Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 August 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 August 2017, Man_City 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           2    6   +8       1.77    79.95     5.74    72.21     9.61    33.26    14.51    30.21    46.38    61.66    84.69     0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield      2    6   +4       3.95    96.58     5.07    33.44     9.10   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.28    56.83R   25.91  
West_Brom         2    6   +2       3.08    92.53     1.71    48.89     9.37    -7.73     0.07     0.28     0.74     1.79     7.58     5.98R    0.99  
Watford           2    4   +2       1.89    86.96     3.15    42.92     9.46   -16.24     0.01     0.06     0.20     0.47     2.46    18.43R    4.65  
Man_City          2    4   +2       0.02    52.76     0.06    74.51     9.70    37.07    21.32    39.81    56.25    70.37    89.30     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool         2    4   +1      -0.13    48.75    -1.27    66.83    10.02    22.79     6.21    15.12    26.23    39.18    67.29     0.09R    0.01  
Southampton       2    4   +1       0.56    63.43    -0.01    53.59     9.71     1.15     0.29     1.08     2.63     5.34    17.26     2.32R    0.30  
Everton           2    4   +1       1.24    78.61     1.04    61.48     9.98    13.30     1.89     5.80    11.68    20.15    45.13     0.38R    0.05  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.40    56.35     1.38    51.93    10.04    -0.95     0.22     0.86     2.03     4.23    14.29     4.06R    0.72  
Tottenham         2    3   +1      -0.72    33.16    -0.54    76.47     9.49    40.57    27.32    48.65    64.96    77.27    92.56     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal           2    3   +0      -0.88    30.05    -1.80    69.07     9.94    27.33     9.10    20.50    34.07    48.29    75.09     0.06R    0.00  
Chelsea           2    3   +0      -0.39    39.41    -1.03    73.78     9.80    35.73    18.94    37.23    53.55    67.87    87.43     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley           2    3   +0       1.05    70.39     1.32    44.20     9.48   -12.91     0.02     0.05     0.24     0.63     3.14    15.05R    3.59  
Stoke             2    3   +0       1.22    73.06     1.48    46.17     9.45    -9.66     0.03     0.12     0.38     0.94     4.54    10.76R    2.19  
Swansea           2    1   -4      -0.64    45.37    -2.32    39.01     9.48   -24.10     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.14     0.96    32.53R   10.33  
Bournemouth       2    0   -3      -2.62     7.80    -2.83    38.15     9.62   -24.11     0.01     0.03     0.08     0.19     0.93    35.46R   12.52  
Newcastle         2    0   -3      -2.33     8.76    -2.22    41.18    10.27   -16.76     0.02     0.09     0.22     0.57     2.54    25.62R    7.82  
Brighton          2    0   -4      -1.62    16.58    -2.16    37.70     9.82   -22.39     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.18     0.97    37.48R   13.83  
Crystal_Palace    2    0   -4      -2.43     8.14    -3.35    38.39     9.47   -22.44     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.86    34.17R   11.25  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.75    15.24    -3.42    42.68     9.92   -18.04     0.02     0.08     0.20     0.56     2.70    20.73R    5.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Aston_Villa 4 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          4   12   +7       5.70    98.19     5.79    74.45    11.14    14.55    14.44    25.43    56.21    32.66P    0.69R    0.06  
Ipswich          4   12   +5       5.72    98.18     3.82    69.95    10.78     5.94     6.60    13.49    39.44    19.07P    1.66R    0.24  
Wolverhampton    4    9   +3       4.03    92.52     3.73    69.48    11.10     7.59     6.47    13.11    38.51    18.71P    2.20R    0.36  
Nott'm_Forest    4    9   +2       3.48    88.98     2.02    64.32    11.12    -1.84     2.75     6.16    22.87     9.50P    5.83R    1.10  
Leeds_United     4    8   +3       2.26    80.41     2.58    70.24    10.87    10.31     7.02    14.32    41.27    21.14P    1.62R    0.22  
QPR              4    7   +1       2.15    79.87     2.00    62.77    10.78    -1.28     1.71     4.19    18.13     7.13P    7.12R    1.47  
