Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 22 August 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 August 2017, Man_City 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 2 6 +8 1.77 79.95 5.74 72.21 9.61 33.26 14.51 30.21 46.38 61.66 84.69 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 2 6 +4 3.95 96.58 5.07 33.44 9.10 -35.88 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.28 56.83R 25.91 West_Brom 2 6 +2 3.08 92.53 1.71 48.89 9.37 -7.73 0.07 0.28 0.74 1.79 7.58 5.98R 0.99 Watford 2 4 +2 1.89 86.96 3.15 42.92 9.46 -16.24 0.01 0.06 0.20 0.47 2.46 18.43R 4.65 Man_City 2 4 +2 0.02 52.76 0.06 74.51 9.70 37.07 21.32 39.81 56.25 70.37 89.30 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 2 4 +1 -0.13 48.75 -1.27 66.83 10.02 22.79 6.21 15.12 26.23 39.18 67.29 0.09R 0.01 Southampton 2 4 +1 0.56 63.43 -0.01 53.59 9.71 1.15 0.29 1.08 2.63 5.34 17.26 2.32R 0.30 Everton 2 4 +1 1.24 78.61 1.04 61.48 9.98 13.30 1.89 5.80 11.68 20.15 45.13 0.38R 0.05 Leicester 2 3 +1 0.40 56.35 1.38 51.93 10.04 -0.95 0.22 0.86 2.03 4.23 14.29 4.06R 0.72 Tottenham 2 3 +1 -0.72 33.16 -0.54 76.47 9.49 40.57 27.32 48.65 64.96 77.27 92.56 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 2 3 +0 -0.88 30.05 -1.80 69.07 9.94 27.33 9.10 20.50 34.07 48.29 75.09 0.06R 0.00 Chelsea 2 3 +0 -0.39 39.41 -1.03 73.78 9.80 35.73 18.94 37.23 53.55 67.87 87.43 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 2 3 +0 1.05 70.39 1.32 44.20 9.48 -12.91 0.02 0.05 0.24 0.63 3.14 15.05R 3.59 Stoke 2 3 +0 1.22 73.06 1.48 46.17 9.45 -9.66 0.03 0.12 0.38 0.94 4.54 10.76R 2.19 Swansea 2 1 -4 -0.64 45.37 -2.32 39.01 9.48 -24.10 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.14 0.96 32.53R 10.33 Bournemouth 2 0 -3 -2.62 7.80 -2.83 38.15 9.62 -24.11 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.19 0.93 35.46R 12.52 Newcastle 2 0 -3 -2.33 8.76 -2.22 41.18 10.27 -16.76 0.02 0.09 0.22 0.57 2.54 25.62R 7.82 Brighton 2 0 -4 -1.62 16.58 -2.16 37.70 9.82 -22.39 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.18 0.97 37.48R 13.83 Crystal_Palace 2 0 -4 -2.43 8.14 -3.35 38.39 9.47 -22.44 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.86 34.17R 11.25 West_Ham 2 0 -5 -1.75 15.24 -3.42 42.68 9.92 -18.04 0.02 0.08 0.20 0.56 2.70 20.73R 5.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Aston_Villa 4 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 4 12 +7 5.70 98.19 5.79 74.45 11.14 14.55 14.44 25.43 56.21 32.66P 0.69R 0.06 Ipswich 4 12 +5 5.72 98.18 3.82 69.95 10.78 5.94 6.60 13.49 39.44 19.07P 1.66R 0.24 Wolverhampton 4 9 +3 4.03 92.52 3.73 69.48 11.10 7.59 6.47 13.11 38.51 18.71P 2.20R 0.36 Nott'm_Forest 4 9 +2 3.48 88.98 2.02 64.32 11.12 -1.84 2.75 6.16 22.87 9.50P 5.83R 1.10 Leeds_United 4 