96R    7.27  
Swansea           4    4   -3      -0.30    48.31    -1.33    40.13     8.83   -21.21     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.19    28.61R    7.83  
Everton           4    4   -4      -0.37    47.50    -2.07    56.89     9.51     5.29     0.34     1.45     3.93     9.04    30.55     1.19R    0.15  
Leicester         4    3   -2      -1.14    32.87     0.35    48.82     9.44    -4.43     0.04     0.18     0.65     1.74     8.99     6.91R    1.25  
West_Ham          4    3   -6      -1.63    25.44    -4.60    41.89     9.28   -20.57     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.32     2.21    23.31R    6.21  
Bournemouth       4    0   -7      -3.77     3.85    -3.81    36.37     9.04   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.53    44.67R   16.81  
Crystal_Palace    4    0   -7      -4.95     1.26    -5.95    34.28     8.66   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.23    53.80R   22.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 September 2017, Fulham 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     7   17  +12       4.94    92.42     8.41    78.58    10.09    24.47    23.42    38.86    73.10    48.31P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          7   16   +5       6.00    95.25     4.42    73.46    10.18    11.21    10.49    20.61    53.22    28.01P    0.51R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        7   15   +3       5.78    94.44     3.39    68.85    10.71     3.56     5.41    11.26    35.92    16.44P    1.95R    0.22  
Wolverhampton    7   14   +4       4.21    88.38     3.72    69.29    10.10     7.12     5.18    11.20    36.73    16.89P    1.32R    0.11  
Preston          7   12   +4       2.39    75.66     3.77    68.36    10.00     8.68     4.02     9.15    33.73    14.98P    1.56R    0.17  
Sheff_Wed        7   12   +3       0.64    56.90     0.38    71.88     9.94    12.83     7.97    16.19    47.52    24.76P    0.56R    0.05  
Ipswich          6   12   +2       3.51    84.90     1.60    65.32    10.20     0.17     2.60     5.93    23.54     9.65P    3.39R    0.48  
Nott'm_Forest    7   12   -1       3.68    85.06     1.01    63.56    10.31    -4.44     1.69     4.29    18.95     7.04P    5.12R    0.82  
Middlesbrough    7   11   +4      -0.39    45.79     1.38    73.76    10.33    17.77    11.86    22.44    55.13    33.02P    0.46R    0.05  
QPR              7   11   +1       1.59    67.87     1.35    62.05     9.92    -2.48     1.03     2.88    14.87     5.28P    6.12R    0.96  
Derby            6   10   +3       0.63    57.40     1.28    72.18    10.21    14.26     8.78    17.66    48.83    26.08P    0.71R    0.07  
Bristol_City     7   10   +2       0.59    57.23     2.37    60.96    10.19    -2.26     1.14     2.74    13.42     4.93P    7.76R    1.34  
Fulham           7   10   +2      -0.56    44.08     0.47    70.83    10.34    13.33     7.25    14.93    43.92    22.80P    1.08R    0.11  
Norwich          7    8   -5      -3.17    18.97    -7.31    63.79    10.45    -1.77     2.04     4.81    20.25     8.77P    5.17R    0.83  
Barnsley         6    7   +0      -0.68    43.13     0.89    57.73    10.35    -6.73     0.54     1.39     8.29     2.90P   14.16R    3.16  
Hull             7    7   -1      -3.43    16.95    -2.29    65.58    11.15     6.78     3.70     7.99    27.35    13.31P    4.38R    0.74  
Reading          6    7   -1      -1.20    36.58    -1.04    60.52    10.30    -2.99     0.89     2.43    12.75     4.69P    8.60R    1.64  
Aston_Villa      7    7   -2      -2.20    27.21    -1.64    58.77     9.62    -3.48     0.44     1.20     8.14     2.79P   10.00R    1.73  
Millwall         7    6   +1      -2.21    27.56     3.23    51.00    10.41   -12.25     0.12     0.36     2.64     0.86P   33.75R   10.41  