Preston          4    7   +1       1.86    76.53     1.37    65.43    10.67     2.77     2.79     6.46    25.02    10.58P    4.08R    0.69  
Derby            4    7   +0       1.09    66.19    -0.64    70.47    10.81     9.11     7.02    14.36    42.07    21.53P    1.60R    0.22  
Middlesbrough    4    6   +1      -0.57    40.91    -0.58    71.53    11.14    13.09     9.23    17.76    46.58    26.79P    1.33R    0.19  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -1       1.02    64.44    -0.32    58.78    11.51    -8.22     1.08     2.69    11.84     4.56P   15.04R    4.02  
Bristol_City     4    5   +1      -0.80    39.16     0.59    57.58    10.95    -7.10     0.77     1.85     9.27     3.44P   15.97R    4.03  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      -0.58    43.15    -0.14    70.89    11.76    12.71     9.30    17.59    44.75    25.38P    2.17R    0.42  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +0      -0.80    39.75    -0.51    69.67    10.75    10.84     6.21    12.76    39.44    20.34P    1.80R    0.27  
Hull             4    4   +1      -2.44    19.43    -0.49    68.79    12.10    12.06     7.79    14.55    38.52    21.32P    3.57R    0.66  
Birmingham       4    4   -1      -1.27    33.05    -0.79    53.08    10.36   -12.80     0.18     0.50     3.60     1.08P   27.49R    7.87  
Aston_Villa      4    4   -2      -1.05    36.81    -1.44    60.66    10.60    -2.52     1.01     2.65    13.50     5.11P    9.56R    2.06  
Norwich          4    4   -2      -1.91    25.93    -2.58    69.90    11.49    11.10     7.88    15.08    41.15    22.17P    2.49R    0.37  
Reading          4    4   -2      -1.25    34.07    -1.68    59.98    10.87    -4.53     1.04     2.73    12.73     4.88P   11.30R    2.63  
Fulham           4    3   -1      -2.65    16.37    -1.27    67.30    11.27     9.27     4.91    10.04    32.47    16.12P    3.63R    0.63  
Barnsley         4    3   -3      -2.05    22.38    -2.28    53.13    10.76   -15.10     0.23     0.60     4.06     1.29P   28.39R    8.99  
Burton_Albion    4    3   -5      -1.05    34.54    -2.90    47.64    10.19   -23.78     0.02     0.09     1.04     0.26P   48.18R   19.46  
Bolton           4    2   -2      -2.97    13.93    -1.40    51.63    11.34   -13.59     0.24     0.66     4.07     1.42P   33.88R   11.88  
Millwall         4    2   -2      -2.44    18.75    -0.30    45.39    11.14   -24.43     0.07     0.19     1.22     0.40P   56.36R   28.53  
Brentford        4    1   -4      -4.86     3.77    -4.58    59.05    11.37    -4.14     1.24     2.73    12.26     5.12P   14.05R    3.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Bradford 0 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan             3    9   +6       3.64    93.90     4.02    85.20    11.73    32.00    36.65    54.08    84.13    63.81P    0.11R    0.00  
Peterborough      3    9   +5       3.93    94.25     3.55    73.09    11.49    12.85     7.37    16.40    48.60    23.60P    1.73R    0.16  
Fleetwood_Town    3    9   +5       3.67    93.51     3.22    75.59    10.92    16.78     9.66    20.82    57.66    30.56P    0.73R    0.05  
Shrewsbury        3    9   +3       4.60    96.89     2.53    60.31    10.81    -8.64     0.56     1.71    11.50     3.27P   14.21R    2.24  
Oxford_Utd        3    6   +4       1.60    73.79     3.57    71.72    11.24    14.57     5.56    13.30    44.55    20.98P    2.06R    0.17  
Charlton          3    6   +2       0.74    59.14     0.19    68.30    11.12     7.15     3.18     7.75    32.08    13.49P    3.86R    0.38  
Bradford          3    6   +1       1.08    65.30    -0.17    73.26    10.84    13.72     6.43    15.01    49.53    24.42P    1.20R    0.10  
Doncaster         3    5   +2       0.78    62.49     1.96    60.28    12.24    -4.54     1.17     3.03    14.77     5.39P   17.35R    3.58  
Scunthorpe        3    5   +1      -0.05    48.59    -0.37    73.38    11.29    15.73     7.40    16.55    50.35    25.50P    1.54R    0.13  
Plymouth          3    4   +1       0.73    65.98     2.32    58.29    11.75    -5.56     0.58     1.61    10.41     3.39P   20.46R    4.41  
Blackpool         3    4   +0       0.79    66.89     1.33    56.49    11.74    -9.79     0.41     1.25     8.28     2.69P   25.54R    5.93  
Walsall           3    4   +0      -0.33    46.75    -0.32    63.12    10.98     0.76     1.05     3.07    17.84     6.44P    9.08R    1.23  