8 +3 2.26 80.41 2.58 70.24 10.87 10.31 7.02 14.32 41.27 21.14P 1.62R 0.22 QPR 4 7 +1 2.15 79.87 2.00 62.77 10.78 -1.28 1.71 4.19 18.13 7.13P 7.12R 1.47 Preston 4 7 +1 1.86 76.53 1.37 65.43 10.67 2.77 2.79 6.46 25.02 10.58P 4.08R 0.69 Derby 4 7 +0 1.09 66.19 -0.64 70.47 10.81 9.11 7.02 14.36 42.07 21.53P 1.60R 0.22 Middlesbrough 4 6 +1 -0.57 40.91 -0.58 71.53 11.14 13.09 9.23 17.76 46.58 26.79P 1.33R 0.19 Sheff_Utd 4 6 -1 1.02 64.44 -0.32 58.78 11.51 -8.22 1.08 2.69 11.84 4.56P 15.04R 4.02 Bristol_City 4 5 +1 -0.80 39.16 0.59 57.58 10.95 -7.10 0.77 1.85 9.27 3.44P 15.97R 4.03 Sunderland 4 5 +0 -0.58 43.15 -0.14 70.89 11.76 12.71 9.30 17.59 44.75 25.38P 2.17R 0.42 Sheff_Wed 4 5 +0 -0.80 39.75 -0.51 69.67 10.75 10.84 6.21 12.76 39.44 20.34P 1.80R 0.27 Hull 4 4 +1 -2.44 19.43 -0.49 68.79 12.10 12.06 7.79 14.55 38.52 21.32P 3.57R 0.66 Birmingham 4 4 -1 -1.27 33.05 -0.79 53.08 10.36 -12.80 0.18 0.50 3.60 1.08P 27.49R 7.87 Aston_Villa 4 4 -2 -1.05 36.81 -1.44 60.66 10.60 -2.52 1.01 2.65 13.50 5.11P 9.56R 2.06 Norwich 4 4 -2 -1.91 25.93 -2.58 69.90 11.49 11.10 7.88 15.08 41.15 22.17P 2.49R 0.37 Reading 4 4 -2 -1.25 34.07 -1.68 59.98 10.87 -4.53 1.04 2.73 12.73 4.88P 11.30R 2.63 Fulham 4 3 -1 -2.65 16.37 -1.27 67.30 11.27 9.27 4.91 10.04 32.47 16.12P 3.63R 0.63 Barnsley 4 3 -3 -2.05 22.38 -2.28 53.13 10.76 -15.10 0.23 0.60 4.06 1.29P 28.39R 8.99 Burton_Albion 4 3 -5 -1.05 34.54 -2.90 47.64 10.19 -23.78 0.02 0.09 1.04 0.26P 48.18R 19.46 Bolton 4 2 -2 -2.97 13.93 -1.40 51.63 11.34 -13.59 0.24 0.66 4.07 1.42P 33.88R 11.88 Millwall 4 2 -2 -2.44 18.75 -0.30 45.39 11.14 -24.43 0.07 0.19 1.22 0.40P 56.36R 28.53 Brentford 4 1 -4 -4.86 3.77 -4.58 59.05 11.37 -4.14 1.24 2.73 12.26 5.12P 14.05R 3.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Bradford 0 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 3 9 +6 3.64 93.90 4.02 85.20 11.73 32.00 36.65 54.08 84.13 63.81P 0.11R 0.00 Peterborough 3 9 +5 3.93 94.25 3.55 73.09 11.49 12.85 7.37 16.40 48.60 23.60P 1.73R 0.16 Fleetwood_Town 3 9 +5 3.67 93.51 3.22 75.59 10.92 16.78 9.66 20.82 57.66 30.56P 0.73R 0.05 Shrewsbury 3 9 +3 4.60 96.89 2.53 60.31 10.81 -8.64 0.56 1.71 11.50 3.27P 14.21R 2.24 Oxford_Utd 3 6 +4 1.60 73.79 3.57 71.72 11.24 14.57 5.56 13.30 44.55 20.98P 2.06R 0.17 Charlton 3 6 +2 0.74 59.14 0.19 68.30 11.12 7.15 3.18 7.75 32.08 13.49P 3.86R 0.38 Bradford 3 6 +1 1.08 65.30 -0.17 73.26 10.84 13.72 6.43 15.01 49.53 24.42P 1.20R 0.10 Doncaster 3 5 +2 0.78 62.49 1.96 60.28 12.24 -4.54 1.17 3.03 14.77 5.39P 17.35R 3.58 Scunthorpe 3 5 +1 -0.05 48.59 -0.37 73.38 11.29 15.73 7.40 16.55 50.35 25.50P 1.54R 0.13 Plymouth 3 4 +1 0.73 65.98 2.32 58.29 11.75 -5.56 0.58 1.61 10.41 3.39P 20.46R 4.41 Blackpool 3 4 +0 0.79 66.89 1.33 56.49 11.74 -9.79 0.41 1.25 8.28 2.69P 