Sunderland       7    5   -5      -4.61    10.01    -5.07    59.86    10.56    -2.51     0.89     2.23    12.00     4.95P   10.50R    2.24  
Burton_Albion    7    5  -10      -1.39    35.20    -5.10    45.86     9.43   -28.18     0.01     0.03     0.44     0.09P   55.26R   21.64  
Birmingham       7    4   -6      -4.14    10.43    -3.92    47.81     9.40   -19.22     0.01     0.05     0.72     0.18P   45.51R   14.52  
Brentford        7    3   -5      -6.39     2.86    -4.72    57.47    10.42    -4.03     0.49     1.36     8.26     3.20P   14.71R    3.19  
Bolton           7    2  -10      -5.25     5.28    -6.58    42.51     9.94   -29.84     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.06P   67.32R   35.45  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Shrewsbury        7   19   +6       9.70    99.70     6.36    68.52    10.23     0.11     1.30     3.99    25.64     7.41P    1.94R    0.11  
Peterborough      7   16   +8       4.48    88.52     5.05    75.75    10.67    17.55     6.48    15.26    53.52    23.83P    0.41R    0.03  
Charlton          7   15   +3       3.84    84.61     0.58    72.78    10.56     9.38     3.48     9.11    41.54    16.13P    0.78R    0.04  
Bradford          7   14   +5       2.94    79.07     2.71    79.47    10.27    23.01    10.41    23.59    67.55    35.88P    0.09R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   14   +4       4.69    90.41     4.46    64.77    11.03    -0.05     0.94     2.78    18.04     5.67P    5.68R    0.56  
Wigan             6   13   +8       2.16    73.32     4.10    85.08    11.07    33.81    26.10    45.40    82.45    57.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town    6   13   +4       2.44    76.02     0.60    73.06    10.58    11.94     3.69     9.74    43.18    17.73P    0.77R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd        7   12   +7       0.85    58.85     4.65    72.79    10.53    18.11     3.58     9.69    43.11    17.77P    0.78R    0.04  
Rotherham         7   12   +6       1.41    63.97     4.50    69.55    11.42    11.89     2.78     7.11    32.80    12.86P    2.53R    0.24  
Blackburn         6   12   +5       1.68    67.97     1.76    87.20    11.24    36.77    34.04    53.44    86.17    64.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Scunthorpe        7   12   +5       0.14    51.02     1.69    76.35    10.42    21.61     6.15    15.84    56.54    27.30P    0.37R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3       0.19    52.76    -1.46    57.92    10.68   -11.76     0.17     0.59     6.11     1.53P   16.27R    2.69  
Portsmouth        7    8   -2      -0.56    45.34    -0.47    57.16    10.75    -8.45     0.16     0.57     5.65     1.61P   17.57R    2.99  
Walsall           7    8   -4      -1.58    34.30    -3.86    58.76    10.42    -8.31     0.14     0.52     6.57     1.69P   13.42R    1.79  
MK_Dons           7    7   -5      -1.69    32.66    -3.64    61.00    10.46    -4.14     0.21     0.89     9.54     2.76P    9.52R    1.16  
Doncaster         7    6   -2      -2.63    24.30    -0.29    53.55    10.87   -11.52     0.04     0.21     3.17     0.82P   27.97R    6.02  
Northampton       6    6   -5      -1.02    39.26    -2.95    50.01    10.40   -23.78     0.01     0.04     1.16     0.21P   40.54R   10.98  
Rochdale          7    6   -5      -3.56    16.92    -4.92    58.65    10.53    -6.86     0.15     0.58     6.63     1.89P   13.87R    2.04  
Southend          7    6   -6      -3.19    19.27    -5.27    58.86    10.47    -7.21     0.13     0.51     6.84     1.89P   13.41R    1.86  
AFC_Wimbledon     7    5   -4      -3.43    16.72    -2.40    48.87     9.92   -17.82     0.01     0.03     0.70     0.15P   43.59R   11.15  