Portsmouth        3    4   -1       0.11    54.61    -0.67    57.86    11.70    -8.58     0.58     1.59     9.70     3.27P   21.77R    4.82  
Southend          3    4   -4      -0.16    49.84    -4.02    63.22    11.19    -3.73     1.18     3.19    18.11     6.41P    9.94R    1.43  
Rotherham         3    3   +2      -0.60    39.62     2.86    64.76    12.35     6.01     2.46     6.15    24.88    10.66P    9.62R    1.62  
MK_Dons           3    3   -1      -1.40    27.03    -1.48    63.52    11.07     1.61     1.15     3.31    19.07     7.03P    8.97R    1.23  
Blackburn         3    3   -2      -1.65    22.98    -2.96    76.44    12.06    20.35    12.86    25.82    60.46    36.97P    1.23R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers    3    3   -3      -0.40    43.32    -1.78    56.47    11.20   -12.83     0.29     0.89     7.01     1.98P   24.94R    5.44  
Bury              3    3   -3      -0.64    38.20    -2.08    52.26    11.00   -19.91     0.10     0.33     3.39     0.87P   38.42R   10.35  
Gillingham        3    1   -2      -2.24    18.99    -0.63    55.02    11.11   -10.30     0.19     0.63     5.70     1.66P   28.67R    6.62  
Rochdale          3    1   -3      -2.97    12.22    -2.77    62.07    11.53    -0.17     1.04     3.02    16.87     6.30P   12.24R    2.11  
AFC_Wimbledon     3    1   -3      -2.07    18.74    -1.44    51.69    10.71   -14.73     0.07     0.27     2.60     0.71P   39.20R   10.70  
Northampton       3    0   -5      -2.94     6.73    -3.13    48.65    11.07   -22.65     0.06     0.17     1.78     0.44P   50.94R   18.02  
Oldham            3    0   -5      -3.07     4.57    -3.76    47.15     9.99   -20.09     0.01     0.04     0.74     0.17P   56.20R   19.14  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Swindon               3    7   +2       1.93    79.55     0.53    84.15    12.35    31.24    26.28    55.72    82.50    64.28P    0.06R    0.02  
Exeter                3    7   +2       2.22    85.62     0.97    74.90    11.85    15.97     7.13    25.57    57.69    33.71P    0.30R    0.06  
Luton                 3    6   +8       0.16    48.86     5.13    82.54    11.68    36.56    21.37    51.26    80.81    60.49P    0.04R    0.01  
Coventry              3    6   +4       0.14    48.53     1.24    80.23    12.34    27.72    16.78    42.83    73.64    52.49P    0.10R    0.03  
Carlisle              3    6   +3       1.58    72.54     2.56    69.55    12.11     9.58     3.41    14.13    40.70    19.94P    1.23R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley    3    6   +2       1.11    64.65     0.82    70.38    11.81    10.18     3.55    15.21    43.13    21.59P    0.90R    0.29  
Notts_County          3    6   +1       3.09    89.64     3.11    59.06    11.81   -10.56     0.44     2.76    12.94     4.43P    7.64R    3.14  
Stevenage             3    5   +2       0.22    52.52     1.02    66.23    11.98     4.84     1.67     8.94    30.36    13.69P    2.17R    0.75  
Newport_County        3    5   +1       2.44    86.34     3.60    57.20    11.49   -10.74     0.25     1.77     9.56     3.08P    9.24R    3.97  
Crewe                 3    5   +1       0.03    49.98    -0.29    61.66    11.73    -3.62     0.69     4.27    17.79     7.12P    4.75R    1.86  
Mansfield             3    4   +1      -0.28    48.49     0.69    65.21    11.45     4.25     1.30     6.86    26.57    11.40P    2.10R    0.75  
Barnet                3    4   +0       0.32    58.90     0.73    60.87    11.61    -4.20     0.50     3.45    16.46     6.09P    5.09R    2.04  
Morecambe             3    4   +0       0.11    55.16     0.41    53.88    11.47   -16.81     0.11     0.90     6.11     1.85P   14.65R    6.82  
Wycombe               3    4   -1      -0.77    38.96    -1.99    64.95    11.62     1.76     1.23     6.75    25.89    11.12P    2.37R    0.88  
Forest_Green          3    4   -1       0.25    57.48    -0.30    48.66    12.43   -28.98     0.11     0.67     3.56     1.18P   30.99R   17.71  
Port_Vale             3    3   -1      -1.76    22.91    -1.98    74.25    12.97    18.82     8.36    26.62    55.96    35.22P    0.74R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd         3    3   -1      -1.12    31.48    -1.01    65.34    11.47     4.12     1.27     6.83    26.73    11.64P    2.18R    0.85  