25.54R 5.93 Walsall 3 4 +0 -0.33 46.75 -0.32 63.12 10.98 0.76 1.05 3.07 17.84 6.44P 9.08R 1.23 Portsmouth 3 4 -1 0.11 54.61 -0.67 57.86 11.70 -8.58 0.58 1.59 9.70 3.27P 21.77R 4.82 Southend 3 4 -4 -0.16 49.84 -4.02 63.22 11.19 -3.73 1.18 3.19 18.11 6.41P 9.94R 1.43 Rotherham 3 3 +2 -0.60 39.62 2.86 64.76 12.35 6.01 2.46 6.15 24.88 10.66P 9.62R 1.62 MK_Dons 3 3 -1 -1.40 27.03 -1.48 63.52 11.07 1.61 1.15 3.31 19.07 7.03P 8.97R 1.23 Blackburn 3 3 -2 -1.65 22.98 -2.96 76.44 12.06 20.35 12.86 25.82 60.46 36.97P 1.23R 0.14 Bristol_Rovers 3 3 -3 -0.40 43.32 -1.78 56.47 11.20 -12.83 0.29 0.89 7.01 1.98P 24.94R 5.44 Bury 3 3 -3 -0.64 38.20 -2.08 52.26 11.00 -19.91 0.10 0.33 3.39 0.87P 38.42R 10.35 Gillingham 3 1 -2 -2.24 18.99 -0.63 55.02 11.11 -10.30 0.19 0.63 5.70 1.66P 28.67R 6.62 Rochdale 3 1 -3 -2.97 12.22 -2.77 62.07 11.53 -0.17 1.04 3.02 16.87 6.30P 12.24R 2.11 AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 -3 -2.07 18.74 -1.44 51.69 10.71 -14.73 0.07 0.27 2.60 0.71P 39.20R 10.70 Northampton 3 0 -5 -2.94 6.73 -3.13 48.65 11.07 -22.65 0.06 0.17 1.78 0.44P 50.94R 18.02 Oldham 3 0 -5 -3.07 4.57 -3.76 47.15 9.99 -20.09 0.01 0.04 0.74 0.17P 56.20R 19.14League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 3 7 +2 1.93 79.55 0.53 84.15 12.35 31.24 26.28 55.72 82.50 64.28P 0.06R 0.02 Exeter 3 7 +2 2.22 85.62 0.97 74.90 11.85 15.97 7.13 25.57 57.69 33.71P 0.30R 0.06 Luton 3 6 +8 0.16 48.86 5.13 82.54 11.68 36.56 21.37 51.26 80.81 60.49P 0.04R 0.01 Coventry 3 6 +4 0.14 48.53 1.24 80.23 12.34 27.72 16.78 42.83 73.64 52.49P 0.10R 0.03 Carlisle 3 6 +3 1.58 72.54 2.56 69.55 12.11 9.58 3.41 14.13 40.70 19.94P 1.23R 0.45 Accrington_Stanley 3 6 +2 1.11 64.65 0.82 70.38 11.81 10.18 3.55 15.21 43.13 21.59P 0.90R 0.29 Notts_County 3 6 +1 3.09 89.64 3.11 59.06 11.81 -10.56 0.44 2.76 12.94 4.43P 7.64R 3.14 Stevenage 3 5 +2 0.22 52.52 1.02 66.23 11.98 4.84 1.67 8.94 30.36 13.69P 2.17R 0.75 Newport_County 3 5 +1 2.44 86.34 3.60 57.20 11.49 -10.74 0.25 1.77 9.56 3.08P 9.24R 3.97 Crewe 3 5 +1 0.03 49.98 -0.29 61.66 11.73 -3.62 0.69 4.27 17.79 7.12P 4.75R 1.86 Mansfield 3 4 +1 -0.28 48.49 0.69 65.21 11.45 4.25 1.30 6.86 26.57 11.40P 2.10R 0.75 Barnet 3 4 +0 0.32 58.90 0.73 60.87 11.61 -4.20 0.50 3.45 16.46 6.09P 5.09R 2.04 Morecambe 3 4 +0 0.11 55.16 0.41 53.88 11.47 -16.81 0.11 0.90 6.11 1.85P 14.65R 6.82 Wycombe 3 4 -1 -0.77 38.96 -1.99 64.95 11.62 1.76 1.23 6.75 25.89 11.12P 2.37R 0.88 Forest_Green 3 4 -1 0.25 57.48 -0.30 48.66 12.43 -28.98 0.11 0.67 3.56 1.18P 30.99R 17.71 Port_Vale 3 3 -1 -1.76 22.91 -1.98 74.25 12.97 18.82 8.36 26.62 55.96 35.22P 0.74R 0.21 Cambridge_Utd 3 3 -1 -1.12 31.48 -1.01 65.34 11.47 4.12 1.27 6.83 26.73 11.64P 2.18R 0.85 Grimsby 3 3 -2 -0.04 50.21 -0.19 58.91 11.68 -7.90 0.37 2.55 12.72 4.57P 