Oldham            7    4   -6      -3.04    18.99    -2.50    48.00     9.78   -19.37     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.09P   46.93R   12.85  
Bury              7    4   -6      -3.16    18.77    -1.78    49.33    10.36   -20.14     0.01     0.05     1.11     0.20P   42.53R   11.97  
Plymouth          7    4   -7      -3.31    17.95    -3.45    45.75    10.47   -25.27     0.01     0.02     0.53     0.11P   56.52R   20.73  
Gillingham        7    3   -6      -5.05     7.25    -3.49    48.71    10.36   -19.48     0.01     0.03     0.96     0.20P   44.44R   12.68  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter                7   19   +7       7.23    98.14     3.67    82.63    10.62    23.18    28.59    58.51    84.32    64.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County          7   16   +5       7.24    97.70     6.36    67.16    10.61     0.73     2.43    10.49    32.82    14.59P    1.19R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley    7   13   +5       1.43    64.28     1.94    72.26    10.61    13.93     6.48    22.73    52.66    30.24P    0.29R    0.05  
Coventry              7   13   +5       0.53    54.94     0.75    78.45    10.76    23.02    17.30    43.65    74.00    53.15P    0.07R    0.01  
Lincoln_City          7   12   +4       3.50    82.93     5.81    60.65    10.86    -3.52     0.70     4.02    16.35     6.52P    5.17R    1.68  
Newport_County        7   12   +4       3.92    86.84     6.35    61.31    10.39    -2.36     0.69     3.94    16.38     6.21P    3.79R    1.16  
Stevenage             7   12   +3       1.01    60.43     0.99    67.00    10.56     5.13     2.44    10.65    33.31    15.84P    1.20R    0.35  
Wycombe               7   12   +2       1.23    63.47     0.04    69.22    10.45     7.64     3.59    14.58    40.99    21.25P    0.64R    0.15  
Luton                 7   11   +7      -1.14    37.65     3.08    78.78    10.34    29.45    17.63    45.66    76.47    55.46P    0.04R    0.01  
Crewe                 7   11   +4       0.49    55.62     2.66    65.04    10.54     4.72     1.61     7.83    27.19    12.22P    1.93R    0.55  
Mansfield             7   10   +4      -0.42    45.75     2.64    66.55    10.31     8.80     2.05     9.57    31.90    15.00P    1.18R    0.31  
Barnet                7   10   +3       0.57    56.53     3.35    64.18    10.53     3.90     1.33     6.73    24.58    10.72P    2.24R    0.67  
Cambridge_Utd         7   10   -1       0.16    52.24    -1.42    65.82    10.21     2.92     1.53     7.92    28.26    12.71P    1.38R    0.36  
Swindon               7   10   -2      -1.01    39.39    -4.13    73.73    11.07    13.96     8.50    27.47    57.51    36.36P    0.36R    0.12  
Grimsby               7    9   -4       1.17    64.07    -1.11    59.25    10.46    -9.70     0.41     2.47    12.01     4.33P    6.34R    2.21  
Colchester            7    8   +0      -2.81    21.93    -2.02    65.90    10.75     6.61     2.05     9.52    30.45    14.97P    1.65R    0.45  
Yeovil                7    8   -6      -0.47    46.21    -4.07    51.32    10.19   -22.77     0.04     0.38     2.99     0.87P   21.09R    8.33  
Crawley_Town          7    7   -1      -1.02    40.13     1.58    53.58    10.21   -12.10     0.10     0.75     4.62     1.45P   14.59R    5.64  
Carlisle              7    7   -5      -1.57    34.23    -3.26    59.95    10.81    -6.73     0.62     3.44    14.45     5.80P    5.85R    2.06  
Morecambe             7    6   -3      -2.10    28.83    -0.62    51.11    10.30   -17.14     0.04     0.42     2.95     0.88P   21.20R    9.12  
Chesterfield          7    5   -9      -3.96    14.73    -7.92    58.77    11.30    -8.98     0.65     3.16    13.11     5.69P    8.55R    3.24  
Cheltenham            7    4   -6      -4.09    12.44    -3.72    47.50     9.94   -21.28     0.00     0.11     1.16     0.31P   32.70R   15.43  