Grimsby               3    3   -2      -0.04    50.21    -0.19    58.91    11.68    -7.90     0.37     2.55    12.72     4.57P    7.37R    3.04  
Chesterfield          3    3   -2      -1.84    22.04    -3.10    68.57    12.81     8.19     3.56    13.96    38.02    20.65P    1.90R    0.69  
Cheltenham            3    3   -3      -0.60    39.79    -2.05    52.18    11.18   -19.16     0.06     0.56     4.12     1.18P   18.01R    8.35  
Yeovil                3    3   -6      -0.02    49.93    -3.93    51.78    11.45   -24.46     0.09     0.59     4.09     1.13P   19.93R    9.83  
Lincoln_City          3    2   -1      -1.03    33.79     0.91    48.24    11.99   -23.22     0.04     0.40     2.88     0.84P   30.79R   17.51  
Colchester            3    1   -5      -2.58    15.51    -3.99    64.74    12.08     2.07     1.42     7.23    26.28    11.93P    3.06R    1.27  
Crawley_Town          3    0   -4      -3.42     4.93    -2.90    46.60    11.09   -25.62     0.01     0.17     1.49     0.39P   34.39R   19.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Sutton_United       5   12   +4       5.97    97.31     5.25    70.55    10.87     7.40     3.71    27.45     8.00P    1.79R    0.13  
Bromley             5   11   +8       4.26    92.02     8.28    72.11    10.86    15.52     5.06    32.99    10.71P    1.19R    0.08  
Aldershot           5   10   +8       0.99    62.66     4.60    78.39    10.83    27.21    14.22    56.14    25.75P    0.25R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood        5   10   +5       2.46    78.89     3.92    67.38    10.50     7.01     1.77    18.20     4.97P    2.76R    0.13  
Dover_Athletic      5   10   +2       1.64    70.32    -0.28    77.46    10.99    20.38    12.44    51.90    22.22P    0.38R    0.01  
Gateshead           5    9   +5       0.23    51.48     2.03    73.07    10.86    17.37     6.09    36.55    13.81P    0.99R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red           5    9   +2       0.24    51.52    -1.25    80.53    10.94    27.33    19.33    63.37    31.88P    0.15R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   -1       0.31    52.64    -4.19    78.40    11.69    20.55    15.55    55.03    26.15P    0.47R    0.02  
Maidenhead          5    8   +3       1.18    65.39     3.11    55.11    11.96   -13.00     0.40     4.30     1.09P   25.79R    5.01  
Eastleigh           5    8   +2       1.31    67.41     2.24    67.42    10.74     6.90     2.09    18.87     5.54P    3.09R    0.21  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.55    58.81     3.02    54.01    12.12   -14.94     0.32     3.74     0.92P   28.93R    6.37  
Barrow              5    6   +2      -1.37    31.66     1.32    69.02    10.90    12.81     2.98    23.82     7.71P    2.28R    0.16  
Wrexham             5    6   -1      -0.19    48.34     0.01    60.62    10.48    -3.21     0.36     6.32     1.52P    9.95R    1.12  
Woking              5    6   -5       0.43    56.09    -2.63    58.37    11.04   -13.00     0.31     4.96     1.04P   16.24R    2.41  
Tranmere            5    5   -1      -4.01     9.27    -4.24    76.88    10.40    22.94    10.34    50.26    23.47P    0.27R    0.01  
Halifax             5    5   -2       0.13    55.00     0.97    50.30    11.36   -18.56     0.06     1.32     0.29P   39.78R   10.25  
Maidstone_United    5    5   -3      -0.80    41.47    -1.05    50.79    10.47   -20.77     0.03     0.92     0.17P   37.32R    8.02  
Macclesfield        5    5   -3      -1.42    33.61    -2.42    65.22    10.63     3.20     1.22    13.63     3.94P    4.53R    0.41  
Guiseley            5    5   -6      -0.23    49.26    -3.26    47.88    10.25   -28.31     0.01     0.45     0.06P   48.73R   13.00  
AFC_Fylde           5    4   -3      -1.48    33.93    -0.41    44.72    11.74   -32.64     0.03     0.64     0.14P   59.65R   24.15  
Chester             4    3   -1      -3.10    11.72    -1.85    54.20    10.99   -12.42     0.12     2.55     0.57P   26.30R    4.81  
Hartlepool          5    2   -4      -5.72     2.68    -5.40    69.01    11.43    13.00     3.53    24.95     9.70P    2.87R    0.33  
Solihull_Moors      4    1   -6      -3.29    10.19    -3.65    47.42    10.85   -26.73     0.02     0.51     0.11P   50.16R   15.00  
Torquay             5    1   -7      -4.11     6.63    -4.12    51.07    10.81   -18.03     0.04     1.13     0.25P   36.13R    8.31