7.37R 3.04 Chesterfield 3 3 -2 -1.84 22.04 -3.10 68.57 12.81 8.19 3.56 13.96 38.02 20.65P 1.90R 0.69 Cheltenham 3 3 -3 -0.60 39.79 -2.05 52.18 11.18 -19.16 0.06 0.56 4.12 1.18P 18.01R 8.35 Yeovil 3 3 -6 -0.02 49.93 -3.93 51.78 11.45 -24.46 0.09 0.59 4.09 1.13P 19.93R 9.83 Lincoln_City 3 2 -1 -1.03 33.79 0.91 48.24 11.99 -23.22 0.04 0.40 2.88 0.84P 30.79R 17.51 Colchester 3 1 -5 -2.58 15.51 -3.99 64.74 12.08 2.07 1.42 7.23 26.28 11.93P 3.06R 1.27 Crawley_Town 3 0 -4 -3.42 4.93 -2.90 46.60 11.09 -25.62 0.01 0.17 1.49 0.39P 34.39R 19.47National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 August 2017, AFC_Fylde 2 2 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Sutton_United 5 12 +4 5.97 97.31 5.25 70.55 10.87 7.40 3.71 27.45 8.00P 1.79R 0.13 Bromley 5 11 +8 4.26 92.02 8.28 72.11 10.86 15.52 5.06 32.99 10.71P 1.19R 0.08 Aldershot 5 10 +8 0.99 62.66 4.60 78.39 10.83 27.21 14.22 56.14 25.75P 0.25R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 5 10 +5 2.46 78.89 3.92 67.38 10.50 7.01 1.77 18.20 4.97P 2.76R 0.13 Dover_Athletic 5 10 +2 1.64 70.32 -0.28 77.46 10.99 20.38 12.44 51.90 22.22P 0.38R 0.01 Gateshead 5 9 +5 0.23 51.48 2.03 73.07 10.86 17.37 6.09 36.55 13.81P 0.99R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 5 9 +2 0.24 51.52 -1.25 80.53 10.94 27.33 19.33 63.37 31.88P 0.15R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 5 9 -1 0.31 52.64 -4.19 78.40 11.69 20.55 15.55 55.03 26.15P 0.47R 0.02 Maidenhead 5 8 +3 1.18 65.39 3.11 55.11 11.96 -13.00 0.40 4.30 1.09P 25.79R 5.01 Eastleigh 5 8 +2 1.31 67.41 2.24 67.42 10.74 6.90 2.09 18.87 5.54P 3.09R 0.21 Ebbsfleet_United 5 7 +2 0.55 58.81 3.02 54.01 12.12 -14.94 0.32 3.74 0.92P 28.93R 6.37 Barrow 5 6 +2 -1.37 31.66 1.32 69.02 10.90 12.81 2.98 23.82 7.71P 2.28R 0.16 Wrexham 5 6 -1 -0.19 48.34 0.01 60.62 10.48 -3.21 0.36 6.32 1.52P 9.95R 1.12 Woking 5 6 -5 0.43 56.09 -2.63 58.37 11.04 -13.00 0.31 4.96 1.04P 16.24R 2.41 Tranmere 5 5 -1 -4.01 9.27 -4.24 76.88 10.40 22.94 10.34 50.26 23.47P 0.27R 0.01 Halifax 5 5 -2 0.13 55.00 0.97 50.30 11.36 -18.56 0.06 1.32 0.29P 39.78R 10.25 Maidstone_United 5 5 -3 -0.80 41.47 -1.05 50.79 10.47 -20.77 0.03 0.92 0.17P 37.32R 8.02 Macclesfield 5 5 -3 -1.42 33.61 -2.42 65.22 10.63 3.20 1.22 13.63 3.94P 4.53R 0.41 Guiseley 5 5 -6 -0.23 49.26 -3.26 47.88 10.25 -28.31 0.01 0.45 0.06P 48.73R 13.00 AFC_Fylde 5 4 -3 -1.48 33.93 -0.41 44.72 11.74 -32.64 0.03 0.64 0.14P 59.65R 24.15 Chester 4 3 -1 -3.10 11.72 -1.85 54.20 10.99 -12.42 0.12 2.55 0.57P 26.30R 4.81 Hartlepool 5 2 -4 -5.72 2.68 -5.40 69.01 11.43 13.00 3.53 24.95 9.70P 2.87R 0.33 Solihull_Moors 4 1 -6 -3.29 10.19 -3.65 47.42 10.85 -26.73 0.02 0.51 0.11P 50.16R 15.00 Torquay 5 1 -7 -4.11 6.63 -4.12 51.07 10.81 -18.03 0.04 1.13 0.25P 36.13R 8.31