Forest_Green          7    4  -10      -2.79    22.32    -4.69    40.04    10.35   -42.48     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.06P   64.41R   46.38  
Port_Vale             7    3   -6      -6.76     2.46    -6.27    62.35    11.19     3.09     1.21     5.97    21.25    10.42P    4.13R    1.43  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 September 2017, Barrow 0 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United      10   19   +2       6.25    92.26     3.41    68.06     9.56     1.96     3.12    24.16     6.84P    2.36R    0.10  
Halifax            10   18   +5       5.02    87.12     5.93    63.56    10.22     0.29     1.75    14.36     4.10P    6.80R    0.46  
Aldershot          10   17   +8      -0.18    48.12     2.78    73.81     9.46    19.21    10.31    47.68    20.52P    0.37R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       10   17   +6       3.36    78.26     5.88    69.16     9.47    10.67     4.04    28.82     9.18P    1.46R    0.04  
Dover_Athletic     10   17   +3       1.70    65.36     0.50    76.46     9.69    18.34    16.36    58.10    27.43P    0.26R    0.01  
Wrexham            10   17   +3       3.45    79.03     2.93    66.30     9.17     3.96     2.03    18.26     5.37P    2.80R    0.11  
Macclesfield       10   17   +0       2.35    70.47    -1.58    68.77     9.40     4.08     3.67    26.10     8.55P    1.79R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red          10   16   +6      -1.53    36.03     0.01    79.10     9.74    27.64    25.49    69.28    38.83P    0.13R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      10   16   -2      -0.88    42.04    -6.90    72.50    10.23     9.15     9.57    41.49    18.02P    1.14R    0.03  
Maidenhead         10   15   +4       2.43    70.59     5.62    60.85    10.58    -1.41     1.27    10.57     3.13P   12.29R    1.31  
Gateshead          10   15   +4      -1.02    40.81     0.57    69.51     9.57    12.06     4.69    30.60    11.09P    1.45R    0.04  
Bromley            10   15   +3       1.96    67.71     4.08    64.66     9.73     3.55     1.85    15.88     4.51P    4.99R    0.31  
Maidstone_United   10   15   +0       3.44    79.36     3.26    59.18     9.47    -7.74     0.39     5.69     1.30P   13.37R    1.14  
Woking             10   15   -2       2.20    69.73    -0.56    61.65     9.82    -7.19     0.89     9.78     2.38P    9.56R    0.70  
Eastleigh          10   12   +1      -1.53    37.11     1.16    62.24     9.45     3.00     0.79    10.28     2.95P    7.17R    0.47  
Tranmere           10   12   +0      -5.60     9.85    -5.54    72.75     9.29    16.78     8.05    43.05    19.72P    0.52R    0.02  
Hartlepool         10   12   -2      -4.12    17.90    -5.69    68.29     9.98     8.53     4.19    26.95    10.66P    2.39R    0.12  
Barrow             10   11   +1      -3.75    19.51    -0.55    63.41     9.65     5.97     1.23    13.33     4.14P    6.06R    0.41  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   11   +0      -0.72    44.92     3.32    52.67    10.45   -11.97     0.16     2.45     0.62P   35.06R    6.35  
AFC_Fylde          10   11   -2       0.01    51.87     2.43    51.27    10.37   -17.30     0.09     1.74     0.36P   40.43R    8.77  
Chester            10    8   -5      -4.59    14.54    -3.27    50.82     9.42   -15.26     0.05     0.95     0.19P   40.57R    6.79  
Solihull_Moors     10    7   -8      -3.73    19.17    -3.20    47.06     9.40   -22.90     0.01     0.35     0.07P   57.62R   14.06  
Guiseley           10    7  -12      -2.49    27.78    -5.77    42.91     8.99   -31.94     0.00     0.08     0.01P   74.72R   27.39  
Torquay            10    3  -13      -8.04     1.87    -8.84    41.94     9.25   -29.48     0.00     0.04     0.00P   76.70R   31.32